Diversified Energy Company hit by political questions

3

A dual listing on the New York Stock Exchange was supposed to give Diversified Energy Company (LON: DEC) a boost, but the day after trading commenced, the London share price has dived 16.2% to £10.99. This comes as Democratics in the US opened an inquiry into the company and questioning its business model.

They are concerned about The US oil and gas producer’s methane emissions and abandonment risk. Chief executive Rusty Hutson has been sent a nine-page letter requesting information on methane leakage and other business matters. There is a concern that when wells are abandoned they could leave billions of dollars of clean up costs for state governments.

Diversified Energy Company has interests in 65,000 wells in the US and it is estimated to be the fourth-largest methane emitter among oil and gas producers in 2022 – based on a Environmental Protection Agency estimates.

The Democrats are on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, but this is controlled by Republicans, so they have limited power. Even so, it is negative publicity for Diversified Energy Company and the timing of the letter was probably not an accident.

AIM movers: Tertiary Minerals Zambian earn-in and Engage XR contracts delayed

0

Tertiary Minerals (LON: TYM) has secured an earn-in agreement with KoBold Metals for the Konkola West copper project in Zambia. The deal requires the funding of 2,000 metres of drilling over 14 months. This relates to two holes and must start by May. That will lead to KoBold Metals owning 51% of the project, which could be further raised to 70%. That would leave Tertiary Mineral’s subsidiary with a 20% stake. The share price is one-quarter ahead at 0.1625p.

Mongolia-based oil and gas producer Petro Matad (LON: MATD) is making progress towards approvals for production and development at the Heron field. The full approvals should be gained in time to commence operations in April. An offtake agreement is likely with Petro China. Some production had been expected from the Heron field this year, but the 2024 sales expectations have been edged up. The share price increased 29.8% to 3.7p.

Financial adviser Tavistock Investments (LON: TAVI) improved interim revenues by 19% to £20.6m and moved back into profit. Since the end of September, cash has improved to £5m. Precise Protect was acquired in April and it has been rebranded Tavistock Protect. The share price improved 9.68% to 4.25p.

Filtronic (LON: FTC) has won a £4.5m defence contract starting in January. Revenues will be recognised in 2024-25 and 2025-26. Interim results will be published on 6 February. Trading is in line with expectations. The share price rose 7.69% to 21p.

FALLERS

Virtual reality provider Energy XR (LON: EXR) says contract delays will hit 2023 revenues. The forecast was €5.4m and guidance is €3.6m-€3.8m, although the expected EBITDA loss of €4.6m is not much higher than previously. The relaunch of the Lenovo headset with Engage AI features will be at the start of 2024. The share price slumped 23.2% to 2.15p. The February placing was at 4p/share.

Trinidad-focused oil and gas producer Touchstone Exploration (LON: TXP) is guiding 2024 production of 9,100-9,700 barrels of oil equivalent/day, which is a multiple of the 2023 figure. Even so, near-term production estimates are not as high as previously expected with a greater proportion of gas. There are plans to invest $33m next year and management is talking with its lender to increase the debt facility.  The share price dipped 15.6% to 47.25p.

Ethernity Networks (LON: ENET) is raising £700,000 at 1p/share and chief executive David Levi is converting £75,000 of loans into shares. This will boost cash balances to $2.1m. The company has to agree a settlement payment with its creditors. The share price declined 10.9% to 1.025p, which is a new low.

Lending platform operator Lendinvest (LON: LINV) grew assets under management by 11% year-on-year to £2.7bn even though the lending market has fallen over the past year. Net interim revenues fell from £33.8m to £13.1m, although the comparatives were boosted by £12.5m of securitisation gains. Cash improved to £88m by the end of September 2023. The dividend will be reviewed when the full year results are published. The share price is 10.3% lower at 26p.

Superdry shares plummet on woeful trading update

Superdry’s popularity as a brand peaked in the early 2010s, and its appeal has steadily declined since. So has its share price.

