Flat revenues at Somero Enterprises

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A slowing of demand in the US meant that the overall revenues of AIM-quoted Somero Enterprises Inc (LON: SOM) were flat last year even though Europe and Australia performed well. Additional overheads meant that profit declined.  

US-based Somero Enterprises Inc designs, assembles and supplies concrete levelling equipment. North America is the key market for the business and problems with concrete deliveries hampered sales.  

Australia is benefiting from direct sales. A strong second half meant that European revenues reached a new peak. India is a country where revenues are building up, although China is a tougher market with declining income.

In 2022, revenues edged ahead to $133.6m, while pre-tax profit dipped from $46.5m to $42.3m. Higher overheads reduced the profit. Investment has been put in place to help Somero Enterprises to grow in the future. The new Houghton, Michigan facility will open this year.

The dividend based on profit remains twice covered by earnings. The standard dividend total is 27.78 cents a share, while the special dividend is 7.7 cents a share. Both types of dividends are lower than for 2021. The total has fallen from 50.72 cents a share to 35.48 cents a share. Even with another special dividend next year, the total dividend is expected to be 31 cents a share for 2023.

Net cash fell to $33.7m at the end of 2022 because of the high dividend payments during the year. It could be $31m by the end of 2023.

finnCap forecasts a further decline in pre-tax profit to $39.3m. That is likely to lead to a reduction in dividend to 31 cents a share.

At 377p, the prospective multiple is less than nine. The potential dividend yield is nearly 7%.

Cloud accelerates Netcall progress

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Customer engagement and intelligent automation systems supplier Netcall (LON:NET) is involved in a global process automation market that is estimated to be growing at 20% a year. The company’s cloud-based annual contract revenues grew by 58% to £17.1m in the first half.

In the six months to December 2022, group revenues grew by 19% to £17.5m, while better margins meant that underlying pre-tax profit jumped from £1.91m to £3.19m. Net cash has reached £20.4m – one-eighth of market capitalisation.

Cloud-based products account for more than four-fifths of new product sales. The main health and government markets are growing.

There could be opportunities to accelerate growth through acquisitions that broaden the technology or take the company into new geographic markets. There is plenty of cash to finance any deals if they can be done at the right price.

Singer has been appointed as joint broker. Canaccord Genuity forecasts an increase in pre-tax profit from £3.9m to £5.7m. At 102.5p, the shares are trading on 35 times prospective earnings, falling to 29 next year. The forecast dividend of 0.7p a share would be more than four times covered by earnings.  

Breedon plans premium move

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Aggregates and cement supplier Breedon (LON: BRE) is planning to move from AIM to a premier listing and it is large enough to be included in the FTSE 250 index when a space becomes available. This will bring new investors to the company, particularly index tracker funds that will need to take a shareholding.

Breedon started out as a shell on AIM in June 2008 when it was known as Marwyn Materials and through acquisitions it has been built up into a company with a market capitalisation of £1.28bn at 75.5p. The initial subscription price was 10p and the starting market capitalisation was £13.6m.  

Volumes declined from their unusually high levels in 2021, but higher prices meant that revenues improved from £1.23bn to £1.4bn. Underlying pre-tax profit increased from £120.5m to £142.8m, while the dividend was raised from 1.6p a share to 2.1p a share. Net debt is £197.7m.

Although volumes fell, they are still well above the level in 2019. The growth in profit came from Great Britain with a flat contribution from Ireland.

Capital investment is significant although it is well covered by cash generation. There were small add-on acquisitions last year and Breedon is still interested in purchases that fill in gaps in its business. Longer-term, acquisitions could be made in North America.

The new financial year has started well with continued strong demand from infrastructure products. Breedon is less exposed to the weak residential market. Even so, profit is likely to decline this year putting the shares on just over 13 times prospective earnings.

No date has been set for the move to the premium listing. As part of the move a new England-based holding company will be set up to replace the current Channel Islands one and there will be a share consolidation.

AIM movers: Time Finance gains momentum and Midatech Pharma to leave AIM

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Small business finance provider Time Finance (LON: TIME) appears to be gaining momentum. Third quarter trading figures have sparked a full year pre-tax profit upgrade by Cenkos from £3.2m to £3.6m. In the latest nine month period the pre-tax profit is £3m, up from £1.1m, so this is an achievable forecast. Arrears are low at 6% and the gross loan book is worth £157.2m. The share price moved 15.7% higher at 25.8p.

