One of the first things you’re taught in international relations class is the school of neorealism, which posits that the international system exists in a state of anarchy, with all states vying for the greatest share of power. Each state’s share of power is relative and determined by their distribution of capabilities – military, economic, […]

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After an incredible 500 point bounce on Wednesday, the Dow Jones misfired after the bell on the Thursday session. The index will likely be forgiven for today’s flummox, after a sensational start to 2020. However, investors will likely see it as an opportunity missed after China’s Valentine’s love letter, and its proposition to slash its […]

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After being given a boost by Tuesday’s PMI results, Sterling was knocked down a peg on Wednesday by the news that the EU was moving to amend its MiFID regulations in order to remove concessions from the UK. The MiFID II was designed as a standardising regulatory package to improve protections for investors and restore […]

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Following a protracted session of posturing and taunts, the ‘phase one’ of the US-China trade deal was signed on Wednesday. This was met with a measured reaction from most, except the Dow Jones, which hit 29,000 points for the first time in its history. Despite the giddiness of this news having already been priced into […]

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The time is 12:30 on Thursday the 12th of December. I tell my colleague to bet on cable, shorting the pound until 20:00 – election day is always jittery. The time comes to 21:50, moments before the exit poll. I tell him to back Sterling with everything he’s got, he doesn’t, and minutes later I […]

The post Markets – a day on from the General Election appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

The POTUS with a penchant for Twittering sent markets into a late session frenzy, which was led by the Dow Jones hitting an all-time high. Donald Trump gave indices another glimmer of hope with a Tweet on Thursday afternoon, declaring that a trade deal with China was close at hand. Getting VERY close to a […]

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Investors spent most of the Tuesday session fretting about the absence of any phase one movement towards a trade agreement between the US and China. However, their worries were somewhat – though not completely – tempered by a report from the Wall Street Journal, which said that both sides were attempting to build foundations to […]

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The turbulent start to December was led by the usual suspects of 2019 market uncertainty, and Thursday saw the US-China trade war saga take its next turn. After a frenzied start to the week, markets collected themselves as China’s ministry of commerce made an announcement – a ‘phase one’ of any potential deal would be […]

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After attempting to recoup some sense of hope after Monday’s painful start to December, markets lost their footing during afternoon trade, following a procession of threats and condemnations issued by Donald Trump at the NATO summit in London. Just as soon as the POTUS issued words of cooperation and partnership, he just as soon condemned […]

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After a sore start to December, the Eurozone were keen on forgetting yesterday’s losses. After the bell, indices across the continent looked determined to live by the mantra of ‘it can’t get any worse’, and subsequently decided to shake off Trump’s overnight threats to implement a series of tariffs on $2.4 billion worth of French […]

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Continuing to push against his unwilling adversaries, today president Donald Trump kept on attempting to bring his economic machinations into being. His thinking of ‘low dollar, plus protectionism, equals good trade for US producers’, is as simplistic as his drive to bring such maxims into being is relentless. Alas, in the process, he has done […]

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Coming as little surprise to many, UK manufacturing PMI figures were weighed down by ongoing political and macroeconomic tensions. Donald Trump continued his scattergun campaign of protectionist tariffs, and the UK was doing his best to keep up, weighing in with general election uncertainty and the lingering Brexit motif. Talking on the UK’s figures, Andrew […]

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Apparently on the cusp of at least phase one of a trade deal, the Trump administration sent markets reeling on Thursday morning, following the announcement of the Hong Kong pro-democracy bill. While the move can’t be completely lambasted on principle (at least on our end), China’s reaction was as you’d expect. So, has Trump set […]

The post Hong Kong bill leaves little to be thankful for, pound surges on MRP poll appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

The story begins to write itself at this point. Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) tells us that the negative impact of the US-China trade war will diminish in 2020, but the refusal of gold prices to stage any kind of concerted climb-down tells us the opposite story. As the Tuesday session lets out its final breath, […]

The post The story writes itself: markets flat on trade war inaction appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

Without actually making much progress towards resolution, the Sino-US trade war debacle was able to eek out a sliver of positivity for indices clamouring for a shred of good news. With its high position on president Trump’s order paper looking under threat – with domestic political engagements vying for his attention – any substantive movement […]

The post Trade war slow progress but markets rally on Huawei ban delay appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

Markets have finally given in to realism and assumed a stance of limited optimism in regard to any potential Sino-US trade deal. After appearing to happily chase the story in regard to trade war and tariff progress over the last few months, markets now seem ready to concede that any friendly chatter between the two […]

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The hubris of Donald Trump knows no bounds. Today the POTUS seemed intent on antagonising Chinese leader Xi Jinping, with his next instalment of unnecessary waffle surrounding the hows and whens of a potential first phase of trade war resolution. Similarly, in the UK, the equally uninspiring candidates on both sides have offered little recourse […]

The post Markets stayed in the red as Trump pokes the patient dragon appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

Following the Dow Jones hitting its all-time high on Monday, indices saw trade War optimism run out of steam on Tuesday. European markets began in a fairly unenthusiastic manner, with tensions not yet resolved and today’s UK services PMI. Commenting on the market’s opening movements and trade war tensions, Spreadex Financial Analyst Connor Campbell stated, […]

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We promise the Halloween puns are coming to an end. A topsy-turvy day for Chinese and US relations – and PMIs – was enough to give European indices the jitters. Meanwhile, the FTSE was held down by a strong Sterling and uninspiring developments in the banking sector. Commenting on the day’s movements up to the […]

The post Trump Twittering, trade war trickery and banking sector spooking FTSE appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

