MicroSalt IPO: everything you need to know

The products, the management, the growth strategy, and the valuation — the distilled investment case for the busy investor.

MicroSalt — perhaps Tekcapital’s most promising portfolio company — is launching its IPO on 1 February 2024. Despite the delays, 2024 appears to be a little more welcoming to new companies than in 2023, especially given general expectations that inflation will continue to subside and interest rates will start to fall in the second half of the year.

While the entire business case is available within the Admission Document, this article has been written to capture the key details for investors new and old, as the company starts out on a life of its own.

Let’s dive in.

MicroSalt IPO: start with the product

When reviewing a ‘new tech’ company, it’s important to start with the product on offer. For example, Ondo InsurTech has its LeakBot and Abingdon Health its saliva-based pregnancy test — but perhaps the best comparator for MicroSalt is OptBiotix’s ‘SweetBiotix,’ a patented zero-calorie sugar alternative made from prebiotic fibres.

The company rocketed one day In July — as the business case for a product that could help partially solve the western obesity crisis took hold of investor hearts.

Of course, the sugar crisis has a twin: the salt crisis. The UK government’s salt reduction targets for 2024 were set out in 2020 and there is a significant way to go if these are to be met. In particular, the government warned that ‘businesses are expected to work towards achieving the 2024 salt reduction targets. Retailers and manufacturers should ensure their products meet…targets.’

If you don’t know about the salt overconsumption crisis, you have been living under a rock. Heart disease is responsible for one third of deaths globally, representing one death every 1.7 seconds.

Cardiovascular disease costs the UK £19 billion every year — and if the average salt intake was reduced by one gram each day, the data shows this would save £288 million a year and thousands of lives. There is a proven link between excess sodium intake and CVD, and the World Health Organisation (WHO) has stated that reducing sodium intake is one of the cheapest ways to improve public health — indeed, it wants sodium consumption to drop by 30%.

For context, the global sodium reduction market was estimated to be worth roughly $5.5 billion in 2021 and is expected to grow to $9.6 billion by 2032 — at a CAGR of 5.8%. And despite a huge variety of sodium-reduced alternatives to traditional salt already on the market, none have succeeded in establishing a dominant market position.

There’s one simple reason why — they all taste awful.

Chefs and customers add salt to almost everything because it improves the flavour of almost any savoury food you can imagine. And as most salt alternatives taste vile, they will never take off. More specifically, they have a bad aftertaste — as they contain potassium chloride which exudes a post-flavour akin to swallowing a bottle of Angostura.

MicroSalt’s ‘Crystal’ salt alternative contains only sodium chloride and non-GMO maltodextrin, so arguably actually tastes much closer to salt than competitors. It contains 50% less sodium than traditional salt —using a patent protected and scalable manufacturing process that produces a salt crystal 100x smaller than traditional salt. This means improved adhesion to food and faster dissolving on the tongue, achieving that distinct salty taste but with half the sodium.

The primary IP is a patent in the US which expires in September 2030 — though 30 more are pending globally. The patent covers both the manufacturing process and the product itself, creating a double-walled legal moat that would be difficult to penetrate. Usually, patents cover one or the other, and the company also has several trademarks in place across western markets to protect its brand identity.

Quality management

Of course, many promising products face an early death without competent management at the helm. Happily, MicroSalt is awash with managerial talent; CEO Rick Guiney has led the company since late 2021 and has a 35 year work history including stints at Anheuser-Busch and Quorn Foods, alongside 28 years as CEO and founder of the now well-known US-based Classic Snacks.

CFO Konrad Dabrowski is a chartered accountant who spent 5 years with Deloitte US — the chap was the global accounting manager for Restaurants Brands International, working alongside businesses such as Burger King, Tim Hortons and Popeyes.

Then there’s Non-Executive Chair Judith Batchelar, with over 35 years of experience in the UK food industry, including as a director of Sainsbury’s and Safeway, alongside additional roles at Marks & Spencer.

In addition to the experience, the management team have the equally valuable industry contacts needed to see further expansion.

Customers and growth

As is typical, the company has two main sales channels: business to business (B2B) and business to consumer (B2C). At present, the focus is firmly on larger volume B2B opportunities with multinational FMCG companies. For context, many opportunities are now through the standard R&D, production testing, and consumer testing processes.

In B2B:

The company has received purchase orders from two Tier-1 customers (A and B). Proof of concept has been demonstrated through the SaltMe! crisp consumer brands and crystal saltshakers which are currently on sale at over 1,000 shops across the US, and also on Amazon.