Pantheon Resource (LON: PANR) has recovered some of its loss from earlier in the week following disappointing flow test results from the Alkaid #2 well in Alaska. The share price improved by 21% to 28.54p. The share price has still nearly halved this week.

Clean water technology company MyCelx Technologies Corp (LON: MYX) has secured a second pilot testing agreement for treatment of PFAS in landfill leachate in the US. The aim is to remove chemicals to non-detectable concentrations. The share price increased 9.52% to 34.5p.

Ovoca Bio (LON: OVB) is selling its Russian assets to Desirix for €1.05m. This includes Russian patents for Orenetide, plus certain development and marketing rights. Ovoca Bio will continue the development and trialling of Orenetide, a treatment for hypoactive sexual desire disorder, in other markets. The share price rose 6.67% to 6p.  

Midatech Pharma (LON: MTPH) has posted a circular about its proposed share consolidation and cancellation of the AIM quotation. The current share price fell 19.4% to 1.25p. There will be a 20-for-one share consolidation and that would make the ADSs listed on Nasdaq more attractive to US investors and remove the worries concerning being thrown off Nasdaq for having a price below $1. Currently, one ADS represents 25 shares and after the consolidation it will represent five shares. The company’s name will be changed to Biodexa Pharmaceuticals.

Redx Pharma (LON: REDX) has revealed topline data for the biliary tract cancer module of the RXC004 PORCUPINE2 phase two clinical trial. The results were not good enough to further develop RXC004 as a monotherapy. There is still potential as part of a combination therapy. The share price fell 18.3% to 33.5p.

musicMagpie (LON: MMAG) released 2021-2022 figures in line with the recent trading statement. December was difficult because of the postal strikes, but trading has improved since the beginning of the year. Shore forecasts an increase in 2022-23 loss from £1m to £1.5m, even though revenues should grow, with net debt increasing from £7.9m to £12.9m. The share price slipped by 9.6% to 33.9p. The April 2021 flotation price was 193p.

Red Rock Resources (LON: RRR) is making progress in commencing lithium production in Zimbabwe. This will initially be from the Tin Hill project with production from Beatrice likely to start later. A target grade of 2% lithium will be sold in the local market. Partners in New Ballarat Gold are seeking a listing. The listing of Elephant Oil has taken longer than expected. The share price fell 9.68% to 0.28p.

FTSE 100 recovers early losses as interest rate concerns hit stocks

The FTSE 100 recovered early losses on Wednesday after a terrible session overnight in the US sparked by interest rate concerns following Federal Reserve chair Powell’s hawkish testimony to Congress.

Jay Powell struck a hawkish tone in his delivery and suggested markets should prepare for more 50bps rate hikes, and for rates to remain higher for longer.

“The broad-based rally in stock and bond markets since the October lows rests largely upon their conviction that inflation will retreat, the global economy will suffer no more than a shallow recession (or even avoid a downturn altogether) and central banks will be able to start cutting interest rates sooner rather than later as a result,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The statement from US Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell to the Senate Banking Committee in Washington on Tuesday challenges this oh-so-cosy consensus and that is why stock markets are stumbling.”

The FTSE 100 was trading at 7,916 at the time of writing, down just 2 points. The index touched lows of 7,891 earlier in the session. The S&P 500 was down around 1.5% overnight in a market reaction to a hawkish Fed chair that was to be expected.

Hiscox

Hiscox was the FTSE 100’s top riser after their gross premiums and premiums written rose in 2022. Poor investment results meant profit before tax fell, but delivery on their strategy ultimately helped shares higher.

“I am very pleased with the progress made across the Group during 2022, as we delivered the strongest underwriting result in seven years. We have a refined strategy, a new experienced and energetic leadership team, we have made significant progress in rolling out new-generation technology in the USA and Europe and we are enjoying our highest employee engagement scores in ten years,” said Aki Hussain, Group Chief Executive Officer, Hiscox.

Hiscox shares were 3.5% higher at the time of writing.

Schroders was the top faller, down 3.4%, after peer Legal & General reported their full year results and provided an insight into the damage Liz Truss’s doomed mini-budget did to their investment business. Legal & General were 2% lower. Schroders reported their results earlier in March.

