AIM movers: Environmental approval problem for Emmerson and Steppe Cement recovers

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Steppe Cement (LON: STCM) revenues improved in the third quarter, although the nine-month revenues are still 2% lower. The average price received for cement is still lower than one year ago, although higher than the previous quarter, and volumes are steady this year. Production has increased due to capital investment and that is spreading the cost. There was cash of $11m on 7 October. The company is maintaining its 15% share of the Kazakhstan cement market. The share price improved 19.2% to 15.5p.

On Friday evening, retailer and brand owner Frasers Group (LON: FRAS) announced a revised proposed bid for Mulberry (LON: MUL) of 150p/share in cash, up from 130p/share previously. The conditions still include unanimous recommendation by the Mulberry board, plus irrevocable undertakings by the directors and Chalice, which owns 56.4%. Chalice says that it has no interest in selling shares, but the Mulberry board is considering the offer. The share price increased 13.3% to 127.5p.

Trading in Germany-focused oil and gas company Beacon Energy (LON: BCE) shares has recommenced after the publication of the 2023 annual report and the latest interim results. There was a first half cash outflow from operations of £1.93m. There was cash of £1.4m at the end of June 2024. The Erfelden prospect has estimated recoverable reserves of 7.2 million barrels. The share price recovered 7.69% to 0.007p.

Good Energy (LON: GOOD) investee company Zapmap has entered a strategic partnership with energy saving company Hive. This will enable Hive customers to charge their electric vehicles. They will receive charging credit of £20 for Zap-Pay-enabled chargers. The Hive app and Zapmap platform could be brought together. The share price rose 6.63% to 281.5p.

FALLERS

Emmerson (LON: EML) says that the regional authority in Morocco have made an unfavourable environmental recommendation relating to the Khemisset potash project. The full decision is not yet available. Emmerson had previously appealed against the regional authority’s decision not to approve the project under environmental grounds. The share price has slumped 74% to 0.675p.

Armadale Capital (LON: ACP) proposes a cancellation of the AIM quotation because it believes that being public does not benefit the company because of the costs. Armadale Capital needs to reduce the cash burn and sell non-core assets. The resources company can be more flexible as a private company. The share price has fallen by three-quarters to 0.05p.

It is taking time to build up sales of the EpiSwitch EPE prostate test in the US and Oxford BioDynamics (LON: OBD) is reducing costs so that its cash lasts longer. Management is taking part of their salary in shares. Other diagnostic tests could be licenced or sold to raise money. Spinning off the US business is another option. There will be an update in January. The share price dived 47.8% to 1.91p.

Plastic products supplier Coral Products (LON: CRU) says higher-margin business is weak and it no longer expects to make a profit this year. Telecoms, household products packaging and automotive sectors are the poorest performing. Customers are being maintained. The forecast pre-tax profit of £1.8m has been turned into a £400,000 loss with a modest return to profit next year. Cavendish has cut its target price from 25.2p to 14p. The share price slipped 30.3% to 5.75p.

Security technology developer Thruvision (LON: THRU) chief executive Colin Evans has left following a trading update that has led to downgrades. The timing of customs orders has hit expectations. Revenues have been cut from £10.9m to £9m and that would mean a loss of £2.2m. Tom Black is taking over the running of the company until a new chief executive is appointed. The interims will be reported on 24 October. There is a one-quarter dip in the share price to 12p.

Frasers Group – The Duo That Obviously Need Little Sleep, Making Deals Apace, They Have To Be Followed Closely – boohoo, THG, Mulberry, Shopping Centres etc 

I have met many, perhaps too many, company bosses that put in little effort into their businesses and expect it all to happen for them. 

However, I have never met Mike Ashley or his son-in-law Michael Murray but I have an immense admiration for their efforts to drive value for Frasers Group (LON:FRAS) shareholders, especially for Ashley with 73% of the £3.65bn group’s equity. 

A veritable myriad of interests lie within the Frasers portfolio, with brand names inside including Sports Direct, House of Fraser, Flannels, 18 Montrose, Amara Living, Evans Cycles, Everlast and Everlast Gyms, Frasers, Game & Belong, Gieves & Hawkes, I Saw It First, Jack Wills, Slazenger, Sofa.Com, Studio, USA Pro, USC, Agent Provocateur, Donnay, Camprio, Carlton, Game, karrimor, Firetrap, GUL, gelert, Lillywhites, Lonsdale, MuddyFox, LA Gear, scott, Nevica, Sondico, SoulCal & Co, Tessuiti and Van Mildert – the list seems endless. 

