MIGO Opportunities Trust: turning headwinds into tailwinds

By Nick Greenwood, Fund Manager – MIGO Opportunities plc

A major headwind for the MIGO Opportunities Trust (MIGO) portfolio in recent months has been the rapid widening in investment trust discounts. Numis recently published their widest average discount figure for the sector since the Global Financial Crisis at 17.2%. The figure is much wider for trusts with alternative mandates where there has been a vast issuance of shares in recent years leaving the market oversupplied with unwanted shares. Well known trusts such Hipgnosis Songs, Taylor Maritime and Tritax Eurobox trade on extreme discounts. The sharp rise in interest rates has triggered a rapid move out of these trusts causing some former favourites to see their share prices fall sharply. Ten-year gilt yields touched 4.5% in the immediate aftermath of September’s “mini budget” having started last year at around 1%. Whilst UK government securities have recovered their poise, they still offer 3.5%. Given investors can now generate income from these conventional sources they no longer need to take enhanced risks. Consequently, it has made sense to switch out of, say, an infrastructure trust yielding 5% into gilts. It became clear that many of these trusts had originally been bought purely in response to yield starvation rather than for their fundamentals. In response to the evaporation of the yield premium there appears to have been a universal selling of investment trusts with many babies thrown out with the bath water.

Investment trust shares are purely decided by the balance of supply and demand in the market and the current oversupply has left perfectly decent portfolios trading well below their fundamental values. This is because there is a lack of demand for the structure that owns them rather than the assets themselves. Inevitably the market will exploit this arbitrage by takeover bids. An early example has been Blackstone’s 168p bid for Industrials Reit one of our core positions which owned mixed light industrial estates. Its shares languished on a wide discount closing at 118p the day before the offer was made.

We expect the headwind to turn into a tailwind for MIGO.

Risks

Alternative investments typically behave differently to traditional investments such as bonds and equities. They can include a range of assets such as specialist lending, private equity, hedge funds and gold. Adding alternative investments to a portfolio can help to make it more diverse but can also make it more volatile.

Nick Greenwood

Fund Manager – MIGO Opportunities plc

ENDS

Notes to Editors:

This information is intended for journalists and media professionals only.  It should not be relied upon by retail clients or investment professionals. The views provided are those of the author at the time of writing and do not constitute advice. These views are subject to change and do not necessarily reflect the views of Premier Miton Investors. The value of investments may fluctuate which will cause fund prices to fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the original amount invested.

For further information, please contact:

Edelman Smithfield Consultants: (Financial PR):Andrew Wilde, Imogen Gardam: 020 3047 2533

Issued by Premier Portfolio Managers Limited which is registered in England no. 01235867, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and a member of the ‘Premier Miton Investors’ marketing group and a subsidiary of Premier Miton Group plc (registered in England no. 06306664). Registered office: Eastgate Court, High Street, Guildford, Surrey GU1 3DE.

AIM movers: Intelligent Ultrasound higher ahead of results and DeepVerge revenues disappear

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Intelligent Ultrasound (LON: IUG) shares jumped 62.1% to 11.75p ahead of full year results on 20 April. A trading statement has already flagged a one-third increase in revenues to £10.1m, helped by strong UK sales. AI-related revenues are low but growing rapidly. This is the highest the share price has been for six months.

Chain and transmission equipment manufacturer Renold (LON: RNO) made a much higher profit in the year to March 2023 than was forecast. Like-for-like growth in revenues was 13% and there was a strong fourth quarter. Efficiency improvements helped to improve margins. Earnings per share have been upgraded by one-fifth to 5.8p. Net debt is lower than expected at £29.8m. The order book is worth £99.5m. The 2023-24 profit forecast has been edged up, but it is still lower than the 2022-23 figure – partly due to higher interest charges. The share price has jumped 14.1% to 28.4p, which is a prospective 2023-24 multiple of six.

Sabien Technology (LON: SNT) set up b.grn with Parris Group to develop waste plastic recycling sites in the UK. A memorandum of understanding has been signed with South Korean companies that will provide a recycling project cluster plan for an oil recycling plant in the Midlands. The share price has risen 11.3% to 17.25p.

