Superdry shares sink as rescue talks fail

Superdry shares were sharply lower on Tuesday after talks with the group’s CEO about making an offer for the remaining shares he does not already own failed to produce a deal, leaving the company in a precarious position.

Superdry released a statement late on Thursday last week announcing Superdry founder Julian Dunkerton had not made a formal offer for the company. The announcement also alluded to a possible capital raise at a significant discount to current market prices.

“The Company remains in discussions with Julian Dunkerton in respect of alternative structures, including a possible equity raise fully underwritten by Julian Dunkerton, which would provide additional liquidity headroom for the Company’s turnaround plan. It is expected that any equity raise would be at a very material discount to the current share price,” Superdry said in a statement.

The threat of a possible fundraise has sent investors running for the hills and Superdry shares were down around 50% at the time of writing.

“Investors finally had a chance to price in a barrage of bad news from Superdry which was released after the market close last Thursday. The share price slumped by 47% which implies disaster,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Julian Dunkerton has withdrawn his attempt to take the troubled retailer private which means Superdry now faces the prospect of having to conduct a heavily discounted fundraising to stay alive, conditional on delisting the group from the stock market.

“It has secured additional borrowing facilities that come with a chunky interest rate but that’s only going to be a small plaster on a big wound – not enough to save the day.

“Investors now appear to be dumping the stock to get back anything they can, even if it means crystalising a loss. In the absence of someone else throwing their hat in the ring and trying to buy the business, we can probably wave goodbye to Superdry as a listed entity.”

AIM movers: 88 Energy flow test and Redx Pharma leaving AIM

1

88 Energy (LON: 88E) says the flow test of the Hickory-1 well in Alaska showed peak flow of 70 barrels of oil/day. This is a step towards showing that the well is commercial. Results from tests of the SMD-B reservoir are expected by mid-April. The joint venture partner Burgundy Xploration has paid its $1.75m contribution leaving 88 Energy well-funded for its immediate requirements. The share price jumped 40.1% to 0.365p.

ImmuPharma (LON: IMM) has commenced a new IP strategy for the P140 technology platform for autoimmune diseases. The patent portfolio is being expanded. This will support patient studies and help discussions with potential commercial partners on existing indications for systemic lupus erythematosus, which is starting a phase 3 trial, and chronic idiopathic demyelinating poly neuropathy. The share price is 25.9% higher at 2.675p.

Horizonte Minerals (LON: HZM) says senior lenders have agreed to further waivers on interest payments until the end of April. If it is not extended further deferred interest payments for the past two quarters will become immediately due. The company’s Brazilian subsidiary is in a 60-day stay period against the enforcement of debt and security held by lenders and creditors and Horizonte Minerals is a guarantor of the debt. Any claim could force Horizonte Minerals into administration. The share price recovered by one-third to 2p.

Video games publisher Frontier Developments (LON: FDEV) is trading in line with expectations before the benefit of the profit from the sale of RollerCoaster Tycoon 3 publishing rights. Those rights returned to Frontier Developments in 2018 under the original publishing agreement. The game has been generating $1.5m profit/year. Atari has acquired the rights for $7m with an initial payment of $3m. There was no value in the books for the game. This has boosted the cash position to £23.4m. The share price rose 15.3% to 162.5p.

FALLERS

Redx Pharma (LON: REDX) is the latest AIM company that has decided to leave. A plan to reverse into a Nasdaq shell fell through and there is limited liquidity for the shares. There are already enough votes to guarantee that the proposal is passed at the general meeting on 19 April. The share price dived 59.5% to 7.5p. Last October, £14.1m was raised at 26p/share. Management believes that it will be easier to raise money as a private company.

Perpetual has reduced its stake in semiconductors designer Sondrel (LON: SND) from 3.95% to less than 2.3%. The share price slumped 47.5% to 3.15p. Siemens sold its stake at 6p/share at the end of 2023.

