Investor Q&A with CleanTech Lithium’s Gordon Stein

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome CleanTech Lithium’s Gordon Stein to our Investor Conference at the London Stock Exchange (LSEG) 22nd May.

This podcast revisits the Q&A session after CleanTech Lithium’s presentation.

For the full presentation, please visit the UK Investor Magazine Video section.

Please apply for complimentary access to our exclusive event series here.

Aferian decline continues and Prospex Energy Selva progress

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Oil and gas company Prospex Energy (LON: PXEN) says current gross production of the PM-1 facility at the Selva Field – 37% interest – is 2.8mmcf/day. This is generating free cash flow of more than £6,000/day. The operator is Po Valley Energy. The Italian government has become more positive about oil and gas exploration. The permitting process for additional wells is progressing. The share price improved 7.91% to 7.5p.

Paul Crompton has been appointed as executive director of RTC Group (LON: RTC). He has been managing director of subsidiary Gannymede since 2013. The share price increased 2.56% to 100p.

Mosman Oil & Gas (LON: MSMN) farm-in partner Greenvale Energy has submitted a seismic environmental management plan for the EP 145 helium project in the Amadeus Basin in Central Australia, where Mosman owns 25%. Seismic data acquisition should begin in August. This will identify drilling locations. The prospective resource estimate is 440bcf of total gas, including 26,4bcf of helium and 26.4bcf of hydrogen. The share price is 7.5% higher at 0.0215p.

Sound Energy (LON: SOU) has mobilised the Star Valley rig 101 to the Tendrara production concession for work on gas wells TE-6 and TE-7 to prepare for long-term gas production. It should arrive in the first week of June. The share price rose 6.34% to 0.9985p.

FALLERS

Video streaming technology provider Aferian (LON: AFRN) reported a 21% decline in annual recurring revenues to $14.7m at the end of November 2023. Total 2022-23 revenues fell from $91.1m to $47.8m, although software sales improved, and Aferian moved from profit to loss. Underlying cash flow fell from $8.9m to $3.2m. Net debt was $6.1m at the end of 2023. Cost savings are being made. Chief executive Donald McGarva will leave in October. The share price dived 18% to 5.125p.

Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (LON: NTOG) reported a decline in revenues from $4.02m to $2.82m, although there was no well impairment charge this year, so the loss was reduced from $546,000 to $472,000. Net debt was $4.4m at the end of 2023. Matt Lofgran has stepped down as chief executive and Paul Welch has stepped up to the role. The share price dipped 13% to 0.1p and it has fallen by one-quarter this week.

Online building materials retailer CMO Group (LON: CMO) reported a 14% drop in revenues to £71.5m with plumbing sales holding up better than other sectors. There was a swing from a pre-tax profit of £175,000 to a loss of £2.33m. Net debt was £600,000. The tiles market continues to decline, but there are signs of recovery in the overall market. Like-for-like sales orders were 18.2% lower, and the second quarter decline has slowed to 7.9%. The share price is 6.82% to 20.5p.

Reabold Resources (LON: RBD) made an underlying loss of £2.8m in 2023. Net cash used in operations was £2.2m. Net cash was £8.2m at the end of April. The company estimates of £12m of capital investment for a single well on the West Newton field in the North Sea, where Reabold has a 56% economic interest directly and indirectly. Funding will need to be arranged for the drilling. The share price declined 6.25% to 0.075p.

Graft Polymer shares fly after announcing mental health treatment patent filing

Graft Polymer share flew on Friday after the biopolymer company it has filed a provisional patent application with the US Patent and Trademark Office related to using its proprietary drug delivery technology for mental health treatments.

Graft Polymer shares were 35% higher at the time of writing.

The application, titled “Composition and methods for mental health disorders using a self-nanoemulsifying drug delivery systems (SNEDDS),” covers using Graft Polymer’s SNEDDS platform to improve the delivery of therapeutics for generalised anxiety disorder, major depressive disorder, post-traumatic stress disorder and other mental health conditions.

