Chariot Limited – Near-Term Production, Long-Term Scalability – Analysts Value At Seven Times Current Price 

On Friday 19th July, Chariot Limited (LON:CHAR), the African-focused transitional energy company, announced a Placing, Subscription and Open Offer for new shares at 6.5p in a $9m plus fundraising. 

The net proceeds of the issue are to be used to strengthen the balance sheet to continue to progress and deliver value from Chariot’s portfolio of projects, to secure a material new venture opportunity with multi-billion-barrel potential, and to progress onshore gas commercialisation plans in Morocco to build a gas-to-industry supply. 

The shares were instantly Placed, as well as Directors taking up the $1m Subscription stock, while the $2m Open Offer was almost twice oversubscribed – which was very positive. 

There were 106,704,899 new shares issued by way of the fundraising. 

On Monday 12th August, CFO Julian Maurice-Williams stated that: 

“We are grateful to our shareholders for their considerable support, which has enabled Chariot to deliver a further $2m via this significantly oversubscribed Open Offer, bringing the total fundraise to $9m gross.  

This is an exciting period for the Company, and we look forward to updating all our stakeholders on the imminent drilling campaign at Anchois, alongside progress across the wider Group, over the coming months.” 

The Business 

Chariot is an Africa-focused transitional energy group with three business streams: Transitional Gas, Transitional Power and Green Hydrogen. 

Chariot Transitional Gas is focused on high value, low risk gas development projects in Morocco, a fast-growing emerging economy, with a clear route to early monetisation, delivery of free cash flow and material exploration upside. 

Chariot Transitional Power is focused on providing competitive, sustainable and reliable energy and water solutions across the continent through building, generating and trading renewable power. 

Chariot Green Hydrogen is partnering with TEH2 (80% owned by TotalEnergies, 20% by the EREN Group) and the Government of Mauritania on the potential development of a 10GW green hydrogen project, Project Nour in Mauritania, and is progressing pilot projects in Morocco. 

Anchois Drilling 

On Tuesday 20th August, the group announced that the Stena Forth drillship had arrived on location and that drilling operations had commenced on the Anchois East well (now named “Anchois-3”) at the Anchois gas project in the Lixus Offshore licence, offshore Morocco (Energean 45%, Operator, Chariot 30%, ONHYM 25%). 

The Anchois-3 drilling and flow testing operations should take around two months, with Chariot expected to be fully carried for the anticipated costs of the drilling campaign. 

CEO Adonis Pouroulis stated that: 

“We are very pleased to commence this highly anticipated well at the Anchois gas field. 

We see significant upside potential and value from the prospective resources in the pilot hole and main hole targets which could increase the resource base to over 1Tcf and we look forward, on success, to moving towards a Final Investment Decision as quickly as possible.” 

Analyst Views 

James McCormack at Cavendish Capital Markets is extremely bullish about the prospects for the group – having fixed a Price Objective of 47.9p on its shares.  

He notes that the overriding objective of the Anchois campaign is to unlock a Final Investment Decision on an expanded gas development project. 

His estimates for the current year to end-December see the group reduce by a third its annual adjusted pre-tax loss to $10.2m ($15.6m). 

David Mirzai at SP Angel notes that Chariot’s shares remain just above the level of last month’s capital raise as investors await the outcome of key catalysts coming up over the next few months that have the potential to transform the growth profile of the business.  

He states that the appraisal well will undertake a drill stem test and target relatively low risk upside in the Anchois Footwall and Anchois North Flank prospects, which would likely lead to a scaling of the development project to 1Tcf on success.   

Chariot is fully carried for the upcoming well and has provisional capex financing to first gas from Energean, which is a high-profile partner with a proven track record in delivering this kind of offshore development.  

“We think that moving the Company’s proposed Anchois gas project offshore Morocco towards a final investment decision remains the key value driver for investors in 2024.” 

At Auctus Advisors, analyst Stephane Foucaud considers that the Anchois project is one of the most material wells to be drilled by a company in his coverage universe.  

He reckons that the total unrisked NAV of the well represents 7.5x the current share price and has re-iterated that the Auctus Price Objective of 45p a share is in line with the ReNAV.   

In My View 

The group, which is due to hold its AGM on Tuesday 10th September, saw its shares trading at 17.48p this time last year. 

It will only take a couple of positive news items to help to get its shares returning rapidly to trade around the 2024 peak of 10.40p and then edging higher. 

They are now bang on the 6.5p recent issue price – with a lot of upside on offer. 