Portable oxygen technology developer Belluscura (LON: BELL) has suffered from the distraction and delays in the acquisition of standard list shell TMT Acquisition. This delayed the launch of the DISCOV-R product until June and the acquisition of components. Manufacturing is being moved to InnoMax in China. Cash flow breakeven has been delayed until the first quarter of 2025. A line of credit is being sought to cover non-recurring expenses. There is $3m in cash at the end of March 2024. The 2024 revenues will be lower than the previous range of $16m-$19m. There will be impairment charges in the 2023 accounts. The share price is 46% lower at 10p.

Plant-based polymers developer Itaconix (LON: ITX) has not been able to agree terms with one of its main merchandising customers in North America. Management has been trying to improve gross margins and this is lower margin business. This means that 2024 revenues will be in the range of $6m to $6.5m, compared with $9.5m previously and $7.9m for 2023. Gross margins will be better, but the loss will be higher than the $1.12m previously forecast. The share price fell 23.7% to 200p, but it is still 68% higher than at the beginning of the year.

FTSE 100 attacks all-time record highs as oil gains

The FTSE 100 again flirted with all-time highs on Tuesday as Middle East tensions sparked a rally in oil, taking London’s oil majors with it.

London’s leading index traded above 8,000 in early trade before falling back to print 7,972 at the time of writing.

“The ongoing rise in oil prices amid a tighter supply outlook is a worry for corporates and consumers as it is a major inflationary force,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“A 0.8% advance to $88.08 per barrel puts the commodity price at its highest level since October 2023 and explains why Shell and BP were among the biggest drivers for the FTSE 100 today. Commodity producers account for a large weighting of the FTSE 100 and the index typically does well when these stocks are bid up.”

BP gained 2.8% and Shell jumped 3.2%. Stronger gold prices helped Fresnillo 6% to the top of the FTSE 100 leaderboard. Miners Glencore, Rio Tinto and Anglo American had a good start to week after a strong showing from Asian indices over the long weekend.

In the absence of any major catalysts today, lighter trade in and around the Easter holidays may be what the FTSE 100 needs to break through to record highs. Later this week, the US jobs report will be in focus for any indications of when the Federal Reserve may move to cut interest rates.

“The Federal Reserve will be watching the commodity market like a hawk as part of its decision-making on interest rates. It has a dual mandate of controlling inflation and getting the US as close to full employment as it can. Markets currently believe it can pull off the treble of cooling inflation, managing a soft landing for the US economy and cutting rates,” Russ Mould said.

“If higher oil prices threaten to rock the boat, investors will certainly not want any drama from job figures this week.

“The number of job openings in the US slipped in January and the same is expected again when February’s figures are reported this afternoon. Friday will see further jobs data, covering non-farm payrolls, unemployment and wage growth. Markets will be looking for a figure that is neither too hot as an overheated market might postpone rate cuts, or too cold as disappointing data would increase speculation of a hard economic landing.”

Should this week’s job data strengthen the view that major central banks will cut rates in the near term, one would expect the global equity market rally to continue.

The UK has lagged behind major US, German and Japanese indices in terms of breaking to fresh record highs – but it may soon hit the headlines if the all-time record closing high of 8,014 is breached.

The FTSE 100’s record intraday price is 8,047.

Oil prices rise on Middle East tensions

Oil prices rose on Tuesday after Israel launched an air strike on an Iranian embassy in Syria over the weekend. 

The strike has raised fears of retaliation by Iran and an escalation in the Middle Eastern conflict that could disrupt oil supply.

Brent oil futures were trading 1.48% higher at $88.71 and WTI rose 1.58% to $85.03.

Iran’s leaders have promised a reaction after a senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp general was among those killed in the attack.

Although Iran has yet to respond, it is widely thought Iran’s military proxies could step up activities across the region.

Oil prices have been subdued since the earlier month of the war on Gaza but have ever so steadily increased in recent weeks in hopes of stronger economic demand and increasing geopolitical tensions.

“An Israeli airstrike on Iran’s embassy in Syria, which has killed Iran’s top commander, has reignited geopolitical tensions, and squeezed the oil price higher in return,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Brent crude is now trading at over $88 a barrel, as concerns over supply spill over into the price. At the same time, there’s little expectation that OPEC’s production policies will loosen, adding further pressure.”

