Wynnstay raising cash for capex and acquisitions

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Agricultural products supplier and retailer Wynnstay Group (LON: WYN) is raising £10.5m in a placing where the price will be set at 7am tomorrow morning, although the minimum will be 550p a share. The announcement was made after the official close the markets and the current share price is 660p.

Prices of milk and other farm products are rising, and this is sparking additional investment by farmers. Wynnstay believes that there are ways that it can use this trading backdrop to accelerate its growth.

Management have already declared that it wanted to redevelop the Calne feeds site that came with an acquisition earlier this year. This can be developed into a feed mill with a 185,000 metric tonne capacity and producing poultry and ruminant feed.

There are also opportunities for further acquisitions. Some of these are already being pursued by Wynnstay.

The company already has the shareholder approvals to issue enough shares to satisfy the demands of the placing.

The current share price is not far off the all-time high back in 2014. This is a cyclical business, so there tend to be cycles in the share price. The prospective 2022-23 multiple, before the latest placing, was just over 12. The placing will initially dilute earnings, although acquisitions could change that.  

FTSE 100 falls as UK inflation hits 10.1%

The FTSE 100 dipped on Wednesday after UK inflation increased concerns about domestic demand sending housebuilders lower, along with stocks exposed to the financial health of UK consumers and investors.

The FTSE 100 started the day in positive territory before ebbing into native territory throughout the session as the market digested the implications of higher inflation on rates and spending power.

“Unlike the US, where there is evidence surging prices have started to peak, inflationary pressures look pretty entrenched in the UK with further increases in energy prices still to come,” said AJ Bell financial analyst Danni Hewson.

“The inflation reading will only add to conviction that the Bank of England will hike rates a further 50 basis points at the next opportunity – providing consumers with a double whammy of rising food and energy bills as well as higher mortgage costs.”

The pound dipped against the dollar later in the day and overseas earners found support while UK domestic facing stocks sank, cementing a negative day for the Footsie.

Persimmon was the biggest faller after revealing a drop in first half completions, and took the rest of the housebuilders down with them. Persimmon gave up 5% while Taylor Wimpey and Barratt Developments shed over 2%.

Travel companies and retailers also suffered on concerns consumers ability to make discretionary purchases. Next sold off 1.8% and IAG shares decreased 3%.

Alcohol and Tobacco stocks

As investors sold UK domestic stocks, there was a rotation into defensive sectors and companies with reliable cashflows. British American Tobacco and Diageo were the top two risers as demand for their goods is largely inelastic and holds up well during tougher economic conditions.

Pharma stocks AstraZeneca and Dechra were also among the gainers, adding around 1%.

AIM movers: Gooch & Housego disappoints, while boohoo takes stake in Revolution Beauty

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Earnings forecasts for Gooch & Housego (LON: GHH) have been slashed by up to one-third and the chief executive is retiring. The share price slumped 20.8% to 656p. Demand for photonics technology remains strong, but a lack of skilled labour in the US and UK and supply chain constraints have hampered the company’s ability to increase capacity. There has been high demand for lasers for semiconductor manufacture. Analysts have reduced their 2021-22 pre-tax profit forecasts to £7.5m-£8m, while a pre-tax profit of around £12m is expected for 2022-23. A 12.5p a share dividend is still expected this year. Mark Webster is retiring as chief executive after eight years. Charlie Peppiatt will succeed him after joining from TT Electronics.

Frasers Group (LON: FRAS) has bid 2p a share for MySale Group (LON: MYSL), which values the retailer at £13.6m, and the share price has slumped 21.9% to 2.1p. Frasers already owns 28.7%. MySale Group floated in 2014 at 226p a share.

Online fashion retailer boohoo (LON: BOO) has made a strategic investment in cosmetics supplier Revolution Beauty (LON: REVB), which recently announced a profit warning. boohoo has bought a 7.13% shareholding, while AXA and Jupiter have reduced their stakes during August. Revolution Beauty products are sold through several of boohoo’s websites. The Revolution Beauty share price recovered 23.5% to 29.65p, while boohoo was 2.9% lower at 59.55p.  

Gold and precious metals reclaimer Goldplat (LON: GDP) had a record year in 2021-22. Operating profit increased from £5.3m to £8m. Fourth quarter profit in South Africa was trebled and Ghana produced a flat profit contribution. The share price was 11.7% ahead at 9.1p.

Touchstone Exploration (LON: TXP) has received approval to develop the Cascadura area of the Ortoire block from the Trinidad and Tobago authorities. A multi-well surface production facility will be built. There was a further 10.7% gain in the share price to 108.5p.

