Aquis weekly movers: Good Energy returns to profit

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) continues its rise ahead of the proposed move to AIM. The share price was 40.8% higher on the week at 12.5p, having reached a high of 12.875p during Friday.

Ananda Developments (LON: ANA) rose 17.3% to 0.475p after it published a medicinal cannabis research round-up. The sublingual spray shows promising results in diabetes type 2 patients. There has also been progress in explaining the mechanisms of action of CBD alleviating bladder pain syndrome.

Good Energy (LON: GOOD) recovered 13.3% to 212.5p after reporting full year figures. Revenues jumped from £146m to £248.7m as energy prices increased, while the energy supplier returned to profit. There was net cash of £19m at the end of 2022. The book value of Zap-Map is £13m. Management is seeking to expand its energy efficiency services operations.

Western Selection (LON: WESP) shares are 12.5% higher at 45p. The investment company reported an interim pre-tax profit of £200,000. Following the subsequent sale of treasury investments and the £4m received after the takeover of Crestchic, there is cash of £11.6m – equivalent to 64.6p a share. The remaining core investment is in AIM-quoted Kinovo. NAV has risen to 80p a share.

Wine maker Chapel Down Group (LON: CDGP) increased underlying pre-tax profit by 22% to £1.7m in 2022. Singer expects this profit level to be maintained in 2023 before more than doubling to £4m by 2026. Net cash is £3.3m.  NAV is 38p a share. The shares are 9.09% ahead at 36p.

Capital for Colleagues (LON: CFCP) had net assets of 77.78p a share at the end of February 2023. There are 13 companies in the investment portfolio. Castlefield Investment Partners has reduced its stake from 45.9% to 42.1%.

Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) has made a sale of a 1.5MWh energy storage system to STS Group for a solar storage project in Hungary. The share price rose 5% to 31.5p.

RentGuarantor Holdings (LON: RGG) has entered into an agreement with Vorensys for the use of the RentGuarantor services. Vorensys provides tenant referencing services. The share price improved 4.08% to 255p.

Arbuthnot Banking Group (LON: ARBB) reported better than expected 2022 results. Pre-tax profit jumped from £4.6m to £20m and the dividend was raised by 11% to 42p a share. The loan book increased by 11% to £2.2bn. NAV is 1411p a share. The share price improved 2.15% to 950p.

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Fallers

Visum Technologies (LON: VIS) made an interim loss of £457,000 on revenues of £120,000. The first US location for its theme park video technology was opened in November. Debt financing has been secured for rides and attractions. Existing sites in Europa Park and Linnanmaki will reopen in April. The financial position is expected to improve. The share price slumped 35.3% to 5.5p.

Valereum (LON: VLRM) has sold shares in subsidiary Valereum Collections raising £70,500 at 625p a share. Valereum retains a 99.8% stake in the company, which will operate the group’s NFT programme.  The Valereum share price dived 23.6% to 5.25p, which is a new low for the year.

Shares in Asimilar (LON: ASLR) fell ahead of the trading suspension on 3 April due to the accounts not being published in time. The share price slipped by 21.1% to 1.875p.

KR1 (LON: KR1) has invested $500,000 in Hydra Ventures, which supports and incubates decentralised autonomous organisations, in return for 5,000 HYDRA tokens. This is part of a $10m fundraising. The share price was 5.43% to 43.5p.

AIM weekly movers: ECSC takeover

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Daisy Group is making an agreed bid for ECSC (LON: ECSC), which values the cyber security services provider at £5.4m. The bid is 54.02p for each share in cash. The share price jumped 144% to 50p. A few days prior to the bid, ECSC was trading at an all-time low. ECSC joined AIM at the end of 2016, when it raised £5m at 167p a share. ECSC fits well with business technology and communications services provider Daisy and there is cross-selling potential.

Footwear retailer Unbound Group (LON: UBG) has received a 10.5p a share potential offer from WoolOvers Group. There would also be a contingent value right that would give shareholders the proceeds of any insurance claim related to business interruptions due to Covid lockdowns. Unbound management says it would be likely to accept this offer. The share price recovered 113% to 8.5p.

