AIM movers: Cambridge Nutritional Sciences rises and Team17 write-downs

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Diagnostics company Cambridge Nutritional Sciences (LON: CNSL) gained some momentum following yesterday’s results that showed the benefits of concentrating on its core personalised health and nutrition business. The share price increased a further 12.7% to 3.1p. Interim revenues rose 44% to £4.9m and the loss was reduced. Production problems have been sorted out. There was strong growth in North America as management puts more resources into the region. A small full year loss is expected.

Mothercare (LON: MTC) increased its profitability even though Middle East franchise income fell. Interim revenues fell from £38.5m to £29m, while under lying pre-tax profit improved from £1.7m to £1.8m. Online sales increased by 5%. Underlying 2023-24 pre-tax profit is expected to dip from £3.4m to £3.2m, after interest charges of £3.8m. Management is still seeking to refinance borrowings, which would improve profit. The share price is 6.6% higher at 4.05p.

i3 Energy (LON: I3E) chief executive Majid Shafiq bought 337,291 shares at 10.08p each and executive director Ryan Heath acquired 228,571 shares at C$0.175 each. WH Ireland published analysis suggesting that a worst case scenario for the oil and gas producer would be cash generation from operations of £37.2m in 2024. The current forecast is for cash flow of £71.3m, leaving net debt of £300,000. The share price improved 2.3% to 10.23p, valuing the company at £123m.

Coro Energy (LON: CORO) is paying up to $290,000 in cash and shares to acquire a further 7.5% of the renewables joint venture in Vietnam. The partner will retain 7.5%. This values the joint venture at $4m. There is a 50MW rooftop solar project in Vietnam. The Italian gas assets are being sold for €7.3m. This will provide finance for further renewables investment. The share price rose 1.1% to 0.2275p.  

FALLERS

Video games developer Team17 Group (LON: TM17) says 2023 trading is slightly better than expected, although some titles are not performing as well as anticipated and that has hit margins. There has also been overspending and delays on some development projects. That means that underlying EBITDA will be around one-sixth lower than forecast at around £40m. Some titles are being reassessed and that is likely to lead to impairment charges of up to £11.5m. The share price slumped 38.7% to 192.5p. That is not far from the all-time low at the end of 2018.

After a strong rise in the RUA Life Sciences (LON: RUA) share price earlier in the week it has fallen 11.1% to 28p – still 78% ahead on the week. Although there are potential contracts for the contract manufacturing business its revenues declined in the fist half. Interim revenues will be 28% lower at £794,000, even though Elast-Eon royalties increased by 6%. Trading volumes are back to normal in the second half.

Telematics supplier Trakm8 (LON: TRAK) moved back into profit in the first half. Revenues fell 5% to £8.5m and the number of connections was 7% lower at 324,000 as management focused on higher margin business. Gross margins improved and cost savings enabled a £1.08m loss to be turned into a £119,000 pre-tax profit. Full year revenues are expected to be higher and a pre-tax profit of £1.83m is forecast, which would put the shares, down 3.23% to 15p, on less than four times earnings.

FTSE 100 slips in low volume Black Friday trade

The FTSE 100 slipped on Friday in low-volume trade, which is typical of the Thanksgiving and Black Friday period.

With US markets trading hours reduced on Friday, investors held off taking big positions in London’s leading stocks, and the FTSE 100 index slipped 0.24% to 7,465 as of 12.38pm.

“The usual adage is when the US sneezes the world catches a cold – in the latest case it appears when the US is on holiday global markets hit the snooze button,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The FTSE 100 drifted lower on Friday as it lacked the usual direction provided by Wall Street. A sprinkle of profit taking and some weakness in the resources sector helped to put the index on the back foot.”

Profit-taking was most pronounced in Sage Group, with declines of 3.2%, after the business software group stormed higher earlier this week.

There were surprising declines in the FTSE 100’s miners, who shrugged off the latest moves by Chinese authorities to support their struggling property market.

Rio Tinto fell 0.5% and Glencore lost 1.5%.

Barclays carved out minor gains after announcing cost-cutting measures, including thousands of job cuts.

“Reports Barclays is targeting £1 billion in cost cuts reflect the challenges facing the banking sector, despite higher interest rates, as inflationary pressures continue to weigh,” said Russ Mould.

“It also suggests CS Venkatakrishnan is starting to feel some pressure with the shares appreciably lower since his appointment in November 2021.”

Barclays shares rose 0.3%.

Team17 shares crash on lower video game sales

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Internationally known video game label Team 17 shares dropped on Friday, as the company stated in the trading update that some of its games are not meeting the sales target.

The gaming company’s shares were down by 41.08% at the time of writing on Friday.

