AIM movers: Blue Star Capital investee launch and profit-taking for Yu Group

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Pendulum, a company incubated by Blue Star Capital (LON: BLU) investee company SatoshiPay, where it holds 27.9%, has launched Spacewalk, a blockchain bridge connecting the Stellar and Poladot networks. The PEN token has commenced trading on Singapore-based MEXC Global Exchange. SatoshiPay owns 5.5% of Pendulum. The Blue Star share price jumped 52.8% to 0.275p.

The share price of cannabis-based medicines developer Celadon Pharmaceuticals (LON: CEL) continues to recover from its low of 49.5p in January prior to the regulatory approval of its Midlands facility. It is 17% higher at 137.5p. Celadon Pharmaceuticals has applied to the Home Office to update its existing licence to begin to supply customers.

Some good news for waste-to-energy technology company Eqtec (LON: EQT). The Italia MDC project is operational, and the first energy supplied. This shows the efficacy of the syngas technology and there are more projects in the pipeline. The share price improved by 9.26% to 0.295p.

Volvere (LON: VLE) increased 2022 revenues from continuing operations from £30.6m to £38m and pre-tax profit jumped from £1.07m to £2.33m. The 80%-owned frozen pastry products manufacturer Shire Foods was the principal subsidiary. The discontinued operations lost £2.57m. NAV is 1382p a share and there was £20.8m in cash. There are investment opportunities in multiple sectors. The share price rose 8.81% to 1050p.

Audio visual products distributor Midwich Group (LON: MIDW) increased revenues by 41% to £1.2bn and pre-tax profit by 42% to £45.2m as the impact of lockdowns eased. The company raised the dividend by 35% to 15p a share, although that excludes the 3p a share special dividend in the previous year. Bank facilities have been increased from £80m to £175m. Growth is expected to be faster than the market. The share price is 6.85% ahead at 468p.

Energy supplier Yu Group (LON: YU.) reported 2022 figures in line with expectations, although the bad debt provision increased from 3.1% to 7.7% of sales. Year-end contracted revenues of £247m underpin the 2023 revenue forecasts. The bad debt provision could reduce this year, but will remain relatively high. The share price fell 17.6% to 580p, but it is still 158% higher than at the end of 2021.

Nucleic acid-based Optimer binders developer Aptamer (LON: APTA) interim revenues of £1m were in line with the previous trading statement and management believes it can achieve full year revenue forecasts. However, this is fourth quarter weighted so there is caution and Liberum cut its 2022-23 forecast from £6m to £5m. That would leave net cash of £1.93m at the end of June 2023. The share price is 16.5% lower at 33p.

Contract delays at energy and water efficiency products supplier Eneraqua Technologies (LON: ETQ) mean that some work will come through later than expected. Revenues for the year to January 2023 were 54% ahead, but lower than the £61.3m finnCap expected. The order book is worth £110m and currently 72% should fall in 2023-24. That means that 99% of this year’s forecast revenues of £80.1m should be covered.  The share rice slipped 12.9% to 305p – till above the 277p placing price in November 2021.

Futura Medical (LON: FUM) says erectile disfunction gel MED3000 is available in Europe under the Eroxon brand. The FDA has asked additional questions concerning the application for US marketing authorisation and approval will not be achieved until the second quarter. The share price has recovered from earlier lows and is down 6.19% to 47p.

Harnessing SVB Volatility with Frederick & Oliver

The UK Investor Magazine Podcast is joined by Marc Kimsey, Head of Equities at Frederick& Oliver, for dissection of the SVB-induced volatility and the opportunities and pitfalls presented by the current environment.

We start with looking at the drivers of the recent volatility and explore the implications of SVB’s failure and how UK markets could be impacted going forward.

With the FTSE 100 at 7,500 we look at where the index could go next and the potential catalysts for the next significant move.

Marc provides a recap of Vodafone and insights into companies that may start to look attractive and the tactical approach to allocating capital.

