AIM movers: More contracts for Cordel and delays for Biome Technologies

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Transport analytics provider Cordel (LON: CRDL) has won contracts in Australia and the UK. There is an initial data contract with Aurizon, which is Australia’s largest rail freight company. This covers part of the company’s rail network and could be extended to other parts. In the UK, Southeastern will get up-to-date platform clearance/gauging measurements to help the rail firm to upgrade its rolling stock. This is an extension of the uses for Cordel’s technology. The share price increased 7.41% to 7.25p.

Energy efficiency services provider eEnergy Group (LON: EAAS) has been appointed to the NHS Commercial Solutions Sustainable Estates Framework Agreement. This enables NHS Trusts to get faster project delivery. The share price improved 4.35% to 4.8p.

FALLERS

Delays in shipping a mor RF order mean that Biome Technologies (LON: BIOM) man that 2024 expectations have been reduced. The ramp by a Bioplastics client has also been slower than anticipated. Allenby has increased its 2024 loss forecast by 16% to £1.2m, which is similar to 2023. The RF contract will contribute to 2025 and the loss has been reduced to £334,000. The share price fell 8.7% to 5.25p.

Trinidad-focused oil and gas producer Touchstone Exploration (LON: TXP) reported third quarter figures and revised guidance. Third quarter production was 5,200 barrels of oil equivalent/day. This generated $3m from operations and net debt was $29.6m at the end of September 2024. Full year production is expected to be 5,600-6,200 barrels of oil equivalent/day, down from 7,700-8,300 barrels of oil equivalent/day. Cash of $17m should be generated in 2024, up 24% on 2023.  The share price declined 7.91% to 32p.

Trading resumed yesterday in Beximco Pharmaceuticals (LON: BXP) shares following a Bangladesh court decision on a petition to direct the Bangladesh Bank to appoint a receiver to manage the Beximco Group of companies. Beximco Pharma’s appeal has been successful in confirming that the receivership will not apply to the AIM-quoted company. The share price fell a further 7.69% to 30p.

Battery technology developer Gelion (LON: GELN) has fabricated advanced sulfide-based solid state separators using IP licensed from Oxford University. This should help to increase the cycle life of batteries. The technology could be licensed to lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide battery manufacturers and relax external pressure and temperature requirements of solid state batteries make them more commercial. The share price rose initially, but is currently 2.56% lower at 19p.

Great Western Mining Corporation (LON: GWMO) says the anomalous copper zone at the West Huntoon porphyry copper prospect has been expanded from 2 square km to over 3 square km. There have been some high grades of copper, gold and silver in samples. The anomalous zone appears to trend towards the company’s M2 copper resource. The share price lost its early gains and dipped 1.85% to 0.0265p.

SRT Marine Systems (LON: SRT) is raising £8.5m at 35p/share, including £5.36m from Ocean Infinity, which has also underwritten a retail offer to raise £2m of the cash. Ocean Infinity is providing a $21.4m guarantee for the performance bond relating to a $213m marine systems contract. There are other potential contracts in the pipeline and management says that SRT Marine Systems should be significantly profitable in 2025-26. The share price slipped 1.3% to 38p.

FTSE 100 reverses early gains, Smiths Group soars

The FTSE 100 got off to an upbeat start on Wednesday as Smiths Group led the index higher after reporting strong revenue growth in its first quarter.

London’s leading index was trading 0.25% higher in mid-morning trade as it looked set to break a losing streak that had brought it within touching distance of 8,000.

Despite the strong start to trade, the FTSE 100’s early gains evaporated, and the index was trading down 0.15% at the time of writing.

“It’s still hovering around three-month lows as concerns linger about global growth,” explained Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“China’s economy continues to be a worry, with the authorities’ attempts to inject the economy with stimulus seen as underwhelming.”

Streeter also pointed to ongoing uncertainty about Donald Trump’s impact on global growth as he takes power. “The impact of a second Trump term and its implications for global trade is also being mulled over.”

“Brent Crude is trading close to two-week lows, as investors digest OPEC’s re-assessment of demand for energy across the world next year. The hot enthusiasm which powered Wall Street higher following Trump’s re-election has cooled off.  Investors are assessing the realities of governing for Trump’s second term, while the control of the House of Representatives is yet to be decided, with critical votes still being counted.”

In early trade, there was nearly a dead-even split between FTSE 100 constituents trading higher and those trading negatively. However, the sellers came out in force as the session progressed and dumped names such as Experian, Rightmove and Intermediate Capital Group.