Surface Transforms (LON: SCE) more than doubled its 2022 revenues, but the loss increased from £4.3m to £5.9m. The brake disc technology developer has an order book worth £290m. Technical issues have been solved and capacity is being added. A move into profitability is expected in the second quarter of 2023 and this year’s revenues are forecast to more than treble to £16.2m – a small full year pre-tax loss is still expected. The share price is 9.23% higher at 35.5p, although it has fallen back later in the morning.

Environmental and life sciences technology company DeepVerge (LON: DVRG) says that revenues have been incorrectly recognised. That means that the 2022 figure will be 45%-50% lower than the £17.2m previously flagged. Some of the expected revenues have been delayed while others will not be recognised. The order book is more than £10m and this will be recognised in 2023 and 2024. There is £1m in the bank and more funding will be required. The share price dived 43.1% to 0.825p, which is a new low.

Fashion retailer Quiz (LON: QUIZ) grew revenues by 17% to £91.7m with the fastest growth in UK stores and concessions. A pre-tax profit of at least £2m is estimated. Management is cautious about consumer spending and says that there is limited visibility for this year. Net cash was £6.2m at the end of March 2023. Even so, the share price fell 14.6% to 13.2p.

Tekcapital (LON: TEK) is raising £2m at 15p a share to invest in its portfolio companies, including MicroSalt, which is soon to float on AIM. There will be £1m spent on inventory for MicroSalt so that orders can be fulfilled. A further £500,000 will be invested in a facility for autonomous vehicle technology developer Guident. The share price declined by 10% to 15.75p.

Omega Diagnostics (LON: ODX) says revenues are in line with expectations, but the EBITDA loss will be double previous estimates at £2m. Production problems have led to the higher loss. There was £5m in the bank at the end of March 2023. Mediation with the UK government over a potential £2.5m pre-production payment is likely to commence in late April. The share price is 8.62% lower at 2.65p.

Harland & Wolff – Islandmagee Energy report findings on group project for storing hydrogen gas in salt caverns

The Harland & Wolff Group Holdings (LON:HARL), which owns the Islandmagee gas storage project in County Antrim in Northern Ireland, has just issued the findings of a report into the development of its important project.

The company believes that the study and the Report’s findings takes it one step further in future-proofing the project and preparing it for the transition from a natural gas to a hydrogen-led economy. 

In due course, it is expected to provide 25% of the UK’s natural gas storage capacity.

The pioneering facility is a low-cost fast cycle operation aimed at providing safe, secure and flexible gas storage that will serve the island of Ireland and mainland UK.

It plans to create up to seven salt caverns, which when fully developed the facility will be capable of storing up to a total of up to 500m cubic metres of gas in Permian salt beds approximately 1,500 metres below Larne Lough.

Storage caverns will be developed in a natural salt structure below the seabed and will enable gas to be delivered, stored and then returned to the UK’s national transmission system.

The Islandmagee facility will support the growing demand for gas-fired power development and renewable energy generation throughout the UK and the Irish Republic.

The project would provide security of supply during peak demand for up to 14 days

Continuation of good group news

The good news keeps on coming from this group.

It recently announced a positive Business Update and Management Outlook for this current year and into 2024.

Its order backlog of over £900m covers contracts over the next seven years, while its new order pipeline is swelling with prospects of over £3.6bn in the next five years.

Apart from owning Islandmagee, the group operates through five markets: commercial, cruise and ferry, defence, energy and renewables and six services: technical services, fabrication and construction, decommissioning, repair and maintenance, in-service support and conversion.

Its Belfast yard is one of Europe’s largest heavy engineering facilities, with deep water access, two of Europe’s largest drydocks, ample quayside and vast fabrication halls. 

The group also has two Scottish-based yards, focused upon work for the renewables, energy and defence sectors.

In addition, it also has a sizeable undercover drydock at Appledore.

Analyst Opinion – looking for trebled sales this year and reduced losses

Analyst Peter Renton at the group’s NOMAD and Joint Broker Cenkos Securities has a Buy recommendation out on the company’s shares.

His estimates for the current year to end December look for a 350% rise in group revenues to £100m but he then goes for a 2024 doubling of that figure to £200m.

On the basis of those figures, he looks for a pre-tax loss this year of £34.1m falling to £20.0m next year.

Conclusion – share price to double

The group’s shares at just 15.5p, up 2% on today’s news, look to be very capable of doubling in price in the next year or so.