UK property prices fall for the first time in three months – Nationwide

The average UK property price fell 0.2% in March from February, according to new data released by Nationwide.

The average UK home is now worth £261,142 – 1.6% higher than in March 2023.

Falling mortgage rates had helped spur a bottoming out of UK house prices in late 2023 but the impact is diminishing in a ‘subdued’ market. 

“UK house prices fell by 0.2% in March, after taking account of seasonal effects. Nevertheless, the annual rate of house price growth edged higher to 1.6% in March, from 1.2% in February,” said Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s Chief Economist.

“Activity has picked up from the weak levels prevailing towards the end of 2023 but remains relatively subdued by historic standards. For example, the number of mortgages approved for house purchase in January was around 15% below pre-pandemic levels. This largely reflects the impact of higher interest rates on affordability. While mortgage rates are below the peaks seen in mid-2023, they remain well above the lows prevailing in the wake of the pandemic (as shown in the chart below).

That said, long-awaited Bank of England interest rate cuts are expected to provide house prices with a welcome boost. The degree to which the BoE cuts rates and stimulates buyers will hold the key to house price performance during the rest of 2024.

While the news house prices fell in March will be disappointing, experts are confident the decline could prove to be a blip in a recovering market.

“Sellers have every reason to start feeling positive about putting their home up for sale and being able to go on to buy their next perfect property. 2024 has shown a positive trend that house prices are growing once again following three years of economic turbulence,” said Nathan Emerson, CEO of Propertymark.

Ultimate Products – surely 80% of the UK households cannot be wrong

Apart from being major retail names, tell me what do the following companies have in common?

Tesco, Asda, Aldi, Sainsburys, Morrisons, B&M, Co-op, B&Q, The Range, Express Gifts, Action SystemeU, Iceland, Boots, Dunnes, The Works, Continente Modelo, Primark, Robert Dyas, Factory Shop, Amazon, Avon, The Range, Homestore and More, JTF, Argos, House of Fraser, The Works, Dunelm, Superdrug, Poundland, AS Watson, Blokker, Gifi, Debenhams, Poundworld, Matalan, JD Williams, Ryman, Shop Direct, Costco, Groupon and Catch of the Day.

Yes, it really is quite a list of retail store groups – ...

Should you take the chance to buy DP Poland shares in the retail offer?

UK franchise operator Domino’s Pizza (LON: DOM) is investing £11m in Poland-based pizza stores operator DP Poland (LON: DPP) as part of an overall fundraising of up to £20.5m. The other £9.5m will come via a placing and retail offer. This cash will help to finance a near-doubling of stores and that should help DP Poland to move to making a significant profit.

The retail offer could raise up to £1m at 9.92p/share. Applications can be made through intermediaries. The minimum subscription is £200. The latest time for commitments under the offer is 12pm on 12 April.

Domino’s Pizza has an op...

Aquis weekly movers: Incanthera secures initial from partner

Lift Global Ventures (LON: LFT) investee company Trans-Africa Energy has received funding of £12m from an African investor. The first energy infrastructure investment is in Ghana. The share price doubled to 0.8p.

Incanthera (LON: INC) has published an update on its distribution deal with Marionnaud. The first order for Skin + CELL products will generate revenues of £2m with 50,000 bottles of skin cream to be supplied for sale in Austria and Switzerland. A second order will be even bigger. The management projects revenues of £10m for the year to March 2025 and this would make it profitable. The range is being increased to five products and they are all part of the initial launch. Revenues could grow to £33m the following year. There is potential for licence deals in other countries. The Incanthera share price has jumped 53.8% to 15p, having been as high as 17p,

Watchstone Group (LON: WTG) says a subsidiary’s VAT appeal was dismissed even though it satisfied four out of five elements. A decision will be made on whether to appeal the judgement. The share price soared 30.8% to 8.5p.

Asia Wealth Group Holdings (LON: AWLP) nearly halved its interim loss even though revenues fell from $844,000 to $523,000. There is $1m in the bank. The share price is 30% ahead at 32.5p.

