Saba Capital suffers resounding defeat as retail investors rally round their investment trusts

Saba Capital’s plans to seize control of seven UK-listed investment trusts lay in tatters. Investors came out in large numbers to resoundingly reject plans to remove the boards of the trusts and replace them with one selected by Saba.

With six of the seven votes to remove the boards of investment trusts complete, the US hedge fund appears to have misjudged investor support for their investment trusts.

“It’s clear that shareholders value investment trusts’ long-term approach to investing and the independent oversight provided by boards of directors,” said Richard Stone, Chief Executive of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC).

The backing of Saba Capital’s plans was pitiful. One wonders whether the investors who backed the resolutions ticked the wrong box by mistake.

In the poll to remove the board of The European Smaller Companies Trust, 99.5% of votes cast by shareholders, other than Saba Capital, rejected Saba’s proposals.

Only 0.8% of votes, other than those of Saba Capital, supported the requisitioned resolutions to remove the board of Keystone Positive Change Investment Trust.

Herald Investment Trust, Baillie Gifford US Growth Trust, CQS Natural Resources and Henderson Opportunities Trust all won by similar margins.

The retail investor was vitally important in securing victories for the Investment Trusts. For many of the trusts, the retail vote had the potential to swing the result, and there was a risk that if retail investors didn’t cast their votes, Saba’s resolutions may have passed.

However, concerns that retail investors wouldn’t bother to vote proved unfounded, and their participation was crucial in a number of the votes. 

“There were fears among the investment trust industry that retail investors would not stand up and be counted. However, our customers have debunked those concerns and have shown up in high numbers to cast their votes,” said Kyle Caldwell, Funds and Investment Education Editor at interactive investor.

“For the six investment trusts that have voted against Saba’s proposals, between 69% and 76% of shares were voted across the interactive investor platform. This shows that when shareholders are being asked to vote on a big issue – they turn up in big numbers.”

AIM movers: APQ Global hit by US government aid cuts and Iomart profit warning

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Share buying in Enteq Technologies (LON: NTQ) helped the price rebound by 50% to 2.7p. The share price slumped after the company issued a poor trading statement and decided to commence a formal sale process, which will be handled by Gneiss Energy. The company has already contacted some interested parties and is in discussions with two of them.

RA International (LON: RAI) shares clawed back some of yesterday’s loss after it announced plans to leave AIM. The remote services provider to global organisations says that disclosure requirements hamper the business by enabling rivals have a greater insight into its strategy. Also, confidentiality agreements mean that it is difficult to provide investors with the information they want. Liquidity is poor because Soraya Narfeldt and Lars Narfeldt own more than 80% of RA International. The share price recovered 26.7% to 0.95p but has still fallen 85% this week.

Falcon Oil & Gas (LON: FOG) announced the completion a 35-stage stimulation campaign on the Mid Velkerri B Shale in the Shenandoah S2-2H ST1 horizontal well in Australia, where it has a 5% working interest. Next month, there will be news about IP30 rates for horizonal wells. Cavendish expects IP30 rates of more than 6MMscf/day per 1,000 metres. Falcon Oil & Gas is choosing not to contribute to the next four wells and that will save $12m in capital spending. The company is seeking to move its share quotation to the US. The share price improved 13.3% to 7.25p.

Karelian Diamond Resources (LON: KDR) has extended licences over diamond exploration areas targeted at Lentiira in Finland. This was an area discovered by former AIM company European Diamonds. Landowner compensation for the potential mine development at Lahtojoki should be finalised in the first half of 2025. The company is trying to secure a strategic partner to help it develop an emerging nickel, copper and platinum prospect in Northern Ireland. The share price rose 10.5% to 1.05p.

