Tekcapital shares jump as MicroSalt explodes higher, remains heavily undervalued

Tekcapital shares were firmly bid on Friday after a busy week for its portfolio companies, including significant updates for low-sodium technology company MicroSalt and Innovative Eyewear, the developer and manufacturer of smart eyewear.

Tekcapital broke above 10p in early trade on Friday, trading at the highest levels since June. Yet, the gains this week in TEK shares still leave the technology investment company heavily undervalued compared to the net asset value of its portfolio.

According to our calculations, the total net asset value of the portfolio companies is a little over £51m. This doesn’t include any cash or convertible loan notes it has on its books.

The portfolio value alone would translate to a share price of 26p compared to a current Tekcapital share price of just 10.5p at the time of writing. Our portfolio valuation total was calculated using live share prices and is subject to change as underlying prices fluctuate.

One of the shares fluctuating on Friday was MicroSalt after the company released a bumper update on its orders from some of the world’s largest snack food companies this week.

MicroSalt shares had added another 26% to trade at 95p at the time of writing on Friday. In terms of underlying value for Tekcapital, MicroSalt is the company’s largest holding, with the value of their holding exceeding the entire market capitalisation of Tekcapital.

There is a clear disconnect between portfolio company valuations and Tekcapital shares.

This disconnect results from the macroeconomic environment being largely unfavourable for early-stage companies as higher interest rates increase discount rates and lower the perceptions of value in certain assets.

However, this discount is largely unwarranted for Tekcapital. Most of its portfolio consists of listed equities, which have clear indications of value attributed to them by public markets. The discount between Tekcapital shares and the NAV is more appropriate for a portfolio of privately held stocks with big question marks about their valuation. The market may remove this discount as sentiment improves.

Tekcapital also has the additional benefits of potential upside in portfolio companies.

MicroSalt could well have further run if the company revealed further commercial deals that cement its place as one of the major players in reducing sodium content in food to help fight against cardiovascular disease.

Recently listed GenIP is arguably undervalued after coming to market during a period of uncertainty around AIM shares. The Generative AI analytics firm has already announced orders that infer an annual revenue run rate that would dictate a valuation two or three times higher than the current share price should one apply peer group average price-to-sales multiples to the company.

Then we have Guident, the only current privately held company that may be Tekcapital’s jewel in the crown. The autonomous vehicle safety company operates in the popular urban mobility sector and is busy building out commercial relationships, one would assume, in preparation for a future listing.

Tekcapital also retains holdings in Innovative Eyewear and Belluscura, which are both scaling their models and increasing revenue.

As an AIM-listed company with a market cap under £50m, Tekcapital should be considered a higher-risk share. However, adventurous investors with a reasonable appetite for risk may benefit from the closing of the discount between the NAV and share price and any further appreciation of portfolio company values.

Three shares set to benefit from the Autumn Budget

Believe it or not, some UK shares may actually benefit from the Labour budget announced this week.
Investors will be all too aware of the budget's impact on UK equities in the run-up to and immediate aftermath of the budget, and some may find it challenging to pick out any shares that will see improvement in their prospects due to the measures announced by Rachel Reeves. 
However, a small section of the market benefits from the budget, either directly or through the inadvertent consequences for UK markets.
Since the budget, the jump in gilt yields has been one of the most notable shifts in U...

Frasers Group and boohoo Group – Lightning speed appointment of new boohoo CEO puts Frasers’ Ashley at a disadvantage 

In a very quick snub for Mike Ashley’s demands, this morning it has been announced that the ailing boohoo Group (LON:BOO) has appointed former JD Sports and currently Debenhams CEO, Dan Finley, 41, as the Group’s Chief Executive Officer. 

Finley has been involved in the boohoo Group’s fast-growing digital department store, since he was appointed Debenham’s CEO in January 2022, under his leadership, the business has been transformed into Britain’s leading online department store with a gross merchandise value annual run rate of some £800m, through a capital-light, cash generative and highly profitable marketplace model.  