It’s worth noting that the company’s low sodium salt can also be used in various products including nuts, tortillas, popcorn, bread, cereals, and energy bars. And it has working relationships with three manufacturing facilities capable of producing up to 5,444 tpa, meaning that expansion should be relatively smooth.

MicroSalt has five key B2B clients at present. Customer A is a Fortune 500 pharmacy/food retailer, which has agreed to substitute the salt within four of its nut SKUs with MicroSalt’s alternative, across 800 shops initially. And it’s already started stocking the crisps and shakers — management expect these products to be rolled out across the company’s 9,000-strong estate in 2024. This leaves the question — who is this mystery customer?

Given that it has ‘more than’ 9,000 shops, then it’s most likely CVS as Walgreens trails behind at less than 9,000 at present. A further clue came on 19 October 2023, when MicroSalt secured distribution of the crisps into Long Drugs shops, the leading pharmacy chain in Hawaii. Long Drugs was acquired by CVS in 2008 — and the major has form in trialling new products outside of its own branded chains before moving them into mainstream stores.

Customers B and C are sperate entities but are part of the same group. Customer B has made an initial 9.5Mt purchase order, after global approved vendor status was achieved in November 2022. Further line additions and geographical expansion is expected.

Customer D is expected to make an initial purchase order in mid-2024 — and this is a future catalyst to watch as this major customer is expected to release a statement at this time citing MicroSalt solutions as a ‘key pillar’ in their low sodium strategy.

Customer E is in the early planning stages, but orders are expected in April 2024. Beyond these five, there are ‘active discussions with several prestigious FMCG and food producers in both the UK and US.’

In B2C:

As mentioned above, the company has two consumer products: SaltMe! crisps and the low sodium saltshakers. It has partnerships with major distributors including United Natural Foods and KeHE — and an agreement to provide a low sodium solution to US Salt LLC.

The shaker was launched on Amazon US in October 2022 in 2oz and 6oz sizes and are now sold in 440 shops across various retailers — including Hannaford Bros in parts of the US. They’re also now available on Amazon UK. The crisp offering is sold in four different flavours, with 113,000 bags having been purchased on Amazon US since November 2020.

It’s worth re-stressing that while the consumer side is important, the focus is squarely on B2B as the growth opportunity.

Finances and valuation

The company generated $300,000 of revenue in H1 2023, and while there was a significant loss of $2.5 million in FY22, this reflects the capital expenditure required to scale up the business. This is completely normal and is reflected in the valuation given in the Schedule One document.

MicroSalt expects to raise £3.1 million in primary proceeds during the IPO — giving the company an anticipated market capitalisation of £18.5 million on admission. At this point, 78.4% of shares would be held by Tekcapital (parent), inferring its stake would be worth in the region of £14m compared to a current Tekcapital market cap of £13 million. Tekcapital has three other portfolio companies.

It’s worth noting that TEK valued MicroSalt at £14 million in its interim results midway through 2023, so this latest figure may be slightly optimistic. However, there has been substantial recent progress — and given that TEK itself is only valued at circa £13 million, this one IPO could well be worth more than the parent’s entire market capitalisation.

Investors can make of that what they will, though of course, this is not financial or investing advice.

The bottom line

MicroSalt is an excellent IPO opportunity with a strong management team and carefully planned growth strategy. When details of its major B2B customers are made public, the company will hit the public investing consciousness fast.

As usual, there are risks — but the rewards on offer are correspondingly promising.

This article has been prepared for information purposes only by Charles Archer. It does not constitute advice, and no party accepts any liability for either accuracy or for investing decisions made using the information provided.

Further, it is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

FTSE 100 supported by oil stocks ahead of major week for US markets

The FTSE 100 was marginally higher on Monday ahead of a busy week of economic data, an interest rate decision and corporate updates in the US.

London’s leading index has been largely detached from a strong rally in US stocks so far this year but that could all change this week with a raft of globally significant events.

Microsoft, Google-owner Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon will all report this week. These are the largest companies in the world with the potential to set the tone, not only for US equities but for broad global indices.

In addition, the Fed’s highly anticipated interest rate decision and accompanying commentary will be released on Wednesday, providing 2024’s first official insight into the thinking of the world’s largest economy’s central bank on the trajectory of interest rates. Some market participants expect a dovish pivot that could fire up equity bulls.

