Aquis weekly movers: One Health Group makes debut

One Health Group (LON: OHGR) joined the Apex segment of the Aquis Stock Exchange on 24 November. The NHS-funded medical procedures provider raised £1.56m at 150p a share, giving One Health Group a market capitalisation of £15.1m. The share price ended the week at 156.5p. Demand for the company’s services should continue to be strong as the NHS tries to reduce the backlog of operations. In the six months to September 2022, revenues were £9.7m. The plan is to pay 50% of post-tax profit in dividends. Net cash was £3.68m at the end of March 2022. The additional cash will provide working capital.

Diesel additives supplier SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) has appointed Steele Environmental as a US distributor for shipping markets and land-based transportation and revealed a positive evaluation with Caspian Marine Services. The share price rose 7.69% to 14p.

A company owned by NFT Investments (LON: NFT) chairman Jonathan Bixby and non-exec Mike Edwards have has acquired 20 million shares at 0.8p a share. The uncertainty around cryptocurrency and NFTs has hit the shares, which rebounded 2.7% to 0.95p – still three-fifths lower than at the start of 2022.

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) has increased its stake in the Blesberg lithium mine from 5% to 100%. The cost is $1.7m. This is subject to regulatory approval. Mobile mining equipment and the majority of processing equipment is on the site and the infrastructure is being upgraded. First deliveries of lithium ore are expected in December. The share price increased by 2.08% to 2.45p.

Finance boss Rob Smith has purchased 724,503 Chapel Down Group (LON: CDGP) shares at 25.5p each. The share price rose 1.92% to 26.5p.

Electric vehicle drivetrains developer Equipmake Holdings (LON: EQIP) edged up revenues by 3% to £3.71m in the year to May 2022. A much greater proportion of the revenues came from commercial and production contracts. The loss was more than trebled to £5.2m. There was still £1.88m of cash in the balance sheet and since then it raised £10m gross at 4.25p a share in its Aquis flotation. A partnership with an electrical aerospace specialist will generate initial orders for prototypes worth £400,000. The share price improved by 1.89% to 6.75p.

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Fallers

EDX Medical (LON: EDX) shares have fallen back 2.38% to 5.125p this week. The reversal was done at 6p a share. EDX announced a collaboration for the European cancer biomarker programme with Tianjin Bioscience. This should result in the development of cost-effective cancer tests.

Good Energy (LON: GOOD) was one of 17 energy suppliers criticised by Ofgem for failing vulnerable customers. Good Energy was one of five deemed to have severe weaknesses, such as setting debt repayments too high. The share price fell 1.25% to 197.5p.

AIM weekly movers: Increased share trading at Mobile Tornado

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Trading in Mobile Tornado (LON: MBT) shares increased to levels not experienced since April and this pushed up the share price by 94.7% to 1.85p (1.7p/2p). On Thursday, there were 1.63 million shares were traded on Friday this rose to 5.24 million shares. This was still a small number of shares in relation to the issued share capital. There were no individual trades worth more than £10,000. Mobile Tornado has announced that it is entering the Guatemala and El Salvador markets.

Real Good Food (LON: RGD) has secured additional financing of £2.5m from Hilco Private Capital. This lasts for 12 months and is in addition to the £6.3m from the Leumi ABL. This will help to fund restructuring and cost reduction. Gail Lumsden is leaving the board in February and a replacement non-exec is being sought. The share price recovered 76.2% to 1.85p.

Semiconductors supplier EnSilica (LON: ENSI) says that it is trading in line with expectations. The order book and pipeline should ensure further growth in future years, as well as sharp improvements in profitability. The share price increased 54.1% to 75.5p. EnSilica joined AIM in May at 50p a share.

Zanaga Iron Ore Company (LON: ZIOC) says it is acquiring a controlling shareholding in the Zanaga iron ore project from Glencore Projects in return for the issue of shares that will give Glencore a 48.26% stake. Glencore can appoint two directors and has to retain the shares for six months. Glencore has exclusive marketing rights for the iron ore produced at the mine. A general meeting will be held on 13 December to gain shareholder approval for the deal. The Zanaga Iron Ore share price rose 43.3% to 4.5p.

