Wickes increases full-year profit guidance

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Wickes has said that its full-year profits will be above analyst expectations of £67-£75m.

The home improvement group said that full-year profits are expected to be up to £83m thanks to its agile business model and strong demand for services over the lockdown.

“This has been a period of further progress for Wickes, where our focus on value, stock availability and exceptional service have underpinned our customer offer,” said David Wood, the chief executive of Wickes.

“Clearly, this remains a time of uncertainty, however our differentiated business model leaves us well-placed to continue to outperform within a large and growing home improvement market.”

Sales in the third quarter were up over 16% of pre-pandemic levels.

“You have to doff your cap to home improvement retailer Wickes. To achieve a better-than-expected margin performance during a period of sharply rising input costs is no mean feat,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“It is testament to Wickes’ strong supplier relationships and the efficiency of its background processes and digital capability that it has been able to do this without making customers pay through the nose.”

“All three of its markets, encompassing local trade, do-it-for-me and DIY, are served by the same product range which makes this task a bit easier.”

Halfords to acquire Axle Holdings in £64m deal

Halfords have announced a £64m capital raise to fund the acquisition of Axle Group Holdings for £62m and is subject to adjustment for normalised working capital.

Axle is a well-established business in the tyre and automotive servicing, maintenance and repair sector. The motivation behind the acquisition is cost saving efficiencies, which are expected to total £18m by year 5.

Halfords have been enjoying strong growth in their automotive services and the acquisition will highlight where Halfords see future growth.

“The purchase of Axle Group Holdings (National), for £63.4m, continues the groups trend of acquisitions in recent years. Halfords’ more recent acquisitions have been successful, so the market’s optimism will have something to do with expectations of a repeat performance. While the efficiencies should add to group profit pretty quickly, the bigger story is that the move helps accelerate Halfords’ plan to weight operations toward motoring services,” said Matt Britzman, Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Given the majority was issued via a placing, it’s not only a large deal, but also dilutive for most retail investors. That said, the group performed very well during the pandemic and using that momentum to push toward their long term goals is a positive step.”

Cellular Goods shares continue decline after inaugural product launch

Cellular Goods have dropped for a second day in a row after the CBD company launched their inaugural product ranges and ecommerce platform.

Cellular Goods shares gave up another 11% on Thursday morning as the market continued to react to the announcement by selling shares.

The David Beckham-backed CBD company floated at 5p in February and exploded higher in a heavily oversubscribed IPO. Shares traded as high as 28p in Cellular Good’s early days as a listed company.

Since then, shares steadily have declined touching lows around 6p, before staging a rally into the product launch announcement.

The product launch has wiped off over 20% of the company’s value in two trading sessions as investors either sell on a ‘buy the rumour, sell the fact’ move, or are simply disappointed with the new products, and are voting with their feet.

Either way, Cellular Goods still has a valuation of £40.1m and have only just started generating revenue in a highly competitive CBD market with a number of established brands.

Alexis Abraham, Chief Executive of Cellular Goods, commented:

“Today is a major milestone for the Company with the launch of the UK’s first CBG skincare products on a best-in-class ecommerce platform. Leading with CBG sets us apart from the competition, and to also be able to offer consumers CBD ingestibles at the same time delivers on our vision to become the first true cannabinoid company.

“We have taken less than a year from a standing start to put Cellular Goods at the forefront of the cannabinoid and wellness industries, and as of today, we have started a new chapter in our growth by entering a revenue-generating phase. Consumers are now familiar with CBD, and we believe there is a substantial and growing demand for a more innovative and premium brand offering clean, green, and compliant products and look forward to delivering on our potential.”

Digitalbox earnings to beat expectations, shares soar 50%

Digitalbox (LON:DBOX) shares jumped 50% on Thursday morning as the group said profit was going to be ‘significantly ahead of the most recently upgraded market consensus of £700k EBITDA’.

