Standard Chartered shares tank after disastrous Q3 update

Standard Chartered shares were halted to regulate volatility in very early trade on Thursday after the Asia-focused bank released a disappointing Q3 trading update.

Shares of Standard Chartered were down around 10% at the time of writing on Thursday.

Following Barclays and Lloyds’ updates this week, Standard Chartered said net interest margins (NIMs) fell in the last quarter. This is a trend across London-listed banks and marks the end of the uplift enjoyed by the higher interest rate environment.

However, Standard Chartered is facing a perfect storm of contracting NIMs, rising operational costs, and increased provisions for bad debts.

Operational expenses rose to $2.87bn in the third quarter, an 8% increase on a constant currency basis compared to the same period last year. At the same time, operating income rose only 6% to $4.52bn.

Costs rising faster than income are never taken unfavourably by markets. Compounding the concern, the bank said net interest margins slipped to 1.67% in Q3, down 4 basis points from the prior quarter.

Standard Chartered’s exposure to China saw the bank increase provisions for bad debts related to the Chinese property sector to $292m.

Disruption in the Chinese economy meant the bank’s banking activities experienced lower profitability as group profit for the period sank 87% to $139m.

FTSE 100 marginally higher as earnings season heats up

It was another marginally higher day for the FTSE 100 on Wednesday as investors digested corporate updates from Lloyds, Reckitt Benckiser, and a plethora of US tech companies.

The FTSE 100 was up 15 points at 7,393 at the time of writing after recovering early losses as the index undulated between gains and losses.

“Despite gains in the US and Asia overnight on some solid US corporate earnings and news of Beijing launching a big stimulus package, the FTSE 100 was modestly lower on Wednesday morning,” said AJ Bell head of financial analysis Danni Hewson.

“Microsoft and Alphabet both delivered better than expected earnings although there was some divergence in the reaction, with the former higher and the latter lower on their respective numbers. Microsoft’s head start in AI seems to be paying off, while Alphabet appears to be in catch-up mode on both this and cloud computing.

Microsoft was up 4% in the premarket while Alphabet dipped 5%.

In terms of London-listed corporate updates, Lloyds was up 2% after reversing early losses as profits increased in the third quarter – despite net interest margins falling.

Reckitt Benckiser was among the top fallers after announcing a 4.1% reduction in volumes in the latest quarter and a 4% drop in reported revenues due to adverse currency swings. Reckitt Benckiser shares were 4.8% lower shortly after midday in London.

Ocado shares were the worst performer on Wednesday as the food distribution technology broke to the lowest levels since rumours of a takeover by Amazon surfaced.

Although there was a sense of calm in UK stocks on Wednesday, Russ Mould warned concerns around the Middle East and central bank action could rock the boat before long.

“As tensions remain heightened in the Middle East, US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver an address in Washington tonight which will be closely monitored by twitchy markets,” Mould said.

Pirtek integration on course at Franchise Brands

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AIM-quoted Franchise Brands (LON: FRAN) is on track with the integration of on-site hydraulic hose replacement services provider Pirtek and overall trading was positive in third quarter despite some weakness in the summer. Investors appear to have focused on the pre-tax profit forecast downgrade due to higher interest charges and the share price slipped 5.71% to 148.5p.

Underlying trading remains in line with expectations, but the decision not to sell the B2C franchise businesses means that the borrowing remain high. The level of interest rate depends on the level of EBITDA in relation to borrowings. Cash generation will reduce the net debt next year, but it is set to be £79m at the end of 2023.  

The B2B services, such as drain clearance and kitchen services, are required by customers and are not directly subject to consumer demand. Additional services are being offered and there is potential for cross-selling.

Allenby forecasts an improvement in pre-tax profit from £12.8m to £20.1m this year. Earnings should rise from 8.4p/share to 8.7p/share despite the larger number of shares in issue. A full contribution from Pirtek and costs savings mean that 2024 pre-tax profit could jump to £27.2m. The shares are trading on 14 times prospective 2024 earnings.

The placing to fund the Pirtek acquisition was at 180p/share and the share price has fallen by one-quarter since the beginning of the year. There may be continued short-term weakness in the share price, but the longer-term potential will eventually be recognised in the price.

AIM movers: IG Design margins improve and lower activity at RWS

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Eternity Networks (LON: ENET) shares jumped 155% to 1.275p. Yesterday, the technology company said it was in discussions with 5G Innovation over their share subscription agreement.

