New standard listing: New Marwyn shell

MAC Alpha is the latest shell from Marwyn and it joined the standard list on Christmas eve. It is unclear whether this has been rushed out ahead of the changes in standard list regulations, which mean that tiny flotations like this will not be eligible for the standard list. The company was formed on 11 October 2021.
Each share came with a warrant exercisable at 100p, or the share price used for an acquisition if that is lower. Sponsor Marwyn retains 90% of the company. The sponsor has agreed to a forward purchase agreement to subscribe for up to £20m of A shares with warrants. This share issu...

UK individuals fund Christmas shopping spree with credit cards

The latest statistics from the Bank of England showed that UK shoppers choose to use their credit cards to fund Christmas shopping during November, whilst savings dropped.

Data from the Bank of England showed the UK added £900m in credit card in November in the run up to Christmas and early Black Friday sales.

“The nation got a head-start on its Christmas shopping this year, with the combination of Black Friday discounts, and worries about delivery delays and stock shortages all meaning that spending shot up in November. The nation is rapidly forgetting its frugal lockdown ways, with borrowing rising and the amount we’ve stashed away in savings falling, even compared to pre-pandemic levels,” said Laura Suter, head of personal finance at AJ Bell.

“Brits turned to the plastic for their pre-Christmas shopping, with £900m added to credit card debt in November, taking total net borrowing in the month to £1.2bn – the highest level since lockdown eased in July 2020. It’s a stark contrast to November last year, when Brits actually repaid £915m of credit card debt rather than adding to borrowing. It even looks high when compared to the pre-pandemic December peak of £681m being spent on plastic in December 2019.”

The rise is credit card spending came at a time when savings in the UK dropped to pre-pandemic levels.

“The good savings habits many people got into during lockdown also showed signs of dwindling in November, with the amount saved into cash accounts below pre-pandemic levels. In November £4.5bn was saved in banks and building society accounts and another £200m with NS&I – 60% lower than the average of the past 12 months.”

IAG shares fly on Omicron optimism

The IAG share price was the top riser in London’s leading index on Tuesday as fears over the omicron variant diminished and investors picked up the beaten down shares.

“Stocks reliant on international travel are powering ahead, with British Airways owner, International  Consolidated Airlines Group rising 7% in early trade. With yet more indications that Omicron, though highly infectious, does not cause such serious illness, a wave of relief is pushing up companies which have been hit by worries about tighter restrictions,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

IAG shares were up over 10% at the time of writing in morning trade on Tuesday.

The rally in the IAG share price came a day after US airline shares soared in the first trading session of 2022 in the US.

The rally in US airlines was sparked by a research note by Citigroup analyst Stephen Trent who said the declines due to the Omicron variant could be ‘unreasonable’.

“Nevertheless, higher vaccination rates and emerging anti-viral treatments are just some of the factors that could make negative, knee-jerk stock price reactions to the emergence of future variants look increasingly unreasonable,” Trent wrote in a research note.

IAG shares rose in a broad rally that saw most sectors gain. 79 of the 100 stocks in the FTSE 100 were higher on Tuesday morning with IAG the FTSE’s top riser.

“The best performing stocks in London were in the travel, leisure and energy sectors. Rolls-Royce, also taking off thanks to its heavy footprint in aircraft engines and spares and repairs, announced some corporate housekeeping with the completion of the sale of its Bergen Engines business,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The gains for oil firms, airlines and hotel, pub and restaurant operators reflect diminished investor concern about the Omicron variant of Covid-19 amid hopes it is milder, if more transmissible, and therefore may have a limited impact on the economy and won’t require onerous or long-lasting restrictions.”

“This is not a certainty, and there is the possibility the market might change its mind on Omicron again if there are signs the sheer volume of cases threatens to overwhelm countries’ health systems.”

FTSE 100 jumps as travel stocks soar

The FTSE 100 kicked off 2022 with strong gains on Tuesday as optimism grew around the impact of Omicron and US tech shares boosted sentiment.

The FTSE 100 was 1.27% higher at 7,478 in early trade on Tuesday.

“There is no sign of an extended New Year hangover for the UK markets. The FTSE 100 was instead in fine fettle on the first trading day of 2022, reaching new post-pandemic highs,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Sentiment was helped by a strong showing on Wall Street yesterday, with Apple reaching the remarkable milestone of a $3 trillion valuation before any of its tech giant peers. Tesla also enjoyed a super-charged response to impressive fourth quarter sales report. So much for the technology sector being out of favour.

“The best performing stocks in London were in the travel, leisure and energy sectors. Rolls-Royce, also taking off thanks to its heavy footprint in aircraft engines and spares and repairs, announced some corporate housekeeping with the completion of the sale of its Bergen Engines business.”

