NatWest shares hit highest level since 2011 on strong Q1 earnings

NatWest shares reached their highest levels since 2011 on Friday after the bank reported Q1 earnings that offered plentiful reason to be optimistic about the bank’s near-term future.

NatWest has delivered a very respectable financial performance in the first quarter of 2025, reporting an attributable profit of £1,252 million, earnings per share of 15.5 pence and a return on tangible equity of 18.5%.

There was little evidence of economic strain in NatWest’s Q1 update, with total income hitting £3,952 million, representing an increase of 2.1% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024.

This growth was primarily attributed to deposit margin expansion and increased trading income, despite being partially offset by the impact of fewer days in the quarter.

The higher interest rate environment is playing into NatWest’s hands. The bank’s net interest margin (NIM) rose to 2.27%, which is 8 basis points higher than the previous quarter. This improvement in margins has significantly contributed to the bank’s strong quarterly performance.

NatWest’s focus on the UK meant it avoided the uncertainty experienced by other FTSE 100 banks operating overseas and made provision for bad debts of just £189 million, or 0.19% of its loan book.

“NatWest has taken the spotlight this week in banking land, smashing profit expectations thanks to solid top-line growth and tight cost control,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Like we’ve seen across the sector, impairments came in a bit higher than expected as the bank plays it safe in case the economic backdrop worsens – but for now, borrowers are holding up well, so there’s no major red flag there.

An upbeat outlook would have been welcomed by investors and helped fuel the stock’s rally on Friday. NatWest expects to record a return on tangible equity at the upper end of its previously guided range of 15-16%, and anticipates income excluding notable items to be at the upper end of its previously guided range of £15.2-15.7 billion.

Gfinity achieves first revenue from AI connected video technology

Gfinity has achieved its first revenue from the commercialisation of its Connected IQ artificial intelligence technology, which focuses on the connected video market.

The company received its initial income in April from campaigns and is currently in commercial discussions with several large advertising agencies regarding CIQ’s services.

To support this growth, Gfinity has expanded its commercial sales team in both the UK and USA, with additional recruitment planned. The company has implemented what its Board considers a market-leading logo detection model through its exclusive licence agreement with 0M Technology Solutions Ltd, whilst a human emotion detection capability is being deployed.

Bolstering its exposure to AI and making the company one of London’s leading listed innovators in the space, Gfinity has established Yentra.AI, a new business unit specialising in software engineering, artificial intelligence consulting and web3 development for commercial customers. The venture is 51% owned by Gfinity, with management holding the remaining stake.

Yentra.AI is led by Ignatius Rautenbach and supported by a team of 12 engineers through partnerships with Techohara Solutions Private Limited and Koneqt Limited. The unit aims to deliver solutions to various sectors, including banking, government and insurance, drawing on existing client relationships.

Gfinity says they view Yentra.AI as both an internal resource for developing further AI ventures and a response to significant commercial opportunities in artificial intelligence over the next two years.

“We are at the start of a major global AI cycle, and through CIQ, we believe that Gfinity is positioning itself to be a clear part of the AI cycle in advertising,” said CEO of Gfinity, David Halley.

“In addition, by partnering with the experienced team at Yentra, we now have an internal resource to build out technology for the sector and benefit from both the revenue generated from Yentra and the ability to build further technology for Connected IQ and Gfinity.”

GenIP shares jump as new product launched into business intelligence market

GenIP has today announced the launch of its innovative AI-powered ‘Competitive Intelligence Report’, marking a significant expansion of the Gen AI analytics firm’s market reach beyond its traditional technology commercialisation services.

The London-based firm that listed on AIM late in 2024 has also secured its first major client for the new product—a ‘Big Four’ accountancy firm.

GenIP shares were 17% higher at the time of writing.

The newly launched ‘Competitive Intelligence Report’ employs advanced artificial intelligence to identify and assess leading entities in specific technological fields.

The new solution delivers insights to support strategic decision-making regarding innovation pathways, potential collaborations, and acquisition opportunities.

