Currys – Strong Trading Sees Shares Higher Ahead Of Finals Next Month

There is a bit of a renewed buzz in the market concerning the shares of technology products retail group Currys (LON:CURY).

They put on a clear 7.21% gain yesterday, closing up 5.15p at 76.60p, after a massive 7.68m shares were traded.

The sparking of interest came after broker Berenberg upgraded its view of the group’s shares, switching from Hold to Buy, while at the same time lifting its Price Objective from 67p to 90p.

Other City analysts have even higher aspirations for the shares.

Recovery Is Expected

And the reasons are based upon the way the leading omnichannel retailer of electrical products and services is recovering its trading poise.

That was clearly indicated in the middle of May when the group issued a Trading Update for the year to 27th April 2024, giving the market a guidance that its full year adjusted pre-tax profits will be at least £10m higher than expected coming in the range of £115m-£120m.

The Update suggested that its end of year net cash position will be at some £95m, which compares to the current market value of £868m.

The Business Now

Following the disposal of its Greek interests in April the group is left operating online and through 720 stores in some 6 countries, being the market leader in all of its markets.

In the UK it also operates iD Mobile, its own mobile virtual network, which is a business many of the City whisperers suggest should be either sold off or floated as a separate entity, which could almost double the whole group’s value.

Analyst Comments

Berenberg notes that the group’s improving sales momentum, its expansion of market share and its presence within a significantly depressed, highly discretionary segment of domestic retail, makes it well placed to benefit from a near-term rebound in demand.

“Despite a record of building sales momentum and UK end-market dynamics that are well suited for demand recovery, Currys trades on a significant discount to peers. We expect this discount to diminish as trading momentum continues, indebtedness reduces further and growth accelerates.”

Over at Liberum Capital its analysts applaud the disposal of the Greek stores and its management’s attention to the other parts of its whole business.

Sector specialist Adam Tomlinson concludes that the current valuation remains far too cheap, giving no credit for any further earnings upside even as momentum now turns positive and ahead of macro signs improving.

Management Comment

At the time of its latest Trading Update, its third upgrade in the last year, CEO Alex Baldock stated that:

“Our performance is strengthening, with good momentum in the UK&I, and with the Nordics getting back on track.

Sales are now growing again, margins are benefiting from higher customer adoption of solutions and services, and cost discipline is good.

All this means improved profits and, with our strong cash position, we’re well set up for the year ahead.”

Between now and Thursday 27th June, when the full year results are due to be published, market views infer that further price rises can be expected.

MicroSalt upbeat after ‘transformational year’

MicroSalt released its first full-year results as a London-listed company on Thursday and hailed a ‘transformational’ year in which it won contracts with some of the world’s largest food companies.

Given the full year results released today covered the period up until the end of 2023 – when the company was heavily engaged in R&D – there was little of note in terms of financials.

Since listing in London in February, MicroSalt has announced a string of commercial updates demonstrating expansion into new markets and growth in existing markets. We will learn about the financial impact of these developments in the coming reports.

Sales were fairly flat on the prior year in 2023, and, as one would for a company investing in R&D, losses grew slightly.

The big takeaways were the company’s upbeat outlook and insights into relationships with major customers. MicroSalt said key customers were integrating its low-sodium technology into its products, and 2024 would be a key year for orders from new and existing customers.

“This has been a transformational year for MicroSalt and with continued evidence of the timeliness and essential nature of its products as it emerged as a recognised and preferred choice for product reformulation globally,” said CEO Rick Guiney.

“Our geographic outreach is expanding all the time, now with inroads into Asia, Australia, South Africa, the UK, Germany, Canada and Latin America with a resultant boost to our sales pipeline. Furthermore, our consumer products including SaltMe crisps and MicroSalt shakers have successfully provided a low-sodium alternative for households worldwide, cementing our brand as an essential, generation-spanning choice. I am delighted that we can look ahead with the utmost confidence and in eager anticipation of further successes awaiting us”.

AIM movers: TPXimpact beats expectations and ex-dividends

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Digitisation services provider TPXimpact (LON: TPX) says 2023-24 revenues were slightly above expectations at £84m. EBITDA margin was in the middle of the 5%-6% range. Net debt has fallen to just over £7m, which is much lower than forecast. There was £139m of work won last year. There could be some short-term disruption from the General Election. The share price soared 33.9% to 43.5p.

