Vietnam’s manufacturing sector moves up the value chain

In recent years, Vietnam has attracted more and more attention as a destination for manufacturing investment.

While the country was already a significant hub, Donald Trump’s tariffs on China in 2017 spurred major investment in Vietnam, as did China’s years-long pursuit of zero-Covid that only recently ended.

In 2018, for example, FDI in Vietnam rose by 9.1% to US$19.1 billion, with processing and manufacturing accounting for 46.7% of that total. In 2021, FDI rose 25.2% after a weak 2020 to US$38.9 billion. 

Through the first two months of 2023, FDI hit US$3.1 billion. This was considerably less than the same period in 2022, but this is more a reflection of the global macroeconomic situation, as opposed to Vietnam’s attractiveness.

For example, in March, executives from 52 American corporations including Boeing, Meta, Netflix, and SpaceX visited Vietnam as part of the largest-ever U.S. business mission to the country.

During the visit, US Ambassador to Vietnam Marc Knapper said American businesses have “remarkable” interest in the country, adding that “it really does show the commitment of the U.S. and U.S. companies to this market and to this relationship.”

Meanwhile, a recent survey by the Japan External Trade Organization found that Vietnam is the top country in Southeast Asia for Japanese companies looking to expand.

And ample high-tech manufacturing came online last year, with more on the way.

Suppliers for Apple are moving some Macbook production from China to Vietnam, while AirPods, iPads, and Apple Watches are either already made here or will be in the near future.

Samsung, long the largest foreign investor in Vietnam, plans to increase its investment in the country to US$20 billion and opened a US$220 million R&D center in Hanoi last December.

Another high-profile new investment that signals movement up the value chain was LEGO’s decision to build a US$1 billion carbon-neutral factory in Binh Duong. The company has a manufacturing facility in China that it has expanded multiple times.

“We knew we needed a factory in Southeast Asia, and we evaluated a large number of parameters when deciding where to go,” said Preben Elnef, General Manager of LEGO Manufacturing Vietnam. “Access to shipping facilities, access to skilled labor, and it was important for us to select a country that had ambitions to develop more skilled labor.”

LEGO ultimately found a strong connection with Vietnam on this.

“And on the carbon-neutral side, we were also looking for a country where we felt they were serious when they say that they are ready to change,” he added. “We have not selected the easiest country to be carbon-neutral, and some may claim it’s very difficult for that, but their ambitions and especially Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh’s commitment at COP26 was a game-changer.”

These difficulties stem from Vietnam’s ongoing reliance on thermal power for much of its electricity supply. The country has made huge strides in installing renewable energy capacity but delayed energy policies have hampered the actual use of solar and wind energy.

Some experts are also concerned that a growing focus on manufacturing, and especially foreign-investment manufacturing, won’t ultimately benefit workers.

Elnef, for his part, is aware of these issues and stressed that LEGO strives to do its part to improve both sustainability and working conditions.

“It’s a learning exercise; so we are selecting construction materials with less embedded carbon, which is a new way of thinking here and has some added costs,” he said. “A lot of companies have reached out and asked how we are doing this, so we hope more do the same.”

Elnef went on: “Of course, we know that we will not change the world because we are carbon-neutral, but if our neighbors do it as well, then it really starts to help.”

When it comes to labor, the heavily digital factory will feature some of the employee comforts currently provided to office workers at LEGO’s headquarters in Denmark.

“We have a special focus on the shop floor workforce, and we think it should be really cool to work for us,” he said. “We are trying something new to attract a workforce to our factory.”

While carbon neutrality is difficult to achieve and far from the standard in Vietnam’s manufacturing sector, LEGO is not alone in attempting to pursue a more sustainable industry.

Pepperl+Fuchs, the German sensor manufacturer, recently inaugurated a sustainable factory in Ho Chi Minh City. The facility received LEED Gold certification and could provide a model for other companies expanding their presence.

Vietnam’s manufacturing growth is not without its challenges, especially given the sector’s dependence on North America and the European Union as export markets. Economic problems in those regions have led to falling demand for consumer goods and large-scale layoffs at some factories. 

