FTSE 100 gains in buoyant trade as China lifts the mood

The FTSE 100 was on the front foot on Monday as the mood around China improved, helping to lift mining companies which were also boosted by a rally in precious metals.

London’s leading index was 0.25% higher at 8,441 at the time of writing.

“Investors have plenty to keep them occupied, with geopolitical uncertainty butting up against China growth hopes and a few domestic nerves ahead of Wednesday’s inflation figures,” says AJ Bell head of financial analysis Danni Hewson.

“Optimism still seems to be the primary driving force with mining stocks up significantly after copper prices hit fresh record highs, thanks in part to new measures designed to prop up China’s ailing property sector.”

Precious metal prices also helped the case for the FTSE 100’s miners as worries about Iran sent gold to a record high.

“Nervousness about the direction of geopolitics has pushed gold to fresh record highs, reaching $2,438 per ounce. Demand for the safe-haven asset has surged as investors have been digesting news of the death of Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi who is believed to have been killed with others including foreign minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian in a helicopter crash,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Demand for the metal has also likely to have been pushed up by renewed speculation that the Federal Reserve will be minded to cut interest rates a couple of times this year.”

Interest rate expectations have been the core driver of precious metals in 2024 seeing gold consistently break to fresh highs.

Fresnillo was the FTSE 100’s top gainer as the silver-focused miner tracked prices higher. Fresnillo was up 4.2% at the time of writing.

Glencore added 1.6% and Antofagasta ticked 0.8% higher as copper prices rose.

Rolls Royce shares added 2.4% and the rip-roaring bull run looked to remain intact as the stock bounced of a key trend line.

Floorcoverings supplier Likewise gaining market share

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Floorcoverings distributor Likewise Group (LON: LIKE) is growing despite a declining underlying market. AIM-quoted Likewise is gaining market share, but it is still not a large company, and it has further capacity to grow into.

In 2023, revenues improved 13% to £139.5m, while pre-tax profit dipped from £2.6m to £2.3m. That was slightly lower than expected due to additional hiring of sales and marketing personnel. The benefits of the investment will show through this year.  

Net debt increased to £1.9m at the end of 2023 and it will rise again because £4.3m of deferred consideration on past acquisitions has been paid. Cash generation will improve, though, and debt will fall next year, even though there will be continued investment in operations. The total dividend has been raised from 0.31p/share to 0.35p/share.

The past investment in distribution capacity means that Likewise has good geographic coverage with southwest England the only place that might require a distribution centre. There is capacity to grow into and this will help to increase margins.

Zeus forecasts a jump in 2024 pre-tax profit to £3.5m. The share price rose 1p to 17p, which is 16 times prospective earnings.

It will take an upturn in consumer confidence for the floorcoverings market to recover, but Likewise appears set to grow whatever happens. The operational gearing means that a market upturn could have a significant effect on prospective earnings.

AIM movers: Keywords Studios bid approach and Metals One fundraising

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Video games services provider Keywords Studios (LON: KWS) has received a bid approach from Sweden-based EQT Group. There have been four other unsolicited proposals from EQT, which has a range of investment portfolios, including a private equity fund. Discussions are advanced. The suggested bid level is 2550p/share in cash, which is a level the share price has not been at for one year. The share price jumped 62.5% to 2389p. The final dividend of 1.76p/share will be paid.

Automotive interior components supplier CT Automotive (LON: CTA) returned to profit in 2023, while net debt was reduced to $3.8m. Liberum expects underlying pre-tax profit to improve from $8.3m to $10.2m in 2024, even though revenues are forecast to decline. Improved efficiency is helping to boost margins. The Mexico factory is operating at 50% of capacity so there should be further improvement as this figure increases. The share price recovered 20.5% to 67.5p. The December 2021 placing price was 147p.

KEFI Gold and Copper (LON: KEFI) says the Tulu Kapi gold project has been launched. There is $190m secured debt from development banks, with a further $130m of risk capital from Ethiopian corporations and local and federal government. The share price improved 16.9% to 0.844p.

