AIM movers: Emmerson shares recover

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Morocco-based potash project developer Emmerson (LON: EML) has extended bank mandates for a further 12 months until the end of 2024. Emmerson is still waiting for government approval of its Environmental and Social Impact Study for the Khemisset potash mine. Emmerson has been assured that there are no further significant issues. The share price declined in the previous week, but that was more than made up for by a 54.5% increase to 2.24p.

Armstrong Investments has reduced its stake in Rosslyn Data Technologies (LON: RDT) from 7.1% to 4.6% following recent share price strength. The stake was increased to 7.1% at the end of October 2023 when the share price was around two-thirds of the price at the end of the week, which was up 43.5% to 20.3p.

Great Western Mining (LON: GWMO) says its 50/50 joint venture Western Mining has completed construction of a mill in Nevada, which will begin processing at 35t/day and ramp up to 200t/day. This will process pre-mined gold and silver material. A study of geochemical signatures of granites is being conducted at the porphyry target at the Huntoon Valley. The share price is two-fifths ahead at 0.0525p.

Plant monitoring technology developer Light Science Technologies (LON: LST) published a positive 2023 trading statement. Cost savings have helped to halve the pre-tax loss of £1.3m on revenues rising from £8.2m to £9.3m. Contract electronic manufacturing remains the largest sales contributor, although controlled environment agriculture products are growing in importance. The share price improved 23.4% to 2.9p – just below the high for the year so far.

FALLERS

Mercantile Ports and Logistics (LON: MPL) says some trading activity was deferred last December. Cavendish reduced its 2023 revenues forecast from £6.9m to £5.4m. Coal import to the Karanja port were lower because of destocking. The loss will be higher. Management hopes to replace the current debt facilities with a new facility with lower interest charges. Buying by directors did not help the share price. Non-exec John Fitzgerald acquired 624,419 shares at 1.5725p each and Dmitri Tsvetkov bought 617,360 shares at 1.62p each. The share price slumped 45.7% to 1.52p. The June 2023 fundraising was at 3p.

Oil and gas producer Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (LON: NTOG) is raising £300,000 at 0.12p/share and using the cash to fund drilling opportunities at Pine Mills in East Texas, where previous wells have made a good return. There are plans to add to acreage in the region. The share price fell 40.6% to 0.1025p.

UK Oil & Gas (LON: UKOG) has raised £750,000 at 0.02p/share. The company intends to submit an application in the first hydrogen storage allocation round for its hydrogen storage project in Portland, Dorset. The cash will also fund oil and gas exploration in UK and Turkey. The share price slipped 29.6% to 0.019p.

Touch sensors manufacturer Zytronic (LON: ZYT) reports a 30% decline in full year revenues to £8.6m and it fell back into loss. Gross margins were hit by higher raw material costs and product mix. Sales continue to decline this year. There are signs that there could be improvement in the second half. Net cash is £4.7m. The share price declined 28.1% to 57.5p.

FTSE 100 gains as oil jumps on Middle East escalation

The FTSE 100 reversed some of yesterday’s losses after hotter-than-expected US CPI data raised questions about the timing of the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike.

European stocks finished yesterday’s session deep in the red, but a late rally in US stocks from their worst levels boosted sentiment on Friday. Comments on inflation by the European Central Bank’s President also helped ease concerns about interest rates.

“Wall Street managed to avoid a big sell-off despite hotter than expected US inflation figures reducing the chances of interest rates being cut as soon as March,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“European shares raced ahead at the end of the week as investors focused on comments from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde who implied the worst was over with inflation in Europe, stoking hopes for rate cuts from the ECB.”

Oil jumps

Although UK GDP growth for November came in better than expected at 0.3% compared to estimates of 0.2%, the real driver of the FTSE 100 on Friday was higher oil prices and gains for oil majors Shell and BP.

The two added a substantial number of points to the FTSE 100 index as Brent oil jumped over 3% to $80.29. The UK and US launched a wave of attacks on the Houthis in Yemen, sending oil prices soaring higher on concerns about supply disruption in the region.

“Iran has captured an oil tanker off the coast of Oman in response to sanctions, according to reports. Air strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have also increased anxiety,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Burberry

Burberry was the FTSE 100’s biggest casualty on Friday after the luxury brand released disappointing sales numbers for the 13 weeks to 30th December 2023. Sales in the Americas and EMEA were abysmal, and Burberry’s reported revenue fell 7% amid a broader decline in luxury demand.

