AIM movers: High grades for Rockfire Resources and Pan African Resources reduces gold production guidance

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Gold and base metals explorer Rockfire Resources (LON: ROCK) has announced the highest zinc grades ever encountered at the Molaoi deposit in Greece. In one case there was 50.8% zinc from a drill hole. This could help to increase the overall grade. The drilling has confirmed the continuity of mineralisation throughout the deposit. The share price jumped 20.9% to 0.26p.

Quantum Blockchain Technologies (LON: QBT) has appointed Vladimir Kusznirczuk as marketing and business development manager. His job is to develop partnerships and joint ventures with Bitcoin mining businesses in North America. He has been issued one million warrants exercisable at 5p each and one million warrants exercisable at 10p each.  The share price increased 17.5% to 1.85p.

Cleaner energy technology developer Quadrise (LON: QED) has completed the first phase of engine testing of bioMSAR fuel with biorefinery specialist Vertoro. Quadrise produced blends of bioMSAR including up to 40% of Vertoro’s crude sugar oil. When tested this fuel improved energy efficiency by 7% compared to normal diesel, reducing fuel consumption and emissions. Nitrogen oxides were reduced by up to 16% and carbon monoxide by more than 50%. Further trials are planned. The share price is 9% higher at 1.15p, having reached a new low the day before.

Hutchmed (China) Ltd (LON: HCM) along with Takeda has announced a new drug application for the use of Fruquintinib for treating previously treated metastatic colorectal cancer has been granted priority review by the FDA. It could become the only approved treatment inhibiting three vascular endothelial growth factor receptors for this cancer. The share price rose 4.74% to 215.25p.

Pan African Resources (LON: PAF) has lowered its gold output guidance – due to power availability problems and a slower production ramp up at Barberton Mines – to around 175,000 ounces. The 2022 production was 205,459 ounces. A rise in the gold price and positive currency movements have offset some of this production disappointment. The dividend will be maintained, while debt continues to be reduced. Even so, the share price slumped 21.1% to 13.32p.

At its AGM, digital media marketing company XLMedia (LON: XLM) admits that first half revenues will be lower this year, but it maintains its full year expectations. Last year, was boosted by the launch of online sports betting in New York, but there is also a lower level of spending this year by gaming companies. There are positive long-term prospects as more US states legalise online sports betting. The share price slipped 15.6% to 9.5p.

Tern (LON: TERN) investee company InVMA, trading as Konektio, has secured a £2.5m fundraising in two tranches. Tern has invested £100,000 of the first tranche of £1.2m. The Tern shareholding is reduced from 39.9% to 28%, while the value of the stake has fallen from £1m to £900,000 – including the latest investment. Tern has invested £2.3m in the company with at least £280,000 expected to be invested in the second tranche. If it does not make that minimum investment, then three-quarters of its stake will effectively be given up. The Tern share price fell 8.54% to 3.75p.

Tekcapital shares undervalued compared to NAV after year of progress for portfolio companies

Tekcapital has released final results for the year ending 31st December 2022 and provided a summary of progress for their portfolio companies during the period.

Tekcapital is an investment company holding both listed and private companies. Portfolio companies include MicroSalt, Innovative Eyewear, Belluscura, and Guident.

During the period, Tekcapital’s portfolio NAV eased to 31p compared to a current share price of 13p.

Tekcapital portfolio companies

Over the past year, Tekcapital portfolio companies recorded material commercial progress. MicroSalt is now stocked in thousands of US stores, and Innovative Eyewear launched the world’s first ChatGPT-enabled.

Guident will soon roll out its remote monitoring and control (RMCC) for the Jacksonville Transportation Authority and is undergoing testing of its regenerative shock absorbers.

MicroSalt has signed several distribution agreements with major US outlets, including Kroger and is now stocked in thousands of US stores. MicroSalt appointed Zeus Capital as an advisor for their AIM IPO at the end of 2022, and Tekcapital is unable to provide specific financials for the privately held company before the IPO. This will be included in MicroSalt’s prospectus.

“The Group has made good progress during 2022. Our portfolio companies have demonstrated solid growth and we believe they should achieve additional significant milestones by the end of 2023,’ said Dr Clifford Gross

“Of note, Lucyd’s Innovative Eyewear Inc. subsidiary completed its flotation on the NASDAQ and raised US$7.3m in gross proceeds, in spite of a choppy year in the capital markets. Guident secured its first customer, the Jacksonville Transportation Authority for its remote monitoring and control (RMCC) service and has signed a letter of intent with its second customer, the Boca Raton Innovation Campus, to provide remote monitoring for its campus shuttle.