Many mental health drug compounds have poor solubility, making effective delivery a challenge. Graft Polymer’s SNEDDS technology aims to enhance bioavailability, pharmacokinetics and stability to address this obstacle.

This patent filing follows the company’s announcement last week that it applied for similar protection for using SNEDDS to deliver addiction treatment drugs. The mental health application is part of Graft Polymer’s strategic shift to focus on healthcare after divesting its industrial plastics manufacturing unit earlier this month.

“We are delighted to announce further progress in leveraging our existing biopolymer intellectual property for additional important healthcare applications with substantial unmet medical needs,” said Anthony Tennyson, Graft Polymer CEO.

JD Sports shares sink as the retailer warns of ‘challenging market’

JD Sports shares sank on Friday after the company signalled it was facing ‘challenging market’ conditions. Sales dropped last year, and the weakness has continued into the current year.

Readers of the company’s 2024 full-year results were met with the headline ‘Strategic Progress in a Challenging Market’ presented in big bold type at the top of the release.

Investors have focused on the latter half of this statement and dumped shares in early trade on Friday.

“Results came in later than expected and pointed to continued volatility in the market. Underlying profits landed within their previously downgraded guided range, marking an 8% fall from last year,” said Guy Lawson-Johns, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Falling profit will be a real disappointment for investors but this was already largely priced. The assertion the company is operating in a challenging market will do nothing to increase confidence it can bounce back in the year ahead. This did the real damage on Friday.

Indeed, sales fell again in the first quarter, highlighting ongoing softness in demand for premium sportswear. JD Sports did confirm guidance for the year but this has been met with a healthy dose of scepticism given the poor trading results so far this year.

“It also reiterated its guidance for profit to be in the £955-£1,035mn range this year, despite a 6.4% drop in sales in its home market in the first quarter,” Lawson-Johns said.

“Achieving that will be a tall order if challenging markets prevail, but through the store rollout program, the company is taking proactive steps to shape its future.”

“Since joining in 2022, CEO Régis Schultz hasn’t shied away from ambitious expansion plans in North America and Europe. With 200 new stores opened last year and another 200 planned this year, Schultz is clearly focused on growth. Fuelled by £0.5bn of additional capital spend, expansion isn’t coming cheap, but new stores exceeding internal sales expectations by 20% show early signs that the investment is working.

“With growth seemingly not coming quickly enough, the latest billion-dollar Hibbett deal will see the British footwear retailer accelerate its North American growth plans. Adding over 1,000 stores in a key growth market is an attractive proposition, and while the focus on acquisitions may leave little room to increase the dividend, gearing up for future growth could be the best use of capital.”

JD Sports were down 8% at the time of writing.

Currys – Strong Trading Sees Shares Higher Ahead Of Finals Next Month

There is a bit of a renewed buzz in the market concerning the shares of technology products retail group Currys (LON:CURY).

They put on a clear 7.21% gain yesterday, closing up 5.15p at 76.60p, after a massive 7.68m shares were traded.

The sparking of interest came after broker Berenberg upgraded its view of the group’s shares, switching from Hold to Buy, while at the same time lifting its Price Objective from 67p to 90p.

Other City analysts have even higher aspirations for the shares.

Recovery Is Expected

And the reasons are based upon the way the leading omnichannel retailer of electrical products and services is recovering its trading poise.

That was clearly indicated in the middle of May when the group issued a Trading Update for the year to 27th April 2024, giving the market a guidance that its full year adjusted pre-tax profits will be at least £10m higher than expected coming in the range of £115m-£120m.

The Update suggested that its end of year net cash position will be at some £95m, which compares to the current market value of £868m.

The Business Now

Following the disposal of its Greek interests in April the group is left operating online and through 720 stores in some 6 countries, being the market leader in all of its markets.

In the UK it also operates iD Mobile, its own mobile virtual network, which is a business many of the City whisperers suggest should be either sold off or floated as a separate entity, which could almost double the whole group’s value.

