FTSE 100 hit by UK interest rate concerns, St James’s Place sinks

The FTSE 100 fell on rates concern on Friday with housebuilders, banks and consumer discretionary stocks among the most heavily hit.

Another day and another shift in sentiment driven by interest rate expectations. On Friday, the concerns were centred on UK interest rates and comments from the Bank of England’s chief economist.

“The higher-for-longer interest rate narrative just became louder. The Bank of England’s chief economist, Huw Pill, has said the bank won’t be quick to cut rates – even if a moderation of inflation occurs,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Simply put, inflation needs to be closer to the 2% target before anyone can get their hopes up that the cost of living and borrowing is about to sweep down to more palatable levels.”

Housebuilders Taylor Wimpey and Barratt Developments struggled with the prospect of higher mortgage rates for an extended period as the two fell more than 1%.

UK banks were also weaker as investors weighed how higher borrowing costs would impact the ability of their customers to repay debt.

Consumer discretionary constituents Kingfisher and JD Sports were down 2.1% and 2.7% respectively.

St James’s Place was the biggest faller following media reports the wealth manager was facing increased scrutiny from the regulator regarding charges.

AIM movers: TomCo Energy premium placing and Christie transactions delays

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TomCo Energy (LON: TOM) has raised £100,000 at 0.08p/share, which was a 45.5% premium to the market price. The share price rose 18.2% to 0.065p, which claws back the loss earlier in the week. TomCo Energy still has to find a way to finance the acquisition of the 90% of Tar Sands Holdings II in Utah. That will cost $17.25m. Management believes that it can still achieve this by the end of 2023, when the option expires.

Ondine Biomedical (LON: OBI) says that its Steriwave nasal photodisinfection technology is available across Canada, having recently come into use at Nova Scotia’s largest hospital. One-in-nine hospital patients in Canada get a hospital-related infection. Steriwave is an alternative to antibiotics. The share price improved 10.3% to 8p.

Wealth management services provider Brooks Macdonald (LON: BRK) has appointed investment bank Raymond James, which acquired Charles Stanley in 2022, to advise on potential takeover interest in the company. It is unclear if there have been any bid approaches. The share price is 6.82% higher at 1762.5p.

Watkin Jones (LON: WJG) non-exec chair Alan Giddins bought 123,000 shares at 32.0239p each following the recent trading statement. This helped the share price recover 4.86% to 33.975p, but it is still lower on the week.

Bars operator Loungers (LON: LGRS) increased like-for-like sales by 7.7% in the 24 weeks to 1 October 2023 with growth accelerating in the second quarter. Overall revenues were 22% higher at £149.6m. Inflationary pressure is easing. Full year pre-tax profit is forecast to improve from £9.4m to £12m. The share price is 2.94% ahead at 192.5p.

FALLERS

Archimed SAS says that it will not increase its 833p/share bid for Instem (LON: INS) and the share price dipped 8.26% to 750p. The meetings to approve the deal are next Thursday.

In-content advertising company Mirriad Advertising (LON: MIRI) has appointed Nic Hellyer as its finance director. He has previously held the position at Byotrol (LON: BYOT) and former AIM company Pelatro. The share price fell 6.02% to 1.95p.

Invesco has reduced its stake in Zoo Digital (LON: ZOO) from 9.39% to 4.98%. The share price declined 5.32% to 44.5p.

Christie Group (LON: CTG) says that exchange and invoicing activity has recovered in its agency and advisory business. Transactions are increasing, but completions may be delayed into next year. This news underpins the expectations of a return to profit in the second half of 2023. However, Shore has cut its full year expectations with a £1m loss forecast. A bounce back is expected in 2024 with pre-tax profit of £4.8m forecast.

Red Rock Resources soars on lithium assay results

Red Rock Resources shares jumped on Friday after announcing assay results from their lithium project in Zimbabwe operated by subsidiary African Lithium Resources.

Three sets of 2kg pegmatite samples were sent for testing at an ISO-accredited laboratory in Harare, Zimbabwe. The results were as follows.

Sample numberLithium content (%)Li2O content (%)
12.044.36
20.190.40
32.034.35
41.152.46

These results are supportive of economically viable lithium grades and will spur further evaluation of the project.

Red Rock Resources shares were over 38% higher at the time of writing on Friday.

Red Rock Chairman Andrew Bell commented:

“These high grade Lithium Oxide results show the potential that exists, and we continue discussions with potential customers and contractors. Further news will be released as it becomes available.

“The technical information in this announcement has been reviewed by Mr Joseph Komu, a member of AusIMM and a Manager employed by the Red Rock group. Mr Komu is a member of a recognised professional organisation and has sufficient relevant experience to qualify as a qualified person as defined in the Guidance Note for Mining, Oil and Gas Companies published by AIM.”

