NAV holding up at Picton Property Income

Real estate investment trust (REIT) Picton Property Income Ltd (LON: PCTN) has shown the resilience of its office, retail, leisure and industrial portfolio with a minimal dip in NAV from 100.4p/share to 99.4p/share in the quarter to June 2023. At 71.9p, the shares are trading on a discount to NAV of 28%.

There was a 0.875p/share dividend paid during the period, so the total return was -0.2%. The like-for-like value of the portfolio declined by 0.7%. Higher rents from renewals and three new industrial lettings helped to hold up the valuations. The rents obtained were higher than expected.

There are around 400 occupiers across Picton Property Income’s 49 properties. The occupancy level was 90%. The net reversionary yield is 6.8%.

The portfolio is 58% industrial, 10.8% retail and leisure and 31.2% offices, which is the toughest sector. The decline in valuations was due to the office portfolio, with the other property values edging up by 0.5%. Some office space is being switched to residential.

Borrowings were £227.1 million at the end of June 2023, which is slightly higher than at the March 2023 financial year end. The weighted average interest rate on the predominantly long-term borrowings is 3.9%. There was also cash of £20.7 million.  Loan-to-value has edged up to 27.1%, which remains comfortable for the company.

The latest quarterly dividend is 0.875p/share, suggesting an annual dividend of 3.5p/share. This provides a yield of 4.9%.

Generative AI, investment selection, and financial services with CMC Invest

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Alister Sneddon, Head of Product at CMC Invest, and Dave Dyke, Head of Technology at CMC Invest, for a deep dive into Generative AI and how the technology is being utilised in financial services.

We start by looking at the ability of Generative AI tools such as ChatGPT to assist with the selection of stocks or funds for investment portfolios. We make comparisons to algo trading and why AI has the potential to be a more sophisticated assistant in investment decisions. There is also the consideration paid to the pitfalls of using AI in such as way.

Much of the conversation is framed in the context of output and input in financial services and where Generative AI can be used. In this context, output is stock selection and investment management, and input is the back office and client functions such as compliance and customer queries.

We finish by asking whether Dave and Alister would use AI to manage their own investment portfolios.

AIM movers: Actual Experience contract and Great Western Mining fundraising

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Analytics-as-a-Service company Actual Experience (LON: ACT) has signed a letter of intent with Logicalis International, a subsidiary of Datatec, for the first sale of a joint venture product based on the company’s Digital Workplace Management Platform delivered via the Logicalis platform. The share price soared 143.5% to 1.4p.

Engineering and technical recruitment company RTC Group (LON: RTC) increased interim revenues by one-third and moved from a £400,000 loss to a £1m pre-tax profit. An interim dividend of 1p/share is proposed. There was a strong recovery in the rail business, despite strikes. Management believes that there will be further progress in the second half. There had been no trades in the shares for more than one week and the share price jumped 108.3% to 37.5p.

SIMEC Atlantis Energy (LON: SAE) has reduced costs, but it remains in a fragile financial situation with a material uncertainty going concern statement. Even so, the share price recovered by one-third to 1.2p. The 2022 loss dropped from £74.1m to £11.1m, although the previous year included write-offs of £53.1m. Repayments on debentures have been deferred and a £4m development premium received on the Uskmouth battery project. The EU is demanding repayment of a £1.1m grant, but the company disputes this.

Electric drivetrain developer Saietta Group (LON: SED) has secured a third vehicle line with an existing Indian client. There could be 60,000 units supplied over a five-year period. A production facility has been set up in Delhi for the first two contracts and deliveries should start at the end of 2023. The share price rose 26.4% to 45.5p.

Great Western Mining (LON: GWMO) is raising £500,000 at 0.055p/share. The cash will finance the joint venture in Nevada’s plan to construct a mill for production of gold and silver concentrates. The company is also drilling close to a highly promising shallow silver intercept at Mineral Jackpot. The share price fell 32.1% to 0.056p.

Late on Tuesday, battery technology developer AMTE Power (LON: AMTE) announced it has secured a £1m loan facility from Arena Investors, which has relinquished conversion rights on the £3.75m convertible bond in return for warrants over 2% of the enlarged share capital. This latest loan will provide time to complete a £2.5m subscription at an indicative price of 1.7p/share, subject to due diligence. That will provide enough cash until September. The share price more than trebled on Tuesday, but it has declined by one-fifth today.

Learning Technologies Group (LON: LTG) has been hit by disruption due to integrating operations and there has been weaker demand for transactional and project-based work. SaaS-based and long-term contracts are 71% of revenues. Interim operating profit should be £43m. Operating profit guidance has been cut to £98m-£103m, so it could be lower than in 2022. Peel Hunt had been expecting £109m. The integration improvements should start to show through in the second half. The share price slipped 18.8% to 68.7p.

Velocity Composites (LON: VEL) says the GKN contract in the US is taking longer than expected to ramp up. Cenkos has cut its 2022-23 revenue forecast for the contract £5m to £2.2m and for the group from £20.1m to £16.2m. A £2.9m loss is forecast. The GKN contract will eventually generate £15.4m/year. The share price declined 14.9% to 43p.