Smiths Group, with a 10% rise, was the FTSE 100 top gainer after reporting a boost in revenues and margins.

“Industrial conglomerate Smiths Group appears to be firing on all cylinders based on its first-quarter trading update with an uplift in margins now expected for the year as a whole,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“This helped arrest a year-to-date decline in the share price with several areas of the business seeing strong organic revenue growth too. It will come as some relief to recently appointed CEO Roland Carter who had to deliver a disappointing set of full-year results just months into his tenure in September.”

“It may also reduce any clamour for a further break-up of a business which has several moving parts. It has faced pressure on this front before, leading to the divestment of its medical business in 2022.”

Share Tip: Time Finance – this £54m capitalised group is in line to achieve current year profits of £7.5m, shares now 58.50p, broker TP 112p  

We will have to wait until Thursday 19th December for the next Trading Update from Time Finance (LON:TIME) – but we now know that the AIM listed independent specialist finance provider is doing better than the market has been expecting. 
The Business 
Time Finance helps UK businesses thrive and survive through the provision of flexible funding facilities.  
It offers a multi-product range for SMEs concentrating on Asset, Loan and Invoice Finance.  
While focussed on being an 'own-book' lender, the group does retain the ability to broke-on deals where appropriate, ...

SSE shares tick higher as energy output soars

SSE shares were relatively well bid on Wednesday after the power generator announced first-half results and a sharp jump in energy output.

The combination of a 1GW increase in capacity and favourable weather conditions saw SSE’s output surge 45% higher during the period, driving a 24% increase in adjusted operating profit.

Investors may be a little disappointed to learn that CEO Alistair Philips-Davies plans to step down after being instrumental in the group’s transition to a clean energy provider which may be reflected in the muted response in shares on Wednesday.

“SSE’s powering along nicely and should continue thanks to the foundations built by group CEO Alistair Philips-Davies. But after 11 years in the power seat, he’s announced his intention to step down once a successor is found. Turning to business performance, and climate-focused investors will be pleased to hear that renewable energy output rose 45% in the first half,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The uplift was helped by increased capacity, higher prices and an easy comparative period as last year’s performance was held back by unfavourable weather conditions.”

Chiekrie continued to explain SSE’s drive to increase its renewable power capacity with investment of £1.3bn in new facilities in the first half.

During the period, SSE completed the 443MW Viking wind farm located on the Shetland Islands, facilitating the Shetland’s first connection to the grid. The Viking wind farm will produce enough electricity to power 500,000 homes.

“Efforts to plant itself at the heart of the clean energy transition have continued at pace, with £1.3bn of investment in the first half. Turbo-charging focus on renewables is a bold and admirable move, but the shift comes with a hefty dose of risk – they’re not always reliable,” Chiekrie siad.

“To some degree, they’re always at the mercy of Mother Nature. That’s why more flexible gas-fired plants are still part of the energy mix and can help plug the shortfall in energy output when the wind doesn’t blow in SSE’s favour. These assets were loss-making in the first half, but as consumers fire up the heating over winter months, profits are set to warm up over the second half.”

FTSE 100 falls as Trump concerns persist

The FTSE 100 was again under pressure on Tuesday as concerns grew about what Trump’s Presidency means for the UK and UK-listed companies.

The unpredictability of what Donald Trump will actually do when he returns to the Oval Office is proving to be a great source of angst for investors. 

A Trump presidency would be great for the US and US stocks, but the fear is that the benefits to the US through Trump’s ‘America First’ policies would be to the detriment of the rest of the world—apart from Russia, of course. 

“The FTSE 100 had a weak start as most sectors were in the red apart from energy and healthcare,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“HSBC was the biggest anchor on the index, joined by Unilever, GSK and RELX. Sentiment seemed patchy across the board as investors continued to spend time digesting the implications of a Trump administration. Despite the initial excitement upon the election result last week, investors are starting to realise that Donald Trump’s ideas could drive up inflation, make life tough for foreign companies selling into the US, and raise geopolitical risks. It creates the kind of uncertainty which markets hate.”

This nagging threat has dragged on the FTSE 100 since the election and continued to do so on Tuesday with broad selling across multiple sectors.

Fresnillo shares were sharply lower as precious metals continued to slide, and the risk premium built into prices before the election disappeared. At the time of writing, Fresnillo shares were down 6%.