St James’s Place shares tank as charging structure pressure mounts

St James’s Place shares tanked on Friday on reports the regulator was unhappy with their efforts to make their charging structure fairer for clients and were set to change their fee structure.

St James’s Place shares were down 15% at the time of writing on Friday.

St James’s Place’s complex charging structures are facing further scrutiny following the introduction of the Consumer Duty earlier this year. Many argue St James’s Place’s fee structure is unclear and penalises clients for exiting early.

Consumer Duty required firms to assess their practises and place their customers at the centre of their business decisions. St James’s Place has been under fire for unfair charges for some time and the pressure ramped up this year leading to sharp declines in their share price.

In a statement released on Friday, St James’s Place said:

“As disclosed in our Half-Year Report & Accounts published on 27 July 2023, we continue to build on the work completed for Consumer Duty. This programme includes an assessment of our fees and charging models to ensure we operate with a simple and scalable charging platform for the long term.”

“Whilst the evaluation has not yet been completed and therefore no decision has been made, we are confident that all the options under consideration will ensure value for clients and a strong, secure, and sustainable business for all stakeholders. We naturally continue to engage with all of our primary regulators during this process.”

FTSE 100 shakes off US inflation data as BP jumps

The FTSE 100 rose on Thursday despite US CPI inflation exceeding expectations in the year to September.

US CPI inflation held steady at 3.7% in September and although it was higher than economists had expected, monthly inflation fell to 0.4%.

The US inflation read did little to knock investor confidence in London on Thursday as BP and Shell rose on higher oil prices helping support the FTSE 100.

US interest rates

A raft of recent comments from US central bankers suggested rates would hold steady in the short term and today’s reading will cloud the outlook for investors. US stocks fell in the immediate reaction.

“US inflation has come in a little higher than expected, leaving the path of interest rates unclear. Headline inflation decelerated to 0.4% from 0.6% in September (on a monthly basis), slightly ahead of consensus expectations of a 0.3% increase,” said Richard Flax, Chief Investment Officer at Moneyfarm.

“Core inflation, which is the important metric followed by the Fed, remained unmoved at 0.3% month on month. Annual headline inflation came out at 3.7% against an expectation of 3.6%. Following recent comments from Fed governors, market-based indicators implied no rate increase at the next meeting. This report suggests that the decision may be more finely balanced than market pricing might suggest.”

The FTSE 100 closed 0.3% higher while US stocks were treading water.

BP was the top gainer adding 3%.

EasyJet shares fall on expansion concerns

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EasyJet shares crashed on Thursday as investors disembarked from the airliner after the company said they would expand their fleet and restart dividends.

EasyJet said that they are aiming to buy up to 257 of the AirBus jets and aim to restore EasyJet’s dividends, which were suspended during COVID.

While the proposed deal with Airbus is still a subject to shareholder approval, EasyJet is reportedly aiming to add up to 157 aircraft and 100 A321neo jets to its existing 330 aircraft.

EasyJet shares are down 7.50%, while AirBus shares are up 0.65% at the time of writing.

In addition to the suspended dividends, the company also recorded substantial losses during the pandemic.

Now, after a record summer, the company forecasts an annual next year profit of up to 460 million GBP. EasyJet further mentioned that they are aiming to hit a medium-term pretax profit of more than 1 billion GBP.

Alas, for all the upbeat targets and strong performance over the summer, investors were nervous about the investment in the new fleet and shares sank on Thursday.

The human tragedy unfolding in Israel causing cancelled flights was also hitting sentiment in the airline sector.

Carbon Capture

Earlier this week, EasyJet also signed up for AirBus’s Carbon Capture Offer, becoming the first airline in the world to join the initiative.

AirBus uses Direct Air Carbon Capture and Storage (DACCS) technology, which utilises high-powered extraction fans to filter and remove CO2 emissions from the air, after which the gases are stored in underground reservoirs.

The DACCS technology is said to have the ability to extract and capture the exact amount of CO2 gas released by any aeroplane’s engine during any flight.

National Express holding company Mobico downgrades guidance

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Mobico Group (LON: MCG) is the worst performing fully listed company today following the publication of third quarter figures. There will be no final dividend this year. The share price slumped 25.6% to 63.275p. The share price has more than halved this year.

Formerly known as National Express, Mobico has bus and coach operations in the UK, North America, Europe, Middle East and Africa. Revenues improved by 10% in the third quarter, but increasing costs are holding back profit. Full year operating profit is expected to be between £175m and £185m. Previous consensus was £202m.

UK revenues are rising with particularly strong coach revenues. There was also growth in North America and Spain, while revenues declined in Germany and Morocco.

Mobico is on track to achieve annualised cost savings of £30m and there could be a further £20m of cost savings.

There are plans to seek a buyer of the North American school bus business, where the performance is recovering. This will help to reduce borrowings.