Insig AI (LON: INSG) has taken a 5.45% stake in AI and blockchain company ImpactScope OU. Insig AI will sell its Greenwashing Identifiet technology to asset managers. The payment was 900,000 shares at 13.75p each and Insig Ai has an option to subscribe for more shares. New Insig AI executive chairman Richard Bernstein has subscribed £100,000 at 20p/share. The share price jumped 30.2% to 14p.

FireAngel Safety Technology (LON: FA.) says the approval conditions from the UK government for the bid by Intelligent Safety Electronics are acceptable. The conditions involve corporate governance, the appointment of a UK vetted chief information security officer and requirements relating to the design of network products. The bid is 7.4p/share and the offer timetable has resumed. The share price recovered 21.7% to 7p.

Longboat Energy (LON: LBE) shares have recovered 9.59% to 8p following yesterday’s announcement that net production at the Statfjord satellites has been poor so far this year. Two out of five redevelopment wells are not producing. Average production was 401boe/day in the first four months of 2024 rising to 544boe/day so far in May. Further capital expenditure is required.

FALLERS

Diagnostics company Novacyt (LON: NCYT) has reported 2023 figures including four months contribution from Yourgene Health. Revenues were £11.6m, down from £21m, but there is underlying growth excluding Covid-related sales. The post-tax loss was £28.3m, but more than £4m of annualised cost savings have been made. There was £44.1m in the bank at the end of 2023, although that has fallen to £36.3m. The trial relating to litigation with the DHSC starts on 10 June. The share price fell 13.2% to 57.8p.

Low sodium salt developer MicroSalt (LON: SALT) has made strong progress over the past year, including the flotation on AIM. The 2023 results announced today represent a period prior to flotation. MicroSalt was still in a period of building up its customer base and reported a loss of £3.5m. There was profit taking with a 14.6% decline to 87.5p, which is still more than double the 43p placing price in February.

Technology investment company Tern (LON: TERN) reported a £11.1m decrease in the valuation of its investments during 2023. The portfolio was valued at £12.7m and medical AI business Talking Medicines was the only major investment that rose in value. Konektio has been written down to nil. NAV is 3.2p/share. The share price weakened 8.93% to 2.55p.

Pharmacogenetic tests developer Genedrive (LON: GDR) has raised £2.03m through an open offer and £1.89m via a REX retail offer. That takes the total raised to £6m, which was the minimum required. The share price declined 11.4% to 1.55p.

Ex-dividends

Advanced Medical Solutions (LON: AMS) is paying a final dividend of 1.66p/share and the share price improved 1.25p to 211.25p.

Anexo (LON: ANX) is paying a final dividend of 1.5p/share and the share price slipped 0.5p to 68p.

Cerillion (LON: CER) is paying an interim dividend of 4p/share and the share price fell 5p to 1495p.

Gamma Communications (LON: GAMA) is paying a final dividend of 11.4p/share and the share price rose 1p to 1459p.

H&T Group (LON: HAT) is paying a final dividend of 10.5p/share and the share price dipped 9.5p to 390.5p.

Likewise (LON: LIKE) is paying a final dividend of 0.25p/share and the share price is unchanged at 15.5p.

Origin Enterprises (LON: OGN) is paying an interim dividend of 3.15 cents/share and the share price is unchanged at 311 cents.

Yu Group (LON: YU.) is paying a final dividend of 37p/share and the share price increased 22.5p to 1812.5p.

FTSE 100 recovers early losses as Autotrader accelerates higher

The FTSE 100 found a response to rising interest rate tensions and souring sentiment on Thursday as early losses were met with a bid for Uk stocks in early trade.

Markets had been almost euphoric at the beginning of May so the step down in sentiment was to be expected, yet it still doesn’t soften the blow for investors looking at a FTSE 100 that’s fast approaching the 8,000 mark.

We noted earlier in the week a raft of Federal Reserve speakers would be scrutinised for their comments on inflation and interest rates and the mood music hasn’t been favourable with bond yields rising.

“Treasury yields have risen to four-week highs, following relatively cautious comments from the Federal Reserve about the interest rate cutting cycle, which has dented market confidence,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Concerns about US rates inevitably translate to concerns about UK interest rates, and the poor overnight session in the US played a part in the FTSE 100’s decline early on Thursday. 

Although the index started in the red, London’s leading index staged a midmorning rally and turned positive with the index trading at 8,197, up 0.17% at the time of writing.

