Premier Miton shares jump as AuM hits £10.6bn in Q3, looks forward to rate cuts

Premier Miton Group shares jumped on Friday after the fund manager announced assets under management rose in Q3 as the group enjoyed inflows during the period.

The company’s AuM reached £10.6 billion as of 30 June 2024, up from £9.8 billion at the end of September 2023.

Premier Miton shares were 6% higher at the time of writing.

The group experienced net inflows into its equity funds during June 2024, signalling a potential turnaround in investor sentiment towards this asset class. Fixed income funds also saw net inflows throughout the quarter, reflecting ongoing investor interest in this sector.

However, these positive trends were partially offset by net outflows from multi-asset funds and segregated mandates.

“The Group’s AuM ended the Quarter at £10.6 billion, an increase of 8% on the opening position for the financial year,” said Mike O’Shea, Chief Executive Officer.

“We have seen an improvement in the outlook for fund sales during the Quarter. It is pleasing to note that we have seen continued demand for our fixed income funds as well as a more recent improvement in the flow position for our international equity funds. Demand for UK equities remains subdued despite the strong relative performance of the asset class. In total, we experienced net positive flows across our fixed income and equity funds during the Quarter.

“We have continued to experience a weak environment for multi-asset fund sales, particularly in our multi-manager range, despite our strong long-term performance record in this area. I am, however, pleased to announce that our managed portfolio service, managed by our highly successful multi-manager team, is now live for our first intermediary clients and will be more widely available as we move through this Autumn. We continue to see good interest from advisers for a cost-effective managed portfolio service run by one of the most experienced multi-manager teams in the market. 

“During the Quarter we were pleased to have successfully completed the integration of the Tellworth business onto the Premier Miton platform. This will allow us to right size the cost base of the business and we are confident that with improved access to our distribution and marketing capabilities the Tellworth business will flourish over the coming months and years.    

“As I have mentioned previously, falling interest rates are likely to be the catalyst for an improvement in fund sales more generally and we expect that rates will start to decline as we move through the latter half of 2024 and into 2025. We remain confident that our clear proposition in active management and our belief in the potential of mid-sized and smaller companies to deliver significant long-term outperformance over index strategies, alongside our diversified product range and powerful distribution capabilities will allow the Group to perform well for our clients and our shareholders as this occurs.”   

FTSE 100 gains after rotation out of US technology shares

The FTSE 100 opened up higher on Friday, which was at odds with a sell-off in the US technology that saw investors rotate out of stocks such as Nvidia, Tesla and Meta into an array of sectors that have been overlooked in the recent rally.

The interest in more ‘traditional’ sectors helped spark a rally in European indices that aren’t dominated by technology companies and have a greater exposure to the wider economy.

The tech-light FTSE 100 has opened higher, taking a cue from yesterday’s session in overseas markets,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“In a rare occurrence of late, the S&P 500 equal weight index, which is less focussed on the technology-dominated mega-caps, outperformed the headline S&P 500, climbing 1.1% while the latter fell 0.9%. Tesla fell 7.4%, giving up much of the gains seen so far this month, and Wall Street darling NVIDIA’s shares were down 5.6%. Given its staggering performance on all but the shortest time horizons, some profit-taking and indeed diversification is not unhealthy.”

There was a notable interest in cyclical FTSE 100 shares on Thursday, with Rightmove topping the leaderboard, followed closely by JD Sports.

The risk-on nature of trade on Friday was reinforced by the selling of defensive sectors such as utilities and precious metals stocks. United Utilities was the top faller, down 1.7%, while Severn Trent retraced some of yesterday’s gains.

Attention will be on the US session and whether AI-related stocks can bounce back from the sell-off overnight, and if buying in the across the rest of major indices continues.

Investors will also be mindful a string of UK data suggests the economy isn’t as weak as people first thought putting the chances of an interest rate cut next month at risk.

“Right now, a strong economy is a bit of a double-edged sword for MPC policymakers assessing which way they will jump come 1 August,” said AJ Bell head of financial analysis Danni Hewson.

AIM movers: Faron Pharmaceuticals FDA progress and Titon disappoints

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Faron Pharmaceuticals (LON: FARN) has met with the FDA in the US to discuss the plan for registration for bexmarilimab for treating myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). The FDA acknowledged the difficulty of running a randomised study in the relapsed/ refractory setting and proposed a phase III study in frontline high risk MDS. This study targets a larger number of patients and could speed up approval for the cancer treatment. The share price increased 31.3% to 130p.