Team17 is known for games such as “Worms,” “Miami Chase,” and “Yooka-Laylee.”

The label has not specified which games are underperforming.

The company’s trading update explains that:

“Despite this overall robust revenue performance, certain titles within the Games Label are not meeting internal expectations, resulting in a less favourable mix between higher margin own-IP titles and third-party titles (with higher royalty payments) than anticipated. In addition, the group was too slow to address some project overspends and has faced some delays in implementing key cost initiatives at Team 17 Games Label. These are now in advanced stages and will continue to bring benefits into next year.”

It is further stated that Team17 management is happy with the performance of two games in particular, Astragon and StoryToys.

However, following the H1 results and considering the changes in the post-Covid-19 landscape, the management is reassessing the cost structure of Team17 Games Label.

Additionally, it is evaluating various titles, the update states, both in development and already launched.

This assessment is anticipated to lead to impairments recognised in FY23.

Furthermore, Team17 now anticipates achieving a full-year adjusted EBITDA of at least £28.5m, including potential non-cash impairments on titles of up to £11.5m.

“It may not be game over for Team 17, but the game developer’s profit warning will definitely give any investors pause. While revenue will be modestly higher than expectations, earnings are expected to be lower than anticipated and fall materially from 2022 levels” , said AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

“Failing to control overspending will not do anything for the firm’s credibility in the market, and the decision to review games in development shows how this market has gotten tougher now that people aren’t stuck indoors, with gaming representing one of the few possible escapes from the drudgery of lockdown.”

Improving autonomous vehicle safety and fighting electric vehicle range anxiety with Guident’s Harald Braun

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to have Harald Braun, CEO of Guident, back on the Podcast to discuss the latest developments at Guident, an autonomous and electric vehicle technology company based in Florida.

Guident has two distinct technologies; the first is autonomous vehicle remote monitoring and control software, and the second is regenerative shock absorbers for electric vehicles.

Harald details the progress at Guident and the importance of a recent deal that secures Guident reoccurring revenue into the future.

Guident is a first mover in human-in-the-loop remote monitoring and control of autonomous vehicles for fixed-route geo-fenced buses and shuttles. Harald discussed their commercial progress and the rapid development of the market.

We finish with a look at developments at ReVive Energy Solutions and promising interactions with leading EV makers and tire companies.

Mothercare shares rise despite Middle East slow down

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UK retailer Mothercare saw shares jump on Friday despite interim sales dropping 15% on tougher trading conditions in the Middle East.

Mothercare shares were up 4.26% and trading at 490p at 10.32am.

Global retail sales through franchise partners totalled £137.2 million (compared to £162.1 million in 2022), marking a 15% decrease from the previous year (13% decrease when adjusted for currency fluctuations).

This decline was attributed to challenging trading conditions in the Middle East, which experienced a 20% decrease compared to last year.

The sales in the Middle East, especially in Saudi Arabia, have been dropping relentlessly.

It is also mentioned that fiscal and legislative shifts, along with new leisure options competing for consumer spending, are reshaping consumer behaviour.

Excluding Middle East sales, ongoing operations saw a 6% decline compared to the previous year at constant currency.

Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said that after these news reports, “Mothercare is in need of some self-care.”

She added that “tough trading conditions, especially in the Middle East, are causing problems for a company that’s already had to peddle extremely hard to stay afloat.”

The group’s revenue decreased to £29 million in the first half, down from £38.5 million last year and significantly below the £44.4 million recorded in 2020.

The company’s chairman, Clive Whiley, said in a statement that “these results are testament to our continued drive to preserve the strength of the Mothercare brand in a fast-changing retail and macroeconomic trading environment. Against significant headwinds in the Middle East, one of our core markets, we are pleased that our business model and disciplined approach to cost have resulted in an increase in profitability for the first half.”

Net debt increased to £15.8 million, compared to £11.6 million on September 24, 2022.

The company’s report further states that efforts are ongoing to address the pension scheme’s current deficit of £35 million (as of March 31, 2023), despite the reduction from £124.5 million since March.

Additionally, adjusted EBITDA increased by 12% to £3.6 million for the six months ending on September 23, 2023.

According to Sophie Lund-Yates, “an area that needs a laser-like focus from management is the net debt pile, which stands at many times the amount of the group’s cash profits.”

She added that “there’s also a sizable pension deficit to clear. For now, profits are being supported by deep cost cuts, but these can only go on for so long and won’t be enough in the long run.”

Chairman Clive Whiley says that the brand now hopes to expand its global presence. This involves entering new markets through various channels, such as e-commerce (direct or through marketplaces) or partnering with those holding online rights for a region.