Lloyds share price suffers as profit sinks in second quarter

Lloyds shares were firmly lower on Wednesday amid lower profits and concerns the bank would face several challenges in the second half of the year.

Although first-half 2023 profit before tax rose 23% compared to the same period last year due to higher interest rates, Lloyds experienced a sharp drop in Q2 2023 profit compared to Q1.

Q2 profit before tax fell 29% to £1.6bn from £2.26bn in Q1.

Lloyd’s fall in profits resulted from a £700m impairment charge to their retail loan book as the bank prepares for an increase in bad debts such as mortgage defaults.

Lloyds’ net income was pretty consistent in Q2 2023 compared to Q1 at £4.5bn. However, it was slightly lower than previously and will not inspire investors.

“Much will be made of Lloyds Banking Group’s 23% jump in first-half profit amid the backdrop of a cost-of-living crisis and increased pressure from regulators to share the benefits of interest rate hikes with savers,” said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell.

“The net interest margin, the difference between what a bank earns in interest from loans and what it pays out, is slightly higher than analysts had forecast for the quarter, though down on where it had been in the three months previously.”

“There are storm clouds gathering as the country’s biggest mortgage lender has to consider how many of its customers are likely to struggle as they face a jump from ultra-low fixed rates to the unexpected ‘new normal’.”

Lloyds shares were down 3.2% at the time of writing.

Rolls Royce shares fly as earnings outlook upgraded

Rolls Royce shares were sharply higher in early trade on Wednesday after the group said they see a much better-than-expected first half.

Rolls Royce said operating profit would be £660m-£680m compared to analyst consensus estimates of £328m. The aerospace company’s free cash flow will also smash estimates coming in at around £340m-£360m. The consensus was for just £50m free cash flow.

“Rolls Royce is highlighting the early success of its transformation programme, which is driving productivity improvements. Civil Aerospace has swung back into profit, reflecting a stronger aftermarket outcome, while defence sector earnings are also sharply improved, with demand stronger and a more even pattern of deliveries this year compared to last,” said Steve Clayton, head of equity funds, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Rolls Royce is boosting full year guidance for operating profits and cash flows by around 50%, one of the largest improvements seen so far in the current reporting season. The company is benefiting from a recovery in flying hours by the airline industry, which is pushing more aircraft into the workshops for engine overhauls.”

Rolls Royce shares were over 20% higher at the time of writing.

The strong first half has given Rolls Royce the confidence to upgrade their outlook for the rest of the year and now see underlying operating profit in the region of £1.2bn-£1.4bn, up from prior forecasts of £0.8bn-£1.0bn.

The upgrade in profit outlook is testament to Rolls Royce’s turnaround plan, which shows early signs of success.

Tufan Erginbilgic, Rolls Royce CEO, commented:

“Our multi-year transformation programme has started well with progress already evident in our strong initial results and increased full year guidance for 2023. There is much more to do to deliver better performance and to transform Rolls-Royce into a high performing, competitive, resilient, and growing business.”

Aston Martin Lagonda – better than expected interim results and charging ahead to very strong fourth quarter

Lawrence Stroll’s Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (LON:AML) has today announced better than expected half-time results.

The £2.5bn capitalised luxury car maker reported that in the six months to end June its total wholesale volumes were up 10% at £2.95bn (£2.67m), while its revenues were 25% increased at £677.4m (£541.7m), with its pre-tax loss halved at £142.2m (£285.4m).

The first half improvement was driven by the much higher volumes and stronger pricing, together with its DBX707 and V12 Vantage Roadster showing impressively.

The group, which is enjoying its 110th anniversary this year, ended the period with a cash balance of £400m, boosted by the Geely £95m subscription, together with a £60m revolving credit facility, giving it an overall liquidity of £460m. Net debt was £846m (£766m).

In Q3 deliveries are scheduled to begin for its 499 DBS 770 Ultimate, which was a total sell-out of the January 2023 launched model.

The Aston Martin DB12, the new generation front engine sports car classed as the world’s first Super Tourer, was launched in late May and which is sold out for the rest of the year will see customer deliveries starting in Q3.

Executive Chairman Lawrence Stroll stated that:

“Although we may only be halfway through the year, 2023 has already proven to be a remarkable year in which Aston Martin has shone brighter than ever.

We are now driving new levels of operational excellence to support our growth and deliver on our targets which focus on increasing value for each car we sell, aligned with the characteristics of a true ultra-luxury company.”

The group remains well on track to achieve its medium-term financial targets of c.£2bn revenue and c.£500m adjusted EBITDA by 2024/25. 

The company has stated that it expects to substantially achieve these financial targets in 2024 and, with continued strong momentum, is likely to exceed them in 2025.

Consistent with its target to become free cash flow positive from 2024, the company also expects to further deleverage its balance sheet, targeting a net leverage ratio of c.1.5x in 2024/25.