Indeed, the pace of the declines in Superdry shares picked up this morning after it announced soggy sales due to adverse weather during the important Autumn trading period.

The group said retail sales were down 13.1%, and its wholesale business cratered 41% as the company exited the US market.

In the face of falling sales, Superdry is scrambling to cut costs and selling assets to raise cash. Selling IP for the South Asian region netted £28.3m as the company agreed a £25m lending facility with Hilco Capital Limited.

Superdry shares were down 15% at the time of writing on Tuesday,

“Superbad news from Superdry this morning. The recent turn for the worse in the weather is not enough to rescue trading for the first half of their financial year,” said Steve Clayton, head of equity funds, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Bad weather in recent weeks has moderated the drop in sales rates, but they remain in negative territory. The group are trying to raise cash and cut costs. Progress here has seen an initial £35m of cost savings targeted and the group has sold Asian assets for £28m. A credit facility with Hilco Capital brings access to another £25m. Overall, results are coming in significantly below management’s expectations.”

Another cleantech spin-off from Molecular Energies

South America-focused oil and gas producer Molecular Energies (LON: MEN) is getting closer to another AIM cleantech spin-off. This follows the previous spin-off Atome Energy (LON: ATOM).
The latest flotation is set to happen in the first quarter of 2024. There is already positive investor feedback. A technology breakthrough could make it an even more attractive investment.
Atome Energy, which is developing ammonia and hydrogen production projects in Paraguay and Iceland, raised £6m at 80p/share when it joined AIM. The share price reached 136.5p at one point, although it has fallen back to 77.5...

FTSE 100 sets up for Santa’s Rally as oil soars

The FTSE 100 was heading for a Santa’s Rally as higher oil prices helped lift London’s leading index on Monday.

Brent oil prices were 3% higher at the time of writing on Monday after major oil and shipping companies said they were rerouting their vessels away from the Red Sea after Houthi rebels conducted a series of drone attacks over the weekend.

BP and Shell were 2% and 1.5% higher after BP said they would avoid the area, and oil prices touched the highest levels in over a week.

The commodity-heavy FTSE 100 didn’t share the enthusiasm evident in US stocks after the Federal Reserve signalled they would hike rates in 2024. However, a rally in oil provided London with its own version of festive cheer as miners joined in BP and Shell’s rally.

The FTSE 100 is over 2% higher in December so far and is well placed to provide investors with an early present in the form of a Santa’s rally.

Vodafone was the FTSE 100’s top riser following reports that the telecom giant is seeking to dispose of its Italian business through a merger or disposal. Some areas of Vodafone’s European business have dragged on performance, and getting rid of their Italian unit will be welcomed by shareholders.

Vodafone shares were 3.5% higher at the time of writing.

Rolls Royce ticked higher on Monday after reports they were eyeing the deployment of mini-nuclear reactors in Ukraine, demonstrating they are not just a jet engine maker.

“There was a reminder that Rolls-Royce – one of the best performing stocks anywhere this year – has more strings to its bow than making engines for airplanes, amid newspaper reports it is in talks to provide small modular reactor technology to Ukraine as the country looks to build out its nuclear power capacity,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The modest move in the share price suggests shareholders are not expecting any near-term impact on profit or cash flow, however.”

AIM movers: Eden Research gains approval in Italy and Cap-XX patent defeat

2

Eden Research (LON: EDEN) has gained temporary approval for the Ecovelex bird repellent seed treatment for corn in Italy for the 2024 growing season. This was developed with Corteva Agriscience and EU approval is being progressed and that could be achieved in 2025, although it may take until 2026 to gain approvals for local use.  The share price is 15.9% higher at 4.75p.

N4 Pharma (LON: N4P) says experiments have confirmed the successful administration of oral delivery system Nuvec for oligonucleotides including DNA and RNA. The test used DNA plasmid for ovalbumin. Decisions are being made on the next phase of work and there will be further news next year. The share price increased 9.68% to 0.85p.