ConvaTec was the FTSE 100’s top riser after the medical solutions released a surprisingly positive trading update and upgraded its revenue forecast for the year. Shares soared 20%.

“Two FTSE 100 stocks that rarely get much attention had their moment in the sun. ConvaTec and DCC were both in touching distance of 20% stock price gains, a highly unusual movement for the shares,” Mould said.

“ConvaTec soared after lifting 2024 guidance, helping to claw back half of the share price losses since March. DCC saw its shares rise 17% after saying it would get ready to sell its healthcare arm and potentially do the same for its technology business afterwards.”

Cake Box like-for-like growth accelerates

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Egg-free celebration cakes supplier Cake Box (LON: CBOX) is prospering in a tough retail environment. The franchised model means that interim profit grew faster than revenues. Trading in October was particularly good, and openings are accelerating with 25 new stores expected in the year to March 2025.

Franchise stores sales increased 8% to £39m. A price increase offset volume declines and like-for-like growth was 2%. Online sales grew even faster than those of the retail sites and they account for nearly one-quarter of the total. This reflects the success of the new co-funded £2m central marketing campaign.  

In the six months to September 2024, Cake Box revenues rose 4% to £18.7m, while pre-tax profit improved from £2.4m to £2.79m. Net cash was £5.7m, after spending £686,000 on a site for the extension to the Bradford distribution centre. This enabled a 17% increase in the interim dividend to 3.4p/share.

Seven shops have opened in the first half, taking the total to 232. Seven more have been added since September. Cake Box has plenty of potential sites for stores as other retailers are finding trading difficult. The opening programme will accelerate in the second half. An existing franchisee intends to open a store in Paris.

Loyalty programme Cake Club has been launched and that has signed up 63,000 people. This helped the subscription database to increase by two-fifths to 517,000 over the six-month period.

New cakes are being developed, including a collaboration with Nutella for five new products as part of its 60th birthday celebrations. Cake Box can use the brand without paying any royalty.

The second half has started strongly with store sales 9.9% higher and like-for-like sales 4% ahead. New Year’s Eve is the strongest trading day of the year.

Full year pre-tax profit is forecast to increase 10% to £6.6m, with a further rise to £7.2m next yar.

The share price is 2p higher at 190p, which just below the high for the year of 193p. The shares have not been at this level since August 2022. The prospective 2024-25 multiple is 16 and the forecast yield is 5.2%.

Cake Box has a strong strategy with potential for further growth in sites.

AIM movers: New contract for TPXimpact and TV programme delays hit Facilities by ADF

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Digital transformation services provider TPXimpact (LON: TPX) has won a three-year contract worth up to £19m and the trading statement confirms full year expectations. Noel Douglas will become finance director at the beginning of April. The contract is with the Ministry for Housing, Communities and Local Government and relates to modernising the planning system. The General Election had delayed project awards, and this is a positive sign. Interim revenues fell 9% to £38m, but there should be growth in the second half. Full year pre-tax profit of £5.5m is forecast. The share price rose 17.7% to 36.5p and the prospective multiple is nine.

Star Energy (LON: STAR) is selling land at Alton for £6.3m. This used to be the site of the Holybourne oil terminal. The sale depends on planning permission and that should happen in the middle of 2025. The share price increased 19.3% to 8.27p.

Security technology developer Thruvision (LON: THRU) has raised £1.375m at 11p/share. This will fund working capital. The share price improved 17.7% to 10p.

Property fund adviser and investor First Property (LON: FPO) says it had a good first half and there were one-off profits from the trading of properties by a fund, where the company has an investment. There is also the early receipt of fees from disposal of properties in another fund. Full yar pre-tax profit will exceed expectations. That is before any movements in property values. The interims will be published on 21 November. The share price recovered 10.7% to 15.5p, which is still a discount to NAV of more than two-fifths.

FALLERS

Film vehicles and services provider Facilities by ADF (LON: ADF) has been hit by filming delays and the cancelation of projects. It had appeared that there would a strong recovery in the second half following the Hollywood writers’ strike. Revenues have been reduced from £48.6m to £35.1m and margins have been hit by competition for limited contracts. This means that Facilities by ADF will not do much better than breakeven in 2024. There should be a recovery in 2025, but revenues have been cut from £67.3m to £56.8m – including a 12-month contribution from Autotrak. The 2025 pre-tax profit is forecast to be £7.9m, with earnings of 6.8p/share. The share price dived 41.1% to 30.75p, which suggests that the market is not confident that the 2025 forecast can be achieved and whether the potential work will come through.

