LSL Property Services downgrade

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LSL Property Services (LON: LSL) traded in line with expectations in the first half, but the second half will be tougher, and Zeus has cut its 2023 operating profit forecast by 63% to £8.5m. The share price fell 9.57% to 255p.

Previously most of the profit of the YourMove owner was expected in the second half, but it will not contribute as much as first anticipated. The tougher mortgage market will hit profitability.

LSL Property Services has been focusing on its core business. Surveying volumes fell by 27% in the first half, but the company gained market share. More recently, the decline has been 40%. Staff levels are being maintained in anticipation of a return to normal market levels.

The financial services division is recruiting additional advisers, but mortgage lending advice fell by 4%. That was still equivalent to a rise in market share from 10.1% to 10.4%.

Earnings are set to slump from 28.4p/share to 5.8p/share. The dividend is expected to be maintained at 11.4p/share despite being uncovered. A recovery in profit in 2024 could leave the dividend twice covered, but there is no guarantee that the figures will improve as significantly as forecast. Shore has not changed its 2024 forecasts and that may prove over optimistic.

FTSE 100 slips as housebuilders dealt fresh blow

The FTSE 100 was weaker on Monday as investors once again felt the pressure of interest rate hikes and UK house price data knocked the FTSE 100’s housebuilders.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.45% to 7,531 at the time of writing.

Another robust US jobs report released on Friday showed average wage growth was still running hot in July suggesting the Federal Reserve will continue to increase interest rates to control inflation. US stocks fell on Friday and Asia started the week in the red as a result.

European shares were set for a weaker start on Monday and the FTSE 100’s decline was exacerbated by downbeat house price data released by Halifax. Halifax said UK house prices had fallen 2.4% in the year to July.

“The big move higher in UK rates continues to have a dampening effect on the UK housing market. Figures from Halifax unsurprisingly showed a fourth straight month of declining prices. With mortgages becoming less affordable it is proving increasingly difficult for people to get a leg up on the property ladder or even join the ladder in the first place,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Housebuilder Taylor Wimpey was among the top fallers on the FTSE 100 this morning. The sector faces a very different environment today after years of strong property prices, cheap mortgages and state support for first-time buyers.”

UK equity bulls had little to get excited about on Monday with few stocks making convincing gains. Rolls Royce was the top riser, gaining 1%, as the engineering firm continued its monumental rally.

AIM movers: Trinity Exploration discovery and Christie Group deal delays

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Trinity Exploration & Production (LON: TRIN) is the best performer today following the success of the Jacobin exploration well. The oil and gas company has found a virgin-pressured reservoir in a mature basin. This suggests a greater level of resources across the Palo Seco area. Flow testing will commence in September.  The share price jumped 31.4% to 97.5p, but it is still slightly down since the beginning of the year.

Beacon Energy (LON: BCE) says that drilling in the deviated mechanical sidetrack is underway at the Schwarzbach-2 well in Germany. This will test the reservoir targets. Further news will be released in the coming days. The share price rose 12.1% to 0.0925p.

Interim figures from Tialis Essential IT (LON: TIA) show interim revenues rising from £6.7m to £13.6m and a move into profit before amortisation and exceptional items. The acquisition of partner contracts from Allvotec has expanded the business and four contracts have been renewed. Management is considering buying back shares because of the previous fall in the share price, although it is 11.5% higher today at 48.5p.

Prospex Energy (LON: PXEN) says first gas was achieved at the beginning of July at the 37%-owned Selva project in Italy and production has been increased in stages to a maximum of 80,000scm/day. This has all been sold to BP and the cash will be received by the end of August. Long-term production could be 72,000scm/day. The share price improved 8.7% to 6.25p.

Infrastructure inspection technology provider Cordel (LON: CRDL) says full year revenues of £3m are in line with expectations. The recent fundraising has enabled Cordel to hire additional staff to cope with the recent contract wins. This has increased costs ahead of the revenues coming through, but the loss should nearly halve. The share price is 6.19% ahead and back to the recent 6p placing price.

FALLERS

Celsius Resources (LON: CLA) has been issued a two-year exploration permit for the Botilao copper-gold prospect in the Philippines. This will enable the definition of the extent and distribution of mineralisation.  Even so, the share price continues to decline and is down 28% to 0.9p.