Group Deputy Chairman Alistair McGeorge stated that: 

“The Board of boohoo was unanimous in its decision to appoint Dan Finley as CEO. Dan is one of the outstanding leaders in a new generation of digital retailers.  

Dan and his team have successfully transformed Debenhams from a failed department store, creating a new business model that is a capital-light, stock-light, high-growth marketplace.  

Before Debenhams, Dan had a track record of phenomenal success in online retail during his 10 years at JD Sports.  

The Board looks forward to working with him, as we continue the review of options to unlock and maximise shareholder value.” 

Current boohoo CEO John Lyttle, who recently announced that he was standing down from the role, will remain available to Dan and the group to ensure continuity through the change of leadership and a smooth transition.  

It is expected that Dan will be appointed to the boohoo Group Board in due course. 

Boohoo Group shares are currently trading at around the 29.62p level. 

Mike Ashley, who last week demanded that he should be appointed CEO, representing his Frasers Group, boohoo’s biggest shareholder, might consider that he has been snubbed by this appointment. 

Frasers Group (LON:FRAS) shares are 761p, down 23.50p. 

AIM movers: Selene recoverable gas volumes disappoint Deltic Energy and ex-dividends

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MicroSalt (LON: SALT) continues to rise on the back of the orders from major customers announced yesterday. The share price jumped a further 24.4% to 79p. Tekcapital (LON: TEK) owns 69% of MicroSalt and its share price is 8.82% higher at 9.25p.

Prospex Energy (LON: PXEN) says third quarter gas production of its Italian interests, where it has a 37% stake, was 76,910scm/day. Prospex Energy’s net revenues for the quarter were €1m, which is a record. There should be a further increase in gas production in the fourth quarter. The share price increased 9% to 6.65p.

Automated transport analytics provider Cordel (LON: CRDL) has secured an extension to its contract with the Australian Rail Track Corporation up until August 2025. There is also an expansion of the work to be undertaken. This will help to underpin forecasts for this year. The share price rose 9.43% to 7.25p.

Versarien (LON: VRS) says that it has received a further £60,000 out of the £604,000 for the sale of the Korean plant and equipment. This leaves £242,000 outstanding and this will incur interest at an annual rate of 10%. If it is not paid by the end of 2024 the title to the assets will remain with Versarien. The share price improved 4.35% to 0.036p.  

FALLERS

Deltic Energy (LON: DELT) says wireline logging and fluid sampling confirm the gas discovery at Selene in the North Sea, where it has a 25% working interest. The reservoir quality is better than expected, but it is deeper than anticipated which means that recoverable gas volumes of 131bcf are lower than previous estimates of 320bcf. This should still be economically viable. Further work is required, though. The share price dived 20.7% to 6.15p.

Gaming and displays technology developer Nexteq (LON: NXQ) says 2024 revenues could be up to 12% lower than market expectations. Orders are being delayed to 2025. Cavendish has cut its pre-tax profit forecast by one-third to $6m, but the dividend is still expected to be raised by nearly 10% to 3.6p/share. That is twice covered by earnings. The share price declined 18.5% to 72.5p.

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) reported its full year figures just in time to avoid suspension. Revenues fell from $3.72m to $2m in the year to April 2024, while the loss increased from $10.5m to $14.6m, partly due to a swing from an exchange gain to an exchange loss. There was a $3.97m cash outflow from operations. The share price fell 7.69% to 0.09p.

Diagnostics company Novacyt (LON: NCYT) has appointed Dr Ian Gilham as a non-executive director. He is currently chairman of Genedrive (LON: GDR). The Novacyt share price slid 5.41% to 55.9p.

Ex-dividends

Burford Capital (LON: BUR) is paying an interim dividend of 4.8p/share and the share price slipped 5p to 1046p.

CVS Group (LON: CVSG) is paying a final dividend of 8p/share and the share price is 13p lower at 960p.

Gattaca (LON: GATC) is paying a final dividend of 2.5p/share and the share price fell 3.3p to 87.5p.