FALLERS

APQ Global Ltd (LON: APQ) says the US government’s slashing of international aid and foreign assistance has created a tough environment for its investee companies. Cash flow generation and refinancing debt should enable APQ Global to repay convertible loan holders by the end of March, but it is more uncertain than previously. The outstanding principle is £26.1m. Delphos is the main investment and two-thirds of its transaction advisory contracts have been cancelled, and they were worth $5m. The others are also likely to be cancelled. Cash inflows over December and January were expected to be $18.9m, but they were $1.1m. The estimate for February has been downgraded from $16.5m to $14.5m, although the March estimate has been raised from $4.3m to $11.1m. That still means a reduction $12m over the period. APQ Global had $3.2m in cash at the end of January. The share price dived 69.2% to 2p.

Oxygen enrichment device developer Belluscura (LON: BELL) has raised £4m at 2p/share and a WRAP retail offer could raise up to £500,000. The cash will be used to purchase inventory and bolster the balance sheet. The licence fee payment to Separation Design Group is expected to be between $400,000 and $575,000 on product sales up to 15 September 2025. The subscription price of warrants owned by the company will be reduced from 45p to 2p. Three non-execs and one executive director will step down from the board, although the latter will remain on the board of the US subsidiary. The share price slumped 69.2% to the placing price of 2p.

Managed services provider Iomart (LON: IOM) says churn has remained high in in its self-managed infrastructure client base and there are also lower renewals in private cloud services. Cavendish has cut its forecast 2024-25 pre-tax profit from £10.4m to £6.6m, with a further decline to £5m next year. This reflects the high fixed cost base. The share price slipped 21.7% to 46.5p.

Share Tip: TinyBuild – yesterday’s Trading Update for 2024 show a fast-recovering video games publisher ready to be excited by release of new titles

Capitalised at just £24.78m, tinyBuild (LON:TBLD) really is a tiny company that is building up. 
Based in the States, with operations there and in Europe, the video games business publisher and developer, which floated on AIM nearly four years ago, has a catalogue of more than 70 premium titles across different genres.  
With a strategy to focus on its own intellectual property to build multi-game and multimedia franchises, in partnership with developers, its geographical footprint enables it to source high-potential IP, to access cost-effective development resources, and to bui...

Amazon shares slip on weak sales guidance

Amazon shares slipped after the technology giant reported weaker-than-expected sales guidance that overshadowed a Q4 revenue and EPS beat.

Amazon’s Q4 revenue came in at $187.8bn vs $187.3bn expected and Q4 EPS rose to $1.86 vs $1.49 expected. A phenomenal quarter for the company that also enjoyed cloud revenue in line with estimates.

However, as is always the way with company earnings, investors were more concerned with what comes next. And this wasn’t as encouraging.

Amazon shares fell 4% in the US premarket after the group said it expected Q1 2025 sales to be $151bn – short of estimates between $155bn-$158bn.

“Amazon delivered a knockout quarter, but a touch of softness in first quarter guidance has sent shares into a bit of a post-earnings wobble,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity researcher, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Amazon hasn’t missed earnings expectations since all the way back in 2022 and today was no different with a big beat on the bottom line. Some of the softness in first-quarter guidance looks to be a result of the stronger US dollar and the lapping of a leap year, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see shares rebound once markets digest the moving parts.”

Victrex volumes and revenue grow amid ‘mixed’ trading conditions

Engineering materials specialist Victrex has reported a robust start to its 2025 financial year, with first-quarter group revenue rising 9% to £66.6m and volume growth of 20% to 898 tonnes.

Victrex enjoyed strength across most of its industry groups. The company noted growth in aerospace, while the electronics segment benefited from increased demand for semiconductor applications and smart devices.

The Automotive sector currently trails behind last year’s performance, however, Victrex anticipates growth in its E-mobility business as increased platform builds for 800-volt motors drive higher content of VictrexTM PEEK per vehicle.

Looking ahead, the company expects a significant increase in revenues from its mega-programmes, particularly in Aerospace Composites, E-mobility, and Trauma applications. The business maintains its full-year expectations and forecasts improved cash flow generation, supporting both growth investments and shareholder returns.

The average selling price remained stable at £74 per kilogramme, reflecting currency headwinds, sales mix variations, and the softer performance in the Medical sector.

The CEO offered a cautious message for the near term, pointing to the mixed trading conditions but suggested lower costs would support profits in 2025.