With important US PCE data set for release later in the session, one would expect a choppy day for stocks as traders react to expectation of when the Federal Reserve will cut rates.

“European markets dug their heels in and tried to stop the declines that dominated yesterday’s headlines. The FTSE 100 was firm, the IBEX 35 nudged ahead 0.7% and the Dax dipped 0.2%. Stability is welcome, but pre-market indicative prices point to another bad day on Wall Street so the jury is still out whether today is going to end up being another difficult session for equities or not,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

Autotrader

Autotrader accelerated to the top of the FTSE 100 leaderboard on Thursday after posting upbeat full-year results in which revenue grew 12% despite a general slowdown in new car sales. The company has enjoyed a buoyant second-hand car market that sees second hand cars no selling faster than before the pandemic.

“It’s hard not to be impressed with Auto Trader’s rise since its 2015 IPO. The UK’s largest online automotive marketplace has been shifting through the gears, generating increasing returns for its shareholders while showing no sign of slowing down,” said Mark Crouch, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“Despite the onset of inflation in 2021, causing revenues to stall, the company has since stepped on the gas and revenues per user have rebounded to record highs in each of the following three years. It’s little surprise then that this morning’s full year earnings report is more of the same. Revenues, profits and cash flow have all moved higher.

“Auto Trader has made itself indispensable to buyers and sellers in recent years. With at least 80% of buyers using Auto Trader, this has resulted in franchise retailers, manufacturers and private sellers turning to Auto Trader as a matter of course.

UK house prices slip as supply jumps – Zoopla

Zoopla has released its May House Price Index, revealing a marginal year-on-year drop in UK house prices as housing stocks hit record levels.

According to Zoopla, the average UK house price fell 0.1% in the year to May as sales agreed rose 13% with sellers feeling more confident to put their house on the market.

The number of homes on the market is at the highest levels for 8 years. Zoopla says estate agents have 20% more homes for sale than at the same time last year.

However, the rise in supply has capped prices – a trend that is thought to continue to persist throughout the rest of the year.

“There is a record high supply of homes for sale which shows renewed confidence among sellers, many of whom are also buyers. Greater choice will keep prices in check over 2024. The general election is likely to dampen the number of sales agreed in the run up to summer,” Richard Donnell, Executive Director – Research, at Zoopla.

As with all house price index data, there is massive dispersion in the activity in different regions of the UK. London has seen the slowest increase in homes available for sale, with an increase of just shy of 10%, while the South West has seen a bumper 33% jump in housing stocks.

Dr Martens shares jump on cost-cutting plans

Dr Martens share surged on Thursday as investors chose to look past dismal sales performance and focus on substantial cost cuts.

The group met already subdued guidance which would have pleased investors with low expectations for the full year results.

Although the CEO was fairly upbeat about the earnings report, sales performance would have made horrible reading for investors. Group sales were down 12% as North American sales dived 24% – a region the company says it wants to focus on in 2025.

“Our FY24 results were as expected and reflect continued weak USA consumer demand. This particularly impacted our USA wholesale business and offset our Group DTC performance, where pairs grew by 7%,” said Kenny Wilson, Chief Executive Officer, Dr Martens.

“We are clear that we need to drive demand in the USA to return to growth in FY26 onwards and are executing a detailed plan to achieve this, with refocused and increased USA marketing investment in the year ahead.”

With group sales falling double digits in percentage terms, Dr Martens needed to take a long hard look at their business to figure out how they were going to stop the erosion of the bottom line. 

The easy answer to this conundrum is almost always cost cuts and that’s what the company has decided to do. 

The company has highlighted ‘organisational efficiency’ and ‘operational streamlining’ as methods to reduce costs suggesting some staff members could be facing the boot. 

“The firm has announced a raft of cost cutting measures and it seems they do need to pull themselves up by the bootstraps to get out of this financial quagmire. The new CFO is targeting savings of £20-25 million, news of which is being well received by the market this morning. This morning’s bid however is a drop in the ocean, given that the shares have pretty much been on the decline since the IPO in 2021,” said Adam Vettese, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“Consumers have been under pressure in this higher inflation environment and with their punchy ticket price, a pair of Docs is probably one of the first luxuries to make way. The numbers would back this up.”

Genedrive – Shareholders Give Company Strong Support In Funding Rescue

The point of care pharmacogenetic testing company Genedrive (LON:GDR) appears to have been successful in it urgently required funding.

On Thursday 9th May the group announced that it was seeking £6.0m of fresh funds to continue its development work.