Greatland Gold – Newcrest and Newmont ready to chat after recent standoff could be very good news

News overnight that after a four-week standoff it is rumoured that Nevada’s Newmont Corporation and Australia’s Newcrest Mining are set to talk.

The subject for discussion is the February $24.5bn bid by Newmont for Newcrest Mining, the Australian partner with Greatland Gold (LON:GGP) in the important Havieron gold prospect.

Approach rejected

The Newcrest Board rejected the unsolicited approach a month ago, with immediate reactions that its business was worth a great deal more than Newmont was offering.

Previously the two sides had not been talking about the bid, but news overnight has suggested that the two sides could well be getting around to a meeting to discuss the bid and its values.

It is suggested that if the two groups sit down together then Newcrest will be given the opportunity to show its gold and copper mines and projects interests in Australia, Papua New Guinea and Canada.

Show me yours

That display of value would also see the Newcrest Mining interest in the Havieron gold-copper project Greatland Gold’s flagship project which is next to Newcrest’s major Telfer gold mine in the Paterson region of Western Australia.

Greatland Gold Investor Roadshows

Investors are getting excited about Greatland Gold’s potential, while the company is currently underway with a series of UK and European roadshows.

Could this be good news for the group

Newmont is the world’s largest gold company, so the combination of the two majors would create an absolute mining giant in Australia.

The thoughts are that perhaps Greatland Gold’s interest in Havieron is too close to Newcrest’s Telfer producer and not to be dismissed as an acquisition interest – such a purchase would be ‘pure petty cash’ to the giants but highly beneficial to Greatland.

On the other hand, Greatland Gold could perhaps be given the opportunity to purchase out Newcrest’s 70% stake in the Haveiron joint venture.

Either way shareholders could be the winners

Private investors now seem to be thinking that either way Greatland Gold shareholders could be on the winning side.

Greatland Gold, which has a proven track record of discovery and exploration success has a number of exploration projects across Western Australia, is currently valued at around £372m, with its shares trading at 7.20p.

Why companies left AIM in February 2023

There were four companies that left AIM during February with only one new admission to replace them. Two of the companies were taken over, while one was in administration and the other left to conserve cash.
13 February 2023
Morses Club
Credit provider Morses Club cancelled its AIM quotation because it needs to save cash to contribute to the compensation fund that is part of the scheme to keep the company going. Shareholders owning 75.2% of the shares voted were in favour of the cancelation – a minimum of 75% was required. The final share price was 0.21p.
The company ran into trouble with the ...

Dekel Agri-Vision volumes could improve in March

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Cote d’Ivoire-based Dekel Agri-Vision (LON: DKL) increased palm oil production in February. The AIM-quoted company also had good conversion rates, while the palm oil price remains strong.

February volumes are still low in comparison with last year, but they should continue to build up in March and could be higher than the same month in 2022. The high season did not start until late February this year. The extraction rate was 23.3% – a record for February.

There was 9,418/tonnes of fruit processed, which was down by 31%, while crude palm oil production was 28% lower at 2,198 tonnes with 2,102 tonnes sold during the month. Palm kernel oil production halved to 131 tonnes, and none was sold during February.  

The current crude palm oil price is €984/tonne, compared with forecast assumptions of €900/tonne. Palm kernel oil prices are currently around €1,025/tonne.

Dekel Agri-Vision is actively purchasing raw cashew nuts and quarterly statistics will be published later in March.

Non-exec director Aristide Achy Brou has taken his pay in shares. He was issued 612,554 shares, taking his stake to 4.27%.

The share price has been declining all year and has reached 2.05p. That is around five times prospective earnings, with potential for that fall to three in 2024. Net debt is reducing and it is expected to be €23.9m at the end of 2023.  

Further progress at MTI Wireless

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MTI Wireless Edge (LON: MWE) grew revenues of each of its three divisions and two of them made a higher profit contribution. An initial contribution from last year’s acquisition, offset the loss of Russian distribution business.