For the second half of this current year, the group expects to achieve a similar level of adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2023 as Q2 2023, with a significant increase in adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2023, primarily due to the timing and related contribution of new product launches.

It also expects to deliver significant growth in profitability.

The shares opened up 3% at 360.80p.

FTSE 100 gains on Chinese stimulus hopes, Unilever jumps

Just as developments in China drove declines in the FTSE 100 yesterday, on Tuesday, London’s leading index bounced back on reports that Chinese authorities were finally preparing to move to stimulate the economy.

China’s recovery from the pandemic has stalled, and market participants have been hoping for action to spur growth.

“After a poor start to the week as investors grew tired of waiting for the next stimulus initiative from China to boost its economy, Asia stocks rallied on Tuesday as investors got some of the news they wanted,” said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell.

“Reports suggested Beijing will provide more support, albeit details remain thin on the ground at present. It was enough to lift the Hang Seng by 4% and send investors scrambling to own shares in real estate, basic materials, technology and financial sectors.

“Good news from China always makes its way to the UK market in a flash, with commodity producers riding high including a 4% gain from Anglo American and Rio Tinto.”

Antofagasta was the FTSE 100 topr riser adding over 5% at the time of writing. Should China successfully stimulate the economy, demand for Antofagasta’s copper will be bolstered.

The FTSE 100 was 0.17% higher at 7,691 at the time of writing.

Investors will be looking forward to rate decisions from Federal Reserve and ECB later this week and the prospect of dovish tones from two central banks enjoying lower inflation rates.

Unilever

After releasing a respectable set of first-half results, Unilever was having its best session for months. Falling volumes were more than offset by rising prices, and revenue for the first half rose 2.7% to €30.4bn. The consumer group’s beauty and wellbeing unit was the standout performer, with growth of 8.6%.

“Decent headline sales growth across the business and an improvement in operating profit, operating margin and free cash flow helped to drive a 5% spike in Unilever’s share price at the market open. That was one of its strongest sessions on the stock market in a long time, helped by quarterly sales beating estimates,” Danni Hewson said.

“But dig deeper and there are several reasons not to get carried away.

“First, group sales growth has come entirely from putting up prices, not shifting more units of products. The sign of a good business is one that can grow prices and volumes. Unilever’s group volumes actually declined in both the first and second quarter periods.

“Second, chief executive Hein Schumacher is still new in the role and it’s easy to get excited when a new leader delivers messages of optimism.”

Achieving strong growth in the global sustainable personal care market with Faith in Nature

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome the Faith in Nature team to the Podcast for a deep-dive into their natural personal care products and current campaign on Crowdcube.

Faith In Nature has grown 226% in the last five years – recording £14.8m – and is stocked in Holland & Barrett, Boots, Waitrose and Sainsbury’s.

Explore Faith in Natures products here.

We were joined by Sara Fisher, UK channel director, and John Allaway, Managing Director, for a comprehensive exploration of Faith in Nature’s business and crowdfunding goals.

The company was founded 50 years ago and has deep roots in sustainability having recently achieved B Corp status. Sara and John present the investment case and detail their commercial success to date.

We look at the aims of the crowdfunding round and what the future holds for Faith in Nature and its investors.

Find out more on Crowdcube.

Hummingbird Resources – stronger production but higher debt, however, shares do have attractions

Hummingbird Resources (LON:HUM) is a leading multi-asset, multi-jurisdiction gold producing company, whose vision is to continue to grow its asset base, producing profitable ounces.
It has two core gold projects, the operational Yanfolila Gold Mine in Mali, and the Kouroussa Gold Mine in Guinea, which are expected to more than double current gold production once at commercial production.
The company also has a 51% controlling interest in the Dugbe Gold Project in Liberia, which is being developed by its joint venture partners, Pasofino Gold.
The fin...

Greatland Gold’s exploration progress

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AIM-quoted Greatland Gold (LON: GGP) has updated the market on the progress at Havieron and its exploration drilling. The share price dipped 1.41% to 7p, although buyers have returned and this is above the low for the day.

The Havieron decline development has reached 2,510 metres and it has passed the middle aquifer. No significant water issues were found, which is good news and reduces the risk.  

The current surface drilling campaign has ended. Management says that Greatland Gold will move to quarterly reporting of exploration and development at Havieron and Juri, which is in line with Newcrest Mining. Newcrest Mining has 70% of Havieron and 51% of the Juri joint venture, where it has taken on the management of the venture.

Greatland Gold will continue to report separately on its own exploration and development projects.

Exploration

Diamond drilling has been completed on five targets at 100%-owned Scallywag, while the maiden drilling at Paterson South has also ended. The latter is a farm-in and joint venture with Rio Tinto Exploration.

The data from the assays from Scallywag is being processed and this will be reported in the near future. Drilling on the Rameses target was not completed because the drill hole was not structurally accessible.

Paterson South drilling was on the tenement adjoining the Havieron mining lease and it targeted magnetic anomalies and airborne electromagnetics derived conductors.