At the same time, however, Chinese investors are flowing into the country following China’s reopening, with Reuters reporting that Chinese companies inked 45 new investment deals in the first two months of 2023, more than any other country.

Increasingly volatile relations between China and the U.S. and its allies will also ensure that corporations will continue to look beyond their traditional manufacturing hub.

While the question of whether Vietnam could replace China as the ‘world’s factory’ may be hyperbolic given the latter’s much larger population and economy, there is little doubt that the former has firmly established itself on the global manufacturing map.

Writing credit Michael Tatarski

Tekcapital shares jump after Innovative Eyewear soars 200%

Tekcapital shares rose on Wednesday after their portfolio company Innovative Eyewear soared 200% in US trade yesterday.

The tripling of Innovative Eyewear’s shares was a result of the launch of their ChatGPT enabled smart eyewear.

Innovative Eyewear shares closed up 201% at $4.40 overnight and Tekcapital had added 8% to trade at 17.8p at the time of writing.

AIM-listed Tekcapital has 67% stake in Innovative Eyewear which is listed on the NASDAQ. The value of Tekcapital’s stake increased in the region $15m yesterday.

With Tekcapital’s market capitalisation sitting at just £29m, it suggests value in the current share price given the rest of their portfolio includes MicroSalt, Belluscura and Guident.

Tekcapital’s holdings in London-listed Belluscura is worth around £5m and MicroSalt is preparing for an IPO after appointing advisors last year.

Innovative Eyewear patent

Today, Tekcapital announced Innovative Eyewear has filed a patent related to the prioritisation of AI chatbots across a range of devices, including smart eyewear.

“We believe we are the first smart eyewear company to provide (patent-pending), artificial intelligence voice accessibility on Bluetooth-enabled eyewear. With our new Lucyd app, we are continuing to make eyewear more flexible and smarter than ever before,” says Harrison Gross, CEO of Innovative Eyewear. 

AIM movers: Ocean Harvest continues rise and Bezant Resources fundraising

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Ocean Harvest Technology (LON: OHT) continues to rise. A further 23.8% increase takes the share price to 26p. A placing raised £6m, or £4.5m after expenses, at 16p. The company produces ingredients for animal feed using seaweed under the OceanFeed brand name.

Market research services provider System1 (LON: SYS1) is growing the revenues of its standard products and fourth quarter revenues were £5.27m, 73% higher than the corresponding period last year, taking the group total for the quarter to £6.62m. Full year group revenues were £23.3m. There should be a return to profit in the second half. Net cash is £5.7m. The share price is 16.9% higher at 190p.

Zephyr Energy (LON: ZPHR) has nearly recovered its loss from yesterday after it revealed that there was an oil spill at the State 36-2 LNW-CC well in the Paradox Basin in Utah. The share price recovered 12.6% to 4.9p, having ended last week at 5.1p. Zephyr Energy is attempting to remove impacted soil and clean up the equipment. An environmental survey will be conducted.

Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) has been awarded an £11m grant from the UK government under phase 2 of the Longer Duration Storage Demonstration competition. This will deploy a 30MWh vanadium flow battery. The share price is 11.8% higher at 38p.

Bezant Resources (LON: BZT) is raising £750,000 at 0.04p a share to finance operations at the Hope copper gold project in Namibia. The plan is to construct an 8,000 tonnes per annum open pit mine. Drilling will increase the resource. Metallurgical test work will be pursued at the Kanye manganese project in Namibia. The share price slumped 24.2% to 0.05p.

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) is raising £979,000 at 0.46p and the cash will be used to upgrade equipment at the Baita Plai polymetallic mine in Romania. The strategy is to reach production of 14,000 tonnes/month during the first half. Vast Resources had expected to use cash from claims in Zimbabwe, but this has been delayed. The share price slipped 5.88% to 0.48p.

Currency and payment services provider Argentex (LON: AGFX) says nine months revenues were 63% ahead at £41m, although the underlying operating profit fell from £11m to £9m. The share price fell 4.49% to 122.25p. Net cash is £26.2m. The final dividend will be 2.25p a share. The year end is being changed from March to December.