Oracle Power (LON: ORCP) says drilling results from the Northern Zone project in Western Australia has intersected gold mineralisation to the north and south of the maiden resource. There is shallower supergene gold mineralisation than anticipated. Further drilling is planned to the north east. The share price rose 11.9% to 0.0235p.

Kidney diagnostics company Renalytix (LON: RENX) is collaborating with the Steno Diabetes Center in Copenhagen. This is a move to expand outside of the US. The initial focus is implementing the KidneyIntelX diagnostic in Copenhagen. This could help to open up the European market. The share price improved 9.09% to 12p.

Healthcare services provider Totally (LON: TLY) has secured extensions to three elective care contracts worth a total of £8m. These contracts help the NHS to reduce waiting lists. There are three extensions to urgent care services contracts worth £3.5m in total. This helped the share price rebound 8.97% to 7.9p.

FALLERS

Trading has been tougher than expected at window components supplier Titon (LON: TON), which has led to forecast downgrades. An increased loss of £1.5m is expected this year. Chief executive Tom Carpenter was appointed two months ago and restructuring measures will reduce costs. There are signs of demand recovering, but orders are slower in turning into sales.  The share price slipped 12.5% to 70p.

Tavistock Investments (LON: TAVI) is launching a claim against investment manager Titan following its decision to terminate the relationship. Tavistock Investments denies Titan’s accusation of wrongful conduct. Titan’s portfolios have been in the 99th and 100th percentiles and performed well below benchmark. The share price fell 6.45% to 2.9p.

Four directors of SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE) have been buying shares. Chief executive Graham Reid bought 225,780 shares at 2.158p each, finance director Simon Hirst 850,000 shares at 1.9875p each, chairman Duncan Black 271,951 shares at 2p each and non-exec John Woodley 500,000 shares at 2.0025p each. Even so, the share price is 4.44% lower at 2.15p.

Ex-dividends

Anpario (LON: ANP) is paying a final dividend of 7.5p/share and the share price fell 5p to 332.5p.

Cake Box (LON: CBOX) is paying a final dividend of 6.1p/share and the share price is 7.5p lower at 177.5p.

Character Group (LON: CCT) is paying an interim dividend of 8p/share and the share price slipped 6p to 296p.

Caledonia Mining Corp (LON: CMCL) is paying a dividend of 14 cents/share and the share price is unchanged at 795p.

Heavitree Brewery (LON: HVT) is paying an interim dividend of 2.25p/share and the share price is unchanged at 265p.

i3 Energy (LON: I3E) is paying a dividend of 0.26p/share and the share price is down 0.285p to 9.895p.

Kitwave (LON: KITW) is paying an interim dividend of 3.85p/share and the share price is 37.5p higher at 346.25p.

Marks Electrical (LON: MRK) is paying a final dividend of 0.66p/share and the share price is unchanged at 70p.

MS International (LON: MSI) is paying a final dividend of 16.5p/share and the share price slipped 17,5p to 1087.5p.

Real Estate Investors (LON: RLE) is paying a dividend of 0.5p/share and the share price dipped 0.5p to 36p.

Sanderson Design Group (LON: SDG) is paying a final dividend of 2.75p/share and the share price fell 2p to 90.5p.

Shoe Zone (LON: SHOE) is paying an interim dividend of 2.5p/share and the share price declined 2.5p to 145p.

FTSE 100 gains as UK GDP beats expectations, Severn Trent jumps

The FTSE 100 rose on Thursday after UK GDP beat expectations and the FCA announced new listings rules which combined to help improve sentiment around UK stocks.

UK GDP grew faster than expected in May as the construction industry surprised the naysayers with a boost in activity. The UK’s obsession with the weather has much broader implications than the subject of small talk and was a key factor in May’s strong GDP reading.

“May’s warmer weather meant the sun shone on the construction industry in May. The sector grew by 1.9% in volume terms in May 2024, following a 1.1% fall in April with increases in new work and repairs and maintenance keeping builders busy,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

London’s leading index was 0.25% higher at the time of writing, although the housebuilders didn’t join a rally largely driven by utilities.

“As England football fans nurse some headaches, UK markets have opened higher after GDP figures came in better than expected and Wall Street continued on its record run,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“GDP grew by 0.4% in May, compared to a consensus of 0.2%. The consumer-led recovery is taking shape, buoyed by the return of real income growth and improved housing activity. The double-edged sword for markets is that if GDP runs too hot, it’ll likely make the Bank of England’s rate-cutting decision a little tougher.”

Questions about the possibility of a Bank of England rate cut were reflected in a stronger pound, which kept a lid on gains in overseas earners.

FTSE 100 gainers

The London Stock Exchange Group rose after the FCA announced a revision to its listing rules to help promote London as a listing destination.

