FTSE 100 rises and outperforms European stocks hit by Turkish uncertainty

ON MONDAY, the FTSE 100 was gaining and outperforming European indices with greater exposure to the Turkish economy.

“A weekend of sunshine appears to have put investors in a better mood, with the main UK market indices doing their best to start the new week on the front foot,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

The good start for UK stocks was an outlier compared to European stocks showing signs of stress due to Turkey’s elections.

A run-off in Turkish elections posed a fresh geopolitical risk to European equities and mainland European stocks suffered early Monday. There is little direct exposure to Turkey among London’s leading indices, and the FTSE 100 rose 0.2%, performing materially better than European indices.

The Turkish Lira sunk on the prospect Erdogan would be re-elected.

“The scattergun of political uncertainty is keeping the Turkish lira on a volatile path, as the country heads for a run-off in the Presidential race,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Erdogan has led highly controversial monetary policies aimed at increasing exports, rather than tackling painful inflation, and the prospect of Turkey’s ‘strongman’ winning another term has weakened the currency further. There are expectations of a rollercoaster ride in the days ahead, as sentiment waxes and wanes about the prospects for the opposition coalition, which has pledged to pull more conventional levers to restore financial stability.”

FTSE 100 movers

HSBC was among the FTSE 100’s top riser after delivering an upbeat assessment of their Asian business.

“All parts of HSBC Asia are now motoring. In mainland China, we are ideally positioned to facilitate business with the rest of the world; in South and Southeast Asia, we have invested heavily in Singapore, and we have significantly bolstered our growing business in India,” said HSBC Group Chief Executive Noel Quinn.

HSBC shares were 1.6% higher at the time of writing.

British American Tobacco shares were taking the surprise departure of their CEO in their stride with a 0.7% gain.

“It’s never a good look when a company says its chief executive is leaving with immediate effect, and after only four years in the job. This suggests something is not right in the business,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“The fact British American Tobacco has promoted its finance director to the CEO role provides some comfort that the new leader already knows the business inside out. However, it raises a lot of questions as to why the change has happened.

“Unlike many companies in this situation, we haven’t had any major clues for problems behind closed doors for British American Tobacco. There have been no profit warnings or activist investors calling for change. The only high-profile calls from shareholders have been a request by GQG Partners to move its stock listing from London to the US in the hope of getting a higher valuation.”

Cerillion goes from strength to strength

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Telecoms billing software provider Cerillion (LON:CER) is one of the most consistent companies on AIM and the share price reflects that. Since floating in March 2016, the share price has risen from a placing price of 76p to 1220p.

There were 29.5 million shares in issue when Cerillion joined AIM and roughly the same number now. So, unlike many companies Cerillion has not been issuing millions of shares to finance growth and this has helped the share price to rise. Admittedly, Cerillion was already a stable and profitable business when it joined AIM, but it has managed to grow organically.

In the six months to March 2023, revenues grew 27% to £20.5m and adjusted pre-tax profit was 46% higher at £9.2m. The interim dividend was raised by 27% to 3.3p a share, while net cash was £23.6m at the end of March 2023.

Margins improved because there were a greater proportion of software sales. Larger contracts are being won and more wins are expected in the second half. Annualised recurring revenues have reached £13.1m as customers take up managed services.

The order book is worth £43m and there is a strong pipeline of potential orders. Telecoms companies are digitising their operations and launching new products and business models. The important thing is to retain customers for longer by improving their engagement.

Full year revenues of £38.5m and pre-tax profit of £13.8m are forecast, but the first half performance suggests that could be beaten – particularly if new contracts are won early enough in the second half.                            

The share price has remained strong over the past 18 months when many other technology company share prices have slumped. The big difference is the cash generation and winning of large contracts. Net cash could be more than £30m by the end of September 2024.

Cerillion is trading on 32 times prospective 2022-23 earnings, falling to 28 next year. The shares always appear fully valued, but the track record means that they can justify this level.