And all the above are just its direct retail interests – however, Ashley, through Frasers has investment stakes in AO World, Currys, Hugo Boss, THG, boohoo Group, ASOS, and more. 

Of late Mike Ashley has also been getting stuck into buying up shopping centres, just at a time when so many groups are closing down High Street shops all over the country. 

Frasers Group CEO Michael Murray has commented that the group is striving to re-invent and elevate retail for UK shoppers, bringing the very best brands, environments and experiences to all of Frasers’ customers across the country. 

It has recently purchased the 600,000 sq.ft. Princesshay Shopping Centre in Exeter, the Fremlin Walk Shopping Centre in Kent and the 65,000 sq.ft. Olympus Centre retail park in Gloucester. 

Murray stated that: 

“The acquisition of Princesshay, Fremlin Walk and The Olympus Centre reinforces our commitment to investing in physical retail. 

Securing properties which serve as the primary retail destination for the community remains a top priority for us.  

Such acquisitions unlock new growth opportunities for our retail concepts, while revitalising high streets and physical shopping locations up and down the country.” 

But just buying up properties across the UK is not enough for the dynamic duo. 

Last week alone Frasers added to its holding in the Mulberry Group (LON:MUL), as I featured on Monday of last week, despite having been rejected in its 130p a share proposed offer for the handbag company. 

Hours after the market closed on Friday night, it put out a statement with reference to making a Possible Cash Offer for the Somerset-based leathergoods company. 

It has stated that it is considering making a 150p a share cash offer for the balance of the Mulberry equity that it does not already own, but it needs acceptance of the proposal first of all from Ong Beng Seng’s Challice Limited, which controls 56% of the stock, against Frasers’ 37% stake. 

Frasers stated that it believes that the £10m recent Subscription for the group will not be enough, it is Frasers’ belief that this will likely lead to another capitalisation event within the medium-term timeframe unless there is immediate and very real change at the company. 

Emphasising its intentions, Frasers stated that despite Mulberry’s catastrophic results, its necessity for emergency funding, and difficult market backdrop, Frasers strongly believes it can provide the appropriate insulation and investment to support a much-loved British brand.  

As part of the Frasers portfolio, the Mulberry brand would be provided with the platform to ensure its long-term survival and success. 

We will await the response from Challice to see how the situation plays out. 

Frasers Group shares are trading at around 811p, valuing it at £3.65bn, while Mulberry Group closed at 112.5p on Friday night, capitalising it at £78.8m. 

On another front, last Thursday, Frasers declared that it was making a £10m strategic investment in Matt Moulding’s THG scheme to spin-off its Ingenuity technology arm. 

Good Energy Group – Latest Solar Acquisition Should Be Helping To Heat Up This Group’s Share Price, Brokers See Them Worth Double 

Earlier this month Good Energy Group (LON:GOOD), the 100% renewable electricity supplier and leading innovator in clean energy services, announced that it was paying up to £6m for the acquisition of Amelio Enterprises. 

Trading as Amelio Solar, it is a Lincolnshire-based solar installation company with a strong presence in the commercial solar sector and extensive experience in education and public sector projects. 

This deal looks like a strategic fit into Good Energy, which has a vision of powering a cleaner, greener future by making it simple to generate, use and share clean energy, as it looks to expand its capability in decentralised energy services by significantly widening its geographical presence in the solar installation market. 

In its year to end-December 2023, Amelio Solar reported revenue of £7.1m and a pre-tax profit of £1.4m. 

On making the Amelio acquisition CEO Nigel Pocklington stated that: 

“Amelio Solar is a perfect fit for Good Energy as we continue to grow our clean energy service offerings, especially in the commercial and public sectors where demand for solar installations remains strong and less susceptible to the cyclical fluctuations seen in the domestic market.   

Amelio Solar’s proven ability to deliver large, complex solar projects will enable us to better support businesses and public sector bodies in cutting their carbon emissions, while positioning Good Energy as a leader in commercial solar solutions.” 

Management Comment 

In mid-September, when announcing the group’s unaudited results for the six months to end-June, Pocklington stated that: 

“As the energy supply market has normalised, we have shown strong profitability in the first half of the year, whilst our expansion into energy services is showing promise as we consolidate our offer to customers. 

