Franchise Brands decides to retain consumer franchise brands

0

AIM-quoted Franchise Brands (LON: FRAN) combined organic growth and a ten-week contribution from Pirtek, which was acquired during the first half, to grow interim revenues 57% to £69.8m. The consumer business is no longer being marketed for sale.

Franchise Brands had intended to sell the consumer franchise brands, but it is no longer actively marketing the businesses. Offers did not meet expectations. These operations were previously disclosed as discontinued in the 2022 results but are not in the interims.

In the six months to June 2023, underlying pre-tax profit rose 45% to £8.6m, although a higher tax charge and the additional shares in issue to fund the Pirtek acquisition meant that earnings were 4% ahead at 4.24p/share. The interim dividend is 11% ahead at 1p/share. Net debt was £79.1m at the end of June 2023.

The drainage businesses Metro Rod and Metro Plumb businesses grew system sales by 24% to £35.3m. The kitchen services business Filta grew system sales by 16% even though the price of waste oil fell.

Pirtek Europe provides on-site hydraulic hose replacement and other services through 217 service centres and 843 mobile service vans. There are franchisees in eight countries and the company has the right to enter eight other European countries. There is still a long way to go with integrating the business so that it shares resources with other parts of the group.

Stifel forecasts a jump in full year pre-tax profit from £12.8m to £20.5m, while earnings would be 6% higher at 8.9p/share. The full benefits of Pirtek will come through in 2024.

The share price dipped 0.5p to 147.5p, which is down one-quarter on the start of the year. The large share issue to fund the Pirtek acquisition has held up the share price, but it should recover as the benefits of the acquisition show through.

While challenges remain, Vietnam’s PDP8 presents huge future opportunities

Shortly after the Vietnamese government approved the long-awaited Power Development Plan 8 (PDP8) in mid-May, northern Vietnam endured a severe energy shortage that hobbled manufacturing and left residents struggling to combat extreme heat.

A perfect storm of record electricity consumption due to high temperatures combined with drought-stricken hydropower reservoirs running out of water created a two-week crisis for the region.

This highlighted the critical importance of future power supply and transmission development laid out in the plan, especially as electricity demand is expected to grow by roughly 9% annually for the rest of the decade.

The scale of the transition needed to meet the goals of PDP8 through 2030 and Vietnam’s commitment to net-zero emissions by 2050 means there are enormous opportunities in the energy sector.

However, there is no denying that serious obstacles need to be addressed.

PDP8 is expected to require US$135 billion to implement, while the World Bank estimates that  US$368 billion is needed to move toward a net-zero economy. Vietnam cannot provide this funding on its own, meaning financing is a top concern.

In a report titled ‘The Bankability of Renewable Energy Projects Upon PDP8,’ analysts from FiinRatings and Indochine Counsel wrote: “Vietnam must diversify funding sources beyond the banking credit to fulfill the objectives under PDP8. Corporate bonds and private credit investments from non-bank investors from domestic and international markets should be the primary funding source for this ambitious plan.”

And while PDP8 presents ambitious goals for renewable energy and LNG expansion, detailed policies still need to be released in order for these sectors to move forward.

Offshore wind, for example, which the power plan envisions as reaching 7 gigawatts in capacity by 2030 (up from zero), requires marine spatial planning regulations. In a concerning development, the Danish wind giant Orsted recently paused its market development activities in Vietnam.

Detailed rules regarding direct purchase power agreements (DPAA) and carbon certification are also needed and will help spur further renewable energy development.

While these obstacles cannot be ignored, according to Vietnam Holding’s Investment Manager, there will be huge opportunities for those involved in expected energy growth areas.

Transmission line constructors and consultants stand to benefit, as US$1.4 billion in transmission line investment is needed each year through 2030. The critical importance of this work was evident in the recent electricity shortage in northern provinces, as renewable energy from solar- and wind-rich provinces in the south couldn’t be moved to where it was needed.

EVN is currently responsible for this investment, but FiinRatings and Indochine Counsel argue they will need help.

