10 p.m.
Voting ends. Ballot boxes will be transported to 382 local centres for the count. The local turnout will be recorded and announced before the counting of votes begins.
12 a.m.
1st results due. The votes from the Isle of Scilly and Gibraltar should become public now. However, due to the small number of voters in these areas (in total only about 35,000 of the 65 million large UK population) this information may not be very useful to predict the overall outcome of the referendum.
12.30 a.m.
1st mainland results due. Results will be coming in from Sunderland and Newcastle. These areas will include a total population of about 600,000. In both areas we can expect close results as suggested by national polls with ‘Leave’ being expected to take a small lead. Should we instead observe ‘Remain’ to be in the lead, this will be a first indicator for a possible nationwide win.
12.45 a.m.
City of London results are due to provide further insight. It is the area considered to be Britain’s most pro-Europe district and will therefore likely add more votes to ‘Remain’. It is however the second-smallest area with less than 7,000 voters and therefore not very representative of Britain as a whole. Further results will come in from areas, such as Swindon, which are considered to be Euro-sceptic.
1 a.m.
Tokyo stock exchange opens. While more results from small areas flow in Japan’s major stock exchange opens for trading.
1.30 a.m.
Speeding up the flow of results. Basildon, Essex and Hartlepool are areas considered to be likely voting to leave the European Union, while Stockport is expected to vote to remain. Salford and the first Welsh area to vote, Merthyr Tydfil, could be the first swing areas for which predictions are unclear. The Western Isles will be the first Scottish areas to provide results, with Scotland being generally consideredas mainly pro-European.
2 a.m.
40 areas should be recorded by now. Most notably the first London Borough votes are due to come in, with Wandsworth and Westminster being very likely to have ‘Remain’ in the lead. The Welsh areas of while Denbighshire and Wrexham as well as the Hampshire area of Hart are likely swing areas which are due to present their results.
2.30 a.m.
One of biggest leads for ‘Leave’ expected. With the results from Caste Point in Essex, the area holding place Four on Chris Hanretty’s pro-Brexit ranking, large wins for the ‘Leave’ campaign will be expected atthis time. However, Lambeth in South London and Oxford are due to present results as well and are under the 10 most likely areas to favour ‘Remain’ greatly.
3 a.m.
140 of 382 voting areas should be declared. While Thanet is most likely to favour ‘Leave’ and Islington is strongly suspected of favouring ‘Remain’, other areas such as Chesterfield and Durham are looking to be very close.
3.30 a.m.
More than half of results are in now. The pro-European area of Edinburgh, which is also the 8th largest area by population is due to provide results. Additionally, Cambridge is likely to add votes to ‘Remain’.
4 a.m.
Close to 100 more counts expected. The two single-biggest areas of Northern Ireland and Birmingham with a combined population of 2.9 million are scheduled to complete and publish counts.
5 a.m.
Further big cities announce results. Glasgow, Manchester and Liverpool with a total of 1.5 million inhabitants between them. Glasgow, as the third biggest area is considered to be one of the biggest ‘Remain’ strongholds and Manchester as well as Glasgow are considered as slightly pro-European. Unless votes remain incredibly close, the bigger picture should become clear around this time.
6 a.m.
Leeds and Bristol hand in last big city votes. Considered to be very pro-Brexit, Cornwall’s results are also due to come in at this time.
6.03 a.m.
Pre-open trading hours of UK Gilts begins on the ICE exchange.
7 a.m.
Last results in. The last three results from Arun, Waveney and Harborough should conclude the counting. The total population of those last missing areas only amounts to around 350,000. Once all votes are in the Chief Counting Officer Jenny Watson will formally announce the national results broadcasting live from Manchester.
8 a.m.
Major European Stock exchanges open.
Also view our Feature on the ‘Leave’ and ‘Remain’ supporters line-up
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