Radisson RED expands across the UK

The upper upscale hotel brand Radisson RED, that presents a playful twist on the conventional, has expanded rapidly in the UK over the past years. The brand is present with bold properties at London’s airports, in lively Glasgow and in buzzing Liverpool, to mention a few. Recently, Radisson Hotel Group announced the signing of Radisson RED Huddersfield, set to open in 2025. The property will undergo an extensive restoration and refurbishment of the historic property The George Hotel, originally built in 1851.

Late last year, the first Radisson RED hotel in the North of England arrived in Liverpool. Located in a thoughtfully renovated Grade II-listed property that first opened as one of the original British railway hotels in the late 1800s, Radisson RED Liverpool blends history, legacy, and eclectic design. The hotel is also a culinary destination thanks to its modern barbecue and robata grill restaurant, Stoke. It offers classic dishes with a grilled twist paired with unrivalled views of the neoclassical architecture and acclaimed concert venue of St George’s Hall, as well as overlooking the city’s cultural district.

The first Radisson RED property to open in the UK was the award-winning Radisson RED Glasgow. The hotel combines urban style, modern comforts, and a love for the arts with a warm welcome. The hotel is adjacent to the Scottish Event Campus (SEC) as well as close to major local attractions such as Glasgow Science Centre and cultural highlights including Glasgow Royal Concert Hall. The hotel’s RED Sky Bar has won several awards and is ranked among the top 50 best bars in the world*. It is the perfect place for a drink, afternoon tea, DJ sets and snacks with a view.

At Heathrow Airport, Radisson RED London Heathrow opened in 2020, offering 258 bedrooms showcasing the bold and playful design of Radisson RED. The hotel features an executive lounge offering complimentary drinks and refreshments in a vibrant setting and the large conference and events space is flexible to suit a wide variety of group sizes and requirements. It has two multi-purpose conference centres and 41 meeting rooms, including 21 syndicate or breakout rooms. To kick-start or wrap up a long day of travelling or meetings, guests can visit the Pace Leisure Club, featuring a gym, swimming pool, sauna and steam room. 

New stunning Radisson RED property on its way

Radisson RED Huddersfield will take over a Grade II listed building, formerly The George Hotel, and will accommodate 91 spacious rooms, including 4 junior suites, which will feature Radisson RED’s signature cutting-edge design as well as references to the history, culture, and the people of Huddersfield, paying homage to the town. Famous for being the birthplace of Rugby League back in 1895, The George Hotel attracted guests from across the world to stay in the iconic landmark.

A full refurbishment will take place across all spaces of the property to restore and enhance the building’s grandeur, while incorporating the unique and distinctive feel of the Radisson RED brand. There will be meeting and events spaces suitable for business gatherings, conferences, and celebrations, located on the ground floor and basement level of the hotel, with a total size of more than 3,000 sq ft. Additionally, the hotel’s first floor is home to the meeting room in which representatives from rugby clubs held a meeting in August 1895 to set up the Rugby Football League.

Radisson RED Huddersfield will be situated in the heart of the town in St. George’s Square and, thanks to the proximity of the train station that is used by millions of passengers every year, provides excellent transport links to its two neighboring cities, Manchester, which can be accessed in 30 minutes by train, and Leeds, which can be accessed in just 20 minutes.

Adela Cristea, Vice President, Business Development UK & Ireland at Radisson Hotel Group, said: “We very much look forward to bringing our fun and vibrant Radisson RED brand to this location. We’re proud to be breathing new life into one of the town’s most iconic buildings.”

The Radisson RED brand launched in the UK five years ago and has been very well received in the market, proving popular with guests, clients, partners and employees. The brand continues its impressive expansion across the UK and the rest of the world. Radisson RED is a brand that incorporates art, music, and fashion into its service to offer an unforgettable stay to all guests.