Giftware and stationery manufacturer IG Design (LON: IGR) says first half sales were lower, but profit and cash generation are better than expected. Sales have improved outside of North America, where unprofitable contracts have been shed. There have been reduced Christmas order quantities and general demand remains weak. Net cash is expected to be $59.6m at the end of March 2023. The interims will be reported on 28 November. The share price improved 14.2% to 128.5p.

Visualisation software developer Oxford Metrics (LON: OMG) did better than expected in the year to September 2023. There was a particularly strong performance from engineering and life science sectors. Pre-tax profit was £6.3m, which is better than forecast and more than double the £2.6m pre-tax profit for the previous year. Net cash is £64.8m, which is more than 50% of the market capitalisation. The new chief executive Imogen Moorhouse has joined the company. The share price moved ahead by 6.1% to 87p, but it remains one-third lower than at the beginning of July.

Empire Metals (LON: EEE) says that it has completed two of the three planned diamond core holes at the Pitfield project. Core from the first hole has shown titanium mineralisation and the same appears to be true of the core from the second hole. There will be more news in the coming weeks. The next phase of drilling will begin before the end of the year. The share price increased 5.33% to 3.95p.

Bradda Head Lithium (LON: BHL) interims show a $6.24m cash outflow leaving $1.5m in the bank at the end of August 2023. Since the year end, an updated mineral resource showing contained metal of more than one million tonnes triggered a Lithium Royalty Company payment of $2.5m to Bradda Head Lithium, which was received in October. The share price firmed 6.25% to 2.55p, which is just above the low.

FALLERS

IP and language services provider RWS (LON: RWS) has a strong long-term track record, but it has been finding trading more difficult over the past year. There have been lower levels of activity in some markets. The launch of the Unitary Patent on 1 June meant that IP work volumes recovered in the second half. Costs are being reduced. Adjusted pre-tax profit will be within the range of expectations of £116.5m-£129m with revenues declining by 2%. Net cash was £23m at the end of September 2023. The share price slipped 17.9% to 195.35p. The full year results will be published on 12 December.

Full year figures from Virgin Wines (LON: VINO) were in line with expectations with revenues declining from £69.2m to £59m, while pre-tax profit slumped from £5.2m to £600,000. Net cash is £5.5m, following a one-quarter reduction in inventory. The active customer base reduced from 186,000 to 173,000. Trading improved in the second half and that continued into the first quarter of this year with 12% growth. Variable costs have been reduced and pre-tax profit could recover to £1.5m this year. The share price continued its recent fall with a 12.2% decline to 36p.

FD Technologies (LON: FDP) shares continue to fall following yesterday’s statement that the software company expects a small decrease in revenue in the year to February 2024. Previous consensus was an 8% increase to £320m. The share price dipped 6.69% to 815.5p.

Sylvania Platinum (LON: SLP) increased PGM production to 20,200 ounces in the latest quarter – this is the highest figure for four years. Grades and recoveries are ahead of expectations. Full year guidance of 74,000-75,000 ounces could prove low. The negative is that prices have fallen, although the PGM basket price has been strengthening in recent weeks. The share price is 5.57% lower at 78p.

Country Garden defaults on dollar bonds

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According to Bloomberg, Chinese real estate developer Country Garden has defaulted after failing to pay the interest on a note by the end of the 30-day grace period, which ended last week.

Not paying debt within the grace period constitutes “an event of default”, Bloomberg reports.

Last month, the company warned of its inability to pay off debt. It was always likely that the company might default, joining a growing list of indebted Chinese developers.

Based on the latest disclosure from the company, Country Garden had approximately $15 billion in debt maturing by June 2024. The company’s overall liabilities amounted to around 1.36 trillion yuan (equivalent to $190 billion).

Reckitt Benckiser shares slip as volumes fall

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On Wednesday, Reckitt Benckiser, a company known for its products such as Vannish, Air Wick, Dettol, and Strespsils, released the Q3 report, highlighting significant revenue growth difficulties, especially in Hygiene. 

The net revenue witnessed a positive like-for-like revenue growth of 3.4%, driven by a robust and widespread expansion of 6.7% across the hygiene and health segments combined.

However, the impact of adverse currency swings meant that reported revenue fell 3.6%. Group volumes slipped 4.1% in the third quarter.

Reckitt Benckiser shares were down 5% at the time of writing.

