US private equity group swoops on Assura, outbidding Primary Health Properties

Assura has agreed terms for a £1.6 billion takeover by US private equity group KKR after weeks of failed attempts by Primary Health Properties to acquire the healthcare property group.

Assura and KKR have agreed terms for a cash acquisition of Assura, which values Assura at 49.4 pence per share. Primary Health Properties latest offer valued Assura at just 46.2p.

KKR’s offer comprises 48.56 pence cash and a 0.84 pence dividend due in April.

The offer matches Assura’s EPRA NTA value of 49.4 pence per share and represents a premium of nearly 32% on Assura’s closing price before the offer period.

Primary Health Properties’ unwillingness to pay Assura’s EPRA NTA means yet another UK-listed company falls into the hands of a US private equity group.

US bond sell off presents fresh risk to global markets

The impact of Donald Trump’s tariffs was first felt in global equities as investors dumped risky stocks and bought into safe havens.

One of the safe havens that investors initially flocked to was the US Treasury market. 10-year Treasury yields briefly fell below 4% for the first time since early 2024 last week.

However, the initial flight to Treasuries has been replaced by broad selling as investors flee US debt, sending the 10-year yield as high as 4.5%.

While Donald Trump remains unconcerned about the rout in equity markets, rising bond yields will get his attention. Especially at the pace they have increased.

Rising bond yields will increase the cost of servicing the United States’ massive debt pile and threatens the entire global financial system. It will also curtail Trump’s plan to implement tax cuts.

The disruption in the bond market has led to calls for the Federal Reserve to step in to prop the market up through emergency bond purchases, or quantitative easing (QE).

Analysts at Deutsche Bank have suggested QE could be the only option to steady the bond market if Trump continues with his global trade war.

“US Treasuries are selling off at a pace we’ve rarely seen, levels that have historically triggered some form of intervention by the Federal Reserve despite Fed Chair Jerome Powell saying on Friday that it wasn’t time for a “Fed put” yet. Yet this kind of pressure in the bond market isn’t common, and when it has happened in the past, the Fed has often stepped in to ensure market stability,” said Lale Akoner, Global Market Analyst at eToro.

Rising bond yields also make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates – something Trump would like them to do.

There are also signs of financial strain elsewhere in the world. The Yen is strengthening against the dollar and the 40-year Japanese bond hit the highest level since 2007 overnight. The Chinese Yuan sank again overnight as 104% tariffs took effect.

Financial tensions are rising and the risk of something breaking is a cause for concern.

AIM movers: Churchill China raises dividend and buying by Ariana Resources directors

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Ceramic hospitality products manufacturer Churchill China (LON: CHH) is indicating its confidence for the medium-term by increasing the final dividend by 6% to 26.5p/share, which takes the total for the year to 38p/share. This was despite the dip in pre-tax profit from £10.8m to £8.5m as revenues fell from £82.3m to £78.3m. In the UK the sales to national pub and restaurant chains rose, but independents spent less. There was a decline in international revenues, although £1.1m of hotel projects were won. Additional retail business was taken on to help keep the manufacturing facilities running at an efficient level even though it is lower margin. The US was 9% of revenues and tariffs create uncertainty, but there may also be opportunities to gain from manufacturers in countries where the additional tariffs are higher. There is a new manufacturing facility in Romania. A flat profit is expected this year. The share price rebounded 17.4% to 575p.

Minerals explorer Ariana Resources (LON: AAU) chairman Michael de Villiers has bought one million shares at 0.99p each and 1.78 million shares at 1.142p. He owns 3.55%. This follows the purchase of 440,388 shares at 1.134p each by Dr Kerim Sener. He owns 1.23%. The share price is 5% higher at 1.05p.

Estate agency M Winkworth (LON: WINK) has increased its quarterly dividend by 14% to 2.9p/share. M Winkworth has paid out more in dividends than the share price when it floated in 2009. The share rice improved 3.59% to 202p.

Windows supplier Epwin (LON: EPWN) reported slightly better than expected 2024 figures. Pre-tax profit was 6% higher at £19m despite a dip in revenues. There was an operating cash inflow of £42.1m. The total dividend was raised by 6% to 5.1p/share and it is nearly two times covered by earnings. Zeus believes that Epwin can offset the National Insurance and other cost increases of around £3m and still improve profit this year. The share price increased 3.33% to 93p.

FALLERS

Shareholders backed the Ethernity Network (LON: ENET) general meeting resolution to increase the share capital, but it did not receive the required 75% of the votes to disapply pre-emption rights – 67% were in favour. The share price dipped 27.1% to 0.0175p.