This strategy will provide Mothercare with a chance for substantial growth, the statement explains, bringing synergies and increased profitability by leveraging the group’s strengths in supply, franchise partnerships, and international reach.

FTSE 100 flat as ex-dividends weigh, GBP/USD jumps

The FTSE 100 was almost dead flat at the time of writing on Thursday as the impact of stocks trading ex-dividend offset minor gains elsewhere.

Trade was thin with US markets closed for the Thanks Giving Holiday, and there was little for investors to get excited about in terms of corporate updates from FTSE 100 companies.

London’s leading index was weighed down by several high-yielding stocks trading ex-dividend. Companies trading without the right to their next dividend included Vodafone, National Grid and Land Securities.

A stronger pound also capped FTSE 100 gains after Flash UK PMI painted a better-than-expected picture for UK businesses.

“The UK economy found its feet again in November as the service sector arrested a three-month sequence of decline and manufacturers began to report less severe cutbacks to production schedules,” said Tim Moore, Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

“Relief at the pause in interest rate hikes and a clear slowdown in headline measures of inflation are helping to support business activity, although the latest survey data merely suggests broadly flat UK GDP in the final quarter of 2023.”

GBP/USD rose to 1.2540 against the dollar, and the inverse relationship between the FTSE 100 and sterling meant the index underperformed Europe.

Intertek

Intertek was the FTSE 100’s top gainers after announcing a 7% increase in revenue year-to-date and confirmed mid-digit revenue growth guidance for the full year.

Intertek shares were 3.3% higher at the time fo writing.

IAG was among the fallers as the airline fell in sympathy with Jet2 after the peer released a mixed update saying bookings had slowed in recent weeks.

AIM movers: Jersey Oil & Gas farm out secured, while United Oil & Gas loses prospective partner

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Jersey Oil & Gas (LON: JOG) has secured a second farm out agreement for its Greater Buchan Area project in the UK North Sea. The terms of the agreement with Serica Energy (LON: SQZ) is similar to the one secured with NEO. Serica Energy will earn up to 30% for a mix of cash and capital investment – $6.8m is payable on completion. Jersey Oil & Gas is fully funded until first oil for the Buchan field redevelopment. The share price jumped 23.1% to 242.5p. The Serica Energy share price rose 2.27% to 211.5p.

The family of Steppe Cement (LON: STCM) chief executive Javier del Ser Perez bought 200,000 shares at 22.375p, taking their stake to 8.63%. The share price improved 9.3% to 23.5p.

Maritime AI provider Windward (LON: WNWD) has signed a five-year contract with a European national coastguard that is valued at €3.2m. The cash is expected to be paid upfront, while annual contract value will be increased by $700,000/year. That means that the 2024 forecast revenues are around 90% covered by annualised recurring revenues. The share price rose 9.09% to 72p.

Shares in floorcoverings manufacturer Victoria (LON: VCP) recovered following yesterday’s warning that the second half is likely to be tougher. The share price increased 9.02% to 278p.

FALLERS

United Oil & Gas (LON: UOG) says that the preferred potential partner for the Walton Morant licence in Jamaica has pulled out. Other parties are interested. The licence period expires in January and an extension is being negotiated. Simon Brett has been appointed as non-board finance director. The share price slumped 20.1% to 0.775p.

Neometals (LON: NMT) has completed the A$9m from a placing at 10p/share and wants to raise a further £6.8m from a one-for-eight entitlement offer. The cash will fund the development of the nickel, cobalt, lithium recycling business Primobius, including the delivery of a facility to Mercedes Benz, and potentially to purchase a stake in Canadian licensee Stelco. The share price fell a further 8.33% to 11p.

Plant Health Care (LON: PHC) shares continue to decline after yesterday’s trading statement. Destocking in the agrichemical market means that full year revenues are likely to be flat, which is a relatively good performance when compared with the sector. Revenue expectations for 2024 have been cut by 28% to $16.6m. The share price slipped a further 6.08% to 3.55p.

Trading in SigmaRoc (LON: SRC) shares recommenced after the publication of the readmission document following the purchase of the European lime assets from CRH (LON: CRH). The building materials supplier has raised £200m via a placing at 47.5p/share with a further £1.3m raised from an offer. CRH is taking a 15.4% shareholding. The total consideration for the lime assets is $1.1bn, which is in three phases with the initial acquisition of assets in Germany, Czech Republic and Poland. In 2022, revenues were around $610m and EBITDA was $137m. The SigmaRoc share price declined 5.08% to 47.65p.

Ex-dividends

Cake Box (LON: CBOX) is paying an interim dividend of 2.9p/share and the share price increased 0.5p to 147.5p.

Craneware (LON: CRW) is paying a final dividend of 16p/share and the share price is 10p lower at 1630p.