Within the nutrition sector, there was a revenue drop of 11.9%.

Hygiene achieved a noteworthy net revenue growth of 8.1% on a like-for-like basis. This substantial expansion was driven by across-the-board growth in all primary categories, propelled by double-digit increases in both Finish and Vanish.

While Reckitt’s Nutrition Products continues to maintain its leadership position in the US market, it also successfully navigated past a supply issue experienced by a competitor in the previous year.

Health experienced a like-for-like net revenue growth of 5.4%. The growth was primarily fueled by the OTC (over-the-counter) and intimate wellness portfolios, while Dettol and VMS (vitamins, minerals, and supplements) remained generally stable.

Danni Hewson, the head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, said in a comment to UK Investor Magazine that “to be fair, nutrition is suffering in comparison with the same period last year when a US competitor faced temporary supply issues with its infant formula, but the specialist in health and hygiene branded goods saw a pretty significant drop in volumes across the board, compensated for by rising prices.”

Danni Hewson added that “There may be concern in the market that this reflects a shift in consumer behavior with people switching out of the likes of Nurofen and Finish dishwasher tablets into own-brand alternatives. While for drinks, snacks, and other food items people might be willing to push the boat out and still buy their favourite brands, can the same hold true for cleaning products and over-the-counter medicine? If not, then Reckitt risks losing any reputation for pricing power.”

Are AstraZeneca shares a buy after the recent pullback?

AstraZeneca shares have had a terrible time of it in recent weeks. The Astra share price is down around 20% from recent highs, much of the losses recorded in the last couple of weeks.
Recently, results from the datopotamab deruxtecan lung cancer drug trial underwhelmed, with only marginally better outcomes for patients than existing therapies. Shares sank on the news.
However, a company the size of AstraZeneca has multiple drugs in their pipeline, and the lung cancer disappointment was followed quickly by positive news the FDA was considering their self-administered flu treatment.
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Microsoft shares gain as revenue rises in Q1

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On Tuesday, Microsoft Corp. released Q1 data, which shows that revenue was up 13% (up 12% in constant currency). Microsoft shares rose 4.4% in after-hours trading.

Operating income reached $26.9 billion, reflecting a 25% increase (or 24% in constant currency). Net income amounted to $22.3 billion, a 27% rise (or 26% in constant currency).

According to Amy Hood, executive vice president and chief financial officer at Microsoft, “consistent execution by our sales teams and partners drove a strong start to the fiscal year with Microsoft Cloud revenue of $31.8 billion, up 24% (up 23% in constant currency) year-over-year”.

In the last quarter, Microsoft’s Intelligent Cloud division, home to the Azure cloud computing platform, generated $24.3 billion in revenue, surpassing analysts’ expected $23.49 billion, according to LSEG data.

Azure’s revenue increased by 29%, surpassing the 26.2% Visible Alpha estimate.

According to Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, “Microsoft’s come out the gate swinging this quarter. A resilient set of numbers highlights how well it’s placed to capitalise on the world’s growing need for cloud solutions. So few companies can afford a seat at this table that Microsoft’s able to dig in. With that said, growth is expected to moderate, despite being resilient in the scheme of things.”

“End customers are likely going to trim spending while they ride out the economic storm, meaning blockbuster tech budgets are on the chopping block. The potential for Microsoft to do exceptionally well with generative AI remains, but the exact moment in time that this technology will be adopted at large will depend on when corporate spending picks up pace, and confidence needs to improve before that can happen,” Sophie Lund-Yates concluded.

Lloyds profit increases on lower bad debt provisions, net interest margin retreats

Lloyds shares were down in early trade on Wednesday after the UK bank said net interest margin – a key measure of operational profitability – fell in the last quarter.

Lloyds shares were down 2.4% in early trade, breaking through the significant 40p mark, before rebounding.

Net interest margin (NIM) fell to 3.08% in the third quarter, a drop of 6 basis points compared to the previous quarter. The drop in NIM was a result of challenges in mortgage pricing and competitive influences on deposit interest rates.

However, unlike Barclays yesterday, Lloyds maintained their full-year net interest margin guidance at ‘greater than 310 basis points.’

Customer deposits were steady in the period as increased savings and wealth deposits offset a reduction in current account balances.