Audioboom (LON: BOOM) says the latest quarterly figures show record revenues per thousand downloads. The podcast platform operator increased 2024 revenues by 13% to $73.4m. The first quarter performance and advertising bookings were 15% ahead of the first quarter of 2024. Revenues are currently forecast to grow by 9% in 2025. The share price is 13.2% lower at 377.5p.

Sunrise Resources (LON: SRES) highlighted its portfolio of drill ready precious metals projects at a time when the gold price is hitting new highs. This includes the Clayton silver gold project, Bay State silver project and Newark gold project in Nevada. The share price still fell 8.82% to 0.0155p.

IT managed services provider Tialis Essential IT (LON: TIA) is creating a new subsidiary called AI Auxesis, which will combine consulting with investment. The business will be led by Andy Mills and Ian Smith, and they will each invest £62,500 in the subsidiary. Tialis Essential IT will invest £125,000 and it is raising £125,000 via a subscription at 60p/share. The share price slipped 5.83% to 56.5p.

FTSE 100 falls as Trump signals pharmaceutical tariffs

The FTSE 100 sank again on Wednesday after Trump’s tariffs came into force overnight and the threat of a fresh wave of tariffs on pharmaceuticals weighed on London’s heavyweight pharma sector.

Yesterday’s rally in global equities proved to be shortly lived. Any hope around potential deals with around 70 countries that had approached the White House to negotiate was replaced by outright risk aversion on the introduction of 104% tariffs on China. 

China is not a country to be pushed around or dictated to, and Donald Trump’s demand for a phone call from the world’s second-largest country to negotiate tariffs was not met.

Indeed, China hit back with an additional 50% tariffs on US imports on Wednesday.

London’s China-exposed miners fell, adding to the downside pressure created by GSK and AstraZeneca.

Financial stress

There are growing signs of distress in financial markets. US government treasuries are selling off, the Yen is soaring against the dollar, and US swap rates are tumbling.

Donald Trump’s tariffs now have broader implications than just the erosion of company earnings. If these stresses are left unchecked, the bear market for US global equity indices could be the start of a broader sell-off. 

Many leading hedge fund managers are warning against buying the dip, while Goldman Sachs analysts suggest now is a good time to start venturing back into equities.

Equity bulls will hope there is an element of ‘sell the rumour, buy the fact’ to Trump’s tariffs and that investors fearing the consequences of the trade war have already dumped most of the stock they plan to. This could clear the decks for investors to dip their toes back into beaten-down names. 

“UK equities were historically cheap even before the sharp further drop of the last few days. The steep decline has only made them look even more attractive,” said Ben Ritchie, co-manager of Dunedin Income Growth Investment Trust.

“There are plenty of stocks on close to double digit dividend yields that we think are incredibly well underpinned, alongside a large number of companies trading on multiples that are lower than at the nadir of Covid-19 when we were unsure if the world could function.” 

However, significant unknowns remain, and Trump’s erratic approach to foreign and economic policy shows no sign of abating.

Interestingly, there are signs of tensions in Trump’s top team, with Elon Musk, in a social media post, saying Trump advisor Peter Navarro was ‘dumber than a sack of bricks’.

Tesla’s shares are among the worst-affected US technology companies, having lost 41% this year, taking an axe to Musk’s net worth.

In addition to another 4.9% drop in Tesla shares, other US technology shares suffered further losses overnight as Trump appeared unwavering in his pursuit of a global trade war. 

FTSE 100 tumbles

The S&P 500 closed down 1.4% overnight after trading as much as 4% higher. The sharp turnaround in US stocks led to a softer European open, which saw the FTSE 100 fall over 2% in early trade.

Nervousness about the standoff between Trump and China played out in the FTSE 100’s natural resources stocks. Anglo American sank over 5%, and BP lost another 3%. China is the world’s largest consumer of natural resources, and a slowdown in its economy will have deep implications for the sector.

However, Gold was back in vogue after a retreat from recent highs. Precious metals miner Endeavour Mining caught the attention of investors, sending shares 2% higher. Endeavour was one of the very few gainers in the early stages of Wednesday’s session. 

“As the world waits to find out which side might blink first, there’s renewed sentiment for gold as place of safety amid market turmoil, with the precious metal climbing back up after recent losses,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

AstraZeneca was the FTSE 100’s top faller, sinking 6%, after Trump threatened to impose tariffs on pharmaceutical imports. AstraZeneca is the FTSE 100’s largest company by market cap and wiped a significant number of points off the index.

Expanding AI analytics services and achieving profitability with GenIP

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to be joined by GenIP’s senior management team to explore the company’s recent announcements, including full-year results and contract wins. 

