Chemring shares take off as order book surges

Chemring shares jumped on Tuesday after the defensive and aerospace company’s order book swelled. The Group benefited from increased defence spending in reaction to European geopolitical events.

Chemring’s order intake rose 81% to £338.2m with solid demand for Countermeasures & Energetics and Sensors & Information.

The Group’s cybersecurity business Roke enjoyed a 44% increase in revenue to £78m, and order intake up 41% to £82m.

Revenue fell in the first half due to contract delays, but the company is set for a solid second half.

Michael Ord, Chemring Group Chief Executive, commented:

“It has been a period of heightened activity across the Group as we adapt to changing customer spending priorities. In response to increased global uncertainty and competition, demand for both technology-driven solutions and a resurgent demand for traditional defence capabilities, has resulted in record H1 order intake and an order book at its highest level for over a decade.”

Chemrings shares were over 8% higher at the time of writing.

“While profits fell in its latest half-year results due to contract delays, investors seem to like the fact that Chemring is one of many companies experiencing stronger prospects thanks to the Russia-Ukraine war encouraging governments around the world to spend more on defence,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“It is also worth noting that Chemring’s cybersecurity arm Roke continues to see fast revenue growth as companies and governments boost their digital defences.”

AIM Movers: Barkby’s sleep success and FireAngel Safety Technologies new boss

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Barkby (LON: BARK) investee company Cambridge Sleep Sciences has granted a five-year licence to Sleep Sense International, which will use the SleepEngine platform to manufacture a Smart Pillow. SleepEngine is an audio product that retrains the brain to restore healthy sleep patterns. The exclusive rights to the pillow market is based on a minimum order quantity of 25,000 units in the first 12 months, which should generate £1.25m. Revenues could reach £3m in the second year. The Barkby share price jumped 74.2% to 5.75p.

Croma Security Solutions (LON: CSSG) is selling its Vigilant manned guarding business to M&W Security for £6.5m plus inter-company balances of £1.07m. After an initial payment, this will be paid in quarterly instalments. The focus will be on higher margin security systems and locks, which are trading ahead of expectations. There are consolidation opportunities in these areas. The share price increased 11.6% to 53p.

Smart sensing software developer Oxford Metrics (LON: OMG) grew interim revenues by 70% to £21.3m with entertainment revenues jumping by 178%. The interim pre-tax profit was £4.1m, up from £300,000. There is £63.6m of cash in the bank available to make acquisitions. Management says that valuations are becoming more realistic. The share price moved ahead by 10.8% to 108p.

Tertiary Minerals (LON: TYM) has received geophysical exploration data for the Konkola West copper exploration project in Zambia. The data has been shared by KoBold at no cost to Tertiary Minerals. The share price rose 4.65% to 0.1125p.

FireAngel Safety Technologies (LON: FA.) is raising more cash and a new management team has been appointed. Former Universe Group boss Neil Radley is becoming chief executive. The open offer could raise up to £6.1m at 5.05p each Ningbo Siterwell Electronic will subscribe for £2.8m of the shares, although these could be clawed back by existing shareholders. The share price fell 29.6% to 4.75p. Full year revenues were one-third higher at £57.5m, but the underlying loss increased from £3.5m to £5m. Net debt was £5.3m at the end of 2022. A further loss is expected this year.

Investment company APQ Global Ltd (LON: APQ) has reported a slump in its book value from $30.8m to $7.23m at the end of 2022. Foreign exchange movements and weak stockmarkets hit the valuation. The share price slumped 27.3% to 4p.

Gfinity (LON: GFIN) has sold a 72.5% stake in Athlos to Tourbillon for £1 and it is closing its esports division. The digital media company retains a 27.5% stake. Athlos lost £500,000 last year and it also capitalised £700,000 of capitalised development spending. Gfinity has cut its monthly cost base to £185,000. Cash has fallen to £400,000.  The share price dived 24.8% to 0.1075p.

There were no significant surprises in the N Brown Group (LON: BWNG) full year results. In the year to February 2023, revenues fell from £716m to £678m, while earnings slumped from 7.4p a share to 1.4p a share. That is before write-downs and the litigation settlement with Allianz. Retail and financial services revenues were both lower, although gross margins improved helped by lower promotional activity. A further decline in revenues is expected, but profit could start to recover. The share price declined 13.8% to 23.7p.

OPEC+ oil price gains reverse on US recession worries

Fears of a US recession have led to the reversal of oil prices after yesterday’s gains on the back of the OPEC+ production cut.

The front-month July Brent Oil futures contract was trading at $75.73 at the time of writing, lower than the close on Friday.

Analysts attributed the losses to concerns about the health of the US recession later in the year.

“As the world’s largest economy shows more signs of heading for a contraction, with growth in the mighty services sector slowing more quickly than expected last month, worries are rising about the knock-on effect around the world,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown

“It’s helped erase crude oil gains, with the effects of Saudi Arabia’s production cut drowned out in the noise about slowing demand.  With oil prices ticking back down after Monday’s jump, it will bring relief to millions of Americans who have their eyes trained firmly on the fuel gauge as driving season gets underway and they fill up and head across the vast country for vacations.”