Verici Dx (LON: VRCI) continued rise following the previous week’s operational update. The developer of clinical diagnostics for organ transplants has recovered from 4.75p on 20 March to 13.5p, up 92.9% on the week. Post kidney transplant rejection assessment product Tutiva has been launched and pre-transplant product Clarava should be launched before the end of 2023. The Medicare reimbursement pricing for Tutiva should be secured by the end of June.

Energy-as-a-Service provider eEnergy Group (LON: EAAS) reported a 58% rise in interim revenues to £15.1m and it underlying pre-tax profit improved from £200,000 to £700,000. Cash generation should start to improve in the second half with net debt of £6m forecast for the end of June 2023. Full year revenues expectations are 93% underpinned by contracts. A pre-tax profit of £3.6m is forecast for 2022-23. The share price improved by 85.9% to 5.02p, which is six times forecast earnings.

Biodexa Pharmaceuticals (LON: BDRX) was previously known as Midatech Pharma and at the beginning of the week there was a 20-for-one share consolidation. That led to a 60.5% decline in the share price to 7.5p. Trading on AIM is set to be cancelled on 26 April with the Nasdaq listing being retained.

Scottish gold producer Scotgold Resources (LON: SGZ) has been hit by falling ore grades at the Cononish gold mine. The average gold grade in January was 5.65g/t. compared with an estimated grade of 7.35g/t. A different part of the mine is being developed and the production process is being changed. Shore has its forecasts under review because of concerns about the financial position of the company. The share price has slumped 60.5% to 15p.

On the same day as the bid for ECSC was announced and the last day of its financial year, rival cyber security consultancy and services provider Shearwater Group (LON: SWG) admitted that its 2022-23 results will be below expectations. Cenkos slashed its revenues forecast for the year to March 2023 from £37.7m to £27m and suspended 2023-24 forecasts. There is still £3.4m in cash after the expected full year loss. The share price fell 42.5% to 50p.

There are more delays for the electric vehicle contract due to redesigns and that means that Trackwise Designs (LON: TWD) will run out of cash more quickly than expected. Delayed payments mean that the current cash may only last until May, and not August, unless the problem is sorted out quickly. There will be an impairment charge on assets with the 2022 figures.  The share price dived 37.2% to 0.675p, compared with the recent fundraising price of 1p.

Cadence Minerals Investor Presentation March 2023

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Cadence Minerals is an early stage investment and development company within the mineral resource sector and is listed as an investment company on the London Stock Exchange AIM market and the Aquis Stock Exchange, also based in London.

Their strategy is to identify undervalued assets, with irreplaceable strategic advantages that will deliver capital growth to our shareholders. They invest in these assets and where required help deliver capital growth.

AIM movers: Jersey Oil & Gas bounce back and Shearwater expectations slashed

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Jersey Oil & Gas (LON: JOG) is in advanced negotiations for a farm-out of the Greater Buchan Area with a significant North Sea company. There is an exclusivity period until the end of April. Once a partner is secured then regulatory approvals can be sought. There are estimated resources of more than 100 million barrels of oil. The share price bounced back by 52% to 232.5p.

Arc Minerals (LON: ARCM) has extended the exclusivity agreement with Anglo American until 21 April. The proposed joint venture is planned for copper interests in North Western Zambia. The original agreement was announced in May 2022 and Anglo American would have the right to earn 70% of the joint venture for an aggregate investment of up to $88.5m. The share price recovered 15.9% to 4p.

Sustainable fuels developer Velocys (LON: VLS) has risen on the back of the latest UK government consultation paper on sustainable aviation fuel, which identifies the Fischer Tropsch process as part of the main technology. This can be supplied by Velocys, which has active projects in the UK and US. The share price increased 8.73% to 3.55p.

