US private equity and global corporations are swooping in on undervalued London-listed companies and snapping up great organisations that the UK's domestic market hasn't appreciated. We highlight three companies that could be next.
Recent takeover targets Ten Entertainment, Hotel Chocolat, and Smart Metering Systems share two key attributes: an attractive valuation and a deep moat.
This article focuses on companies offering substantial value, measured by the Enterprise Value/EBITDA ratio, with a significant and expanding competitive advantage.
EV/EBITDA paints a clearer picture of what t...
Aquis weekly movers: Watchstone share price rises, but still less than 50% of NAV
Watchstone Group (LON: WTG) has £7m in cash, equivalent to 15p/share, and is awaiting the result of attempts to recover VAT payments. Claims and disputes between subsidiaries and Aviva Canada have been resolved and discontinued. The share price jumped 55.6% to 7p.
NHS medical procedures provider One Health Group (LON: OHGR) increased interim revenues by 13% to £11.1m, while underlying earnings improved by one-third to 5.15p/share. The interim dividend has been raised by 22% to 2.03p/share. Demand for the services remains strong and more capacity is being added, including new surgical hubs. The share price is 17.1% higher at 205p.
Marula Mining (LON: MARU) is targeting an annual dividend of between 30% and 50% of free cash flow each year. Net cash would have to be £10m after the dividend payment. Phase 1 and 2 drilling has been completed at Blesberg lithium and tantalum project. Further work on mine design and planning will start early in 2024. Martin Westerman has been appointed as chief operating officer. The share price increased 16.7% to 13.125p.
Mark Horrocks has increased his stake in Lift Global Ventures (LON: LFT) from 14.99% to 17.6%. The share price rose 16.3% to 0.25p.
Arbuthnot Banking Group (LON: ARBB) chairman and chief executive bought 69,941 shares at 975p each. That compares with a share price of 700p, up 6.87%.
Tony Wilson has increased his stake in Oscillate (LON: MUSH) to more than 3%, while Steven Bennett has taken his stake to 4.75%. Chris Akers’ shareholding has fallen from 15.6% to 5.9%. Non-exec Stephen Winfield bought an initial one million shares at 0.5p each. The share price improved 5% to 0.525p. Investee company Psych Capital has acquired Short Wave Pharma, which dilutes Oscillate’s stake to 12.75%.
Guanajuato Silver (LON: GSVR) shares slumped when it announced that it is withdrawing from the Aquis Stock Exchange at the end of 2023. Last week, the share price recovered 3.13% to 16.5p after the company secured a $7.5m gold loan credit facility with Ocean Partners. There will be $4.6m used to pay off a previous loan facility.
Retail carbon trading technology company Ora Technology (LON: ORA) has launched the beta version of Ora Carbon, which is an app that enables investors to become involved in the carbon credit market. The entry point is £1. The share price edged up 1.16% to 10.875p.
FALLERS
Substrate AI (LON: SAI.B) A shares are being admitted to the Access segment of the Aquis Growth Market. The share price slumped 40.3% to 18.5p.
Gunsynd (LON: GUN) announced a fundraising yesterday evening. The investment company raised £210,000 at 0.2p/share. This will provide additional cash for investments and fund the running of the company. The share price fell 18.4% to 0.2p.
Bob Sutcliffe acquired 400,000 DXS International (LON: DXSP) shares at 2.5p each and chief executive David Immelman is deemed to own 40,000 of these shares, taking his stake to 10.25%. After transferring some of the shares to his daughters, Bob Sutcliffe holds 1.3%. The share price slipped 18.2% to 2.25p.
Ormonde Mining (LON: ORM) investee company TRU Precious Metals has confirmed that there is extensive gold mineralisation in the Ryan’s Harmer gold prospect, while sampling of the Mark’s Pond target shows high-grade copper results. The share price is 8.33% lower at 0.275p.
Wishbone Gold (LON: WSBN) says results from the Red Setter project in the Paterson Range in Western Australia confirm a significant gold system with mineralised strike over 3km. The share price declined 5.56% to 1.7p.
SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) improved interim revenues from £75,000 to £136,000, while the pre-tax loss edged down from £965,000 to £870,000. The share price dipped 3.7% to 26p.
Oil rises on Russia’s and Saudi Arabia’s call for production cuts
Both WTI and Brent jumped again on Friday as Saudi Arabia and Russia continued to call for more OPEC+ countries to curb their production in 2024.
Despite OPEC+ also coming to a consensus on fossil fuel production cuts, Saudi Arabia and Russia are also implementing their own domestic production cuts.
Saudi Arabia in particular has confirmed its commitment to maintaining an extra voluntary reduction of 1 million barrels per day (bpd).
This will result in a predicted production level of approximately 9 million bpd for December, according to the statement from the Ministry of Energy.
“This additional voluntary cut comes to reinforce the precautionary efforts made by OPEC+ countries with the aim of supporting the stability and balance of oil markets,” a source told Reuters on Wednesday.