Oil prices help lift FTSE 100

The FTSE 100 started the week with a spring in its step after OPEC+ cut production and sent oil prices higher.

The FTSE 100 was 0.47% higher at the time of writing and built on gains at the end of last week.

As expected, OPEC+ cut production over the weekend in an effort to support oil prices. The cartel will cut production by a reported 1.4m barrels of oil per day.

“Saudi Arabia’s pledge to cut output suggests it wants to see an oil price above $80 per barrel and that it is concerned about the demand implications of a global economic downturn. The FTSE 100 was up 0.5% in early trading, extending the gains seen on Friday after the non-farm payrolls data from the US,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

With the move to cut production largely signposted, the gains in oil were contained.

Oil prices started the European session considerably higher before falling back. Although OPEC’s decision will bring supply out of the market, there are ongoing concerns global demand could decline towards the end of the year.

FTSE 100 movers

BP and Shell added a material number of points to the FTSE 100 as investors reacted to OPEC+ cuts. Both oil majors are off the highest levels of 2023 after tracking underlying energy prices lower. Investors in oil majors will welcome the OPEC+ decision to cut production.

Vodafone was over 3% higher as the beaten-down telecom stock picked up from the worst levels for some years.

Abrdn was the FTSE 100s top gainer as the investment manager kicked off a share repurchase programme.

Miners were weaker after a storming session on Friday.

AIM movers: Tristel gets US FDA approval and DeepVerge still seeking cash

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Disinfection products supplier Tristel (LON: TSTL) has received FDA clearance for Tristel ULT, which is used for endocavity ultrasound probes and skin surface transducers. This has been a long time coming, but it is highly significant for the business. There are 47 million scans in the US that could use Tristel ULT. Tristel is partnered with Parket in the US, and it receives 24% of net sales. The share price jumped 14.5% to 415p.  

Fire safety products developer LifeSafe Holdings (LON: LIFS) continues to outperform revenue expectations. In the first four months sales are treble the same time last year and 15% ahead of management estimates. The 5 in 1 consumer extinguisher product has helped to accelerate growth in the US. LifeSafe could be cash flow positive by the end of the year. The share price improved 13% to 39p, which is still lower than the original placing price of 75p back in July 2022.

Diaceutics (LON: DXRX) has won a new multi-year contract worth $10m. This is for providing subscription data services using the company’s DXRX database platform. The client is a US pharma company that will use the data to accelerate development of cancer treatments. The share moved ahead by 12.45 to 90.5p.

Kidney transplant diagnostics firm Verici Dx (LON: VRCI) results were in line with expectations and it had cash of $9.8m at the end of 2022. That cash should last until the middle of 2024. The company has launched its first product, Tutiva. A list price of $2,650 has been proposed for the test and this could be confirmed in November. The pricing will last for three years to the end of 2026. The effective price may be nearer to $1,500/test. The share price increased 9.52% to 11.5p.

The Itsarm (LON: ITS) share price has slumped by 25.3% to 0.31p, having been as low as 0.23p, after management decided that it will plan to place the company in compulsory liquidation. The board failed to gain the 75% approval for the cancellation of the AIM quotation at a general meeting.

Environmental technology developer DeepVerge (LON: DVRG) has stopped funding the development of Labskin and other businesses. Out-licensing of technologies that these businesses have developed is a possibility. Additional funds are required and that could come from a share issue or selling parts of the group. DeepVerge has won a water treatment contract in Ireland that will be worth £2.3m over four years. It is uncertain whether the 2022 accounts will be published by the end of June. The share price dived a further 19.1% to a new low of 0.425p.

A trading update by broadband provider Bigblu Broadband (LON: BBB) says interim revenues should be flat at around £14.9m. Like-for-like growth was 3.1%. Growth in Australia has been affected by cut price deals from Starlink. The company’s SkyMesh subsidiary has launched new tariffs that should help to improve the second half performance. finnCap still expects an improvement in full year pre-tax profit from £2.9m to £4.1m. The share price fell 10.4% to 43p.

THG – investors urged to reject AGM proposals

Private investors appear to be increasingly unsettled about the way that Matt Moulding, boss of THG (LON:THG), comments to the press.
And it may well be a subject of several questions at the forthcoming AGM for the online retail group.
Moulding has not hidden his views about his experience with the City and investors, both private and professional, regularly being reported in his sniping comments.
It appears that he considers it to be full of sharp-suited gangsters waiting to rip everyone off.
Of course, he may well be right.
Glass Lewis recommend rejections
Shareholder advisory firm Glass Lew...

FTSE 100 stocks most exposed to Chinese stimulus

Reports that Chinese authorities were considering measures to help stimulate their domestic property market lifted global risk sentiment last week.