FRP Advisory (LON: FRP) is paying a dividend of 0.9p/share and the share price fell 1.5p to 121p.

Inspiration Healthcare (LON: IHC) is paying an interim dividend of 0.21p/share and the share price is unchanged at 39.5p.

Lok’nStore (LON: LOK) is paying a final dividend of 13.25p/share and the share price slipped 19p to 739p.

Tatton Asset Management (LON: TAM) is paying an interim dividend of 8p/share and the share price improved 1p to 523p.

Tristel (LON: TSTL) is paying a final dividend of 7.88p/share and the share price fell 5p to 425p.

Young & Co’s Brewery (LON: YNGA) is paying an interim dividend of p/share and the share price slipped 5p to 1090p.

Yu Group (LON: YU.) is paying an interim dividend of 3p/share and the share price declined 20p to 1110p.

Oil drops on Middle East ceasefire talks and a postponed OPEC+ meeting

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WTI Crude is down 0.88%, while Brent is down 0.94%. At the time of writing, WTI Crude is trading at $76.40 per barrel, while Brent costs $81.25 .

The loss follows the 4% drop in the oil prices yesterday.

Oil prices have been falling as ceasefire talks developed in the Middle East. Although, a ceasefire is yet to be agreed upon.

On Thursday the Israeli army announced it attacked approximately 300 Hamas points on Wednesday, despite ongoing intensive hostage negotiations.

OPEC+ was supposed to meet on Sunday but was rescheduled to November 30th, which also did not reflect positively on oil.

OPEC+ sources informed Reuters that the situation is due to an issue with some African countries, but exact details are unclear.

Jet2 shares descend as winter bookings slow

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On Wednesday, airline Jet2 plc released interim results, which show that although the revenue rose in the last half-year period, bookings have slowed in recent weeks.

Jet2 shares were down 4.48% at the time of writing on Thursday and were trading at 1,080.30 p.

A major contributor to higher revenue was increased prices. The average cost of a Jet2 package holidays increased by 11%.

The net ticket yield per passenger sector for flight-only services reached £124.09, marking an 18% rise from the previous year’s £105.00.

Operating profit rose 19% to £617 million.

The company further states that there were instances when their operational performance was directly affected by various disruptions, including the NATS failure, Rhodes wildfires, and Skiathos flooding, resulting in an approximate loss of £14.0 million in profitability.

According to Russ Mould from AJ Bell, “Jet2 says it has a ‘wonderful product for challenging economic times’ but you imagine internally the company must be aware it has benefited from extreme pent-up demand in the wake of COVID, which meant people were so keen for a week in the sun they would prioritise it above almost anything else”.

Mould also added that “where Jet2 does have credit in the bank is in how it deals with customers—notably being more straightforward and decisive than rivals during the period of pandemic disruption.”

The total cash balance, which includes money market deposits, reached £3,214.6 million, marking a 14% increase from the previous year.

For the Winter 2023–24 season, despite a 21% rise in on-sale seat capacity to 4.49 million, the higher-margin per passenger package holiday mix for departing passengers has increased by 2.6 percentage points, the Jet2 report explains.

It further states that, while recent bookings have been slightly slower, average pricing remains strong.

The company’s CEO, Steve Heapy, stated that “we are pleased to have delivered another strong financial performance during the first half of the financial year, despite the well-publicised external challenges faced. This clearly demonstrates that our end-to-end package holiday is a popular and resilient product and is the right product for price-conscious customers.”

However, Russ Mould said on the topic that “Jet2 says it has a ‘wonderful product for challenging economic times’ but you imagine internally the company must be aware it has benefited from extreme pent-up demand in the wake of COVID, which meant people were so keen for a week in the sun they would prioritise it above almost anything else.”

Adding that, “An all-in package holiday, of which Jet2 is selling more and more, offers certainty on cost, but that doesn’t make it cheap”.

The Jet2 report further states that, looking ahead to summer 2024, the current seat capacity of 17.19 million seats is about 12% higher than summer 2023.

A UK Small Cap Rerate, Cadence Minerals, ECR Minerals with Alan Green

Alan Green joined the UK Investor Magazine Podcast to dive into a selection of UK equities and provide scenarios for broader markets after the Autumn Statement.

This Podcast explores potential scenarios for UK markets and the catalysts for a rerating of UK mid and small caps.

We discuss Cadence Minerals (LON:KDNC) and ECR Minerals (LON:ECR).

Alan outlines the valuation case for Cadence Minerals, given the current share price and the underlying value of their portfolio of mining assets.

ECR Minerals is proceeding with a more positive tone after a change of leadership. Alan provides an update on activities.