Potential AIM battery supply chain flotation

There has been a shortage of new entrants to AIM recently, but there are a handful of companies still planning to join the junior market in London. One of these is a mining company already quoted on the TSX-V market. On Sharepad the share price graph goes back to 2009 and it has a market capitalisation of C$43.1m at 21.5 cents/share.
The graphite project developer has appointed SP Angel as its nominated adviser and broker ahead of joining AIM. The process is just starting and a competent person’s report on the projects is required. This means that the flotation will not be until early 2024.
Th...

Is a 200%+ IPO premium warranted for this AI company?

Natural language processing Ai technology company Cykel AI (LON: CYK) joined the Aquis Stock Exchange last Wednesday. The technology is based on unsupervised learning, which means that features and patterns of unlabelled data can be used to derive meaning.
The idea is that the user can speak to the software platform, and it will manage Google, Microsoft and other software used by the subscriber to the service. This platform is still in the development stage.
There was strong initial interest in the shares, but there were more sells as the week went on. The shares ended the week at 10.25p (9.5p...

Is it time to reconsider investment in ASOS shares?

Online fashion retailer ASOS (LON: ASC) delayed its full year results until Wednesday 1 November and even before this was announced Frasers Group (LON: FRAS) decreased its stake. Management said that the delay in the results announcement was to enable PwC to complete the audit, but there are also rumours that ASOS plans to sell Topshop – although the sale may not be straightforward.
The analyst presentation on Wednesday will include a strategy update and presentations by senior management. This should clarify how the management believes that it can continue the turnaround the performance of th...

Aquis weekly movers: Selling hits Lift Global Ventures share price

Natural language processing company Cykel AI (LON: CYK) joined the Aquis Stock Exchange on Wednesday. It raised £1m at 3p/share and the shares ended the week at 10.25p. There was initially significant buying of the shares, but trading levels dwindled over the week so there was only one sale of 100,000 shares at 10p each on Friday.

FALLERS

Lift Global Ventures (LON: LFT) is the worst performer on the Aquis Stock Exchange this week with a 57.7% fall to 0.275p (0.25p/0.3p). Three sales on Tuesday hit the share price. There were two sales of 100,000 shares at 0.5p each and one of 500,000 shares at 0.4p each.  

Gunsynd (LON: GUN) investee company Omega Oil and Gas estimates maiden gross 2C contingent resources of 1.73 trillion cubic feet of gas in its area in Queensland’s Taroom Trough. The next phase of exploration includes a horizontal well. The $21m raised in August will finance this next stage of exploration. The share price declined 10% to 0.225p.

Ananda Developments (LON: ANA) made an interim loss of £990,000. There was cash of nearly £12,000 at the end of July 2023. Since the end of the period, operations at the cannabis cultivation facility were paused to reduce cash burn. The share price slipped 7.02% to 0.265p.

Cooks Coffee (LON: COOK) has appointed RSM as administrator to its Triple Two coffee shop franchise business. There are currently eleven stores, which are trading poorly. The Esquires chain is trading well and will not be affected. The share price fell 5.88% to 16p.  

SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) says that fuel savings of more than 5% have been verified for seagoing vessels with a two-stroke engine when fuel conditioner SulNOxEco. This will help to increase interest from shipping companies. The share price dipped 5.45% to 26p.  

Arbuthnot Banking Group (LON: ARBB) non-exec Jayne Almond has acquired 3,000 shares at 895p each and her husband bought 5,617 shares at 890p each. The share price is 4.22% lower at 907.5p.

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) reported a reduction in loss from £5.05m to £1.95m. Net cash was £580,000 at the end of June 2023, while NAV was £19.5m. The share price slipped 1.87% to 5.25p.

AIM weekly movers: SafeStyle appointing administrator

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Ethernity Networks (LON: ENET) shares jumped 845% to 2.6p, which is the highest the share price has been since May. The network technology company is in discussions with 5G Innovation over its share subscription agreement. Chief executive David Levi is loaning the company £203,000 at a zero interest rate to finance working capital while discussion go on.