Digitalbox also said revenue was expected to be not less than £3.3m.

Digitalbox owns and operates three brands in Entertainment Daily, The Daily Mash and The Tab. The company said they had enjoyed the benefits of increased mobile advertising driven by highs levels of traffic.

The higher levels of traffic was attributed to seasonal coverage of shows such as Strictly Come Dancing and I’m A Celebrity, as well as content focused on the record breaking Squid Game.

Digitalbox shares were trading at 10.5p, up 50%, at 10.00am in London. The company has a market cap of £12m.

AJ Bell posts jump in profits

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AJ Bell has enjoyed a record number of people on its platform, leading to a boost in profits.

In the year ending 30 September customers increased by 87,450. Assets at the group jumped from £56.5bn to £72.8bn.

“We continue to see significant long-term opportunities in the investment platform market,” said chief executive Andy Bell.

“The pandemic has highlighted the need for people to take more control over their financial future, with increasing numbers of people investing for the first time,” he added.

Revenue jumped from £126.7m to £145.8m.

AJ Bell is seeing a new chief finance officer start at the group. Peter Birch said:  “I have followed the progress of AJ Bell for many years and have always been impressed by its strong culture and customer focus which has enabled it to grow into one of the UK’s leading investment platforms.”

Over the past six months, shares have fallen over 8%.

Saxo Bank’s 10 Outrageous Predictions for 2022

Saxo Bank have released their yearly instalment of Outrageous Predictions. Saxo’s predictions include unlikely, but not impossible, scenarios for the year ahead focusing on a theme of revolution and disruption.

Saxo’s Steen Jakobsen called them exciting calls and ‘not all ones you will like’.

  1. The plan to end fossil fuels gets a rain check
  2. Facebook faceplants on youth exodus
  3. The US mid-term election brings constitutional crisis
  4. US inflation reaches above 15% on wage-price spiral
  5. EU Superfund for climate, energy and defence announced, to be funded by private pensions
  6. Women’s Reddit Army takes on the corporate patriarchy
  7. India joins the Gulf Cooperation Council as a non-voting member
  8. Spotify disrupted due to NFT-based digital rights platform
  9. New hypersonic tech drives space race and new cold war
  10. Medical breakthrough extends average life expectancy 25 years

Watch Jakobsen discuss his calls for 2021 and judge for your self how accurate, or ‘outrageous’, they were.

Saxo Bank’s theme for 2021 was ‘the future is now’ which focused on how the pandemic was impacting social stability. This year’s prediction takes things a step forward with calls for broader revolution.

Crypto fans will be happy to see NFT disruption included in the calls whilst those seeking longevity will welcome medical breakthroughs providing longer life spans.

ATG revenues rises whilst profits sink

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Auction Technology Group has posted a 34% rise in revenues to £70.1m.

However, the online auctioneer saw losses grow 44% to £27.3m, which was due to costs around its IPO earlier this year.

CEO John-Paul Savant said: “We delivered revenue growth of 34 per cent and were excited to welcome Auction Mobility and, following our financial year end, LiveAuctioneers, to the Group.”

“These are both examples of highly attractive opportunities aligned with our desire to add value to our offering for auctioneers and bidders and to enable an ambitious growth strategy which provides additional value to all our stakeholders.

“We are ideally placed to lead and benefit from the auction industry’s ongoing structural shift to online and increased consumer demand for auctions, and we are focused on unlocking the value of the curated secondary goods market,” he added.

Black Friday fails to boost high street footfall

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New data has found that Black Friday failed to get UK shoppers out to high streets.

The latest data from Springboard found that this year’s footfall was down 14.5% on 2019 levels.

“Despite the tube strike, footfall rose in Central London by +13.3% from the week before [on Black Friday],” said Diane Wehrle, insights director at Springboard.

“The draw of large city centres is clear, as footfall in regional cities outside of the capital rose by +6.5% whereas in market towns footfall dropped by -5.2% from last Friday and only rose by +1.8% in outer London high streets.”