*Study by Mandoemedia.com that ranked 200 of the world’s rooftop bars

John Wood Group shares sink as Apollo ends takeover pursuit

John Wood Group shares plummeted on Monday after US private equity group Apollo said they were halting their pursual of the London-listed energy consulting, engineering, and solutions company.

John Wood Group shares were down over 34% at the time of writing.

Apollo had made a revised 240p cash offer for Wood Group in April – an increase on a prior 230p offer. In February, Wood Group announced they had received three unsolicited bids from Apollo. Wood Group said the initial offers “significantly undervalued the repositioned Group’s prospects.”

Wood Group shares are now lower than their first response to takeover speculation in February.

FTSE 250 constituent Wood Group issued a response to Apollo’s withdrawal and attempted to shift attention to progress in the business:

“The Board remains confident in Wood’s strategic direction and long-term prospects and believes that, following a transformative year in 2022, including new executive leadership and a new strategy, Wood is well placed to deliver substantial value for shareholders.

“Our medium-term targets set out in November 2022 are to deliver adjusted EBITDA growth at mid to high single digit CAGR, with momentum building over time, and to return to positive free cash flow in 2024.

“Furthermore, as set out in the Q1 trading update on 11 May 2023, there is good momentum across all business units which has continued since the end of Q1, with expectations for the full year unchanged.”

AIM movers: Celsius Resources bid and Orcadian Energy loses licence

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Canadian miner SilverCorp Metals Inc is bidding A$0.03 (1.6p) a share in cash and shares for Celsius Resources Ltd (LON: CLA). This values the company at £30.2m. The share price jumped by one-third to 1.3p. SilverCorp Metals is interested in the Makilala-Caigutan-Biyog (MCB) copper gold project in the Philippines. As part of the deal, Celsius shareholders will receive shares in a spin-off that owns the Sagay and Opuwo cobalt projects. This will be on the basis of one share in the new company for every ten Celsius shares. The new company will be quoted on ASX or AIM. Celsius joined AIM in January when it raised £2.4m at 0.8p a share.

Some better news for IOG (LON: IOG). The control event at the Blythe H2 well in the North Sea has been successfully isolated. The first gas from this well should be produced by the end of June. The share price rebounded 15.4% to 6p.

Lexington Gold (LON: LEX) is acquiring White River Exploration, which has five gold projects in the Witwatersrand, which is a major gold region in South Africa.  This brings a joint venture with Harmony Gold, which has a non-compliant resource of three million ounces of gold. Lexington Gold will own 76% of White River with the rest owned by black economic empowerment partners. It will loan £300,000 to White River and issue £6.4m of shares to cover loans made to the company. The share price improved 8.82% to 9.25p.

Scotgold Resources (LON: SGZ) has raised £2m from the placing and open offer at 15p a share with excess applications scaled back. Long hole drilling has commenced and a lower than expected average grade of 4g/t gold is reported. The quantity and grade of ore mined is imported for the commerciality of the mine. The share price recovered 10.6% to 18.25p.

The authorities have denied a request by Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) to extend phase A of licence P2320 and the licence has expired, which means that potential disposals of sub-areas will not happen. Orcadian Energy plans to make an application for a new licence. More cash is required for working capital and to pay back a £1m loan from Shell. The share price has fallen by one-fifth to 5p. It is down by two-thirds since the beginning of the year. The July 2021 placing price was 40p.

Scientific instruments developer Microsaic Systems (LON: MSYS) says that its audit is taking longer than expected, but the 2022 accounts should be published by the end of June. The share price declined 13.3% to 0.0325p.

Price rises and cost savings are benefiting documents management services provider Restore (LON: RST), while year-on-year sales are 4% higher in the first four months. On the negative side, technology recycling volumes are not recovering as fast as anticipated due to low sales of new IT. This has led to a cut in forecasts. Canaccord Genuity has reduced its 2023 pre-tax profit forecast from £45m to £41m. This knocked 11.2% off the share price leaving it at 261p.