“Cost control, self-help measures, higher asset utilisation and lower raw material costs will help to underpin profit improvement in FY 2025,” said Jakob Sigurdsson, Chief Executive of Victrex.

“However, we are mindful that current trading conditions remain mixed, with continuing softness in Medical. As a result, profit growth will be weighted to the second half year. This reflects Medical and sales mix, the impact of currency – which is a £7m-£8m headwind to PBT for the year – being heavily weighted to H1 2025, and annualised costs from our new China facility. All of these factors are expected to limit our progress in the first half year, versus H1 2024.”

FTSE 100 hits record highs as Bank of England cuts rates, signals more cuts on the horizon

The FTSE 100 soared on Thursday as the Bank of England cut interest rates and signalled further rate cuts in the near-term, helping propel the index to fresh record highs.

London’s leading index stormed higher in early trade as investors front-run the decision to cut rates by 0.25% and extended gains after the release. The FTSE 100 was trading at 8,750 at the time of writing and was likely to remain choppy as the session progressed.

The cyclical sectors were among the top risers, with miners surging higher alongside financials. Overseas revenue earners were also among those companies gaining as the inverse relationship between the FTSE 100 and the pound kicked in.

“A weaker pound against the US dollar benefits companies which earn some or all of their money in the American currency, hence why we saw miners, gambling group Entain, construction rental firm Ashtead and ratcatcher Rentokil get a boost,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

The Bank of England has fired up equity bulls by signalling to the market they can expect additional rate cuts before long.

In a signal of what the Bank of England may do in the future, seven of the nine MPC voting members voted for a 0.25% cut, while two voted for a 0.5% cut.

The country is on the verge of stagflation and must choose between controlling inflation and supporting the economy. 

The BoE’s core mandate is to keep inflation at its target rate of 2%. However, they are also responsible for price stability, which is threatened by the economic outlook.

A risk for the Bank of England is that by not cutting rates now, growth will suffer, and they may end up with the problem of inflation below 2% down the road as the economy slows further and jobs are lost.

This would have consequences for financial markets, leading to volatility in equity and bond markets. 

“Looking longer term, there is still work to be done to find the ‘neutral’ level for rates where the UK economy can deliver price stability,” said Brad Holland, director of investment strategy at Nutmeg.

“As a result, the committee remains in monitoring mode, assessing the impact of rate cuts on growth and how recent measures taken in the Autumn Budget could impact inflation.”

The bank’s job has been made that much harder by the government’s economic policies that are threatening to slow the pace of hiring when the changes to national insurance come into play.

In effect, today’s decision to cut rates by 0.25% is a move to bail out Rachel Reeves. 

Nonetheless, it is a welcome move for the UK economy, which should help spur activity.

Housebuilding shares soared after the interest rate cut announcement and joined the ranks of the already well-bid miners and overseas earners. Taylor Wimpey jumped 3%, and Persimmon added 2.5%.

AIM movers: GlobalData switching to Main Market and RA International leaving AIM due to disclosure requirements

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Data and analytics information provider GlobalData (LON: DATA) has announced a proposed move to the Main Market to enhance its profile and gain access to a broader range of investors. A £50m share buyback has commenced. The company proposes that chairman Murray Legg stay on for another three years to facilitate an orderly succession even though he has already been on the board for nine years. The share price improved 8.89% to 202p.

Cancer treatments developer Faron Pharma (LON: FARN) raised €12m in a placing at €1.72/share. Topline data from the phase II BEXMAB clinical trial for treating the aggressive hematological malignancies of acute myeloid leukemia and myelodysplastic syndrome is expected in April. The money will fund a continuation of the trial and prepare for an FDA meeting. There should be enough cash until the end of 2025. The share price rose 8.33% to 162.5p.

Seascape Energy Asia (LON: SEA) expects the farm-out of a 42.5% participating interest in the Block 2A production sharing contract to new operator Inpex Corporation should complete in the first quarter. That should boost cash balances to £10m. Annual corporate overheads are £3m. Seascape Energy Asia will retain a 10% interest. It is seeking other investment opportunities. The share price increased 7.35% to 36.5p.