At the time of writing on Friday, WTI crude was up 2.22%, while Brent crude was up 2.24%.
“The oil market has been dominated by predictions of weakening demand. Fears of a slowdown in global growth have been building as we approach year-end,” said David Morrison.
Oil has experienced a 26% decline from its peak in September. The market has been primarily influenced by forecasts of reduced demand, with concerns about a potential global growth slowdown intensifying as the end of the year approaches.
“While there’s plenty of evidence of slowing economic growth for China, the Eurozone (driven by Germany), Japan (an overnight downward revision of GDP), and the UK, the jury is still out when it comes to the US. After all, we’ve just seen an upward revision to the US’s Q3 GDP number to +5.2% from 4.9%. How could that possibly be turned around into a recession in 2024?” Morrison said.
Adding to that, “there were so many voices forecasting a US recession this year, and all were widely off the mark. Anyone calling for one next year can be accused of crying wolf. And yet, it could happen, and if it did, it would explain why the market is pricing in rate cuts of 125 basis points in 2024, despite the Fed warning not to get carried away.”
FTSE 100 gains after stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls, Anglo American crashes
The FTSE 100 gained on Friday after stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls painted a resilient picture of the US economy.
The US economy added 199,000 jobs in November, exceeding economist forecasts of 185,000. The unemployment rate came in at 3.7% compared to estimates of 3.9%.
The conundrum for markets is the jobs report doesn’t support the argument that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in early 2024, but at the same time, it doesn’t support further interest rate hikes.
The FTSE 100 was up 0.5% at the time of writing and will likely remain choppy for the rest of the session. US stocks whipsawed and promised volatility going into the weekend as investors assessed the implications for central bank meetings next week.
The jobs report will influence the Federal Reserve’s thinking on rates and may dictate a more hawkish tone than equity bulls would like.
Anglo American
Anglo American was the FTSE 100’s top faller after the miner said it planned to cut production in the coming years to conserve cash. Mining investors never want to hear about production cuts, and Anglo shares sank over 14% on Friday.
“Mining giant Anglo American is taking the secateurs to its costs, and it plans to reduce expenditure by another $500m next year. The huge increase in the existing plan comes as production from its extensive Copper, iron, platinum, and other commodities will be lower than previously thought,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.
“Miners are at the mercy of cyclical material costs, and the wheel has been turning against new CEO Duncan Wanblad – with issues compounded by operational headaches too.”
Despite the destruction of Anglo American shares on Friday, the losses were limited mainly to Anglo, with only minor losses in Rio Tinto. Indeed, copper miner Antofagasta was the FTSE 100’s top riser, and Glencore edged higher.
Housebuilder Berkeley Group was among the fallers as investors booked profits after the company released reasonably respectable half-year earnings.
Gold and silver consolidate after rollercoaster week
In the face of ongoing macroeconomic turbulence, both silver and gold have been rising as their safe-haven status continues to attract investors. Despite touching all-time highs this week, gold was slightly down on Friday. Silver was up 0.23%.
“What a week it’s been for gold and silver,” said David Morrison, Senior Market Analyst at FCA.
“As of this morning, we’ve seen a high-low move since Sunday night,” he added.
At the time of writing on Friday, gold was trading at $2,016 per ounce.
Despite an overall drop of 0.31% this week, gold reached all-time highs of $2,135 on Monday, before falling back.
Silver, in the meantime, was £18,88 per ounce at the time of writing on Friday. It has been gradually rising this week and has now reached slightly over 0.20%.
“The move in silver was more ambiguous as it broke below its own significant support of $24”, said David Morrison.
“This is in contrast to the relationship that existed previously, when it was silver’s surge through resistance that triggered the sharp rally in gold,” he added.
Demand for silver and gold has been high in December and October as ongoing macroeconomic pressures continue to make people feel unsafe when it comes to their finances.
Given ongoing macroeconomic turbulence, the gold and silver markets are likely to continue to gain.
“Gold appears to be helping the bullish cause, and if it can hold above $2,000 and rally, then it could be the one to lead silver higher. Time will tell, added David Morrison.
AIM movers: Landore delays Toronto listing and Artisanal Spirits sales disappoint
Magnetic resource imaging technology developer Polarean Imaging (LON: POLX) shares continue to rise on the back of yesterday’s news that it has received its first de novo order for a new XENOVIEW polariser for a US academic centre. Other medical centres are interested in acquiring the technology. Cash is expected to last until the third quarter of 2024. The share price improved a further 17.7% to 7.65p.
Powerhouse Energy (LON: PHE) has appointed Ben Scott Brier as its permanent finance director. He had been acting finance director since August 2022. The share price is 10% higher at 0.275p.
eEnergy Group (LON: EAAS) has signed a deal with Utility Data Intelligence, which will supply bureau services for an annual cost of £240,000. This broadens an existing relationship. Non-exec director Gary Worby is a 24% shareholder in Utility Data Intelligence, but that did not stop the share price rising 9.62% to 5.7p.
