AstraZeneca posts very respectable first half results

The drop in AstraZeneca shares on Thursday was more a consequence of a wider market selloff than disappointed with the pharmaceutical giant’s half year report.

The groups revenue surged 18% over the period on a constant exchange rate basis with the oncology, respiratory & immunology unit’s sales surging 22%.

A beat of analysts’ expectations for the period and a measured increase in the dividend will encourage investors. Core operating margins contracted slightly due to the seasonality of some drugs, but shouldn’t be a major concern. There was a notable spend on R&D during the period, which is to be expected given AstraZeneca have set themselves an $80bn annual revenue target.

Further compounding an all-around solid report for Astra, management increased revenue guidance to the mid-teens on a percentage basis from low double digits and increased Core EPS guidance accordingly.

“AstraZeneca’s vital signs are in good shape after the pharmaceutical giant’s mid-year update. The immediate pulse check on financials is encouraging,” said Derren Nathan equity research, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Strong sales performances of note included cancer and cardiometabolic treatments giving management to raise the interim dividend by 7.5% to $1.00 per share as well as guidance for the current year.

“But perhaps a more important biomarker of Astra’s journey towards its target of $80bn in total revenues by 2030 is its ongoing R&D success where it’s spending nearly $3bn per quarter.

“There are no guarantees of further clinical success or blockbuster drug launches but AstraZeneca has a deep portfolio and an excellent track record of both operational and clinical success.  The shares have had a good run that’s been matched by a sharper focus, as well as some interesting acquisition activity in novel therapeutic areas such as more targeted cancer treatment and rare endocrine (hormonal) diseases.”

Lloyds shares dip as profit falls and competition heats up

Although the Bank of England has yet to cut rates, the impact of peaking interest rates is evident in Lloyds half-year results released on Thursday.

Lloyds is usually the first UK bank to report earnings and tends to be a way marker for investors in terms what to expect from other major UK banks as they report.

Judging by Lloyds’ report released on Thursday, the sector had a reasonable start to 2024, but there is going to be little to get overly excited about.

Increased competition for deposits and mortgages, coupled with the expectations of lower rate weighed on Lloyds earnings and profit before tax slipped to £2.4 billion for the first half 2024 compared to £2.9 billion for the same period last year.

Underlying net interest income dropped 10% £6.3 billion as the key measure of profitability, net interest margin, held up at 2.94%. Lloyds forecast net interest margin of above 290 basis points for the year.

“Net interest margins declined marginally on weaker lending margins driven by competition as well as deposit mix shifts,” said Niklas Kammer, banking expert and Equity Analyst.

“We are yet to see what deposit mix shifts peers will show in the quarter, but the dynamics were well within what we have seen over the recent quarters already.”

The results were, however, slightly ahead of analyst expectations and the losses in Lloyds shares were contained to 3% at the time of writing.

“Lloyd’s affirmation of 2024 and 2026 guidance after a strong set of Q2 results where they beat estimates highlights success in deepening customer relationships. Our experts believe this is driven by galvanising customers through their app and digital channels to deepen average products per customer,” said Max Georgiou, Analyst at Third Bridge.

“Maintaining momentum post H1 earnings will be key, competition for mortgages is heating up with sub  4% mortgages becoming available, Lloyds need to try and drive loyalty through service offerings to try and protect areas such as NIM.”

The group confirmed guidance for the year in what was a steady-as-you-go update from Lloyds, albeit one that had a marginally negative impact on shares.

“In the first six months of 2024, the Group delivered robust financial results with solid income performance and cost discipline alongside strong capital generation,” said Charlie Nunn, Lloyds Chief Executive.

“Indeed, our progress to date enables us to reaffirm 2024 guidance and remain confident in achieving our 2026 strategic objectives and guidance.”

Aurora Investment Trust’s Investment Process

The Aurora Investment Trust’s research process often takes years. The trust takes extraordinary steps to build a picture of a company before investing, including ‘hanging around with Games Workshop fanatics’ and monitoring cricket bat prices to assess Sports Direct. The outcome for investors is a highly concentrated portfolio of between 12-20 high-conviction selections. The portfolio’s top holdings are comprised of names such as Frasers Group, Barratt Developments, Netflix and Easyjet.

