Greggs shares crumble as sales growth slows in early 2025

Greggs shares tanked on Tuesday after the purveyor of the humble sausage roll said sales growth in early 2025 has slowed to a snails pace.

Following like-for-like 5.5% sales growth in 2024, the baker revealed like-for-like sales for the first nine weeks of 2025 had fallen to 1.7%.

This was too much to bear for some investors who have become accustomed to strong levels of growth and Greggs shares tumbled over 10% in early trade.

“For quite some time it seemed that Greggs could do no wrong,” said Adam Vettese, market analyst at eToro.

“Yet now they have posted another lacklustre update with shares down a whopping 30% this year already. The company blamed challenging weather conditions in January for the slowdown, but aside from the cold snap it is more concerning if there is overall weaker demand for the product.”

Greggs’ success was built on low-cost products, but prices have gradually crept up in recent years. This will play a part in the 11.7% group sales increase over the past year but raises questions about demand going forward.

Inflationary pressures are likely to drag on profits, and Greggs risks having to increase prices further to maintain margins. However, such price hikes will be made against a backdrop of tighter conditions for the consumer, who may not see Greggs as the value option it once was.

“2024 was a year of highs and lows for sausage roll maker Greggs as it surpassed £2bn in revenue for the first time, though conditions deteriorated over the year,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Record revenue will be of little consequence for investors, with Greggs starting the year on the back foot and key metrics set for a period of depression.

“However, 2025 is shaping up to be a tricky year; consumers are hardly flush with cash, and costs are set to rise as Rachel Reeves’s budget measures take effect,” Britzman said.

Severfield hit by construction weakness

Structural steel supplier Severfield (LON: SFR) has published a downbeat trading statement and the share price has slumped 45.7% to 25.9p. The order book has fallen by 2% since the end of October and the decline is more marked over the medium-term.
This is where the operational gearing of Severfield is a major negative. It does not take a large percentage dip in the expected revenues to slash the forecast profit.
The UK structural steel market is estimated to have declined by 7% in 2024 and contract awards have fallen in some sectors so far this year. There is also competition from Europe. Wat...

FTSE 100 hits record as BAE Systems rockets higher

The FTSE 100 hit an all-time record intraday high on Monday as defence-related stocks helped power the index higher amid positioning for higher defence spending by European countries.

The disastrous meeting between Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and Donald Trump has been met with fresh pledges of military aid for Ukraine by the UK and other European countries, which are also expected to bolster their military spending.

From a market perspective, investors piled into defence stocks across Europe, with London-listed BAE Systems surging higher.

“The Footsie has surged into the green in a spurt of Monday motivation, with the index hitting a fresh record level,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Better prospects for China’s economy and the expectation of increased state spending on military capabilities are offsetting jitters about fraught geo-politics and US tariffs concerns,” Streeter continued.

“Defence contractors leading the charge higher, with BAE Systems up by more than 18% in early trade. The shocking clash between Trump, Vance and Zelensky has brought the need for Europe to increase collective security into sharp focus. A show of co-operation among leaders at the weekend in London has reinforced expectations that military budgets will swell in a new era of collaboration to counter the Russian threat.”

The composition of the FTSE 100 meant the index shrugged off any concerns about Trump tariffs due on Tuesday and rocketed to intraday records. Rolls Royce’s exposure to the defence sector helped its share rise 5%, extending this year’s gains to 38%.

BAE Systems and Rolls Royce are the FTSE 100’s best performers of 2025 to date. BAE Systems shares have gained more than 39% this year and are set to close at an all-time high on Monday.

While US equities are feeling the pressure of Trump tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and Chine due to kick in on Tuesday, the FTSE 100 was enjoying the possible consequences of tariffs on copper, with miners rallying on the possibility of prices rises.

Antofagasta jumped more than 3% as Anglo American and Glencore rose over 2%.

Bunzl was the FTSE 100 top faller after profit before tax fell 3.6% in the year ended 31st December and the group said they were facing uncertainties. Shares were down 8.5% at the time of writing.

“Falling prices as we emerge from an inflationary period have been a headwind for Bunzl’s revenue growth and while this effect is beginning to wear off, underlying growth looks set to remain subdued,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Bunzl typically pursues expansion through acquisitions so leaning on M&A is not unusual for the group, although the recently acquired catering outfit Nisbets had a tough 2024.

“Investors may have taken note of the uptick in net debt, although the company’s strong cash generation meant it still felt able to hike the dividend and unveil a major share buyback.”

AIM movers: Bigblu Broadband tender offer and Finseta launches corporate card

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Oil and gas company ADM Energy (LON: ADME) has sent its circular covering the planned capital reorganisation and £313,000 share issue at 0.1p/share. There are also plans to divest the stake in the Aje oil field in Lagos. The proceeds may be distributed to shareholders. The share price increased 26.7% to 0.19p.