In 2022, group revenues improved from $43.2m to $46.3m, while underlying pre-tax profit rose from $4.04m to $4.32m. The total dividend is 3 cents a share. Net cash was $8.14m at the end of the year. That cash pile will grow unless more acquisitions are made.

The distribution and professional consulting division has become the largest profit contributor. Recent acquisition, communication and monitoring systems developer PSK WIND Technologies won a large order during the year and there are other potential contracts on the horizon. International spending on defence is increasing and that should boost this part of the company.

The profitability of the Antennas division is recovering after a first quarter loss. Sales of 5G antennas are building up and there was a boost from an upturn in demand for older technology.

The odd one out is Mottech, the water distribution and irrigation technology business. Revenues increased but gross margins and profit fell. Price increases have been made and the full benefit will come through in 2023.

The share price has been drifting lower since last summer. It recovered by 3.5p to 52p. A pre-tax profit of $4.79m is forecast for 2023, which would put the shares on 15 times prospective earnings.

M7 Box+ REIT set to join IPSX in April

M7 Box+ REIT is the latest company planning to join International Property Securities Exchange (IPSX). The property portfolio to be acquired by the company is valued at £228.9m. Dealings are expected to start during April.

The portfolio is being acquired from Jersey-based closed end fund M7 Box+ II LP. The new company can apply to become a REIT and benefit from the advantages of that status. No additional funds will be raised during the flotation.

The shares will be introduced to the Wholesale market of the IPSX. M7 Real Estate Financial Services is the alternative fund manager to the company, while M7 Real Estate will be asset manager. M7 Real Estate owns 4.69% of the company.  

The property portfolio has seven let and operational e-warehouses with 40 occupiers. The tenants include B&Q, DSG, Aldi, B&M, Dunelm, Matalan, DFS, Carpetright, Pets at Home and Fitness First. In the fourth quarter of 2022 the properties were fully let with a weighted average unexpired lease term of 4.81 years.

Demand for capacity that combines retail and logistics is strong. An e-warehouse is defined as a warehouse with enhanced planning uses providing flexibility.

European indices trade like penny stocks in SVB-induced sell off

European indices were trading like penny stocks on Monday as risk-off trade gripped markets despite HSBC acquiring SVB’s UK arm and US authorities stepping in to protect US depositors.

The Italian FTSE MIB was down around 4% at the time of writing Spanish IBEX was down over 3%. The FTSE 100 was down around 2.3%. All European indices were off the lows as this article was written.

“Despite the best efforts of governments and regulators, the market was still very edgy on Monday as investors considered the fallout from SVB’s collapse,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

European banks were among the worst performers on Monday as fears gripped investors despite the absence of evidence of financial pressure among other institutions.

Standard Chartered was down over 6% at the time of writing.

US Interest Rates

SVB abruptly shifted the market narrative from interest rate hikes to financial stability last week. However, attention quickly snapped back to expectations of the Federal Reserve’s next move on Monday.

US futures had opened the session higher but the rally faded as we moved towards the US open. The positivity in US futures was attributed to the dialling down of interest rate hike expectations during the volatility caused by SVB’s failure.

“This situation has also significantly impacted expectations for the upcoming Fed decision with many now expecting a 25bp hike when it seemed almost certain for some that the US central bank would raise rates by 50 bp previously,” said Walid Koudmani, Chief Market Analyst at online investment platform XTB.com.

Goldman Sachs said they now expected there would be no rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s March meeting due to market volatility and disruption of the banking system.

Further volatility

Although European indices had recovered from the lows of the session, analysts highlighted the skittish nature of market and warned of more volatility this week.

“In any case, markets remain very reactive and susceptible to further developments and could continue to be volatile throughout the week as a major domino effect could cause widespread risk-off moods leading to further losses for stocks and riskier assets,” said Walid Koudmani.

The US President is expected to make a speech today, and tomorrow we will receive the next instalment of CPI date.