Marston’s revenue boosted by England’s Euros run

Marston’s, the UK pub operator with approximately 1,370 establishments, has released its latest trading update, revealing substantial revenue growth amid what is still a challenging market for pubs. The company noted a jump in sales during the Euros after England reached the final.

Marston’s share was 1.67% higher at the time of writing, as investors toasted the company’s resilient performance during the period.

Year-to-date figures show a 5.2% increase in like-for-like sales, while total retail sales across Marston’s managed and franchised pubs rose by 6.2%.

The 16-week period to 20 July 2024 saw a 2.4% uptick in like-for-like sales compared to the previous year, despite adverse weather conditions and strong prior-year comparatives.

The Euro 2024 football tournament provided a significant boost to Marston’s bottom line, with like-for-like sales surging 8% during the week of the semi-final and final matches. The company noted particular success in food sales, attributing this to recent menu changes that have resonated well with customers.

In a move that marks a strategic pivot, Marston’s announced on 8 July 2024 the sale of its 40% stake in Carlsberg Marston’s Limited (CMBC) to a Carlsberg subsidiary for £206 million in cash. This transaction is poised to transform Marston’s into a focused, pure-play pub company and is expected to reduce the Group’s net debt to below £1 billion, significantly ahead of previous timelines.

“The continued positive trading momentum carried through from H1 has been encouraging,” said Commenting, Justin Platt, CEO.

“This is a testament to the focus and energy of our team, who are dedicated to giving our guests the very best pub experiences. The disposal of our 40% stake in CMBC marks a pivotal step for Marston’s, allowing us to become a pure play hospitality business. I look forward to delivering on the opportunities a focused pub business will provide.”

FTSE 100 near breakeven as French luxury brands and US tech sour sentiment

Poor earnings updates from US technology shares and a sharp sell off in French luxury names translated into a soggy start for UK equities as the FTSE 100 began trade deep in the red. Although the index recovered some of the losses as the session progressed, it was unable to turn positive by lunchtime.

Tesla and Google reported earnings overnight with both of the tech giants trading down in the pre-market curtailing demand for risk assets. 

The French CAC started the session down over 1% as luxury brand LVMH plummeted taking the index with it. The negative sentiment from overseas was too much for the FTSE 100, which was trading down 0.05% at the time of writing. 

“The FTSE 100 was lower after disappointing corporate results in the US and a lacklustre session on Wall Street,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

“A volatile US presidential race presents an unhelpful backdrop for markets, with a first reading of US second-quarter GDP and the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure later this week providing some insight into whether the ‘soft landing’ narrative still holds water.

“Weak results from LVMH and Rémy Cointreau suggest the malaise in the luxury goods sector is yet to abate and this puts further pressure on battered British fashion brand Burberry.”

Although concerns from overseas weighed on the index, Wednesday saw many positive stories for FTSE 100 companies.

After a sharp selloff on the back of a downbeat update from its peer, EasyJet shares soared on Wednesday on news the airline’s profit grew in the its third quarter as passenger. In stark contrast to Ryanair’s performance, EasyJet seem to be enjoying the current environment and could even be eating Ryanair’s lunch.

“easyJet’s third-quarter numbers landed a little better than expected. That’s a welcome relief after disappointing numbers from Ryanair earlier this week caused some share price turbulence for UK airlines,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Revenue moved 11% higher in the period as the group’s increased capacity was filled by a growing number of passengers. The group’s striking ability to sell extras to existing passengers also contributed to top-line growth. These include things like extra baggage, legroom, and food and are a great way to grab a larger share of sunseekers’ budgets.”

Reckitt Benckiser was another standout on Wednesday, not because of its share price performance on the day, but because the management is finally doing something about dismal share price performance over the past year by announcing plans to shake up the consumer goods company’s portfolio by disposing of non-core brands to focus on core brands it dubs ‘Powerhouses’.

Alongside plans to reduce its portfolio, Reckitts outlined a target to achieve £1 billion in costs savings which should be welcome news to investors.

The plan was outlined alongside the release of its half-year report which revealed falling operating profits despite volume growth across many of its categories.