On Friday, US Non-Farm Payrolls are expected to reveal the US economy added 180,000 jobs in the last month. A significant deviation from the consensus number will either confirm what the Fed says on Wednesday or throw it up in the air entirely.

With a packed schedule of major events in the week ahead, the FTSE 100 was pretty muted on Monday and was up just 1 point at the time of writing at 7,636.

Oil majors BP and Shell helped offset weakness in housebuilders, banks and consumer stocks. Fresh escalation in the Middle East supported oil prices and raised questions about inflation in the coming months.

“Continued attacks on vessels in the Red Sea are also making traders more skittish, with another fuel tanker targeted. Amid the escalating violence, oil prices have reached three-month highs as supply concerns rear up,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Brent crude has risen above $83 a barrel, which have helped energy giants, Shell and BP make large strides in early trade.”

Fresnillo was the FTSE 100’s top gainer amid strength in precious metals prices.

This week could be pivotal for UK stocks and set the tone for the rest of Q1.

Despite the ongoing geopolitical and economic concerns, AJ Bell’s Russ Mould highlighted a general positivity among analysts rating FTSE 100 companies in early 2024.

“As we enter 2024, 59% of all analysts’ recommendations are buys and just 8% are sells for constituents of the FTSE 100, the highest and lowest scores over the past ten years, respectively. For the FTSE 350 index 62% of all recommendations are positive ratings and just 7% negative ones, again the highest and lowest percentages since 2015,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

Team Internet continues to impress

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Online marketing and domain name services provider Team Internet (LON: TIG) continues to beat expectations. Both divisions are growing in double digits and the full year trading statement reveals that EBITDA was $96m in 2023, up from $86m the previous year.

AIM-quoted Team Internet is market leader in both of its divisions. Overall revenues improved from $728.2m to $835m. A one cent/share dividend is forecast.

The online marketing division generated revenues of $656m, up 14% on the year. Google does not support third-party cookies on its Chrome browser late last year and that provides further growth prospects for the division.

The online presence division is benefitting from growing demand for alternative top level domains. Revenues were 16% ahead at $179m.

Net debt was $74m after $40m of share buy backs and $22m of contingent consideration. A further 153,281 shares have been acquired at an average price of 130.5107p each.

The new year has started well, but Zeus has not changed its 2024 forecast ahead of the full 2023 figures, which will be published on 18 March.

Share buy backs will help earnings grow faster than profit and they are forecast at 25.1 cents/share, up from 22.4 cents/share. Net debt is expected to fall to $21.8m.

At 131.1p, the shares are trading on less than seven times prospective earnings. The share price is lower than one year ago even though good progress has been made.

AIM movers: Inspecs misses profit target and record revenues from Surgical Innovations

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Helium One Global (LON: HE1) continues to attract share buyers following the news that the Itumbula West-1 has reached its total depth of 961 metres and elevated helium shows have been consistently measured. The helium shows increased in frequency and concentration in fault zones. The share price has risen a further 83.1% to 1.135p. That is 475% ahead of five days ago.

Medical instruments manufacturer Surgical Innovations (LON: SUN) expects to report record revenues of £12m for 2023, but there will still be a loss. Strikes in the NHS have hampered progress in the UK, but surgical innovations could get near to breakeven in 2024. The share price has been on a downward trajectory and they have recovered 16.7% to 0.7p, which is still more than 50% down over the past year.

Europa Oil & Gas (LON: EOG) says that the Irish government has extended the first phase of exploration at the offshore FEL 4/19 licence to 31 January 2026. This will enable seismic data to be reprocessed and then move to securing a farm-in partner. The licence includes the Inishkea West gas prospect. The share price is 10.8% higher at 1.025p.

Corporate financial services provider Alpha Group International (LON: ALPH) has launched a £20m share buy back programme. There are plans to move to the Main Market this year. The share price improved 7.09% to 1585p.

FALLERS

Eyewear manufacturer Inspecs (LON: SPEC) says the improvement in profit in 2023 was not as great as expected because of weak December trading. EBITDA is likely to rise from £15.5m to £18m, whereas £20m was the consensus forecast. Revenues were flat. Net debt was £24.3m. The results will be published on 17 April. A Norwegian distributor has been acquired and the new Vietnam factory opens in the first half of 2024. The share price declined 29.5% to 61p.

Beacon Energy (LON: BCE) has commenced sand jetting operations at the Schwarzbach-2 well in the Rhone Basin in Germany. Mechanical issues have hampered production, and this should help to improve flows. This operation is expected to cost less than €500,000. The share price fell 14.3% to 0.075p.

