AIM movers: Ocean Harvest hit by destocking and SkinBioTherapeutics clears up convertibles

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SkinBioTherapeutics (LON: SBTX) has received the final conversion notice from Macquarie for £480,000 of bonds. There will be 5.85 million shares issued at 8.207064p/share. There will be no more drawings on this facility. The share price improved 15.1% to 10.475p.

Deltic Energy (LON: DELT) says that the Valaris 123 drilling unit is on route to the Selene well location in the North Sea. Shell is the operator and Deltic Energy has a 25% working interest and it is carried for up to $49m of well costs. The share price is 9.3% higher at 11.75p.

Investor platform operator ADVFN (LON: AFN) has launched its easy-to-use AI tool that enhances investor decision making. Phase two has started and involves the rollout of enhancements to additional countries. That will be followed by further enhancements of the platform. A new mobile app is being tested and should be released by the end of the third quarter. The share price is up 7.69% to 14p.

Promotional goods platform Altitude Group (LON: ALT) says full year EBITDA will be £2.4m, compared with the forecast of £2.2m, even though revenues were lower than expected. First quarter trading is strong. The share price increased 6.98% to 46p.

Transport analytics provider Cordel (LON: CRDL) says revenues were at least £4.4m in the year to June 2024, up from £3m. Further growth is expected this year, and the focus is profitability. Cash was £1.02m at the end of June 2024. Cavendish has been appointed broker. The share price rose 5.56% to 4.75p.

FALLERS

Seaweed-based animal feed producer Ocean Harvest Technology (LON: OHT) says interim revenues declined 46% to €950,000 and full year forecast revenues will be well below the previously expected level of €6.1m. Forecasts are under review. Two major accounts have not placed orders this year due to their high inventories. There will be an update on prospects in the interim announcement in September. The share price dived 32.6% to 7.75p.

Early selling pushed down the Silver Bullet Data Services (LON: SBDS) share price by 21.1% to 75p.

Energy supplier Yu Group (LON: YU.) increased revenues by 60% in the first half and cash has increased to £86.8m, but the share price is 12.4% lower at 1655p. Lower prices mean that monthly average bookings have declined by 9% and that will hit operating margins. These factors mean that SP Angel is keeping its full year pre-tax profit forecast at £44.5m even though interim revenues grew much faster than expected.

Podcast platform Audioboom (LON: BOOM) reported flat revenues of $17.1m in the third quarter and EBITDA was positive. There was a decline in gross margin due to the end of the peak advertising related to the US fantasy sport season. Net cash is $3.5m. Cavendish is maintaining its full year forecast revenues of $78.8m and a pre-tax profit of $900,000. The share price fell 9.4% to 226.5p.

Zephyr Energy (LON: ZPHR) has completed the initial phase of testing of the State 36-2R LNW-CC well in the Paradox Basin, US. Peak production rates were 1,350 barrels of equivalent/day even though the well was choked back and constrained. There is a higher condensate yield than nearby wells and this will be attractive to Utah refineries. There is little water production. However, the natural fracture network may be partially obstructed. Zephyr Energy will try to remove drilling mud emulsions that could be blocking the fracture and that will cost a few hundred thousand dollars. The share price dipped 8.6% to 4.25p, but it is still 57% higher this year.

Identifying high-quality UK small caps with Aberdeen UK Smaller Companies Growth Trust

The UK Investor Magazine Podcast was delighted to be joined by Abby Glennie, Deputy Head of Smaller Companies at abrdn, for a deep dive into UK smaller companies and the abrdn UK Smaller Companies Growth Trust.

We start with a discussion about the strategy, looking at the trust’s bottom-up approach to UK smaller companies. Abby details a strategy and screening process that seeks out companies meeting strict criteria for quality, growth and momentum.

Visit the abrdn UK Smaller Companies Growth Trust website.

Abby explains the key themes for abrdn UK Smaller Companies Growth Trust and outlines the opportunities and challenges in the coming periods.

We look at the macro influences driving stock selection, and Abby outlines her views on how a UK interest rate cut will benefit the UK small-cap space.

We run through a selection of holdings within the trust and why the team sees value in these particular UK smaller companies. Abby highlights Cairn Homes as their pick of housebuilders and we discuss why the company stands out.

The podcast concludes with a selection of portfolio companies that excite Abby the most, including recent IPO Raspberry PI.