“Investors will be happy to see Reckitt streamline the business,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Half-year results were solid despite lowering the sales outlook, partly due to extreme weather events impacting the nutrition business. But the real story here is the strategy shift. Selling assets that generated £1.9bn in sales last year is a bold move, but rightsizing is the aim of the game for many consumer goods companies these days. It’s no longer about size at all costs, and it gives Reckitt a chance to refocus.”

AIM movers: Nexteq hit by destocking and Shield Therapeutics boss leaves

3

Shield Therapeutics (LON: STX) chief executive Greg Madison is stepping down and non-exec Anders Lundstrom will take over on an interim basis. Iron deficiency treatment ACCRUFeR generated revenues of $6.9m in the second quarter, which was 69% higher than the previous quarter. This is a combination of more prescriptions and higher selling prices. The interim revenues are $11m. Cash is still flowing out of the business. The share price recovered 38.2% to 2.35p.

Braveheart Investments (LON: BRH) has increased its stake in Image Scan (LON: IGE) from 5.21% to 7.22%, which boosted the share price 2.7% to 1.9p. Investee company Kirkstall has appointed a new distributor in China for its Quasi Vivo, a system of chambers for cell and tissue culture in laboratories. Another investee company, detectors developer Paraytec, has filed a UK patent for the analytical method for its CX300 instrument. The Braveheart Investments share price rose 37.5% to 5.5p.   

Bezant Resources (LON: BZT) has signed a letter of intent for the delivery of renewable solar energy for the Hope & Gorob copper gold project in Namibia. This is subject to a binding power offtake agreement. This will reduce costs. The share price rebounded 31.1% to 0.0295p.

Hydrogen and fertiliser projects developer Atome (LON: ATOM) has signed heads of terms for a fertiliser offtake agreement with Yara. This covers the Villeta project in Paraguay. This will help to achieve full financing of the project by the end of 2024. The Villeta facility could produce 260,000tpa of fertiliser. Yara is the largest fertiliser and ammonia trader and the fertiliser produced at Villeta should be sold at a premium price. The share price is 24% higher at 77.5p.

FALLERS

Gaming platforms and displays supplier Nexteq (LON: NXQ) shares slumped 33.9% to 81p. There is destocking in the gaming and other sectors with larger customers delaying new product launches. Interim revenues fell 15% to $48.2m and management is cautious about the second half, so second half revenues could fall at a similar rate. Operational gearing means that Cavendish has cut its 2024 pre-tax profit forecast by 39% to $9.1m and assuming it will be flat next year. The chief executive and finance director are stepping down but are staying on until replacements are appointed.

Graphene technology developer Versarien (LON: VRS) has raised £550,000 at 0.065p/share. This will finance the purchase of concrete and mortar testing equipment for the Cementine admixtures developed using 3D construction printing. The share price slipped 27.4% to 0.0685p.

Healthcare services provider Totally (LON: TLY) made a small loss in the year to March 2024, but it is expected to return to profit this year even though revenues are set to continue to decline. Annualised cost savings of £3.5m have been made. There have been delays to tender activity around the General Election, but this is changing. The investigation into the NHS should report in September and this could provide opportunities. The share price fell 22.4% to 8.25p.

Like-for-like sales fell 5.9% at Tortilla Mexican Grill (LON: MEX) in the first half and Panmure Liberum has cut its full year forecast from breakeven to a £300,000 loss. There was a small improvement in margins in the first half, but the decline in like-for-like sales is likely to continue at a similar rate in the second half. French business Fresh Burritos was acquired after the end of the first half and will contribute for most of the second half.  The share price is 24.8% lower at 47p.

Aurora Investment Trust Case Study: Barratt Developments

Gary Channon, a Partner at Phoenix Asset Management Partners, the manager of the Aurora Investment Trust, details their investment thesis for Barratt Developments, explaining the extensive research techniques employed to value the company when the rest of the market shunned the housebuilding company

Top Digital Tools Every Investor Should Use for Better Performance 

In the financial world, staying ahead requires more than just keen insight and experience. Modern investors must equip themselves with the latest digital tools to manage their investments effectively. These tools not only streamline processes but also provide real-time data and analysis, enhancing decision-making capabilities. 