FireAngel Safety Technology (LON: FA.) has agreed a 7.4p/share bid from fire safety products manufacturer Siterwell Electronics, which already owns 17.5%. The share price has not been at that level for six months. The offer values FireAngel Safety Technology at £27.7m. The share price jumped 221% to 6.75p.  

Mining investment company Starvest (LON: SVE) plans to cancel the AIM quotation and commence a voluntary liquidation. This would involve the distribution of stakes in Greatland Gold (LON: GGP) and Ariana Resources (LON: AAU) to shareholders, while the other stakes will be sold. The share price improved by 77.8% to 8p, valuing Starvest at £4.7m. This is still a discount to the March 2023 NAV of £6.75m, although for one the Ariana Resources share price has fallen since then. Shareholder approval will be sought on 21 November and the AIM cancelation could happen on 29 November.

Kromek (LON: KMK) has been awarded a $5.9m US government contract for the development of a bio-detection system that provides real-tie threat detection. This should generate £874,000 in the 12-month period to October 2024. The share price continues to recover from its recent all-time low and is 41.5% ahead at 4.6p.

FALLERS

Prior to be being suspended SafeStyle (LON: SFE) shares fell by 81.1% to 0.32p. After the market closed on Friday evening, management said that it intends to appoint administrators to three subsidiaries. Potential buyers of the replacement windows operations have withdrawn their interest and management already revealed it would not be able to raise additional finance. This means there is unlikely to be anything left for shareholders.

R&Q Insurance Holdings (LON: RQIH) has signed a loss portfolio transfer with a UK motor insurer. This covers a net reserve of $80m. There are a further $900m of similar opportunities to grow the business. At the end of last week, the company revealed that it is selling its program management business. The disposal should generate $300m of net proceeds. Mazar has been appointed as auditor. The share price dived 72% to 14p, which is a new low.

Fourth quarter trading at The Mission Group (LON: TMG) has got tougher with clients spending less. This follows a relatively upbeat trading statement at the time of the interims. The cost base was raised in anticipation of additional demand and cost cutting will not be done until next year. Canaccord Genuity slashed its pre-tax profit forecast from £7.9m to £3.1m and net debt is set to rise to £24m, which contravenes debt limits. The interim dividend is cancelled. Interest will be covered just over two times. The share price slumped 66.9% to 111.25p, equivalent to less than five times prospective earnings.  That is the lowest the share price has been for around 13 years.

Global Petroleum (LON: GBP) reported a reduced full year loss, but cash was down to $356,000. Management admits it needs to secure additional finance in the very near future. That freaked out the share price and it slipped  46.3% to 0.0725p.

BA owner International Consolidated Airlines continues debt reduction

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International Consolidated Airlines (LON: IAG) reported a record third quarter performance. The British Airways owner increased revenues by one-third and reduced debt in the nine months to September 2023. Even so, the share price dipped 1.09% to 141.3p.

However, there was a mixed picture. Passenger revenues are 39% higher so far this year, whereas cargo revenues have fallen by 29%. This is because there is overcapacity in air freight. Cargo revenues were less than 4% of total revenues of €22.2bn, up from €16.7bn.

British Airways, Aer Lingus and Iberia all generated strong revenue increases and profit bounced back. Third quarter passenger capacity was back up to 96.5% of the pre-Covid level. There has been additional investment in Atlantic routes.

Fuel costs have fallen and so have other costs, even though flight disruptions have held back cost improvements. Operating profit before exceptional items improved from €770m to €3bn.

In the latest quarter, gross debt was reduced by €2.4bn to €17.2bn. Net debt fell to €8bn, which is 1.4 times underlying EBITDA. Net debt should fall further after additional cash generation in the fourth quarter.

Twenty new aeroplanes have been delivered this year and seven more are on order. Current customer bookings are in line with expectations. Three-quarters of expected passenger revenues have been booked.

FTSE 100 steady as Amazon earnings spark US rally

The FTSE 100 was broadly flat on Friday with US stocks firmly in the driivng seat and dicatating trade in Europe.