‘Additionally, Guident has made significant progress improving and fabricating its latest regenerative shock absorbers and has begun testing them with several Tier-1 companies.

“We are also pleased to highlight MicroSalt’s strong progress ending the year by growing its revenues, signing up additional customers and launching its low sodium saltshakers to an increasing number of supermarkets and engaging its advisory team for a prospective AIM IPO during 2023.”

Dr Gross continues to explain the macroeconomic picture’s impact on their portfolio’s value. Tekcapital’s listed portfolio companies are by their nature driven by general sentiment and softer economic conditions are evident in their share prices.

“Our financial results were negatively impacted by the reduction in the observable, closing share prices of both innovative Eyewear and Belluscura at the end of the period, which we believe were in large measure the result of exogenous macro-economic and capital market factors. These were partially offset by the approximate doubling of the share value of MicroSalt,” Gross said.

“We remain steadfast and excited about the commercial progress of our portfolio companies in 2022 and for their future prospects for the remainder of 2023. As per our mission and investment objective, we believe that all of our key portfolio companies have the potential to make a positive impact on the lives of the customers they serve as well as produce meaningful returns on invested capital for our shareholders over the mid to long term.” 

Tekcapital valuation

Tekcapital’s revised NAV highlights the deep value in the current Tekcapital share price. Tekcapital’s NAV per share was adjusted to $0.38 (31p) per share as of the end of 2022.

Tekcapital’s share price was 13p on Friday.

The opportunity for a near-term re-rate of MicroSalt’s NAV after the IPO could dramatically alter the NAV to the upside and make shares look even cheaper.

The Tekcapital team is optimistic about their portfolio’s underlying growth prospects, which could also see NAV revised higher in the coming periods.

“We believe we will see significant growth of our portfolio companies in 2023,” said CEO Dr Clifford Gross.

FTSE 100 continues decline as debt ceiling fears rise

The FTSE 100 fell on Thursday as debt ceiling fears stepped up ahead of the crunch date at the beginning of June.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.7% at the time of writing on Thursday.

“The FTSE 100 continued to lose ground on Thursday as the US debt ceiling crisis remained unresolved with the beginning of June deadline rapidly approaching,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Asian markets hit two-month lows as investors looked for safe-haven assets in an attempt to build some insurance into their portfolios. This is aimed at protecting against the still unlikely risk that the US defaults on its debt.”

Washington regularly goes through political wrangling ahead of debt ceiling limits, and investors have become desensitised to the ramifications of shutting down key US government departments.

Nonetheless, traders took the opportunity to take cash off the table and await a resolution.

FTSE 100 movers

Centrica was one of few FTSE 100’s gainers after the UK government announced the energy price cap would be reduced in July. The move would make the domestic energy market more competitive and potentially help Centrica win new customers.

Coca-Cola HBC was the FTSE 100’s top faller despite raising revenue guidance and maintaining earnings forecasts. Coca-Cola HBC was down 5% at the time of writing.

BP and Shell were major drags on the index as oil prices fell on concerns about demand. Shell and BP were down 2.2% and 2.4%, respectively.

Add some rock & roll to your portfolio with Baillie Gifford’s Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust

Baillie Gifford’s Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust (LON:EWI) will add some rock & roll to your portfolio.

We’re not talking about electric guitars and biting off bat’s heads, but instead investing in naturally volatile young companies with the potential to shape the future. This is a long-term strategy; investors should be prepared to buckle up and ride out sharp swings.

Meeting with Baillie Gifford at their Edinburgh office last week, the Edinburgh Worldwide team described the trust as a ‘rock & roll’ strategy due to the composition of the portfolio.

The managers of this fund have picked some of the best winners of the last decade. However, the portfolio is highly volatile, and trust managers are prepared to ride out significant drawdowns in their holdings.

There is the acceptance that companies take time to create the impact on the world the Baillie Gifford team foresee. 

The Edinburgh Worldwide Investment Trust has an investment time horizon of around 10 years. Over this period, they target at least 100% gains in a stock as a base case. Many have risen well in excess of this. 

