Helium One shares continue slump after Tanzania drilling campaign delayed

Helium One shares fell again on Monday after the company announced last week their operations in Tanzania had suffered a setback.

Helium explorer Helium One Global has suspended drilling at its Tai-3 well in Tanzania after a component failure occurred in the Predator 220 drilling rig on Wednesday evening last week.

Helium One shares were down 1% to 4.65p at the time of writing on Monday.

The necessary repairs will require mechanical parts to be brought in from outside the country, causing an estimated two-week delay before drilling can resume.

The rig malfunction happened just as Helium One was starting to drill the 8.5″ hole section, following the successful installation of 13 3/8″ casing. Prior to the failure, drilling had been on schedule and was expected to reach the target depth this weekend.

Once repaired, the company is confident drilling can restart per the original program. The Tai-3 well is Helium One’s first in Tanzania as it explores the potential for major helium resources in the country.

The Tanzania programme had been delayed earlier in the year after the company faced difficulties securing a drill rig.

Metro Bank avoids catastrophe, shares soar

Metro Bank shares jumped on Monday as the banking institution avoided catastrophe by raising £925m in debt and equity to help bolster its balance sheet.

The £925m was substantially more than the £600m amount reported by the Times last with £325m equity raised and £600m debt.

The equity raise was led by Spaldy, Metro Bank’s largest shareholder who contributed £103m to the raise. Splady is now a Metro Bank controlling shareholder.

“Another crisis in the banking sector has been averted… for now. Metro Bank’s fundraising agreement is important on two counts. First, it avoids any panic and a run on the bank, something that could have feasibly happened if it had not raised a significant amount of cash over the weekend to shore up its balance sheet. Second, it provides breathing space for the company to conclude talks on asset sales,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The value of the company’s bonds and shares shot up on the fundraising plan as they were previously priced as if the company was in serious trouble. The fundraising now removes a lot of the risks, yet existing shareholders who do not participate in the equity raise will suffer significant dilution. Bondholders also get a big haircut.

“The past week will have been extremely damaging for the company’s reputation and there will undoubtedly be customers who may still prefer to shift their money to a different bank.”

Metro Bank shares were 26% higher at the time of writing on Monday.

Aquis weekly movers: Exciting prospects for Clean Invest Africa

Clean Invest Africa (LON: CIA) is the best performer on the week following its interim results. Management says that there are potentially exciting prospects, but more funds will be required. Securing a partner for a CoalTech coal fines processing plant would involve a project worth more than $10m. The share price doubled to 0.45p.

Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) has sold a 1.1MWh vanadium flow battery to NARLabs in Taiwan. The flow battery will be installed in the company’s building. The share price improved 5.62% to 47p.

Tap Global Group (LON: TAP) has reached an agreement to launch its cryptocurrency app in conjunction with Chicago-based Zero Hash, which has regulatory approvals. This service should launch in the fourth quarter. The share price moved up 2.22% to 2.3p.

FALLERS

TruSpine Technologies (LON: TSP) says the FDA has completed the technical screening of the company’s screwless spinal stabilisation technology and is asking for clarification of certain matters. The submission is on hold until the clarification is provided. The share price slumped 34.4% to 1.05p.

Gunsynd (LON: GUN) has a 0.66% stake in Pacific Nickel Mines, which has commenced the mining of saprolite nickel ore at the Kolosori nickel project in the Solomon Islands. The first shipment should be in November. The share price slipped 14.3% to 0.3p.

EDX Medical (LON: EDX) has signed an agreement with Guardant Health to distribute its cancer genomic liquid biopsy tests in the UK and Nordic countries. EDX Medical made a £3.7m loss in the period to March 2023. The share price declined 12.5% to 2.625p.

Marulu Mining (LON: MARU) shares fell 5.06% to 9.375p. The company says that assay results confirm high-grade copper at the Sasimo prospect at the Kinusi copper mine in Tanzania. The average copper grade was 2.68%. The target is estimated to be 10-15 million tonnes of copper. Drilling at the Blesberg lithium and tantalum mine in South Africa is nearing completion.

AIM weekly movers: Horizonte Minerals delays production in Brazil

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ValiRx (LON: VAL) said it did not know why the share price has risen, but the cancer therapeutics company pointed out the merger of EUDA Health and TheoremX. ValiRx has a letter of intent with TheoremX concerning its clinical asset VAL201, which dates back to 2021. The share price is 83.8% higher at 10.75p, having been around 14.5p on Friday.

Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) has raised £350,000 at 12p/share from new investors. The cash will provide working capital while the oil and gas company makes progress with the potential agreement with a North Sea operator to farm out the Pilot project for a full carry until first oil. Orcadian Energy would retain a 18.75% working interest. Further cash calls will be required. Orcadian Energy expects to hear whether it has been successful in any of its three North Sea licence applications by the end of the year.

Autonomous vehicle developer Aurrigo International (LON: AURR) has signed a deal with International Airlines Group to deploy its vehicles at a major UK airport. A small number of vehicles should be deployed in early 2025. The share price increased 34.7% to 165p.