Continuing his America first campaign, Donald Trump would’ve no doubt produced one of his memorable facial expressions as the WTO gave the go-ahead for the US to impose a series of tariffs on European goods. Closing in the red on Wednesday, indices would have looked to recover some ground on Thursday morning. Speaking on their […]

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On the back of general election jitters, the Pound Sterling maintained its plateau. This, along with yet more empty words on the trade war situation from Donald Trump, saw the FTSE claim the top spot in Thursday’s winners’ circle. Despite being quoted by the NYT as having lied over 10,000 times during his tenure, markets […]

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After preliminary optimism on chatter surrounding a return to more amicable exchanges between the US and China, the market’s reaction this morning was markedly more muted. This is perhaps unsurprising; not only will many assume the return of good will to be little more than hot air, buy yesterday’s index boom has left markets in […]

The post Yesterday’s exuberance leaves markets muted despite Trump’s tariff delay appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

So, another MP with integrity has taken the plunge. MP and minister Jo Johnson today quit the Conservative party and thereby relinquished his place in the government. While many have touted today’s news as another loss for the Conservative party, I regard it as a loss for the UK. A dedicated public servant decided he […]

The post Jo Johnson quits – Sterling rallies, FTSE dips appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

The title says it all. Brexit caused a minor bump to the pound and confirmation of US tariffs on Chinese goods saw the Dow Jones wistfully shed points. While not a catastrophic day, market indices in the UK and across the world reflected leaders’ inability to resolve the divisions that riddle modern day society. With […]

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According to a recent poll, some 60% of the nation are pessimistic about the year ahead and only 38% support the concept of a No-Deal Brexit. Despite this, and even before Boris Johnson assumed the office of PM, political analysts forecast a 70% likelihood of some form of No-Deal scenario. So, should we chase the […]

The post No-Deal Brexit is coming: the truth on chaos and compromise appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

Its not over because the fat president sung. With one hand probing the coffers of the US Fed and his other fist shaking at Xi Jinping, you couldn’t accuse President Trump of being docile last week. Today, Yuan devaluation saw China play its first hand in what appears to be the re-opening of the Sino-US […]

The post Yuan drops to lowest dollar comparison in a decade, trade war re-escalates appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

China has announced it is “seriously” considering restricting rare earth exports to the US, according to the editor-in-chief of the Global Times. Based on what I know, China is seriously considering restricting rare earth exports to the US. China may also take other countermeasures in the future. — Hu Xijin 胡锡进 (@HuXijin_GT) May 28, 2019 […]

The post Rare Earth Minerals – China’s bedrock in trade war with US? appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

In a refreshing turn of events, Britain and Brexit are not the calling card for media woes. Today the bell tolls for the German economy, with market analysts forecasting a recession following a drastic decline in factory orders. Was zur Hölle While Germany may be Europe’s largest economy, and often praised for its mixed structure, […]

The post German industry touts recession: goods ‘boten’ but sinking demand appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

With institutes such as the EMU releasing their Q3 performance figures, it has been apparent this morning that even the most reliable large economies have seen their GDP growth hit a period of friction in 2018. Alongside the UK; Japan, Germany and China have all seen disappointing GDP performance. Trade tensions, turbulent exchange rates and […]

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BMW (ETR:BMW) have announced they will raise prices for their SUV models for consumers in China. The price spikes come after China’s retaliatory tariffs, which add a 25% levy on all US-made vehicles and thus affects the BMW’s sold in China, which are produced at BMW’s factory in South Carolina. The tariffs have led to […]

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Tesla Inc (LON:TSLA) are to open their first factory outside of the US, with CEO Elon Musk meeting Shanghai’s mayor Ying Yong to make the announcement yesterday. The new factory is being built with a multiplicity of factors in mind. Firstly, the reciprocal Sino-US tariff tensions now mean that a 25 percent duty will be […]

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Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) moves toward volatility as share price dips, following a euphoric start to the month. After silver prices reached a five-month high at over 17.20 USD an ounce in mid June, they have since dipped by over a dollar in the wake of trade tensions and the subsequent sell-off of silver. As such, […]

The post Fresnillo dips and becomes the FTSE’s biggest casualty in June appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

Intel (INTC) shares have fallen in the wake of a leadership reshuffle and mounting pressure from rivals and consumers. The company’s shares fell 3.5 percent from 54.43-49.81 USD between the end of last week and Monday’s opening, a seven-week low which followed status downgrades by bearish analysts from Nomura and Bernstein. Much of the turbulence […]

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For the first time since the 2015 slump, the Chinese economy displays a direction of downward travel, as the Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) enters the bear market and drops 20 percent from its January high. Since January, Chinese stocks have dropped 1.6 trillion USD in value, with a recent amalgamation of a devalued yuan and heated […]

The post China enters bear market as trade war prevails appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

The FTSE 100 dropped 0.9 percent today, in the midst of Sino-US tariffs. The next set of US tariffs on 34 billion USD of Chinese goods will be implemented on the 6th of July, with a further 450 billion USD of tariffs earmarked, should China choose to retaliate. In addition, the US has put a […]

The post FTSE drops as trade war escalates appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

The Chinese central bank took steps to increase market liquidity on Tuesday and Wednesday, in the wake of the five-day stock market slump. Following the three-week low reached by stock markets earlier this week, policy-makers in Beijing concluded that a full-scale Sino-US trade war could not be ruled out, but a pragmatic step in the […]

The post Chinese central bank ends slump with market liquidity appeared first on UK Investor Magazine.

Many European automotive, tech and retail multinationals saw their shares fall on Tuesday, amidst tensions created by the ‘tariff war’ between China and the US. Following proposed tariffs on a combined 250 billion USD worth of goods between the US and China, protectionist agendas on both sides have sparked an extended sell-off of European shares […]

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