Analyst Comments

Berenberg notes that the group’s improving sales momentum, its expansion of market share and its presence within a significantly depressed, highly discretionary segment of domestic retail, makes it well placed to benefit from a near-term rebound in demand.

“Despite a record of building sales momentum and UK end-market dynamics that are well suited for demand recovery, Currys trades on a significant discount to peers. We expect this discount to diminish as trading momentum continues, indebtedness reduces further and growth accelerates.”

Over at Liberum Capital its analysts applaud the disposal of the Greek stores and its management’s attention to the other parts of its whole business.

Sector specialist Adam Tomlinson concludes that the current valuation remains far too cheap, giving no credit for any further earnings upside even as momentum now turns positive and ahead of macro signs improving.

Management Comment

At the time of its latest Trading Update, its third upgrade in the last year, CEO Alex Baldock stated that:

“Our performance is strengthening, with good momentum in the UK&I, and with the Nordics getting back on track.

Sales are now growing again, margins are benefiting from higher customer adoption of solutions and services, and cost discipline is good.

All this means improved profits and, with our strong cash position, we’re well set up for the year ahead.”

Between now and Thursday 27th June, when the full year results are due to be published, market views infer that further price rises can be expected.

MicroSalt upbeat after ‘transformational year’

MicroSalt released its first full-year results as a London-listed company on Thursday and hailed a ‘transformational’ year in which it won contracts with some of the world’s largest food companies.

Given the full year results released today covered the period up until the end of 2023 – when the company was heavily engaged in R&D – there was little of note in terms of financials.

Since listing in London in February, MicroSalt has announced a string of commercial updates demonstrating expansion into new markets and growth in existing markets. We will learn about the financial impact of these developments in the coming reports.

Sales were fairly flat on the prior year in 2023, and, as one would for a company investing in R&D, losses grew slightly.

The big takeaways were the company’s upbeat outlook and insights into relationships with major customers. MicroSalt said key customers were integrating its low-sodium technology into its products, and 2024 would be a key year for orders from new and existing customers.

“This has been a transformational year for MicroSalt and with continued evidence of the timeliness and essential nature of its products as it emerged as a recognised and preferred choice for product reformulation globally,” said CEO Rick Guiney.

“Our geographic outreach is expanding all the time, now with inroads into Asia, Australia, South Africa, the UK, Germany, Canada and Latin America with a resultant boost to our sales pipeline. Furthermore, our consumer products including SaltMe crisps and MicroSalt shakers have successfully provided a low-sodium alternative for households worldwide, cementing our brand as an essential, generation-spanning choice. I am delighted that we can look ahead with the utmost confidence and in eager anticipation of further successes awaiting us”.

AIM movers: TPXimpact beats expectations and ex-dividends

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Digitisation services provider TPXimpact (LON: TPX) says 2023-24 revenues were slightly above expectations at £84m. EBITDA margin was in the middle of the 5%-6% range. Net debt has fallen to just over £7m, which is much lower than forecast. There was £139m of work won last year. There could be some short-term disruption from the General Election. The share price soared 33.9% to 43.5p.

Insig AI (LON: INSG) has taken a 5.45% stake in AI and blockchain company ImpactScope OU. Insig AI will sell its Greenwashing Identifiet technology to asset managers. The payment was 900,000 shares at 13.75p each and Insig Ai has an option to subscribe for more shares. New Insig AI executive chairman Richard Bernstein has subscribed £100,000 at 20p/share. The share price jumped 30.2% to 14p.

FireAngel Safety Technology (LON: FA.) says the approval conditions from the UK government for the bid by Intelligent Safety Electronics are acceptable. The conditions involve corporate governance, the appointment of a UK vetted chief information security officer and requirements relating to the design of network products. The bid is 7.4p/share and the offer timetable has resumed. The share price recovered 21.7% to 7p.