IQE revenue surges 25% in first half

IQE revenue is set to jump in the first half after the compound semiconductor wafer product market recovered during the period.

The company, listed on AIM, expects to report revenue of at least £65 million for the period ending 30 June 2024, representing a 25% year-on-year increase compared to the £52 million reported in the first half of 2023 and 3% increase on the second half of 2023.

IQE shares were 1.79% higher at the time of writing.

“I am pleased with the performance we have delivered for H1, in an industry which will remain in recovery throughout 2024. As markets correct at varying paces, we remain confident in our diversification strategy which will enable us to take advantage of the growth opportunities ahead,” said Americo Lemos, Chief Executive Officer of IQE.

Luceco warns of soft industry metrics despite strong first half

Luceco, the prominent supplier of wiring accessories, EV chargers, LED lighting, and portable power products, has announced reasonable revenue growth for the first but warned key industry metrics remained weak.

The company’s shares were 1.78% lower at the time of writing as investors reacted to concerns about the outlook.

Revenue for the first half of 2024 reached approximately £109 million, representing an 8% increase year-on-year. On a like-for-like basis, revenue growth stood at 3.5%, indicating organic expansion across the company’s product lines.

Profitability has shown marked improvement, with adjusted operating profit expected to reach £12.5 million, a substantial 15% increase compared to the same period last year. The company’s focus on operational efficiency is evident in the adjusted operating margin, which improved by over 80 basis points to reach approximately 11.5%.

“Luceco performed strongly in the first half against a challenging market backdrop. The Group’s diverse portfolio and channels have ensured that we continue to deliver progress, with adjusted operating profit up around 15% in H1 2024,” said Chief Executive Officer, John Hornby.

“Our acquisition of D-Line, which completed in February 2024, is expected to add circa £15m of sales this year and has integrated well into the Group. The balance sheet remains strong with debt levels towards the lower end of our target range, giving us flexibility to pursue new organic and M&A opportunities in line with our indicated capital allocation policy.”

Brave Bison Group – Was The Mission Group Right To Not Open Its Books On This Group’s Bid Approach? 

Yesterday Brave Bison (LON:BBSN) issued its Trading Update for the first six months of its current year. 

On net revenue up just 1% to £10.1m for the six months to end June, the digital advertising and technology services reported that it has made a 20% advance in its adjusted pre-tax profits to £1.8m. 

In that same period the company’s net cash balance was up 58% at £6.8m, which is compared to its market capitalisation of just £30.5m. 

Its shares responded with a 16.5% leap in price to 2.65p – they have since slipped back slightly, but there is more to come. 

The Business 

The company states that it operates in a world where complexity is the only constant, it demands a new breed of company and as such it has Brave Bison, which is a different beast: a media, marketing and technology company purpose built for the digital era. 

The group has an impressive list of top-name clients including Currys, TikTok, Asus, General Mills, Primark, Muller, Fiskars, KFC, Furniture Village, Jameson Irish Whiskey, Pfizer, MKM Building Supplies, LinkedIn, New Balance and Prime Video, amongst many others. 

With its headquarters in London, the group operates through a globally distributed workforce in over nine countries providing its services to global brands and advertisers through its four business units. 

  • Brave Bison Performance is a paid and organic media practice, which plans and buys digital media on platforms like Google, Meta, TikTok, Amazon and YouTube, as well as providing search engine optimisation and digital PR services. 
  • SocialChain is a social media advertising practice, creating content for social media platforms and which works with influencers to create and distribute marketing content.  
  • Brave Bison Commerce is a digital commerce practice that creates, improves and maintains ecommerce websites and manages the customer experience in a digital environment.  
  • Brave Bison Media Network is a portfolio of channels across YouTube, Facebook, Snapchat, TikTok and Instagram, they generate hundreds of millions of monthly views, and the advertising inventory from each channel is sold through online advertising exchanges, with popular channels including The Hook, PGA Tour, US Open and Link Up TV. 

Management Comment 

Executive Chairman Oliver Green stated that: 

“We are pleased to report strong underlying performance in the first half of the year and remain confident that momentum will build as we head towards peak trading at the end of 2024.  

With SocialChain now fully integrated into the Brave Bison platform, our proposition to advertisers connects content, data and technology and allows us to run campaigns across the marketing funnel from brand through to performance. 