CEO Melissa Cruz and CFO Kevin Fitzpatrick outline the AI analytics company’s progress since their AIM IPO and the traction they’re gaining with global technology transfer offices. 

Kevin provides a run-down of recently released full-year results and insight into GenIP’s cost base. 

Melissa explains their relationships with clients and the positive feedback they’ve received. We discuss targets for profitability this year and whether GenIP are still on track to become profitable in 2025.

We discuss recent contract wins and the launch of new products later this year.

Gooch & Housego reassures the market

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Photonics company Gooch & Housego (LON: GHH) has reassured investors that tariffs should not have a significant direct effect on the business, although there could knock-on problems due to increased costs. This enabled the share price to recover 8.2% to 400.5p.

Gooch & Housego is not significantly exposed to the countries hit hardest by US import tariff rises. There has been some retaliatory action in limiting supply of raw materials. Management believes it can pass on any rise in costs. US businesses may even benefit from non-US suppliers being less competitive in terms of price.

An interim trading statement shows organic growth of 7.5%. Semiconductors and industrial lasers remain weak areas, but the rest of the business is trading strongly. The medical business has benefited from its new US facility. Trading is in line with full year forecasts.

Net debt is £24.1m and the debt facility has been extended to 2030. Debt is always lower at the year end and it should fall to £15m at the end of September 2025.

Cavendish maintains its 2024-25 pre-tax profit forecast at £13,3m, up from £8.1m the previous year. That means that the shares are trading ten times prospective earnings, which is low for a company with such strong market positions.

AIM movers: Maiden dividend from Thor Explorations and Impax assets under management dives

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Minoan Group (LON: MIN) shares recovered following the slump on Friday after it said that it does not have enough cash to complete the audit of its accounts to October 2024 and that would mean trading in the shares would be suspended on 1 May. The suspension could happen earlier because of the lack of cash. Minoan has not been able to extend the secured loan, totalling £1.19m, provided by DAGG. A proposal from DAG includes the conversion of the loan into shares and an additional £4.44m cash injection in return for shares. The share price doubled to 0.25p, but it is still 23% lower over the past week.

Thor Explorations (LON: THX) has announced a maiden dividend alongside its 2024 results. Higher gold production and lower production costs at the Segilola gold mine in Nigeria enabled net profit to jump from $10.8m to $91.1m on revenues up from $141.2m to $193.1m. There is no debt and net cash of $11.2m. Costs are expected to rise this year and production should be at least maintained. Dividends will be paid quarterly, and the first dividend is C$0.0125p/share – this will be the minimum quarterly level. The shares go ex-dividend on 1 May. The dividend policy will be reviewed in two years. The share price increased 15.9% to 25.5p, which is just off its recent all time high.

An update from Zephyr Energy (LON: ZPHR) on the State 36-2 LNW-CC-R well indicates that it has a good connection to the highly pressured Cane Creek reservoir. Production testing will start shortly, and initial results should be available by the end of April. The share price improved 12.5% to 3.6p.

A strong gold price has benefited pawnbroker Ramsdens Holdings (LON: RFX) in the first half and led to an upgrade in forecasts. Retail jewellery sales were also strong and the outlook for pawnbroking is positive. Panmure Liberum has raised its 2024-25 pre-tax profit forecast from £12m to £13.1m. There was a small downgrade for the foreign exchange division, and this is not expected to show growth next year. The share price strengthened 9.76% to 225p.

FALLERS

Belluscura (LON: BELL) has withdrawn guidance for 2025 because of the uncertainty due to increased tariffs on imports to the US. The company’s portable oxygen concentrators are predominantly made in China, and the tariff will increase from 20% to 54%. Belluscura had been moving towards profitability. That is less likely to happen and could put pressure on the cash position. Earlier in the year, £4.7m was raised at 2p/share. The share price halved to 0.625p.

The latest assets under management figure from Impax Asset Management (LON: IPX) shows the loss of the major St James’s Place mandate, but there is also a £1bn decline from negative performance. By the end of March 2025, assets under management had fallen by one-quarter to £25.3bn. Impax Asset Management says that figures for the year to September 2025 will be below expectations because of the poor performance, particularly in recent days after US tariff announcements. The share price dropped 15.7% to 127.1p.

Eco Buildings Group (LON: ECOB) has produced 450 modular wall panels and they will be delivered to an existing customer with payment expected in the current quarter. The full order is worth £4m. The rate of production is better than expected and is based on a single shift. The share price fell 9.64% to 3.75p.