Platinum and precious metals explorer Future Metals NL (LON: FME) has announced an oversubscribed fundraising of $5m at 12.5 cents a share and could raise up to $500,000 more from eligible shareholders. The cash will used to fund exploration at Panton in Western Australia with a focus on the potential for a nickel copper and platinum group metals sulphide discovery. The share price rose 7.7% to 7p.

Record second half sales helped Colefax (LON: CFX) to beat profit forecasts and report a doubled pre-tax profit of £10.8m in the year to April 2022. Net cash is £21.8m after spending £6.7m on buying back shares. There was a particularly strong performance from the decorating division. Housing activity and new products are driving growth. There could be a slowing in activity levels later this year and a 2022-23 pre-tax profit of £6m is forecast by Peel Hunt. The share price rose by 2.87% to 807.5p.

Persimmon, UK Inflation, and Power Metal Resources with Alan Green

UK Inflation hit 10.1% in July as soaring energy and food prices dragged the headline inflation figure to the highest levels for 40 years. We discuss how inflation is taking its toll on households and whether the new UK Prime Minister can do anything to bring it under control, given UK inflation is among the highest of the G7.

Persimmon results can be viewed as a comprehensive indicator of the health of the UK economy and we question what falling completions mean as average selling prices rise. We look at the Persimmon yield and how their cash generation can support this yield going forward.

Power Metal Resources soared 45% yesterday after the announcement of favourable findings at their Molopo Farms Complex Project in Botswana. Alan outlines what investors can look forward to in the near future.

We finish by exploring the offering AQUIS provides for investors and exciting growth companies following the announcement Hargreaves Lansdown would provide electronic trading for the APEX segment of the AQUIS Stock Exchange.

Nightcap secures growth funding from HSBC

This morning Sarah Willingham’s expanding cocktail bar group Nightcap (LON:NGHT) has announced that after a very competitive process it has secured a very useful £10m debt refinancing with HSBC.

The facility is a bundling of its various loans totalling £5.5m across its businesses, together with a £4.5m capital expenditure facility for the Group’s additional sites as Nightcap extends its new openings programme across London and major UK cities.

Nightcap is a leading hospitality group in the UK offering unique, premium experiences for Millennial and Gen Z customers at affordable prices.

 The Group incorporates The Cocktail Club, The Adventure Bar Group and Barrio Familia. Nightcap’s executive team is led by prominent hospitality entrepreneur and investor, Sarah Willingham, and boasts a market leading operational and corporate finance track record. 

To date, the Nightcap operates across 31 sites in the UK including London, Birmingham, Exeter, Reading and Cardiff, while another 3 are in the process of refurbishment.

The company also has another 22 sites in various stages of negotiation.

Sarah Willingham, CEO, stated that:

“When we listed Nightcap on AIM and embarked on a company and new site acquisition programme last year, we knew that we would want to consolidate our debt facilities with the right banking partner.

“We have taken our time and at the end of a very competitive process we are delighted to have successfully agreed our Group refinancing. We are over the moon to be partnering with HSBC, who have proven themselves as long-term supporters of our sector. 

“Throughout the process the HSBC team showed an appreciation for our team and performance and a deep understanding of the unique opportunity we are capturing with Nightcap.

“The £10m debt facility will support our growth plans for the coming years as we make good on our mission for Nightcap to become the UK’s leading cocktail bar group.”

The group’s shares, which have been up to 24p within the last year, have been down to 13.50p and are now trading at 14.75p at which level they offer very good upside prospects.

Persimmon remains upbeat despite falling completions

The number of homes Persimmon completed in the first half of 2022 fell to 6,652 from 7,406 in the same period a year ago and revenue fell to £1.69bn from £1.84bn.

Despite completions falling, Persimmon were able to achieve a higher new home average selling price of £245,597 and remained positive on the rest of 2022.

“We continue to expect our volume delivery to be significantly higher in the second half of the year,” said Dean Finch, Persimmon Chief Executive.

As highlighted by the higher average selling prices, Persimmon’s fall in revenue was capped by a strong housing market that maintained prices, even as volumes fell. Indeed, Persimmon managed to increased New housing gross margins to 31%, up from 30.9%, in the face of rising prices and labour costs in the UK economy.

“House prices have proved remarkably robust since the pandemic began, buoyed by pent-up savings and cheap mortgages. Persimmon has gushed cash in this environment and is returning record amounts of it to shareholders,” said Charlie Huggins, Head of Equities at Wealth Club.

However, Huggins suggested that the favourable conditions may be coming to an end as economic conditions begin to soften and house prices dip.