TPXimpact (LON: TPX) has been granted a waiver on its debt covenants on its £30m facility as of 31 March. The lender is reviewing cash flow forecasts so that it can make a decision concerning future waivers. The digitisation services provider is expected to make a modest profit in the year to March 2023. More than £30m of new business has been won in the latest quarter. The share price rose 5.26% to 30p.

Shearwater Group (LON: SWG) full year results will be below expectations. Cenkos has slashed its revenues forecast for the cyber security company for the year to March 2023 from £37.7m to £27m and suspending 2023-24 forecasts. There is still £3.4m in cash after the expected full year loss and £1.2m in capitalised development costs. This is a significant downgrade on the last day of the financial year and it will mean that investors will lose confidence in Shearwater’s ability to meet expectations. The share price slumped 39.6% to 49.5p.

The UK Competitions & Markets Authority has launched a phase 2 investigation into the UnitedHealth Group bid for healthcare IT provider EMIS (LON: EMIS). UnitedHealth had offered to sell a part of its existing business, but this was not deemed to solve the concerns. The share price fell 23.2% to 1391p. The bid is 1925p a share in cash.

Trading in minerals projects developer Aura Energy (LON: AURA) shares has been suspended on ASX, but it continues on AIM. The ASX suspension is expected to continue until 4 April when an announcement will be made. The share price declined by 18.8% to 13p.

Kore Potash (LON: KP2) says it continues to negotiate an engineering, procurement and construction contract for the Kola potash project. The financing proposal could be provided within six weeks of that contract being finalised. There was $5m in the bank at the end of 2022. The share price slipped 3.7% to 0.65p.

Jersey Oil & Gas – shares lift 23% on GBA ‘farm-out’ news

The big news today for shareholders in Jersey Oil & Gas (LON:JOG) is that it is at an advanced stage in agreeing to farm-out a material interest in its Greater Buchan Area.

It has lit up the group’s shares, which have jumped 23% on the news, to around 188p.

Jersey Oil & Gas is a UK exploration and production company which is focused on building an upstream oil and gas business in the North Sea.

It holds a significant acreage position within the Central North Sea referred to as the Greater Buchan Area, which includes operatorship and 100% working interests in blocks that contain the Buchan oil field and J2 oil discovery and an 100% working interest in the P2170 Licence Blocks 20/5b & 21/1d, that contain the Verbier oil discovery and other exploration prospects.

This positive news, which could see finalisation by the end of April, could also see an interest being taken in the company’s surrounding exploration assets.

The other party has not as yet been named.

Brokers very keen

Analyst Daniel Slater at Zeus Capital has a very positive outlook on the group’s prospects and upon his company’s total risked net asset value has a massive 856p price objective.

Analyst Brendan Long at WH Ireland believes that it is ‘game on’ for the energy crisis and that the timing in respect of the commodity price cycle is excellent for both the counter party and Jersey Oil & Gas. He is also very positive about the news.

At finnCap their analyst Jonathan Wright considers that even under his conservative assumptions on the group’s prospects that there is a significant upside potential for the group’s shares from a successful deal. He has a risked valuation of 660p a share.

CEO Andrew Benitz stated that:

“We are pleased to be in advanced exclusive negotiations with a well-funded industry heavyweight and whilst there can be no guarantees of a successful conclusion, we are aiming to finalise the farm-out in the near future and look forward to updating shareholders shortly.”

Guident Investor Presentation March 2023

Guident Investor Presentation March 2023.

Download Slide Presentation.

Guident are striving to make autonomous vehicles safer. Guident deliver competitive advantages for Autonomous and Electric Vehicles (AV/EV) fleet operators and manufacturers via a Remote Monitor and Control Center (RMCC) platform utilizing AI and secure, low-latency network connectivity.

Guident intends to develop, build and operate the first RMCC for AVs, ground-based delivery devices and any autonomous device, a safety-first concept that will be deployed allowing fleet operator and vehicle manufacturers to meet state mandated regulatory requirements.