Our strong balance sheet and net cash position will allow us to invest further into the business which is well primed for growth in an AI-driven and increasingly complex digital world.” 

The Equity 

With nearly 1.3bn shares in issue, Michael Ashcroft is the largest holder with 24.68% of the equity.  

Others include the Green Family (19.47%), Jarvis Investment Management (10.29%), Tangent Marketing Services (8.87%), James Russell DeLeon (7.38%), Hargreaves Lansdown Asset Management (5.11%), Slater Investments (4.66%), Merchant Capital Manager (4.40%), Vesuvius Ltd (4.35%) and Dr Graham Cooley (2.99%). 

Analyst View 

Andrew Renton at Cavendish Capital Markets has taken the view that the group’s shares look compelling at a rating just over half that of its peers. 

He has a Price Objective of 3.4p on the shares. 

For the current year to end December he is looking for net revenues of £21.0m (£20.9m), with adjusted pre-tax profits of £3.2m (£3.6m), generating 0.23p ((0.27p) per share in earnings. 

My View 

Two months ago, pursuing its earnings accretive acquisition strategy, the group made an all-share offer approach to The Mission Group (LON:TMG), a fairly similar-based operation. 

It did not open its books to BBSN for due diligence, which in turn saw the approach fall apart, at a cost of less than £50,000 to the company as it walked away. 

I think that the debt-laden Mission Group probably missed a big trick in its refusal – because such a deal could have created significant benefits to both sides. 

The shares of Brave Bison, at just 2.35p each, will edge ever closer to their five-year High and could well break through that 3.2p level fairly soon, especially if other deals come to the fore. 

Compass Group shares gain after earnings upgrade

Compass Group shares jumped on Tuesday after the food service group delivered organic revenue growth of 10.3% in Q3, maintaining strong performance across all regions.

Compass Group shares were 4% higher at the time of writing.

The Group’s year-to-date organic revenue growth stands at an impressive 10.9%, with North America leading at 10.6%, followed by Europe at 12.2%, and Rest of World at 9.6%.

“Food service giant Compass continues to attract new business at pace, helping to support a second upgrade to annual forecasts this year,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

“This suggests the company’s decision to ease prices in line with inflation is a good one as it helps drive loyalty among existing customers and attract new ones, bolstering an already strong market position. It also suggests a return to the office – as hybrid working policies are adjusted – is proving beneficial.

“The company and its management team see plenty more business to go after, with a large chunk of catering still done in-house.”

Investors will be pleased to see Net New Business growth accelerated in Q3, while pricing moderated in line with inflation. The company’s volumes continued to benefit from its high-quality offerings and competitive pricing compared to high street alternatives, attracting more customers to its services.

Compass Group has been actively reshaping its portfolio, replicating its successful North American model in other regions. The company’s net expenditure on mergers and acquisitions, including the purchase of CH&CO and the sale of its Brazilian business, amounted to $836 million year-to-date.

A major driver to today’s share price performance will be an upgrade to guidance. The company now anticipates underlying operating profit growth to exceed 15% on a constant-currency basis, with organic revenue growth surpassing 10%.

Beazley confirms no change to guidance after Crowdstrike outage

Insurer Beazley has confirmed there is no change to its guidance after a global IT outage caused by Crowdstrike raised fears about potential claims.

As a leading cyber security insurer, Beazley was the FTSE 100’s biggest faller on Friday as an update fault rendered millions of Microsoft devices useless and brought airports, banks, and businesses across the globe to standstill.

Beazely investors breathed a sigh of relief on Tuesday as the cyber security insured said the outage would not impact guidance for earnings.

In a statement released on Tuesday, Beazley said:

“Given the unprecedented nature of this event and Beazley’s position as a leading cyber insurer, the Company has elected to provide an update on its position in relation to the outage.  Based on what is known at this point, the event will not change the current undiscounted combined ratio guidance of low-80s for the full year.

“Beazley will update the market on its first half performance on 8 August and will provide any further relevant updates in relation to this event at that time.”

Beazley shares were 1.9% higher at the time of writing as investors digested the update and considered the longer term implications for the company.

“Beazley calmed market fears by saying there is no change to its full-year guidance as it currently stands. Whether that situation changes over the coming days is another thing. A lot of companies will still be getting their head around the full impact of the global IT outage and Beazley might simply be facing the calm before the storm,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

“The flipside is that more companies might feel compelled to buy cyber insurance to give them protection against any future incidents, which could benefit Beazley.”