Having completed three acquisitions in the clean energy installation services space we are now offering solar, storage, heat pumps and EV charging across the South - a trusted, truly green brand offering whole greener home and business solutions.  

Good Energy is established as the microgeneration specialist, with a significant market share of rooftop solar customers, leading export tariff rates and premium installation services. 

In a favourable policy environment promising an imminent ‘rooftop revolution’ as the new government accelerates the clean energy transition, Good Energy is well placed for growth.” 

Analyst’s Views 

At Canaccord Genuity Capital Markets, analyst Alex Brooks likes the Amelio acquisition and rates the group’s shares as a Buy, with a 500p ‘sum of the parts’ Price Objective. 

His current year estimates to end-December are for revenues of £203.5m (£254.7m) but with pre-tax profits of £6.7m (£5.7m), lifting earnings to 26.1p (17.0p) and upping its dividend to 3.6p (3.3p) per share. 

For 2025 Brooks goes for £213.3m sales, £10.8m profits, and 45.8p earnings, with just a 3.9p dividend per share. 

At Panmure Liberum, analyst Joe Brent has estimates for current year sales of £197m, £6.3m profits, 25.8p earnings and paying a 3.4p dividend. 

For 2025, he looks for £197m in sales, £10.1m in profits, 41.1p earnings, and a dividend of 3.8p per share. 

He rates the Amelio deal as attractive and consistent with Good Energy’s strategy for its Energy-as-a-Service (EaaS) policy. 

Panmure’s Price objective is 550p a share. 

In My View 

Based upon the broker’s estimates, this group’s shares, at just 264p, look to be a cracking one-year investment, which could well see them put on 50% in price and, even then, still look cheap. 

Ramsdens Holdings – The Shares Of This Diversified Financial Services Group Look Far Too Cheap On Just 8 Times PE, Broker Price Aim Is 305p, Now 207.5p 

Two months ago I wrote about, what I considered to be, the attractions of investing in the shares of Ramsdens Holdings (LON:RFX), the specialist lending group. 

That was on Tuesday 6th August, after the pawnbroker and jeweller had reported a positive Trading Update for its year to end-September. 

The Business 

The Middlesbrough based group, which is FCA authorised for its pawnbroking and credit broking activities, operates some 169 stores in the UK, which also includes one franchised store, additionally it also has a growing online presence.  

The group defines itself as a growing, diversified, financial services provider and retailer, operating in four core business segments: foreign currency exchange, pawnbroking loans, precious metals buying and selling, and the retailing of second hand and new jewellery.  

Pre-Close Trading Update 

Ahead of announcing its Final Results for the year to end-September, due on 14th January next year, the group last Thursday issued some corporate information about its trading in the last year. 

In August it informed the market that it had enjoyed another year of record performance. 

It now expects to report profit before tax of at least £11m (FY23: £10.1m) and noted that its positive trading momentum sets the business up well for continued growth in FY25. 

Management Comment 

CEO Peter Kenyon stated that: 

“We’re pleased with the record profit performance in FY24.   

All key income streams are growing and we have optimism for further progress in FY25. 

This performance once again demonstrates the strength of our diversified business model which underpins our long-term growth strategy.” 

Analyst’s Views 

At Panmure Liberum, its analysts – James Allen, Joe Byrne and Rae Maile – rate the group’s shares as a Buy. 

They have set a Price Objective of 305p on its shares. 

The analysts are estimating that the 2024 year will have seen some £95m (£84m) in sales, with pre-tax profits rising to £11.2m (£10.1m), lifting earnings to 25.6p (24.0p) and its dividend to 11.2p (10.4p) per share. 

For the year just started they anticipate £97m of sales, £11.2m profits, 25.7p earnings and a dividend of 11.4p a share. 

The analysts conclude their note after yesterday’s statement by stating that: 

“We retain our BUY recommendation and 305p target price, based on a blend of a FY 25 P/E valuation and a dividend discount model.  

The shares are trading on a modest CY 24 P/E of 8.0x.  

We think that is too cheap when closest peer H&T is on 7.2x, Ramsdens has a more diversified operating model, and has a better track record of delivering upgrades.  

A dividend yield of 5.5% is also much higher than the c.4% average since listing.” 

In My View 

The shares of Ramsdens Holdings, at 207.5p, are looking far too cheap on just 8 times historic earnings, and on such an attractive 5.4% yield. 

I can certainly understand why the Panmure Liberum analysts rate them as a Buy.  