North Sea oil and gas company IOG (LON: IOG) has restarted production from both Blythe and Elgood gas fields into the Saturn Banks pipeline system. The Southwark gas field should be linked up to the pipeline by the beginning of next year. The share price jumped by 42.5% to 16.1p.

DeepMatter Group (LON: DMTR) plans to cancel the AIM quotation because management believes that it will be easier to raise cash as a private company. The digital chemistry data analysis business. Says major shareholders support the plan. DeepMatter wants to raise £1m before leaving AIM and then a larger amount after the departure. This year’s revenues will be at least £1.5m.  The share price slumped 62.5% to 0.045p.

Shares in Myanmar Investments International (LON: MIL) are rarely traded, but last week there was an uptick in activity, and this knocked 45.5% off the share price to 9 cents. The largest trade was in 200,000 shares at 5 cents each.

Drilling delays at five development Russian wells has hit the Petroneft Resources (LON: PTR) share price, which fell by two-fifths to 0.45p. The oil and gas company could not obtain the finance required.

Molecular diagnostics company Genedrive (LON: GDR) generated revenues of £49,000 in the year to June 2022 and the cash burn averages £400,000 each month. Net cash was £3m at the end of October. Genedrive is seeking additional funding to enable it to grow revenues. The share price fell 29.4% to 9p.

Osirium Technologies (LON: OSI) is raising £1.53m at 2p a share. The share price slumped 28.7% to 2.85p. This cash will provide additional working capital and help the cyber security business reach cash breakeven earlier than previously expected. Annualised cost savings of £1m have been identified and £650,000 of these have already been implemented. Sales director Stuart McGregor is replacing chief executive David Guyatt and he will become executive chair instead. Allenby has increased its forecast 2022 revenues to £1.8m and slightly reduced the expected loss to £3.22m. Osirium will go back into net debt during 2023.

SSE agrees sale of 25% stake in transmission business

SSE has agreed the sale of a 25% stake in their SSEN Transmission business to Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board in a £1,465m deal.

SSE says the sale will help boost the growth of the network and provide an opportunity to invest in SSE’s other core businesses.

Investment in electricity transmission is key to achieving net zero targets. As an integral element of the energy supply chain, transmission infrastructure facilitates the distribution of renewable energy generation. If transmission capabilities are not improved in the UK, additional renewable power will struggle to reach people’s homes.

“We are delighted to agree a transaction that will help unlock the full potential of our growing electricity transmission business, which remains core to our strategic direction as a clean energy champion specialising in electricity infrastructure,” said Gregor Alexander, Finance Director of SSE.

“As we set out in our Net Zero Acceleration Programme last year, due to the scale of potential growth and the associated investment required across SSE’s businesses, including in electricity networks, bringing in minority partners will balance capital allocation and support further growth, creating greater long-term value for all our stakeholders. 

“In Ontario Teachers’ we have a strong long-term partner who we have worked with successfully over the past 18 years and, whilst we will retain operational control, they will be critical to SSEN Transmission’s ongoing future success.”

FTSE 100 grinds higher in thin trade, housebuilders fall

Thanks Giving in the United States typically reduces volumes in markets with traders away from their desks. This year has been no expectation.

European indices took the reduced liquidity as an opportunity to grind higher yesterday, and these gains continued into Friday’s session. 

The FTSE 100 was 0.3% higher while European indices were broadly flat, although in positive territory.

After Federal Reserve minutes on Wednesday, analysts at AJ Bell highlighted a subtle shift in markets that are now becoming slightly more optimistic we could be approaching an inflection point after a year of tighter monetary conditions.

“Investors might not realise it, but we’ve just had an important week in terms of the potential direction of markets going forward. Signs that the Federal Reserve might slow down the pace of interest rate hikes is the first step towards the pivot in strategy desired by so many investors,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

China

As political disruption in the UK and the US midterms fade into the rear view mirror, China has increasingly stole investors attention as the world’s second largest economy battles with COVID.