Womenswear retailer Sosandar (LON: SOS) reported improving revenues and margins, although pre-tax was lower than expected in March. Full year pre-tax profit is still expected to be £1.6m and it could be more than £3m in 2023-24. More partnerships with other retailers are likely to be secured. The share price dipped 4.21% to 22.75p. The February placing raised £5.4m at 22p a share.

Marks Electrical momentum continues

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Consumer electronic and electrical appliances retailer Marks Electrical (LON: MRK) has beaten expectations in the fourth quarter and the full year forecast has been upgraded along with those for the following two years. The AIM-quoted online retailer is undoubtedly taking market share from its rivals.

Revenues in the fourth quarter to March 2023 were one-fifth higher at £24.8m and this means that full year revenues are 21% ahead at £97.8m. This has led to a 2022-23 pre-tax profit upgrade from £5.8m to £6.2m, which is still below the £6.4m reported for the previous year. Net cash is £10m and a 1p a share dividend is expected for the year.

There was additional marketing in London and south east England. The installation service was launched in the second half, and this should help growth to continue to be at high rates, although it is unlikely to be as strong as last year.  

The cash pile enables investment in warehouse space and delivery vehicles. Dividends will also grow steadily. Even so, cash should continue to build up.

Market share remains modest at around 2%. This year, revenues of £112m and pre-tax profit of £7.1m is forecast.                                                                                                              

The share price increased by 6p to 89.5p and the prospective 2023-24 multiple is less than 18. As momentum continues, this multiple should come down significantly over the coming years.

Finding value in UK equities with Temple Bar Investment Trust

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Ian Lance, Portfolio Manager at Temple Bar Investment Trust, for a deep dive into their trust and UK equities.

Temple Bar Investment Trust managers Ian Lance and Nick Purves have dedicated their careers to seeking out undervalued UK equities.

We discuss how this approach has performed over the past 100 years and how value investing has outperformed other strategies in all but two decades.

One of these decades was the 2010’s when growth stocks thrived in the low interest rate environment. Ian explains why he thinks there is now a shift back to value and the strategy Temple Bar are employing to provide investor returns.

Ian outlines individual companies within the portfolio and provides deep insight into the management of their portfolio.

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THG – are its shares a Buy or a Sell ahead of the 2022 finals next Tuesday (18th)

It was less than three years ago, in September 2020, when Matt Moulding floated his beauty and nutrition consumer brands company The Hut Group.

At that time existing holders sold off some £961m worth of the group’s shares, while the company itself raised £920m to boost its cash coffers – valuing the entire enterprise at £5.4bn.

The Offer price of the shares was 500p.

Moulding, who was then described as the founder, CEO and chairman of THG commented that:

“The results of the Offer are a clear validation of our business model, significant growth prospects, and recognition of the hard work and talent of all our colleagues.

Our flotation is the start of an exciting new phase in THG’s development and we look forward to sharing that journey with our new shareholders.”

What would they say today?

From a peak of nearly 800p achieved in January 2021, the shares fell to a low of 31p in October last year.

Since then, they have regained some of that massive fall.

Just this year alone they have put on over 50% to the current 65p, valuing the group at some £942m.

Citigroup, JP Morgan Cazenove, Barclays, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, Jefferies, Numis and Rothschild were all big fee-earners through the new issue.

I wonder what those companies involved in the float would say about the value today?

Group Operations

THG’s business is operated through the following divisions:

THG Beauty: The globally pre-eminent digital-first brand owner, retailer and manufacturer in the prestige beauty market, combining its prestige portfolio of eight owned brands across skincare, haircare, and cosmetics.

It is a global route to market for over 1,300 third-party premium brands through its portfolio of websites, including Lookfantastic, Dermstore, Cult Beauty and Mankind and the beauty subscription box brand GLOSSYBOX.  

THG Nutrition: A group of digital-first Nutrition brands, which includes the world’s largest online sports nutrition brand Myprotein, and its family of brands (Myvegan, Myvitamins, MP Activewear and MyPRO), with a vertically-integrated business model, supported by global THG production facilities.