“Lloyds’ retail deposit base has put in a steady performance over the quarter as it managed to keep hold of savers looking for better rates. As we’ve seen over recent quarters consumers are conscious of the rates they’re receiving on current account deposits and are off in search of higher yields. Lloyds did see a 3% dip in current account values and has seen over £9bn in outflows year to date, but was able to make up for the loss this quarter with inflows into its savings products. These are less profitable products, and net interest margin was a touch lower than expected,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

There were bright spots in Lloyds’ update. Lloyds were relatively upbeat on the macro outlook to the extent they set aside less than expected for bad debts. Lloyds only recorded £187m in impairment charges in the third quarter compared with £668m in the prior quarter.

Lower than expected impairment charges saw Lloyds’ profit rise to £2bn in the third quarter.

“Impairments came in less than expected, as Lloyds continues to see macroeconomic conditions improving. Consumers facing higher living costs may not be feeling any release of pressure, but they’re managing finances well and remain remarkably resilient, with arrears levels stable,” Britzman said.

Although Lloyds has yet to see any major deterioration in the health of its loan book, there were undertones of caution in the decision to hold off bringing forward any share buybacks.

Britzman added “there was chatter that Lloyds may lean on its strong balance sheet to push forward full-year buyback plans. But prudence is on the cards, and investors will have to wait until full-year results more any indication on the size of planned distributions – given the levels of excess capital floating about, there’s potential for surprise on the upside.”

AIM movers: GreenRoc rises on China’s graphite import controls and FD Technologies downgrades guidance

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GreenRoc Mining (LON: GROC) has risen on the back of China’s import restrictions on graphite that can be used for batteries. China processes 90% of graphite used in batteries for electric vehicles. GreenRoc Mining is developing the Amitsoq graphite project in South Greenland. This could be in production in a few years. The share price increased 11.4% to 3.9p. Alba Mineral Resources (LON: ALBA) owns 43% of GreenRoc Mining and its share price is 3.12% higher at 0.0825p.  

Beowulf Mining (LON: BEM) says environmental studies are progressing at the Kallak iron ore project. A pre-feasibility study has been initiated. Material has been sent for metallurgical testing. A project leader is being recruited. The share price improved 10.9% to 1.1525p.

Security products supplier Thruvision (LON: THRU) has raised £3.2m at 23.5p/share. The share price rose 9.09% to 24p. The money has been invested by Pentland Capital, which has taken a 10% stake, and existing shareholders. The cash will be invested in sales and marketing. Earlier this month, Thruvision revealed that it had not received the expected order from US Customs and Border Protection due to budgetary problems. Forecast revenues for 2023-24 were slashed by two-fifths to £8.1m – £3.5m has been generated in the first half. A full year loss of £3.2m is expected.

Electro-mechanical and lighting products supplier LPA Group (LON: LPA) returned to profit in the second half and order intake is 30% ahead at £25.7m. Cavendish has downgraded its 2022-23 full year forecast to breakeven. A final dividend is promised. Orders that were delayed are beginning to flow through. A 2023-24 pre-tax profit of £800,000 is forecast. The share price is 8% ahead at 81p.

FALLERS

FD Technologies (LON: FDP) says that it expects a small decrease in revenue in the year to February 2023. Previous consensus was an 8% increase to £320m. Pre-tax profit was already expected to decline, but it will fall further than those expectations. Investment in KX is being accelerated to improve longer-term growth. This will be funded by group cash and debt. Annual recurring revenues of £180m are targeted for 2025-26. They are currently £69.3m. The share price fell by one-third to 865p.

R&Q Insurance Holdings (LON: RQIH) shares continue to decline following Friday’s announcement that it is selling its program management business. The disposal should generate $300m of net proceeds. This cash will be used to pay down debt. The group chief executive and finance director will leave with the disposal. The share price dipped a further 26.2% to 17.725p, which is nearly two-thirds down on one week ago.

Leeds Group (LON: LDSG) reported a decline in revenues to £27.8m, but it did manage to reduce its loss from £3.25m to £893,000. Fabrics supplier Hemmers improved its revenues but was still loss making after consultancy charges. The KMR subsidiary has been placed in insolvency so there are no more losses to come from this operation. Net debt is £5.8m. The share price slumped 22.2% to 10.5p.

There has been a temporary development pause at the Havieron project. Greatland Gold (LON: GGP) says that there are greater volumes of water discovered following drilling. The feasibility study is expected in the September 2024 quarter. The share price declined 15.3% to 6.35p.