Educational services provider Tribal Group (LON: TRB) is recommending a 74p/share cash bid from Ellucian Company. The share price has not been at the bid level since September 2022, following disappointing interim figures. The bid values Tribal at £172m and it will create an international supplier of technology to education and public sectors. The share price is 31.6% ahead at 71.7p.

FALLERS

Horizonte Minerals (LON: HZM) is changing the design of the Araguia nickel project in Brazil, which will increase capital investment and delay production until the third quarter of 2024. Management is in talks about additional financing. A review of operating costs should be completed by the end of the year. The share price slumped 82.9% to 2.14p.

Resources projects developer Oracle Power (LON: ORCP) is raising £350,000 at 0.035p/share with one warrant exercisable at 0.07p attached to every two shares. A capital reorganisation to reduce the nominal value of the shares to 0.001p is required, or the new shares could not be issued. The cash will be spent on the company’s green hydrogen project in Pakistan, which will have a 400MW capacity. Fidelity reduced its stake from 5.1% to 3.17%. The share price fell 61.3% to 0.03p.

Safestyle (LON: SFE) is still talking with interested investors about a fundraising to provide working capital. It is a tough market for the windows manufacturer, but the directors believe that they will be able to obtain the finance required. It is uncertain what the terms will be and how dilutive it could be for existing shareholders. The share price dipped 37.6% to 2.75p, having been below 2p earlier in the week, and it has fallen 90% this year.   

Following last week’s publication of 2022 full year figures and 2023 interims, Echo Energy (LON: ECHO) shares returned from suspension and dived 33.9% to 0.0185p. Losses increased, but management believes that there is potential to acquire new energy assets.

FTSE 100 whipsaws after bumper US jobs report, Aviva soars

On Friday, those hoping for a quiet end to the week were sorely disappointed by reports of blockbuster M&A activity, and a bumper Non-Farm Payrolls report that sparked sharp swings in stocks and bonds.

Friday had started with reports of takeover interest in Aviva, and in the US, ExxonMobil was reported to be in talks to acquire peer Pioneer in a $60bn deal.

Aviva shares soared in London, and Pioneer jumped in the US premarket as a sense of optimism crept back into equities. The FTSE 100 rose in early trade.

However, at 1.30pm in London, the monthly US jobs report was released and the optimism that punctuated Friday morning quickly evaporated.

The US economy added a bumper 336,000 jobs in September – much higher than the 170,000 predicted by economists. Such a hot reading of the US economy immediately sent bond yields higher, and equities dumped.

“The stronger jobs data consolidates the Fed’s position to keep monetary policy restrictive, and it puts greater weight on the likelihood of another rate hike before year-end,” said Daniela Hathorn, Senior Market Analyst, Capital.com.

Fears earlier in the week that US interest rates would remain elevated for a prolonged period were replaced with fears interest rates would have to rise again before staying elevated.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.1% to 7,442 at the time of writing. The Index had touched highs of 7,496 earlier in the session.

Aviva was the FTSE 100’s top riser after the Times reported multiple parties were eyeing the insurer. Aviva rose as much as 7% on speculation a bid was on the cards.

“Is Aviva the next FTSE 100 takeover target? The market certainly seems to think so, judging by the 7% share price jump on Friday. Chatter that foreign players Allianz, Intact Financial and Tryg are among the potential interested parties has fired up the shares, hot on the heels of a bullish broker note earlier this week,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“What might they see in Aviva? Well, the business is forecast to have strong free cash flow and excess capital and its valuation is cheap. It has slimmed down in recent years to focus on the stronger parts of the group and there is now an opportunity to increase its position in bulk annuities which looks like a more prosperous market thanks to higher gilt yields.”

Aviva shares soar on takeover reports

Aviva shares were sharply higher on Friday after the Times reported multiple parties were circling the insurer after a prolonged period of disappointing share price returns.

Aviva will look good value to potential bidders after the company’s valuation failed to recover fully from the pandemic despite strong underlying performance.

“Is Aviva the next FTSE 100 takeover target? The market certainly seems to think so, judging by the 7% share price jump on Friday. Chatter that foreign players Allianz, Intact Financial and Tryg are among the potential interested parties has fired up the shares, hot on the heels of a bullish broker note earlier this week,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“What might they see in Aviva? Well, the business is forecast to have strong free cash flow and excess capital and its valuation is cheap. It has slimmed down in recent years to focus on the stronger parts of the group and there is now an opportunity to increase its position in bulk annuities which looks like a more prosperous market thanks to higher gilt yields.

“Activist investor Cevian Capital is no longer on the shareholder register causing mischief and Aviva is left as one of many stocks on the UK market looking unloved but still offering the potential for long-term value generation.”

Aviva shares were 7% higher at the time of writing in London.

ExxonMobil in talks to acquire Pioneer

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ExxonMobil is in advanced talks over the acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources for up to $60 billion, according to reports Wall Street Journal.

The pre-market trading value of Pioneer was up 11.70% to $240.22. Exxon shares dropped 1.7% in the pre-market on Friday. 

