Heathrow passenger levels hit by Omicron

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In December, Heathrow had 600,000 people cancel travel plans over Omicron.

Through the whole year, Heathrow only saw 19.4 million passengers going though the airport – this is compared to the 80 million it had in 2019.

CEO John Holland-Kaye commented: “There are currently travel restrictions, such as testing, on all Heathrow routes – the aviation industry will only fully recover when these are all lifted and there is no risk that they will be reimposed at short notice, a situation which is likely to be years away.

“While this creates enormous uncertainty for the CAA in setting a new 5-year regulatory settlement, it means the regulator must focus on an outcome that improves service, incentivises growth and maintains affordable private financing.”

Also commented on the new data from Heathrow, Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “Mass vaccination programmes failed to have the desired effect in 2021, in bringing the rebound in travel there had been such high hopes for this time last year.

“The web of rules and regulations which was spun across different countries and regions and swept away, and then spun again as new variants emerged, clearly led to a drop in confidence in the travelling public. The threat of expensive hotel quarantines following a rapid rule change and the risk of being left stranded overseas if testing positive were hardly a relaxing prospect for holidaymakers wanting to get away from it all.”

Dekel Agri-Vision cashew boost

Oil palm plantations operator Dekel Agri-Vision (LON: DKL) generated record figures in 2021 and this year it will have the benefit of the new cashew plant.
The Ivory Coast-based company is estimated to have increased full year revenues from €22.5m to €37m and made a small pre-tax profit.
December crude palm oil production more than doubled and the total production for the year was 39,953 tonnes, up 17.5% on the previous year. Extraction rates are starting to improve. The average crude palm oil price was $868/tonne, which is 44% higher than in 2021.
The peak oil palm season is between January a...

Tintra shares soar over 200% on funding round announcement

Tintra shares gained over 200% on Monday after the company announced a strategic investment at a significantly higher valuation than the current share price.

Tintra are currently working on two banking applications and the funds raised will be used for capital adequacy purposes.

The company has traditionally operated payments and FX services, as well as a lottery fundraising business.

Tintra have been working on capturing an opportunity in world banking over the past years and today’s fundraise from a Family Office will go some way to validate their vision.

“I am delighted to be announcing the first tranche of our first funding round,” said Richard Shearer, Tintra CEO.

‘Both of our new funding partners are sophisticated investors and this nod of support in what we are building, and its potential is a very rewarding feeling.”

“We are moving incredibly quickly, and while of course there will be bumps in the road, we feel we have now got a clear run at the target. Both of our two current banking applications in development are tracking better than expected and are on target to be completed on time. Our friends and JV partners over at TMC2*, who are about to exit their previous AI project at a valuation north of $5Bn next month (based on reports in the press over the past few weeks) are freeing up to focus all their energies on our game changing regulatory technology.”

“The Funding Round, once completed, will give us the runway now to start building out a best-in-class team, some of whom I expect to be announced to the market during the next quarter, and to engage some of the best consultancy minds in the sector who we have been positioning over the past few months.” 

Housebuilders drag FTSE 100 after cladding decision

The FTSE 100 traded largely flat on Monday as gains in travel, entertainment and financial shares were offset by sharp declines inn the housebuilders.

Housebuilding shares such as Persimmon, Barratts and Berkeley Group sank following the announcement by the UK government they were instructing home builders to provide remedies to homeowners impacted by the cladding scandal.

Taking aim at property developers in a letter, Housing Minister Gove said: “For too many of the people living in properties your industry has built in recent years, their home has become a source of misery.”

Persimmon saw the heaviest selling with shares shedding over 4.5% by lunch time in London. Barratts and Berkeley Group 3.6% and 2.5% lower respectively. Taylor Wimpey gave up 2%.

“Despite some tentative positivity in Asian trading, the UK index was not helped by a weak start for the housebuilding sector,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The UK Government is reportedly looking for property developers to take on a greater share of the costs of repairing dangerous apartment blocks in the wake of the Grenfell tragedy in 2017.”

“Many flat owners have been left with onerous costs for replacing flammable cladding and the latest reports on who will foot the bill should come as no surprise to the sector in that context.”