Without such funding it warned that it effectively had only a few weeks left of available capital to pay its way ahead.

Sudden Requirement

The sudden requirement for new funds was declared by way of a Firm Placing for £168,000, a Conditional Placing for £1.9m, with the balance needed to be raised through a £2.03m Open Offer and around £1.89m through an Offer by REX, the Peel Hunt platform.

Funding Success

This morning the Manchester-based company stated that it had received a massive support from 94.4% of its shareholders in its Open Offer, which was impressive.

In total some 388.83m new shares will be issued at 1.5p each, to raise net proceeds, after expenses, of around £5.47m.

CEO James Cheek stated that:

We are delighted with the response from our retail shareholders and other investors to this financing which will enable the Company to further drive market penetration and sales of its MT-RNR1 test and its CYP2C19 test whilst also progressing our U.S. regulatory plans for our MT-RNR1 test. 

Nearer term we await NICE’s final decision on the recommendation for our CYP2C19 test which is due on 10 July 2024 and we are very encouraged by the ongoing performance of this test in the DEVOTE programme as announced by the Company on 21 May.”  

Before the market opened this morning the shares were standing at 1.75p.

Shareholder support to depose Tirupati Graphite management builds

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Pressure is building on the Tirupati Graphite (LON: TGR) board with former non-executive directors backing the requisitioners of the general meeting to be held on 11 June. The plan is to remove the three existing directors and appoint four new ones.

The latest declared backer is Tirupati Graphite chief executive Shishir Poddar’s brother and company co-founder Hemant Poddar, who resigned as a non-executive director at the end of January. He backs the plans of the four proposed directors. He says that his attempts to change the organisation were dismissed by the executives. He also criticises investor communications over the past year in particular.

He highlights conflicts of interest, including the supply of processing plant equipment to Tirupati Graphite by companies related to management. There are also a range of services, such as accounting, provided by related companies. He describes the value of these transactions as “humongous”.

He also points out the failure of the company to become an integrated producer of natural flake graphite all the way through to the manufacture of value-added products. Tirupati Graphite had ambitious plans when it floated on 14 December 2020. There appears to have been a disappointingly small amount achieved since then.

The overall strategy relied on becoming a fully integrated graphite and graphene producer. Instead, a related company called Pranagraf, where Hemant Poddar has a 35% stake, has been used to process graphite and it has grown separately on the back of this. He was keen for the business to be acquired by Tirupati Graphite and that was the plan in 2020.

An early announcement concerned the development of flame-retardant polyurethane foam. This was developed by Tirupati Speciality Graphite, which subsequently changed its name to Pranagraf.

The relationship was always confusing. In the press release notes when Tirupati Graphite floated it was stated that: “In India, the Company processes and produces speciality graphite for use in hi-tech applications like lithium-ion batteries, fire retardants and composites. Its specialty graphite processing operations include the 1,200 tonnes p/a Patalganga Project, which was successfully commissioned in July 2019…”. It is made clear in the press release that the Company refers to Tirupati Graphite. Yet, it planned to acquire these operations, but they were not strictly part of the group. This confusion has not helped the company or confidence in the management.

Mining

Tirupati Graphite has been mining graphite in Madagascar. There are two projects at Vatomina and Sahamamy and the latter was already in production in December 2020.

In a press release on 17 December 2020, the company stated that it planned to increase graphite production to 81,000 tonnes per annum by 2024. In the most recent year production was 7,096 tonnes. The annual target production has been reduced to 30,000 tonnes per annum.

Progress has been hampered by a shortage of cash, but management still acquired additional projects in Mozambique. Although the purchase was mainly in shares with a small amount of cash, there is not enough cash to properly invest in the current producing projects let alone further ones.

Tirupati Graphite has the feel of a family company that has gained a listing but has not really changed its governance. There has been a lot of talk and very little delivery – although plenty of excuses in the recent Investor Meet presentation.

It is a bad sign that so many non-executive directors have come and gone in less than five years. Two of these directors – Murat Erden and Isabel de Salis – are being put forward for election. The other two proposed directors Leo Koot and Mark Rollins have local expertise in Africa and resources experience.

Optiva Securities has resigned as joint broker – CMC remains as broker – following its boss Christian Dennis’s resignation as non-executive director of Tirupati Graphite. He is likely to vote against the board and other non-executives may also.