There was a sharp fall in revenues and profit at Caledonia Mining Corporation (LON: CMCL) in the first quarter. Gold production declined by 13% to 16,100 ounces, while unit cash cost rose by 71% to $1,196/ounce. There was a £800,000 loss in the first quarter, but the dividend is maintained at 14 cents a share. Net cash is $3.2m. The share price fell 4.21% to 1025p.

5 lithium shares ready to rocket higher part 2 – Atlantic Lithium & Marula Mining

Marula Mining and Atlantic Lithium are the final two of five of the best FTSE AIM lithium plays ready to rocket higher on near-term catalysts.

I have covered the following five companies in great detail over the years, and all five are ready for that next catalyst to send the share price to new heights. The first three of the five lithium shares were published last week.

Having enjoyed great success on AQUIS, Marula Mining is seeking to diversify its investor base with an AIM listing.

4. Marula Mining (AQSE: MARU)

Marula is a small-cap mining exploration company focused on battery metals and green-critical commodities in Africa. The company’s diversified portfolio includes four critical minerals in three different countries with strong histories of Chinese investment.

These assets include the Blesberg Lithium and Tantalum Mine in South Africa, the Nkombwa Hill Niobium, Tantalum, Rare Earths, and Phosphate Project in Zambia, and the highly promising Kinusi Copper Project and Bagamoyo Graphite Project in Tanzania.

Marula’s flagship asset remains the 100% owned Blesberg Lithium and Tantalum Mine in South Africa, and the company has spent $1.7 million on increasing its stake from 5% last year. The company also recently announced that it has identified further high-grade lithium deposits at the Blesberg project, with feasibility study work to establish a long-term, hard rock conventional open-pit lithium mining operation to be underway shortly.

In January 2023, Marula announced that the first 1,000 tonnes of lithium ore would be delivered after processing operations began in late November 2022. The company has also entered into a strategic investment and co-development partnership with Q Global Commodities Group, one of South Africa’s leading commodity, logistics, and investment funds, who has subscribed for up to £3.75 million through the issue of up to 100,000,000 new ordinary shares.

Moreover, Marula announced it had entered into a binding heads of agreement with Tanzanian mining company, Takela Mining Tanzania Limited, to secure a 75% interest in ten granted graphite licenses that make up the Nyorinyori Graphite Project for a total consideration of up to £400,000 through staged equity payments. The licenses extend over a combined area of circa 86 hectares and are valid through February 2030.

The company’s CEO, Jason Brewer, is an experienced and hands-on CEO who has been instrumental in the progress made by Marula. The company is scheduled to list on the FTSE AIM in 2023, which should act as a catalyst for further interest and liquidity in the stock.

5. Atlantic Lithium (LON: ALL)

The prized possession of Atlantic Lithium is the Ewoyaa Project located in Ghana, which is a vast mine of lithium pegmatite that is likely to be the first lithium-producing mine in West Africa. Piedmont, a strategic investor and a major player in the lithium industry, has provided full funding of $102 million for the project’s production.

The Mineral Resource Estimate for Ewoyaa currently stands at 35.3 million tonnes with 1.25% Li2O. Atlantic Lithium anticipates generating revenue exceeding $4.84 billion throughout the mine’s lifespan, with a post-tax NPV of $1.33 billion.

Atlantic Lithium plans to construct a 2Mtpa DMS plant with the capability to produce 255,000tpa of lithium spodumene concentrate. The company expects to release its definitive feasibility study during the current quarter.

The only downside is the impact of Blue Orca’s short attack in early March. Despite refuted allegations, it continues to have a dampening effect on the company’s stock — but this is a company backed by a billion-dollar titan of the industry.

This article has been prepared for information purposes only by Charles Archer. It does not constitute advice, and no party accepts any liability for either accuracy or for investing decisions made using the information provided.