US stocks fell in heavy volume trade overnight as the NASDAQ once again slid. The NASDAQ closed down 1.7% overnight and the S&P 500 ended the day off 1.18%.

Much better than expected Q3 US GDP had sent markets into a frenzy as traders scrambled to align portfolios with the possibility of another Fed rate hike, and interest rates staying higher for longer.

When US indices lose so much ground overnight, it is very difficult for European shares to start with any meaningful positivity.

However, strong numbers from Amazon after the bell steadied the ship, sparking a rally in US futures and helping support European stocks.

The FTSE 100 was down just 7 points to 7,346 at the time of writing on Friday.

“The FTSE 100 was steady despite more selling in the US overnight as a positive after hours update from Amazon helped improve the market’s mood,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“A steady performance from the e-commerce and, particularly, the AWS cloud business helped reassure investors. AWS is the real profit engine of the group and there was a risk an uncertain economic backdrop might have affected demand from clients. Solid sales and margins here will therefore be positively received.

“Later on the market will be watching the US Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation – personal consumption expenditures – ahead of its next meeting to decide interest rates on 1 November.”

Natwest

Natwest was the FTSE 100’s top faller on Friday after the UK bank said net interest margins fell in the third quarter and Natwest lower NIM guidance for the year.

Natwest rounds off a week of increasingly dire updates from UK banks starting with Barclays earlier in the week. Lloyds Q3 offered minor positivity before Standard Chartered disappointed shareholders with write downs of their Chinese assets.

“The details of NatWest’s third quarter results may initially have been pushed into the background by admissions of failure over its treatment of Nigel Farage,” Russ Mould said.

“An independent review found shortcomings in decision-making and communication, and it comes at a point where market conditions are becoming less favourable.”

“Investors didn’t take long to turn their attention to an equally damaging profit downgrade. Guidance on the net interest margin has been lowered as any benefit from higher interest rates seems to be evaporating.

“Competition for savings and mortgage products, coupled with some regulatory pressure, means the banks are no longer seeing such a big gap between what they charge on borrowings compared with what they pay out for deposits.

Netwest shares were down 10.8% shortly after midday in London. Lloyds and Barclays were down 2.7% and 1.8% respectively in sympathy.

Prudential was the top gainer, rising 3%, on chatter about potential Chinese stimuls.

With many of the FTSE 100’s heavyweights still to report, next week promises further choppiness in London’s leading stocks.

AIM movers: Fire Angel Safety accepts bid and Global Petroleum needs cash

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Fire Angel Safety Technology (LON: FA.) has agreed a 7.4p/share bid from fire safety products manufacturer Siterwell Electronics, which already owns 17.5%. The share price has not been at that level for six months. The offer values FireAngel Safety Technology at £27.7m. The share price jumped 203.6% to 6.375p.  

Mining investment company Starvest (LON: SVE) plans to cancel the AIM quotation and commence a voluntary liquidation. This would involve the distribution of stakes in Greatland Gold (LON: GGP) and Ariana Resources (LON: AAU) to shareholders, while the other stakes will be sold. The share price improved by two-fifths to 7p, valuing Starvest at £4.1m. This is still a discount to the March 2023 NAV of £6.75m. Shareholder approval will be sought on 21 November and the AIM cancelation could happen on 29 November.

Challenger Energy (LON: CEG) has secured a short-term bridge loan of £346,500 with a 12% interest charge and this will be used to repay a convertible loan that has not been converted into shares. One holder is converting £55,000 into 100 million shares. The loan lasts up to six months and will be repaid either when the Cory Moruga asset in Trinidad is sold or the farm-out of Uruguay oil and gas assets is completed. There will be 250 million warrants exercisable at 0.1p each issued to the lender. The share price is 30% higher at 0.065p.

Kodal Minerals (LON: KOD) has completed its transaction with Hainan Mining, which is investing a total of $117.75m in the company. The cash will fund the construction of the Bougouni lithium project in Mali. The licence transfer into the new joint venture – 49% owned by Kodal Minerals – has been delayed, but it will happen. There are warranties to cover the period until the licence transfer. The share price increased 26.6% to 0.595p.