“These changes should be welcomed, as they will with other recent changes (e.g. British ISA) increase the attractiveness of the UK equity market,” said James Lowen, Senior Fund Manager of the JOHCM UK Equity Income Fund.

“However, the changes to date have been incremental, and more will need to be done e.g. mandated domestic allocations for pensions funds, removal of stamp duty, to fully restore the UK market competitiveness on the World stage and remove the material valuation discount the UK trades on, that itself, puts off new companies listing on the market.”

Severn Trent was the top riser after releasing a positive trading update in which the group said performance was in line with expectations and outlined plans for investment in infrastructure.

Severn Trent has reported another strong start to the year and remains on track to meet guidance forecasts. However, there are some potential problems for the company bubbling beneath the surface,” said Mark Crouch, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“A distinct lack of investment in the country’s water infrastructure has almost become a throwaway line in recent years, with water companies accused of prioritising profits over safety and quality while running something of a monopoly, given the lack of competition.”

Severn Trent shares were 4% higher at the time of writing.

Jet2 shares climb as record passengers drive 33% profit boost

Jet2 shares has announced its preliminary unaudited results for the year ended 31 March 2024, revealing a 24% increase in revenue, reaching £6,255.3m compared to £5,033.5m in the previous year.

Jet2 shares were 3% higher at the time of writing.

The company is among a plethora of travel companies enjoying unwavering demand from holidaymakers determined to make up for the restrictions during the pandemic.

The group’s operating profit rose 9% to £428.2m, while profit before foreign exchange revaluation and taxation jumped by 33% to £520.1m. Profit before taxation surged 43%, amounting to £529.5m, with profit after taxation increasing by 37% to £399.2m.

These financial improvements were underpinned by record passenger numbers. Total flown passengers grew by 9% to 17.72 million, with a notable 15% increase in higher-margin package holiday customers, who now represent 68.3% of total flown passengers.

“When the weather is as poor as it has been in the UK, it’s no wonder the public have been eager to fly to brighter climates. Jet2’s results tick a lot of the right boxes – revenue, profit and dividends are all up and it flew a record number of passengers,” said AJ Bell’s Russ Mould.

“Consumers continue to do everything they can to have a week or two away on holiday, even if that means cutbacks elsewhere.”

The company’s financial position has been further strengthened, with year-end total cash increasing by 21% to £3,184.7m. ‘Own Cash’, excluding advance customer deposits, stood at £1,331.4m, providing the group with financial resilience and flexibility.

In light of this positive performance, the Board has rewarded investors with an increase in the final dividend by 34% to 10.7p per share.

Looking ahead, Jet2 has expanded its fleet, exercising its remaining Airbus order purchase rights. The company now has a delivery stream of 146 firm ordered A321neo aircraft scheduled through to 2035, indicating long-term growth plans.

Severn Trent shares rise with financial performance ‘on track’

Severn Trent shares hit the highest levels since 2023 after releasing a trading update for the period to 10 July 2024, highlighting robust financial performance and strategic investments.

The company reports that its financial performance for the year remains on track, and it expects to deliver in line with guidance.

Severn Trent share price were 2.77% higher at the time of writing.

A key highlight is the anticipated net Outcome Delivery Incentive (ODI) reward of over £100 million pre-customer-sharing in 17/18 prices for the current year. This performance is set to bring the total net ODI reward for the Asset Management Period 7 (AMP7) to approximately £420 million in nominal prices, reflecting consistent performance for customers.

In terms of capital investment, Severn Trent has already deployed over £300 million in the first quarter of the year. The company maintains its guidance of £1.3 billion to £1.5 billion for the full year, positioning itself strongly for a successful capital investment programme through AMP8.

The company’s Green Power business is set to expand significantly. Following a deal with international solar company Elgin Energy, Severn Trent plans to invest around £100 million in constructing three large-scale solar farms. This investment is expected to increase the company’s energy generation by approximately 150GWh per year, demonstrating a commitment to sustainable practices and potentially reducing operational costs in the long term.

Severn Trent has reported another strong start to the year and remains on track to meet guidance forecasts. However, there are some potential problems for the company bubbling beneath the surface,” said Mark Crouch, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“A distinct lack of investment in the country’s water infrastructure has almost become a throwaway line in recent years, with water companies accused of prioritising profits over safety and quality while running something of a monopoly, given the lack of competition. 

“Severn Trent was responsible for thousands of sewage spills in 2023, with spills increasing more than 30%. To the company’s credit, they have invested significantly into improving their network, however their target of halving spills by 2030 looks at this stage ambitious at best. 