Longboat Energy (LON: LBE) shares have recovered 9.59% to 8p following yesterday’s announcement that net production at the Statfjord satellites has been poor so far this year. Two out of five redevelopment wells are not producing. Average production was 401boe/day in the first four months of 2024 rising to 544boe/day so far in May. Further capital expenditure is required.

FALLERS

Diagnostics company Novacyt (LON: NCYT) has reported 2023 figures including four months contribution from Yourgene Health. Revenues were £11.6m, down from £21m, but there is underlying growth excluding Covid-related sales. The post-tax loss was £28.3m, but more than £4m of annualised cost savings have been made. There was £44.1m in the bank at the end of 2023, although that has fallen to £36.3m. The trial relating to litigation with the DHSC starts on 10 June. The share price fell 13.2% to 57.8p.

Low sodium salt developer MicroSalt (LON: SALT) has made strong progress over the past year, including the flotation on AIM. The 2023 results announced today represent a period prior to flotation. MicroSalt was still in a period of building up its customer base and reported a loss of £3.5m. There was profit taking with a 14.6% decline to 87.5p, which is still more than double the 43p placing price in February.

Technology investment company Tern (LON: TERN) reported a £11.1m decrease in the valuation of its investments during 2023. The portfolio was valued at £12.7m and medical AI business Talking Medicines was the only major investment that rose in value. Konektio has been written down to nil. NAV is 3.2p/share. The share price weakened 8.93% to 2.55p.

Pharmacogenetic tests developer Genedrive (LON: GDR) has raised £2.03m through an open offer and £1.89m via a REX retail offer. That takes the total raised to £6m, which was the minimum required. The share price declined 11.4% to 1.55p.

Ex-dividends

Advanced Medical Solutions (LON: AMS) is paying a final dividend of 1.66p/share and the share price improved 1.25p to 211.25p.

Anexo (LON: ANX) is paying a final dividend of 1.5p/share and the share price slipped 0.5p to 68p.

Cerillion (LON: CER) is paying an interim dividend of 4p/share and the share price fell 5p to 1495p.

Gamma Communications (LON: GAMA) is paying a final dividend of 11.4p/share and the share price rose 1p to 1459p.

H&T Group (LON: HAT) is paying a final dividend of 10.5p/share and the share price dipped 9.5p to 390.5p.

Likewise (LON: LIKE) is paying a final dividend of 0.25p/share and the share price is unchanged at 15.5p.

Origin Enterprises (LON: OGN) is paying an interim dividend of 3.15 cents/share and the share price is unchanged at 311 cents.

Yu Group (LON: YU.) is paying a final dividend of 37p/share and the share price increased 22.5p to 1812.5p.

FTSE 100 recovers early losses as Autotrader accelerates higher

The FTSE 100 found a response to rising interest rate tensions and souring sentiment on Thursday as early losses were met with a bid for Uk stocks in early trade.

Markets had been almost euphoric at the beginning of May so the step down in sentiment was to be expected, yet it still doesn’t soften the blow for investors looking at a FTSE 100 that’s fast approaching the 8,000 mark.

We noted earlier in the week a raft of Federal Reserve speakers would be scrutinised for their comments on inflation and interest rates and the mood music hasn’t been favourable with bond yields rising.

“Treasury yields have risen to four-week highs, following relatively cautious comments from the Federal Reserve about the interest rate cutting cycle, which has dented market confidence,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Concerns about US rates inevitably translate to concerns about UK interest rates, and the poor overnight session in the US played a part in the FTSE 100’s decline early on Thursday. 

Although the index started in the red, London’s leading index staged a midmorning rally and turned positive with the index trading at 8,197, up 0.17% at the time of writing.

With important US PCE data set for release later in the session, one would expect a choppy day for stocks as traders react to expectation of when the Federal Reserve will cut rates.