Serabi Gold (LON: SRB) says 7,891 ounces of gold were produced in the three months to 31 December, taking the total for the year to 33,153 ounces. The Palito and Coringa operations in Brazil generated the production. Palito has estimated reserves of 206,400 ounces. There was $11.6m in cash at the end of 2023. The share price decreased 10.5% to 38.5p.

Government plans to ban disposable vaping products has knocked 7.02% off the Supreme (LON: SUP) share price leaving it at 97p. The ban could come into force by the end of the year. Vaping was two0fifth of revenues in the latest interims, although that was a lower proportion than in the first half of the previous year. Brands include 88Vape and it also distributes ElfBar and Lost Mary products.

BP and Shell shares rise on Middle East escalation fears

BP and Shell’s shares were firmly higher on Monday after dramatic events in the Middle East over the weekend sent oil prices higher and took the FTSE 100 oil majors with them.

Three US servicemen were killed and many more injured in attacks by Iran-backed militia near the Syria/Jordan border. The US President has promised retaliatory measures in response.

BP rose 1.5%, and Shell gained 1.2% after Brent oil traded near $84 on Monday before falling back.

BP and Shell shares have struggled with falling oil prices in recent months, and the two companies trade significantly below 52-week highs.

Although today’s news may boost their share prices in the short term, the ongoing crisis in the Middle East may have implications for the demand story should inflation jump and interest rates remain elevated as a result.

“Oil prices advanced thanks to a renewed escalation in Middle East tensions, with a further attack on shipping in the Red Sea by Houthi rebels and three US soldiers killed in a drone attack on a US service base on the border of Jordan and Syria,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Crude hitting its highest level since November feels ominous given it adds inflationary pressure at a time when borrowers and the markets are hoping to see interest rates cut. Geopolitical factors seem to be propping up oil at a time when the wider dynamics of supply and demand look less than favourable for the energy market.”

Chill Brands shares sink as UK announces disposable vaping ban

Chill Brands shares lost around a third of its value on Monday after the UK government announced it would introduce measures to ban disposable vapes entirely to stop them getting into the hands of children.

The news sent Chill Brands into a tailspin and they were trading down around 22% at the time of writing after recovering from the worst levels.

“Chill Brands implies it is not affected by the latest announcement because recharging ports on its products mean they are not classified as disposable,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The market seems to question this logic given the fierce share price sell-off. Effectively, investors are saying there is a major risk to earnings, whether it is from Sunak’s latest announcement or the general direction of travel by the government to stop young people getting into the vaping habit.”

According to Action on Smoking and Health (AS), 7.6% of 11 to 17-year-olds now vape on a regular basis, compared to 4.1% in 2020. Health experts have publicly welcomed today’s news.

Chill Brands has developed a range of vaping products containing zero nicotine and are stocked by WH Smith, Morrisons, and Shell and BP roadside garages. Chill’s zero nicotine vapes are not designed in the garish colours associated with the explosion of use among children.

The company said they are working on a new range that will be fully compliant with incoming laws.

In response to the UK government’s ban, Callum Sommerton, Chief Executive Officer of Chill Brands, said:

“The vaping landscape is constantly evolving, creating opportunities for businesses that are able to navigate the regulatory environment. The Chill brand has gained rapid traction with the support of major retailers, and I am confident that it will continue to do so as we move forward with our plans to launch reusable pod system vapes.

“Chill Brands Group is an agile company, and we are prepared to adjust to any legislation that may be enacted. In the meantime, our existing high-puff count and rechargeable devices will continue to be sold by US and UK retailers who have demonstrated a strong appetite for products brought to market under the Chill brand.”

Tip update: Asset rich Hargreaves Services

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The interim dividend has been raised to 18p/share and the final should be the same, providing a yield of 7.7%. This should continue for the foreseeable future. There are also significant assets not reflected in the balance sheet.
The German associate HRMS is expected to return to profit for the full year. The commodity trading business should do better in the seco...

Director deals: Should you follow Fevertree Drinks chairman?

Mixer drinks supplier Fevertree Drinks (LON: FEVR) chairman Domenic De Lorenzo bought 45,000 shares at 973.8p each following the 2023 trading statement. This takes his stake to 49,500 shares.
This comes after a tough period of trading in the past couple of years when revenues have continued to increase but margins have come under pressure, leading to lower profit.
AIM-quoted Fevertree Drinks, which joined AIM at the end of 2024, was a stockmarket favourite for many years, but the current share price of 1066p is less than one-third of the peak in 2018. It is also less than 50% of the level it w...