Professional services provider Christie Group (LON: CTG) made a loss in the first half and Shore has downgraded its 2023 pre-tax profit forecast from £4.8m to £1.4m. Deals have been delayed and this is expected to continue until the autumn. However, there is a strong pipeline of potential transactions. Stocktaking activities are recovering. The share price fell by one-fifth to 117.5p. Two of last week’s big risers have been hit by profit taking today. The Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) share price nearly doubled last week, and it has fallen back 23.5% to 3.75p. Tern (LON: TERN) has dipped 11.8% to 7.5p following the 127% increase at the end of last week after investee company Wyld Networks said it was exploring potential areas of collaboration with SpaceX. Tern owns 27% of Wyld Networks.

Card Factory – first half trading was materially ahead of even its Board’s expectations, shares up 16.5%

Against the backdrop of Clinton Cards talking about going into administration it was a very pleasant surprise for investors in Card Factory (LON:CARD) to see the positivity in today’s Trading Update.

Its shares have opened 16.5% higher at 103.5p.

The £304m capitalised group, which is the UK’s leading specialist retailer of greetings cards, gifts and celebration essentials, reported that trading in the first half to end July was materially ahead of Board expectations.

That is even more impressive when the group states that the macro-economic environment continues to be uncertain, despite which it is expecting that the second half year to end January 2024 will show its strong performance continuing to result in far better than the market’s estimates.

Competitor Clinton Cards has been recently reported to be looking to close around a fifth of its stores in order to stave off insolvency.

Trade publisher Retail Gazette has mentioned that part of Clintons plans could see it close 38 stores., on top of the 156 shops it closed back in December 2019 as part of a pre-pack administration, when its previous owner, the Weiss family that owns US giant American Greetings, snapped it back up.

The Wakefield-based Card Factory, which now turns over nearly £10m each week, started its operations way back in 1997 with just one shop, has expanded mainly through its organic growth into now having a nationwide presence.

The group now has over 8,800 employees and has around 1,020 stores in the UK and Ireland.

The UK market for greetings cards is some £1.4bn a year.

Estimates exist for the group to make around £51.5m pre-tax in the current year on the back of some £500m sales, worth 11p in earnings per share.

Next year estimates suggest £532m revenues and £56.1m profits and 12p earnings.

The company’s shares bottomed out in late August last year, down to 40.40p, and peaked at 114.80p in early May this year.

The average consensus view from the four analysts that follow the group is that the shares will go at 126p in due course.

This morning they have opened at 103.5p, up 16.5%.

Beacon Energy shares jump on German drill update

Beacon Energy shares jumped on Monday after providing an update on its drilling operations for the Schwarzbach-2(2.) well in the Erfelden field in Germany.

The company is currently drilling a deviated sidetrack of the well, which is part of the development of the Stockstadt Mitte segment of the Erfelden field.

Beacon Energy shares were 11% higher at the time of writing.

The primary objectives of the Schwarzbach-2(2.) well are to test reservoir targets and Beacon expects to reach total depth (TD) in the coming days. Once drilling is completed, the company will conduct testing to determine if the well can produce commercial quantities of oil and gas.

The drilling results will provide important information on the productivity potential of this section of the Erfelden field, which is a key asset for Beacon Energy in Germany.

Beacon Energy shares were readmitted to AIM in April this year after completing the reverse takeover of Rhein Petroleum.

Aquis weekly movers: Ora Technology continues to rise

Ora Technology (LON: ORA) raised £835,000 at 2p/share when it joined Aquis on 20 July. Ora Technology is developing a carbon credits trading platform called Ora Carbon. This will trade carbon credits on the voluntary carbon markets and be offered to retail and institutional investors. Revenues will come from transaction fees and project introduction fees. The share price initially doubled to 4p. It has continued to rise since then and last week it increased a further 26.8% to 6.5p. The financial year end is being changed from November to July.

Brewer Adnams (LON: ADB) chief executive Andy Wood intends to step down at the end of 2024. Michael Heald increased his stake from 20.4% to 21.4%, while Sidney Sussex College cut its stake from 3.17% to 2.12%. The share price improved 0.85% to £59.50.