In my view, I would suggest that an early rise to 245p or thereabouts is more than possible. 

Harland & Wolff Group Holdings – Could A Spanish State Rescue Be On The Horizon 

It may be of little comfort to shareholders of the Belfast-based shipyard group Harland & Wolff (LON:HARL), but over the weekend, we have learned that one of its ‘partners’ is interested in taking the company out of its Administration state. 

The Spanish State-controlled Navantia Group is said to be in ‘exclusive’ talks with Teneo, the H&W Administrators, about some sort of deal that could be good news for the shipyard group’s 1,000 workers. 

The Madrid-based Navantia group designs and builds military and civilian ships with high technology and innovation. 

Its ‘SMARTShips’ address the essential elements for new ships over the next decade or two, as they look to explore and incorporate innovations to anticipate Navantia’s response on new threats, new linked operations between services, new materials and production methods, reduced crew operation, new propulsion and energy generation concepts, new combat systems, extensive use of UxV, and new and enhanced sensors and communication systems. 

H&W and Navantia are partners in a £1.6bn Government programme concerning the construction and supply of three Fleet Solid Support tanker ships for the Royal Fleet Auxiliary, which is believed to be worth some £700m to H&W. 

The RFA requires the FSS ships to support the two new Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carriers with food and munitions. 

Navantia is believed to have already made available some lines of emergency funding to H&W so as to enable the shipyards to continue their operations, while alternatives are under investigation. 

Of importance to both Teneo and H&W is the pressure caused by its debt negotiations with Riverstone Holdings over repayment of the $140m high-interest facility that has been taken out by the Belfast group. 

Realistically, rumours suggest, Riverstone may well have to take a partial hit on any time-delayed settlement.

Frasers increases bid proposal

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After the close on Friday, retailer and brand owner Frasers Group (LON: FRAS) announced a revised proposed bid for AIM-quoted Mulberry (LON: MUL) of 150p/share in cash. This is well above the original proposal of 130p/share and the 100p subscription price in the funding that raised just over £10m, including £392,000 from a retail offer. The current share price is 112.5p.

Frasers currently holds 37.3% of Bath-based brand owner Mulberry after clawing back some of the shares in the subscription that were going to be taken up by Chalice, which owns 56.7%.

The conditions still include unanimous recommendation by the Mulberry board, plus irrevocable undertakings by the directors and Chalice. It is also dependent on due diligence. Frasers does say that it can choose to waive any of the conditions, although Chalice is the majority shareholder, so its acceptance is key.

Mulberry fell into loss in the year to March 2024. Even stripping out restructuring and impairment charges, the loss was £22.6m on revenues 4% lower at £152.8m. Net debt was £23.7m at the end of March 2024.

In the first five months of the new financial year revenues have declined 18%. Andrea Baldo became chief executive on 1 September.

New listing: Fairview plans school purchases

Fairview International was set up to buy two international schools in Malaysia and it is seeking more acquisitions in Asia and the UK. New schools could also be developed.
Management believes that there may be opportunities to acquire underperforming schools in the UK. These would be schools that appeal to the Asian market. There are already mergers in the UK private schools sector. The proposed removal of exemption from VAT has been taken into account.
The share price started at 11p and kept at this level for the whole of the first day of trading when 10,000 shares were traded.
Fairview Inter...

Director deals: New boss investing in Alpha Group International

Foreign exchange and financial services provider Alpha Group International (LON: ALPH) has recently become a constituent of the FTSE 250 index. Clive Kahn has bought 25,000 shares at 2085p each. This follows on from purchases of 25,000 shares at 2207p each, 25,000 shares at 2117p each and 50,000 shares at 2077p each.
Chairman Clive Kahn, who recently sold his payments business to Global Payments, is taking over from Morgan Tillbrook as chief executive at the beginning of 2025. Morgan Tillbrook says he will retain a shareholding of at least 10% for three years. He has even bought 10,471 shares ...

Aquis weekly movers: ProBiotix Health increases sales and signs up partner in Mexico

Cardio health probiotics products developer ProBiotix Health (PBX) increased sales by 39% to £1.53m and the gross profit margin is stable in the nine months to September 2024. This is due to a recent product launch on Amazon and in 2,000 Target stores. A commercial partnership with Mexico-based Raff should generate commercial sales of LP LDL as an ingredient in new products by late 2005/early 2006. There is no need for further funding. The company has appointed Frederik Bruhn-Petersen as a non-exec director. He represents the new 21% shareholder Holdingselskabet af 29. Juni 2010 Aps. The share price increased 52.9% to 6.5p.

SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) has secured a patent for a range of formulations to reduce emissions in Saudi Arabia. Trading in the shares has commenced on the OTCQX trading facility in the US. The share price rose 2.63% to 39p.

Phoenix Digital Assets (LON: PNIX) has bought a further 2.588 million shares at between 4.6p/share and 4.65p/share. The share price improved 1.09% to 4.65p.

Bitcoin mining company Vinanz (BTC) has added five Bitmain Antminer S21 Pro 234 Terahash (TH/s) machines to its fleet in Nebraska, which has attractive power costs. The share price edged up 0.97% to 13p.

FALLERS

California Two Pizza Ventures Inc has taken a 23.9% in Pitch Pit (PICH). The share price slumped 41.7% to 0.035p.

Ananda Developments (ANA) has signed a contract with contract research organisation Southern Star Research to carry out a phase 1 clinical trial in Australia for the pharmacokinetic profile, tolerability and safety of lead asset MRX1. There is an R and D tax incentive of up to 43.5% of eligible costs. The share price dipped 11.4% to 0.31p.

Marula Mining (MARU) director Jason Brewer has acquired one million shares, taking his stake to 8.78%. Kevin Hastings has a 3.375% stake. The share price declined 8.33% to 6.875p.

AIM weekly movers: Cambria Africa doubles ahead of further suspension

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Shares in Cambria Africa (LON: CMB) doubled to 0.45p when trading recommenced after 2022-23 accounts and subsequent interims were published. Early buying has flushed out some sellers later in the morning. The shares will be suspended again on Monday because there will be no nominated advisers. Shareholders have voted to cancel the AIM admission on 22 October.

Premier African Minerals (LON: PREM) shares rebounded 51.3% to 0.0469p following the previous week’s £550,000 fundraising at 0.0315p to fund operational activities at the Zulu lithium and tantalum project. The share price is still lower than two weeks ago. Management is hopeful that it will soon resolve problems with the processing facilities. The company says that options for the Zulu project including selling it or part of it.

John Gunn has acquired a 12.1% stake in SEEEN (LON: SEEN). This makes him the second largest shareholder in the video sharing platform developer behind Gresham House. The share price recovered 44.2% to 3.75p, which is still 38.8% lower than at the beginning of the year.

ECR Minerals (LON: ECR) is talking to three Australian companies about the sale of its A$75m of tax losses. The company is awaiting rock chip results from the Lolworth gold and critical minerals project in Queensland. Single-stage gravity recovery testing of samples from the Blue Mountain project in Queensland have shown recovery rates of 91.7% of the gold. This suggests that gravity recovery of alluvial gold from a plant onsite is possible. Further analysis is still required, though. The share price improved 41.3% to 0.325p.

FALLERS

Inspirit Energy (LON: INSP) is returning to its previous existence as a shell (it was previously Kleenair Systems International) because the lead engineer of its subsidiary has to stop working for the company to care for a relative. This has put waste heat recovery engine development on hold. The company will preserve cash and become a shell and seek takeover opportunities. The share price dived 64.7% to 0.003p.

Data analytics software provider Rosslyn Data Technologies (LON: RDT) is raising £1.64m via placing at 5p/share and £250,000 from a retail offer that closes on 10 October. A convertible loan note will raise a further £1.2m and existing convertibles will be converted at 5p/share. This will fund growth and the development of technology. Rosslyn Data Technologies is trading ahead of previous expectations. The share price slumped 45.1% to 6.125p.

Resources investment company Tiger Royalties and Investments (LON: TIR) says the value of its portfolio of investments and cash has fallen from 0.08p/share to 0.06p/share. That sparked a one-third downturn in the share price to 0.1p. The main declines in value were in the shareholdings in African Pioneer (LON: AFP) and Jubilee Metals Group (LON: JLP).

Blue Star Capital (LON: BLU) is continuing the strategy to seek an exit of its investments. The launch of the de-fi project to Pendulum and Nabla that is called Vortex is the key to the valuation of the SatoshiPay investment and the sale has been suspended. The funding of Vortex is not yet in place. Around 90% of the NAV is based on the 27.9% SatoshiPay stake and this valuation depends on the launch of Vortex and if SatoshiPay raises additional funds then this stake will be diluted. The Blue Star Capital share price slipped 28.8% to 0.0125p.