“To attract private investment into grid transmission under PDP8, regulations need to specify forms of participation, compensation mechanism, and dispute resolution,” the two research firms note.

Renewable and hydropower developers are also in a good position, though it remains to be seen what the future feed-in tariff price will be for new wind and solar projects.

The implementation of a DPPA, meanwhile, would greatly benefit solar panel developers, as this would allow solar plant operators to sell energy directly to private businesses.

Finally, PDP8’s ambitious goal for LNG means gas import facilities will have to be built from scratch, offering huge financial potential for those in the oil and gas sectors. In fact, Vietnam received its first LNG shipment on July 10 at PV Gas’ new facility in Ba Ria-Vung Tau Province.

This could herald the start of an LNG boom for the country, though PV Gas is currently the only licensed LNG importer in Vietnam.

Vietnam Holding is an investor in PV Technical Services (PVS) which, like PV Gas, is part of PetroVietnam. PVS is positioned to benefit from the upcoming energy transition and will play an important role in offshore wind development once that begins.

PetroVietnam, for its part, recently took control of two gas power projects, O Mon III and O Mon IV in Can Tho, from EVN. These plants, which are expected to begin generating power in late 2026, are a key part of PDP8’s outlined gas capacity.

As the bankability report authors note, these projects are at the forefront of Vietnam’s LNG future, and hard work remains.

“For LNG power projects to succeed, pioneer developers will need heavy guidance and support from the authorities, especially concerning on-take and off-take,” FiinRatings and Indochine Counsel wrote.

Another positive step occurred on July 14, when Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh authorized the creation of the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) Secretariat. The body is headed by the Minister of Natural Resources and Environment and is responsible for laying the groundwork to implement the US$15.5 billion JETP agreement signed between Vietnam and the International Partners Group in December. 

While the challenges facing Vietnam’s energy transition are daunting, policies like PDP8 and the JETP show that the country’s leaders understand them and recognize the importance of transforming where power comes from.

Writing credit Michael Tatarski

AIM movers: Safestyle slumps into loss and ex-dividends

0

Gunsynd (LON: GUN) is providing funding of £1m in Metals One in return for a 25% stake in Finnaust Mining Northern. This investment is dependent on Metals One joining AIM and the simultaneous acquisition of Finnaust and will be provided in four tranches over 18 months. Gunsynd has sold 440,000 shares in Charger Metals, raising £100,000. It retains 2.54 million shares. Gunsynd will also receive 1.5 million warrants in Metals One. The Gunsynd share price increased 18.2% to 0.325p.

Itsarm (LON: ITS) continues to rise after the dismissal of the winding-up petition and the share price improved 27.3% to 3.5p.

Litigation Capital Management (LON: LIT) says the UK court ruling for PACCAR Inc & Ors v Competition Appeal Tribunal & Ors will have little impact on its portfolio of cases. The decision will only impact litigation funding arrangements in terms of the funders interest being solely calculated as a percentage of the court award. The share price moved ahead by 13.3% to 85.9p.

Thor Energy (LON: THR) says magnetic data on the company’s uranium and vanadium projects shows an association of historical mine workings with structural trends. Uranium anomalies have been identified. Applications have been made for drill permits. The share price rose 11.9% to 0.235p.

CVS Group (LON: CVSG) is acquiring six vets practices in Australia and the total cost will be £16.8m. These will provide the base for entering the Australian market with more acquisitions in the coming months. Three vets practices have been acquired in the UK for £20m. CVS increased like-for-like revenues by 7.3% last year. The results will be announced on 21 September. The share price is 6.53% higher at 2006p.

Sports consultancy and data services 4Global (LON: 4GBL) more than doubled its underlying pre-tax profit from £573,000 to £1.23m. There was strong trading at the end of the year and that meant that there was a sharp increase in work done that has not been invoiced. That led to a cash outflow in the period. Strategic partnerships with gym software company Jonas Fitness Inc and digital health provider Technogym will help to diversify revenues. First quarter trading has been strong. The share price rose 5.5% to 57.5p.