Scientific instruments supplier SDI Group (LON: SDI) says trading in the year to April 2024 was in line with expectations. Pre-tax profit declined from £11.8m to £8m, but the new chief executive is addressing underperformance of some subsidiaries. Net debt is £13.2m, but there is still room for further acquisitions. The share price rose 13.2% to 72p.

FALLERS

Metals One (LON: MET1) is raising £895,000 at 1p/share to finance development of the Black Schist nickel zinc copper cobalt project in Finland. There will be a resource upgrade programme. This cash will enable the termination of the farm-in agreement with Gunsynd (LON: GUN) and enable Metals One to regain 100% ownership of the project. The Metals One share price lost 16.7% to 1.125p.

Bigblu Broadband (LON: BBB) has sold its Nordic operations to management – including Bigblu Broadband chief executive Andrew Walwyn who is stepping down – at an enterprise value of £1.3m. There could be contingent consideration. Finance director Frank Waters becomes chief executive. The disposal leaves operations in Australia, which could be sold or floated on the ASX, and a stake in Quickline. Cavendish forecasts a 2023-24 pre-tax profit of £3m. The share price dived 13.1% to 36.5p.

Haydale Graphene (LON: HAYD) says that longer than expected product testing cycles at the US silicon carbide business will hit revenues in 2023-24. Customers remain positive, though. The nanomaterials business is gaining new contracts. Cavendish has reduced its forecast from £5.8m to £4.7m. That means that the loss could be £4.6m. The share price dipped 7.87% to 0.41p.

Oil and gas explorer Union Jack Oil (LON: UJO) says that the Andrews 1-17 well (45% working interest) in Oklahoma is a commercial discovery and flow rates will be announced soon. There are plans for further expansion in the US. The UK assets generated £2m in 2023 and cash reached £5.2m. The share price is 6.25% lower at 22.5p.

Ryanair shares slip despite announcing record profits

Ryanair shares slipped on Monday as investors chose to focus on the missed opportunity of delayed Boeing aeroplane deliveries rather than record profits amid the travel boom.

Ryanair Holdings today reported a 34% growth in full-year profit after tax, as traffic grew by 9% to 184 million passengers, which is 23% more than the pre-Covid levels, despite delays in the delivery of new aeroplanes from Boeing.

“The pandemic hangover seems to be truly over for Ryanair as the low cost carrier posted record profit of €1.95bn. A milder winter and early Easter helped boost the slow season as demand for travel shows no signs of letting up,” said Adam Vettese, analyst at investment platform eToro.

Increased revenues helped offset a significantly higher fuel bill, as hedged oil prices rose from $65 per barrel in the fiscal year 2023 to $89 per barrel in the fiscal year 2024. Despite Boeing delivery delays, traffic grew by 9% to 183.7 million passengers.

Revenue per passenger increased by 15%, with average fares rising by 21% and ancillary revenue increasing by 3%. The fuel bill rose by 32%, amounting to an increase of €1.25bn, reaching €5.14bn.

Although the financials were broadly strong, load factor underperformed, while airlines focused on higher fares for growth.

“Ryanair slightly underperformed its 92-93% load factor target for the winter 2023-24 travel season. Third Bridge experts believe airlines are consciously not prioritising load factor to keep fares slightly higher,” said Olly Anibaba, Analyst at Third Bridge.

Ultimately, Ryanair shares fell on Monday due to disappointment around the outlook for earnings in the revised scenarios caused by a small fleet than previously thought.

“The Boeing delivery delays will be a huge problem for Ryanair. Third Bridge experts expect Ryanair to receive only half of what was promised, potentially reducing passenger volumes by 5-10 million. Ryanair can offset some of the impact on profits by removing the worst-performing routes from their network,” said Anibaba

Keywords Studios confirms possible cash takeover, shares soar

Keywords Studios, a leading provider of services to the video games and entertainment industries, announced today that it is in advanced talks regarding a potential £1.4bn cash takeover offer from EQT, a global investment firm.

According to the company, EQT has proposed a cash offer of 2,550p per share to acquire the entire issued and outstanding share capital of Keywords Studios. This represents a significant premium over the company’s closing share price of 1,722p on Friday.

Keywords Studios shares were 63% higher at 2,405p at the time of writing on Monday.