Today’s product launch significantly broadens GenIP’s addressable market, extending its applications well beyond the realm of technology commercialisation. The new intelligence service is positioned to serve businesses seeking in-depth competitive intelligence to inform strategic planning and investment institutions exploring partnership or acquisition prospects.

GenIP will utilise proprietary AI-driven prompt engineering with expert human oversight to generate actionable strategic insights.

Notably, the new product attracts a significantly higher fee than GenIP’s existing product range.

In a significant vote of confidence for the new offering, GenIP has already secured its first client: a ‘Big Four’ accountancy firm that will utilise the Competitive Intelligence Report to gain strategic insights into the technological capabilities and competitive landscape of target companies for potential partnerships or acquisitions.

“The launch of our Competitive Intelligence Report marks a pivotal moment for GenIP,” said Melissa Cruz, CEO of GenIP.

“Beyond our established client base, we believe that the potential market size for this strategic intelligence product is substantial, encompassing not only research institutions, and IP firms but also a significant segment of corporations across diverse sectors requiring nuanced competitive intelligence and market analysis.

“This includes areas such as mergers and acquisitions, strategic partnerships, and technology scouting. Our early success in securing a leading client at nearly 7X current report pricing, validates this broader market opportunity and the compelling value proposition of our AI-powered solution.”

AIM movers: Mirriad Advertising running out of money and Emmerson seeks arbitration

0

Dr Graham Cooley has increased his stake in spirits company Distil (LON: DIS) from 17.3% to 18.1%. The share price has come off its high for the day, but it is still up 46.7% to 0.11p.

Emmerson (LON: EML) is seeking arbitration through the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), which is part of the World Bank, in relation to its dispute with the Moroccan government over the Khemisset potash project. The compensation claim is valued by the company at $2.2bn. The $11.2m litigation funding facility will be used to pay costs.  The share price recovered 30.6% to 2.35p.

Generative AI services provider GenIP (LON: GNIP) has gained its first client for a new AI-powered product. It is a big four accountancy firm. The product analyses data and provides competitive intelligence for businesses. The share price rose 14.8% to 31p.

Architectural and construction software provider Eleco (LON: ELCO) beat previously upgraded expectations with pre-tax profit improving from £4.2m to £5.4m and the dividend was raised by one-quarter to 1p/share. The move to a SaaS-based model is beginning to show though in profitability, while upselling has increased net revenue retention to 109%. A pre-tax profit of £6.8m is expected this year. Annualised recurring revenues are forecast to grow from £26.6m to £32.6m in 2025. The share price increased 6.61% to 129p.

FALLERS

In content advertising company Mirriad Advertising (LON: MIRI) says first quarter revenues were just over £80,000, although this is a seasonally weak period there were lower than expected activity levels. Cash has fallen to £2.7m at the end of March 2025 with monthly cash burn of up to £750,000. There were talks about a possible offer for the company, but they have ended. Mirriad Advertising needs to raise more cash, and management is considering placing the company in administration. The share price slumped 83.8% to 0.055p.

Healthcare services provider Totally (LON: TLY) has launched a strategic review following a downgrading of expectations for the year to March 2025. This reflects a delay in the start of a contract and the discontinuing of higher margin NHS111 work. EBITDA expectations have been downgraded from £3.5m to between nil and £2m. Exceptional costs are higher than anticipated at £3.8m. The finance director has left. There is a tight cash position and that has sparked the review to decide how to strengthen the balance sheet. The share price dived 63% to 1.5p.

Ethernity Networks (LON: ENET) is raising £800,000 at 0.022p/share and each share comes up with a warrant exercisable at 0.045p/share. The cash will pay creditors and on ASIC development. The company is making progress with discussions with a wireless business as part of the strategy to become a semiconductor company. The share price declined by one-quarter to 0.0225p.

Oil and gas company Caspian Sunrise (LON: CASP) says delays in the renewal of the licence for the Akkaduk structure had stopped it completing the acquisition of the Block 8 contract area in Kazakhstan. However, it has decided to go ahead with the acquisition without the renewal, and it is applying for government consents. The sale of other assets for $88m also awaits regulatory consents. The share price fell 5.36% to 2.65p.