Vertu Motors’ strength in used cars offsets soft new car market

Vertu Motors, which operates 192 car sales and aftersales outlets across the country, has released a trading update for the five-month period ending 31 July 2024, revealing a mixed performance across its various business segments.

The group’s used vehicle division has emerged as a bright spot, with like-for-like volume growth of 5.0% and an improved gross margin of 7.2%.

This strong performance is attributed to stable used vehicle values in the UK, underpinned by increasingly constrained supply. The robustness of the used car market is expected to contribute to an improved performance in the second half of the financial year.

In contrast, new retail vehicle sales volumes for the group declined by 5.8% during the period. However, this figure represents a significant outperformance of the broader UK market, which experienced a more substantial 12.1% decline as customers hold off on new vehicle purchases amid confusion around electric vehicle policies.

The new vehicle market has seen a shift towards the fleet channel, including Motability sales, which grew by 19.3% in the UK.

Aftersales operations have delivered a robust performance, with revenue and gross profit growth, as customers chose Vertu for services, not just sales.

Vertu Motors anticipates that its first-half profits will be lower than the previous year’s levels, as expected, and full-year FY25 adjusted profit before tax will be broadly in line with current market consensus.

Performance is expected to improve in the second half of the year.

”I am pleased with the Group’s performance against a fast-shifting market backdrop. Our high margin, resilient aftersales business continues to thrive aided by higher technician numbers and strong execution of the Group’s vehicle health check process,” said Robert Forrester, Chief Executive of Vertu Motors.

“The retail new car market remains weaker as the Government’s regulation to transition to battery electric vehicles causes market volatility and negative impacts. 

“The current dislocation in the market presents opportunities for Vertu Motors to capitalise on, assessed using strict investment return metrics, with our strong balance sheet providing financial flexibility, an excellent portfolio of strong brands, robust and scalable systems, and a strong and experienced leadership team with motivated colleagues.”

Rightmove’s Moat recognised by takeover interest from Australian peer

Rupert Murdoch’s REA Group is interested in bidding for Rightmove, the UK’s leading property portal.

In a move that would be a real kick in the teeth for London’s equity market and the British property landscape, Australian real estate media giant REA Group has announced it is considering a takeover bid for Rightmove.

REA Group, owned by Rupert Murdoch, has confirmed it is weighing up a possible cash and share offer for the entire issued and to-be-issued share capital of Rightmove. However, it notes that no formal discussions have taken place between the two companies, and REA Group has not yet approached Rightmove regarding any potential offer.

Nonetheless, Rightmove shares were over 23% higher in very early trade on Monday.

If Rightmove were to leave London’s stock market, it would follow in the footsteps of peer OnTheMarket, who accepted a £100m bid from US property information company CoStar in 2023.

Used by millions, Rightmove has built a deep moat and is one of the UK’s most widely visited websites and the leading property portal. Searching on Rightmove is synonymous with entering and moving up the UK property ladder.

REA Group views this potential merger as a transformational opportunity to create a global and diversified digital property company with market-leading positions in both Australia and the UK.

The potential takeover bid taps into the British public’s long-standing obsession with property. For decades, homeownership has been a cornerstone of British culture, with property often seen as both a home and an investment.

If London’s equity markets cannot support companies so deeply entrenched in the UK’s obsession with property by providing the right environment to fend off overseas bids, we are truly in dire straits.

REA Group believes that the enlarged group would represent an attractive investment opportunity for shareholders of both companies.

We will have to wait and see if Rightmove’s board and shareholders agree.

As per UK takeover rules, REA Group must announce a firm intention to make an offer or declare it does not intend to make an offer by 5.00 p.m. on 30 September 2024. This deadline may only be extended with the consent of the Takeover Panel.

Director deals: ECO Animal Health boss continues buying

ECO Animal Health (LON: EAH) chief executive David Hallas has bought 18,181 shares at 110p each. The total stake is 109,334 shares.
Last November, he acquired 37,759 shares at 106p each and one year earlier he bought 20,394 shares at 98p each. His original purchase of 33,000 shares was at 117p each in May 2022.
David Hallas was appointed chief executive in April 2022. He previously ran Merck subsidiary Sure Petcare.
Business
ECO Animal Health switched from rule 4.2 trading to AIM in September 1995, making it one of the companies that has traded on AIM for the longest time.
The company’s main d...