Cambridge Nutritional Sciences (LON: CNSL) chair Carolyn Rand bought 100,000 shares at 3.59p each. The share price is 7.25% higher at 3.7p.

FALLERS

RA International (LON: RAI) directors have decided to ask for shareholder permission to leave AIM. The remote services provider to global organisations says that disclosure requirements hamper the business by enabling rivals have a greater insight into its strategy. Also, confidentiality agreements mean that it is difficult to provide investors with the information they want. Liquidity is poor because Soraya Narfeldt and Lars Narfeldt own more than 80% of RA International. Contract mobilisation delays are hampering trading, and a loss is expected for 2024. Costs will be reduced this year and non-core business could be sold for up to $5m. The share price dived 86.9% to 0.85p.

Cosmetics supplier Warpaint London (LON: W7L) says 2024 revenues were £102m and pre-tax profit £24m. These figures are slightly below the forecast. January revenues were 15% higher, which represents a slowdown in growth. Previous growth forecasts were higher. The share price slipped 17.4% to 439.5p.

Digital tech services provider TPXimpact (LON: TPX) says third quarter trading was in line with expectations, but contracts are slow in starting and building up which will hit the fourth quarter. Dowgate has cut 2024-25 revenues from £84m to £76m, which has led to a pre-tax profit downgrade to £2.8m. The UK government comprehensive spending review should be completed in June and spending should return to expected levels after that. The government wants to invest in digitisation and the spending will eventually ramp up. The share price slumped 17.2% to 26.5p.

Jubilee Metals (LON: JLP) says it has secured stable power for the Roan concentrator in Zambia. The plant had shut down in December because of lack of consistent power. This will affect copper production in the year to June 2025, although the company intends to process higher grade material. After a four-to-six week test on the higher grade material Jubilee Metals will issue full year copper production guidance. Zambia copper production guidance is currently 5,900-7,500t. The share price fell 3.89% to 3.95p.

Ex-dividends

Greencoat Renewables (LON: GRP) is paying a dividend of 1.69 eurocents/share and the share price fell 0.9 eurocents to 78.9 eurocents.

Renew Holdings (LON: RNWH) is paying a final dividend of 12.67p/share and the share price declined 2p to 720p.

Victorian Plumbing (LON: VIC) is paying a final dividend of 1.09p/share and the share price rose 0.25p to 105.25p.

Gfinity shares could have legs

Gfinity shares soared this week after the digital media company signed an exclusive licencing agreement with 0M Technology Solutions to commercialise a digital marketing technology, Connected IQ, targeted at the Connected TV market.

The company also raised £245,000 to fund the commercial rollout of the service, which will utilise AI to help improve the targeting of adverts across video formats.

“The funding allows us to continue our push into sectors which we think are exciting for the Company, namely Connected TV, Online Video and Artificial Intelligence,” said David Halley, CEO of Gfinity.

“In addition, through our commercialisation of CIQ, we will gain an experienced team of Data and AI specialists to support our development.”

Gfinity shares were up over 100% at one point on the day of the announcement. They could have further to run.

There are similarities between Gfinity and GenIP – a company we included in our Top 20 stock picks for 2025 – in that the companies have clear applications of AI that fix real-world problems. 

Their respective real-world problems are very different in that GenIP is providing solutions in the research organisation technology transfer space while Gfinity is setting its sights on video advertising. 

However, underpinning the investment case for both companies, there is a material underlying demand for their services, irrespective of the efficiencies created by AI.

Of course, Gfinity is a long way behind GenIP. Gfinity has only just licensed the technology. By their own admission, Gfinity knows it may not gain any real traction. But that doesn’t make it any less exciting.

Contextual advertising

The underlying problem for advertisers is privacy rules have diminished their ability to target specific audiences. Advertisers using networks like Google and Meta that relied on cookies to track activity about audiences based on their activity have had to rethink their approach. This has given rise to contextual advertising that focuses on placing adverts in settings their audience may visit.