Rumours the Chinese authorities were considering the end of their Zero Covid policy have been quickly followed by reports of empty subways and deserted streets in China’s largest cities.

Nevertheless, investors have been betting on a response from China by buying into Chinese stocks and have been rewarded with a cut in the Chinese RRR to help stimulate the economy.

The cut will unleash billions of yuan into the system and ease financial conditions ready for the resumption of normal activities. 

The FTSE 100’s China-exposed stocks provided little reaction to the news with miners and Asia-focused banks such as HSBC and Standard Chartered hardly moving. These sectors have moved higher in recent weeks and the move to ease by China is largely priced in.

UK Housebuilders

The UK housebuilders were among the FTSE 100 worst performers after Berenberg cut their price forecasts in a bearish note.

“It has slashed pre-tax profit forecasts for the sector by 40% on average, saying a trough in earnings won’t happen until 2024. This may surprise investors who took the view that so much potential bad news was already factored into the value of housebuilders’ shares,” Russ Mould said.

AIM movers: finnCap ends merger talks and IOG recommences North Sea production

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finnCap (LON: FCAP) has ended bid talks with fellow broker Panmure Gordon. It was not possible to find a mutually acceptable structure or terms for the merger. The finnCap share price dived 21% to 14.625p. finnCap will report its interim figures in December.

Trading in Thor Mining (LON: THR) shares has been suspended on the ASX ahead of a fundraising, but trading continues on AIM and the share price has fallen by 11.1% to 0.4p. Thor Mining will use the cash to accelerate the exploration activity in its uranium projects in the US. Drilling has commenced at the Wedding Bell project in Colorado, US. Some cash will go on the Ragged Range gold lithium nickel project in Western Australia. This follows news of a farm-in agreement for the non-core Molyhill project in Australia.

Fuel technology developer Quadrise Fuels International (LON: QFI) continues to make progress in its strategy to generate commercial revenues in the year to June 2023. The share price declined 4.71% to 2.43p.

LED lighting and electro-mechanical systems manufacturer LPA Group (LON: LPA) says trading improved in the second half. Increased prices and supply problems are still hampering progress, but the problem is being managed. There should still be a small trading loss for the year. The order book is worth £28m. Earlier this month, Peter Gyllenhammar increased his stake from 18.4% to 19.2%. There was a 3.36% dip in the share price to 72p.

North Sea oil and gas company IOG (LON: IOG) has restarted production from both Blythe and Elgood gas fields into the Saturn Banks pipeline system. The Southwark gas field should be linked up by the beginning of next year. The share price jumped by 42,8% to 16.775p.

Tertiary Minerals (LON: TYM) has received government approval for the earning of up to a 90% interest in the Konkola West and Lubuila copper projects in Zambia. The share price rose by 16.2% to 0.215p.

Omega Diagnostics (LON: ODX) has received the £4m deferred consideration for the sale of the CD4 business. Net cash is expected to be £6.2m by the end of March 2022. This can be used to expand the health and food intolerance operations. The US is a market where more investment is planned. Omega Diagnostics remains loss making but could move into profit in 2023-24. The share price improved by 6.94% to 3.85p.

5 Things Moving Markets 25th November

US futures signalling a higher open

US futures were pointing to a higher open for US equities after the Thanks Giving holiday. A rally in Europe yesterday saw US futures track higher with the S&P indicted to open 10 points higher at the time of writing.

Chinese stocks rally despite rising COVID cases

Chinese COVID cases are rising rapidly and city streets are empty as the population attempts to avoid catching the virus. However, equities are seemingly pricing in additional stimulus from the Chinese authorities to help support the economy.

UK housebuilders fall

Berenberg has lowered their price targets on FTSE 100 housebuilders Taylor Wimpey, Barrat Developments, and Persimmon. Their shares were among the worst performers in early trade on Friday.

Oil prices dip

Oi traders have navigated a choppy week and were faced with fresh concerns about the Chinese economy and Russia price caps on Friday.