Disappointment for Nanoco, but technology still has potential

Cadmium-free quantum dots developer Nanoco (LON: NANO) has suspended the joint development agreement with ST Microelectronics. There are also unlikely to be revenues from another sensing programme.
The joint development agreement with STMicroelectronics involved a two-year programme to optimise a second-generation sensing material. Nanoco says that it met all the development milestones.
The decision is apparently due to a strategy change and end of project terms with the customer. Nanoco will also try to remove any obstacles to use the expertise developed in other opportunities. These are like...

Aquis weekly movers: ProBiotix Health revenues rise

ProBiotix Health (LON: PBX) increased interim revenues by 84% to £1.01m and the loss has been halved to £262,000.  The probiotics-based healthcare company is expanding sales in North America and Europe. A North American contract manufacturing deal is being discussed. Operational separation from OptiBiotix should be completed by the end of the year. There was £865,000 in the bank at the end of June 2024. The share price increased 12.5% to 4.5p.

Skincare treatments developer Incanthera (LON: INC) reported figures for the year to March 2024 showing a steady loss of £1.47m. There was a cash outflow from operating activities of £838,000 and £61,000 in cash at the end of March 2024. There were no revenues during this period. The deal with Cosmetics chain Marionnaud should be generating sales in the near future. The share price improved 1.7% to 29.5p. That is 354% higher than at the beginning  of 2024.

FALLERS

St Mark Homes (LON: SMAP) shares fell by a further two-thirds to 2p ahead of the departure from Aquis on 2 September.

Exchange services provider Aquis Exchange (LON: AQX), which is also quoted on the Aquis Stock Exchange, has been hit by one technology contract not being renewed, because of the client’s trading problems. That will knock £1m off revenues and pre-tax profit in 2024. The other parts of the group all grew revenues in the first half with Aquis Stick Exchange trading volumes 44% ahead. Canaccord Genuity has cut its 2024 pre-tax profit forecast from £6.3m to £4.9m with the rest of the shortfall due to increased investment. The interims will be published on 12 September. The share price slumped 18.2% to 390p.

CBD-based treatments developer Ananda Developments (LON: ANA) made a £383,000 loss in the quarter to July 2024. Net assets were £723,000. The share price dipped 11.1% to 0.4p.

KR1 (LON: KR1) had net assets of 71.92p/share at the end of July 2024. The income from digital assets during the month was £805,000. The share price declined 8.82% to 1.55p.

Equipmake (LON: EQIP) has received an initial order for five zero emission drivetrains from South American bus manufacturer Agrale. This follows the recent trial. The share price slipped 7.69% to 3p.

James and Alexandra Pace has a 4.1% stake in Shepherd Neame (LON: SHEP). The share price dipped 5.6% to 632.5p.

AIM weekly movers: Cynosure Capital invests in Helium One Global

3

The stake of Dr CW Powell in lead, zinc and silver projects developer Europa Metals (LON: EUZ) has risen from 7.17% to 8.19%. The stake has been built up from below 3% in nearly three months. The share price has risen by one-quarter so far this year and is 46.7% higher on the week at 2.2p.

Shield Therapeutics (LON: STX) iron deficiency treatment ACCRUFeR has been approved by the authorities in Canada. It is the only oral iron therapy approved as a prescription drug for adults with anaemia. This sparks a £250,000 milestone payment from Canadian partner Kye Pharmaceuticals. The share price improved 44.9% to 5p.

Indus Gas Ltd (LON: INDI) says the extension of the PSC for Block RJ-ON/6 for a period of ten years is still under consideration. The current PSC period ended on 20 August. The maintenance of the customer’s power plant continues so there is a reduced offtake of gas. The share price rose 38.9% to 10.525p.

Peter Edwards has taken a 3.3% stake in Shuka Minerals (LON: SKA). Last week, the Africa-focused mining company wanted to draw down £500,000 of the £2m unsecured convertible note instrument provided by AUO Commercial Brokerage, but the funds are not yet available. AUO is owned by Shuka Minerals chairman Quinton Van Der Burgh. There is no indication of when the funds will be available. Shuka Minerals has enough cash until the end of October. The share price recovered 35.6% to 6.1p.

FALLERS

Helium One Global (LON: HE1) is acquiring 50% of Blue Star Helium’s Galactica-Pegasus project and other licences in Colorado. There are confirmed helium discoveries of an average of 3% helium. Gross resource estimates are 675 million cubic feet. Blue Star Helium will continue to be operator. An initial six development wells are planned for later this year. They could generate an annual income of $2m. Cynosure Capital is subscribing £6.43m at 1.09p/share. The share price dipped 28.2% to 1.4p. That cash will fund $1.5m of past costs, plus up to $2.7m on the six wells. There will also be $2.55m required for capital investment. The extended well test at Itumbula West-1 in Tanzania has flowed at up to 7.6% helium. The well flowed an average of 786 barrels per day.

