Marks & Spencer shares soar on bumper half year results

Marks and Spencer has reported strong half-year results, with profit before tax and adjusting items rising 17.2% to £407.8m for the 26 weeks ended September 28, 2024. The retail giant saw significant growth in its food division, where sales increased by 8.1%, while Clothing & Home sales grew by 4.7%.

Marks & Spencer shares were over 4% higher at the time of writing.

The company’s statutory profit before tax reached £391.9m, up from £325.6m in the previous year. Food operations proved particularly successful, with adjusted operating profit climbing to £213.1m from £158.4m, achieving a margin of 5.1%.

Despite ongoing cost inflation running ahead of price increases and an uncertain consumer environment, M&S has maintained market share growth in both food and clothing sectors. The retailer’s food division has now recorded four consecutive years of volume and value share growth, while its clothing segment has achieved monthly market share growth over the same period.

Looking ahead, M&S executives were clearly conscious of risks to business from economic uncertainty but were fairly upbeat, noting that trading in the first five weeks of the second half remains on track.

There were some softness, the international division faced headwinds, with constant currency sales declining by 10.3% and adjusted operating profit falling to £15.2m from £32.4m in the previous year. The company has initiated an international reset under new leadership to address these challenges.

Share Tip: Sosandar – New agreement with NEXT will boost this group’s brand awareness, and its profitability, shares now 9.90p, brokers TP 31p 

Getting your brand name out there is so important for any company looking to score retail success. 
Although headlines may tell you otherwise, it never happens overnight, it is a slow process getting noticed and then acclaimed. 
So yesterday’s news from Sosandar (LON:SOS), that it has signed a licensing agreement with NEXT should prove very beneficial for the women’s fashion brand. 
It will not show through immediately but probably by this time next year good signals could be expected. 
Sosandar is an established women's fashion brand in the UK, targeting style conscious wo...

Dollar and US stocks soar as Trump claims ‘magnificent’ victory

The dollar and US equities are early winners of the US election. The inflationary trade sent the dollar to its highest level since July, and US treasury yields soared.

S&P 500 futures were nearly 2% higher on hopes of tax cuts.

The difficult thing for markets to contend with is US yields rising alongside equities. Higher yields are not usually conducive to higher equity prices, so one will likely fall back in line before long.

The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later today will shed more light on where interest rates will go in the near term, although today’s election result could make any prepared predictions redundant. The dot-plot chart is likely to shift after Trump’s victory.

“Investors are bracing for tariffs and a clamp down on immigration, policies considered to be inflationary which are likely to mean interest rates may be more elevated in the years to come,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Trump’s more renegade approach to trade is likely to push the US further away from global institutions and the rules-based order built up over many decades.”

Gold has been a popular ‘Trump trade’, yet the precious metals complex was down slightly as Trump took to the stage to claim victory, the stronger dollar weighing on prices.

The stronger dollar could have wide-reaching implications; some emerging markets may suffer as a result, but there will be many benefactors, not least FTSE 100 overseas earners.

The FTSE 100 was higher, helped by dollar earners and companies with exposure to the US. Barclays, with extensive operations in the US, shares soared 4%. Many of the precious miners were weaker in early trade in London.

Tesla shares were well bid in the US premarket as investors cheered the benefits of Trump’s tariffs on the EV maker.

One of the biggest losers from today’s developments are Chinese stocks. The Hang Sang was deeply in the red, with a fresh trade war potentially on the horizon. 

Tekcapital’s Innovative Eyewear secures partnership with Berkshire Hathaway’s NFM

Tekcapital’s Innovative Eyewear has announced its Lucyd smart eyewear will now be sold at Tekcapital’s Innovative Eyewear secures partnership with Berkshire Hathaway’s Nebraska Furniture Mart (NFM), with products available in stores across the mid-west from Black Friday.

The placement is the latest in a series of partnerships revealed by Innovative Eyewear that cement an extensive distribution network spanning multiple online retailers and brick-and-mortar stores.

NFM operates big-box stores in Omaha, Nebraska, Des Moines, Iowa, Kansas City, Kansas, and Texas. Several of these stores will soon offer Lucyd eyewear, which Lucyd digital display boards will promote.

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has a majority stake in Nebraska Furniture Mart (NFM), one of the US’s most prominent consumer goods stores. In 1983, Buffett famously bought the stake in the company based solely on his experience of the store, foregoing the extensive due diligence usually associated with such deals.

Berkshire Hathaway shareholders are offered discounts at NFM stores during specific periods of the year.