The potential 2,550p offer follows four previous unsolicited proposals from EQT over recent months that were rejected by the Keywords Studios board. However, the board has now indicated it would be “minded to recommend” the latest proposal to shareholders if a firm intention to make an offer is announced on those financial terms.

The Dublin-based company provides a range of technical services for video game developers and publishers, including art creation, software engineering, audio production, gameplay testing and player support.

In a statement released on the market on Monday, Keywords Studios said its board “remains confident” in the company’s growth strategy and that EQT is “supportive of this strategy” to build a global platform serving the video games and entertainment industries through organic growth and acquisitions.

British Land sells shopping mall stake to focus on retail parks

British Land has announced it is selling its 50% stake in the Meadowhall Shopping Centre in Sheffield to its joint venture partner Norges Bank Investment Management for £360m.

The deal is part of British Land’s strategy to focus more on retail parks and reduce its exposure to enclosed shopping malls after the pandemic, which accelerated online shopping trends. Out-of-town retail parks have proved to be successful due to the ease of accessing shops and the opportunity for a greater leisure experience.

Including the recent £7m sale of some ancillary land, the total valuation of the Meadowhall estate is £734m, which is 3% above the September 2023 book value.

After repaying around £200m in net debt, British Land expects to receive proceeds of approximately £156m from the transaction.

The deal, which is anticipated to close in July 2024, will lower British Land’s proportionally consolidated loan-to-value ratio by 2.7 percentage points for the first half of 2024. British Land will remain as the asset manager for Meadowhall and continue earning fees.

The sale proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including reinvesting in retail parks aligned with British Land’s strategic shift away from enclosed shopping centres that have been under pressure.

“Following the sale of Meadowhall, 93% of our portfolio is now in our preferred segments of retail parks, campuses and London urban logistics,” said Simon Carter, Chief Executive of British Land.

“We will continue to grow our retail park portfolio; with low capex requirements parks offer attractive cash returns and at 99% occupancy we are delivering strong rental growth.”

Director deals: New board members buy shares in Hostelworld

Two non-exec directors of online hostel bookings agent Hostelworld (LON: HSW) have been buying shares. Paul Duffy bought 30,000 shares at 160p each, while Ulrik Bengtsson acquired 50,000 shares at 158p each. They both joined the board in May.
Following the 2023 results there was some profit-taking by Aberforth, which still owns 9.2%. That is still the second largest shareholding after Charles Jobson with 13.8%.
Business
Hostelworld operates a website that offers travellers a choice of hostel accommodation around the world. It does not own or operate any hostels. Once a customer is gained then ...

Why companies left AIM in April 2024

There were ten companies that left AIM in April 2024, and there was only one taken over during the month. Four decided to leave AIM, two got into financial difficulties, one was suspended for six months, one is being wound up and one moved to the Main Market. There were two new admissions during the month.
2 April
Itsarm
Itsarm was originally known as In The Style, which was an online retailer. After a strategic review it sold its operating business in the first half of 2023 for £1.2m. The online retailer was losing money and running out of cash. The purchaser was Baaj Capital, which has other...

Aquis weekly Movers: OTAQ plans convertible fundraise

Aquaculture technology developer OTAQ (LON: OTAQ) plans to raise up to £2m from a convertible loan note issue. The conversion price will be 3p/share. The share price jumped 111% to 2p. A reduced loss is expected for 2023, even after exceptional costs. The 2023 results should be announced by the end of June. First quarter revenues are 19% ahead. The live plankton analysis system has been launched.

Quantum Exponential Group (LON: QBIT) is continuing discussions with a potential investor. The general meeting will be adjourned again until 14 June. The share price moved 22.2% higher at 0.55p.

Digital assets investor KR1 (LON: KR1) reported a decline in 2023 revenues from £20.2m to £8.65m, but larger gains on digital assets mean that the reported profit was not down as much at £14.7m, from £19.5m. The introduction of the bitcoin ETF has helped the valuation of digital assets in the diversified portfolio. The share price increased 10.1% to 82p. NAV was 132.05p/share at the end of March 2024, which is higher than the figure at the end of 2023. The company has been buying back shares at a discount to that figure.