Testing services provider Microsaic Systems (LON: MSYS) shares have returned from suspension following publication of interim figures. First half revenues increased by 83% to £255,000 thanks to Modern Water. The Microsaic revenues halved. The loss more than halved to £536,000. Cash used in operating activities was £929,000. On 11 November 2024, net cash was £257,000. The share price declined 20.9% to 0.85p.

Electrical retailer Marks Electrical (LON: MRK) increased interim revenues by 9% to £58.8m, which was better than expected even though average order values fell. Margins dipped and there was some disruption from the implementation of a new IT system, so underlying pre-tax profit fell from £1.16m to £820,000. That was before the £1.88m cost of installing the IT system. The share price fell 12.8% to 51p.

Premier African Minerals (LON: PREM) failed to gain disapplication of pre-emptive provisions at its general meeting. There were 62.9% of the shares voted in favour, but it required 75%. This will limit the company’s ability to raise money. The share price is 10.7% lower at 0.031p.

AstraZeneca shares present an opportunity after strong Q3 results 

The UK’s second-largest listed company by market cap (at the time of writing) presents an opportunity for investors after releasing another robust set of results.

Shareholders will be delighted to see the Pharmaceutical giant post a 21% increase in sales in Q3. The company’s diversified product range is enjoying a broad increase in demand, with particular strength in oncology and cardiovascular drugs.

Higher sales are translating into higher profits, and the group upgraded its profit growth guidance to the high teens on a percentage basis from the mid-teens.

“AstraZeneca’s third-quarter results have delivered a second guidance upgrade in as many quarters. The numbers exhibited the breadth of the product range with high growth levels seen in Oncology, Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolic disorders and BioPharmaceuticals,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The quarter included the now customary peppering of strong clinical results and regulatory approvals. And Astra’s not taking anything for granted.”

AstraZeneca’s scale and ability to produce such substantial revenue increases should supersede any concerns about a Chinese probe that may have created a buying opportunity for investors.

“Over the last month, the emergence of a Chinese enquiry into marketing practices surrounding Astra’s lung cell treatment Tagrisso has wiped around £30bn from the company’s market value,” Nathan said.

“Based on similar occurrences in recent history, this would seem overdone. Given the impressive financial performance and continued progress from the cutting-edge pipeline, those brave enough to exploit the current weakness in the valuation may be well rewarded.”

Gold prices sink as the safe haven trade loses its shine 

Gold prices fell again on Tuesday after a cratering fall on Monday as traders unwound their hedging trades after the US election. Gold surged in the run-up to the election on a mix of concerns about Trump’s inflationary policies and broader safe-haven positioning, which saw gold break to fresh highs on numerous occasions.

With the uncertainty of the election firmly behind us, safe haven positioning no longer has its attractions, and a strengthening dollar is also weighing heavily on prices. 

“Gold is under intense pressure on multiple fronts. Institutional sell-offs have driven prices down nearly 3% since Monday, pushing it below $2,600 for the first time since September 20. The trading narrative has shifted sharply from risk-off hedging to an ‘America First’ stance. The steady unloading of GLD holdings by the SPDR Gold Trust and other major institutions since November underscores this pivot,” said Dilin Wu Research Strategist at Pepperstone.

Wu continued to explain that central banks are also reducing their purchases of gold, reducing demand from one of the largest players in the market.

“Adding to the pressure, central banks have slowed their gold purchases, with the People’s Bank of China pausing for six months. With both institutional and central bank support waning, gold’s near-term outlook appears increasingly bleak. If U.S. CPI and retail sales data this week exceed expectations, the dollar index could test 106, further tightening the screws on gold.”

Team Internet Group – A dealings enquiry? Massive share buyback programme value loss created on borrowed money – Calls for corporate control change 

What a total debacle! 
It would not be at all surprising to hear that shareholders in Team Internet Group (LON:TIG) are very concerned about the way this cash-generative global internet services business has fallen out of grace. 
Despite yesterday morning’s ‘resilient’ Q3 unaudited financial results for the nine months to end-September – which declared that its “Increasing gross margins and cost control provide the basis for sustaining bottom-line profitability and increased adjusted EPS” – the market gave its own views of the disappointing statement. 
Questionable Dealing Activ...