TruSpine Technologies (LON: TSP) intends to issue a conversion notice to loan note holders. The conversion price is a 130% premium to the share price prior to the convertible loan note approval by the directors. A £200,000 debenture has been used to subscribe for convertible loan notes. Geoffrey Miller has increased his stake from 6.88% to 7.24%. The share price increased 18.8% to 0.95p.

Quantum Exponential Group (LON: QBIT) has announced a further adjournment of its a general meeting to gain shareholder approval for leaving Aquis. Investors have approached the quantum technology investment company and offered to make a substantial investment. The share price recovered 16.7% to 0.7p.

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) investee company European Metals Holdings (LON: EMH) says that the Cinovec project in the Czech Republic is in the process of completing a definitive feasibility study, but it will not be completed in the first quarter. There is potential to improve the lithium processing. Cadence Minerals has increased its stake in the Amapa iron ore project in Brazil to 34%. A study should reduce costs and improve productivity of the proposed mine. The Cadence Minerals share price improved 4.76% to 5.5p.

KR1 (LON: KR1) had net assets of 134.6p/share at the end of February 2024. There was income generated of £1.63m. The share price edged up 3.43% to 90.5p.

Arbuthnot Banking Group (LON: ARBB) increased its pre-tax profit from £20m to £47.1m and the total dividend was raised from 42p/share to 46p/share. Bad debts were lower than forecast. NAV is 1547p/share. The profit is likely to fall this year.  The share price is 0.5% higher at 1075p.

FALLERS

Global Connectivity (LON: GCON) is amending the terms of warrants issued when it floated and extending them by two years to 20 April 2026. The exercise price is being reduced to 1.5p. Management is exploring potential investments. The share price slumped by two-fifths to 0.375p.

Flex Labs Inc (LON: FLEX) is still developing its AI app technology and there were no revenues in 2023. The share price divided 21.7% to 4.5p.

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) has commenced exploration at the Larisoro manganese mine in Kenya. The share price declined 16.3% to 10.25p.

Valereum (LON: VLRM) has raised £300,000 at 6p/share from its chairman and is planning a larger fundraising in the third quarter of 2024. The share price slipped 14.8% to 5.75p.

Jenny Hanlon has been appointed as chief executive of brewer Adnams (LON: ADB). She is currently finance director. The share price fell 8.16% to £22.

Tap Global Group (LON: TAP) generated trading payment volumes of £181.6m in 2023. That generated revenues of £2.02m, but the loss was still £1.07m. The share price is 6.9% lower at 1.35p.

EPE Special Opportunities (LON: EO.P) had net assets of 324p/share at the end of January 2024. There was £15.3m in cash offset by £4m in loan notes repayable on 23 July. The share price declined 6.25% to 150p.

Gunsynd (LON: GUN) shares are 3.03% lower at 0.16p, following news that investee company Aberdeen Minerals is raising £3m at 8.5p/share from Central Asia Metals with a further £2m that could be raised from the exercise of warrants at 11p/share. This deal requires regulatory approval.

AIM weekly movers: Orosur Mining reacquiring Anza project

1

A letter of intent has been signed as part of the process of Orosur Mining (LON: OMI) regaining 100% ownership of the Anza gold project in Colombia from a Newmont Mining joint venture by the end of April. This will cost up to $15m in cash and a net smelter royalty of 1.5%. The share price recovered 91.5% to 4.5p.

A more positive trading statement from film and video translation services provider ZOO Digital (LON: ZOO) as management believes that demand should recover following the disruption of recent strikes in Hollywood. Revenues of $40m are now expected for the year to March 2024.  A new film and TV distribution client has been won and there is greater visibility of work. The company still might not move back into profit in 2024-25, though. There is potential disruption from a craft workers strike in Hollywood. The share price jumped 62.8% to 35.4p.

SkinBioTherapeutics (LON: SBTX) rose 54.5% to 12.75p following last week’s interims. Revenues from psoriasis treatment AxisBiotix-PS increased by 38% to £107,000, but the cash outflow is still significant. There should be more news concerning the AxisBiotix acne food supplement consumer participant study in the coming weeks.