Legal & General investors book profits after strong 2022 results confirmed

Legal & General investors booked profits on Wednesday as the company confirmed positive results for 2022 which included a 12% jump in operating profit and a 5% dividend hike to 19.37p.

Legal & General shares were 2% lower on Wednesday after the company’s shares yesterday touched the highest level since the Liz Truss Gilt debacle last year.

L&G shares are roughly 30% higher from the intraday lows recorded in October 2022.

Their higher group operating profit pays testament to L&G’s risk management as they successfully navigated the mini-budget gilt market volatility without suffering a significant level of disruption to their investment business. Legal & General Investment Management operating profit slipped 19% to £340m and Assets under management also fell.

Despite weakness in the investment management business, Legal & General’s cash generation rose 14% to £1.9bn.

“The outlook for the group looks positive, regardless of the impact of last year’s bond market rout. The group are bringing in new assets at pace and pension funds are increasingly looking to L&G to assume their liabilities in exchange for substantial premiums. The group’s Capital business is growing strongly and has maintained asset quality at high levels to date,” said Steve Clayton, Head of Equity Funds at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The dividend is set to rise 5% this year and next, in line with the group’s stated policy. That puts L&G onto a yield of approaching 7.8%. It is rare to find businesses that can sustain that level of dividend pay-out, but in L&G’s case, the dividend is well covered by earnings and capital generation.”

Admiral shares rocked by higher claims as profit sinks

Admiral shares were sharply lower on Wednesday after the insurance group said profit before tax slumped 39% to £469m due to higher claims and costs.

The group turnover rose 5% to £3.68bn but it wasn’t enough to offset higher average claims and total insurance claims and claims handling expenses of £2.08bn, an increase from £1.5bn last year.

Admiral shares were down around 5% at the time of writing, have recovered from the worst levels of the session.

Discounting the impact of higher insurance claims, Admiral’s top line activities were far stronger than last year with growth in customer numbers to 9.28m.

However, the softer profit ultimately meant a lower full year dividend of 223p per share compared to 247p last year.

“Markets have punished Admiral shares after a 5% miss on profit before tax, and shares were down around 7% in early trading. Higher claims and an increase in the cost of servicing those claims weighed on performance, though to some degree that was already priced in,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“What spooked markets was the performance of the international business, which management described as having “very low” average premiums, specifically from Italy and Spain. The result for underwriting is an unprofitable position, with total costs exceeding premiums – though Admiral’s unlikely to be the only insurer navigating choppy waters.”

FTSE 100 gains with Fed Chair testimony eyed

The FTSE 100 was trading slightly higher as we approached the testimony by the Federal Reserve Chair to Congress on Tuesday.

After weeks of company updates, corporate news flow is beginning to wane as most companies have already reported recent results to the market.

The void of major company earnings has paved the way for macroeconomics to become the focus of markets this week and all eyes will be on the Fed Chair and economic data set for release later this week.

Powell has the opportunity to set the market narrative for the coming weeks in his delivery today.

“With investors on tenterhooks about just how far interest rates will rise, and what effect this will have on the world’s largest economy, Fed chair Jerome Powell’s words in Washington as he speaks to senators later are likely to set off a ripple effect through indices,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Any hint that he’s swirling the latest data and is finding a pattern of inflation that’s stubbornly hard to shift, could trigger fresh falls in equities, and may see bond yields edge up.”

The FTSE 100 was trading 7,957 at the time of writing.

GBP/USD was trading marginally lower as traders bid the dollar higher in anticipation of potentially hawkish comments from Jerome Powell later today.

Recent robust economic data has started to build a consensus the next Fed rate hike will be a 50bps increase – higher than the 25bps hoped for by equity traders at the beginning of 2023.

The lower cable rate provided some support for the FTSE 100s overseas earners. AstraZeneca, Diageo and HSBC were up between 0.5% and 1% on Tuesday.

Melrose was the FTSE 100’s top riser, up 3.6%, ahead of its ex-dividend date this Thursday.