“The housebuilders have benefited from generous incentives, such as Help to Buy and the mortgage guarantee scheme, in recent years. However, state support is not a one-way street and the sector needs to do its bit to look after its customers.”

The weakness in the housebuilders meant the FTSE 100 traded down by 13 points at 7,471, retreating from the psychological support/resistance at 7,500.

Front Month WTI Oil

FTSE 100 oil majors BP and Shell provided minor support for the index gaining around 1% despite oil futures slipping. The downside in oil was minor after a strong weeks of gains during the protests in Kazakhstan.

Lloyds shares – along with other UK banks – extended their gains on Monday as investors continued to buy into banks following the surprise interest hike rate by the Bank of England in December.

With inflation expected to hit 6% in the coming months, the prospect of further interest rate increases, and a boost to banking profitability, is very real.

ASOS needs to show improvement in the US

Online fashion retailer ASOS (LON:ASC) was one of the worst performing AIM shares in 2021 and its share price halved. On Thursday 13 January, ASOS will update the market about its trading.
The poor share price performance was partly down to the profit warning last autumn, which coincided with Nick Beighton stepping down as chief executive. At that time, forecast pre-tax profit was slashed from £224.3m to £124.3m, down from £193.6m in 2020-21.
Comparisons were always going to be tough because of the boost to sales from Covid-19 lockdowns. Supply chain problems have held back growth.
Also, margi...

New standard listing: Graft Polymer seeks international expansion

Graft Polymer is at an early stage of exploiting its polymers and additives technology. Revenues are still small, but there are potential products that could lead to significant growth.
The business should have strong operational gearing. The geographic reach of the business will be expanded through distribution agreements, and these should increase volumes.
The share price ended the week at 22p, after nearly 645,000 shares were traded. The current valuation depends on optimism about the medium-term growth in revenues. The cash raised will enable investment to build capacity ahead of increases...

New Aquis admission: Hydrogen Utopia plans syngas plants

Hydrogen Utopia International is already on course to construct a facility in Poland that converts waste plastic into gas. Depending on the process this could be hydrogen or another gas. Technology developed by AIM-quoted Powerhouse Energy (LON:PHE) is being used in the facility.
Hydrogen Utopia has exclusive use of the technology in Poland, as well as Greece and Hungary. A letter of intent has been signed in Bulgaria for the potential construction of a plant. The quotation could help the company to negotiate more transactions and enable it to raise funds to finance construction of facilities....

US adds 199k jobs in December, missing estimates

The US economy added 199,000 jobs in December, missing analyst estimates of an 450,000 increase in Non-Farm Payrolls.

The dollar fell in an immediate market reaction to a report that eluded to a weaker US jobs market than previously expected. The miss also sent global equities lower in the wake of the announcement, although there was only minor selling initially, the drop accelerated after the US session began.

The tepid initial reaction to report could be attributed to the mixed nature of readings including wages and the unemployment rate.

Delving deeper into the figures, the unemployment rate fell to 3.9% vs expectations of 4.2% suggesting underlying strength in the US jobs market, despite a miss of the headlines jobs numbers.

Interest Rate Hike

Today’s release is particularly important for markets due to recent comments from the Federal Reserve on the pace of rate hikes through 2022.

The Federal Reserve are monitoring economic data as they move towards the first rate hike since the beginning of the pandemic.

“The FOMC could begin increasing the policy rate as early as the March meeting in order to be in a better position to control inflation,” said Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard early in the week.

It is unlikely Friday’s jobs number will change the course of the Fed and markets should expect a rate hike in the very near future, possibly the March meeting highlighted by Bullard.

Although markets were unfazed by the Non-Farm Payrolls miss, equities reacted negatively to the prospect of rate hike earlier this week. US equity indices fell, driven by a sell off in tech stocks, following hints that Fed were ready to move on rates.

“The realisation has dawned on investors that the drug of cheap money is set to be withdrawn a lot sooner than first forecast. The minutes of the latest Federal Reserve meeting indicated the likelihood of an earlier rate rise in 2022, and the starting gun being fired more quickly on a race to offload bonds from the bank’s balance sheet and this data will bolster these expectations,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

However, the drop in US indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 may not reflect a complete souring of sentiment, more a rotation away from highly valued tech companies into value stocks that will benefit from a prolonged economic recovery from the pandemic.