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Fallers

Wishbone Gold (LON: WSBN) has raised £1.42m at 2.4p/share. That compares with the initial target of £1m. The share price fell 27.2% to 2.475p. The cash will be used to fund exploration at Red Setter and Cottesloe in Australia.  

Vulcan Industries (LON: VULC) lost £210,000 in the quarter to June 2023, while net liabilities were £9,000. Net debt is £3.1m. The company has moved into the battery storage sector. The share price declined 11.8% to 0.45p.

KR1 (LON: KR1) had a net asset value of 51.09p/share at the end of June 2023. The share price fell 9.76% to 55.5p.

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) investee company Hastings Technology Metals has executed an EPC contract with GR Engineering Services for the Yangibana beneficiation plant and infrastructure. The contract is worth $210m. The Cadence Minerals share price dipped 4.53% to 8p.

AIM weekly movers: Tern investee company collaborates with SpaceX

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Tern (LON: TERN) soared 127% to 8.5p when it announced on Friday that investee company Wyld Networks is exploring potential areas of collaboration with SpaceX. Tern owns 27% of Wyld Networks.

Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) shares gained upward momentum during the week. On Wednesday it said that it did not know why the share price is increasing and pointed out more cash will need to be raised. The supportive news from the government about the North Sea oil sector has attracted investors to Orcadian Energy. There are discussions with potential partners for the Pilot project or it is possible that it will be sold outright. The share price jumped 96% to 4.9p.

Scirocco Energy (LON: SCIR) is near to completing the disposal of its interest in the Ruvuma project in Tanzania. The tax liability has been assessed as $150,000. The licence will eventually be transferred to ARA Petroleum. A payment of $2.5m will be received on completion. A further $13m is payable depending on achieving targets and a revenue share on production. The share price increased 64.3% to 0.575p.

Former ITM Power (LON: ITM) boss Dr Graham Cooley has increased his stake in Light Science Technologies (LON: LST) from 3.3% to 4.8%. The share price recovered 36.8% to 2.12p.

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Fallers

Deltex Medical Group (LON: DEMG) returned from suspension on Wednesday and fell to a new low of 0.21p before ending the week down 79.2% to 0.25p. The blood circulation monitoring devices developer raised £1.9m at 0.2p/share. The focus is on creating recurring revenues and marketing the company’s new monitor. There will also be cost cutting to reduce the cash outflow.

Aptamer Group (LON: APTA) is raising £3.6m at 1p/share to provide working capital to cover losses. The share price slumped 52.6% to 2.25p. The annual costs will be reduced from £6.4m to £3.5m. Cash breakeven is anticipated in the year to June 2025. Four directors have resigned, and four new directors appointed, including the return to the board of former chief executive Dr Arron Tolley. Dr David Bunka will switch to chief scientific officer on lower pay. A new chief executive will be appointed. The formal sale process has been ended.

Supercapacitor supplier Cap-XX (LON: CPX) has been hit by shipping delays and it expects 2022-23 revenues to decline by 29% to £2.1m. The share price slumped 42.6% to 1.35p, which follows a recent recovery in the share price.

Phil Terry has taken a 3.14% shareholding in cash shell Itsarm (LON: ITS). The share price dipped 41.3% to 1.85p after the previous week’s jump, but it remains a multiple of its level two weeks ago.

FTSE 100 reverses losses after Non-Farm Payrolls miss expectations

The FTSE 100 reversed early losses on Friday as markets attempted to balance upbeat results from tech giant Amazon and the lower than expected Non-Farm Payrolls report released on Friday.

WPP shares sank after lowering their guidance for the year, and Rolls Royce shares logged more flying hours, gaining another 5% on Friday. Rolls Royce shares are up 117% year-to-date.

Non-Farm Payrolls

The Non-Farm Payrolls report is the financial market’s most highly anticipated economic data point. It provides an up-to-date insight into the US jobs market and is positively correlated with the growth of the world’s largest economy.

In July, the US added 187,000 jobs, lower than the predicted 200,000 jobs.

S&P 500 futures ticked higher after the announcement, and the FTSE 100 bounced from the worst levels of the session, London’s leading index was trading 0.1% higher at the time of writing.