News on the deal first appeared in Wall Street Journal on Thursday, when the paper reported on the high likelihood of the deal being done in the coming days.

Pioneer Natural Resources is the third biggest oil producer in the Permian Basin and the tie-up would create an oil behemoth controlling substantial oil production in the region.

The deal is to be the biggest one since the 1991 purchase of Exxon for $81 billion. Exxon is the top U.S. oil producer and its market value was $436 billion at the time of writing.

AIM movers: Tribal bid and 2G cost for Quartix Technologies

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ValiRx (LON: VAL) does not know why the share price has risen, but the cancer therapeutics company points out the merger of EUDA Health and TheoremX. ValiRx has a letter of intent with TheoremX concerning its clinical asset VAL201. The share price is 39.9% higher at 13.5p, having been around 14.5p earlier.

Educational services provider Tribal Group (LON: TRB) is recommending a 74p/share cash bid from Ellucian Company, that was announced late yesterday evening. The share price is 37.5% ahead at 71.9p. It has not been at the bid level since September 2022, following disappointing interim figures. The bid values Tribal at £172m and it will create an international supplier of technology to education and public sectors.  

Crimson Tide (LON: TIDE) has risen following yesterday’s news of the 100-for-one share consolidation planned for 1 November, which the Mobility-as-a-Service scheduling and reporting company hopes will reduce the bid/offer spread and improve liquidity. The share price recovered 14.3% to 1.6p.

Tlou Energy (LON: TLOU) has raised £355,000 at 1.83p/share, which is a premium of around one-quarter to the previous market price. This will finance the Lesedi gas-to-power project in Botswana. The share price improved 7.41% to 1.45p.

FALLERS

Telematics company Quartix Technologies (LON: QTX) slumped 23.8% to 152.5p after it admitted that revenues and gross margins would be lower than expected. Progress in the UK and US has been disappointing, and these markets will be focused on. Quartix has acquired Konetik, which provides the technology for its Evolve product, for €2.5m, with up to €1.4m more payable depending on the sale of Evolve licences. Around 50,000 tracking systems will have to be replaced in France when 2G networks are switched off and this could cost Quartix £4.1m over three years. EBITDA could be £1.1mm lower than forecast this year and £2.4m lower next year. The dividend may be reduced.

The share price recovery at Eqtec (LON: EQT) was short-lived and the price has fallen 17.2% to 0.0575p. Altair Group Investment has reduced its stake from 15.9% to under 13%.

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) has raised £1.8m at 0.19p/share to help to fund the development of the polymetallic Baita Plai project. Commercial production of lead/zinc concentrate has started. Management has reassured the market that it will not need another fundraising for the foreseeable future. The share price fell 16.3% to 0.205p.

Renalytix (LON: RENX) says US patent claims for biomarkers will strengthen the IP underpinning of the KidneyIntelX kidney diagnostics technology. Renalytix has exclusively licenced the biomarkers from the patent filer the Joslin Diabetes Center. Even so, the share price slipped 8.57% to 48p, which is just above its low.

Open AI is reportedly looking into making its own AI chips

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Reuters reported on Friday that, according to insiders familiar with the matter, Open AI is looking into making its own artificial intelligence chips.

The company is known for its Chat GPT server and the move into chips would mark a major shift in their strategy.

While the plan is yet to be approved, the need for manufacturing its own AI chips comes as a result of the high price of AI chips that Open AI needs to acquire in order for its servers to function.  The company has gone as far as evaluating the acquisition targets, Reuters reports. 

Open AI declined Reuter’s request for a comment. 

Reuters cited Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon’s estimates that OpenAI may need roughly $48.1 billion worth of GPUs initially and about $16 billion worth of chips a year to keep operational.

The next steps that Open AI is likely to take in relation to the AI chips are unclear but the reports could signal a major twist in Generative AI’s evolution.

Halifax UK House Price Index: house prices are falling and will likely fall into next year

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As the UK continues to face housing market pressures, Halifax’s September House Price Index released on Friday morning shows that the home prices are falling

UK house prices fell by 0.4 percent in September, marking a sixth consecutive monthly fall. The annual home prices are down by -4.7 percent. An average UK home now costs £278,601.

Halifax said they saw lower instructions by sellers and mortgage costs continue to curtail activity. Halifax noted persistent declines in house prices they saw continuing into next year.

However, some saw an equilibrium building between homeowners wanting to sell and investors and first-time buyers entering the market.

Domestically, there remains a shortage of housing and the decrease in housing sales by home-owners is likely to “be offset by increased demand from renters and investors”, said Tom Brown, the Managing Real Estate Director at Ingenious in a statement provided for Investor Magazine. 

Jonathan Hopper, CEO of Garrington Property Finders, further noted that:

“More and more sellers have accepted the reality that the market has shifted fundamentally since this time last year. The Halifax’s data shows that prices have fallen 4.7% in that time, and that the average home sold now is fetching £14,000 less than it would have when prices peaked last August.”

“While many sellers are now being more realistic in setting their asking price, we’re still regularly seeing homes go for tens of thousands under asking as proceedable buyers press home to their advantage”, he added.