Ex-dividends

AB Dynamics (LON: ABDP) is paying an interim dividend of 2.8p/share and the share price slid 17.5p to 1742.5p.

Ashtead Technology (LON: AT.) is paying a final dividend of 1.2p/share and the share price is 5.75p lower at 491.75p.

BP Marsh (LON: BPM) is paying a dividend of 8.08p/share and the share price is down 5p to 710p.

Churchill China (LON: CHH) is paying a final dividend of 26.5p/share and the share price slipped 22.5p to 552.5p.

Nexteq (LON: NXQ) is paying a final dividend of 3.7p/share and the share price fell 2.5p to 62p.

Thor Explorations Ltd (LON: THX) is paying a dividend of C$0.0125 /share and the share price declined 1.75p to 31.75p.

FTSE 100 steady as Lloyds shares fall

The FTSE 100 remained fairly steady on Thursday, as mixed earnings updates led to a directionless performance by the index.

That said, London’s leading index had just crept above 8,500, turning positive at the time of writing, and was on course to build on the recovery rally following Trump’s tariffs.

“There was plenty of corporate news for the markets to digest on Thursday morning – with the good, bad and ugly all represented,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Banks, energy stocks and housebuilders were out of favour while miners and other stocks caught up in the tariff-related sell-off made progress. BP and Shell were a drag given their weighting in the index as US oil prices slipped below $60 per barrel. This reflected concerns about an economic slowdown in the wake of a global trade war and speculation producers’ cartel OPEC might lift production again in June.”

BP shares were down 2.4% and Shell lost 1.4% as the two oil majors offset gains elsewhere in the index.

Polar Capital Technology Trust was the FTSE 100’s top riser as the US tech-focused trust tracked a rally in the US overnight. Strong results from Meta will have also helped the trust’s cause – Meta makes up 7.6% of the trust’s holdings.

Persimmon shares were 1% higher after the housebuilder followed Taylor Wimpey’s update yesterday with a similarly upbeat trading statement.

“Persimmon’s building on its strong performance in 2024 and looks like one of the best-placed names to benefit from any potential uplift in the sector,” explained Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Improving sales rates, higher average selling prices and a growing order book all paint a very encouraging picture of current and future trading.”

Lloyds was among the FTSE 100 fallers after the UK-focused bank revealed the impact of economic uncertainty on provisions for bad debts, which eroded profits.

There was probably an element of profit taking in Lloyds shares’ 2% drop on Thursday, given the back has rallied from around 60p to over 70p in less than a month.

“Unlike Barclays, which is a beneficiary of market volatility thanks to the trading part of its investment banking business, the current uncertainty is only bad news for Lloyds,” Russ Mould said.

“The company has increased the amount set aside for bad debts – not based on anything it is seeing yet but as a prudent move to anticipate any impact from the recent turmoil.

“While there is no change to the current annual guidance, the first quarter showing was slightly behind forecasts thanks to the tariff-related adjustments and as the company absorbed the impact of higher costs.”

Share Tip: Currys – early signs of recovery in its Nordics regions helps to drive group profit expectations even higher

Just six weeks ago I questioned whether it was the right time to be buying back into the shares of the UK’s leading electronics and technology products retail group. 
The shares of Currys (LON:CURY) were then 88p, with my suggestion that they could well be ready to rise above the 100p level and then forge onwards to 120p. 
Well, that has not happened as yet, however the rise to the current 110p indicates a firm intention for the shares to break my 120p aim and then go even better. 
The Business 
Founded in 1884, the company was formerly known as Dixons Carphone and changed ...

Meta shares surge as profit beats estimates and active users rise

Meta shares jumped in the US after-market following the release of Q1 earnings that revealed better-than-expected EPS and revenue.

The Facebook owner’s EPS of $6.43 for the first quarter smashed estimates of $5.28 as the group shook off concerns about tariff uncertainty weighing on ad spending.

Revenue for the period came in at $42.3bn versus expectations of $41.4bn.