In recent years, NFM has diversified into a range of consumer goods, including children’s toys and personal care products. Lucyd’s placement will fall under the personal care and wellness lines NFM is actively expanding.

This partnership will provide another vital distribution channel for Lucyd’s existing designs, including the recently launched smart safety eyewear, and the Reebok-licensed smart eyewear, due to be launched in the coming months.

“NFM is a highly regarded and well-established retailer, and we are thrilled to work with an esteemed Berkshire Hathaway company,” said Harrison Gross, CEO of Innovative Eyewear.

“NFM has provided a destination shopping experience for nearly a century, and I believe their passion for groundbreaking retail experiences is an excellent match for our unique designer smart eyewear. We believe this new category represents an important step forward in eyewear, providing safer, open-ear audio for active lifestyles, and wearable utility that makes information and communications more accessible. This holiday season, go to NFM Optical to Upgrade Your Eyewear®.”

The partnership comes as NFM ramps up its efforts to grow its wellness business and increase its online presence.

“With the recent expansion into the Wellness sector with NFM Optical, we are able to provide cutting edge technology and new and innovative optical solutions to our customers,” said Rob Roggeveen, Senior Optical Buyer at NFM.

“Lucyd’s selection of smart eyewear offers another level of service that we can offer our prescription and non-prescription Optical customers. This is something special that opens up a whole new world for eyeglass wearers.”

FTSE 100 dips as investors brace for US election

The FTSE 100 gave up gains on Tuesday as investors braced for the US election and potential volatility that could ensue as results come tomorrow.

The race has been too tight to call, with polls split and a deeply polarising election campaign showing little sign of a clear favourite. As a result, investors have been reluctant to make big bets, opting to reduce exposure to equities and await the results—whenever they may be.

The FTSE 100 was trading down 0.1% as the dollar weakened against the pound and gold found support.

‘Trump trades’, including long bitcoin and gold, faced pressure yesterday after an election poll from Iowa suggested Harris was the favourite in the historical Trump stronghold. These trades are slightly recovering today.

“Gold prices remained stable as investors were cautious ahead of the US presidential election,” said Ruben Ferreira – Head of Portuguese Operations at FlowCommunity.

“The possibility of delayed election results could introduce additional market uncertainty in the coming days and could fuel some volatility in gold prices.”

The FTSE 100 took a clear risk-off tone on Tuesday, with defensive shares, including BT Group, Severn Trent, and United Utilities, outperforming. Declines in some overseas earners reflected uncertainty about what the dollar could do after the election.

“The fact both defensive sectors including utilities and tobacco and cyclical sectors such as miners were in demand would suggest that investors might be hedging their bets ahead of the US election result. A series of broker upgrades for the UK utilities sector also helped,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“A contested election result could cause volatility on the markets which theoretically would see defensive stocks provide some portfolio ballast. Equally, a clear winner quickly after voting ends could provide some relief to investors and keep markets trucking along.

“Whether that remains the case a few days later is uncertain as investors haven’t priced in a particular win yet, and there will be good and bad points to digest for markets if either Donald Trump or Kamala Harris wins. Once investors have had time to consider the new lay of the land, there will almost certainly be shifts in investment portfolios.”

AB Foods was the top riser in early trade on Tuesday as investors digested a 32% jump in profits and further growth for Primark. Unfortunately, the strong gains of the morning session didn’t last, and ABF shares were just 0.9% higher at the time of writing.

“Associated British Foods is a company that really knows what it is doing. It understands its audience – particularly for its Primark chain – and it makes sensible long-term decisions to help drive long-term growth,” Russ Mould said.

“What is notable is the company achieved a strong set of results despite Primark in the UK being affected by a wet summer which, for a business reliant on footfall, was less than ideal. This was made up for by strong progress in overseas markets, lending credence to the idea the Primark offering can be a success outside of its domestic market.

AIM movers: Aferian recovering and Kodal Minerals Joint venture dispute

2

Video streaming technology supplier Aferian (LON: AFRN) says second half revenues should be one-fifth higher than those of the first half. Combined with cost reductions, this should mean that second half adjusted EBITDA of $2m. Net debt is reducing. The share price recovered 69.2% to 5.5p.

Broadband services provider Bigblu Broadband (LON: BBB) admits that it is in discussions with Salter Brothers on a possible sale of the SkyMesh subsidiary. The transaction is subject to final terms and financing. This would be the latest asset disposal for Bigblu Broadband. The share price improved 37.3% to 35p.