Arc Minerals (LON: ARCM) says that the main conditions for the Zambian joint venture with Anglo American, which has already acquired a 70% stake in the new joint venture, have been satisfied. Drilling has commenced on one of the licences. The share price rose 13.2% to 3.85p.

FALLERS

Global Petroleum (LON: GBP) reported a reduced full year loss, but cash was reduced to $356,000. Management admits it needs to secure additional finance in the very near future. The share price divided 41.3% to 0.0675p.

Secure Property Development & Investment (LON: SPDI) says the process of selling its property portfolio to Arcona Property Fund is continuing. Payment will be in cash and shares. Costs are already being reduced. NAV was 10p/share at the end of June 2023. The share price fell 11.1% to 4p.

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) reported a reduction in loss from £5.05m to £1.95m. Net cash was £580,000 at the end of June 2023, while NAV was £19.5m. The share price slipped 6.86% to 4.75p.

Sainsbury’s earnings preview: what to expect from half-year results next week

Sainsbury's will report half-year results 2nd November. The release will be poured over for signs of pressure in the pricing war of attrition with discounters as the cost-of-living crisis rumbles on.
Sainsbury’s share price is up 13% year-to-date but is a fair distance below 52-week highs around 289p. Trading at 11x historical earnings, shares of the supermarket may react badly if earnings miss analyst expectations.
Here’s what to look out for. 
Shareholders will be closely watching a number of key metrics for signs the group is fending off the challenge from the discounters. 
One of th...

Natwest shares tank on disappointing trading update, admits Farage failings

Natwest shares tanked on Friday morning after announcing disappointing Q3 trading results punctuated by falling net interest margins and lower profits compared to the previous quarter.

Natwest’s results mark the end of a busy week for banking results.

Barclays results were poor, Lloyds were reasonable, Standard Chartered will hope their Chinese business picks up, and on Friday, Natwest’s results were pretty terrible.

Shares in Natwest were down around 10% at the time of writing as key operation metrics deteriorated.

Compounding the pressure on Natwest, they admitted failings around account closures and announced a raft of measures to investigate. The bank’s leadership will hope today’s admission Natwest are conducting internal reviews into account closures will draw a line under the Farage debacle.

“NatWest has been in a pickle of late following a series of governance issues. Along with third-quarter results, NatWest also released findings from stage 1 of its review into the account scandal following the closure of Nigel Farage’s Coutts account. The independent review found no legal breach, but did pick up on several governance concerns with how the decision was reached – something I think we already knew,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Although the Farage saga has attracted public interest, it has little to do with the sharp fall in Natwest shares today.

Q3 results were poor. Lower net interest margin (NIM) is a major concern with a material drop to 2.94% from 3.11% before the Bank of England has even suggested cutting rates.

Reducing net interest margin guidance for the full year will be a kick in the teeth for investors.

Profitability is also a concern. Operating profit before tax fell to £1.33bn in Q3 compared to £1.77bn in Q2. The drop in key profitability metrics was the result of rising competition and pressure on the mortgage business.

“Back to results, they were largely disappointing as net interest margin dipped below 3%, and the outlook was lowered. Deposit levels did grow, which is a positive sign that NatWest is pricing itself at the right levels to attract customers searching for higher rates,” said Britzman.

“That trend’s plain to see, with longer-term cash balances jumping to 15% of the book – compared to 11% last quarter. But it’s less profitable business than non/low-interest current accounts. Add in mortgage headwinds as highly profitable business written over the pandemic rolls off, and that’s caused the hit to net interest margin.”

In a small positive, Natwest mirrored other FTSE 100 banks in setting aside less than expected for bad debts.

“As we’ve seen across the sector this week, the consumer remains resilient. Charges taken in anticipation of loan losses were a little lower than expected. Higher borrowing costs are being offset by proactive finance management, wage growth and a strong labour market.”