Trading in Trafalgar Property Group (LON: TRAF) shares has recommenced following the publication of 2022-23 accounts and interims to September 2023. The residential property developer is losing money and cash has fallen to less than £13,000. The company is developing a residential site at Speldhurst and it is seeking opportunities in vertical farming. The share price recovered 7.69% from its ten-year low to 0.07p.

Thor Energy (LON: THR) investee company EnviroCopper has reached agreement with Andromeda Metals to acquire the Alford West property and combine it with Alford East in return for a 5% stake in EnviroCopper and A$50,000 in cash with deferred consideration of a 10% share of any successful mining operations. There will also be a A$150,000 cash payment when a mining lease is granted. Alligator Energy is making a A$900,000 strategic investment in EnviroCopper to help fund its copper projects. That will give it a 7.8% interest and further investments could take the stake to 50.1%. Thor Energy’s stake has been diluted to 26.5%. The Thor Energy share price rose 6.9% to 1.55p.

FALLERS

Supercapacitors manufacturer Cap-XX (LON: CPX) has lost a patent infringement case in the US with Tesla subsidiary Maxwell Technologies Inc. The case affirmed that the Cap-XX patents were invalid, so Maxwell Technologies does not infringe them and does not have to pay licence fees or damages. The share price slumped 57.4% to 0.725p.

Fewer M&A deals completed by Convex Capital has hit the 2023 outcome for RBG Holdings (LON: RBGP). The core legal services business was also disappointing. It means that there will be a small loss for 2023, rather than a pre-tax profit of £5.6m. Net debt is likely to be £23.1m at the end of 2023, just below the total facility level of £24.5m. The share price slumped 34.9% to 10.75p.

Trinity Exploration and Production (LON: TRIN) says initial flow rates at the Jacobin well at the Lower Cruise 1 zone have started to decline. The presence of water and gas was not anticipated. Data gathering will identify the problem and help to solve it. The Jacobin well has cost $8.3m. Production guidance for 2023 is 2,800-2,900 barrels of oil per day. Changes to Trinidad taxation will boost Trinity Exploration and Production next year. The share price is down 18.8% to 32.5p.

Tower Resources (LON: TRP) has raised £600,000 at 0.02p/share. A deal with Borr Drilling has secured the Norve jack-up rig to drill the NJOM-3 well on the Thali licence in Cameroon. The rig should be available between April and August. The share price is one-eighth lower at 0.021p.

 3ti is ‘Driving on Sunshine®’

Sponsored by 3ti

Founded in 2019, 3ti turns car parks into renewable energy power stations.  They are on a mission to get businesses and vehicles “Driving on Sunshine®” by deploying large-scale solar arrays in car parks, on rooftops & waste land whilst also growing an extensive, reliable EV charging network with their easy to install, multi-award winning pop-up, mini solar car park, Papilio3®.

As the UK’s leading designer, installer, funder and operator of Solar Car Parks (SCPs), 3ti is passionate about replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy and believes that providing low carbon electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure is the key to decarbonising the transport sector.  Where better to do that than in a car park?

3ti has a unique three technology (“3t”) approach to generating renewable energy from car parks.  By integrating local mains electricity with solar power, Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) and EV charge points, 3ti provides secure, consistent, clean solar energy for businesses whilst simultaneously providing low carbon, fast EV charging infrastructure for workplace and destination charging.

It has also been awarded £2m non-dilutive R&D funding to integrate V2X technology into its industry-leading Smart Microgrid platform, “3tiG”, via a major Papilio3 trial demonstration.

82% of Global energy is still derived from fossil fuels.  Electrification with renewable energy is the only way to achieve Net Zero by 2050.

Tim Evans, Founder & CEO commented, “Net zero can only be achieved by electrification with renewable energies and to do this, UK solar PV capacity has to be increased 5x, EV charge points increased 54x & £50bn spent on grid upgrades by 2035.”