FALLERS

Safestyle UK (LON: SFE) says interim trading is in line with forecasts, but the loss is much higher. Demand has been hit by increasing interest rates and that means that the second half will be poor. The windows supplier has been hit by a lower number of installations and a decline in the average number of frames for each installation. Costs savings have helped to offset the decline, but Zeus has downgraded its 2023 forecast from a pre-tax profit of £2m to a loss of £5.5m. The share price slumped by 46% to 9.75p.

Staffing firm Empresaria (LON: EMR) is not experiencing the improvements in performance that it was expecting this year. Singer has cut its 2023 pre-tax profit forecast by 29% to £5m and the earnings reduction is greater due to the minority interests in the fast-growth offshore services business. The share price fell 26.9% to 38p.

RBG Holdings (LON: RBGP) is writing off the value of £13.3m of its remaining litigation cases, including an unsuccessful case valued at £9.3m. Any return from the cases will be treated as revenues. The core business is taking longer to complete transactions. This has led to a reduction in the underlying 2023 pre-tax profit forecast to £5.9m and RBG has decided to reduce debt rather than paying dividends. The share price dived 27.7% to 18.25p.

Ex-dividends

Cake Box (LON: CBOX) is paying a final dividend of 5.5p a share and the share price fell 1.5p to 168.5p.

Celtic (LON: CCPA) is paying a dividend of 3.6p a share and the price declined 5.5p to 124p.

Calnex Solutions (LON: CLX) is paying a final dividend of 0.62p a share and the share price increased 4p to 119p.

Nexteq (LON: NXQ) is paying a final dividend of 3p a share and the share price fell 1.5p to 137.5p.

Sportech (LON: SPO) is paying a special dividend of 35p a share and the share price declined by 27.5p to 147.5p.

Shell EBITDA declines amid lower oil prices and reduced LNG volumes

Shell’s 33% drop in Q2 2023 adjusted EBITDA will not come as a surprise to investors as oil prices slip and the higher energy price environment of 2022 becomes a distant memory.

Shell’s shares were down 1.5% in early trade on Thursday as the energy major said lower oil prices, refining margins and gas trading activity curtailed earnings in the second quarter.

The oil major’s Q2 earnings teaser released earlier this month alluded to lower earnings, and with Shell shares a way off recent highs, a muted market reaction to today’s announcement was expected.

Despite lower adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter, Shell produced another monster quarter for free cash flow, which rose to $12.1bn from $9.9bn in Q1.

Shell will have pleased income seekers with another quarterly dividend hike. Shell will pay 33.1¢ per share to those holding the stock on the 10th August ex-dividend date.

Barclays shares fall as investment banking activity disappoints, net interest margin guidance downgraded

Barclays shares were weaker on Thursday after the FTSE 100 bank reported lower total income in the second quarter as investment banking activity slowed.

Total income for the second quarter slipped to 6% to £6.4bn as investment banking activity revenue fell 3%. Investors will also be concerned Barclays have revised their net interest margin guidance for the full year to 3.15% from 3.20%.

Net interest margin is a key profitability metric, and the downgrade will be a blow for the bank as global interest rates look set to plateau.

Another big disappointment for investors was the subdued performance in their investment banking unit as deal flow slowed. Barclays’ Corporate and Investment Bank (CIB) income decreased by 3% to £3.2bn, as lower Global Markets and Investment Banking fees outweighed a strong transaction banking performance.

Barclays is setting aside a further £400m in charges for bad debts as the economic backdrop becomes cloudier.

Lower operating costs helped profit before tax rise to £2bn in Q2, up from £1.5bn in the same period a year ago. However, lower costs and a £750m share buyback were not enough to offset concerns about the outlook, and Barclays shares were down 6% at the time of writing on Thursday.

Empresaria shares tank as recruitment fees fall

Empresaria shares sank on Thursday after the recruitment group said fee income was falling amid weak trading conditions.