House prices rise at the fastest pace since 2007 in two-speed housing market

UK House prices rose at the fastest pace since 2007 in 2021, adding 9.8% to the average price of a home which now stands at record high £276,091.

House prices also recorded the largest cash increase since 2003.

“UK house prices climbed again in December for the sixth consecutive month in a row, up 1.1%. The average price for a property now stands at £276,091, an increase of more than £24,500 compared to December 2020, marking the strongest year-on-year cash rise since March 2003,” said Russell Galley, Managing Director, Halifax.

“The housing market defied expectations in 2021, with quarterly growth reaching 3.5% in December, a level not seen since November 2006. In 2021 we saw the average house price reach new record highs on eight occasions, despite the UK being subject to a ‘lockdown’ for much of the first six months of the year.”

With house prices gaining at such a fast rate, some industry analysts are now questioning whether the gains can continue into 2022 given generous government schemes such as the stamp duty holiday and the end of furlough are no longer supporting the housing market.

“The big question for the housing market is not how well it performed last year but how it will perform as 2022 rings in the changes. No one expects to see the kind of price growth delivered over the last twelve months but without some major market disruptions, the stage is set for further rises,” said Danni Hewson, AJ Bell financial analyst.

However, some industry experts pointed to the UK’s high level of inflation as a possible cause for a slow down in the property market in the coming months.

“House prices scaled new heights by the end of  2021, with record prices and the kind of rapid rises we haven’t seen in almost two decades. But inflation could bring this high-speed ascent to a shuddering halt,” said Sarah Coles, senior personal finance analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Regional growth

There was also a word of caution around the disparity of house prices growth across the UK’s different regions and property types when looking at the headline average property increases.

Trends such as the ‘race for space’ meant there were significant increases in rural homes with gardens, whilst city centre flats flatlined, or even fell.

“The picture is not uniform across the country and across all price points however, requiring expertise to interpret the headline numbers,” said Tom Brown, Managing Director of Real Estate at Ingenious.

“For example, city centre flats in some locations don’t always reflect the same fundamentals as people search further afield for more outside space, homes with gardens, practical workspaces and quality infrastructure. When analysing residential opportunities, it is key to understand the subsectors and the regions in which they are located as it can be quite misleading to look at the market too broadly.”

Albion Capital launches new £80 million Venture Capital Trust fundraising

Albion Capital have launched an £80 million fundraise across six of their Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs) to invest in high-growth UK companies.

A £20m top-up facility will also be included to provide further scope for additional investment into Albion’s strong pipeline of potential deals.

Albion Capital’s portfolio consists of 70 high-growth companies including Data Analytics company Quantexa, and diet and lifestyle coaching app Oviva.

Demonstrating the growth of companies held in their portfolio, the 15 largest healthcare and technology companies is Albion’s portfolio grew their revenues by 35% to £120m in the last twelve months.

Albion Capital VCTs returned an average annual return of 8.4% over the 10 years to 30 September 2021 and 10.3% p.a. over 5 years. Their returns over 3 years, excluding tax relief, are 8.4% annually.

Albion Capital’s Venture Capital Trusts each have a dedicated theme across technology, healthcare and renewable energy.

Amount to be raised under each Offer, and over-allotment facility across the six Albion VCTs:

Albion Development VCT PLC£15m/£6m
Albion Enterprise VCT PLC£20m/£3m
Albion Technology & General VCT PLC£20m/£4m
Albion Venture Capital Trust PLC£10m/£0m
Crown Place VCT PLC£7m/£5m
Kings Arms Yard VCT PLC£8m/£2m

“This new fundraise demonstrates Albion Capital’s ongoing commitment to supporting the UK’s most ambitious, innovative companies which are at an inflection point in their development, requiring additional funding to accelerate growth,” said Will Fraser-Allen, Managing Partner at Albion Capital. 

“Despite the incredible progress and acceleration of digital adoption in recent years there is no slowing of investment opportunities and we remain extremely optimistic about the future.”

“We have been privileged to manage VCTs for over 20 years and are excited to continue providing a patient source of capital to entrepreneurs who are building the future of the UK economy and creating thousands of jobs in the process.”

Venture Capital Trusts raised £685m in the 2020 tax year across a total of 42 trusts.