AIM movers: Quadrise reassures investors and Pelatro set to leave AIM

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Quadrise (LON: QED) says that the failure of the Utah authorities to grant its licensee Valkor a unitisation will not impact the development plan a t the primary project site and the $15m of financing. A drilling permit is anticipated in September. Unitisation could be granted by the first quarter of next year. The Quadrise technology will be used in the production of heavy oil. The share price recovered 24.6% to 1.1025p, but it is still lower than a fortnight ago.

Pantheon Resources (LON: PANR) says an independent expert report confirms gross 2C contingent resources of total marketable liquids of 963mmbbls at the Kodiak project in Alaska – roughly one-third oil and two-thirds natural gas liquids. That is well below the company’s own estimate of 1.7 billion barrels. An assessment of the resource of Alkaid at the Ahpun project should be finished before the end of the year. The share price improved 10.7% to 15.05p. Canaccord Genuity has a NPV10 target price of 100p.

Hutchmed (China) Ltd (LON: HCM) says the Center for Drug Evaluation of China’s National Medical Products Administration has granted breakthrough therapy designation to savolitinib for the treatment of “locally advanced or metastatic gastric cancer or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma patients with mesenchymal epithelial transition factor amplification who have failed at least two lines of standard therapies”. This means that the treatment will have priority review when a new drug application is submitted. A phase II study is planned. The share price increased 8.17% to 241.75p.

Medical scanning technology developer Polarean Imaging (LON: POLX) has been granted a new reimbursement code for the Polarean XENOVIEW (xenon Xe 129, hyperpolarised) technology by the US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. The payment level will be announced in a few weeks, and it commences from 1 October. The share price improved 8.2% to 16.5p.

Pre-clinical antibody developer Fusion Antibodies (LON: FARN) has received the first order for its AI/ML-Ab services from Australia. The share price rose 7.41% to 290p.

FALLERS

Pelatro (LON: PTRO) will ask shareholders to vote to cancel the AIM quotation because of the cost and the inability to raise cash. Finance director Nic Hellyer is leaving the board. A matched bargain facility will be put in place. The share price slumped 69.2% to 1p.

Grafenia (LON: GRA) is raising £23m via a placing at 8.5p/share and a further £4.9m can be raised through an open offer. The share price slipped 9.76% to 9.25p. The cash will be used to repurchase bonds and pay consideration for past and future acquisitions to expand in the vertical market software sector. Last year £11.2m of bonds were issued to finance four acquisitions. The focus is businesses where a majority of revenues are recurring and there is a defined market niche. The valuation would be up to seven times adjusted EBITDA.

Volvere (LON: VLE) chief executive Jonathan Lander has died. His brother Nick Lander will take over his responsibilities. Jonathan Lander has a 10.2% shareholding. The share price fell 5.46% to 1125p. Oil and gas company Arrow Exploration (LON: AXL) has more than doubled its second quarter revenues from $5.02m to $10.3m. There was $4.9m of cash generated from operations. There was $10.8m in cash at the end of June 2023. The share price declined 2.86% to 17p.

Pantheon Resources – latest report validates the massive scale of its 1bn barrels Kodiak resource, shares up 15%

Jay Cheatham, the CEO of Pantheon Resources (LON:PANR) sounded very excited about the Netherland Sewell & Associates intensive review of the Lower Basin Floor Fan reservoir of the company’s Kodiak project on the North Slope of Alaska.

“This really is a big deal.

 A credible third-party estimate of nearly one billion barrels of recoverable liquids for a company the size of Pantheon is an incredible achievement, validating our geological model.

This is the first IER conducted on our largest asset and will have enormous value in financing discussions and in attracting potential partners.

As I have repeatedly said, big oilfields continue to get bigger, and with additional wells and data points we expect this contingent resource to grow and for some or all to be classified as reserves once we achieve a Final Investment Decision.”

The report confirms gross (and net) 2C contingent resources of “total marketable liquids” of 963 mmbbls.

The 2C estimates (best estimates) of oil and natural gas liquids total 962.5m barrels of marketable liquids.

The NGLs on Pantheon’s projects are of material value because they can be blended with the oil and the combined stream of oil, condensate and have been estimated by management to yield approximately 90% of the value of the Alaska North Slope price per barrel.

With some 126,000 acres of field, the company believes that this is one of the largest basin floor fan systems discovered onshore in the past few decades. 

Analyst Charlie Sharp at Canaccord Genuity Capital Markets has rated the £141m capitalised group’s shares as a Speculative Buy, setting a 100p Price Target.

We see this figure a “best estimate” of almost 1bn barrels – as an important confirmation of the scale of the Kodiak discovery.

It is a critical first step in the process of further appraisal towards the potential establishment of the commerciality of this very large, now independently verified, resource base and Pantheon’s aim to deliver recognition of the $5-$10/bbl market valuation for those resources.

The groups shares are up 15% this morning, 2p better at 15.64p.