“Persimmon is performing strongly in areas it directly controls. It has one of the best land banks in the industry and has taken steps to improve the quality of its homes and customer service. But, make no mistake – the biggest reason for Persimmon’s success is high house prices, and the general strength of the housing market.”

“That is something over which it has no control, and it could be about to change.”

Persimmon shares were broadly flat, down 0.2% at 1,845p at the time of writing.

UK Inflation hits 40-year high rising more than expected in July

UK Inflation rose to a 40-year high of 10.1% in July as prices continued to surge across key components and put further pressure on the health of the UK economy.

In contrast to the latest set of US inflation data, UK inflation beat analyst estimates of 9.8% suggesting inflation could rise further in the months to come as economists struggle to model the impact of rising energy bills and food prices.

“UK headline CPI inflation surprised on the upside and rose 10.1% year-on-year (consensus: 9.8%), compared to 9.4% in June. The CPI monthly increase was +0.6% (consensus: +0.4%), compared to +0.8% in June,” said Rob Clarry, Investment Strategist at Evelyn Partners.

The rise in prices was driven by energy prices, but with core CPI inflation, which excludes energy, alcohol and tobacco rising 6.2%, it highlights a broad increase in prices.

Rising inflation continues to attack consumers from all angles and shows no signs of easing off anytime soon,” said Les Cameron, Savings Expert at M&G Wealth.

There will be growing criticism of the UK government’s lack of action around rising prices as UK inflation soars above rates of other major developed economies.

“The ONS data indicates that inflation rose more sharply in the UK than other G7 nations like France, Germany, Italy and the US,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Power Metal Resources shares surge on ‘significant’ nickel discovery in Botswana

Power Metal Resources shares jumped on Tuesday after positive findings from their drilling campaign at the Molopo Farms Complex Project in Botswana. The project is targeting nickel-copper-platinum group elements and today’s announcement confirmed the presence of a large shallow dipping magnetic conductor, which importantly, was mineralised.

The significance of the nickel-sulphide mineralisation findings in the K1-6 drill hole are highlighted below:

7.0m @ 0.443% Ni from 445m, including 0.6m @ 1.69% Ni, 0.55g/t Pt & 0.14g/t Au from 446.7m downhole.1 This is within a broader mineralised interval from 294.7m (when pentlandite was first logged – assay result of 6606ppm Ni from 294.7 – 295.28m) to the end of the hole at 597.8m (minor sulphides logged – assay result 2852ppm Ni from 597.0 – 597.8m).

Power Metal Resources CEO, Paul Johnson spoke at the UK Investor Magazine Summer Investor Evening 30th June and gave his thoughts on the junior resource sector, emphasising how he felt it could be nearing a bottom. With a 45% jump in Power Metal Resources on Tuesday to add to gains over the last month, it at least proved to be the bottom for the company he heads up.

“Today’s exploration news is, in my view, potentially one of the more significant the Company has released in its 3-year history as Power Metal,” said Paul Johnson of today’s results.

“We have confirmed that drillhole K1-6 at Molopo Farms, drilled during the 2020/2021 programme, intersected the edge of a very large-scale and strong magnetic conductor. Significantly, drillhole K1-6 highlighted that the edge of the magnetic conductor was mineralised, with widespread nickel sulphides demonstrated from assay testing and follow up petrological analysis.”

Power Metal Resources presentation at the UK Investor Magazine Summer Investor Evening June 30th 2022

“As a result of the findings, multiple drillholes planned for the 2022 programme will target the centre of the magnetic conductor where we believe there is the potential for a more strongly mineralised system where the conductive response is considerably stronger and larger.”

With more drill holes planned in the future, investors may receive additional positive news from the junior explorer before long.

FTSE 100 gains as miners rise on strong BHP results

The FTSE 100 the benefits of its strong weighting towards commodities once more on Tuesday as strong results from BHP buoyed the miners.

BHP revealed record profits in 2021 as EBITDA jumped to $40.6 billion and attributable profits soared to 173%. However, it was not so much the ignited confidence in markets, rather their outlook on China and their demand for commodities in 2023.

“Despite China’s fragility, commodity giant BHP Billiton sees it as the more reliable source of revenue ahead, while other advanced economies face more of a struggle amid rising inflationary pressures,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst Hargreaves Lansdown.

As Streeter notes, advanced economies are facing difficulties due to rising prices and the FTSE 100 demonstrated again that it is not a representation of the UK economy as it rose 0.5% in mid afternoon trading on Thursday.

This was after data showed UK wages fell 3% and job vacancies declined for two years, raising concerns the cost of living crisis was starting to feed through to the job market.

“The FTSE 100 enjoyed steady gains despite continuing signs of economic turmoil in the UK,” says AJ Bell financial analyst Danni Hewson.