Manager Douglas Brodie explained how the trust first bought Tesla when the EV maker was worth $2 billion. They sold when it was worth £1 trillion. During this period, the stock fell as much as 47% before rebounding. The Edinburgh Worldwide team exited with a 25x total return. Tesla was held for more than 10 years.

The trust held STAAR Surgical through a 64% drawdown which turned into a 7x return.

Seeking sales growth

Edinburgh Worldwide targets companies that have the opportunity for rapid sales growth. The management identifies companies that can achieve substantial sales growth through their ability to shape the future, solve problems, and provide better and cheap solutions.

This approach has helped the strategy achieve sales growth over the past 5 years exceeding that of the S&P Global Small Cap benchmark.

Baillie Gifford’s test track

Edinburgh Worldwide’s strategy allows the portfolio to include companies which don’t meet the criteria of Baillie Gifford’s other strategies due to their size.

When we sat down with Baillie Gifford, they explained how the trust acted like a test track for young growth companies. Should earlier-stage companies succeed in the Edinburgh Worldwide portfolio, they may satisfy the requirements of other Baillie Gifford mandates.

Portfolio

Edinburgh Worldwide’s portfolio is a blend of both private and public equities. The nature of their strategy is perfectly demonstrated in the top holding, Space Exploration Technologies, or SpaceEx. Founded by Elon Musk, this is a privately held company with the aim of colonising Mars.

“It’s rare that you come across companies for which you can genuinely say ‘this might be a generation-defining company’, and with SpaceX everything points to that,” Douglas Brodie said.

Other top holdings include Alnylam Pharmaceuticals – a great example of a company finding its way into other Baillie Gifford strategies after initially being added to Edinburgh Worldwide.

Ocado accounted for 2.8% of the trust as of 30/4/23. Brodie explained this is a long-term holding that has produced excellent returns but faded to near original entry.

Brodie still believes in the company’s ability to become a major part of the global food distribution supply chain and highlights 50% of the economy is consumption, and 50% of consumption is food.

A rare opportunity alongside the majors with Challenger Energy Group

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to be joined by Challenger Energy Group CEO Eytan Uliel and Uruguay Managing Director Randy Hiscock.

Eytan and Randy provide a comprehensive overview of the recent developments at Challenger Energy Group. The focus is on their Uruguay asset which could yield as much as 1-2 billion barrels of oil. This would make the project a world-class asset.

Our discussion starts with a technical overview of the Uruguay asset and we move on to what investors can expect over the 12 months.

Eytan describes how the Uruguay asset is a unique prospect as it sits alongside fields operated by oil majors and Challenger Energy is the only junior operating in close proximity.

Find out more about Challenger Energy Group here.

Fevertree sales build momentum

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Fevertree Drinks (LON: FEVR) have trimmed rrofit forecasts, although Fevertree has reiterated its guidance of revenues between £390m and £405m.

The AIM-quoted mixer drinks supplier has improved UK sales marginally, but that is on the back of a 5% price rise, so volumes have fallen. The share is still higher than in the first quarter of 2020, though. Cost inflation remains a problem.

US revenues and volumes grew in both the on-trade and off-trade. Europe and the rest of the world are growing, although Australia will have a tougher first half because of the change in distribution partner.

EBITDA guidance is maintained at between £36m and £42m, but the forecasts are moving towards the lower end of the range.  

The full year pre-tax profit forecast has been cut from £28m to £26.8m, down from £31m last year, which would mean that profit has more than halved over two years. The dividend forecast is still 16.9p a share, which is only just covered by forecast earnings.

The share price has slipped 1% to 1419.5p, but it is still nearly two-fifths higher than at the beginning of the year. The prospective 2023 multiple is 82, but that would fall below 50 for 2024 if the current forecasts are achieved.

AIM movers: Mercantile Ports contract and ex-dividends

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Mercantile Ports and Logistics Ltd (LON: MPL) has signed a five-year contract with Lucky Marine Shipping & Logistics to handle containers at the facility at Karanja in India. Volumes will build up over two years. Additional contracts are set to be signed for the facility. The share price improved 17.4% to 4.6p, but it is still 46% lower so far this year.

Analytics company Actual Experience (LON: ACT) has revealed that a previously announced contract is an extension of one with DEFRA in partnership with Vodafone. The client is transferring to the company’s new Digital Workplace Management Platform. The share price rose 9.09% to 0.9p.