Tertiary Minerals (LON: TYM) raised £880,000 at 0.08p/share. This will fund exploration at Zambian copper targets, Mushima North and Jacks, which is near to the Chambishi project where production is being raised. Six targets have been identified at Mushima North. The Swedish authorities have refused the application for a mining concession on the Storuman fluorspar project. The share price is one-quarter lower at 0.0825p.

Exchange services provider Aquis Exchange (LON: AQX) has been hit by one technology contract not being renewed, because of the client’s trading problems. That will knock £1m off revenues and pre-tax profit in 2024. The other parts of the group all grew revenues in the first half. Aquis Markets share of market trading has risen to 5.2%. Canaccord Genuity has cut its 2024 pre-tax profit forecast from £6.3m to £4.9m with the rest of the shortfall due to increased investment. The interims will be published on 12 September. The share price fell 18.2% to 390p.

Audio equipment supplier Focusrite (LON: TUNE) says full year revenues will be around £157m, but EBITDA will be lower than expected at around £25m (£27.1m was previously expected) because of higher shipping and logistics costs. Shipping costs are continuing to rise, and promotional spending remains at high levels. New products have been launched, but a major distributor has been cutting stock levels. Net debt has fallen to £15m. The final results will be published in late November. The share price declined 15.7% to 300p.

FTSE 100 nears all-time record high, property stocks jump

The FTSE 100 neared all-time highs on Friday as London’s leading index once again demonstrated its prowess as a safe-have equity index—if such an equity index exists.

London’s weighting towards commodities and defensive sectors has enabled the FTSE 100 to grind higher this week during the furore surrounding Nvidia’s earnings. It is now less than 1% from all-time highs.

“The FTSE 100 creeps ever closer to its all-time high, after opening 0.3% higher in early trading,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“It’s a stark reminder that panicking doesn’t do investors any favours, after the global sell-off earlier in the month has largely been brushed aside. Expect to see some drifting on the margin, but there won’t be too many catalysts to move markets today, meaning there’s every chance this could be the third week of gains in a row for the UK’s largest index.”

China-focused stocks helped support the index on Friday, with miners and Asia-focused financials ticking nicely higher.

“This followed reports of reform in the Chinese mortgage market, which helped lift shares in the world’s second largest economy,” said AJ Bell investment director, Russ Mould. 

However, it was the UK property sector doing the heavy lifting as we headed into the weekend, with LondonMetric, Vistry, and Land Securities doing the heavy lifting. The latest Nationwide House Price Index showed average house prices have increased 2.4% over the past year, and the Bank of England announced mortgage approvals are at the highest level since 2022.

“In the UK, house prices rose at their fastest pace since the end of 2022 on a year-on-year basis but were down month-on-month to hint at the continuing pressures on purchasers from higher mortgage costs, Mould explained.

“The property market could get a renewed boost if the Bank of England opts to follow up its August interest rate cut with another reduction next month. Core PCE inflation data, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of prices, could offer some clues around the likely trajectory of rates across the Atlantic when it is released later today.”

AIM movers: Jaywing loss reduced and Indus Gas wating for PSC extension

2

Data and marketing services provider Jaywing (LON: JWNG) reduced its full year loss from £12.5m to £2.4m. Revenues were reduced by 3% to £21.5m with an adverse effect from the A$/£ exchange rate. The full benefits of cost reductions will show through this year. The share price increased 22.2% to 2.75p.

Primorus Investment (LON: PRIM) is subscribing 18.1 million shares in Pri0r1ty AI for £300,460 to help fund a software roll out. Standard list shell Alteration Earth (LON: ALTE) has non-binding heads of terms to acquire Pri0r1ty AI and move to AIM. Primorus Investment directors Rupert Labrum and Matthew Beardmore own 45.8% of Alteration Earth. The Primorus Investments share price improved 11.5% to 3.4p.

Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas (LON: ECO) had cash of $1.19m at the end of June 2024. Following the completion of the farm-out agreement for Block 3B/4B in South Africa, the company will receive $8.3m. It has also sold a further 1% interest in the block, leaving it with 5.25%, to Africa Oil in return for the Eco shares and warrants its owns, which is equivalent to 15% of the company. The share price is 8% ahead at 13.5p.

Alba Mineral Resources (LON: ALBA) has completed the first underground blast on No. 4.5 level in the Llechfraith section of the Clogau St David’s mine in Wales. There will be further blasts on level 5. The share price rose 5.88% to 0.045p.