Income investors should not ignore this US bond ETF

US Treasury prices have sunk during the US hiking cycle, and long-dated bonds now offer yields that rival the broad FTSE 100 index.
Bond investment is typically associated with income, but this ETF provides a substantial yield and an opportunity for capital appreciation. 
Longer-dated bonds have higher duration risk, which means changes in the underlying price of the bond are extremely sensitive to interest rate changes. While this is a risk, it can also be an opportunity.
Investing in this ETF is a play on the US cutting rates while achieving a 4.27% yield. It is also a play on a risk avers...

Aston Martin – shares are on the run upwards, is a bidder in the wings?

Some 19.77m shares of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (LON:AML) were traded last Friday, with the market abuzz with rumours of an early bid from China.
One assumes that if such a bid actually transpires it would emanate from Geely Holdings, the Chinese automobiles manufacturer that now holds some 16.66% of the luxury car maker’s equity.
Geely, which is controlled by the billionaire Li Shufu, owns Volvo, Polestar, Lotus and the London Electric Vehicle Company amongst several other brands.
The AML shares were traded 5% higher before the weekend, up to 338p, which is still some way below the...

Bunzl shares tick higher as post-pandemic trade normalises

Bunzl has been contending with two key factors driving underlying performance; the pandemic and price inflation. The distribution company enjoyed a jump in activity during the pandemic, which has now diminished and price inflation is flatlining.

These influences were demonstrated in Bunzl’s revenue growing just 0.6% constantly in the six months ending 30th June.

Group adjusted operating profit rose 6.4% to £438.3m while margins expanded slightly to 7.4%.

“Bunzl generates most of its revenue and profit outside the UK, with the US a key region, so it’s not the economic conditions at home that turn the dial. Inflation easing in the US is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, lower input costs have helped margins push higher over the half, but the flip side is a drop in revenue as the pricing on a lot of Bunzl’s products can be linked to inflation,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Add in a drop in COVID-related sales, and the underlying business is seeing a bit of weakness creep in, comparable periods are tough though. Aside from lower costs, margins also got a bump from consumers shifting to own-brand products in response to ongoing pressures on income.

Bunzl continues to grow through acquisitions with the company announcing their first investment in Poland today.

“Acquisitions remain key to the Bunzl story, with £350m committed so far this year,” Brizman said.

“Strong cash generation underpins self-funded growth and the 12 acquisitions announced so far this year highlight the intent. The announced acquisition in Poland marks the group’s first foray into the region, one that’s previously been on the radar. The protective equipment distributor fits nicely in with Bunzl’s model and should give a platform to build on in the region.”

Bunzl shares were 3.5% higher at the time of writing.

New standard listing: RegTech Open Project looks fully valued

RegTech Open Project provides business and operational resilience software. The operational risk management market is expected to grow from $1.66bn in 2021 to $3.1bn in 2028.
The operational resilience market is highly fragmented, and many companies are more focused on cyber security. Financial services companies are the core client base, but there are also opportunities in telecoms and manufacturing. There are also opportunities to expand geographically.
There were 17 trades on Friday and the biggest was worth £8,480. The share price ended the first day of trading at 108.5p. It is difficult t...

Aquis weekly movers: Inteliqo generates initial revenues

Technology marketing start-up Inteliqo (LON: IQO) generated income of more than $400,000 and pre-tax profit of $250,000 from the distribution rights of the Langaroo app, which has still to be launched on Google Play and the Apple app store. The share price jumped 41.5% to a new high of 16.625p.

Ananda Developments (LON: ANA) published a round-up of cannabinoid medicine research. The share price improved 5.88% to 0.45p.

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) has moved to the Apex section of the market. The construction of the initial modular processing plant for the Kinusi copper mine has been completed and is ready for transportation and commissioning. The share price rose 4.46% to 14.625p.

Coinsilium Group Ltd (LON: COIN) chief executive Eddy Travia bought 1.5 million shares at 1.25p each. The market price improved 3.45% to 1.5p.

Arbuthnot Banking (LON: ARBB) has appointed three new independent non-exec directors. They are former MP Angela Knight, former Leopold Joseph director Jayne Almond and former investment banker Lord Sassoon. The share price edged up 0.26% to 957.5p.

FALLERS

Valereum (LON: VLRM) has appointed Jack Sun as finance director. He has been with the company since October 2021. The share price slipped 10.6% to 2.95p.

Guanajuato Silver Company (LON: GSVR) generated record production of 941,338 silver equivalent ounces in the second quarter and all-in sustaining cost was $22.47/ounce. Realised prices improved on the previous quarter. There was a small dip in net loss of $8.5m. Drill results from the Topia mine in Durango, Mexico have been promising. The share price rose 2.08% to 23.5p.