Top 5 small-cap FTSE shares Q2 2023 Part 2: Greatland Gold, Premier African Minerals and Avacta

Following Part 1 of Top 5 high-risk small-cap FTSE shares to consider in Q2 2023 published last week, Part 2 outlines the cases for Greatland Gold, Premier African Minerals and Avacta.

Of course, this is only a personal view, and not investing advice. The high-risk notice is made for a reason. They’re speculative and volatile but come with the chance of exceptional returns for patient investors.

3. Greatland Gold (LON: GGP)

GGP shares have fallen significantly over the past year, but the gold explorer could be one of the best small-cap opportunities by dint of its 30% ownership of the world-class Havieron Project in Western Australia.

The other 70% is owned by mining titan Newcrest, who also owns the nearby Telfer gold mine and associated processing plant. The plan for some time has been to develop Havieron using Telfer’s infrastructure.

However, a spanner has recently been thrown into the works. Newmont has approached Newcrest with an improved offer $19.5 billion merger offer, which would create the world’s largest gold miner by some margin. Given the cost synergies, the companies’ shared history, and rudderless Newcrest leadership, I think this will now go through.

The implications for GGP are stark — they might be about to be in partnership with the world’s gold titan, though they may also look for a way to buy out the remaining 30% of the $1.2 billion project and also negotiate access to Telfer.

Regardless, a Newmont-Newcrest tie-up could act as a near-term price catalyst.

4. Premier African Minerals (LON: PREM)

PREM has been one of the best FTSE AIM performers in recent years, with its share price rising from lows of 0.02p less than four years ago to over 1p today — yielding a market cap over £220 million.

The Zimbabwe-based miner is the 100% owner of the Zulu Lithium Project, which is widely regarded as one of the largest undeveloped lithium reserves in the world. And it’s just cleared up the last couple of hiccups before production — including a missing reagent and government approval.

CEO George Roach has already noted that ‘with plant commissioning already complete, we are now going through the final stages of process control implementation with the plant designers with first concentrate expected shortly and first shipments now targeted for the end of the month.’

With investor Canmax holding circa 13% of shares and rights to 50% of offtake — and Chinese titans investing heavily in the country — investors are feverishly considering the prospect of a full buyout at a high premium.

If not, first sales could be enough by itself to catalyse the share price higher — though I’d caution that there are nearly always small problems when a plant first switches on.

5. Avacta (LON: AVCT)

Avacta is currently proceeding with clinical trials of its flagship AVA6000 — which it hopes will deliver ‘chemotherapy without the side effects.’

The company recently announced that the first patient of the fifth cohort of the flagship AVA6000 Phase 1a Dose Escalation Study has been dosed with the treatment in the UK — this first in-human phase I trial includes MHRA approval for higher dosages — at a level of 250mg/m2. The idea is to find out the maximum tolerable dose for further clinical trials.

CEO Alastair Smith notes that ‘the recent confirmation of release of active chemotherapy in the tumour tissue and the safety data being generated in the ALS-6000-101 study are providing detailed insights.’

The company has also opened two US Clinical Investigator Sites for AVA6000 Phase 1, one at the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center and the second at the Fred Hutch Cancer Center. Enrolment for soft tissue sarcoma patients has begun, with trials led by globally renowned oncologists Dr William Tap and Dr Lee Cramer.

Avacta has hinted that phase 1B may be conducted initially across the pond, claiming that stateside is ‘uniquely positioned’ for further research. CDO Neil Bell has highlighted the recent ‘major milestone,’ and plans to ‘build the clinical evidence base for the safety and tolerability of AVA6000.’

Further clinical success could see the share price rocket — and a buyout or US listing — could come at any time.

This article has been prepared for information purposes only by Charles Archer. It does not constitute advice, and no party accepts any liability for either accuracy or for investing decisions made using the information provided.

Further, it is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

Tekcapital secures MicroSalt growth capital

UK intellectual property investment group Tekcapital has secured additional funding to accelerate growth at their portfolio companies.

Tekcapital raised £2m by way of a placing at 15p per share. The funds will be allocated primarily to the growth of MicroSalt and Guident, with £1m designated to MicroSalt inventory.

“We are pleased to announce this oversubscribed offering to facilitate the further significant progress of our portfolio companies,” said Clifford M. Gross PHD., Executive Chairman of Tekcapital plc.

Tekcapital said MicroSalt were preparing for ‘significant forthcoming orders,’ suggesting the capital is required to build out inventories to meet demand.