Helium One Global (LON: HE1) has received an offer of a mining licence for the South Rukwa helium project in Tanzania. The Jackson-31 well at the Galactica helium project in Colorado has been drilled with free gas confirmed by wireline logs. Blue Star Helium is the operator. The share price rose 19.8% to 1.09p.

Broadband provider Bigblu Broadband (LON: BBB) is launching a tender offer of up to £6.1m at 40p/share. It is expected to close on 22 April. Net debt was £6.6m and the sale of the Australian business has brought in more cash to repay that debt. The share price is 16.1% higher at 32.5p.

Tiger Royalties and Investments (LON: TIR) has launched the Tiger Cohort AI Agent Accelerator Programme. Eight entrepreneurs developing utility meme coin projects will participate and two will each receive an investment of £250,000 and ongoing resources for further development. The share price improved 15.8% to 0.11p.

Finseta (LON: FIN) has launched its Finseta corporate card, which is co-branded with Mastercard. It is usable in more than 200 countries. Finseta will receive a fee based on the value of each transaction. Income should be generated in the first half of 2025 and the gross margin is higher than the core business. The 2024 results will be reported in April. The share price is 9.84% ahead at 33.5p.

Versarien (VRS) has completed the sale of its South Korean assets, and the total cash received is £611,000. An IP licence has been granted to acquirer MCK Tech, which has to deliver sales of at least £250,000 over the first two years or the licence will be terminated and £40,000 will be payable. The share price recovered 10.3% to 0.032p.

Telematics provider Quartix (LON: QTX) reported an 8% increase in 2024 revenues to £32.4m, while pre-tax profit improved by one-quarter to £6.3m. The final dividend is doubled to 3p/share, taking the total to 4.5p/share. Annualised recurring revenues are £32.2m. Cavendish has upgraded its 2025 pre-tax profit forecast to £7m. The share price rose 9.24% to 171.5p.

FALLERS

Kazakhstan-focused oil and gas producer Caspian Sunrise (LON: CASP) has issued a corporate update covering recent progress. Last year’s production averaged 1,707 barrels of oil/day, down from 1,822 barrels of oil/day in 2023. Current production is 1,485 barrels of oil/day. A Middle East financial institution is investing $72.5m for a 50% stake in the BNG deep structures. Caspian Sunrise has an exclusivity agreement to acquire and established oil field. The share price dipped 7.46% to 3.1p.

Financial services provider Team (LON: TEAM) is raising £569,000 at 10p/share. The new strategic investors are VT EPIC MA Growth Fund and VT EPIC Wealth Fund. In the year to September 2024, revenues rose from £5.3m to £10.3m. The loss increased from £443,000 to £2.92m, including an impairment charge of £600,000. The business has been split into three divisions: investment management, advisory and international. Assets under management are £325m, while assets under administration are £836m. Inflows are increasing this year and new product launches are planned. NAV was £9.95m. The share price fell 6.38% to 11p.

Share Tip: Dr Martens – from a humble work boot to an iconic fashion statement, this group’s shares are now at 66p

I admit it right now; I am not a fashion geek! 
So, you will never in a month of Sundays find me wearing a pair of 1460’s. 
Now that I have got that out of the way – I reckon that Dr Martens looks right – the shares, not the boots! 
The Business 
The £637m-capitalised Dr. Martens (LON:DOCS) is an iconic British footwear brand which was founded in Wollaston, in Northamptonshire in 1960. 
The first boot was born on 1st April 1960 and was accordingly called the ‘1460’.  
The brand's popularity grew after Pete Townshend of The Who wore the boots as a symbol of hi...

Helium One shares jump on Tanzania and US developments

Shares in Helium One Global Ltd (AIM: HE1) soared this morning following two announcements related to their USA and Tanzanian operations.

The company, which also holds a 50% working interest in the Galactica-Pegasus helium project in Colorado and operates the southern Rukwa Helium Project in Tanzania, saw its shares jump over 20% on Monday after releasing developments for both assets.

The first announcement confirmed successful drilling operations at the Jackson-31 well in Colorado, part of the Galactica Project operated with partner Blue Star Helium. The well was drilled to a total depth of 1,210 feet (368.8m) with free gas confirmed by wireline logs.

Perhaps most encouraging for investors was the news that the well flowed naturally during drilling operations, demonstrating strong reservoir communication. Technical data revealed the well encountered 57 feet (17m) of high-quality, gas-saturated Upper Lyons Sandstone Formation with impressive porosity ratings between 22-26%.

Samples have been dispatched to laboratories for analysis of helium and CO2 concentrations, whilst preparations continue for surface pressure readings and flow testing.