Caspian Sunrise (LON: CASP) is taking with potential buyers of the BNG producing shallow structures in Kazakhstan. Management plans to use the company’s drilling rigs and equipment to provide services to farm into assets. Production from shallow structures is currently 1,700 barrels/day and drilling is ongoing on deeper structures. The share price improved 53.8% to 4p.

FALLERS

Companies planning to leave AIM dominate the fallers this week. Infrastructure India (LON: IIP) shares returned from suspension when the interims to September 2023 were published and the share price dived by 85% to 0.075p. The board is proposing a winding-up of the company as it disposes of its assets and the share quotation will be cancelled if the proposals are passed at the AGM. Net liabilities are £217.4m.

Oil and gas producer Molecular Energies (LON: MEN) is cancelling its AIM quotation because it does not believe it is worth the cost. The company should save £500,000/year. Chairman Peter Levine, who owns 29.2%, suggests that he may offer to buy shares of some other investors in the future, but there are no immediate plans to offer an exit prior to the cancellation. Green House Capital will no longer be spun off on AIM. This did not hold up the share price which slid 70.8% to 7p.

Infection protection technology developer Byotrol (LON: BYOT) has been quoted for nearly 19 years and it has decided to leave AIM. Revenues from continuing products should improve from £3.7m to £3.9m this year. No further IP revenues are expected this year. Some IP was sold to Tristel (LON: TSTL) and along with an early termination of another licence generated cash of £800,000, but minimum guaranteed royalties will be written down by £550,000 in the balance sheet. Even before that, there will be a higher loss in 2023-24. The business needs to be restructured and reduce costs and believes there will be more flexibility as a private company. Asset Match will provide a matched bargain facility. The share price dived by three-fifths to 0.15p.

Horizonte Minerals (LON: HZM) is also three-fifths lower at 1.5p after it published the latest financing estimate for the Araguaia nickel project. The cost to complete is $454m, but the full funding required is $567m-$592m, including pre-production and transaction costs. Existing liabilities are $418, and they require restructuring. More cash will be required by mid-April. Interest payments are being deferred. Existing shareholders are not in a strong position.

Six Stocks & Shares ISA ideas from the experts

With the end of the tax year on 5th April and the last opportunity to use this year’s ISA allowance fast approaching, this article outlines six ideas for a Stocks & Shares ISA from investment professionals at Wealth Club and Hargreaves Lansdown.

In their own words, Kate Marshall, lead investment analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, and Wealth Club Fund Manager Charlie Huggins outline three ideas each, with Huggins focusing on individual stocks, and Marshall highlighting Investment Trusts.

We start with Charlie Huggins’ three stock selections. Huggins personally owns shares in RELX, Diploma and Roper Technologies and holds them in Wealth Club’s Quality Shares Portfolio.

RELX plc

“Its name may not set the pulses racing, but you’d be hard pushed to find a higher-quality UK-listed business than RELX,” Huggins says.

“RELX is one of the world’s leading data experts. Its data, tools and analytics help insurers price risks, governments combat fraud and banks comply with anti-money laundering regulations. These aren’t the kind of things you stop doing in an economic downturn. Added to RELX’s long-term contracts and high levels of recurring revenue, it lends great predictability and resilience.

“RELX also benefits from an excellent competitive position. Not only is the quality of its data superb, but its solutions are deeply embedded in customer workflows, leading to high switching costs. Combine this with RELX’s brand strength, customer relationships, reputation and global scale; I wouldn’t want to compete with it.

“Competitive advantages like these can often breed complacency, but RELX has not rested on its laurels. Over the last 15 years, the group has invested heavily in innovation, launching increasingly sophisticated data analytics and tools. These investments are paying off. In 2023, RELX grew underlying revenue by 8% – twice as fast as a decade earlier. 

“With the evolution towards faster-growing analytics continuing, I’m confident RELX can sustain its growth momentum.”

Roper Technologies Inc

Fund Manager Huggins outlines why he holds Roper personally and in the fund he manages:

“Once an industrial giant – selling anything from pumps to stoves and garden equipment– Roper has undergone a significant transformation in recent years. Slower-growing, more economically-sensitive industrial businesses have been sold with proceeds redeployed into acquisitions. Today, Roper is a conglomerate that owns 27 high-quality software and technology businesses.