Promoting positive change for the planet, through clean, low carbon, low cost energy is part of 3ti’s commitment to providing the UK with sustainable, effective solar and battery boosted destination and workplace EV charging.

Having been involved in renewable energy since the ‘90s, whilst working in Germany, Tim has watched with increasing concern the impact that climate change has already had and is continuing to have on the world we live in.

3ti

Tim believes that the time for positive climate action is now.  3ti’s company motto is ‘Leave Something Better Behind®”, a belief that he has always strived to live by but with increased focus since becoming a grandfather.

“We are raising investment on Crowdcube to grow the company further and faster, in the booming solar and EV charging markets and to enter new energy storage and flexibility markets, worth collectively in excess of £200bn over the next 12 years.” 

In less than 24 hours of being live on Crowdcube, 3ti smashed its crowdfunding target and is currently overfunding.  They raised over £3m in their last fundraising campaign 18 months ago, have since become a Certified B Corp™ and:

  • Expanded – the team to 33
  • Reported – £6m revenue for the year to June 2023
  • Achieved – 48% year-on-year revenue growth
  • Hit – £16m total revenue
  • Won – 5 Innovation, “Best Product” & “Technology” industry awards for Papilio3
  • Built – 15MW solar PV
  • Delivered – over 9,000 EV charging sessions from Salisbury to Scotland
  • Received – Papilio3 enquiries from 22 countries
  • Grown – the sales pipeline to over £250m
  • Completed – feasibility studies for international expansion
  • Secured – £2m non-dilutive R&D funding to develop its new Smart Microgrid platform, 3tiG

Tim further commented, “This is a hugely exciting next chapter for 3ti, as we develop technology that will further differentiate our products and services and enable us to penetrate new markets with recurring revenues”.

Find out more here.

Premier African Minerals shares vs Kodal Minerals in 2024

Premier African Minerals and Kodal Minerals are two of London’s foremost ‘lithium stocks’ operating African lithium mines. They are well-placed to enjoy any growth in lithium demand to feed the burgeoning electric vehicle battery industry.

There are still fantasists who think they’ll be driving a diesel car in 15 years. However, it’s clear that by the end of the next decade, almost all vehicles will be electric, powered by some form of battery or hydrogen fuel cell. Whether the majority of batteries are lithium-ion or sodium-ion, or indeed hydrogen power cells, is anyone’s guess.

Should hydrogen or sodium-ion powered vehicles gain material traction in the coming years, lithium prices could plummet, making the economics of Premier African Minerals and Kodal Minerals’ mine unattractive.

One may speculate that the drop in lithium prices this year reflects not only a slowing demand for EVs but also concerns about the future of lithium-ion batteries.

That said, lithium is at the forefront of most EV manufacturers’ plans for the coming years, and demand for the white metal is set to grow in the near term.

This underpins the investment case for both Premier African Minerals and Kodal Minerals.

In the interest of diversification, it is probably a good idea for investors prepared to take a higher level of risk in junior miners to buy both. There are also excellent lithium mining ETFs available.

However, in this article, we make a concise assessment of both Premier African Minerals and Kodal Minerals as investment propositions in 2024.

Premier African Minerals shares

Premier African Minerals shares have resumed a holding pattern as investors await crucial news on production.

As we have explained previously, there is tremendous value in the ground at Zulu. Their Chinese partners Canmax, know this or they wouldn’t be involved.

Premier African Minerals’ Zulu lithium project contains 20.1Mt @ 1.06% Li2O & 51.05ppm Ta2O5 at a 0.5% Li2O cut-off.

The problem sits with how much of this value is realised by Premier African Minerals shareholders.

The company freely issues new shares to settle invoices and provide working capital. All of this is diluting shareholders.

In addition, we have not gained any real insight into whether their partners will call in their penalty payments.

Premier said their partner remains ‘supportive’ as far as they haven’t called for penalty payments. Canmax probably hasn’t yet called the payments in because they know Premier African Minerals doesn’t have the cash.