Communication services investor Global Connectivity (LON: GCON) had cash of £460,000 at the end of 2023. The 15% stake in Rural Broadband Solutions has been revalued to £3.17m. Net assets increased from £4.89m to £7.81m. The share price improved 8.33% to 0.65p.

EPE Special Opportunities (LON: EO.P) had net assets of 347.96p/share at the end of April 2024. The share price edged up 6.47% to 181p.

FALLERS

The Hot Rocks Investments (LON: HRIP) share price halved to 0.1p following the death of chairman Brian Rowbotham. No new board appointment is planned.

Silverwood Brands (LON: SLWD) director Andrew Gerrie invested £20,000 in shares at just over 26p each. The share price declined 8.16% to 22.5p.

Fenikso (LON: FNK) has received a further loan repayment of £1.29m. The share price fell 8% to 1.15p.

Res Privata has increased its stake in WeCap (LON: WCAP) from 7.28% to 9.69%. The share price slipped 4.35% to 0.55p.

AIM weekly movers: Nexus Infrastructure shares recover

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Kore Potash (LON: KP2) gained shareholder approval for its latest share issue to chairman David Hathorn who has subscribed $150,000 at 0.38p each. He owns 8.66%. The cash will be spent on further work on the Kola potash project. Trading in the shares has commenced on the A2X Market in South Africa. The share price jumped 102% to 1.06p.

Oil and gas explorer Indus Gas (LON: INDI) says that the recent share price decline did not reflect long-term value. Full year revenues were at least $42.9m. Management is considering finding a partner to help unlock the value of its assets. The share price rebounded 53.2% to 13.1p.

Shares in Nexus Infrastructure (LON: NEXS) recovered 53.1% to 111p following the interim figures. There was a decline in revenues in the six months to March 2024, but the order book is improving. Revenues generated by the infrastructure services provider fell from £51m to £25.8m and the company slipped into loss. The interim dividend is maintained at 1p/share. There was a cash outflow, but cash is still £9.3m, which is not much less than the market capitalisation. The order book is worth £72m, but the recovery in revenues may not happen until next year.

Chaarat Gold (LON: CGH) has signed a revised non-binding term sheet with Xiwang for a $150m funding package for the Tulkubash gold project. There will be discussions with convertible bond holders ahead of the repayment date of 31 July. The share price rose 39.3% to 3.9p.

Semiconductors designer Sondrel (LON: SND) is raising £5.63m at 10p/share and plans to cancel the AIM quotation. ROX Equity Partners is subscribing for the shares and its loans will be converted into a further 28.7 million shares, taking its stake to 49.3%. This requires government and shareholder approval. Miles Woodhouse will be ROX Equity Partners’ representative on the board. A new chief executive is being sought. Sondrel recognises it needs to manage projects better. The share price improved 35.9% to 6.25p despite the proposed AIM departure.

FALLERS

Active Energy Group (LON: AEG) says that its audit may not be completed by June, which would lead to a suspension of trading in the shares. Cash is running out and management may have to consider liquidating the company. This depends on whether the CoalSwitch assets are sold. There is currently $500,000 in the bank. There is also a 4.1% stake in green technology investor Alpha Prospects, but whether this is really worth the £680,000 book value is questionable. The share price slumped 44% to 0.21p

South Crofty tine mine developer Cornish Metals (LON: CUSN) says it does not know why the share price has been declining and it recovered on Friday, but it was still down 39.1% to 6p on the week. Management says that it will publish first quarter figures by 23 May.

Braveheart Investment Group (LON: BRH) has decided to write down the value of two investments from £4.71m to zero. The share price declined 34.5% to 4.75p.

Oracle Power (LON: ORCP) says its green hydrogen joint venture has been awarded a no objection certificate by the Sindh authorities. This provides permission for the construction of a 1.3GW renewable energy power plant. Late yesterday evening, a £300,000 share issue at 0.018p. This will be spent on projects in Australia and the joint venture green hydrogen project. Drilling has started at the Northern Zone gold project in Australia. The share price fell by one-third to 0.02p.