THG Ingenuity: Ingenuity provides a complete digital commerce solution for consumer brand owners across its three pillars of technology, digital and operations.

Being part of the THG group, a global digital brand owner in Beauty & Nutrition, Ingenuity is uniquely placed to bring relevant, practical, and international expertise in every area of commerce.

Sales per Business and Region

In the 2021 trading year the group’s sales were £2.18bn.

On a per business basis: Beauty represented 51.3% of sales, Nutrition 30.3%, Ingenuity 8.9% and other parts made up the balance 9.6%.

On a per region basis: the UK accounted for 41.7% of sales, Europe 21.0%, the US 18.6%, while the Rest of the World took the balance.

For the 2022 year, ahead of the finals being announced next week, it is anticipated that Beauty handled 52.6% of its £2.25bn group sales, Nutrition 29.8%, and Ingenuity 9.2%, with OnDemand and Other making up the 8.4% balance.

Why Invest in THG?

The group answers the questions why investors should be interested in THG by stating that:

“We are a global digital innovator revolutionising how brands connect to a worldwide consumer base.

We are transforming how consumer brands go to market in the digital age.

Through our proprietary platform Ingenuity, we are providing a simpler, integrated and frictionless retail experience for consumers and brand owners.

We are democratising online retail – overcoming its structural technology barriers by enabling brands and retailers to have direct relationships with consumers, improving accessibility.”

Activists in the ranks

It has been reported that Franck Tuil’s Sparta Capital, the activist fund management group, has recently built up a position in the THG equity. The former Elliott Advisers executive spiked some action on Wood Group ahead of its 60% premium takeover offer.

Kelso Group Holdings, run by John Goold, last week stated that his company had recently added another 2.4m shares in THG, taking its holding up to 7.4m in total.

Admittedly he was ‘talking his book’ but Goold stated that:

“The current stock market conditions suit our strategy of finding undervalued situations where we believe through our focused efforts, we can help unlock value.

We continue to believe that THG represents a great opportunity to make significant returns for Kelso shareholders.”

Finals due next Tuesday

For the third time in a year, the company in mid-January again disappointed investors and guided that its adjusted earnings for 2022 are now expected to be in the range of £70m to £80m. It previously forecast earnings of as much as £130m. 

The year to end December 2022 is expected to show a 4.1% rise in group revenue to £2.25bn, we shall see just what the outcome was next Tuesday when the group reports its 2022 finals and also issues its Q1 2023 Trading Update.

Analyst Opinion – consensus 54.4p Target Price

With 12-month Target Prices ranging from 35p to 85p the average analyst consensus view for the shares is 54.4p a share.

Even after the Maximo news Wayne Brown at Liberum Capital maintained his 55p Target Price on the shares.

He has stated that:

“THG shares continue to attract investor interest, and rightly so given the quality of the underlying businesses.

We think free cashflow generation remains central to driving the shares from here on.

Even at target margins, THG would generate low free cashflow yields on the current share price.”

Last September, on the interims, Russ Mould at AJ Bell noted, that having reported record first-half revenues of £1.1bn, it is still making an operating loss as costs have been rising and margins have been squeezed.

“THG boasts of a loyal customer base but when it sells commoditised products, this loyalty is going to be tested as consumers look hard for ways to save money – and that could mean buying their protein or beauty products from somewhere else.”

On a Technical Analysis basis the group’s shares appear to be a Strong Sell on its Moving Averages and similarly so on its Technical Indicators.

Conclusion – volatility creates dealing opportunities

With the 2022 finals due to be announced next week, together with the group’s Q1 Trading Update, the company will undoubtedly garner further investor attention.

It is hoped that many more Maximo-type deals are to be negotiated and concluded, because surely 2023 will continue to see the group enduring tough trading.

There has been talk of separating various parts of the company, with a view to boosting current valuations – we shall have to wait and see what actually transpires.

I cannot state that this group’s shares at 65p show any real investor value, however, its price volatility creates masses of dealing opportunity for alert players, they could easily hit the 80p level in reaction to further good news.