“Despite the increase in footfall, it remains -24.2% below the 2019 level across all UK retail destinations.”

High streets remain quieter despite the lack of Covid restrictions, as 53% of employees are still working for home at least part time.

IAG share price bounces back from Omicron selling

IAG shares have staged a recovery from the sharp sell off induced by the discovery of the Omicron variant.

The IAG share price was up over 6% on Wednesday as fears about the long term impact of Omicron subsided and investors stepped in to pick up IAG at knockdown price.

However, with IAG trading at 135p, there is still a long way to go to recover the losses recorded in the past three trading sessions.

At 135p, IAG is down 15% year to date, but 30% higher than when the vaccines were first announced November 2020.

Traders will be eyeing a short term close of the gap between 155p and the current price.

IAG Revenue

The drop in travel company shares was driven by the overarching fear that the sector could be again deprived of much needed revenue.

IAG recently revealed a 35% drop in Q3 passenger revenue to €3.1bn, down from €4.8bn in Q3 2020.

They also recorded a €2.6bn loss for the period as low passenger numbers continued to dog the airline.

This means sustained recovery in IAG shares will be dependent on the perception of both consumers and the market of how serious the new variant will be.

Many business heavily impacted by COVID-19, including airlines, had been hoping we were through the worst and were on a path through the pandemic.

“Will consumers dial back their festive plans? Will confidence about next year take another knock and prevent would be travellers from making that summer sun purchase? So much hope has been dumped squarely in the lap of this golden quarter and hope has a nasty habit of being dashed,” questioned Danni Hewson, AJ Bell financial analyst.

As highlighted by Danni Hewson, the key for IAG is now the summer trading period. Peer Easyjet released full year earnings yesterday and provided insight into how IAG may have been impacted by Omicron.

Easyjet said they were experiencing transfers of flights booked for Q1 but had seen promising signs for the summer.

Investors will hope this is also the case for IAG as poor H1 trading for the airliner will likely lead to further downside in the IAG share price.

Nationwide: UK house price growth 10% in November

The latest Nationwide House Price Index revealed a increase 10% in house prices in the year to November, surpassing the 9.9% increase recorded in October.

Some experts had predicted a slowdown after the end of the Stamp Duty holiday, but these predictions have once again been proved wrong.

 “Annual house price growth remained strong in November at 10.0%, marginally higher than the 9.9% recorded in October. Prices rose 0.9% in month-on-month terms, after taking account of seasonal effects. As a result, house prices are now almost 15% above the level prevailing in March last year when the pandemic struck the UK,” said Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s Chief Economist.

“There have been some signs of cooling in housing market activity in recent months. For example, the number of housing transactions were down almost 30% year-on-year in October. But this was almost inevitable, given the expiry of the Stamp Duty holiday at the end of September, which gave buyers a strong incentive to bring forward their purchase to avoid additional tax.”

The drop in transactions suggest prices are being pushed higher by a persistent lack of supply. Some industry participants feel this will persist into next year as home owners wait to put their homes on the market meaning prices a likely to remain elevated.

“According to the latest Nationwide HPI, average house prices have taken a slight jump to 0.9% month on month, or £2,367, which is the highest increase since May 2021. However, this does not mean prospective buyers should be pessimistic. It is likely that with Christmas coming demand has outweighed supply, as sellers look to hold putting their house on the market until after the new year,” said Ross Counsell, chartered surveyor and director at GoodMove.

Slowing Growth

However, the prospect of higher interest rates is likely to slow house price growth next year as property has surged way past earnings growth, decreasing the affordability of housing.

“Even if economic conditions continue to improve, rising interest rates may exert a cooling influence on the market. Indeed, house price growth has been outpacing income growth by a significant margin and, as a result, housing affordability is already less favourable than was the case before the pandemic struck,” said Robert Gardner.