With so many digital solutions available, selecting the right ones can significantly impact your investment success. From managing portfolios and analysing market trends to maintaining secure and organised documentation, the right tools can save time and reduce errors. Efficient document management, in particular, is crucial, as it ensures easy access to important files, contributing to a more organised and productive workflow. 

Essential Software for Managing Investment Portfolios 

Various software solutions are available to help manage portfolios, providing tools to track performance, analyse market trends, and execute trades. These tools offer real-time data, ensuring that you can make informed decisions quickly and efficiently. Features such as performance tracking and risk assessment allow for a comprehensive overview of your investments, helping to identify potential areas for improvement. 

One key benefit of portfolio management software is the ability to customise reports and analytics according to your specific needs. This flexibility allows investors to focus on the metrics that matter most to them, whether it’s tracking individual stock performance or assessing overall portfolio health. Many of these tools integrate seamlessly with other financial software, creating a cohesive ecosystem that enhances overall efficiency. By using dedicated portfolio management software, you can streamline your investment process, reduce manual errors, and stay ahead in the competitive world of investing. 

Staying Informed with Real-Time Market Monitoring Tools 

Keeping abreast of market developments is vital for making timely and profitable investment decisions. Real-time market monitoring tools provide investors with up-to-the-minute information on market movements, news, and trends. These tools enable you to set up alerts for specific stocks, indices, or market events, ensuring that you are always informed of critical changes that could impact your investments. The ability to receive instant notifications allows for swift action, whether it’s buying a promising stock or selling to avoid potential losses. 

Real-time market data can be customised to suit individual preferences, focusing on specific sectors or asset classes. This personalisation ensures that the information you receive is relevant and actionable. Many market monitoring tools also offer advanced charting and analytical features, enabling detailed analysis of market trends and patterns. Utilising these tools helps investors gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics, make more informed decisions, and ultimately enhance their investment performance. 

Streamlining Document Management for Investors 

Efficient document management is a cornerstone of effective investing, ensuring that all important files are organised and easily accessible. Managing financial documents can be challenging, especially with the volume of paperwork generated through various transactions. Implementing a robust document management system helps keep everything in order, reducing the time spent searching for specific files and decreasing the risk of misplacing crucial documents. 

One practical solution for managing large documents is to use a PDF compressor to reduce file sizes, making them easier to store and share. A reliable PDF compressor not only saves storage space but also ensures that files are quick to upload and download, facilitating smoother communication between stakeholders. For instance, using a PDF compressor can significantly streamline the process of sending large financial reports via email, ensuring that they are delivered promptly and without issues. 

Adopting efficient document management practices helps investors focus more on their core activities and less on administrative tasks. Tools that simplify document handling, like a PDF compressor, are invaluable in maintaining an organised and productive workflow. This improves overall efficiency and increases the ability to access and review important financial documents quickly, leading to better-informed investment decisions. 

Leveraging Data Analysis Tools for Better Decision-Making 

Data analysis tools are indispensable for investors seeking to make informed decisions. These tools provide comprehensive insights into market trends, enabling the identification of potential investment opportunities. By utilising advanced algorithms and machine learning, data analysis tools can process vast amounts of information, revealing patterns and correlations that might not be immediately apparent. This depth of analysis helps investors make more accurate predictions about future market movements and make strategic investment choices. 

Data analysis tools can help track performance metrics and evaluate the effectiveness of various investment strategies. This ongoing analysis allows investors to refine their approaches, optimising their portfolios for better returns. The ability to generate customised reports also means that investors can focus on specific areas of interest, whether it’s sector performance, individual stock analysis, or broader economic indicators. Integrating data analysis into your investment process gives you a competitive edge and helps you make more confident, data-driven decisions. 

Improving Workflow Efficiency with Automation Tools 

Automation tools are transforming the way investors manage their workflows, offering significant improvements in efficiency and accuracy. By automating repetitive tasks, these tools free up time for more strategic activities, such as analysing market trends and making investment decisions. Automation can be applied to various aspects of investment management, including trade execution, portfolio rebalancing, and reporting. This not only speeds up processes but also reduces the likelihood of human error, ensuring more reliable outcomes. 