Burberry shares were down 8% at the time of writing.

JD Sports was the top riser, gaining 3%, with shares at 110p proving too attractive for bargain hunters. JD Sports is still the worst performer of 2024, declining 31%, after issuing a warning on profits last week.

Vistry shares slip despite guidance upgrade, traders book profits

Housebuilder Vistry shares slipped on Friday despite an upgrade to their guidance and revealing completion rates that placed them at the top of the FTSE 100 housebuilder sector.

This week has seen several strong performing shares be subject to a wave of profit taking despite reasonably good trading updates.

On Friday, it was Vistry’s investors turn to book profits after a bumper Q4 share price performance.

“Better than expected economic growth during November in the UK gave support to the FTSE 250 index as approximately half of its constituents are seen as domestic plays. Housebuilders and real estate groups led the way with the biggest contributor to the FTSE 250 in terms of index points being Vistry,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Previously known as Bovis Homes, Vistry came across as more upbeat than most of its peers in a trading update and said 2023 pre-tax profit would beat previous guidance.”

Vistry said full-year performance would be ahead of prior guidance for FY2023 and will be in line with FY2022’s £418.4m profit before tax.

Completions for the fell 5.4% to 16,124 units, this compares to Persimmon’s 33% drop in completions.

“The Group had a strong run into the year end and I’m pleased to report that adjusted profit before tax for FY23 is anticipated to be ahead of guidance.  Our FY23 performance has demonstrated the resilience of Vistry’s unique Partnerships model,” said Greg Fitzgerald, Chief Executive of Vistry.

“Our forward sales of £4.5 billion is up 12.4% on prior year and positions us well to deliver a step-up in total completions in FY24 and make progress towards our medium-term targets and the return of £1bn of capital to shareholders.”

AIM movers: Premier Miton assets grow and UK Oil & Gas raises cash for hydrogen storage application

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Fund manager Premier Miton Group (LON: PMI) improved assets under management from £9.8bn to £10.1bn in the quarter to December 2023. That was after £200m of net fund outflows and £100m of mandate transfer and fund disposal. Positive market performance added £590m with a strong performance from equity funds. Premier Miton has agreed to take on the investment management of a Dublin-based UCITS platform with £100m of assets under management. The appointment should be cleared in February. The share price rose 8.33% to 0.975p.

Metals Exploration (LON: MTL) is acquiring a controlling interest of the company that holds a 16,200 hectares exploration tenement in the Abra area of the Philippines for $1.6m in cash and options over 41 million options. The licence area is ready for exploration with several drill targets identified. The share price improved 6.67% to 3.2p.

Power Metal Resources (LON: POW) has signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding with the government of Saudi Arabia that relates to exploring exploitation of natural resources. The share price increased 3.7% to 0.7p.

Cosmetics company Warpaint London (LON: W7L) has published another upbeat trading statement. Strong online and high street sales meant that revenues were better than expected. This led to Shore Capital raising its 2023 earnings forecast by 12.5% to 18p/share. This is the fourth upgrade in the past year. The share price is 2.75% higher at 392.5p. The share price has more than doubled over the past year.

FALLERS

UK Oil & Gas (LON: UKOG) has raised £750,000 at 0.02p/share. The company intends to submit an application in the first hydrogen storage allocation round for its hydrogen storage project in Portland, Dorset. The cash will also fund oil and gas exploration in UK and Turkey. The share price slumped 22% to 0.0195p.

Armstrong Investments has reduced its stake in Rosslyn Data Technologies (LON: RDT) from 7.1% to 4.6% following recent share price strength. The share price slipped 5.53% to 20.5p.

88 Energy (LON: 88E) is starting flow testing of the Hickory-1 oil well in mid-February. The contingent resource of the Alaska discovery is currently estimated at 250mmboe, and testing could increase this figure. The company has enough cash to carry out the testing. The share price is 5.21% down to 0.2275p.

Lower sales and prices meant that Kazakhstan-based Steppe Cement (LON: STCM) revenues declined from $87m to $82m. Volumes were 3% lower at 1.63 million tonnes. Market share slipped from 14.5% to 14.2%. The share price fell 4.55p to 21p.

Burberry shares out of fashion amid luxury slowdown

Burberry shares sank on Friday after the luxury retailer cut profit guidance after a poor end of year trading period.

Falling sales in the Americas and EMEA culminated in a 7% drop in reported revenue.