In a separate development, Helium One announced receipt of an offer letter from the Mining Commission in Tanzania for the grant of a Mining Licence covering their southern Rukwa Helium Project. Much of Helium One’s newsflow has been focused on Colorado of late, so news of progress in Africa will be welcomed by investors.

The potential licence would span approximately 480 square kilometres, encompassing the entire southern Rukwa project area across the Momba and Sumbawanga Districts. The offer follows special approval from Tanzania’s Ministry of Minerals, which has permitted the Mining Commission to grant a larger-than-standard licence area that will enable full development of the project’s potential.

With the drilling rig now being mobilised to the Jackson-4 well location in Colorado and the company reviewing the specific terms of the Tanzanian mining licence offer, investors will be watching closely for further updates that could sustain the current positive momentum in the share price.

The AI trade, Trump tariffs, and UK equity catalysts with Rathbones CIO Edward Smith

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome Rathbones Investment Management’s Co-Chief Investment Officer, Edward Smith, to the podcast.

This episode focuses on Rathbones’ 2025 Outlook and explores the AI trade, DeepSeek’s emergence, Trump tariffs, UK equity valuations, European growth, and China.

Explore Rathbones’ 2025 Outlook here.

Amidst concerns over Trump’s tariffs, Edward identifies potential opportunities for investors prepared to look beyond the gloom. We examine the US AI rally and explore whether DeepSeek’s emergence threatens to derail the entire global equity market. 

Edward offers a fascinating insight into the key metrics his team uses to assess the value of AI stocks and technology shares and what recent analysis suggests. 

When discussing US equity concentration, we consider whether the Magnificent Seven’s market dominance will persist and highlight sectors that could broaden the US equity rally. 

We compare and contrast the sluggish growth in Europe with the UK’s economic landscape, outlining key differences and assessing relative investment attractiveness between the two markets.

The conversation examines China’s evolving role in global growth, questioning whether it still serves as the primary growth engine it once was. Edward identifies alternative geographies he believes are positioned to fill any potential gap left by China.

To conclude, Edward offers insights into which markets present the best relative value in 2025 and where they anticipate the strongest growth potential.

AIM weekly movers: Staffline sells training business

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Staffing firm Staffline (LON: STAF) is selling its workplace training business PeoplePlus for up to £6.9m – £12m minus £5.1m deduction for advanced payments. The change in government has led to uncertainty concerning training and delays in client decisions. PeoplePlus was expected to make a 2025 pre-tax profit of £300,000, down from £1.3m in 2024. Panmure Liberum expects an £11.1m non-cash write down on the business. A share buyback has been launched. This could acquire up to £7.5m worth of shares. The share price recovered 41.7% to 32.8p.

Beowulf Mining (LON: BEM) reported 2024 results after the closure of the market on Friday. The 37.5% rise in the share price to 22p, happened before the release. Management says that the company will require working capital in the very near term and work is underway with advisers.

Retail software provider itim Group (LON: ITIM) says that 2024 revenues were 5% better than expected at £17.9m thanks to contract wins in the second half. This enabled itim to move back into profit. Zeus forecasts a 2024 pre-tax profit of £200,000 and upgraded its 2025 figure to £500,000. The share price increased 34.1% to 55p.

EnergyPathways (LON: EPP) has signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding with a clean energy fund, which would be a cornerstone investor in an equity funding at higher than the current share price. This will provide cash for the development of the MESH energy storage project. A FTSE 100 constituent is interested in long-term storage capacity. The final concept engineering report has been submitted and a decision on the application for a gas storage licence is expected soon. The MESH project could be operational by the end of 2027. The share price rose 22.3% to 6.85p, having been as high as 8.25p during the week.

FALLERS

Online building materials retailer CMO Group (LON: CMO) has reviewed its strategic options and decided that it should leave AIM because it cannot source the finance it requires. This should save £700,000/year. JP Jenkins will provide a matched bargains market. CMO joined AIM at the height of the Covid-related boom in DIY and its results have declined since then. The market is currently declining, although there are signs of improvement in February. CMO raised £45m at 132p/share when it joined AIM in July 2021. The share price slumped 69.9% to 1.25p.

Great Western Mining Corporation (LON: GWMO) plans to consolidate 200 existing shares into one new share and then reduce the par value, which is currently higher than the share price, from €0.02 to €0.0001. This will enable the Nevada-focused miner to issue shares for additional funding. The share price dipped 30% to 0.0105p.

Antibody profiling company Oncimmune (LON: ONC) shares continue their decline as it says that it is in talks to raise cash ahead of the current money running out in April. Alvarez & Marsal has been appointed to target potential partners and investors. The share price fell 29.4% to 1.75p.