IAG was the FTSE 100’s top riser, gaining 9.7% at the time of writing, as investors picked up shares on hopes Omicron would not be as damaging to the industry as first thought. IAG was one of the FTSE 100’s worst performing stocks of 2021 and although their were standout gains for the airline in the first session of 2021, the stock remained well below 52-week highs.

“With yet more indications that Omicron, though highly infectious, does not cause such serious illness, a wave of relief is pushing up companies which have been hit by worries about tighter restrictions,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Further evidence of optimism around the longer term impact of Omicron came from weakness in shares considered to be ‘COVID’ stocks or ones with defensive characteristics.

Ocado was off by 4% whilst Fresnillo gave up 4%.

Bounce Back or Decline: Pensana

Pensana (LON: PRE) - 97p, Mkt Cap £218m - aims to establish a major Rare Earth processing separation facility in Saltend, Humber in the UK, subject  to funding. The fully permitted Saltend site has freeport tax status and when built it would currently be one of only three producers outside China.
Pensana is a ‘mine-to-market-to magnets’ Rare Earths opportunity. Its Angolan mine at Longonjo, which after recent upgrades is estimated to contain 40 million tonnes of rare earths, which easily supports building a facility producing 12,500 tonnes per annum (tpa) of rare earth oxides for over 20 years...

Bounce back or decline: Cornerstone FS

Foreign exchange services provider Cornerstone FS (LON:CSFS) is another poorly performing AIM new admission. Although it has not done as badly as Parsley Box (LON: MEAL) the Cornerstone FS share price has more than halved. Cornerstone a buy and build strategy in the international payments sector and the share price is important because it is the main currency for the acquisitions.
Last April, Cornerstone FS raised £2.24m at 61p a share, which valued the company at £12.4m. The share price has fallen to 29p, which is just above the low for 2021.
A former shaving products company shell was used t...

Bounce back or decline: Purplebricks

Estate agency Purplebricks (LON: PURP) joined AIM at an inflated valuation and it had over optimistic plans to take over the world with its take on selling houses. That international expansion did not succeed.
The share price peaked at more than 500p in the summer of 2017 and it has fallen by more than 95% since then and it is just above its all time low.
The latest slip up relates to the lettings management business. This relates to how the company has handled the deposits of tenants and related documentation. This could lead to a provision of between £2m and £9m. The final figure is still be...

Oil prices surge 50% in 2021

The economic recovery this year has seen oil prices surge by 50% over 2021, which is the biggest gains in 12 years.

Brent Crude was $52 per barrel in January but is ending the year close to $80 per barrel.

Demand has increased and prices have soared as lockdowns eased and travel has resumed over the course of the year.

“We’ve had Delta and Omicron and all manner of lockdowns and travel restrictions, but demand for oil has remained relatively firm,” said CommSec’s Chief Economist Craig James. “You can attribute that to the effects of stimulus supporting demand and restrictions on supply.”

2021 UK spending: surge in takeaways and online shopping

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According to Barclaycard, people were spending most of their money this year on online shopping, home improvements, streaming subscriptions and takeaways.

Despite non-essential shops being closed at the start of 2021, people spent most of their money online as online transactions surged by 88% in March 2021 compared to March 2019.

And whilst hospitality venues were closed at the start of the year, spending on takeaways increased by 62%.

Spending on pets also increased this year as people spent 29% more at vets and pet retailers than in 2019.

Jose Carvalho, head of consumer products at Barclaycard, commented on what we can expect for 2022: “As we look ahead to 2022, the economy will face fresh challenges from rising household bills, inflation, and uncertainty about the new Covid variant.”

“Yet, as we’ve seen over the last two years, consumers and businesses are capable of adapting to and overcoming immense hardship and adversity”.

FTSE posts best year since 2016

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The FTSE 100 has posted its best year since 2016.

London’s stock market closed the year 14.3% higher than the start of the year.

Shares rallied over the year amid the vaccine optimism, shrugging off fears of supply chain issues.

Global markets are ending 2021 near record highs, seeing the MSCI World Index has surge 17% this year. It fell just short of records as the discovery of Omicron caused shares to dip.

Matt Weller, global head of research at FOREX.com and City Index, commented: “Generally speaking, higher starting valuations tend to be associated with lower future returns, though that relationship isn’t particularly strong over short (< 5 year) time horizons. Of course, bulls will argue that elevated valuation ratios are justified given the low yields on bonds, unprecedented liquidity injections, and comparatively high profit margins.”

“Notably, we may already be past “peak stimulus” globally. Across the major developed economies, fiscal policymakers are rapidly looking to rein in deficits to improve their balance sheets and mitigate inflation fears. Meanwhile, most major central banks are similarly looking to “normalize” monetary policy after cutting interest rates to 0% (or below in some cases!) and instituting massive asset purchase programs in recent years.”

“At the margin, government spending and interest rates will likely provide less of a tailwind for global indices in 2022 as compared to 2021 or 2020,” he added.