Aquis weekly movers: Helium boost for Voyager Life

M3 Helium, where Voyager Life (LON: VOY) has an option to acquire the company, says two samples from the Rost well at Fort Dodge in Kansas showed 5.1% helium. Two other samples were above 4.8% helium. These are highly commercial levels. The share price jumped 61.5% to 5.25p.

KR1 (LON: KR1) is simplifying its share structure through providing a way of redeeming deferred C and deferred D shares. They have no significant economic value. The share price is 8.86% higher at 64.5p.

ProBiotix Health (LON: PBX) nearly doubled interim revenues to just above £1m and reduced the loss. A US partner has obtained positive clinical results for IBS and antibiotic recovery for a probiotic containing the company’s LP (LDL). The share price rose 7.14% to 3.75p.

Automotive electrification Equipmake (LON: EQIP) revenues are improving, but the loss has increased. In the year to May 2024, revenues were 60% ahead at £8.1m. There was £2.5m in cash at the end of May 2024. There are plans to reduce costs and focus on higher margin technology. The share price increased 5.56% to 4.75p.  

Inqo Investments (LON: INQO) has invested in Flybox Budongo, which has developed a modular containerised system to produce Black Soldier Fly eggs and five-day old larvae that can convert organic waste into animal feed. The share price edged up 0.8% to 66.5p.

FALLERS

Shares in housebuilder St Mark Homes (LON: SMAP) continue to decline ahead of shareholder approval at the AGM on 31 July for the departure from the Aquis Stock Exchange. The price slumped by one-third to 15p, which is a 71% decline this year.

Christopher Potts reduced his stake in Shortwave Life Sciences (LON: PSY) from 11.65% to less than 3%. The share price dipped 18.9% 1.225p.

Valereum (LON: VLRM) says blockchain consulting firm Antier will collaborate in the development of the V-Wallet that will form part of the VLRM Market’s ecosystem. This should be launched later this year and will enable uses to buy, sell and hold multiple cryptocurrencies. The share price fell 13.3% to 3.25p.

Gunsynd (LON: GUN) says investee company Metals One has published a JORC inferred mineral resource of the P5 area of the Finland – Black Schist project of 29Mt. There is 1.8Mt attributable to Gunsynd, which owns 6.25% of a subsidiary of Metals One, and that company has an option to buy back the stake. Gunsynd shares slipped 11.5% to 0.115p.

Tips update: Transense Technologies gains momentum

Transense Technologies (LON: TRT) is starting to demonstrate its cash generation abilities and the share price is reacting to that. A strong second half means that full year figures will be ahead of expectations.
The Translogik tyre monitoring equipment business had a particularly strong fourth quarter. That meant that group revenues were £4.2m, instead of £4m as forecast, and that compares with £3.53m in the previous year. The pre-tax profit estimate is maintained at £1.3m.
Translogik revenues were 9% higher at £1.12m, which was after a weak first half. This increased momentum is good for the...

AIM weekly movers: Mindflair discount narrows

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Investment company Mindflair (LON: MFAI) is still benefiting from the acquisition of investee company Landvault by AI company Infinite Reality. Landvault is valued at $450m in shares and is part of the portfolio of Sure Valley Ventures Fund, where MindFlair holds13%, plus a further 5.3% via its stake in Sure Ventures (LON: SURE). MindFlair’s share could be worth nearly $1.1m. The end-2023 NAV was £5.84m, equivalent to 2.13p/share. The share price is 55.6% higher at 1.4p. The discount to the 2023 NAV is still more than one-third and that does not include the gain on disposal.

Intelligent Ultrasound (LON: IUG) rose on the back of the news that it is selling its Clinical AI operations to GE for £40.5m. The consideration is equivalent to 12.4p/share. So far, £12.2m has been invested in the development of AI. There are plans to return a substantial amount of this cash to investors. This deal does not include the NeedleTrainer and NeedleTrainer Plus products or the simulation business. The remaining business had annual revenues of £10m last year. Lower simulation sales meant that the latest interim revenues fell from £6.1m to £5.3m. That includes £1.5m from Clinical AI, compared with £2m for the whole of the previous year. The share price jumped 55.4% to 10.875p.

Caspian Sunrise (LON: CASP) shares have returned from suspension following publication of 2023 accounts. Average oil production fell 16% to 1,800barrels/day last year. Current aggregate production is 2,300 barrels/day from the BNG contract area, which is being sold for up to $88m, which is above the previous expectation of $83m. Production is expected from Block 8 and West Shalva later this year. The board will consider special dividends and share buy backs. The share price recovered 53.8% to 5p.