“In a sign of the weaker backdrop, the number of job vacancies fell for the first time in two years, although it is not a clear picture, with serious issues filling roles in certain sectors.

“This makes life difficult for the Bank of England as it looks to bring down rampant inflation without inflicting too much pain on businesses and households.”

Housebuilders and Financials

The pain Hewson mentions was evident in domestically facing FTSE 100 stocks such as housebuilders and financial. Rightmove again fell after warning of a slowing housing market yesterday and Taylor Wimpey, Persimmon and Barratt tracked them to the downside.

Oil rebound

Oil prices had been in downward spiral in recent days as concerns over global growth took Brent back beneath $100. A reprieve in selling helped oil major BP and Shell support the index and further offset concerns in domestic stocks.

What investors look for when investing in a business

Entrepreneurs who have presided over successful businesses tend to possess a multiplicity of talents and capabilities. Some may have scientific aptitudes that take them into specialist markets (such as biotech or engineering), while others may be drawn to more creative pursuits such as video production or music technology. But whatever the business path they’ve chosen to furrow, they all share one characteristic in common: they have a unique ability to convert an idea into a product or service that makes money.

One crucial ability in this is a capacity to spot opportunities when they arise in the market – that ramifying web of interconnected businesses and consumers (and government regulations) that all enterprises have to compete and succeed within. To seize such an opportunity profitably, many businesses, large and small, often discover that they need more capital than they currently have at their disposal – to expand, to meet a perceived demand, and to generate more profit.

This is the point where entrepreneurs often turn to investors, keenly aware that stasis isn’t an option in the business world: evolve and grow or gradually perish are the two tough choices before them. So, how do businesses persuade hard-headed investors that pouring financial resources into their firm will result in a tidy return on investment? 

Here are some of the fundamental essentials that all businesses in search of investment must have in place if they’re to secure that goal.

Watertight data

Sound data, properly ordered, provides potential investors with a key ‘persuader’: the data reveals a trail of previous results for the business. Without data to anchor a request for investment, investors simply won’t be swayed by mere talk and ideas. Data shows investors that the entrepreneur before them is someone who gets things done and such evidence of a prior track record is crucial to adding substance to a new idea. They will be more inclined to agree that a business can work at scale if it can demonstrate that it’s already working admirably at a smaller size.

It’s also imperative that a business has everything in order at the ground-level if it truly wants to pique the interest of a potential investor. Ensuring the legalities are adhered to – documents and payroll included – is essential for any business seeking investment. Being able to prove to an investor that the business holds, or has distributed, accurate and legally compliant documents, including a P45 and P60 to each of its employees, could be crucial in creating trust with an interested third-party. Of course, there are several more important factors to take into consideration, but these are some of the fundamentals that will not be overlooked by an investor.

However, for newbie entrepreneurs and startup businesses, a robust business plan can help to make up for a yet-to-be achieved data trail. Let’s consider that next.

A solid business plan

If there isn’t a track record to guide investors, a meticulously assembled business plan demonstrates another real quality that they will consider parting with their cash for: a disciplined, hard-headed mind showing clear thinking through of a proposal to make money. As a general rule, it won’t be sufficient alone to convince investors to pour funds into a business, but a business without one stands zero chance of attracting investment. 

Data informs a sound business plan, so to be viable, it must include data that supports an entrepreneur’s targeting of a particular market. Financial projections must be backed with hard numbers in a viable plan, along with data justifying proposed sales channels and analysis of the competition for a planned product or service. It should also include a realistic timeline for returns on the investment and an overview of potential obstacles (as well as proposals for overcoming them).

A vital tip: place all the key data in summary form in an executive summary – investors simply don’t have time to wade through a 60-page plan.

Company talent

Investors are acutely aware that businesses planning to scale will require the talent to guide that process skilfully – not so easy at a time when skills shortages threaten to stifle growth in some sectors. They will want to know about a company’s talent, especially as reflected in its management team – the people who will be executing the business plan and bringing it to fruition. Possessing demonstrable expertise and skill in a firm’s key players will play a significant part in persuading investors to favour a company.

The bottom line

Investors are not charities – they invest in order to make money, and the key task of an applicant is to convince them sufficiently that they will deliver precisely that. In other words, a great deal of serious preparation goes into the making of a successful pitch. 

Hard data; a rock-solid, thoroughly researched and data-based business plan; a demonstrably skilled talent team who can show how, when and on what the money will be spent; and, finally, a compelling story to bring it all to life are the indispensable ingredients of a successful bid for investment. 

None of the above will guarantee a successful bid for investment, but failures to have any of them firmly in place will almost certainly guarantee a refusal.