Automation tools often come with features that allow for real-time monitoring and adjustments. For example, automated trading systems can execute trades based on predefined criteria, ensuring that you capitalise on market opportunities as they arise. These systems can also continuously monitor market conditions and adjust strategies accordingly, providing a dynamic approach to investment management.  

Adopting Mobile Apps for On-the-Go Investment Management 

Mobile apps have revolutionised the way investors manage their portfolios, offering unparalleled convenience and accessibility. With a wide range of investment apps available, you can monitor your portfolio, execute trades, and access real-time market data from anywhere. These apps often come equipped with features such as customisable alerts, detailed analytics, and secure communication channels, ensuring that you have all the tools you need at your fingertips. The ability to manage investments on the go means you can respond quickly to market changes, maximising opportunities and mitigating risks. 

Many mobile apps offer advanced features too, such as social trading where you can follow and replicate the trades of experienced investors. This can be particularly beneficial for those looking to learn from the strategies of successful traders. Mobile apps also provide educational resources, market news, and analysis, helping you stay informed and make better investment decisions.  

Adopting the right digital tools is crucial for investors aiming to optimise their strategies and enhance their performance. By integrating software for portfolio management, you can keep track of your investments with greater accuracy and efficiency. Real-time market monitoring tools ensure you stay updated with the latest market trends and developments, allowing you to make timely and informed decisions. Data analysis tools further enrich your understanding by providing in-depth insights and uncovering patterns that inform your investment strategies. 

Automation tools streamline various processes, reducing the need for manual intervention and minimising errors. This leads to more consistent and reliable outcomes, freeing up time for more strategic tasks. Mobile apps add another layer of convenience, offering the flexibility to manage investments on the go.  

Embracing these technologies not only improves your operational capabilities but also positions you to make more informed and timely investment decisions. Enhance your investment approach with these digital tools to achieve better outcomes and stay ahead in a competitive market. Whether you are executing trades, monitoring your portfolio, or analysing market data, these digital tools ensure you have everything you need at your fingertips. 

1Spatial – Do Not Underestimate The Significant Growth Potential Of This Global Spatial Awareness Specialist 

Investors prepared to take early-stage positions in companies offering massive market potential really should be putting 1Spatial (LON:SPA) into their portfolios. 

Today this group is only capitalised at £78m, yet it is on the verge of boosting its revenues significantly within just a few years, which could see it valued at several times more than currently. 

Some 92% of the company’s equity is held by investment professionals, which is a very good pointer of its prospects. 

The Business 

A global leader in Location Master Data Management, the group helps more than 1,000 organisations unlock the value of their data by validating, auditing, cleansing, correcting, synchronising and enhancing their spatial and non-spatial data. 

Demand for current and authoritative geospatial data has never been greater.  

In every sector, organisations are using location data to make better decisions – improving profits, saving time and saving lives. 

Its solutions ensure data governance, facilitating the efficient, effective and sustainable operation of customers around the world.  

Its global clients are primarily within the Government, Utilities and Transport sectors and include national mapping and land management agencies, utility companies, transportation organisations, government and defence departments. 

The Cambridge-based group has operations in the UK, Ireland, the USA, France, Belgium, Tunisia, and Australia. 

Going For Strong ARR 

I love to see company’s building up their annual recurring revenues and that is one of the aims of this enterprising group. 

Earlier this month it demonstrated material progress on the group’s US expansion plans, when it declared that it had secured several new contracts in the US, an area of importance in its global growth. 

1Spatial now has contracts or framework agreements with 21 US States, up from 18 US States at the year end.  

The group states that its US business has considerable expansion potential, where it has an ambition to generate on average $1m ARR from each State per annum. 

These repeatable solution sales contribute to the Group’s increasing levels of recurring revenue and provide good revenue visibility from the Group’s US operation. 

CEO Claire Milverton stated that:  

“We continue to see considerable opportunity in the US, supporting the digital transformation of transport and emergency services departments, for which accurate, reliable, and up to date location data is vital. 

These wins and the renewal demonstrate the quality of our product and underpin our ambition to generate on average $1m in ARR from each State per annum. Alongside our newly launched SaaS offerings, the Company has a number of growth vectors available to deliver on its ambitions.” 