Missing jobs expectations is typically a bearish signal for stock markets, but we are in a climate where bad news for the US economy is perceived as good news for the next move by the Federal Reserve and stocks. A slower US economy would warrant pausing rate hikes and fire up equity bulls.

In addition, many are looking for a soft landing in the US economy which would be evident in a steady reduction in the number of jobs created, as opposed to a hard landing and a sharp decline in job creation.

FTSE 100 movers

Investors dumped WPP shares on Friday after the advertising giant said US technology companies held back on spending in the last quarter.

“UK advertising giant WPP has downgraded full year like-for-like revenue guidance to 1.5% – 3.0%, from 3.0% – 5.0%. Technology spending, especially in the US, has slowed, leading to a dent in performance from the group’s substantial integrated creative agencies,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“This outcome is unwelcome but not wholly surprising, given that corporations are in wait-and-see mode when it comes to splashing the cash and handing margin over, at a time when demand is very tough to profile.

“While demand for WPP’s suite of services hasn’t been totally washed out, it has faded this half, and investors will be wanting to see a clear path to return to full colour. Harnessing AI correctly, and swiftly, could be one way to propel large amounts of growth, but change of this magnitude always comes with risk.”

WPP shares were down over 6% at the time of writing.

Rolls Royce shares were logging more flying hours as the engine-maker continued the ascent from yesterday’s release of their half-year report. Rolls Royce is seeing early success in their transformation strategy with improved free cash flow and upgraded guidance for the full year. Rolls Royce shares were up 5% on Friday and are the FTSE 100’s top performer in 2023, gaining 117%.

Apple, Amazon, and Harland & Wolff with Alan Green

Alan Green joins the Podcast to discuss Apple and Amazon’s earnings, and the US tech sector. We also provide and overview and analysis of Harland & Wolff.

We discuss:

  • Apple (NYSE:AAPL))
  • Amazon (NYSE:AMZN)
  • Harland & Wolff (LON:HARL)

We explore the building disconnect between US tech share prices and the underlying economy, and question where the opportunity is for investors.

Apple announced soggy iPhone sales where as Amazon’s AWS smashed expectations. Alan delves into the numbers and the implications for the wider market.

Harland & Wolff has been busy winning contracts and we look at why the share price isn’t higher.

AIM movers: Ilika signs contract manufacturing agreement and board changes at Alien Metals

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The Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) share price continues to rise even though management stated on Wednesday that it did not know why the share price is increasing and more cash will need to be raised. The supportive news from the government about the North Sea oil sector has attracted investors to Orcadian Energy. There are discussions with potential partners for the Pilot project and it is possible that it would be sold. The share price moved up a further 16.3% to 5p.

Former ITM Power (LON: ITM) boss Dr Graham Cooley has increased his stake in Light Science Technologies (LON: LST) from 3.3% to 4.8%. The share price recovered 15.8% to 2.2p.

Battery technology developer Ilika (LON: IKA) has agreed a contract with contract manufacturer Cirtec Medical. The licence to manufacture agreement for Stereax batteries lasts for ten years and is exclusive in the medical devices sector. Initially there will be profit sharing before moving to royalties based on battery volumes. Ilika is transferring machinery to Cirtec Medical to operate on loan. Ilika retains the manufacturing of the cathode. The share price increased 8.89% to 49p.

XP Factory (LON: XPF) grew like-for-like revenues by one-fifth in the first half of 2023 even though hot weather held back May and June business. The escape room business Escape Hunt grew slightly faster than the Boom bars business. This means that XP Factory is on track to be profitable this year. The year end will be changing from December to March. The share price improved 8.82% to 18.5p.

Touchstar (LON: TST) chairman Ian Martin purchased 25,000 shares at 91p each, taking his stake to 10.1%. Robert and Virginia Millington increased their stake from 4.19% to 6.98%. The share price rose 5.13% to 102.5p.

Phil Terry taken a 3.14% shareholding in Itsarm (LON: ITS). The share price dipped 13.3% to 1.95p.

Alien Metals (LON: UFO) has appointed Alwyn Vorster as its new chairman, replacing Guy Robertson who becomes finance director. Troy Whittaker has been appointed to the board as chief executive. Elizabeth Henson is a new non-exec director, while Mark Cuthbert has resigned. The share price fell 10.8% to 0.29p.