“Severn Trent had proposed a 50% rise in bills over the next five years, however the UK’s water regulator Ofwat has restricted that number to 21%. Calls for the new Labour government to nationalise the water companies are getting louder. And while that prospect seems unlikely, it will hopefully act as a potent incentive for firms to clean up their act.”

Premier Foods – Q1 Trading Update At Next Thursday’s AGM – Foods And Shares For All Occasions

On Thursday of next week, 18th July, Premier Foods (LON:PFD) will be holding its AGM at its St Albans premises in the Centrium Business Park. 

Ahead of the 11am meeting the group will be issuing its Q1 Trading Update, which should be positive in its outlook for the balance of the current year to end March 2025. 

The Business 

Premier Foods declares itself as proud to be British, while employing over 4,000 people operating from 13 manufacturing and office sites across the UK.  

It makes the majority of the food it produces in the UK.  

Wherever it can, it sources sustainably from British suppliers and farmers, such as orchards and dairy farms, to help it create its well-loved products.  

The group has worked with 40% of its suppliers for 10 years or more. 

It supplies a very wide range of customers including retailers, wholesalers, convenience stores and foodservice customers with its iconic products which feature in millions of homes.  

It operates primarily in the ambient food sector, which is one of the largest sectors within the total UK grocery market.  

The group has significant market share in its key grocery categories of: Flavourings & Seasonings (44%); Quick Meals, Snacks & Soups (38%); Ambient Desserts (41%) and Cooking Sauces & Accompaniments (15%).  

Within Sweet Treats it operates in the Ambient Cakes category (18%). 

Additionally, it also has a non-branded food business which manufactures products such as cakes and desserts on behalf of many UK food retailers. 

Its brands include: Batchelors, Loyd Grossman, Homepride, Paxo, Bisto, Oxo, Mr Kipling, Sharwoods, Nissin, Saxa, Angel Delight, FUEL10K, Plantastic, Atora, Marvel, McDougalls, Ambrosia, Birds, Be-Ro, Brown & Polson, Cadbury Cakes, Spice Tailor, and Smash. 

The group claims that 90% of UK households buy one or more of its products each year. 

The company has a growing international business, with many of its brands enjoyed by consumers worldwide. 

Results To End March 2024 

Sales were up 15.1% to £1,122.6m, while its adjusted pre-tax profits were also 15.1% better at £157.9m, but with earnings 6.4% better at 13.7p, while the dividend was 20% better at 1.73p a share. 

CEO Alex Whitehouse stated that: 

“This has been another really strong year for the business with considerable progress across all our key financial metrics and five-pillar growth strategy. In the UK, branded revenue increased by 13.6%, accompanied by 29 basis points of market share gain, as we continued to outperform the market. 

We have a strong set of plans for this year, across each of our strategic pillars and with our return to volume growth, we are on track to deliver on full year expectations.” 

The Equity 

There are 868.79m shares in issue. 

The larger holders include Nissin Foods (24.27%), Van Lanschot Kempen Investment Management (5.52%), Brandes Investment Partners (4.86%), M&G Investment Management (4.02%), JP Morgan Asset Management (3.64%), Dimensional Fund Advisors (3.58%), Southeastern Asset Management (3.55%), The Vanguard Group (3.23%), Paulson & Co (2.94%), and Fidelity Management & Research (2.77%). 

Analyst Views 

Six analysts who follow the group rate the shares as a Strong Buy, with 198p a share as the average price objective. 

Sector specialists Clive Black and Darren Shirley at Shore Capital Markets have estimates out for the current year to end March 2025 for revenues of £1,169.0m, adjusted pre-tax profits of £161.3m, worth 13.7pper share in earnings and paying a 2.1p per share dividend. 

For the next year they see £1,204.0m sales, £169.6m profits, 14.4p earnings and a 2.5p per share dividend. 

My View 

I really like this group – just look at your own kitchen shelves and you will surely see some of its products. 

Such market penetration in its various sectors deserves a premium rating, but as yet it has not been recognised. 

The shares, now 166p, have been up to 180.20p this year, the highest level for at least five years.  

They are underrated and could so easily break up over the 200p level. 

Tekcapital’s Guident receives grant from Space Florida

Tekcapital’s Guident has been awarded a grant from the Space Florida-Israel Innovation Partnership program. The project aims to incorporate low-latency satellite connectivity into Guident’s autonomous vehicle remote monitoring service, helping improving self-driving vehicle safety and reliability.

Set to begin in July 2024, the initiative will utilise non-geostationary satellite technology to create a communication system between autonomous vehicles and remote control centres. The technology is aimed at addressing limitations in terrestrial network coverage, allowing for continuous operation of self-driving vehicles in all weather types and geographical areas.