AGM Trading Update 

Earlier this month, at the group’s AGM, Chairman Andrew Roberts updated investors stating that: 

“Trading for the full year is expected to be in line with expectations.  

We have secured several new contracts in Europe and the US in recent months, and we continue to make progress with our innovative 1Streetworks SaaS offering. 

Planned targeted headcount increases across the US Enterprise and 1Streetworks businesses are well underway.  

With the onboarding of an NG9-1-1 (public safety) specialist in May and a highly experienced sales director joining the Company early in H2 to strengthen the 1Streetworks team.  

This reflects our approach to ensure our sales and delivery teams have a greater sector focus.    

The Group has a strong order book, a growing recurring revenue stream and substantial sales pipeline underpinning the Board’s confidence in the outturn for FY25.   

We believe the investments we continue to make in people and technology have positioned the business well to take advantage of the huge opportunity ahead.” 

The Equity 

There are some 111m shares in issue. 

Around 92% is held by institutional investors. 

The largest holder is Threadneedle Asset Management with 19.94% of the equity. 

Other large holders include Canaccord Genuity Wealth (16.62%), Azini Capital Partners (12.37%), Harwood Capital (6.70%), BGF Investment Management (6.25%), Liontrust Investment Partners (4.92%), Perpetual Investment Management (3.96%), Herald Investment Management (3.56%), Octopus Investments (3.48%), and Hargreaves Lansdown Asset Management (3.42%). 

Analyst’s Views 

At Panmure Liberum analysts Andrew Ripper and Caspar Erskine rate the group’s shares as a Buy, looking for 80p a share as their Price Objective. 

They are going for the current year to end January 2025 to show through with sales of £37m (£32m) and pre-tax profits of £2.4m (£2.1m), lifting earnings to 2.1p (2.0p) per share. 

For the coming year they see £40m revenues, with £3.9m profits and 3.0p per share in earnings. 

My View 

ARR – I just love it! 

Any sensible Finance Director wants to enjoy the strong build-up of annual recurring revenues, it strengthens financial armour when funding growth, especially on a global scale. 

It will be a slow accretion of contracts but there will soon be a point where 1Spatial’s business will almost be self-feeding. 

At the current 71p this group’s shares are a cracking growth stock for patient and risk-tolerant investors. 

Note – Investors should review further articles and presentations on this group featured on this website in March this year. 

Easyjet profits jumps as passenger numbers increase

Easyjet investors will be delighted Ryanair’s problems are not industry-wide. Easyjet shares sank earlier this week after its peer announced falling profits and said it would cut its fares. Easyjet is experiencing no such problems.

EasyJet has reported a strong performance in its third quarter with headline profit before tax increasing 16% to £236 million as passenger numbers increased by 8% year-on-year, reflecting robust demand absent from Ryanair’s recent update.

Revenue per seat (RPS) also saw a modest increase of 1% year-on-year, aligning with the company’s guidance.

The easyJet holidays division performed exceptionally well, delivering £73 million in profit before tax, up from £49 million in the same quarter last year. This represents a remarkable 49% growth in profitability, accompanied by a 33% increase in passenger numbers for the holiday segment. The success of this division is contributing significantly to the overall positive performance of the company.

“Our strong performance in the quarter has been driven by more customers choosing easyJet for our unrivalled network of destinations and value for money,” said Johan Lundgren, CEO of easyJet.

“This result was achieved despite Easter falling into March this year, demonstrating the continued importance of travel and this means we remain on track to deliver another record-breaking summer, taking us a step closer to our medium term targets.” 

Looking ahead, the airline said it expects to reach a capacity of approximately 100 million seats for FY24. Furthermore, the fourth quarter of 2024 is anticipated to continue the positive trend seen in Q3, with revenue per seat expected to maintain its upward trajectory. Easyjet may well be eating Ryanair’s lunch.

The holiday division is projected to deliver over £180 million in profit before tax, representing more than 48% profit growth year-on-year.

Bookings for the fourth quarter are strong, with 69% of capacity already sold, which is 1 percentage point higher than the same period last year. Additionally, easyJet has 7% more capacity on sale. This translates to 1.5 million more seats sold for the peak summer period compared to the previous year.