Investors will be concerned whether falling sales are primarily a result of a general slowdown in the luxury sector or if Burberry’s brand is losing its appeal. Today’s announcement doesn’t provide enough information to determine the factors behind falling sales and upcoming results will be poured over for comparisons against their peers.

Nonetheless, the drop in sales meant the group revised its operating profit guidance for the year down to £410m to £460m. The fashion brand has set itself a £4bn full-year revenue target which looks a long way off after today’s update.

Burberry shares sank over 10% to 1,221p in mid-morning trade on Friday.

“So much for the roaring twenties. The idea that wealthier individuals would completely brush off inflation and the cost-of-living crisis has been thrown in the bin. No sector is entirely immune from such pressures and over the past six months or so we’ve seen cracks appearing in the luxury goods sector as demand wanes,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Burberry already flagged problems two months ago and now it says trading has seen further deceleration, meaning full-year results will miss expectations. The Americas and South Korea are the biggest problem areas for the group, judging by store sales trends.

“So, what can it do? Unlike your average fashion retailer, it is simply not the Burberry way to slash prices and hope bargains lure in shoppers. The luxury goods scene is about trying to make consumers want to have something exquisite and premium priced to give the illusion that it is only available to the elite. Discounting would tarnish the brand. Therefore, Burberry has no choice but to ride out the storm until the wealthier are feeling confident enough to splash the cash once more.”

Knights Group Holdings back to organic growth

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Regional legal firm consolidator Knights Group Holdings (LON: KGH) returned to organic growth in the first half. AIM-quoted Knights has broadened its regional covered and increased its scale.

In the six months to October 2023, revenues rose from £71.2m to £75.3m, while organic growth was 3.3%. Underlying pre-tax profit improved from £9m to £11.6m. The interim dividend is 5% higher at 1.61p/share.

Higher charges have helped revenues to grow, although they are still well below London rates. A further rise will be put in place, including for more recent acquisitions, this May. Staff retention is improving, and 20 new senior fee earners have been hired this year.

The Knights share price has recovered slightly over the past year but, at 120p, the shares are trading on less than six times prospective earnings. The forecast yield is 3.6%.

The problem for investors appears to be the high borrowings. The first half is weaker in terms of cash generation, and it will improve in the second half. After £7.5m of acquisition spending net debt was £38.3m, although it I expected to be around £30m at the end of April 2024.

Management suggests that it is unlikely that there will be any more acquisitions in the short-term, but there will be more acquisitions further into the future. The borrowing facility is £70m and lasts until November 2026. That provides funds for further acquisitions when they are secured.

Interest should be covered around six times by operating profit this year. As interest rates appear to have peaked this look a comfortable level and it should be higher in the next couple of years, but that depends on acquisition activity.

The Knights share price is too low. It may take time, but it will eventually better reflect the progress of the business.

Tekcapital’s Innovative Eyewear reviews year of progress and growth

Tekcapital portfolio company Innovative Eyewear has released a 2023 review of progress and innovation for its smart eyewear including a new app, design patents, licensing agreements with leading lifestyle brands, and most notably, the launch of the world’s first ChatGPT-enabled smart eyewear.

Innovative Eyewear summarised a year of extensive development of its products that will lay the foundations for future growth as the adoption of smart eyewear gathers pace.

“2023 was a challenging year in global markets, but I am pleased to share that our Company is growing, and making great strides towards our goal of mass-market consumer adoption of smart eyewear,” said Harrison Gross, CEO Innovative Eyewear.

“We anticipate 2024 to bring many exciting new developments surrounding the launch of our first co-branded lines with Nautica, Eddie Bauer and Reebok, and the launch of the Lucyd Lion Bluetooth Safety Glass line.”

Smart eyewear innovation

The company launched 15 new styles under its Lucyd Lyte 2.0 line, including an expanded selection for women, believed to be the most diverse smart eyewear line yet. It also debuted new oversized styles under the Lucyd Lyte XL line, featuring upgrades like spring hinges, thinner temples, and sound improvements.

Arguably Innovative Eyewear’s biggest innovation last year was the launch of its Lucyd app in April. The app enables handsfree use of ChatGPT when connected to Apple devices, making Lucyd the first-ever voice interface for the popular AI chatbot. The app also provides complementary AI features like text-to-speech.

On the product development front, the company completed three new lines slated for launch this year: Nautica, Eddie Bauer, and Lucyd Lion Safety Glass. It also expanded its intellectual property, acquiring a license to 46 new smart eyewear patents and receiving notice of allowance on 14 design patents.