Molten Ventures portfolio company Ledger completes Series C

Molten Ventures has announced its portfolio company, Ledger has close its Series C extension round and maintained a €1.3 billion valuation.

Ledger, a leading global platform for digital assets and Web3, secured investment from Molten Ventures and new investors including True Global Ventures, Cite Gestion SPV, Digital Finance Group and VaynerFund.

“This latest round is testament to the strength of Ledger’s business and its revolutionary technology that will continue to play a critical role in the future of crypto assets and blockchain,” said Martin Davis, Chief Executive Officer of Molten Ventures.

Davis continued to touch on rounds for Isar Aerospace who recently announced the closing of its Series C round raising $165m and the Series A for their metaverse portfolio company, Hadean.

“Together with Isar Aerospace and Hadean, all three rounds demonstrate the quality of our portfolio, and the ability of our companies to maintain or increase valuations and attract financing even in challenging environments.”

Molten Ventures portfolio companies include Freetrade, Cazoo, Crowdcube and Revolut.

FTSE 100 gains as NASDAQ enters bull market

The FTSE 100 was building momentum on Thursday with London’s leading index grinding out a near 1% gain after the heavy NASDAQ entered a bull market overnight in US trade.

Technology shares were spared the volatility caused by the banking crisis, and in some circumstances were even seen as a safe haven.

Microsoft and Apple – with a combined $3.7 trillion market cap – are up 17% and 23% respectively so far in 2023. Chip-maker NVIDIA is the NASDAQ 100’s top riser this year, adding a whopping 86% since the start of the year.

The NASDAQ’s milestone has grabbed headlines on Thursday and added to improving sentiment around the banking sector.

“Investors continued to bid up stocks as worries about the banking system faded away, with the FTSE 100 having risen nearly 3% since the start of the week. The market was lifted by a broad range of sectors including retail, banking, travel and property,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“That suggests confidence is rebuilding among investors who have been shaken by the rapid unfolding of issues concerning a handful of US and European banks, and as expectations for interest rates once again swerved in a new direction.”

The FTSE 100’s top gainers included names such as Ocado and JD Sports which have often led either declines or advances in the index in recent months.

Ocado was up 7% on Thursday and is now 25% higher than the mid-March low.

FTSE 100 ex-dividend

FTSE 100 fallers were dominated by companies trading ex-dividend. Mondi, Smith & Nephew, abrdn, Taylor Wimpey, Aviva and Phoenix Group all traded ex-dividend on Thursday.

Apart from the stocks trading ex-dividend, there were only 10 FTSE 100 companies in negative territory on Thursday at the time of writing.

Decliners included defensive stocks such as BAE Systems, British American Tobacco and Imperial Brands.

AIM movers: Inland Homes subscription and ex-dividends

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Inland Homes (LON: INL) launched a subscription for up to £4.6m at 10p a share yesterday evening and the share price recovered 30% to 6.5p. Founder Stephen Wicks is subscribing £2.5m. Trading in the shares will be suspended on 3 April until the accounts are published.

Oil and gas company PetroTal Corp (LON: PTAL) generated free cash of $162m last year. It also increased its after tax NPV10 to $1.75 a share. The share price rose 10.8% to 43.75p.  

James and Olga Simmons have increased their stake in oil and gas company Prospex Energy (LON: PXEN) from 5.3% to 6.02%. The share price is 9.38% ahead at 8.75p, having risen 157% over the past week due to other share buying.

Sanderson Design Group (LON: SDG) has secured a licensing deal with J Sainsbury. This covers the Sainsbury’s Habitat homewares and Tu clothing and includes the Morris & Co and Scion brands. New products will be launched in 2024.

There are more delays for the electric vehicle contract due to redesigns and that means that Trackwise Designs (LON: TWD) will run out of cash more quickly than expected. Delayed payments mean that the current cash may only last until May, and not August, unless the problem is sorted out quickly. There will be an impairment charge on assets with the 2022 figures.  The share price dived 43.5% to 0.65p, compared with the recent fundraising price of 1p.