AIM movers: Condor Gold progresses La India sale and Aferian continues fall

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Condor Gold (LON: CNR) is entering the end of the first phase of the process to sell the La India gold project in Nicaragua. There are three formal expressions of interest, including two non-binding offers, with more likely to be received. The project requires $105.5m of investment and has an estimated NPV (5%) of $86.9m. There are additional areas to explore. The share price rose 12.7% to 17.75p.

The two largest movers today are Keras Resources (LON: KRS) and Ukrainian food producer UKrproduct (LON: UKR). There has been higher than normal trading activity in Keras Resources, which is one-quarter ahead at 3.75p. There has been no trading in UKrproduct, which is one-fifth higher at 3.9p.

Pan African Resources (LON: PAF) has put in place the final component of the funding package for the Mintails project. Engineering optimisation studies are being finalised and construction could start in June. The share price is 8.92% ahead at 14.29p.

Ariana Resources (LON: AAU) has identified three additional targets at Kepez in Turkey. Ariana has a 23.5% stake in this project. The Kepez main vein extends for 1,800 metres and the north vein continues for a further 150 metres beyond previous findings. The share price moved up 9.43% to 2.9p.

Investors were reassured by Venture Life Group (LON: VLG) concerning its exposure to Silicon Valley Bank. The consumer healthcare products supplier has a £30m revolving credit facility with Santander and Silicon Valley Bank, but no deposits with the latter bank. It is possible for Santander to take over the Silicon Valley Bank proportion of the facility. A refinancing was due in June 2024 and this process will be accelerated. The share price increased 7.19% to 44.75p.

Concerns about the financial position of Rurelec (LON: RUR) led to a 23.5% slump in the share price to 0.325p. The South America-focused electricity generator is running short of cash and there is little prospect of a dividend from its Argentinian subsidiary. The majority shareholder is against issuing more shares. Management hopes to sell the investment in the Argentinian business and become a shell. The current cash should last into the second quarter of 2023.

Aferian (LON: AFRN) shares continue to decline following last week’s profit warning due to customer destocking of streaming devices and its exposure to Silicon Valley Bank. Annual results to November 2022 will be delayed while discussions with banks continue over future covenant compliance. There are no breaches of covenants yet. Aferian has a $50m loan facility from three banks, including Silicon Valley Bank, with potential for a further $50m and it lasts until 23 December 2024. There has not been a statement about this exposure. The share price slid 14.1% to 27.5p.

Tungsten West (LON: TUN) has appointed Neil Gawthorpe as chief executive. He was previously at Allied Gold. He will review funding options for the Hemerdon tungsten mine. This could be a combination of royalty, debt and equity financing. The permit for the processing plant is still be awarded. The shares are down by 14.6% to 8.75p.

Africa-focused forestry company Woodbois (LON: WBI) has completed the expected £3m placing at 1.2p a share and appointed Novum Securities as joint broker. The company hopes to become cashflow positive during 2023. The shares are 7.48% lower at 1.175p.

Energy efficiency as a service provider eEnergy Group (LON: EAAS) says it has exposure to Silicon Valley Bank through currency hedging and a drawn down £5m credit facility. The acquisition of the bank by HSBC means that there should be no material impact on the business. The share price is down 5.26% at 2.7p, having been lower prior to the announcement.

GoviEx Uranium Investor Presentation March 2023

Daniel Major, CEO of GoviEx Uranium, presents to investors March 2023. Daniel provides deep insight into the uranium market and the recent developments at their mine-permitted uranium projects.

Download Presentation Slides Here.

GoviEx is a mineral resource company focused on the exploration and development of uranium properties in Africa. The company has a sizable resource inventory with over 130M lbs U3O8  in measured and indicated categories, and 89.3M lbs U3O8 in the inferred category. 

GoviEx’s principal objective is to become a significant uranium producer through the continued exploration and development of its flagship mine-permitted Madaouela Project in Niger, its mine-permitted Muntanga Project in Zambia, and its multi-element Falea Project in Mali.