MicroSalt has recorded several commercial achievements, including their SaltMe crisps being available in over 2,000 Kroger stores and inking deals with food manufacturers.

Having appointed Zeus Capital as their NOMAD late last year, investors will eagerly await further MicroSalt commercial updates, and this morning’s developments suggest momentum is gathering.

Guident will receive a £500k share of the funding raised to develop their Remote Control Monitoring Centre further and conduct additional testing of their regenerative shock absorbers for clients.

AIM reversal: Beacon Energy

Shares in Beacon Energy were readmitted following the acquisition of Rhein Petroleum. This brings with it a producing oilfield with potential production of up to 4,000 barrels of oil per day in the coming years.
A drilling rig has been contracted for the onshore Schwarzbach-2 well and it should mobilise in June. Drilling should take 25 days to reach a depth of 2,255 metres and then there will be 12 days of testing. A tie-in to existing production facilities would take 12 days. The cash raised will finance this drilling.
The share price dropped 34.3% to 0.115p following the reversal. The produc...

New Aquis admission: PanGenomic Health

PanGenomic Health (LON: NARA) joined the Access segment of the Aquis Stock Exchange on 12 April. The shares were already listed on the Canadian Stock Exchange, so the company was able to join the market without a new prospectus.
Management wants to tap the potential UK shareholder base interested in digital health investment. No new money was raised when the Aquis quotation started. Novum is corporate adviser.
The share price has stayed at 4.5p during the week and no trades have been reported. The Canadian share price is C$0.07 and it has fallen from C$0.25 since trading commenced last July. T...

Aquis weekly movers: Guanajuato Silver Company drilling results

Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd (LON: GSVR) was the best performer of the week with a 31.5% gain to 35.5p, which is its highest level since trading started on the Aquis Stock Exchange. The silver explorer announced positive drilling results at the San Ignacio mine Some of the drilling has encountered high grades. There could be a new area of thick mineralisation. This will help to extend the mine life.

Cannabis supplier Ananda Developments (LON: ANA) says preparations are underway for a medicinal cannabis flower processing facility. The MRX1 cannabidiol medical cannabis oil will be launched commercially in June and it may be used in two randomised controlled trials. The share price is 30.6% ahead at 0.64p.

NFT Investment (LON: NFT) has announced a general meeting on 26 May to gain shareholder approval for a proposed tender offer by April 2024. The tender will be for up to 857.1 million shares and the price will be the greater of 3.5p a share or NAV for each share. The share price is 23.3% higher at 1.85p.

Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) has been awarded an £11m grant from the UK government under phase 2 of the Longer Duration Storage Demonstration competition. This will deploy a 30MWh vanadium flow battery. The share price is 18.8% higher at 41p.

The Gunsynd (LON: GUN) share price improved by 14.3% to 0.4p on the back of limited share trading. Investee company Omega Oil and Gas (ASX: OMA) says initial results from the Canyon-2 well in Queensland have exceeded expectations.

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) investee company Evergreen Lithium joined the ASX on 11 September. Cadence Minerals, whose share price is 6.96% higher at 10.375p, has 8.74% stake in Evergreen Lithium and the share price nearly doubled to A$0.57 during the week.

After the market closed on Friday Arbuthnot Banking (LON: ARBB) announced a £12m share issue at 925p a share. Prior to that the share price had risen by 0.3% to 965p. Chairman and chief executive Henry Angest will invest £6.75m of that money. The cash will be used to grow the loan book.

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Fallers

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) has entered into commercial agreements for its investments in Tanzania projects. Takela Mining is the partner for the Nyorinyori and Bagamoyo graphite projects and Kusini Gateway Industrial Park Ltd for the Bagamoyo graphite project. The share price fell 10.8% to 11.375p.

Shareholders in Apollon Formularies (LON: APOL) have agreed to the disposal of selling IP assets to Canada-listed Global Hemp Group for $250,000 in cash and 10 million shares in the acquiror at C$0.015 each, as well as a new investing strategy. Global Hemp is continuing its due diligence. The share price declined by 9.76% to 0.185p.

EPE Special Opportunities (LON: EO.P) had an NAV of 309.57p a share at the end of March 2023. The share price slipped 5.88% to 160p.