Surface Transforms (LON: SCE) has recovered from its recent all time low after it confirmed revenues guidance of £17.5m for 2024, although the figures will be second half weighted. Interim sales were £4.6m. Pre-production engineering revenues will be recognised in the second half. Capacity is being increased. The ceramic brakes technology company could become cash generative during 2025. The share price improved 52.8% to 2.025p.

FALLERS

Kyrgyzstan miner Chaarat Gold Holdings (LON: CGH) is the latest company to announce the intention to cancel its AIM quotation and the first of three in the worst performers. This is a condition of a recapitalisation proposal that will more than halve existing liabilities to less than $20m. The maturity date of the convertible loan will be extended from July 2024 to December 2025. There will also be an additional facility of $5m that can be drawn down. The $550,000 of salary owed to former executive chairman Martin Andersson will be paid in shares. The AIM departure is expected to be on 16 August. The share price slumped 76.1% to 0.2p.

Destiny Pharma (LON: DEST) is leaving AIM to make it easier to fund the XF-73 post-surgical infection prevention treatment through access to private capital. It has been difficult to secure a commercial partner for XF-73. Destiny Pharma needs to find funding for a phase 3 study. The share price dived 44.7% to 4.7p.

Shares in semiconductor designer Sondrel (LON: SND) have returned from suspension following publication of 2023 accounts, but plans are going ahead to cancel the AIM quotation. Last year, Sondrel lost £18m on revenues of £9.43m. The share price slipped 38.1% to 3.25p.

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) raised £600,000 at 0.1p/share. Each share comes with one warrant exercisable at 0.4p. The cash will fund the reorganisation of Baita Plai to reduce production costs and to cover working capital requirements. David Jones raised his stake from 8.84% to 12.6%. The share price declined 34.4% to 0.105p.

United Utilities on track as it prepares Ofwat response

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United Utilities (LON: UU.) says 2024-25 trading is in line with expectations. Management plans to submit its response to Ofwat’s draft determination on 28 August and final determination is expected in December.

The water business secured two strategic optimisation partnerships earlier in the year and since May it has entered agreements with seven leading engineering and infrastructure businesses and 18 design and build organisations. This will enable the delivery of the AMP8 investment programme.

Unitied Utilities is on track to achieve four-star status in the 2024 Environmental Performance Assessment. However, earlier in the week it was announced that it will be included in Ofwat’s wastewater treatment investigation.

Consensus forecast pre-tax profit forecast is £382.8m, with a further improvement to £573.4m forecast for next year. The share price dipped 0.4% to 1024.25p.

AIM movers: Parkmead awarded offshore licence and SIMEC Atlantis Energy loses AGM vote

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Parkmead (LON: PMG) has been formally awarded the UK offshore licence P2634. This is situated in the Outer Moray Firth. Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) is the joint venture partner. There will be an assessment of whether a commercial development can be made and gain regulatory approval. The Parkmead share price rose 19.2% to 14p.

Publishing software and services provider Ingenta (LON: ING) has won three new contracts. Two of these are follow-on contracts with existing customers. These are multi-year contracts worth mor than £500,000. The largest contract is a three-year deal to migrate, host and support an existing customer’s Vista deployment onto Ingenta’s dedicated infrastructure. This worth £1.4m over three years. The share price increased 7.14% to 127.5p.

Digital advertising services provider Dianomi (LON: DNM) has more than clawed back yesterday’s loss following the trading statement. Interim revenues were flat, but gross margins dipped to 26%. Overheads were reduced and profitability was similar to the second half of 2023. There was £8.1m in the bank. There is still uncertainty about the timing of contracts. The share price is 9% ahead at 60.5p.

Steel structures supplier Billington (LON: BILN) shareholder Gutenga Investments has sold 1.86 million shares, reducing its stake to 20%. Charles Stanley has increased its stake from 4.93% to 9.93%. The share price is 3.06% higher at 505p.

FALLERS

Semiconductor designer Sondrel (LON: SND) shares continue to fall following the return from suspension after publication of 2023 accounts. This is ahead of the proposed general meeting vote to cancel the AIM quotation. The share price is 13.3% lower at 3.25p.

SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE) lost the AGM vote to dis-apply pre-emption rights. There were 97.1% of the votes against the proposal. The share price declined 5.08% to 2.8p.

There was further profit taking in chain and transmission equipment manufacturer Renold (LON: RNO) after it beat upgraded full year expectations and there was a pre-tax profit upgrade to £22.8m for the year to March 2025. The share price fell 5.31% to 51.7p.

YouGov – The Research Group’s Shares Collapsed After The Recent Profit Warning – Is Now The Right Time To Join The Insiders? 