“There are palpable concerns that Chinese authorities will reintroduce widespread restrictions which would severely dent economic activity. At the same time, there are reports of a high price cap by G7 nations on Russian oil, which has further eased supply worries,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, Lead Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

SSE sells transmission business stake

SSE shares were ticking higher on Friday morning after announcing the sale of a 25% stake in their transmission business to the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board in a £1,465m deal.

AIM movers: Michelmersh acquires Fabspeed and ex-dividends

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Michelmersh Brick (LON: MBH) expects 2022 pre-tax profit to be ahead of expectations and it is acquiring pre-built brick products manufacturer and brick fabricator Fabspeed for an initial £6.25m. The Fabspeed acquisition will be earnings enhancing. There could be up to £2m more payable depending on performance over 24 months. A share buy back programme of up to £3m is being launched. Michelmersh has enough cash to finance these outflows. The share price moved ahead by 11.5% to 87.5p.

Arkle Resources (LON: ARK) has discovered pegmatites, which could be lithium-bearing, in the Mine River block on the Wexfod/Wicklow border. The share price jumped 31.6% to 0.625p.

Brake discs developer Surface Transforms (LON: SCE) has secured a £100m contract with a major global vehicle manufacturer. This year’s forecasts have been reduced, but the 2025 figures have been upgraded on the back of the new contract. The share price increased by 9.68% to 42.5p.

Karelian Diamond Resources (LON: KDR) says that the National Land Survey of Finland will meet on 14 December to establish the mining concession for the Lahtojoki diamond deposit, which contains colourless and coloured diamonds. The share price is 8.51% higher at 2.55p.

DeepMatter Group (LON: DMTR) plans to cancel the AIM quotation because management believes that it will be easier to raise cash as a private company. The digital chemistry data analysis business. Says major shareholders support the plan. DeepMatter wants to raise £1m before leaving AIM and then a larger amount after the departure. This year’s revenues will be at least £1.5m.  The share price has halved to 0.06p.

United Oil & Gas (LON: UOG) says that flow rates from the ASH-4 development well in Egypt have sharply declined. Stabilised flows will be lower than anticipated. The production rate from the Abu Sennan licence is also lower than anticipated. Full year daily production guidance has been reduced from 1,450-1,500boe per day to 1,300-1,325boe per day. There could be some upside from workovers. The share price slumped by 21.5% to 1.55p.

Diagnostic tests developer Abingdon Health (LON: ABDX) lost £21.3m in the year to June 2022, after revenues slumped from £11.6m to £2.8m. The loss includes write-offs. There was £4.4m in the bank at the end of October. The shares fell 12.5% to 5.25p.

Finance provider Morses Club (LON: MCL) reported a 18% decline in revenue to £43.2m and a loss of £20.8m. Talks continue concerning further funding and a scheme of arrangement to deal with ongoing liabilities. If the scheme of arrangement does not go ahead, then Morses Club may not be a going concern. The share price declined by 13.8% to 2.4p.

Ex-dividends

Craneware (CRW) is paying a final dividend of 15.5p a share and the share price fell 10p to 2200p.

Crystal Amber Fund (LON: CRS) is paying a dividend of 10p a share and the share price declined by 13p to 100p.

Finsbury Food (LON: FIF) is paying a final dividend of 1.67p a share and the share price is unchanged at 89p.

Fonix Mobile (LON: FNX) is paying a final dividend of 4.5p a share and the share price is 0.5p lower at 187p.

FRP Advisory (LON: FRP) is paying a dividend of 0.85p a share and the share price is unchanged at 162.5p.

iEnergizer (LON: IBPO) is paying an interim dividend of 11.07p a share and the share price fell 1.5p to 470.5p.

Inspiration Healthcare (LON: IHC) is paying an interim dividend of 0.21p a share and the share price is unchanged at 84.5p.

Lok’nStore (LON: LOK) is paying a final dividend of 12.25p a share and the share price is 10p lower at 960p.

Lloyds shares are building momentum – is 50p realistic before Christmas?

The Lloyds share price has been building momentum since mid-October when a change in the UK government ignited a rally in UK assets.

Lloyds isn’t one of the FTSE 100’s top 10 performers since Liz Truss’s resignation, but Lloyds shares are a solid 10% higher since Sunak became PM.