Wine maker Gusbourne (LON: GUS) is holding the general meeting to gain approval for its departure from AIM on 7 March. The share price continued its decline and is 28.1% lower at 11.5p.

At the AGM, Active Energy Group (LON: AEG) shareholders approved the reduction in the par value of shares from 0.35p to 0.035p. The share price slid 27.7% to 0.235p.

Aquis weekly movers: Profit rebounds at Field Systems Designs

Audit and assurance services provider Adsure Services (LON: ADS) has signed a contract with K10 Vision to implement its audit working paper software. This will enhance the efficiency of subsidiary TIAA and integration is already underway. The share price increased 17% to 27.5p.

SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) has signed an exclusive agency agreement for Greece and Cyprus with Technava SA. The focus will be the maritime market for the company’s fuel additives. The share price improved 15.8% to 110p.

EDX Medical Group (LON: EDX) founder and executive director Professor Sir Chris Evans acquired 60,000 shares at 12.97p each and 30,000 shares at an average share price of 13.49p each. The share price moved ahead by 6% to 13.25p.

In the six months to November 2024, Field Systems Designs (LON: FSD) improved revenues from £8.8m to £13.1m and pre-tax profit recovered from £84,000 to £853,000. There is cash of £4.4m. The mechanical and electrical engineering services company has benefit from increasing activity under the AMP7 programme for the water sector. The AMP8 programme will begin in April 2025. There are secured orders worth more than £22m, but the start of AMP8 is likely to see a slowdown in spending before it ramps up again. The share price rose 5.88% to 45p.

FALLERS

KR1 (LON: KR1) reported an end-January 2025 NAV of 77.5p/share, down from 77.8p/share the previous month, and has generated income of £721,233 during the months. The share price fell 13.8% to 40.5p.

Coinsilium (LON: COIN) subsidiary Forza Gibraltar is taking part in the Bitcoin Horizons: Global Adoption and Asset Strategy on 18 March. The share price dipped 6.35% to 2.95p.

Having raised £7.4m from a placing at 180p/share healthcare procedures provider One Health Group (LON: OHGR) has raised a further £200,000 through a retail offer, where shares worth up to £500,000 were on offer. Existing shareholders have the chance to take up shares in a one-for-38 open offer of up to £500,000 ahead of the move to AIM. which is expected to happen on 20 March. The share price slipped 2.56% to 190p.

FTSE 100 reverses early losses as IAG soars

The FTSE 100 had a choppy end to the week, with concerns about tariffs and AI-related US stocks offsetting some very respectable earnings updates from London-listed large caps in early trade.

London’s leading index fell sharply on the open, but dip buyers quickly bid the market up as the session progressed, and the index was trading 0.3% higher at the time of writing.

“The countdown to Trump’s tariffs coming into force is now in the final few days and investors have got the jitters,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Trump likes to make threats and stand his ground, hoping the other side blinks first and doesn’t put up a fight. The tariff recipient countries will be working hard over the weekend to finalise their game plan – do they retaliate or not?

“This uncertainty has unnerved markets and we saw a big sell-off on Wall Street last night, including what turned out to be a miserable day for Nvidia. The chip giant ended the day more than 8% lower as its results failed to reassure investors that it can fight off growing competition and deal with customers either going it alone or seeking solutions to reduce their overall AI costs.”

Nvidia’s results beat expectations, but the forward-looking nature of markets and the rich valuations of Nvidia and other tech shares mean the slightest threat to the AI rally is met with broad selling of US tech that spills over into global stocks.

That said, S&P 500 futures had stabilised on Friday, providing a base for the FTSE 100 to rally as positive corporate stories took control.

IAG was one of the standout performers after the airline said full-year revenue grew 9% and free cash flow expanded dramatically despite making significant investments in the business.

IAG shares were 5% higher at the time of writing.

“British Airways owner IAG smashed market expectations in the final quarter, delivering beats on both the top and bottom lines,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The group’s market-leading networks, strong brands, and fierce operational focus continue to drive performance skyward. Despite increased capacity, planes are flying with more passengers on board on average. That shows demand for the group’s routes remains strong despite the current pressure on consumers’ incomes.

“With its London base, IAG has a high share of premium passengers relative to other airlines, given London is the global leader in arriving and departing premium passengers. These customers are more willing to pay extra for a better seat, which is helping to boost margins.”

Housebuilders were higher after Nationwide said house prices rose 3.9% in the year to February. Persimmon rose 3.4% while Berkeley Group gained 1.8%.

An upbeat outlook from Rightmove in its full-year results helped its own stock 3% but also lifted sentiment for the sector.

US PCE data and its assessment of inflationary pressures due for release on Friday could upset markets as we head into the weekend.