London Security (LON: LSC) is paying an interim dividend of 80p/share and the share price declined 50p to 3600p.

NWF (LON: NWF) is paying a final dividend of 7.1p/share and the share price slipped 9p to 143.5p.

Sylvania Platinum (LON: SLP) is paying a dividend of 1p/share and the share price is unchanged at 46.5p.

Tribal Group (LON: TRB) is paying an interim dividend of 0.65p/share and the share price rose 1.4p to 48.1p.

FTSE 100 falls as budget realities sink in, US tech hits sentiment

London’s flagship index was firmly in the red on Thursday as the budget implications hit sentiment and a US tech sell-off compounded a risk-off tone to trade.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.7% to 8,099 at the time of writing.

Although yesterday’s budget wasn’t as bad as many had first feared, it was still broadly negative for UK companies.

Increased National Insurance will raise business costs and erode profits, and the hike in capital gains tax will dent investor enthusiasm. Frozen corporation tax is a minor win for UK businesses, but it is very minor in the context of the £40bn tax hikes announced yesterday by Rachel Reeves.

Forecasts of increased government spending and borrowing have raised gilt yields, which doesn’t bode well for interest rate cuts. Everyone knows this isn’t good for stocks.

“Yesterday’s relief rally after the Budget didn’t last long,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Gilt yields jumped after the market cottoned on to a big increase in government borrowing over the next five fiscal years and that extra tax income from changes announced in the Budget won’t appear overnight.

“That means interest rates could stay higher for longer which is not good for housebuilders and retailers hoping for reduced pressures on household finances, hence why those sectors were in the red today. It also explains why banks were among the select few risers on the FTSE 100 as they stand to benefit from a stronger interest rate environment as they can charge more for lending.”

As alluded to by Russ Mould, yesterday’s rally in the housebuilders was turned on its head with Persimmon, Barratt Redrow, and Taylor Wimpey all down 3% or more.

The government pledge for £5bn to build houses isn’t going to do much good if buyers can’t afford to climb the property ladder and landlords dump properties because buy to let doesn’t make financial sense anymore.

Smith & Nephew was the FTSE 100’s loser after it reduced its revenue growth guidance amid weakness in China. Shares were down 12% at the time of writing.

“The largest UK medical devices maker, Smith & Nephew, has cut its full year revenue growth forecast based on weaker than expected performance in China. Lower demand in the surgical business has seen the trimming of the forecast from 5-6% down to 4.5%, a significant shortfall and shares are hurting for it this morning,” said Adam Vettese, market analyst at investment platform eToro.

The prospect of higher interest rates helped Lloyds and Natwest carve out minor gains while Shell rose 1% on a fresh $3.5bn share buyback.

Over 90% of the FTSE 100’s constituents were in the red at the time of writing on Thursday.

Microsoft shares fall on week guidance despite strength in the cloud business

Microsoft shares were down in the US premarket after the tech company released its Q1 results, which beat expectations but made investors reconsider the company’s outlook.

Q1 results were robuts. EPS came in at $3.30 against $3.10 expectations and revenue was $65.59 billion versus $64.51 billion analyst expectations. This should have been enough to drive a pop in the stock.

However, weak guidance drove investors to hit the sell button and shares slipped over 3% in the US premarket.

“Microsoft hasn’t been the hottest stock of late, and heading into earnings, it was cloud growth that was under the microscope,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Growth of 33% for Azure, its cloud computing platform, looked like a strong number, and when you add in the 12% contribution from AI, it continues to support the argument that the major cloud providers are well-placed to benefit from the new AI demand cycle.

“The downbeat stock reaction is likely due to guidance given on the call. Margins are expected to come under pressure next quarter as the ramp-up in AI spending hits the cost line, and with Azure growth expected at 31-32%, that would mark a slowdown quarter-on-quarter.”

Investors may also be concerned about huge ongoing investments in AI. Microsoft is a major player in the AI revolution through their investment in OpenAI, but the amount of cash being poured into pursuing building out the technology will be seen as a negative by some.