There are currently three executives. In the Investor Meet broadcast, the company set out plans to find non-executives and a chairman to replace Shishir Poddar so that he can concentrate on his other role as chief executive. A finance director is also required. This has been talked about previously, but progress has been slow.

Tirupati Graphite raised £6m at 45p/share when it floated and that valued it at £33.6m. The share price has fallen to 7.25p, which is just above the all-time low. The executive directors have been buying shares in recent weeks.

It is unclear whether the company has reached a point where it will be difficult to turnaround by either party. The tangled web of companies related to management could confuse and delay plans to improve operations.  

Certainly, more cash will need to be raised. The current board will find it difficult to raise cash through a share issue because of its record, while the requisitioners will need to put forward a strong case to gain investor backing. It does appear that they may have a better chance of success than the existing management.

Tekcapital’s Innovative Eyewear surges 140% higher after announcing the launch of Eddie Bauer Smart Eyewear

Tekcapital portfolio company Innovative Eyewear has announced the launch of Eddie Bauer Smart Eyewear in four distinct styles – all enabled with ChatGPT.

The launch of the Eddie Bauer range follows the release of Nautica-branded smart eyewear at the beginning of the year. Innovative Eyewear is also working on Reebok-branded smart eyewear, which is expected to hit the shops later in 2024.

The launch of Eddie Bauer Smart Eyewear shouldn’t have come as a surprise to investors after Tekcapital announced Innovative Eyewear would launch the range this year, but take nothing away from the market reaction, which sent Innovative Eyewear shares over 140% higher at one point in US trade on Wednesday.

Innovative Eyewear recently announced sharp increases in Q4 2023 and Q1 2024 revenues, and the launch of the Eddie Bauer range has the potential to power a step change in revenue generation for the company.

“We believe the launch of our Eddie Bauer Smart Eyewear line marks a significant milestone in our mission to push the boundaries of eyewear innovation,” said Harrison Gross, CEO of Innovative Eyewear.

“By introducing the first-ever rimless smart eyewear, we believe we are not only elevating style but also redefining the possibilities of wearable technology. This collection exemplifies our commitment to merging fashion and function, catering to the modern, adventurous lifestyle that Eddie Bauer embodies. We believe this is our most premium product to-date, with a combination of high-end finishes, tried and true frame contours and powerful tech accessories to deliver a smartglass experience like no other.”

Eddie Bauer is part of the Authentic Brands group, which owns leading brands, including Billabong, David Beckham, Reebok, Ted Baker, Quicksilver, Rockport, and Hunter.

“We are pleased to introduce Eddie Bauer’s next adventure in innovation to its audience of brand fans,” said Sierra McPhillips, Vice President of Brand at Authentic.

“Innovation is at the core of Eddie Bauer’s brand values, and we are thrilled to continue that mission through the Smart Eyewear launch, in partnership with Innovative Eyewear.”

FTSE 100 falls again as election and inflation caution creeps in

The FTSE 100 was down again on Wednesday as nerves around the election and inflation started to creep into equities, and the FTSE’s record-breaking run became a distant memory.

Just a few weeks ago, the FTSE 100 was breaking to fresh record highs on a near daily basis, but the reintroduction of interest rate concerns and the upcoming general election have dampened much of the enthusiasm.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.5% to 8,203 and levels not seen since the start of March.

Weakness was largely confined to the UK on Wednesday after the NASDAQ hit another record high overnight helped by surging AI-focused stocks.

“Financial markets are fracturing in terms of sentiment, with AI exuberance continuing to power mighty tech while worries about high interest rates lingering keep investors cautious elsewhere,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The FTSE 100 has opened on the back foot, as stubborn inflation remains in focus and the General Election campaign continues to throw up economic and corporate uncertainty.”

At the time of writing on Wednesday, few gainers were present, with most industry sectors in the red. BP and Shell were slightly higher amid rising oil prices, but their gains were not enough to offset weakness elsewhere. Only 16 of the FTSE 100’s constituents were trading higher.

“The weakness for the UK’s flagship equity index came despite higher oil prices lifting BP and Shell amid speculation OPEC will maintain supply cuts at its meeting on 2 June. Consumer goods companies, miners and financials acted as a drag on the UK market,” said AJ Bell investment analyst Dan Coatsworth.

Ocado, down 5%, was the top faller, as it retraced some of yesterday’s surprise gains.

Many investors will be watching tomorrow’s US PCE data and gaining insight into the trajectory of inflation as a potential catalyst for stocks.