AIM weekly movers: Plexus Holdings set to multiply revenues this year

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Wellhead equipment supplier Plexus Holdings (LON: POS) reveals that a £5m rental contract for POS-GROP HG wellhead equipment and sealing technology announced in March has been increased in value to £8m. These revenues will be recognised in the year to June 2024, which should enable Plexus to move into profit. The 2021-22 revenues were £2.31m and they are expected to decline in 2022-23. The share price is 62.3% higher at 6.25p.  

Video sharing platform operator SEEEN (LON: SEEN) chief executive Adrian Hargrave bought 354,081 shares at an average share price of 2.26p. He intends to sell 150,000 shares to employees at 2p each. This pushed up the share price 50% to 4.5p.

Jadestone Energy (LON: JSE) shares jumped 30.9% to 28.8p, having been trading slightly higher than their low for the year. After minor repairs to the water tank, the Montara floating storage platform should recommence production during September.

Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) says repayment of a S1m loan from Shell has been moved from 23 August to 13 September. There could be further extensions of this loan. Orcadian Energy has cash of £95,000. The share price recovered 30.8% to 4.25p.

FALLERS

Fulcrum Utility Services (LON: FCRM) intends to leave AIM and the share price dived by 70.9% to 0.24p. This announcement followed the release of full year figures showing an increased loss. The utility infrastructure business reported a £25.7m loss on a 18% decrease in revenues to £50.6m. Even excluding write-downs and restructuring charges there was a loss.

Thor Energy (LON: THR) shares fell 31.2% to 0.17p ahead of a ten-for-one consolidation on 31 August.

Proteome Sciences (LON: PRM) slumped 25.5% to 5.4p because interim revenues were flat, and costs increased. This meant that the drug development services company fell into loss. New initiatives should help to grow revenues in the medium-term.

Bluejay Mining (LON: JAY) is raising £600,000 at 1p/ share. The share price fell 25.1% to 0.927p. The cash will be used to develop the Hammaslahti copper zinc silver gold project in eastern Finland. Final assay results from the second phase of drilling are due in early September. Management is trying to secure further funding for projects from strategic investors.

FTSE 100 makes only a minor weekly gain, US interest rate fears halt advance

After what has been a dreadful August for the FTSE 100, London’s leading index made only tepid gains this week despite positive influences from the US tech sector.

Interest rate fears raised their head on Friday and halted the FTSE 100’s recovery in its tracks.

The FTSE 100 closed Friday 5 points higher at 7,338 after finishing last week’s trade at 7,262.

“So much for Nvidia’s knock-out earnings triggering a new global stock market rally. The celebration was short-lived, with Wall Street ending Thursday on a sour note as the Nasdaq closed the day nearly 2% lower. The negative sentiment extended to Asia and parts of Europe on Friday, including a 2% decline in Japan’s Nikkei 225 index,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“There is a saying with investments that it can be better to travel than arrive, and one might conclude that Nvidia’s stellar share price run was susceptible to a bout of profit taking and that’s precisely what we got.

“Despite the good fortunes of Nvidia and positive news flow from the company, there is no getting over the fact that investors remain worried that interest rates will stay higher for longer and that casts a downer on the markets as a whole.”

These fears were justified as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke at Jackson Hole on Friday in what was a hawkish delivery that sent global equities lower.

Having traded as high as 7,388 on Friday, the FTSE 100 traded negatively before closely just higher at 7,338. US equities sank but were off their worst levels at the time of writing.

Powell’s comments pave the way for additional US rate hikes over the next couple of months and are at odds with a new narrative that has started to build on when rates will be cut.

Earlier in the year, some had predicted the US would cut rates this year. That school of thought is dead in the water.

Investors will watch intently next week for how equities price higher-for-longer US rates. The UK has its own rate fears and today’s developments could play into those sectors highly exposed to interest rates such as FTSE 100 housebuilders and banks.

Watches of Switzerland slumps on Rolex acquisition

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Watches and jewellery retailer Watches of Switzerland (LON: WOSG) is the worst performer on the day due to concerns about Rolex acquiring Swiss watch retailer Bucherer SA. At one point the share price dropped below 500p, but it is currently down 19.6% to 557.5p.

Watches of Switzerland is the largest retailer for Rolex in the UK, and it has multiple outlets internationally. The company, which is in the FTSE 250 index, has tried to reassure investors.

Watches of Switzerland points out that the owner of Bucherer is 86 years old and has no family succession. Rolex and Bucherer have work together for a century. Rolex says that it does not intend to make any other move into retail, and it will not have operational involvement.

More importantly, Rolex says that it will not change product allocation processes or distribution plans following the acquisition.

In July, Watches of Switzerland launched the Rolex certified pre-owned programme in the US and it will be launched in the UK in September. There are plans for Rolex boutiques in Florida in the autumn and Old Bond Street next summer, while the Glasgow boutique will be expanded. Rolex is being added to the Dallas showroom.

Luxury watches accounted for £889.9m out of group revenues of £1.54bn in the year to April 2023. That is not all Rolex, but it will be a significant contributor. Other brands include OMEGA, TAG Heuer and Breitling.