Wagamama owner Restaurant Group recommends 65p/share bid

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Restaurant Group (LON: RTN) has agreed a 65p/share bid from US private equity firm Apollo Global Management. This values the Wagamama owner at £506m or £701m including debt. The share price jumped 37.6% to 66.55p.

Management says that the current economic uncertainty makes the certain value provided by the bid an attractive prospect. The bid multiple for 2023 is 33, falling to 22 in 2024. The bid is more than double the share price at the beginning of the year.

Restaurant Group has previously agreed the sale of the Frankie & Benny’s and Chiquito restaurant chains to Big Table Group for £1m. Restaurants Group will also contribute £7.5m to Big Table Group depending on working capital adjustments.

The group owns the Wagamama and Brunning & Price chains. Wagamama already has a presence in the US and the group owns 20% of a business owning seven Wagamama restaurants, as well as franchised outlets.  

AIM movers: Windward contract gains and ex-dividends

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Marine transport tracking and data technology developer Winward (LON: WNWD) has renewed important contracts with the US government and won two additional contracts. It has also won additional contracts in the rest of the world and renewed a $1m contract in Nigeria. This underpins the 2023 and 2024 forecasts. The share price moved ahead by 16% to 25.5p.

Digital health platform company Induction Healthcare (LON: INHC) shares have been consistently rising this wipe after the announcement on Tuesday of three contracts in London worth £1.4m. More potential contracts are being discussed with the NHS. Interim results will be published on 7 November. The share price has risen a further 27.5% to 25.5p and it is 54.5% higher this week.

Executive search business Norman Broadbent (LON: NBB) generated third quarter net fee income of £2.8m – 65% higher than the same period last year. Over nine months the figure is 58% ahead at £7.9m. Management believes the company is on course to achieve EBITDA of £1.25m by 2025. The share price is 13.6% higher at 6.25p.

Hotel Chocolat (LON: HOTC) is starting to see the benefits of the reduction in costs and changes to the range of products. Full year revenues declined from £226.1m to £204.5m and the chocolate products retailer fell into loss. Improved cash flow means that there was net cash of £11m. In the first quarter of the new financial year UK store revenues are 14% higher. Further annualised cost savings of £800,000 have been achieved. The share price rose 8.85% to 141.5p. The share price is still 9% lower this year.

FALLERS

Graphene technology developer Versarien (LON: VRS) has sent a general meeting notice to shareholders to gain approval to reduce the par value of the share capital so that new shares can be issued. The share price slumped 30.3% to 0.655p.

Shield Therapeutics (LON: STX) finance director Hans-Peter Rudolf is stepping down on 20 October. A search has commenced for a replacement. The share price fell 7.46% to 6.2p. The recent fundraising was at 8p/share.

Third quarter production at Block Energy (LON: BLOE) averaged 630 barrels of oil equivalent/day, down from 664 in the second quarter. The share price is 7% lower at 1p.

Marks Electrical (LON: MRK) continues to win market share in the electricals retail market and overall sales grew by one-quarter in the first half. However, margins have come under pressure and full year pre-tax profit forecasts have been downgraded. Canaccord Genuity has reduced its 2023-24 forecast from £7.1m to £5.9m, which is below the previous year, even though revenues have been raised. Wages are rising and there has been investment in installation capacity, which has helped the growth in sales. The share price dipped 5.5% to 103p.

Ex-dividends

Argentex (LON: AGFX) is paying a dividend of 0.75p/share and the share price declined 2.5p to 100.25p.

Caledonia Mining Corporation (LON: CMCL) is paying a dividend of 14 cents/share and the share price is 5p lower at 860p.

i3 energy (LON:I3E) is paying a dividend of 0.26p/share and the share price fell 0.22p to 13.4p.

Inspired Energy (LON: INSE) is paying an interim dividend of 1.4p/share and the share price slipped 1p to 70p.

Likewise (LON: LIKE) is paying a maiden interim dividend of 0.1p/share and the share price is 0.75p lower at 17.5p.

MP Evans (LON: MPE) is paying an interim dividend of 12.5p/share and the share price declined 15p to 719p.

Personal Group Holdings (LON: PGH) is paying an interim dividend of 5.85p/share and the share price fell 7p to 169p.

Panther Securities (LON: PNS) is paying an interim dividend of 6p/share and the share price is unchanged at 295p.

Streaming Services, Digital Marketing and Consistent Revenue Growth with CLIQ Digital

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome Ben Bos, a board member of CLIQ Digital, for a deep dive into the company’s recent progress and future plans.

CLIQ Digital is a digital marketing company providing consumers with a comprehensive range of streaming services including films, podcasts and games.

Register for the UK Investor Magazine Virtual Investor Conference 24th October

In the first six months of 2023, CLIQ Digital’s revenue rose 37% to €159.6m. Ben explains the key drivers behind CLIQ’s top-line growth.

We explore the product lines supporting higher sales and CLIQ Digital’s approach to returning profits to shareholders.