2023 also saw major branding and marketing wins for Innovative Eyewear. It launched its first fashion line, Nautica Powered by Lucyd, through a partnership with Authentic Brands. It also secured the exclusive license to the Reebok brand for smart eyewear and investors will look forward to their launch.

In terms of marketing and customer engagement, the company grew its social media and newsletter subscriber base substantially. In addition, it now has over 300 partner optical stores, including a new retail chain partnership in Canada. Lucyd glasses were also featured on HBO’s Hard Knocks through an influencer deal with NFL player Emmanuel Ogbah.

The release of the review today follows news announced by Tekcapital that Innovative Eyewear received Notices of Allowance from the United States Patent and Trademark in fourteen design patent applications protecting Lucyd Lyte designs.

FTSE 100 dives after US inflation curveball, Marks & Spencer sinks

The FTSE 100 fell on Thursday as traders digested US CPI inflation data that dampened hopes of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in March.

The FTSE 100 had been substantially higher earlier in the session before the rally faded and gains turned to losses. London’s leading index was around 0.5% lower shortly after US cash equity trade began on Thursday.

US CPI for December came in at 3.4% compared to expectations of 3.2% and higher than the 3.1% November reading.

“US CPI came in higher than expected on both a headline and core basis. These latest figures could give fuel to the hawks and reinforce both the USD strength and rise in US yields we’ve seen so far in 2024,” said Ryan Brandham, Head of Global Capital Markets, North America, at Validus Risk Management.

There was little movement in both UK and US equity markets after the data hit the wires, suggesting that although hotter than expected reduced the chances of a rate cut in March, it didn’t completely rule it out. However, as US trade got underway, stocks on both sides of the pond sank.

“Markets had all but declared the battle with inflation over in the final few months of 2023, but these readings add weight to the argument that the final efforts to get inflation down to target may be trickier than expected. The inflation figures are compounded by stronger than expected initial jobless claim figures, coming in at 202k for December, compared to expectations of 210k,” said Dan Boardman-Weston, Chief Executive at BRI Wealth Management.

“It is still likely that the Federal Reserve will start cutting rates in the coming months, in the face of a slowing economy and further progress on inflation, but markets may need to readjust their assumptions as to the timing and quantum of interest rate cuts during 2024.”

FTSE 100 movers

Marks & Spencer was the FTSE 100’s top faller after the group said food sales rose 10% during the festive trading period but held off increasing profit guidance for the full year.

Marks & Spencer investors took the cautious tone as an opportunity to book profits after a strong run, and shares were down more than 4% on Thursday.

“Shares in Marks & Spencer rallied in the days before the results as investors looked at strong updates from Aldi and Lidl, plus a resilient showing from Next, and concluded that M&S could also do well,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“The shares have given back some of those gains on the trading update as investors with a ‘better to travel than arrive’ mindset bank some profits. There are also enough words of caution in the update to stall momentum in the share price.”

Tesco also released a solid set of results on Thursday and followed the ‘buy the rumour, sell the fact’ playbook with minor losses.

Whitbread was the top gainer after releasing stellar Q3 results and saying accommodation sales were now 39% ahead of pre-pandemic levels. Whitbread shares were 3% higher.

“The owner of the UK’s largest hotel chain has plenty to celebrate as it heads towards the end of its financial year. In the UK Premier Inn’s rooms on average generated 9% more in the third quarter than they did in the comparable period, some 39% ahead of pre-pandemic levels,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

AIM movers: Windward beats expectations and ex-dividends

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Marine technology developer Windward (LON: WNWD) has easily beaten 2023 expectations. Revenues were $28.3m and the operating loss was $5.8m, compared with previous expectations of $8.6m. There is net cash of $17.4m and that is more than enough to reach profitability, probably at some point during 2025. Annualised recurring revenues are running at $34.5m and Canaccord Genuity is forecasting 2024 revenues of that figure, so additional contract wins could lead to upgrades. The share price jumped 17.5% to 104p.

CyanConnode (LON: CYAN) has secured an order for one million units, which underpins 2023-24 forecast revenues. The order is for modules for smart metering in Nagpur, Maharashtra. The order intake has risen to 6.3 million units and the backlog is 3.9 million units. There are current tenders that could lead to more orders. A 2024-25 pre-tax profit of £4.4m is forecast. The share price increased 14.1% to 11.75p.