Crystal Amber Fund (LON: CRS) is launching a share buy back of up to £5m that will last until the end of January. The share price improved 5.65% to 65.5p. NAV was 98.3p/share at the end of October, although share prices of its quoted investments will have changed since then. There was £12.25m in the bank at the end of June 2023, which was after paying a 25p/share dividend in the same month.
FALLERS
Landore Resources (LON: LND) has postponed plans for a listing in Toronto, which would have raised nearly £3m in cash for working capital. Management is reducing costs, and it will try to raise money in the first quarter of 2024, as well as seeking other ways to fund the BAM gold project. The share price is off its low, but still 38% lower at 3.625p.
Sales have not increased as rapidly as hoped for The Artisanal Spirits Company (LON: ART) and they are expected to be around £23m this year, compared with the previous forecast of £25.2m. The forecast 2023 loss has been raised from £1.7m to £2.7m. A pre-tax profit is no longer expected in 2025. There is potential to improve margins and the value of the whisky cask stocks underpins most of the current market capitalisation, although net debt of £20.4m is forecast for the year end. The share price has recovered from its low for the day, but it is still down 16.5% to 48p.
Myanmar Investments (LON: MIL) shares continue to fall after it gained shareholder approval to cancel trading on AIM on 12 February. In 2019, the company took the decision to wind down its investment portfolio due to unfavourable conditions in Myanmar. Leaving AIM will save $115,000/year. The share price fell 11.8% to 3.175 cents. NAV was 23 cents/share at the end of March 2023.
Professional services provider Christie Group (LON: CTG) has been hit by delays completing transactions. The second half should still be better than the first. The forecast loss for 2023 has been increased to £1.5m, although there should be a return to profit next year. The share price has fallen 5.26% to 90p.
Anglo American shares slump on production cut plans
Global mining giant Anglo American shares were down almost 7% after releasing a statement on Friday that it plans to cut $500 million in spending by 2026.
This is set to result in a 4% drop in production in 2024.
Anglo American shares were down by 6.6% at the time of writing on Friday.
“Miners are at the mercy of cyclical material costs, and the wheel has been turning against new CEO Duncan Wanblad—with issues compounded by operational headaches too,” explained Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.
Amid persistent inflationary pressure and a roughly 30% decline in its share price over the past year, the company has declared its intention to take more extensive measures.
Anglo American has already announced plans to cut jobs in Johannesburg and London.
The pressures leading up to this decision by the current CEO come down to decreased demand for natural resources from Anglo’s mines and the subsequent market-wide turbulence.
Overall, “in the near term, given continuing elevated macro volatility, we are being deliberate in reducing our costs and prioritising our capital to drive more profitable production on a sustainable basis,” said Chief Executive Duncan Wanblad in a Friday statement.
Further, Anglo American announced plans to decrease production at its South African unit, Kumba Iron Ore, due to growing stockpiles of 9 million metric tonnes by September, exacerbated by rail bottlenecks.
The company is also implementing cost-cutting measures, emphasising higher-margin production for its platinum group metals (PGMs) operations in South Africa and placing two processing plants at its Los Bronces copper mine in Chile on care and maintenance.
Nonetheless, “Anglo’s overall position continues to be strengthened by its exposure to consumer products, meaning it’s partially protected from the worst of industrial slumps, but there is clearly work to be done to keep the ship in good order over the next twelve months,” said Sophie Lund-Yates.
Berkeley Group shares: investors book profits as house sales volumes fall
Berkeley Group shares dipped on Friday after the housebuilder said sales volumes had fallen in the six months to 31st October. Yet, the company produced higher profit before tax than in the same period a year ago.
The news encouraged investors to book profit in the FTSE 100 homebuilder after a 20% rally from October lows. Berkeley Group shares were down 2.1% to 4,836p at the time of writing.
Berkeley said the ‘market lacks urgency’ and their sales rates were around a third lower in the half year compared to the prior financial year. The cash due for forward sales declined to £1,964m as of 31st October from £2,136m 30th April 2023.
Despite falling sales volumes, Berkeley Group’s profit before tax rose 4.6% to £298m in the period. The company said it had achieved £10m in operating cost savings and was starting to see build cost inflation stabilise.
Rising profit for a housebuilder is a rarity in 2023 and it will put Berkeley Group in good stead when interest rates are eventually cut and mortgage rates ease.
“Berkeley Group is sitting on some solid foundations, allowing it to weather the cyclical nature of the housing market,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.
“High mortgage costs are causing a relative lack of urgency amongst potential buyers, and that’s seen Berkeley’s sales rates fall in the first half, in line with wider trends across the sector.”
“But with Berkeley, there’s scope to outperform its peers on this front in the new year. Domestic and international demand in the key London market is likely to remain more robust than in other areas of the country, and the housing supply shortage doesn’t look to be going anywhere soon. The tight supply of homes on the market and the group’s higher-end product, with higher average selling prices of around £624,000, are helping to offset lower sales volumes.”