Empresaria’s net fee income fell 9% year-on-year to £29.7m in H1 as the global specialist staffing group continues to face difficult market conditions. Permanent recruitment saw the greatest impact, with a 24% decline. The US has been especially challenging, particularly for IT recruitment.

Empresaria now expects full year adjusted profit before tax of approximately £5m, well below previous forecasts.

Empresaria shares were down 27% after suggesting the weak trading climate is expected to persist into the second half.

Adjusted net debt rose slightly to £8.7m in H1, though headroom increased to £18.4m thanks to tighter cash management. Offshore Services, of which Empresaria owns 72%, saw 15% net fee growth driven by UK Healthcare demand. But US IT hiring remained soft. Ongoing cost cuts won’t fully mitigate trading weakness. Empresaria needs hiring demand to rebound globally to get profits back on track. The staffing group reports interim results on 22 August.

Rhona Driggs, CEO of Empresaria, commented:

“We continue to face challenging market conditions which developed through the second half of 2022 and remained throughout the first half of 2023.  We have not seen the anticipated signs of sustained improvement as client confidence remains low and candidates continue to be reluctant to move in the current environment.  With the ongoing macro-economic uncertainty, we now expect these factors to continue to have an adverse impact on the Group’s profits in the second half of 2023.

We have taken action on our cost base and will continue to maintain tight control over costs while ensuring that we are able to maximise opportunities as and when market confidence returns.  While we are disappointed with these results, we are continuing to execute on our strategic initiatives and are confident in the medium and longer-term prospects of the Group.”

NAV holding up at Picton Property Income

Real estate investment trust (REIT) Picton Property Income Ltd (LON: PCTN) has shown the resilience of its office, retail, leisure and industrial portfolio with a minimal dip in NAV from 100.4p/share to 99.4p/share in the quarter to June 2023. At 71.9p, the shares are trading on a discount to NAV of 28%.

There was a 0.875p/share dividend paid during the period, so the total return was -0.2%. The like-for-like value of the portfolio declined by 0.7%. Higher rents from renewals and three new industrial lettings helped to hold up the valuations. The rents obtained were higher than expected.

There are around 400 occupiers across Picton Property Income’s 49 properties. The occupancy level was 90%. The net reversionary yield is 6.8%.

The portfolio is 58% industrial, 10.8% retail and leisure and 31.2% offices, which is the toughest sector. The decline in valuations was due to the office portfolio, with the other property values edging up by 0.5%. Some office space is being switched to residential.

Borrowings were £227.1 million at the end of June 2023, which is slightly higher than at the March 2023 financial year end. The weighted average interest rate on the predominantly long-term borrowings is 3.9%. There was also cash of £20.7 million.  Loan-to-value has edged up to 27.1%, which remains comfortable for the company.

The latest quarterly dividend is 0.875p/share, suggesting an annual dividend of 3.5p/share. This provides a yield of 4.9%.

Generative AI, investment selection, and financial services with CMC Invest

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Alister Sneddon, Head of Product at CMC Invest, and Dave Dyke, Head of Technology at CMC Invest, for a deep dive into Generative AI and how the technology is being utilised in financial services.

We start by looking at the ability of Generative AI tools such as ChatGPT to assist with the selection of stocks or funds for investment portfolios. We make comparisons to algo trading and why AI has the potential to be a more sophisticated assistant in investment decisions. There is also the consideration paid to the pitfalls of using AI in such as way.

Much of the conversation is framed in the context of output and input in financial services and where Generative AI can be used. In this context, output is stock selection and investment management, and input is the back office and client functions such as compliance and customer queries.

We finish by asking whether Dave and Alister would use AI to manage their own investment portfolios.

AIM movers: Actual Experience contract and Great Western Mining fundraising

0

Analytics-as-a-Service company Actual Experience (LON: ACT) has signed a letter of intent with Logicalis International, a subsidiary of Datatec, for the first sale of a joint venture product based on the company’s Digital Workplace Management Platform delivered via the Logicalis platform. The share price soared 143.5% to 1.4p.