AIM movers: In The Style selling business and K3 Business retail contract

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In The Style (LON: ITS) has completed its strategic review and it is proposing the sale of its operating business for £1.2m and the cancellation of AIM quotation. The online retailer is losing money and running out of cash. The purchaser is Baaj Capital, which has other fashion-related investments, including Officers Club. The company will change its name to Itsum. It floated in March 2021 and raised £11m at 200p a share, while existing shareholders raised £49m from selling their shares. A 77.5% slump in the share price to 1.575p values the company at £800,000.

Telecoms test equipment supplier Calnex Solutions (LON: CLX) has performed well since joining AIM in October 2020. Results for the year to March 2023 are set to be inline with expectations despite component supply problems. However, telecoms investment has been delayed and this will hit the 2024 figures. Cenkos forecasts a fall in pre-tax profit from £7.3m to £4m in 2023-24 on an 11% reduction in revenues. This reflects the operational gearing of the business. This is a cautious forecast and cash will continue to be generated with net cash expected to reach £19.2m at the end of March 2024. The share price fell 31% to 118p, which is still well above the October 2020 placing price of 48p.  

Canaccord Genuity has downgraded its forecasts for electric motors developer Saietta Group (LON: SED) and no longer expects a profit in the year to March 2024. The share price dived 29.3% to 24.75p, which is much lower than the July 2021 flotation price of 120p. Progress is being made with the Indian joint venture, but there are delays elsewhere. Forecasts include reasonably certain business and continuing delays elsewhere. There is no need for any additional cash to be raised this year.

Oil and gas company San Leon Energy (LON: SLE) has slumped after the Nigerian National Petroleum Company said that Eroton has been removed as operator of OML 18, where San Leon Energy holds a 10.6% interest. A claim this was happening had already hit the share price. Eroton is taking legal advice and says that it is still the operator of OML 18, where production levels have been disappointing. San Leon Energy shares slipped 14.3% to 24.85p.

Metal Tiger (LON: MTR) has recovered some of its loss after it announced it planned to leave AIM so that it has more flexibility with its new investment strategy. A general meeting will be held on 20 March for shareholders to vote on the cancellation and the new investing policy. The share price moved up by 16.2% to 10.75p.

Fusion Antibodies (LON: FAB) shares have also recovered some of the ground lost yesterday when it said that projects being suspended meant that revenues in the year to March 2023 would be significantly below expectations but at least £2.8m. The share price is 11.1% higher at 40p.

K3 Business Technology (LON: KBT) has won the largest ever order for K3 fashion software, which is based on Microsoft Dynamics 365. The three-year €1.6m contract is with a luxury clothing company. Full year results are due to be published at the end of March. The share price rose 9.78% to 123.5p.

Oracle Power (LON: OCP) has secured a strategic memorandum of understanding with China Electric Power and Technology to potentially develop and operate the company’s green hydrogen project in Pakistan. The share price gained 7.35% to 0.1825p.

Dotdigital invests for the future

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Digital marketing technology and services provider Dotdigital (LON: DOTD) revenue growth accelerated in the first half, helped by currency movements. International growth is propelling the business and there is a growing cash pile.

In the six months to December 2022, revenues were 9% ahead at £33.8m, but pre-tax profit fell from £8.9m to £7.7m, with investment in the team and additional marketing holding back short-term profitability. There was a slight dip in margins because of the growth in lower margin SMS.

Contracted annualised recurring revenues are £51.9m, so this underpins second half revenues. Professional services income has been weaker. Average revenues per client improved from £1,422 to £1,573.

On a constant currency basis, US revenues were flat but there are signs of improvement in the second half. APAC growth is accelerating, although the rate is still lower than previously achieved between 2018 and 2021.

Cash continues to be generated and net cash reached £49.6m by the end of 2022. Even after interest rate hikes this does not earn much income.

Expansion

New product launches are important to the continued growth of the business. Management is keen to expand the addressable market through continued product development and potential acquisitions.

Dotdigital CXDP has been launched and it offers the ability to integrate data from different sources and more personalised email campaigns. This will help to win larger customers.

The dividend has risen steadily, and it is well covered by cash generation. There could be potential for a higher dividend, although the focus is on reinvestment in the business. A 1p a share final dividend is forecast, but that could be cautious.

finnCap forecasts flat full year pre-tax profit of £14.5m. At 96p, the shares are trading on 24 times prospective earnings.

The share price is well below its peak, but the rating remains relatively high. Growth prospects are good, and acquisitions could help to bring the multiple down.