“On the surface, these companies are quite different. One provides billing software for legal firms, another sells single-use bronchoscopes into hospitals. But they all share similar characteristics that should make them extremely resilient.

“All Roper’s businesses occupy market-leading positions within a niche, helping keep a lid on competition. The software and technology are critical and deeply embedded in customer operations, making switching difficult and expensive. In addition, a large portion of Roper’s sales are recurring and derived from defensive end-markets.  

“This business model is wed to an entrepreneurial culture that eschews politics and embraces candour. Roper’s companies are kept independent and given considerable autonomy – the leaders are trusted to make decisions and, crucially, held accountable for the outcome.

“The results speak for themselves. Roper is enjoying higher margins and stronger growth than at any time in its history. I believe there is more to come.”

Diploma

“Many industrial businesses have struggled in a weakening economic environment. Diploma is an exception, because it is no ordinary industrial distributor,” says Huggins.  

“Diploma supplies critical products, funded from customers’ operating rather than capital budgets. Whether its low-voltage cables going into data centres, seals going into construction equipment, or instruments used for life-saving surgeries, the common thread is that Diploma’s customers can’t function without them.

“Diploma is much more than just a product supplier, however. Its businesses provide deep technical support, next-day delivery and customised solutions. This value-add service offering makes it a key long-term partner to its customers and translates to excellent pricing power, margins and cash flow.

“Diploma has shrewdly redeployed this cash into acquisitions, to fortify existing niches, and gain a foothold in exciting new markets, like industrial automation. The success of this acquisition strategy is evidenced by Diploma’s very high returns on capital employed of around 20%.

“I think this strategy is only just getting going. With plenty of white space left on the map, and proven acquisition credentials, Diploma looks well placed to grow for many years to come.”

Three Investment Trusts

Kate Marshall, lead investment analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown, has highlighted three Investment Trusts covering emerging markets, UK equities, and high-quality global companies.

City of London Investment Trust

The City of London Investment Trust offers exposure to a selection of the UK’s top high-quality dividend payers including Shell, HSBC, and BAE Systems.

“UK equity income investment trusts are a convenient way to invest in a mix of dividend-paying UK companies, and to access one of the highest-yielding stock markets in the world,” Kate Marshall says.

“Job Curtis, manager of this trust for over three decades, likes larger, more stable companies which often have multinational operations. This provides the trust with exposure to both domestic and global growth. Investment trusts have more flexibility than open-ended funds to smooth out the ups and downs of the stock market and help maintain a rising and sustainable income. City of London Investment Trust has increased its dividend for 57 years, the longest record of any investment trust.”

JPMorgan Emerging Markets Investment Trust

Emerging markets have had a tough time recently and this trust will provide a broad basket of leading companies in countries including China, Brazil and India.

“Emerging markets have strong growth potential, which makes investment trusts focused on the area suitable for ISAs with a long investment horizon,” Marshall explains.

“Over the years, rapid industrialisation, growing populations, and a desire to succeed have helped transform countries in the region. JPMorgan Emerging Markets Investment Trust could be well-placed to take advantage of the changes taking place across these markets. The trust is managed by experienced investors Austin Forey and John Citron. It provides diverse exposure to countries ranging from China and India, to Taiwan and Brazil.”

Scottish American Investment Company

This Baillie Gifford trust’s top ten holdings include Microsoft, Novo Nordisk, and Procter & Gamble.

“Global investment trusts provide a good foundation to an investment portfolio focused on long-term growth, income, or both. Investing in companies across the globe provides a good level of diversification in a single trust. This trust is one of the oldest investment trusts around, having launched in 1873,” Marshall says.

“James Dow and Toby Ross, the current managers, search globally for companies with the potential for sustainable growth and a reliable dividend. They mainly invest in shares in developed markets, which should provide a dependable income stream and the potential for above inflation profit growth.

“They should also demonstrate resilience through the economic cycle. Some investments in UK commercial property and global bonds provides useful diversification, while some infrastructure and property shares help diversify the income paid to investors and could deliver growth ahead of inflation. The trust has increased its dividend every year for 50 years.”