Further, it is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

New AIM admission: Golden Metal Resources

AIM-quoted Power Metal Resources (LON: POW) has spun-off Golden Metal Resources. The company owns the Nevada mining interests of Power Metal Resources, which comprise four assets - three wholly owned plus an earn-in option over a fourth.
Management believes that these are underexplored assets with good prospects. The Golconda Summit has the potential for a major gold discovery and this, along with the Pilot Mountain project will be the main focus.
Power Metal Resources has retained a 62.1% stake. Trading started at 8.75p and ended the first day at 8.125p. There were 1.12 million shares traded ...

Aquis weekly movers: TruSpine Technologies recovers despite failing to disclose information

TruSpine Technologies (LON: TSP) admitted that it failed to inform shareholders that a loan announced in February included a fixed and floating charge over the company’s IP. Even so, the share rose 11.8% to 0.95p, which is back to the level at the beginning of the month. There are disputes with the inventor of the company’s main technologies and the requisitioners talk about negotiating a new licence. Four shareholders owning a 19.4% stake have requisitioned a general meeting on 31 May. They want to remove four directors and replace them with three nominees. The only director they are not seeking to remove is Timothy Evans.

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Fallers

Watchstone Group (LON: WTG) has been unsuccessful in its £63m claim against PricewaterhouseCoopers concerning a breach of confidentiality. It is considering an appeal. The share price slumped 24.4% to 15.5p.

Goodbody Health (LON: GDBY) shareholders have agreed to the cancellation of the Aquis quotation on 16 May. The shares will then be traded on the JP Jenkins platform. The share price dipped 22.2% to 0.35p.

TAP Global Group (LON: TAP) has appointed Kriya Patel as chief executive of its main subsidiary. He is an experienced executive of e-money and financial technology businesses. He will receive five million LTIP options, plus a further 10 million LTIP options which will vest when certain milestones are achieved. The share price fell 7.94% to 2.9p.

Ananda Developments (LON: ANA) says a study suggests that cannabidiol plus terpenes has a more positive effect on acne than cannabidiol on its own. The share price declined by 7.41% to 0.625p.

Mark Horrocks has taken a 5.8% stake in Semper Fortis Esports (LON: SEMP), while Chris Akers increased its stake from 19.5% to 19.6%. The share price is 7.14% lower at 0.1625p.

KR1 (LON: KR1) has invested $500,000 into Web3 venture studio Code and State through a Simple Agreement for Future Equity. The share price has fallen 5.19% to 36.5p.

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) investee company Evergreen Lithium, where it owns 15.8 million shares (8.74%), has identified significant and widespread lithium at the Kenny project. A further £1.86m worth of shares could be issued to Cadence Minerals. The share price slipped 1.35% to 9.86p.

AIM weekly movers: Capital Metals joint venture agreement

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Mineral sands project developer Capital Metals (LON: CMET) has signed a potential 100% offtake and investment agreement with LB Group, which is the largest manufacturer of titanium dioxide pigments and sponge. LB Group will fully fund the Eastern Minerals project in Sri Lanka up to the estimated cost of $81m in the preliminary economic assessment. After that the joint venture will fund additional costs on a 50/50 basis. The plan is to build up production to 1.65 million tonnes per annum. Most of the due diligence for the deal has already been done. The share price jumped 54.5% to 4.25p

Marechale Capital (LON: MAC) says investee company Burgh Island has announced a proposed sale, enabling a realisation of the 4.9% investment. Investee company Weardale Lithium has extracted lithium carbonate from geothermal brines. The share price rose 32.6% to 1.525p. NAV was 3.6p a share at the end of 2022.

Restaurants operator Comptoir (LON: COM) says revenues grew in double digits and there are plans to open more restaurants. Pre-tax profit fell from £1.5m to £902,000 in 2022 because of higher overheads. Net cash was £7.7m at the end of 2022. The share price increased 21.7% to 7p.