Antenna technology developer Filtronic (LON: FTC) is trading ahead of expectations and has secured a follow-up order from SpaceX for E-band solid-state power amplifier modules for Starlink satellites. The new order is worth £6.4m and SpaceX has been issued 10.9 million warrants. Cavendish has raised its 2024-25 pre-tax profit forecast from £6.4m to £7.7m.  The share price is 5.26% higher at 80p.

FALLERS

Indus Gas Ltd (LON: INDI) says the extension of the PSC for Block RJ-ON/6 for a period of ten years is under consideration. The current period ended on 20 August. The maintenance of the customer’s power plant continues so there is a reduced offtake of gas. The share price slumped 18.5% to 10.025p.

Fire safety products developer Zenova Group (LON: ZED) revenues dipped from £108,000 to £51,000, although the loss was reduced from £709,000 to £617,000. Product certifications were delayed and that reduced income. The certifications have been received and this will boost second half revenues. The share price dipped 6.52% to 1.075p.

Mkango Resources (LON: MKA) increased its interim loss from $1.6m to $1.7m and there are plans to reduce operating costs by 36%. Net debt was $3.4m, including deferred consideration, although $1.25m is being raised following the balance sheet date. The share price fell 3.1% to 6.25p.

Andrada Mining (LON: ATM) generated revenues of £18m for the year to February 2024. Tin concentrate produced rose 54% to 1,500 tonnes, while all in sustaining costs increased from $24,939/tonne to $26,223/tonne. There is £10m in the bank. The share price slipped 1.45% to 3.4p.

GetBusy – Growth In Its ARR Will Push The Bottom Line, Interims Due Next Tuesday, Brokers Look For Shares To More Than Double 

Next Tuesday morning, 3rd September, GetBusy (LON:GETB), the productivity software group, will announce its Interim Results for the six months to the end of June. 

Although they will continue to indicate the possibility of an adjusted pre-tax loss for the year, I am not put off from following this company. 

That is because it is progressing in the build-up of its Annual Recurring Revenues, which are well over 90% currently. 

And, as for that loss, it will only be slight by the end of this year, perhaps just £0.2m against break-even last year. 

However, the next year is expected to see that loss wiped out as the £35m capitalised group turns into profitability. 

The Business 

Set up in 2017, the Cambridge-based group develops and sells document and task management software products in the UK, the US, Australia, and New Zealand.  

It has over 73,000 paying users and over 3m collaborators across multiple market sectors and jurisdictions. 

The company is an established and fast-growing SaaS business delivering sustained double-digit growth in high-quality recurring subscription revenue over the long term. 

Its specialist productivity software solutions enable growing businesses to work securely and efficiently with their customers, suppliers and teams anytime, anywhere.   

Those solutions can be delivered flexibly across cloud, mobile, hosted and on-premise platforms, while integrating seamlessly with other class-leading core business systems, such as ERP, accounting, tax, policy management and insolvency practice management systems. 

Its software suite includes various tools and end-to-end workflows such as digital asset and document management, tailored templates, quotes/proposal development, form-fill, authentication, e-signatures and approvals, workflow and task management, chat, and complex digital certification. 

The group’s products equip its customers to move away from paper-based processes, reducing waste and eradicating the carbon associated with transporting, storing and destroying paper records. 

Its brand names include Workiro and Virtual Cabinet for document workflow management, client portals, and digital signatures; and SmartVault for enterprise content management. 

AGM Trading Update  

At the end May AGM, the company stated that it had continued to make good operational progress towards its strategic goals.  

It reported that its annualised recurring revenue at the end of April was some £20.8m, up from £20.5m on 31 December 2023.  

It also reconfirmed expectations for the year and remained very encouraged about the long-term value creation and realisation prospects for the group. 

Analyst Views 

Michael Hill and Kimberley Carstens at Cavendish Capital Markets are looking for the group’s shares to hit 160p in due course. 

Their estimates for the current year are for £22.9m (£21.1m) revenues, while its adjusted pre-tax loss could be £0.2m (£0.0m). 

But for 2025 they foresee £24.0m revenues and a break-even position. 

In My View 

Not making any money, profit-wise, helps to put the shares at a disadvantage in valuation terms. 

But what appeals to me is the company’s ability to build up its ARR over the next few years and then further ahead. 

GetBusy is a player in a marketplace offering so much potential to such a young creative, fast-developing company. 

It will only take the announcement of a small handful of corporate wins to get the shares moving ahead from the current 69p. 

Next Tuesday’s announcement may well help that process.