Albion Capital raises £80m in bumper year for VCTs

Albion Capital raised a bumper £80m across their six Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs) in the 2022/23 tax year and will now set about deploying the capital in high-growth innovative British companies.

Albion Capital will use the funds to add new companies to their portfolio, as well as deploying further capital across their portfolio of 60 companies to help accelerate growth.

Albion Capital’s investments in technology companies operating in health care and finance have helped create over 5,000 jobs and provided investors with an average annual return of 8.4% p.a. over the 10 years to 30 September 2022, excluding the impact of tax relief.

“VCTs play an important role bringing British innovation to life and supporting entrepreneurs on their growth journey. This results in positive economic and social benefits for the UK and valuable returns for patient VCT investors,” said Will Fraser-Allen, Managing Partner at Albion Capital.

“This has been recently demonstrated by one of our companies, Quantexa, completing a funding round at a £1.4bn valuation.”

Portfolio company revenue growth

The key to success for the Albion Capital portfolio is strong revenue growth. Speaking at an event held in early April, Managing Partner Will Fraser-Allen and Partner Robert Whitby-Smith spoke of seeking out companies that had the potential to generate £100 million revenue and their process for selecting companies with potential to do just that.

Across the 15 largest healthcare and technology companies in their portfolio, Albion notes forecasted revenue grew by 63% to total over £275m in the last year.

Portfolio company Quantexa is a great example with their 70% increase in annual recurring revenue in their last full year. Quantexa provides intelligent data management services to global banks and counts HSBC and Standard Chartered as their clients.

Robust VCT demand

Albion Capital completed their oversubscribed £80m fundraising in the second highest year for VCT funding on record. Albion Capital’s £80m represented roughly 8% of the total £1.08 billion raised by VCTs in 2022/23, according to data from the Association of Investment Companies (AIC).

The 2022/23 tax year was second only to the last tax year when £1.13bn was raised.

“This VCT fundraising is close to record levels which will be highly beneficial to the UK’s innovative small businesses in a challenging year. Last year VCTs invested £700 million in small private companies and AIM companies,” said Richard Stone, Chief Executive of the Association of Investment Companies.

“This much-needed support to the UK’s fast-growing companies helps deliver vital economic, social and environmental advantages to the country. It’s crucial VCTs can continue to fund young businesses which create jobs, develop skills and knowledge, increase exports and raise the tax take across many sectors including  healthcare and technology.”

Miners drive FTSE 100 higher on China stimulus hopes

On Tuesday, the FTSE 100 enjoyed the upside from speculation China could soon unleash a wave of stimulus into their economy as the world’s second largest economy continues a stuttering recovery from the pandemic.

China consumer prices released over the weekend highlighted the inconsistencies in the Chinese economy and analysts are now looking forward to intervention by the authorities.

Investors positioned themselves in constituents of the natural resource heavy FTSE 100 on Tuesday and sent the index as high as 7,800, before falling back to trade at 7,762 at the time of writing.

The prospect of greater demand for base metals including copper and iron ore helped lift diversified miners including Rio Tinto, Anglo American and Glencore.

Copper miner Antofagasta was the FTSE 100’s top riser, gaining 3.4%.

“UK markets returned from the Easter break with a real spring in their step, helped a positive end to yesterday’s trading session on Wall Street,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould. 

“While the latest economic data from China has been weak, that provides both the incentive and the ability to ease monetary policy and launch stimulus spending in areas like infrastructure to help revive growth. 

“Mining stocks helped power the FTSE 100 higher as investors reacted to the possible implications for demand. Firmer oil prices lifted BP and Shell, the former of which announced a partnership with smaller peer Harbour Energy to develop a carbon capture project in the Humber estuary.”

Cyclical rally

The FTSE 100 has gradually recovered from the post banking crisis low with each trading day since displaying pronounced strength in either defensive or more cyclical stocks.

Today it was the turn of the cyclicals. In addition to gains in mining companies, there was also interest in housebuilders, retailers and financials.

Having recorded a closing low of 7,335 in March, the index has now rebounded around 5% and breached the 50-day moving average on Tuesday.