Share Tip: Just Take A Look At This Group’s Impressive Profit Growth Profile, Its Shares Are Looking Undervalued At 42p, Insider Buys, Brokers TP 68p

I really like these figures – 1.8, 2.9, 5.6, 7.2 – and investors should do too! 
In million pounds sterling they represent the four-year profit span for Venture Life Group (LON:VLG). 
Yesterday the self-care products group bought another big line for its portfolio. 
The Business 
Venture Life, whose products are sold in over 90 countries worldwide, is an international consumer self-care company focused on developing, manufacturing and commercialising products for the global self-care market.   
With operations in the UK, Italy, The Netherlands and Sweden, the group’s p...

Shell shares rise as profits beats expections, fresh buy back announced

Shell shares rose on Thursday after the oil majors released Q3 earnings and announced a fresh $3.5 billion share buyback.

Shell was one of the few FTSE 100 gainers after its Q3 results revealed better-than-expected profits across its fossil-fuel-focused business units.

Perhaps the biggest influence on shares was the expansion of their share buyback programme.

Nick Purves, Fund Manager of the Temple Bar Investment Trust, recently discussed the attractions of Shell’s buybacks on the UK Investor Magazine Podcast. Nick Purves explained that the long-term trend of buying back shares underpinned their investment case and was an integral element in Shell’s place as the trust’s top holding.

The broader market evidently shares this sentiment, and Shell’s shares rose 1% in early trade on Thursday despite the broad losses of the FTSE 100.

“Shell’s delivered a significant third-quarter beat driven by better-than-expected results in all division bar renewables,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“That’s given management the confidence to push the button on a $3.5bn buyback, marking the twelfth consecutive quarter where plans to repurchase $3bn or more have been announced. That’s impressive stuff in the context of weak commodity prices and industry-wide pressures on refining margins.”

Despite weakness in fossil fuel prices, Shell remains a cash-generating machine, producing $10.8bn free cash flow in Q3 2024 compared to $7.5bn in the same period a year ago.

“At the same time, Shell’s still managing to shrink its net debt pile, paving the way for further shareholder distributions. With capital expenditure now set to come in below guidance for 2024, investors will be paying close attention to Shell’s capital allocation plans for 2025 when full-year results are announced,” Nathan said.

“Integrated Gas and Upstream remain the key profit drivers and whilst the range of outcomes for production in the fourth quarter is a little wide, the short-term outlook looks broadly stable. Looking further ahead, plans to develop new fields as well as upgrade existing assets in the Gulf of Mexico should help keep production moving in the right direction. Shell’s financial discipline is highly impressive, and for now, it seems to be finding the right balance between rewarding shareholders and investing in growth. But any further pullback in investment spend could raise some questions on the group’s ability to future-proof the business.”

MicroSalt’s Low Sodium Revolution and Leading the Safety Smart Eyewear Market with Tekcapital

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome Clifford Gross, CEO of Tekcapital, back to the Podcast for a run-through of the latest developments for portfolio companies.

We welcomed Clifford to the Podcast just a couple of weeks ago to catch up on recent progress. However, after sharp moves this week in Innovative Eyewear and MicroSalt, we asked Clifford back on the podcast to provide further details about the factors driving the share reratings.

We discuss the broad adoption of low-sodium products and the tailwinds for MicroSalt. We finish by running through Innovative Eyewear’s latest launch: safety smart eyewear.

Autumn Budget 2024 Highlights

The long-awaited budget that threatened to stifle UK growth and entrepreneurial aspiration has been delivered. 

Coverage in the run-up to the budget was punctuated by concerns about tax changes and fears that Labour would damage the investment community and the ‘non-working’ person, whoever they might be. 

These fears have been realised in a raft of measures constituting a tax raid on the UK’s risk-takers responsible for driving the economy. 

We present the highlights below.

Tax

In total, this budget increased taxes by £40bn.