After a dismal week’s performance, London’s leading index finished the week on a high, with China-exposed stocks among the top gainers.

Should China unleash a wave of support for its property market, these stocks will likely be the biggest FTSE 100 winners and provide shareholders with outperformance compared to the benchmark.

The FTSE 100 is heavily exposed to China, and not holding these stocks in a UK equity portfolio could mean the index leaves you in the dust.

Miners

Support for the Chinese property market will likely increase demand for natural resources. The FTSE 100’s mining companies will directly benefit from any subsequent rise in commodity prices.

Companies such as Rio Tinto, Anglo American, Glencore and Antofagasta supply a significant part of the world’s iron ore and copper – crucial materials for construction.

The sector is trading near the lowest levels of the year and is primed for a recovery should Chinese stimulus be delivered.

Prudential

After the divestment of M&G Investments, Prudential is almost entirely focused on Asia and China. Hong Kong accounted for most of Prudential’s income in 2022, and the company is targeting mainland China as a core area of growth in the future.

The company also has operations in Singapore, Malaysia and a number of growth markets in the region.

Prudential shares rallied over 5% last week when reports of possible Chinese stimulus first broke.

Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered also earns a significant proportion of its revenue in Hong Kong. Of their $16,255m income earned in 2022, $11,213m was earned in Asia. Hong Kong and Singapore were the largest contributors.

Standard Chartered recently received approval for a new securities business in mainland China that a stronger Chinese economy will support.

BP & Shell

Although the two companies are not as directly exposed to China as other companies covered in this article, BP & Shell will enjoy the benefits of Chinese stimulus. A more robust Chinese economy will help support oil prices and the oil major’s earnings.

SEED Innovations at an all-time low as portfolio updates fail to impress

SEED Innovations are trading near all-time lows after a string of uninspiring updates by portfolio companies eroded the value of the company.

SEED Innovations shares were trading at 1.71p at the time of writing. The stock is down 34% in 2023 and 89% over the past five years.

SEED Innovations was previously known as FastForward Innovations before changing its name in 2021.

The cannabis-focused company has released a number of updates on portfolio companies in recent weeks, none of which have sparked a sustainable bid in the stock.

SEED shares were little moved last week despite portfolio company Little Green Pharma’s revenue jumping 89% to A$19.9m. SEED Innovation holds a 2.45% stake in Little Green Pharma.

Another portfolio company, AQUIS-listed Yooma Wellness had its shares suspended recently after failing to make annual filings.

Ed McDermott, SEED’s CEO, commented at the time:

“It is disappointing to see Yooma’s shares suspended from trading on the CSE and Aquis today. Whilst Yooma expects to make its Annual Filings as described above, this follows the widely reported very poor operational performance in recent months.”

SEED recorded a 1.18x return on investment in South West Brands as the brand agreed on a sale to OTO International Ltd. SEED invested £500,000 and made a £90,000 profit.

Oil prices jump after OPEC+ production cut

Oil prices rose on Monday after OPEC+ announced a production cut designed to help prop up prices.

OPEC+ countries supply around 40% of the world’s oil and will cut daily production by 1.4m barrels of oil per day.

Brent and WTI surged in early trade on Monday, but the rally faded as the session developed. Brent was 1.6% higher at $77.36 at the time of writing.

OPEC+ producing countries are at odds with most of the West, who would like to see oil prices fall further to control inflation.

OPEC+ countries rely heavily on oil income, and falling prices may adversely affect their domestic economies. Saudi Arabia, for example, has committed to multi-billion dollar spending and investment plans that rely on higher oil prices.

Saudi Arabia pushed ahead with 1 million barrels of oil production cuts themselves.

“Brent crude is trading higher, just above $77 a barrel, but has lost a little bit of steam, after initially jumping on the news of Saudi Arabia’s production cut, which is designed to keep cash rolling into the kingdom,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The decision by Riyadh to reduce production by a million barrels a day in July, and the pledge from other OPEC+ members to lower targets again next year was aimed at shoring up the oil price to breakeven levels. Oil prices are trapped in conflicting tides between production cuts on one hand, and concerns about demand as China’s recovery slows, while a recession in the US looms. So, for now, this production cut is unlikely to show up in a dramatic way at the pumps.

“However, depending on the trajectory of the world’s largest economies, and if Saudi Arabia cuts again, supply shortages could emerge later this year, which could push prices higher but still way off the excruciating levels of last summer.”

AIM reversal: Modular prospects for Eco Buildings

Eco Buildings has reversed into Fox Marble Holdings in an all-share deal that valued the acquired business at £30m and the combined company will change its name to Eco Buildings Group. Both companies are based in the Balkans. The cash raised in the placing will finance investment in the company’s facility ahead of starting to supply two large orders.
There is a significant opportunity in the modular buildings sector and Eco Buildings has its own IP, which makes the modules lighter and cheaper. Eco Buildings could potentially be an international business.
There was a 51-for-one share consolidat...