UK GDP growth misses expectations after budget uncertainity hit activity

New ONS data showed that UK GDP growth for the fourth quarter remained at the painfully slow rate of just 0.1%, matching the third quarter.

Growth of 0.1% during the period was weaker than the 0.2% economists expected.

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Slow growth won’t come as a surprise after the economy almost ground to a halt as businesses and consumers fretted about the budget’s outcome and reacted to a raft of new measures.

The services industry was flat during the period, while construction output fell 2.1%. Household and government spending helped steady the ship, with fractional growth.

“The UK economy ended 2025 firmly in the slow lane, undershooting expectations and remaining in a low gear in the final quarter of the year as businesses and consumers digested the Chancellor’s November Budget,” said Scott Gardner, investment strategist at J.P. Morgan Personal Investing.

“This marks a clear reversal in fortunes for the economy after strong growth shown in the first half of the year failed to carry over into the rest of 2025.”

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The ONS estimates that the UK economy grew 1.3% in 2025 after posting growth of 1.1% in 2024.

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