Aquis weekly movers: Improving productivity for bitcoin miner Vinanz

Fenikso Ltd (LON: FNK) has received a further $806,299 for partial repayment of a loan to Lekoil. This leaves $44.4m owed. Finkso owes $13.9m to Savannah Energy Investments. The share price increased 8.82% to 0.925p.

Bitcoin miner Vinanz Ltd (LON: BTC) is deploying Luxor Firmware in Labrador, Canada. These bitcoin mining machines are improving their productivity, and this firmware will further boost productivity. The share price rose 2.44% to 10.5p.

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) has commissioned the Rados Ore Sorter at the Blesberg lithium and tantalum mine. First production and bulk testing has commenced. This method of processing does not use chemical reagents. The share price is 1.03% higher at 12.25p.

FALLERS

Rogue Baron (LON: SHNJ) has issued 3.93 million share to pay consultants and creditors. The share price fell 14.9% to 2p.

Ananda Developments (LON: ANA) has appointed Professor Cherry Wainwright and Dr Katie Sykes as scientific advisers. The share price declined 13.3% to 0.325p.

NFT Investments has changed its name to Phoenix Digital Assets (LON: PNIX). The share price dipped 1.89% to 2.6p.

AIM weekly movers: Helium One Global bounces back

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Helium One Global (LON: HE1) says the Itumbula West-1 has reached its total depth of 961 metres and elevated helium shows have been consistently measured. The helium shows increased in frequency and concentration in fault zones. Formulation evaluation will be done and then drill stem testing across zones of interest. The share price jumped 210% to 0.62p, which is the highest level for more than one month – since the announcement of the fundraising at 0.25p/share prior to Christmas.

Primorus Investments (LON: PRIM) investee company Payapps Ltd is being acquired by software supplier Autodesk. Payapps is a construction payment and compliance management services provider and Primorus Investments owns 3.07 million shares. The bid price was not revealed. The Prmorus Investments share price rose 63.3% to 4p.

The backing of the Swedish government of the Kallak iron ore project pushed up the Beowulf Mining (LON: BEM) share price by 53.8% to 2p. The local indigenous community had objected to the development of the project because of potential harm to reindeer husbandry, but the government says the original award of the licence is politically and commercially important for Sweden and Europe. The community still has an outstanding legal action against the government.

Golden Metal Resources (LON: GMET) has completed analysis of sampling at the Garfield project in Nevada and it reveals a “bullseye” anomaly in the high-grade zone. This increases the site’s overall prospectivity and gold and silver potential. The next steps for exploration are being assessed. The share price is 51.3% higher.

FALLERS

Active Energy (LON: AEG) says discussions with Player Design about the construction of the Ashland CoalSwitch facility continue but Player Design is no longer willing to commit to a date when production will commence or the potential volumes from the facility. Active Energy is seeking to get back cash it has paid to Player Design. There is potential demand for CoalSwitch fuel if production can be started. A different site may be required. The share price slumped 70.6% to 0.5p, which is a new low.

Molecular Energies (LON: MEN) has raised £500,000 at 35p/share. The share price declined 49.7% to 37p. The cash will finance ongoing activities while the spin-out of Green House Capital Group is progressing and the company awaits payments related to the disposal of the oil and gas assets in Argentina. So far, $500,000 out of $13m of debt has been repaid, while a $2m payment for the business is due in September. An exploration well is being drilled on the Pirity concession in Paraguay and management is seeking new opportunities.

Film localisation services provider Zoo Digital (LON: ZOO) says that delays in film and television productions mean that there will be a higher than expected loss in 2023-24. This is because there was a slower than expected pick up in work after the writers’ strike ended. There should be an improvement in workflow after the end of the financial year. The share price is 31.9% lower at 40.5p, which is still above the low during the strike.

Plastic products supplier Coral Products (LON: CRU) says trading has been weaker in recent weeks due to adjustments in customer stock levels. Forecast revenues are being reduced by 10% to £32.2m and the pre-tax profit slashed to £600,000, down from £1.7m last year. That the means that the dividend will be cut. There are more positive signs for future demand, but 2024-25 forecasts have also been reduced. The new chief executive has identified restructuring opportunities that could achieve significant cost savings. The share price slipped 30.9% to 11.75p.