AIM weekly movers: Spectral MD Nasdaq reversal

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Spectral MD (LON: SMD) reached its highest level for more than 18 months following the news that it is merging with Nasdaq-listed SPAC Rosecliff Acquisition Corp 1. The share price is 57.1% higher at 44p. The deal values Spectral MD at $170m, or 101p a share. In June 2021, the AIM flotation price was 59p. The AIM quotation will be cancelled. There is likely to be a $15m placing. This will provide additional cash to finance the commercialisation of the DeepView woundcare analysis technology. The transaction should complete in the third quarter.

Kodal Minerals (LON: KOD) has risen 55.9% to 0.795p on the week following the announcement that Hainan Mining has received approvals from the Chinese authorities for its proposed £82m funding package for the Bougouni lithium project in Mali and the £14.6m share subscription in Kodal Mining. A $7m deposit has already been achieved. This is the highest the share price has been since 2014.

Immupharma (LON: IMM) will hold a meeting with the FDA in the US concerning a phase 2/3 trial study protocol on 16 May. The protocol is for P140 in chronic idiopathic demyelinating polyneuropathy. This is a rare autoimmune disorder affecting around 50,000 individuals in the UK and Europe. The share price moved up by 51.5% to 2.95p.

Ocean Harvest Technology (LON: OHT) continued its share price rise following last week’s placing that raised £6m, or £4.5m after expenses, at 16p. This week the share price rose 37.3% to 24.2p, even though Terence Butler Holdings sold one million shares at 22.97p each. Ocean Harvest Technology produces ingredients for animal feed using seaweed under the OceanFeed brand name. Its main facility is in Vietnam.

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Fallers

Circle Property (LON: CRC) shares have gone ex-entitlement for the £16.1m return of capital. That is equivalent to 55p a share. The share price is 63.6% lower at 20p. Once the remaining property sales are completed there will be another pay out.

In-content advertising technology company Mirriad Advertising (LON: MIRI) admits that there is not ging to be a bid. The share price has slumped 42.2% to 0.94p. There was £7.5m in the bank at the end of March. Management is seeking a source of more funding, but there is no certainty that more cash will be secured. Mirriad is partnering with broadband and video delivery services provider Harmonic Inc to help broadcasters to target audiences.

Shares in Beacon Energy (LON: BCE) have been readmitted following the acquisition of Rhein Petroleum. This brings with a producing oilfield with potential production of up to 4,000 barrels of oil per day in the coming years. Beacon Energy has certified 2P net reserves of 3.85mmbbl across four assets in Germany. The share price dropped 34.3% to 0.115p.

Kibo Energy (LON: KIBO) is repricing 1.13 billion warrants to 0.1p, the loan notes will be convertible at 0.14p a share and the bridge loan has been amended to a 24-month loan. For each warrant exercised before the end of June 2023, there will be one incentive warrant issued that is exercisable at 0.25p. This could help to fund the spinning-out of Ultimate Sustainable Energy as a separate AIM company. The share price has fallen 28.2% to 0.07p.

FTSE 100 touches 7,900 as US banks impress

The FTSE 100 added to a consistent week of gains as the index briefly touched 7,900 on Friday following the release of US retail sales data and upbeat US banking earnings.

The FTSE 100 was trading at 7,896 at the time of writing.

Strong results from US banks helped lift sentiment early on Friday, with Citigroup, Wells Fargo and JP Morgan all beating analyst estimates. JP Morgan shares rose over 7%.

However, shortly before the US open, mixed US retail sales data sapped some enthusiasm from investors and again raised questions about the underlying health of the US economy.

“Headline numbers were weaker than expected, coming in 1% down MoM and continuing the recent market theme of softening US data. Excluding autos, gas and the control group, the numbers were stronger than expected, which may cloud the market reaction and potential positioning squaring into the weekend by market participants,” said Ryan Brandham, Head of Global Capital Markets, North America at Validus Risk Management.

In a sign of underlying interest for stocks, the S&P 500 rebounded quickly from a lower open and was closing in on the highest levels since August.

UK banks

The plethora of upbeat earnings results from US banks sparked a rally in FTSE 100 banks on hopes US strength would be evident in the next round of updates from UK counterparts.

Standard Chartered was the FTSE 100’s top riser with a 4% gain. HSBC and Barclays were not far behind, adding 3.8% and 3.2%, respectively.

Barclays shares are now only about 10% away from recovering all losses incurred since the beginning of the SVB saga. Standard Chartered – the heaviest hit FTSE 100 bank during the mini-crisis – needs around a 25% rally.