“European markets dug their heels in and tried to stop the declines that dominated yesterday’s headlines. The FTSE 100 was firm, the IBEX 35 nudged ahead 0.7% and the Dax dipped 0.2%. Stability is welcome, but pre-market indicative prices point to another bad day on Wall Street so the jury is still out whether today is going to end up being another difficult session for equities or not,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

Autotrader

Autotrader accelerated to the top of the FTSE 100 leaderboard on Thursday after posting upbeat full-year results in which revenue grew 12% despite a general slowdown in new car sales. The company has enjoyed a buoyant second-hand car market that sees second hand cars no selling faster than before the pandemic.

“It’s hard not to be impressed with Auto Trader’s rise since its 2015 IPO. The UK’s largest online automotive marketplace has been shifting through the gears, generating increasing returns for its shareholders while showing no sign of slowing down,” said Mark Crouch, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“Despite the onset of inflation in 2021, causing revenues to stall, the company has since stepped on the gas and revenues per user have rebounded to record highs in each of the following three years. It’s little surprise then that this morning’s full year earnings report is more of the same. Revenues, profits and cash flow have all moved higher.

“Auto Trader has made itself indispensable to buyers and sellers in recent years. With at least 80% of buyers using Auto Trader, this has resulted in franchise retailers, manufacturers and private sellers turning to Auto Trader as a matter of course.

UK house prices slip as supply jumps – Zoopla

Zoopla has released its May House Price Index, revealing a marginal year-on-year drop in UK house prices as housing stocks hit record levels.

According to Zoopla, the average UK house price fell 0.1% in the year to May as sales agreed rose 13% with sellers feeling more confident to put their house on the market.

The number of homes on the market is at the highest levels for 8 years. Zoopla says estate agents have 20% more homes for sale than at the same time last year.

However, the rise in supply has capped prices – a trend that is thought to continue to persist throughout the rest of the year.

“There is a record high supply of homes for sale which shows renewed confidence among sellers, many of whom are also buyers. Greater choice will keep prices in check over 2024. The general election is likely to dampen the number of sales agreed in the run up to summer,” Richard Donnell, Executive Director – Research, at Zoopla.

As with all house price index data, there is massive dispersion in the activity in different regions of the UK. London has seen the slowest increase in homes available for sale, with an increase of just shy of 10%, while the South West has seen a bumper 33% jump in housing stocks.

Dr Martens shares jump on cost-cutting plans

Dr Martens share surged on Thursday as investors chose to look past dismal sales performance and focus on substantial cost cuts.

The group met already subdued guidance which would have pleased investors with low expectations for the full year results.

Although the CEO was fairly upbeat about the earnings report, sales performance would have made horrible reading for investors. Group sales were down 12% as North American sales dived 24% – a region the company says it wants to focus on in 2025.

“Our FY24 results were as expected and reflect continued weak USA consumer demand. This particularly impacted our USA wholesale business and offset our Group DTC performance, where pairs grew by 7%,” said Kenny Wilson, Chief Executive Officer, Dr Martens.

“We are clear that we need to drive demand in the USA to return to growth in FY26 onwards and are executing a detailed plan to achieve this, with refocused and increased USA marketing investment in the year ahead.”

With group sales falling double digits in percentage terms, Dr Martens needed to take a long hard look at their business to figure out how they were going to stop the erosion of the bottom line. 

The easy answer to this conundrum is almost always cost cuts and that’s what the company has decided to do. 

The company has highlighted ‘organisational efficiency’ and ‘operational streamlining’ as methods to reduce costs suggesting some staff members could be facing the boot. 

“The firm has announced a raft of cost cutting measures and it seems they do need to pull themselves up by the bootstraps to get out of this financial quagmire. The new CFO is targeting savings of £20-25 million, news of which is being well received by the market this morning. This morning’s bid however is a drop in the ocean, given that the shares have pretty much been on the decline since the IPO in 2021,” said Adam Vettese, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“Consumers have been under pressure in this higher inflation environment and with their punchy ticket price, a pair of Docs is probably one of the first luxuries to make way. The numbers would back this up.”