With one of the world’s largest research networks YouGov (LON:YOU) will certainly have gained more credence and business, especially as the world seems to be going in and out of Elections. 

However, the recently issued Current Trading Update noted that following its H1 results it has been seeing lower sales bookings than had been previously anticipated. 

The Business 

YouGov is an international online research data and analytics technology group. 

With operations in the UK, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, India and Asia Pacific, it is certainly one of the world’s largest research networks. 

The £532m capitalised group considers that its mission is to offer unparalleled insight into what the world thinks. 

YouGov’s innovative solutions help the world’s most recognised brands, media owners and agencies to plan, activate and track their marketing activities better. 

Shares Collapse 

The day before the Update was released, on 20th June, the group’s shares were trading at around the 820p level. 

The unexpected news saw them being almost halved in price in reaction, falling 380p to close that day at 440p. 

Within a week they had eased even further to 402.63p. 

Insider Dealings 

Since the Update it has to be noted that a number of the group’s Directors have been buyers of the shares. 

They have a very short period of ability to deal in the stock because the company will be announcing its Year End Trading Update on Thursday 1st August. 

Market View 

A couple of weeks ago analyst Jessica Pok at Peel Hunt chopped her Price Objective for the group’s shares, from her previous aim of 1,500p a share to just 630p. 

At that time, she noted that she disagreed with the market view that the business is broken. 

The shares have fallen since its full-year profit warning led Pok to reduce her full-year 2024 and 2025 earnings per share targets by 44% and 39%, respectively, with conservative growth assumptions built in for next year.  

“The shares (then 420p) are currently trading at 11 times full-year 2025 price to earnings, which is near YouGov’s lowest rating in over a decade. 

The market is pointing to a broken business, which we do not believe is the case.  

However, we expect the shares to trade sideways until investors have more confidence in the future strategy and gain further insight into management’s plan of action at the prelims.” 

On the professional investor front Julian Fosh and Anthony Cross, Managers of the Liontrust GF Special Situations Fund, which is valued at some £80m, consider that it will take time to rebuild investor confidence in the company after its profit warning, but they remain invested. 

My View 

It will be more than interesting to see just how the group’s shares perform in the next couple of weeks up to the Year End Trading Update being announced on Thursday 1st August. 

The very point that ‘insiders’ took advantage of the collapsed share price is perhaps predictive, so one might hope that there is good news in the offing. 

The shares have already started to show some signs of price recovery, currently trading at around the 460p level. 

The group describes itself as the #1 most-quoted market research source worldwide, being trusted to provide unparalleled into what the world thinks. 

I wonder what the world thinks about YouGov’s shares right now? 

FTSE 100 falls as world rocked by Microsoft-related outages, Beazley sinks

The FTSE 100 fell on Friday as the world was hit by widespread technology outages that disrupted trade on the LSE, grounded planes and prevented some bankers from logging into their systems.

Many investors were experiencing difficulties placing trades with orders being rejected and some brokers issuing notices warning of disruption to their service.

The London Stock Exchange’s RNS system was out of action on Friday with corporates unable to login to publish regulatory news. FTSE price feeds were also disrupted in the early minutes of trade, but this was quickly rectified.

“The world grinding to a halt because of a global IT meltdown shows the dark side to technology and that relying on computers doesn’t always make life easier,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

“Countless industries, from airlines and trains to banks and media, face disruption to earnings if they cannot do their job. Workers cannot get from A to B and that will have a knock-on effect for industries across the board if staff aren’t there to perform important functions or systems are offline.

“The severity of the problem boils down to how long it lasts. A few hours’ disruption is unhelpful but not a catastrophe. Prolonged disruption is another matter, potentially causing damage to companies and economies.”

The FTSE 100 was down 0.4% to 8,171 at the time of writing and was recovering from the worse levels of the session as the initial panic subsided.

Notwithstanding the hysteria surrounding the breakdown in technology systems, the European equity space was set for a softer session after another drop in US tech shares overnight that hit futures.

With companies facing difficulties issuing news, the macroeconomic environment was in the driving seat on Friday when it came to FTSE 100 stocks.

Mounting concerns about the health of the Chinese economy was reflected in another weaker session for the miners as Glencore, Anglo American, and Rio Tinto trading negatively.

Burberry continued its dismal run with a 3% decline. Shares in the luxury brand are now worth less than a third of its 2023 high.

Beazley was the FTSE 100’s top faller presumably on concerns about the fallout of the technology sector disruption and potential claims. Beazley shares were down 7% at the time of writing.