Restaurants operator Tasty (LON: TAST) fell into loss in 2022 despite higher revenues following the ending of lockdowns. Inflationary pressures and staff shortages hit the business, but they are easing. There is still £7m in the bank. This year’s performance is ahead of expectations. The share price slumped 13.5% to 2.25p.

Test systems supplier Pipehawk (LON: PIP) reported a larger interim loss on lower revenues. Timescales of projects have been extended because of lack of availability of components. Order books are good. The share price declined 9.26% to 1225p.

XLMedia (LON: XLM) is refocusing its business on the US sports betting market as the states legalise this form of gambling. This year, US sports betting contributed two-thirds of the digital media company’s revenues and there are more markets opening up. Operating costs have been reduced. Cenkos has trimmed its 2023 forecast, but still expects earnings of 3.1 cents a share.  The share price slipped 4.24% to a new low of 14.125p.

Ex-dividends

GlobalData (LON: DATA) is paying a final dividend of 18.3p a share and the share price fell 15p to 1220p.

Duke Royalty (LON: DUKE) is paying a dividend of 0.7p a share and the share price declined 0.6p to 32.1p.

IDOX (LON: IDOX) is paying a final dividend of 0.5p a share and the share price rose 0.3p to 62.3p.

Quartix Holdings (LON: QTX) is paying a final dividend of 6.3p a share and the share price is unchanged at 260p.

Wynnstay Group (LON: WYN) is paying a final dividend of 11.6p a share and the share price slipped 7.5p to 11.6p.

Are Lloyds shares a buy as the banking crisis subsides?

Lloyds shares were sent sharply lower in the recent banking crisis as FTSE 100 banks sank on concerns we could be entering a financial crisis reminiscent of 2008.

These fears were quashed this week by the Bank of England Governor as he dismissed the current saga being anywhere near as severe as the 2008’s crisis.

This sparked a wave of optimism through markets and banking stocks globally have rallied from their worst levels.

“With banking worries put on the back burner for now, with no further stresses in the system emerging, investors’ appetite for a bit more risk is returning,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown, earlier this week.

The risk investors are prepared to take on is being channelled into US and European banks. The broad global banking sector is now significantly off the worst levels. The S&P Global 1200 Financials Sector Index is around 4% higher than last week’s low.

Lloyds shares

The collapse of SVB which spilled over into Europe and culminated in the takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS send waves through global banking shares. Many now trade at large discounts to recent highs.

This includes Lloyds shares which are over 10% below 2023 highs. This in itself is by no means a buying signal but for long term holders, the current Lloyds share price provides a more attractive entry point than it did just a month ago.

Lloyds now trades at just 6x earnings, lower than Natwest’s 6.5x earnings but higher than Barclays 3.5x. Banking earnings multiples have persistently been below the FTSE 100 average for many years now so comparisons against the FTSE 100 benchmark are of little use.

After a period of rising interest rates, the bank themselves said they see their net interest margins plateauing in the coming year. This would suggest capital appreciation will be a result of multiple expansion, as opposed to earnings growth, in 2023.

Lloyds dividend

One reason why investors may be attracted to Lloyds shares is the dividend. And the income case is compelling.

Lloyds currently yields 5.1% – among the FTSE 100’s top 20 yielding stocks based on historical payouts. Their dividend is covered 3.3x meaning there is plenty of scope for dividend hikes in the future.

In their recent annual report, Lloyds said: “The Board remains committed to future capital returns. Going forward, the Board intends to maintain its progressive and sustainable ordinary dividend policy alongside further returns of surplus capital at the end of the year as appropriate.”

Risks

Although Lloyds shares offer relative value and a progressive dividend, there are of course risks to consider. The banking crisis is not yet completely offer. A rout in Deutsche Bank shares due to a single bet on their Credit Default Swaps last week highlights nervousness around European banks.

In addition, the health of the UK economy – the UK property market in particular – could impact Lloyds share price in the coming months.