Perhaps the most interesting metric which supports the group’s long-term growth trajectory is the 6% uptick in daily active users. Investors will be encouraged to see the group grow its user base as its platforms enter maturity and competition from the likes of TikTok heats up.

Meta shares were 5% higher in the US premarket at the time of writing.

“Meta shares are racing higher in after-hours trading after a strong set of results – and, more importantly, a confident outlook. This was never really about the quarter just gone for Meta; all eyes were on guidance for the second quarter and capex for the full year – and neither disappointed,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The midpoint of the revenue guide is bang in line with consensus but Meta usually hits the top end, and the big surprise was another bump to capex as Meta goes full throttle on investments in AI.

“There was a distinct lack of commentary on tariffs, so we’ll have to wait for the call to hear more. Meta is more insulated than other names in the ad space, like Snapchat, which tumbled after ditching guidance. But with about 10% of ads tied to Chinese sellers, Meta’s still got some serious skin in the game. Full-year expectations may need to be revised slightly from the 10% revenue growth currently priced in, but Meta has some levers to pull in other areas if it needs to limit the impact on profits.”

Temple Bar Investment Trust Chairman Update

As we approach the fifth anniversary of Redwheel’s appointment as investment managers to the Temple Bar portfolio, in our latest update video, chairman Richard Wyatt examines Nick and Ian’s progress to date, along with recent developments in the UK equity market and their implications for the Temple Bar dividend. 

Past performance is not a guide to the future. The price of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Forecasts and estimates are based upon subjective assumptions about circumstances and events that may not yet have taken place and may never do so.

No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee returns or eliminate risks in any market environment. Nothing in this document should be construed as advice and is therefore not a recommendation to buy or sell shares. Information contained in this document should not be viewed as indicative of future results. The value of investments can go down as well as up.

This article is issued by RWC Asset Management LLP (Redwheel), in its capacity as the appointed portfolio manager to the Temple Bar Investment Trust Plc. Redwheel, is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority and the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

The statements and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author as of the date of publication. 

Redwheel may act as investment manager or adviser, or otherwise provide services, to more than one product pursuing a similar investment strategy or focus to the product detailed in this document. Redwheel seeks to minimise any conflicts of interest, and endeavours to act at all times in accordance with its legal and regulatory obligations as well as its own policies and codes of conduct.

This document is directed only at professional, institutional, wholesale or qualified investors. The services provided by Redwheel are available only to such persons. It is not intended for distribution to and should not be relied on by any person who would qualify as a retail or individual investor in any jurisdiction or for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

The information contained herein does not constitute: (i) a binding legal agreement; (ii) legal, regulatory, tax, accounting or other advice; (iii) an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell shares in any fund, security, commodity, financial instrument or derivative linked to, or otherwise included in a portfolio managed or advised by Redwheel; or (iv) an offer to enter into any other transaction whatsoever (each a Transaction). No representations and/or warranties are made that the information contained herein is either up to date and/or accurate and is not intended to be used or relied upon by any counterparty, investor or any other third party. Redwheel bears no responsibility for your investment research and/or investment decisions and you should consult your own lawyer, accountant, tax adviser or other professional adviser before entering into any Transaction.

AIM movers: Solid State beats expectations and IG Design considers exiting US

1

Electric Guitar (LON: ELEG) is considering acquisitions in the energy and AI sectors. The creditors voluntary arrangement shares have yet to be issued as the supervisor of the CVA is working through claims. The share price rebounded 84.2% to 0.0875p.

Electronic components and systems supplier Solid State (LON: SOLI) is expecting better than forecast pre-tax profit of £4.25m in the year to March 2025. Product mix has improved gross margins and costs have been reduced. The order book is worth £108.5m and 90% should be delivered this year. The share price jumped 16.4% to 195p.

IG Design (LON: IGR) is considering the future of its North American business and it may decide to concentrate on its other operations. One of the major US customers has filed for bankruptcy protection. Trading was in line with expectations in the year to March with net cash of $84m at the year end. A small pre-tax profit is expected. The share price recovered 11.9% to 55.5p.