Labour has targeted higher earners, investors, and entrepreneurs by increasing Capital Gains Tax, modifying tax relief on AIM shares, and bringing pensions into inheritance tax. The non-dom tax status will be abolished from April 2025.

Capital Gains Tax

Investors are being punished by an increase in Capital Gains Tax from 10% to 18% for the lower rate and up to 24% for the higher rate.

“The change is a blow for investors. This could have been worse, with suggestions of a doubling of the rate, but it’s scant consolation for anyone hit with a bigger tax bill,” said Sarah Coles, head of personal finance, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“This doesn’t just affect those who are hit with a far bigger bill, it also makes investment less attractive for newcomers who don’t want to have to get to grips with a new tax risk. Already far fewer people in the UK invest than elsewhere in the world, and this could compound the problem. For existing investors, there’s a danger this will drive investor behaviour, and people will focus on tax considerations, rather than the investments that make the most sense for their circumstances. There’s also a danger they may hoard the assets – possibly until their death.”

Inheritance Tax

Those who have saved all their life to pass on the reward of their hard work will now pay more to the government. As asset prices rise, more people will be dragged into paying the tax with thresholds frozen until 2030.

Pensions will now be subject to IHT under new rules.

“It is good to have clarity on Inheritance Tax nil rate band (NRB) continued freeze, although this will bite as more estates fall into the IHT brackets. The exposure of inherited pensions to IHT will reduce the attractiveness of pensions as a wealth transfer tool,  changing the landscape for pensions,” said Craig Ritchie, Partner at GSB Wealth.

Business tax

National Insurance for Employers will be increased to 1.2% and the threshold will be lowered to £5m. Offering some form of positivity, corporation tax will be frozen.

“The UK stock market has lost many great companies in recent years. Some have been bought out by overseas buyers who were taking advantage of weak sterling and an out-of-favour-market,” said Rachel Winter, Partner at Killik & Co.

“Others have moved abroad voluntarily, seeking access to greater numbers of investors and more business-friendly environments. While today’s increase in employer NI contributions is a blow, the freezing of corporation tax rates is welcome news. The FTSE 250, which is a much more UK-focused index than the FTSE 100, has risen during the Budget speech.”

AIM shares

In the run-up to the Budget, potential changes to the tax treatment of shares with business property relief have rocked London’s AIM market. The chancellor has targeted AIM by implementing a 50% inheritance tax relief instead of the complete abolishment some feared. The AIM market soared on the news.

“London has long been a hotbed for exciting companies seeking to raise capital and scale their companies. By announcing 50% IHT relief for AIM shares instead of altogether abolishing relief, the government has signalled its intention to make the UK a favoured destination for global growth companies to list,” said Dr Clifford Gross, CEO of Tekcapital.

“Fears of damaging changes to the tax incentives available to AIM companies have proved overblown. Despite tax incentives encouraging estate-planning investors to invest in AIM companies, good quality growth companies will attract investor pounds over time, enabling them to maximise their potential.”

Housing and Construction

Labour announced several measures in the run-up to the budget, one of which was £500m for social housing, part of a broader £5bn package for housebuilding.

Housebuilding shares liked the news with Persimmon, Vistry and Barratt Redrow rallying on the news.

Vistry, who works closely with housing associations, rallied over 3%.

“Support for social and affordable housing is vital if the government is to achieve its target of building 1.5 million homes during this parliament,” said Kevin Limn, CEO of Adsure Services.

EIS & VCTs

Good news for the venture capital industry. The chancellor has committed to EIS and VCTs until at least 2035. EIS incentivises investors to invest in early-stage companies, including 30% income tax relief and complete relief on IHT and CGT if held for three years.

Wages

As announced before the Budget, Labour will increase the minimum wage by 6.7%. to £12.21 per hour for over 21s.

Growth

The UK economy is expected to grow 1.1% in 2024, faster than predicted.

Post Office scandal

The chancellor has set aside over £1.8bn to compensate those impacted by the Post Office software scandal and £11.8bn for victims of the infected blood scandal.