Instead of chasing potential customers around the internet by targeting ads based on demographics and behaviour data provided by advertising platforms, advertisers are increasingly seeking out contextual placements, knowing their audience will likely visit that setting.

A review of Connected IQ’s website suggests they are setting out to improve the methodology involved in gauging the relevance of videos (or context) to advertise around.

The Connected TV advertising industry isn’t anything new. Serving video content to consumers with tailored and targeted ads has been around for years. There are many established players with slightly different services and approaches to the market. 

There is no longer a first-mover advantage in Connected TV. There is, however, an opportunity to disrupt the existing market with a solution powered by AI that produces better results for advertisers. 

The UK is home to a thriving advertising technology industry with dozens upon dozens of success stories. A good product will attract clients.

A word of caution: OM Technology is a new company that has yet to file first-year accounts, so the market has little information to gauge its success so far and whether there is any interest from the industry.

Director and shareholder stakebuilding

The involvement of Robert Keith is certainly interesting. The businessman has been increasing his stake in the company and clearly had a strategy to turn the ailing e-sports group around.

Gfinity’s technology is licensed from a company that Robert Keith controls. The way the deal and the licensing agreement have been structured is notable because it allows Gfinity to take the AI Connected TV technology to market without a significant capital outlay by Gfinity to develop the technology.

Investors will also note CEO David Halley has consistently increased his stake in the company since his appointment. This is highly encouraging.

One shouldn’t forget that Gfinity still has the revenue-generating media business. The restructuring of the business to strip out costs means this could actually be profitable this year.

Gfinity’s recent rally means that it is no longer priced to delist or go into administration. However, the current £2m market cap doesn’t reflect the opportunity for the launch of the new business or the long-awaited profitability of its esports media business.

BBGI Global Infrastructure agrees takeover deal, shares soar

British Columbia Investment Management Corporation (BCI) has agreed to acquire BBGI Global Infrastructure S.A. in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately £1.06 billion.

The deal, which has received unanimous recommendation from BBGI’s supervisory and management boards, will see shareholders receive 147.5 pence in cash for each share held.

BBGI Global Infrastructure shares surged 17% on the news.

The offer represents a significant premium of 21.1% over BBGI’s closing share price of 121.8% on 5 February 2025 and a 20.1% premium to the company’s three-month volume-weighted average share price.

BBGI Global Infrastructure shares have struggled over the past year and it has traded at a significant discount to the value of the underlying value of its portfolio of infrastructure and public assets in the UK, Europe and Canada.

The portfolio contains assets such as the A7 Motorway in Germany, Avon & Somerset Police Headquarters, and the Ayrshire and Arran Hospital.

Ultimately, the offer is an attractive opportunity for shareholders to realise the value of their holdings in cash. The boards concluded that the offer exceeds the reasonable medium-term prospects for BBGI as a standalone business.

BCI, one of Canada’s largest institutional investors with CAD $250 billion in assets under management, will make the acquisition through its Infrastructure & Renewable Resources programme. The investment giant manages a diverse portfolio of public and private market investments on behalf of British Columbia’s public pension fund and institutional clients.

The Canadian investment firm cited BBGI’s high-quality portfolio of core infrastructure assets and its development platform as key attractions, noting these align well with BCI’s strategy of achieving long-term stable returns within a low to moderate-risk framework. objectives with greater flexibility and access to capital.

Share Tip: Greencore Group – it is now time to bite into this group’s shares, its growth continues making them undervalued at 192.60p, brokers TP 250p 

Just two months ago the shares of this £807m-capitalised leading convenience food manufacturing group were trading at 225p, yesterday they fell back to just 183p, however this morning they have shown some good price recovery. 
Whether that was in reaction to the unsettled ‘Trade Tariff’ markets or was it possibly following the group yesterday holding a Capital Markets Event for analysts and institutional investors, its first since September 2019. 
Whatever may have been the real reason my reaction is that investors should now be using the fall-back to top up their holdings in the Gre...