Tekcapital shares rose after the news was released on Thursday.

Guident is collaborating with Israeli satellite communications company NOVELSAT on this project. NOVELSAT specialises in next-generation content connectivity solutions and will contribute its broadcast and broadband technologies to the project. The partnership aims to enhance network capabilities for autonomous transportation.

The project focuses on developing a system architecture that combines artificial intelligence with satellite communications intended to improve the safety, efficiency, and reliability of autonomous vehicles, which could influence the future of transportation.

As the autonomous vehicle industry develops, Guident’s Space Florida-supported project is aimed at addressing challenges in vehicle communication and control, promoting the adoption of self-driving vehicles through road safety and efficiency.

“At the heart of this project is our commitment to advancing teleoperation safety through rigorous research and testing. We aim to ensure the highest safety and performance standards for autonomous vehicles equipped with this pioneering communication system,” said Dr. Dennis Morgen, Guident’s Vice President for Product and Project Management commented.

“This grant will propel us forward in developing an effective remote monitor and control solution with Space Florida’s invaluable support and strategic expertise.

“This project marks a significant milestone in Guident’s dedication to innovation in autonomous vehicles and monitoring solutions. With a talented team of researchers, engineers, and industry experts, we believe Guident is poised to impact the future of AV transportation.”

FCA shakes up listing rules but ‘more work to be done’

The industry has broadly welcomed new FCA rules to attract exciting companies to London’s exchanges, but there is a general consensus that the changes should be the beginning of a comprehensive package of measures to improve London’s standing on the global stage. 

The FCA have published new rules for listings that aligns the UK with international markets in an effort to bolster London’s ailing equity markets.

The policy statement released today, beginning with ‘The UK’s capital markets are the engine room of our economy’, outlines an array of changes to listings rules, including amendments to shareholder voting requirements and abolishment of the ‘premium’ and ‘standard’ lists, which are to be replaced by a single category.  

UK authorities have been under pressure to act to support London’s capital markets, and today’s FCA policy statement is a direct result of initial work started by the last government.

“A thriving capital market is vital in delivering investment to growing companies plus returns and choice to investors. That’s why we are acting to make it more straightforward for those seeking to list in the UK, while retaining vital protections so investors can help steer the businesses they co-own,” said Sarah Pritchard, Executive Director, Markets and International, at the FCA.

“Regulation is only part of the answer in helping the UK achieve sustainable growth. Other factors also play a significant role in influencing where a company decides to list. We’re committed to continually working together with all those who have a part to play in supporting a thriving UK capital market and thank everyone who has contributed to this work so far.”

With the FCA doing their part to help promote the UK’s capital markets with these early and targeted rule changes, the industry will also have to do theirs to capture the interest of global companies seeking a listing.

“The FCA has simplified the rules for companies looking to list in the UK,” explained Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown. “This comes after the UK has been shunned by companies, both new and existing, due to an overcomplicated system and valuations that lag some of the overseas markets on offer. Simplified listing rules are a first step, but there’s still more work to be done if the UK wants to regain a reputation for nurturing exciting new businesses.

London was once seen as a global power house for international companies seeking to raise capital. However, the number of companies listed in London has plummeted and the IPOs have slowed to a snail’s pace. 

The reaction to today’s rules changes has been positive and seen as a step in the right direction, yet some signal the new Labour government has its work cut out to take London back to its former glory.

“Any policy change that can incentivise or encourage more firms to list in the UK should be welcomed with open arms,” said Dan Moczulski, Managing Director UK, eToro.

“There is a lot of talk about growth from our new government right now. To deliver it, we need a thriving capital market. This requires an environment where companies see the UK as an attractive place to list, and where investors want to invest. 

“The virtuous cycle is clear: more companies listing in the UK attracts more investors, both domestic and global, boosts share prices, and generates more wealth, which in turn encourages even more companies to list. This is arguably the holy grail for our economy in terms of growth. While Jeremy Hunt set his sights on this goal, it’s now up to Rachel Reeves to make it a reality. Hopefully these new rules can help generate momentum for further policy initiatives, laying the foundation for a more dynamic and prosperous UK capital market.”

Personal Group focuses on strengths

Employee benefits and insurance provider Personal Group Holdings (LON: PGH) is selling a business that it acquired ten years ago and has been a disappointing performer over the past few years. This will allow the business to focus on the things it is good at.
One year ago, Paula Constant took on the chief executive role at AIM-quoted Personal Group. She has reviewed strategy, and this identified that the insurance and benefits platform and its offers are a strong business. Management can concentrate on expanding these operations, where there is plenty of scope for growth.
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