Plant monitoring technology developer Light Science Technologies (LON: LST) shares continue to rise after yesterday’s trading statement. Cost savings have helped to halve the pre-tax loss of $1.3m on revenues rising from £8.2m to £9.3m. Contract electronic manufacturing remains the largest sales contributor, although controlled environment agriculture products are growing in importance. The share price improved 15.2% to 2.65p.

Eurasia Mining (LON: EUA) has won litigation in relation to a mining tax claim against the authorities in Moscow. The company has already received the first tranche of £480,000 taking cash to £989,000. This provides working capital until the third quarter. The share price is 6.76% higher at 1.975p.

FALLERS

Oil and gas producer Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (LON: NTOG) is raising £300,000 at 0.12p/share and using the cash to fund drilling opportunities at Pine Mills in East Texas, where previous wells have made a good return. There are plans to add to acreage in the region. The share price fell 27.4% to 0.1125p.

Palm oil producer Dekel Agri-Vision (LON: DKL) says 2023 revenues were at record levels, but there are problems with ramping up the cashew operation. Investment is required to replace parts of the machinery used in cashew production. Production should improve in the second quarter. The 2024 pre-tax profit forecast has been cut from €1.5m to €600,000. The share price dipped 20.5% to 1.55p. This is the lowest level for more than a decade.

Oil and gas producer Trinity Exploration and Production (LON: TRIN) says 2023 production averaged 2,790bopd, which is slightly below revised guidance. Workovers are offsetting natural declines. Pre-hedging EBITDA fell from $4.6m to $4.1m. Fiscal reforms will help the company’ financial performance in 2024. The share price dipped 12.4% to 39p.

Dianomi (LON: DNM) was hit by downturns in traffic for digital advertising. Revenues were in line with expectations at £30.1m. Cost savings reduced the second half loss. There was £7.7m in cash at the end of 2023. New contract wins will contribute this year. The share price slumped 11% to a new low of 40.5p.

Ex-dividends

Character Group (LON: CCT) is paying a final dividend of 11p/share and the share price fell 15p to 278p.

Caledonia Mining Corporation (LON: CMCL) is paying a dividend of 14 cents/share and the share price slipped 5p to 925p.

DotDigital (LON: DOTD) is paying a final dividend of 1p/share and the share price rose 0.4p to 100.6p.

Whitbread shares jump on Q3 income above pre-pandemic levels

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Whitbread shares jumped on Thursday despite a slight dip in quarter-on-quarter occupancy to 84.9% as the UK’s largest hotel business’s income rose 39% above pre-pandemic levels in Q3.

Whitbread’s shares were up 3% at the time of writing on Thursday.

Whitbread’s Premier Inn achieved an 11% surge in total accommodation sales, driven by robust demand in both London and the regions.

The total revenue per available room exhibited 9% growth and an outstanding 39% increase compared to FY20, marked by high occupancy rates and robust pricing.

“But there were a few signs that Whitbread is having to work a little harder to keep its room full. Quarter-on-quarter occupancy fell over a percentage point to 84.9%. And whilst London room rates only nudged down a fraction, compared to the second quarter, they dropped by 11% in the UK regions. In Europe, expansion of the German business is continuing to plan, and Germany’s expected to hit the break-even point at some point in 2024,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Nevertheless, “Whitbread looks to be well on track to meet forecasted operating profit growth of nearly 25% in the current financial year, but going forward, the comparatives will be a lot tougher,” added Nathan.

Meanwhile, in Germany, total accommodation sales soared by an impressive 61% compared to FY23, aligning with Whitbread’s guidance of a pre-tax loss between £30 million and £40 million for FY24.

“Our teams have delivered another strong set of results,” said Dominic Paul, Chief Executive of Whitbread. “In the UK, we continued to see robust demand for our hotels, driving high levels of occupancy and strong pricing. Our focus on delivering a high-quality proposition at a great price has meant that Premier Inn UK has continued to outperform the M&E market. In Germany, we performed well in what is an important trading period with a large number of leisure and business events; we remain on course to break even on a run-rate basis during the calendar year 2024.”

“We continue to execute against our strategic priorities at pace, and given the structural shift in UK hotel supply, positive current trading, a clear commercial plan, and our ongoing focus on driving cost efficiencies, we remain confident in the outlook,” Paul added.

Looking ahead, “cost growth guidance of between 3 and 4% for next year doesn’t provide too much cause for concern and should allow some flexibility in pricing. A slowing economy may present some challenges,” said Derren Nathan.

“But Whitbread is a best-in-class operator with the financial strength to take advantage of growth opportunities while supporting dividend payments and the current share buyback plan,” he added.