Petro Matad issues progress update on Mongolian operations

Petro Matad has announced the commencement of completion operations on its Heron-1 oil discovery. The work, which began on 22 July, involves PetroChina’s well completion subsidiary DQE and Petro Matad’s team.

The update follows a recent fund raise which the company says will see them through to first production from their Block XX field.

The planned operations include a reservoir stimulation process to enhance near wellbore drainage and the installation of downhole production equipment. These activities are expected to conclude by mid-August.

Following the completion operations, the company will prepare the wellsite for surface production equipment installation, slated to begin in August. Once the surface equipment is connected and commissioned, the Heron-1 well will be ready for production start-up.

Petro Matad has scheduled meetings with the Mineral Resources and Petroleum Authority of Mongolia (MRPAM) and PetroChina’s in-country management team before the end of July. These discussions aim to finalise cooperation agreements, allowing Petro Matad access to PetroChina’s oil processing facilities, transport, and oil sales infrastructure.

Investors will eagerly await further updates, and the company has committed to providing further updates as its 2024 work programme progresses.

FTSE 100 cheers Biden’s withdrawal, Rentokil soars

The FTSE 100 surged on Monday after President Joe Biden withdrew as the Democratic candidate for November’s general election.

Biden had been under pressure to withdraw after a series of blunders raised questions about his ability to carry out his duties in a second term. There were also major concerns he would even make it through the election campaign without further embarrassment, effectively handing the job to Donald Trump.

London’s leading index was 0.8% higher at the time of writing as investors cheered the removal of the ‘will he, won’t he’ uncertainty surrounding Biden continuing the election campaign.

“The market appears to have welcomed Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the presidential race, given how futures prices imply a decent opening for Wall Street. However, there is still a lot of uncertainty until the new Democratic candidate is confirmed. That means we could see heightened volatility over the next few weeks, with assets quickly changing direction depending on the latest comments from Washington,” Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell said.

“Vice President Kamala Harris being endorsed by Biden helps to avoid any panic on markets for now, given she provides continuity and experience supporting the current President. That means the focus for markets in the near-term is likely to be investors reassessing any previous trades they made when it looked like Donald Trump would get back into power.”

The FTSE 100’s gains were broad, with 87 constituents trading higher at the time of writing.

Rentokil Initial was the top gainer after the pest control company became the latest UK-listed company to be targeted for a takeover by a private equity group. Rentokil Initial shares were 9% at the time of writing.

The bottom of the leaderboard was dominated by falling airlines after Ryanair reported a surprise miss in earnings estimates. Airlines and the rest of the travel sector have been enjoying a wave of optimism around the resilience of holiday makers during the cost of living crisis. Ryanair cast doubt over this today and sent a shock wave through the entire sector, sending Easyjet down 8% and IAG off by 3%.

“Ryanair disappoints as the outlook over the key summer period looks weak,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“First quarter profit after tax of €360mn was well below what markets expected as ticket prices plummeted. The outlook was poor, too, with Ryanair expecting lower prices as peak summer travel kicks in. There will be knock-on effects to the wider sector from this, though it’s a little unclear whether the likes of easyJet are facing issues at quite this scale.”

Tristel beats expectations as North American sales commence

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Disinfection products supplier Tristel (LON: TSTL) generated higher revenues than expected in the year to June 2024. The share price improved 6.67% to 480p.

Full year revenues were 16% ahead at £41.9m, which beat the company’s target rate of annual growth of 10-15%. Underlying pre-tax profit will be at least £8m, compared with the forecast of £7.6m. There was £11.6m in the bank at the end of June 2024.

Demand for Tristel products is strong across its various geographic regions. North American sales of Tristel ULT disinfectant for ultrasound instruments commenced in February.

Cavendish is holding off updating its forecasts until Matt Sassone takes over as its new chief executive in September and the full results are published in October. There should be a better idea of the new chief executive’s initial plans, although there is unlikely to be major changes. The 2024-25 pre-tax profit forecast is currently £10m.

Matt Sassone experience of the US market will be useful to Tristel. He developed the high usage programme (HUP) for non-invasive hemodynamic monitoring technology developer LiDCO. Under the HUP the hospital can treat any number of patients with a monitor during the year when they sign up for a multi-year deal.