Coal miner Bens Creek (LON: BEN) says shareholder MBU Capital has sold a 29.9% stake at 18p a share to Singapore-based Avani Resources, which trades raw materials for steel and power production. The share price improved 17.7% to 20.6p.

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Fallers

Purplebricks (LON: PURP) says that the number of new instructions did not increase in the fourth quarter and that means revenues and EBITDA will be worse than expected in the year to April 2024. The company’s payment processor is withholding a portion of remittances and cash was £9.1m at the end of April 2023, compared with previous expectations of £15m. The formal sale process continues, and management says that it wants to conclude this as soon as possible so the future of the business is clarified. Strike Ltd has decided not to make an offer. The share price dived 72.9% to 1.485p.

Marwyn Investment Management has decided not to invest £10m at 10.5p a share in Unbound Group (LON: UBG) and the share price has slumped by 58.6% to 3p. There is concern about the footwear retailer’s trading. Management says that it will require further covenant waivers from its funders. Options for raising cash are being considered.  

PetroNeft Resources (LON: PTR) says Stimul-T LLC, operator of licence 61, has filed for voluntary bankruptcy in Russia. PetroNeft is one of two shareholders in WorldAce Investment, which owns Stimul-T, and it has issued the holding company a demand notice for service charges of $980,000. The closure of a pipeline has led to the suspension of operations on licence 61. PetroNeft is trying to sell licence 61 and the producing licence 67. An auditor is being sought, but the 2022 accounts will not be published by the end of June, which will lead to share trading being suspended. The share price dipped 56.4% to 0.12p.

Data processing technology developer Ethernity Network (LON: ENET) raised £783,500 at 3p a share. There was a broker option that could have raised a further £100,000, but no additional shares were issued. The cash will be used to buy capital equipment for testing facilities and for working capital. There is increasing interest in the company’s products and 2023 revenues could reach $9m. The share price fell 55.2% to 2.8p.

FTSE 100 gains as UK grinds out minor growth in Q1

The FTSE 100 made modest gains on Friday as investors continued to digest the implications of yesterday’s Bank of England assessment of the UK economy.

The FTSE 100 was 0.2% higher at the time of writing, while the more Uk-centric FTSE 250 slipped 0.3%.

Markets were also assessing fractional UK growth in the first quarter and the potential impact on consumers and company earnings in the coming months. UK GDP unexpectedly contracted 0.3% in March.

“Let’s be clear, whilst the Bank of England may believe the UK economy will now avoid the predicted recession entirely, the country is not in good health,” said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell.

“Rising prices, rising interest rates and strike action have created a cocktail that’s pretty unpalatable.

“Sluggish is the term that’s been used to describe the 0.1% growth the economy managed to eke out over the first three months of year, but for businesses and the cash strapped consumer such listless forward momentum will probably feel a lot like no momentum at all.”

Despite slow growth and ongoing economic worries, the Bank of England looks set to hike rates again before considering a pause.

Beazley

Beazley was a standout performer on Friday after reporting a 12% increase in gross premiums in the first quarter. Net premiums rose 24% to $1,069m.

“At a time of sticky inflation, investors will always be on the look-out for companies that have the sort of pricing power that helps them to defend, or even boost, profits, and non-life insurer Beazley’s first-quarter update unveils an average increase in premium rates on renewals of some 10%,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

Beazley shares were 3% higher at the time of writing.

Housebuilder upgrades

Housebuilders enjoyed price target upgrades from analysts at Berenberg on Friday. Taylor Wimpey’s target was increased to 122p from 111p, Berkeley Group’s increased to 5,100p from 4,500p and Barratt Developments 552p from 440p.

The three housebuilders were up between 0.8%-1.3% at the time of writing.

Airtel Africa was the FTSE 100 top riser, gaining 3.3%, bouncing after a pummeling yesterday.

Ocado shares were 2.4% weaker on Friday as the premium retailer again suffered due to disappointing UK data. Ocado has suffered during the cost-of-living crisis as shoppers tighten their belts.