Engineering and technical recruitment company RTC Group (LON: RTC) increased interim revenues by one-third and moved from a £400,000 loss to a £1m pre-tax profit. An interim dividend of 1p/share is proposed. There was a strong recovery in the rail business, despite strikes. Management believes that there will be further progress in the second half. There had been no trades in the shares for more than one week and the share price jumped 108.3% to 37.5p.

SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE) has reduced costs, but it remains in a fragile financial situation with a material uncertainty going concern statement. Even so, the share price recovered by one-third to 1.2p. The 2022 loss dropped from £74.1m to £11.1m, although the previous year included write-offs of £53.1m. Repayments on debentures have been deferred and a £4m development premium received on the Uskmouth battery project. The EU is demanding repayment of a £1.1m grant, but the company disputes this.

Electric drivetrain developer Saietta Group (LON: SED) has secured a third vehicle line with an existing Indian client. There could be 60,000 units supplied over a five-year period. A production facility has been set up in Delhi for the first two contracts and deliveries should start at the end of 2023. The share price rose 26.4% to 45.5p.

Great Western Mining (LON: GWMO) is raising £500,000 at 0.055p/share. The cash will finance the joint venture in Nevada’s plan to construct a mill for production of gold and silver concentrates. The company is also drilling close to a highly promising shallow silver intercept at Mineral Jackpot. The share price fell 32.1% to 0.056p.

Late on Tuesday, battery technology developer AMTE Power (LON: AMTE) announced it has secured a £1m loan facility from Arena Investors, which has relinquished conversion rights on the £3.75m convertible bond in return for warrants over 2% of the enlarged share capital. This latest loan will provide time to complete a £2.5m subscription at an indicative price of 1.7p/share, subject to due diligence. That will provide enough cash until September. The share price more than trebled on Tuesday, but it has declined by one-fifth today.

Learning Technologies Group (LON: LTG) has been hit by disruption due to integrating operations and there has been weaker demand for transactional and project-based work. SaaS-based and long-term contracts are 71% of revenues. Interim operating profit should be £43m. Operating profit guidance has been cut to £98m-£103m, so it could be lower than in 2022. Peel Hunt had been expecting £109m. The integration improvements should start to show through in the second half. The share price slipped 18.8% to 68.7p.

Velocity Composites (LON: VEL) says the GKN contract in the US is taking longer than expected to ramp up. Cenkos has cut its 2022-23 revenue forecast for the contract £5m to £2.2m and for the group from £20.1m to £16.2m. A £2.9m loss is forecast. The GKN contract will eventually generate £15.4m/year. The share price declined 14.9% to 43p.

Lloyds share price suffers as profit sinks in second quarter

Lloyds shares were firmly lower on Wednesday amid lower profits and concerns the bank would face several challenges in the second half of the year.

Although first-half 2023 profit before tax rose 23% compared to the same period last year due to higher interest rates, Lloyds experienced a sharp drop in Q2 2023 profit compared to Q1.

Q2 profit before tax fell 29% to £1.6bn from £2.26bn in Q1.

Lloyd’s fall in profits resulted from a £700m impairment charge to their retail loan book as the bank prepares for an increase in bad debts such as mortgage defaults.

Lloyds’ net income was pretty consistent in Q2 2023 compared to Q1 at £4.5bn. However, it was slightly lower than previously and will not inspire investors.

“Much will be made of Lloyds Banking Group’s 23% jump in first-half profit amid the backdrop of a cost-of-living crisis and increased pressure from regulators to share the benefits of interest rate hikes with savers,” said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell.

“The net interest margin, the difference between what a bank earns in interest from loans and what it pays out, is slightly higher than analysts had forecast for the quarter, though down on where it had been in the three months previously.”

“There are storm clouds gathering as the country’s biggest mortgage lender has to consider how many of its customers are likely to struggle as they face a jump from ultra-low fixed rates to the unexpected ‘new normal’.”

Lloyds shares were down 3.2% at the time of writing.