An improvement in UK sentiment has seen FTSE 100 banks tick higher with Lloyds now trading at 46p, approaching the key psychological level of 50p. Whether the 50p target is reached depends on two key factors.

Inflation data

The UK economy is walking a tight rope with household spending erosion on one side, and detrimental fiscal measures on the other. Indeed, the UK government has steadied financial markets, but Lloyds customers will suffer as a result. The light at the end of the tunnel is falling inflation which will ease the pressure on households and allow the Uk government to adjust their fiscal plan in the Spring.

UK CPI inflation hit 11.1% in October, if this continues to rise in November, the market reaction could see Lloyds’ march higher thrown off course.

Global growth

Global growth data, including the UK’s economic data, will be increasingly scrutinised as we move into the end of the year. With the Federal Reserve signalling the pace of interest rate hikes could be about to slow, we could be about to see a global shift in monetary policy.

Each piece of economic data will become more important as investors attempt to gauge when this shift could happen. If perceptions of this shift changes materially before Christmas, Lloyds shares could be swept up in a broad risk-on rally which see their shares smash through the 50p mark.

Another source of potential good news for the global economy is China. Although Lloyds has minimal direct exposure to the Chinese economy, the end of the Chinese Zero COVID has the potential to unleash a tidal wave of cash as the world’s second largest economy lifts global investor sentiment. Cyclical sector such as banks would be likely beneficiaries.

Lloyds valuation and dividend

With the Lloyds share price at 46p, the bank trades at 5.9x historical earnings, 0.6x book value and has yield of 4.4%. All of these metrics are attractive on a historical basis and support further gains, should the macro picture permit.

Dr Martens investors quaking in their boots as margins shrink

Dr Martens shares were down heavily on Thursday as investors in the boot-maker reacted to falling margins and the board’s decision to favour investment over profits.

Dr Martens have pushed on with store openings and marketing which saw EBITDA margin lower by 2.8% to 21.2%. The company said they would continue investing in the brand for future growth – at the expense of short-term profits.

The promise of persistent investment wasn’t taken well by the market, despite fairly robust sales numbers for the first half.

Revenue grew 13% on an actual exchange basis to £418m in the first half, however EBITDA was flat at £88.8m.

Despite the company raising the dividend by 28% to 1.56p per share, investors choose to focus on the uncertain outlook and Dr Marten shares were down 20% at the time of writing.

“The maker of iconic footwear, Dr Martens has tripped up in a big way with investors following its first half results,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The main reason the company has lost a bit of shine and polish is news that margins are under significant pressure.”

“While external factors such as a stronger dollar are playing a part, the company is also suffering from weakening demand and there are at least hints that its pricing power isn’t what many might have hoped given the apparent strength of the brand.

The top performing FTSE 100 stocks since Liz Truss’s resignation

Liz Truss’s resignation 20th October marked the end of her disastrous tenure as the UK Prime Minister and a period of self-inflicted market turmoil.

Her doomed mini-budget sent shockwaves through financial markets and many FTSE 100 companies suffered heavy selling.

However, since Truss’s demise, many FTSE 100 shares have bounced back as financial conditions ease and investors pick up beaten down shares.

These are the top performing FTSE 100 stocks since Truss’s resignation 20th October:

1. Centrica +38.9%

2. Fraser Group +38.2%

3. Ocado Group + 34.8%

4. B&M European Value +33.7%

5. Melrose Industries +29.3%

6. JD Sports +27.1%

7. Fresnillo +25.9%

8. 3i Group +23.7%

9. Intermediate Capital +23.4%

10. Rolls Royce Group +22.8%

Clearly, sentiment around the UK consumer has improved dramatically since Liz Truss left office. The FTSE 100’s UK consumer facing stocks are standout performers with Fraser Group, JD Sports and B&M staging sharp rallies.

The move in Uk consumer stocks has coincided with an easing in mortgages rates and a recovery in the pound demonstrating a broad improvement in sentiment around UK assets.

Centrica is by far the best performer, which may be attributed to a different approach to energy bills by Sunak and Hunt.