We will see how supportive Canmax are if the Zulu lithium mine is up and running by the end of February.

Premier African Minerals recently announced major upgrades and changes to the processing plant at Zulu, which will delay the ramping up of production well into 2024.

Despite the clouds gathering over Premier African Minerals in recent months, there is a silver lining.

The company confirmed Zulu is producing lithium offtake of the required grade. By simulating the processing capabilities of a properly functioning facility, Premier said they had produced offtake at a Li20 grade of 7.4%.

It is unlikely the average grade of the plant’s lithium offtake is as high as this when spodumene is processed at scale, but it does show the project is able to produce the grade required by their offtake agreement.

The potential upside in Premier African Minerals is probably greater than Kodal at this point. However, it will require a brave investor to take a meaningful position here, given the problems the company have experienced to date. Much of which is of their own doing.

Kodal Minerals

Kodal Minerals share trades more than 50% lower than 52-week highs, despite completing their financing package with Chinese partners for mine construction at the Bougouni Project.

Like Premier African Minerals, Kodal Minerals has a world-class lithium resource.

After an extensive drill campaign through 2023, Kodal Minerals’ upgraded the Bougouni Project’s resource to 31.9 Mt at 1.06% Li2O, with 337.2kt contained Li2O. Kodal says it has further targets to drill, which may increase the resource further.

Just as Premier African Minerals ran into problems with their offtake partners this year, Kodal was hampered by delays and uncertainties in its relationship with its funding partners. However, unlike Premier African Minerals, these have now been rectified, and the company is focused on the construction of its mine.

Kodal Minerals are in the very early stage of mine construction, having said road construction would start earlier this year. Kodal has set an ambitious target of achieving production at Bougouni within 12 months of mid-November this year.

One would expect investors to turn their attention to Kodal Minerals shares as this production target approaches. However, the short-term promises little of interest and Kodal shares may drift into the summer.

Kodal Minerals has huge gold resources that may prop up the share price if the lithium project hits bumps in the road in 2024.

Games Workshop announces agreement with Amazon, shares rise

Table-top gaming company Games Workshop announced an agreement with Amazon to produce films, TV series, and associated merchandise.

Games Workshop shares have stormed higher over the past ten years as the popularity of their games grew, and they looked beyond the painting of figurines to digital gaming formats and entertainment, utilising their characters and branding.

The Amazon deal is something of a holy grail and is a testament to Games Workshop’s broad appeal, which is likely to be boosted when the productions are released.

Games Workshop rose 1.9% in early trade on Monday.

“Games Workshop, the producers of fantasy roleplaying games and miniature models have announced that their earlier co-operation agreement to explore licencing deals with Amazon Studios has progressed,” said Steve Clayton, head of equity funds at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Amazon have been granted exclusive rights to develop films and TV series set within Games Workshop’s Warhammer 40,000 universe with an option for further development of Games Workshop’s intellectual property in the movie and TV space.

“Perhaps the day will come before too long when parents can simply send their kids off to the cinema to watch this stuff rather than have to spend half their weekends doing the model-making and painting on Junior’s behalf? Whatever happens, Games Workshop are not predicting any benefit to income from the deal in the 2024 financial year, but investors still welcomed the news, pushing the shares up 2.5% in early trade.”

Director deals: Is Frontier Developments ready to bounce back?

Joy Hu, the wife of Frontier Developments (LON: FDEV) non-exec James Mitchell, acquired 145,000 shares in the AIM-quoted video games publisher at an average price of 113.27p each and 82,000 shares at an average price of 114.73p each.. The couple have a total holding of 347,044 shares (0.88%).
Senior independent non-exec Leslie-Ann Reid acquired an initial 20,032 shares at 99.8p each, while chief executive Jonny Watts bought 18,984 shares at 110.6p each and finance director Alex Bevis purchased 23,000 shares at 108.9p each.
The Frontier Developments share price has dived 86.9% this year and is ...