In content advertising technology developer Mirriad Advertising (LON: MIRI) says that its virtual product placement technology has helped a US advertiser to increase average transaction value by 51%. There was a 27 times increase in shopping compared with TV advertising. This provided a seven figure return on investment. The share price rebounded 5.45% to 0.29p.

Sustainable ingredients supplier Itaconix (LON: ITX) traded strongly in the third quarter and it is reducing its dependence on the cleaning sector. Full year revenues will be at the upper end of guidance of $6m-$6.5m. Revenues are getting back to the level they were before Itaconix shed low margin business. The share price rose 5.45% to 145p.

FALLERS

Kodal Minerals (LON: KOD) joint venture partner Hainan Mining says that the $15m owed to the Mali government should be paid by Kodal Minerals and not the joint venture that owns the Bougouni lithium project. Kodal Minerals disagrees. The share price slumped 25.8% to 0.29p.

Synergia Energy (LON: SYN) has raised £632,500 at 0.05p/share. There has also been the conversion of £296,000 of loans and £83,000 of fees into shares. The shares come with a warrant exercisable at 0.1p each. This provides funding for the Medway Hub Camelot carbon capture and storage joint venture with Harbour Energy. Synergia Energy wants to farm out up to 25% of the project. There should be a significant increase in production at the Cambay PSC from the second quarter of next year. The share price dived 22.2% to 0.0525p.

Fabless silicon chip designer and manufacturer EnSilica (LON: ENSI) slipped into loss in the year to May 2024, but there are already contracts in place for a bounce back to profit this year. EnSilica generates cash from operations, but it spent £6.1m on capitalised development. Chip supply generated flat revenues of £2.9m out of group revenues of £25.3m, up from £20.5m in the previous year. Chip supply revenues should start to build up from this year and that will sharply boost profitability. It can take two years or more for chip supply to begin and then production is built up to its peak, so there is built in growth for many years. Singer forecasts a 2024-25 pre-tax profit of £2.7m, doubling to £5.5m next year. The share price slipped 7.77% to 47.5p, which is six times prospective 2025-26 earnings. In May, the company raised £5.2m at 45p/share.

Supercapacitors developer CAP-XX (LON: CPX) has raised the full £275,000 from the retail offer and that means that £2.8m has been raised in total at 0.11p/share. The cash will fund product development and boost sales resource. The share price declined 5.26% to 0.135p.

SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE) is working with Proteus Marine Renewables, SKFMarine and GE Verona for the supply of tidal generation systems for the next phase of the MeyGen tidal generation project. The share price fell 7.5% to 1.85p.

Braemar – A sale or a purchase ahead of tomorrow’s interims? Either way the group looks wide open to a predator while its shares, now 248p, are so cheap, brokers TP 380p 

Are the shares of Braemar (LON:BMS) a ‘sell’ before tomorrow morning’s Interim Results are announced? 
After a recently lowered guidance, the six months to the end of August this year are expected to show almost stand-still revenues of £75m (£74.9m), while the half-time underlying operating profit is likely to be gently better at £7.6m. 
The £78m capitalised group, which is a leading provider of expert investment, chartering and risk management advice to the shipping and energy markets, is hoping to see a better second half-year. 
The Business 
The group is the second-large...

Aferian sales jump on new business orders

Aferian plc has reported significant growth momentum in the second half of 2024, with revenue expected to be approximately 20% higher compared to the first half of the year.

This growth has been driven by new business wins and increased sales orders, primarily fueled by growing market demand for enhanced video streaming experiences across multiple sectors.

“We are encouraged by the strong performance in the second half of the year, with increased sales orders and new business wins across the Group. Combined with our cost reduction efforts and improved cash flow, we are well-positioned to close the year on a positive note and drive sustained growth into the future,” said Mark Carlisle, CEO of Aferian plc.

The company’s improved performance in H2 has translated into positive financial metrics, with adjusted EBITDA expected to reach approximately $2 million. This improvement reflects both the revenue growth and the successful implementation of cost reduction measures initiated earlier in the year.

Looking at the bigger picture, Aferian’s strategic focus on meeting consumer demand for improved video streaming solutions continues to drive business expansion. The company anticipates a reduction in net debt by year-end, supported by realized cost savings and enhanced working capital management, which have contributed to improved free cash flow generation in the second half of the year.

ASOS shares dive despite announcing year of progress in inventory management and cashflow

ASOS shares slipped in early trade on Tuesday despite the online fashion retailer announcing final results on Tuesday that demonstrated a year of progress and delivery on goals to reduce inventory and refocus on fashion.