AIM movers: Spectral MD Nasdaq merger and Beacon Energy readmission

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Spectral MD (LON: SMD) soared by 69.6% to 47.5p following news that it is merging with Nasdaq-listed SPAC Rosecliff Acquisition Corp 1. The deal values Spectral MD at $170m, 101p a share. There is likely to be a $15m placing. This will provide additional cash to finance the commercialisation of the DeepView woundcare analysis technology. The AIM quotation will be cancelled. The transaction should complete in the third quarter. The June 2021 placing price was 59p.

Block Energy (LON: BLOE) has signed a deal with that government in Georgia, which covers support for the development of projects and the sharing of data between oil companies. It will also help in securing a long-term gas offtake agreement. The share price rose 24.1% to 1.8p.

Recent new admission Ocean Harvest Technology (LON: OHT) has gained 13.5% to 20p after buying interest from investors. A placing raised £6m, or £4.5m after expenses, at 16p. The company produces ingredients for animal feed using seaweed under the OceanFeed brand name.

Shares in TomCo Energy (LON: TOM) returned from suspension at 1.30pm last Thursday after it reported figures for the year to September 2022. The share price edged up from 0.305p to 0.32p on Thursday and buying during the late morning today has pushed up the share price 9.37% to 0.35p.  

Shares in Beacon Energy (LON: BCE) have been readmitted following the acquisition of Rhein Petroleum. This brings with a producing oilfield with potential production of up to 4,000 barrels of oil per day in the coming years. Beacon Energy has certified 2P net reserves of 3.85mmbbl across four assets in Germany. The share price dipped 28.6% to 0.125p.

Shares in Nanosynth (LON: NNN) have fallen another 25% to 0.075p following Thursday’s warning that it is running out of money. A VAT rebate will help, but it only has enough cash up until June. An R&D tax credit claim could extend that timeframe. Potential funding options are being considered.

Kibo Energy (LON: KIBO) is repricing 1.13 billion warrants to 0.1p, the loan notes will be convertible at 0.14p a share and the bridge loan has been amended to a 24-month loan. For each warrant exercised before the end of June 2023, there will be one incentive warrant issued that is exercisable at 0.25p. This could help to fund the spinning-out of Ultimate Sustainable Energy as a separate AIM company. The share price has fallen 15.4% to 0.0825p.

Zephyr Energy (LON: ZPHR) admits that there was an oil spill at the State 36-2 LNW-CC well in the Paradox Basin in Utah. It is attempting to remove impacted soil and clean up the equipment. An environmental survey will be conducted. The share price fell 12.8% to 4.45p.

Innovative Eyewear achieves AI milestone with launch of first ChatGPT voice enabled smart eyewear

Innovative Eyewear, the Tekcapital portfolio company, has launched the world’s first ChatGPT enabled smart eyewear and accompanying Lucyd app which allows users to ask ChatGPT a question through a voice interface. Answers are then fed back through built-in speakers in Innovative Eyewear’s smart eyewear.

The Innovative Eyewear launch represents a first in hands-free access to an artificial intelligence platform such as ChatGPT through smart eyewear.

The newly launched Lucyd app is device agnostic and can be used through devices including AirPods, as well as Innovative Eyewear’s smart eyewear.

“We are excited to be the first company to provide ChatGPT enabled smart eyewear. With our new Lucyd app, which is free to our eyewear customers, we are continuing to make smart eyewear more accessible and functional than ever before,” says Harrison Gross, CEO of Innovative Eyewear.

“A great pair of smartglasses is defined by three key factors: fashion, tech, and suitability for all-day wear. The Lyte 2.0 collection successfully addresses these factors and now provides access to the world’s most popular AI assistant. By connecting to ChatGPT with your voice on Lucyd smart eyewear, you can access a wealth of detailed research on just about any subject, making it one of the most powerful mobile learning systems available.”

Lucyd Lyte 2.0 eyewear is now available in 15 styles, all of which can now facilitate hands free access to ChatGPT.

Innovative Eyewear is listed on the NASDAQ while London-listed Tekcapital has a 67% stake in the smart eyewear technology company.