Netflix smashes new subscriber estimates as revenue growth slows

Netflix released second-quarter earnings on Thursday and highlighted another period of growth for the streaming company with revenue hitting a quarterly record and EPS beating estimates.

The standout metric was the number of new subscribers added. The company added 8.2m subscribers during the period compared to estimates of just 5m.

Revenue rose to $9.6bn during the period, beating estimates of $9.5bn and a small increase on the prior quarter’s $9.4bn in revenue.

Netflix’s growth has been consistent and steady, but it is slowing. Shares were flat in the premarket as investors reacted to softer revenue projections in the coming quarters.

Once known for a blowout revenue increases, Netflix is becoming more of a utility company than a racy technology stock.

“Netflix is once again showing why it’s king of the streamers. Second quarter results were impressive, and subscriber growth shot the lights out once more. The ad-supported product is proving more popular than many could have hoped. It allows Netflix to penetrate new markets geographically and taps into users who are priced out of the fully paid service,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“But this is a new challenge for Netflix; you can’t simply chuck a load of non-tailored adverts into your product to keep users happy, even if that’s what they signed up for. Squeezing every possible dollar from the new ad-watching user base is proving a challenge, and with users growing so fast, it’s struggling to fill all the ad slots it has at its disposal. Now, that’s a pretty good problem to have, and Netflix has so much user data that it’s better placed than any of its peers to provide relevant, tailored, ads to its subscribers. But markets will want to see Netflix take full advantage of this new revenue stream, and fast.”

IHT tax receipts jump to £2.1bn as concerns about IHT reliefs mount

UK inheritance tax receipts rose £83 million to £2.1 billion between April and June as more people were pulled into paying the tax due to a freeze on thresholds and an increase in asset prices.

The disconnect between property prices and the IHT threshold freeze has resulted in more people paying IHT tax, and the numbers are expected to grow in the future.

“With the baby boomer generation now hitting their sixties and seventies, some of that generation’s accumulated wealth is being passed on to children and grandchildren, and getting taxed on the way,” said Laura Hayward, Tax Partner at professional services and wealth management firm Evelyn Partner.

“The ‘great wealth transfer’ is also underway because many of the older, weather generations are making lifetime gifts to their families. As the wave of inheritance is set to grow over the next 30 years to a transfer of £5.5 trillion, the temptation for successive Governments will be to tap into it to plug gaps in the public finances.

“One think-tank economist has already urged the new Chancellor to consider bringing defined benefit pension pots into the remit of IHT, ahead of Rachel Reeves’ first big fiscal statement, expected in October. The first Budget from a Labour Chancellor in 14 and a half years will be closely watched for any review into IHT reliefs, or suggestion that pension pots could be deemed part of a deceased’s estate.”

In addition to pensions, investors will be concerned that schemes such as SEIS and EIS that provide incentives for investors to invest in early-stage companies could be changed.

Any amendments to business relief must be considered carefully because while it may generate additional IHT receipts in the short term, longer term it may curtail investment into innovative UK companies that go on to generate significantly more tax revenues as they grow.

However, Labour need to find money from somewhere to deliver on at least some of their manifesto pledges.

“That puts agricultural and business relief in the firing line,” said Nicholas Hyett, Investment Manager at Wealth Club.

“But, reforms need to be handled sensitively. Abolishing either completely would be devastating to family owned businesses and farms across the country, while reliefs for the AIM market, Enterprise Investment Scheme and Seed Enterprise Investment Scheme provide vital funding for Britian’s smaller companies. The optimum tax system should focus on the behaviours it encourages as well as the revenues it generates.”

SEGRO divests Italian assets to focus on new opportunities

SEGRO is offloading Italian warehouse assets to focus on other developments and investment opportunities.

A portfolio of four logistics warehouses in Italy has been sold for €327 million in cash, according to an announcement made today. The disposal was carried out by the SEGRO European Logistics Partnership (SELP) joint venture, with SEGRO acting as the venture adviser.

The transaction involves two warehouses in Milan and two in Rome, totaling 338,745 square meters of floor space. All four facilities were originally developed by Vailog SEGRO and are currently fully leased to three different customers in the online and traditional retail sectors.

The portfolio generates an annual passing rent of €19 million and boasts an average weighted unexpired lease term (WAULT) of 10.5 years, indicating its strong potential for long-term returns for the purchaser.

“We developed and delivered these modern, highly sustainable warehouses for some of our largest customers in Italy to support their expansion plans,” said Luca Sorbara, Co-Head of Italy at SEGRO.

“This disposal has enabled us to divest some assets with long-leases and limited asset management potential, allowing us to recycle capital into other attractive development and investment opportunities.”