SkinBioTherapeutics (LON: SBTX) shares dipped 4% to 24p after OptiBiotix Health (LON: OPTI) reduced its shareholding from 9.58% to 8.46%. OptiBiotix shares are 3.59% lower at 14.75p.

FTSE 100 jumps as European stocks show signs of life

The FTSE 100 jumped on Tuesday, with European equities on track to record their first positive session since Trump unleashed his tariff charts on the world last week.

However, Tuesday’s gains did little to make a dent in the losses sustained since Trump’s announcement, and the FTSE 100 is still around 9% lower than where it was pre-tariff announcement.

The gains follow signs in a softening in the White House’s stance on tariffs and, importantly, the willingness to negotiate. Early signs of the potential for deals yesterday caused wild swings in US stocks that created and then wiped out trillions of dollars of value within seconds.

Two reports in close proximity saw the S&P 500 rally around 250 points – around 5% of the total index and $2 trillion in market value – in a matter of minutes, only for it all to disappear again just as quickly.

Reports that Trump was considering a delay to tariffs and suggestions the EU was happy to look at zero-tariff options sparked a rally of around 300 points that lasted no more than 10 minutes before the index gave back most of the gains. 

The White House labelled reports that Donald Trump was considering 90 tariff delays as ‘fake news’, squashing hopes that a deal could be struck between major economies and the US, erasing all of the short-term gains. Rarely in history has such a large amount of equity value been created and destroyed so quickly.

However,  a trickle of media commentary and White House statements suggesting that the US administration was in dialogue with around 70 countries helped support US stocks throughout the session, and the S&P 500 very nearly closed in positive territory overnight.

There were also a number of positive signals coming from the US on the corporate front, including Broadcom announcing a $10bn share buyback. The company’s AI revenues have surged recently, and its announcement served as a gentle reminder of the underlying strength in some of the world’s largest companies.

The step back from the abyss was taken positively by European stocks, which opened higher and continued to rally as the session progressed.

“After multiple punishing sessions, stock markets appear to have started their road to recovery,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell. 

“Asia led the way, including a 6% advance from the Nikkei after Japan effectively jumped to the front of the queue for tariff negotiations with Donald Trump. Reports that Japan would get priority status for talks fired up markets in hope of a resolution.

“Trump has the same end-goal for the countries on which he has imposed new tariffs. He wants to make it easier for US companies to do business overseas, for the partnering countries to buy more US goods, and for the US to get its hands on strategically important assets such as natural resources.”

Those stocks most heavily hit by Trump’s tariffs were among the FTSE 100’s top risers on Tuesday. Rolls Royce added 5% while Babcock International gained 4.5%.

Miners helped the index higher with Glencore rising 3%.

There were also more gains for Marks & Spencer and Unite Group – two of only five FTSE 100 shares that are higher than were they were just before Trump’s announcement.

More to come from The Property Franchise Group

Franchised lettings and property sales business The Property Franchise Group (LON: TPFG) has got off to a good start with its integration of Belvoir and the licensing business acquired last year. New renting legislation will come into force before the end of 2025, but management believes that it can adapt to the new rules.
The Renters Rights Bill should come into effect in the autumn. This will end fixed term tenancies and no fault evictions. There will be fines for landlords that do not comply with the new rules and some self managed landlords may decide to exit the market or move to a lettin...

Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs) record third highest year of fundraising in 24/25 tax year

Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs) have recorded the third highest year of fundraising in the 24/25 tax year, raising £895 million, despite concerns about the UK economy.

The data represents strong investor demand in exciting early-stage British companies and a regulatory environment that supports private investor participation in the funding of ambitious UK companies.

“Despite a difficult economic backdrop, VCTs had their third best year for fundraising,” said Richard Stone, Chief Executive of the Association of Investment Companies.

“This is good news for the UK’s innovative young companies because VCTs provide finance and advice to these businesses, helping them scale up and succeed. VCTs have raised over £4.6 billion over the last five years to help get hundreds of ambitious businesses off the ground.

“VCTs offer attractive tax incentives to investors, while their investee companies create economic and social benefits for local communities across the UK. Some may even grow to become household names. This year’s strong fundraising shows that VCTs remain a favoured investment for those who want to back growing UK companies while reducing their tax bill. Growth is the number one objective for the government and VCTs provide vital capital to the businesses that will fuel that growth.”

The most recent tax year saw the third highest level of VCT raises behind only 2021/22 when VCTs raised £1.13 billion and the 2022/23 tax year in which £1.08 billion was raised.

VCT offer investors generous tax benefits for investing in early-stage companies, including 30% tax relief and full relief from capital gains and dividend income.