Kettle controls and appliances supplier Strix (LON: KETL) did slightly better than in 2024 than the guidance earlier this year with net debt reducing to £63.7m. Underlying pre-tax profit dipped from £22.3m to £18.5m on flat revenues of £144m. The US is a small percentage of business and UK and German consumer confidence are more important to the prospects. The share price rose 9.72% to 46.575p.

FALLERS

GeninCode (LON: GENI) says there are outstanding elements in the De Novo submission to the Food and Drug Administration for CARDIO inCode-Score. These relate to clinical validation, which will be addressed. A supervisory review has begun, and the company is in discussions with the FDA. This will extend the time to generating revenues in the US. The share price slumped 38.3% to 1.45p.

Celadon Pharmaceuticals (LON: CEL) has still not received funds under the secured credit facility. There is enough cash to continuing trading until May, but administration is a possibility. The share price slid 23.1% to 5p.

Galantas Gold (LON: GAL) had cash of $526,000 following an outflow from operating activities of $1.1m in 2024. The share price fell 14.3% to 3p.

Consumer ecommerce business Huddled Group (LON: HUD) increased first quarter revenues from £2.1m to £4.4m, but Discount Dragon revenues fell 19% due to stock clearance in January and the refocus on the Nutricircle and Boop Beauty businesses, where revenues grew. The warehouse expansion will be completed in the second quarter. The share price slipped 8.97% to 3.55p.

FTSE 100 winning streak continues as Barclays results impress

The FTSE 100 continued its upward march on Wednesday, as corporate earnings helped lift the index despite lingering concerns about Trump’s tariffs.

London’s leading index rose about 20 points in early trade before the rally faded to trade just above flat at the time of writing.

Anyone who bought into the Trump tariff-induced sell-off is being handsomely rewarded. The FTSE 100 is now over 10% higher than its closing low record in the aftermath of Trump’s liberation day tariffs and more than 2% higher year-to-date in 2025.

“There’s a footloose feeling to the footsie, with the blue-chip index shrugging off global economic worries and heading higher on a winning streak,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“It’s already clocked the best run since early 2017, and investors appear to have appetite for the defensive nature of the index, as they look set to tiptoe round more volatile US assets.”

London’s winning streak was further extended on Wednesday by another strong day of earnings for FTSE 100 companies, with Barclays, Taylor Wimpey, and GSK all giving investors reason to be optimistic.

Barclays

There was a lot to like about Barclays first quarter results. Profit before tax rose 19% to £2.72bn, smashing estimates of £2.49bn helped by strong investment performance. The bank also increased its 2025 net interest income to £12.5bn.

“Barclays has quite comfortably beaten expectations, after its investment banking arm cashed in on market volatility over the first quarter,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“In the main, trends across the portfolio look strong, from stable US credit card write-offs to low default levels on UK cards and loans. In fact, the only real sign that there could be an impending US or global recession was a slightly higher reserve build for its US consumer bank. If that wasn’t enough, management has raised guidance to add a confident cherry on top of the strong quarter – investors should be happy with what they’ve seen today.”

Barclays shares were 1.5% higher at the time of writing.

GSK provided a reassuringly strong set of Q1 results that helped shares rise over 1%.

Mark Crouch, market analyst at eToro, said: “GSK posted a Q1 earnings beat this morning, with rising profits and sales driven by continued growth in its Specialty Medicines division.”

A positive assessment of trading conditions by Taylor Wimpey and the reaffirmation of their competition guidance for 2025 helped the stock to marginal gains of 0.5% at the time of writing.

Natural Resource weakness

Upbeat reports from GSK, Barclays and Taylor Wimpey were offset by weakness in the natural resources stocks after Trump’s 100-day address to supporters overnight served as a reminder that the US President was seemingly hell bent on disrupting the world order.

Weak Chinese manufacturing data also added to the downside pressure on natural resources shares.

“Concerns about US tariffs are resurfacing, after a defiant Trump rallied his supporters, and a weaker than expected manufacturing update from China added to concerns about global growth prospects,” Streeter explained.

Glencore shares were at the FTSE 100 leaderboard at the time of writing having lost 3% of their value.