Phoenix Copper (LON: PXC) had $4.7m in cash at the end of 2022. A feasibility study is being finalised for the Empire copper project in Idaho and there are plans for an $80m corporate bond, which would be listed on the International Stock Exchange in the Channel Islands, to fund the project. The interest rate would be linked to the copper price. Optimism about the completion of the funding has pushed up the share price by 9.09% from its all-time low to 24p.

Metallurgical test work shows lithium recovery of more than 95% from flotation concentrates from the Cinovec lithium/tin project, which is owned by 49% owned by European Metal Holdings (LON: EMH). CEZ owns the other 51% of the Czech-based project. An updated feasibility study is on course. The share price is 7.94% higher at 34p.

Premier African Minerals (LON: PREM) says that the first spodumene shipments from the Zulu lithium and tantalum project should be in June. However, there was a commitment to supply Canmax Technologies by the end of May, which means that the contract could be cancelled. Further funding may be required. Final optimisation of the plant should be in the fourth quarter and that could increase production by 25%. At present prices and production levels the mine should be profitable. The share price slumped 23.9% to 0.59p.

RA International (LON: RAI) 2022 results were in line with expectations with a 15% increase in revenues for the humanitarian services provider and a slump into loss. Canaccord Genuity has downgraded expectations for 2023, increasing the expected loss to $5.6m and it does not expect a return to profit in 2024. The order backlog was worth $79m at the end of March. The share price fell 17.5% to 13p.

Destiny Pharma (LON: DEST) chief executive Neil Clark has stepped down after six years and replaced on an interim basis by Dr Debra Barker, who was previously a non-executive director and has experience with multinational pharma companies.

Pathfinder Minerals (LON: PFP) reported 2022 results, which are for a period before the disposal of the main subsidiary. The share price slipped 9.52% to 0.475p.

Ex-dividends

Anexo (LON: ANX) is paying a final dividend of 1.5p a share and the share price is 0.3p higher at 78.5p.

Andrews Sykes (LON: ASY) is paying a final dividend of 14p a share and the share price declined 10p to 537.5p.

Ashtead Technology (LON: AT.) is paying a final dividend of 1p a share and the share price is down 3.5p to 376.5p.

Burford Capital (LON: BUR) is paying a final dividend of 5.03p a share and the share price fell 6.5p to 1053.5p.

Cenkos (LON: CNKS) is paying a final dividend of 0.5p a share and the share price is unchanged at 35p.

Empresaria (LON: EMR) is paying a final dividend of 1.4p a share and the share price fell 1.5p to 51.5p.

i3 Energy (LON: I3E) paying a dividend of 0.17p a share and the share price slipped 0.25p to 18.45p.

Lords Group Trading (LON: LORD) is paying a final dividend of 1.33p a share and the share price is unchanged at 68.5p.

Mincon Group (LON: MCON) is paying a final dividend of 1.05 eurocents a share and the share price is unchanged at 90.75p.

United Utilities hit by inflation and lower consumption

United Utilities’ key measures of revenue and operating profit fell in the 2023FY after lower consumption hit the top line and rising prices eroded operating profit.

United Utilities’ recorded an operating profit of £441m in the year to 31st March, down from £610m in the same period a year ago. The company blamed falling profits on the rising price of electricity and chemicals.

Despite the dismal performance in the full year, United Utilities shares were around 1% higher at the time of writing on Thursday. The stock has sold off into the release of the results suggesting the poor performance was expected by investors.

“United Utilities appear to have a leak in their profit pipeline as we saw operating profits take a tumble. In return for providing a reliable and affordable water supply to North West England, the regulator allows the group to earn an acceptable return. The only issue is, high levels of inflation are really taking their toll on costs. Coupled with lower revenues as customers are actively being encouraged to save water, it’s no surprise to see profits dry up,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“But falling revenues should only be a temporary problem, since over the medium term the group’s able to increase its prices alongside inflation. And if the amount of water it bills its customers for falls below a certain threshold, the regulator will pay United Utilities the difference. But these funds are only received two years later. So in the short term, we’re seeing cash flows and earnings that are feeling the impact of rising costs and declines in water usage.”

United Utilities increased its full-year dividend 4.6% to 45.51p.

Rolls Royce: tech titan of the FTSE 100?

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New standard listing: Admiral Acquisition

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