ASOS has reported significant financial improvements in its latest results, with adjusted EBITDA reaching £80.1m in FY24, positioning at the upper end of market expectations.

The company achieved a remarkable turnaround in free cash flow, generating £37.7m, representing a £250.7m improvement compared to the previous year. This enhancement was supported by comprehensive refinancing and the establishment of a Topshop and Topman joint venture.

ASOS has completed a substantial stock clearance program, reducing inventory levels by approximately 50% since FY22 to £520m. This reduction included a £100m write-down as part of the transition to a new commercial model. The company has significantly improved its stock profile, with aged inventory reduced by 75% year-on-year and more than 80% of current stock less than six months old.

“Asos is executing its “back-to-fashion” strategy by shifting its focus from dresses to a more balanced mix of casual wear, athleisure, and everyday styles,” said Yanmei Tang, Analyst at Third Bridge.

“This change not only enhances profitability but also allows for a wider range of trends and storytelling in marketing. By refining its offerings, Asos aims to attract a diverse customer base, from aspiring teenagers to style-conscious thirty-somethings.

“Asos has shifted its focus from rapid sales growth to profitability, reducing stock and emphasizing products with higher contributions. While this may hurt short-term sales, our experts believe it’s a smart move for long-term sustainability, especially in challenging markets like the US and Germany, where returns can be high.”

Looking ahead to FY25, ASOS projects substantial margin improvements, forecasting at least a 300 basis point increase in gross margin to exceed 46%. The company expects adjusted EBITDA to grow by at least 60% to between £130m and £150m, despite an anticipated £10m to £20m negative impact from the Topshop and Topman joint venture in its first year. Free cash flow is expected to remain neutral, with capital expenditure projected at £130m and cash interest costs of £35m.

In the medium term, ASOS aims to achieve a gross margin of approximately 50% through increased full-price sales and flexible stock models. The company plans to reduce capital expenditure to 3-4% of sales and targets an adjusted EBITDA margin of around 8%.

Management expects these improvements, combined with enhanced profitability and cash flow, to contribute to reduced net debt and interest levels over time.

The ASOS share price was down over 49ers % at the time of writing.

Stronger commodities and banks help lift FTSE 100 ahead of election

The FTSE 100 was stronger ahead of the US election this week, with firmer oil prices helping lift the oil majors and hopes of further stimulus by China supporting interest in mining companies.

Banks were again higher as investors adjusted to the revised trajectory for UK interest rates after the budget. London’s leading index was 0.6% higher at 8,228 at the time of writing.

NatWest was the top riser with a gain of 3% with BT and Frasers Group not far behind.

“After a difficult few days, the FTSE 100 got off to a steady start on Monday as resources and China-linked stocks made progress,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Lawmakers in Beijing are sitting down this week to thrash out a big stimulus package to accelerate an economy which has been spluttering since the pandemic. Top of the agenda is addressing the issue of local government debt but also providing support to households who, unlike those in the West, received precious little support during Covid.

“This fiscal package is essentially what the market has been waiting for, ever since China fired the starting gun on stimulus in September. As ever, the devil is likely to be in the detail. 

“News that oil producers’ cartel OPEC+ would delay hikes in output through December helped give oil prices a lift and, in turn, provided a tailwind to heavyweight oil stocks Shell and BP.”

US Election

If anyone wasn’t aware, this week’s big risk event is the US election. A Trump victory is likely to be considered inflationary and damaging to international trade, ultimately culminating in a bearish tone for equities. A Harris victory and the avoidance of the risk presented by Donald Trump will almost certainly be seen as a positive and spark a relief rally.

However, while a consensus is building around the market playbook after the election, who actually wins is still anyone’s guess.

The Harris camp benefited from a favourable poll in a critical state over the weekend, but it is still too close to call.

“As Republicans and Democrats embark on a last-minute surge of campaigning, some of the big Trump ‘plays’ on the markets have lost ground. Investors are reassessing Donald Trump’s chances of re-entering the White House, given polls which emerged over the weekend, indicating Kamala Harris may have gained ground in key battle ground states,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The dollar has fallen back slightly, as the chances of Trump setting off a fresh tariff frenzy, pushing up inflation and interest rates, seem to have retreated a little. Bitcoin, which had also made strides of progress as markets priced in a Trump win, given his pro-crypto stance, has also continued to dip back. But this election is still far too close to call, so considerable swings in prices are likely as the results ebb in.”