The opportunity in Indian equities amid tariff volatility with India Capital Growth Fund

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome Gaurav Narain, Principal Advisor of the India Capital Growth Fund, for a deep dive into Indian growth companies amid tariff-induced volatility.

The India Capital Growth Fund Investment Trust specialises in high growth Indian equities and has returned over 41% over the past three years.

Please find out more about the India Capital Growth Fund Investment Trust here.

We explore the trust’s approach to Indian equities and the drivers of performance in recent years. We also question whether these drivers remain intact and delve into the key factors behind the Indian growth story, which are likely to persist in the coming years.

We address tariff volatility and Gaurav provides his thinking on recent developments, which prove to be a breath of fresh air. The trust sees volatility as an opportunity to secure high-growth companies at more favourable valuations and is confident the composition of the Indian economy means it is one of the best protected from Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Gaurav outlines a number of portfolio companies and we finish with looking at the outlook for Indian stocks.

Panther Metals dumps remaining Fulcrum Metals stake in fire sale placing

Panther Metals has dumped its remaining shares in Fulcrum Metals in a discounted placing that will net Panther just over £250,000.

Fulcrum Metals was spun out of Panther Metals in an AIM IPO in 2023, with Panther Metals retaining a stake of 10m shares in Fulcrum worth around £1.7m at the time of the IPO.

The company has crystallised more than three-quarters of this stake today for just £266,000.

It’s unlikely either set of shareholders will be happy with the placing. Panther Metals has sold the remainder of its stake after having plentiful opportunities to do so at prices many times higher than the current level. 

Fulcrum Metals shareholders now know there is weak demand for their shares with the placing price so far below the market price. On a positive note, Fulcrum shareholders can be pleased that a distressed seller has now been cleared out.

Underscoring Panther Metal’s need for cash, the company agreed with brokers to break a renewed lock-in period that was supposed to run until May 2025. 

Today’s share sale is Panther Metals’ third cash raise this year, having raised £450,000 in January and issuing a smaller amount of shares at the beginning of April. 

Panther shareholders hope the recently raised cash will be put to good use in developing the company’s Canadian assets before the firm taps the market again.

Government contract wins for Made Tech

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Made Tech Group (LON: MTEC) is bucking the trend today after it announced several contract wins. The AIM-quoted digital consultancy has increased sales bookings in the year to date to £68.2m. The share price improved 4.49% to 23.25p.

In the second half contracts worth £26.2m have been secured. This means that Made Tech is going to achieve the expected double digit growth in revenues in the year to May 2025.

There are two contracts with the Department of Business and Trade worth a total of £12m over up to four years. This expands the relationship with that department. There is another £6m contract with the Department of Justice.

Singer recently upgraded its forecasts, and the additional wins underpin that upgrade. Revenues of £43m are expected and pre-tax profit is forecast to improve from £1.4m to £2.1m. The share price had drifted to a new 2025 low prior to the announcement. The shares are trading on just under 20 times prospective earnings.

AIM movers: Catenai receiving loan repayment and Verici Dx short of cash

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Digital media and technology provider Catenai (LON: CTAI) says AI firm Klarian intends to repay the £450,000 loan provided one year ago. Including fees the total amount repayable is £567,500. These funds will be used by Catenai to invest in AI opportunities. The share price jumped 29.4% to 0.22p.

Atome (LON: ATOM) has signed a definitive Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) contract with Casale for its Villeta green fertiliser project in Paraguay. This is a fixed price contract of $465m and will enable progress to the final investment decision for the 145MW project. That could happen in June and production could start 38 months later. The share price moved ahead by 14.3% to 32p.

Power and data transmission products manufacturer Volex (LON: VLX) benefited from a strong fourth quarter with full year revenues expected to be $1.06bn, up 16%. Operating profit should be at least $100m, which is better than expected. Increased demand for data centre products improved margins. Most divisions improved sales, but the medical sector revenues declined because of catch-up orders in the previous year. Off-highway revenues were flat. The share price rose 10.2% to 219p, recovering some of the loss because of tariff concerns, although additional costs are expected to be passed on to clients.

Energy-as-a-Service provider eEnergy Group (LON: EAAS) continues to win contracts. The latest is with University Hospitals Plymouth NHS Trust and is worth £518,000. This is for providing LED lighting for 19 wards at Plymouth Derriford hospital. The share price increased 4.55% to 4.6p.

FALLERS

Organ transplant diagnostics developer Verici Dx (LON: VRCI) is still waiting for the local coverage determination for Tutivia reimbursement, so revenues on the tests cannot be recognised yet. There were 292 tests ordered in the first quarter of 2025. Tariffs and economic uncertainty have delayed potential licencing deals. Expected royalties from the Thermo Fisher deal have also been delayed. Cash is $1.63m but it will run out by June. Around $5m will be required in a share issue to extend the cash position by 12 months. This should happen when the local coverage determination is received. Singer has cut 2025 estimated revenues from $11.6m to $4.4m. The share price halved to 1.625p.

Peru-focused gold explorer Nativo Resources (LON: NTVO) is undertaking a feasibility study at he Toma La Mano tailings dump and there are other tailings dumps that are being considered. This will require additional funding. Peterhouse is subscribing for 12 million shares at 0.15p each, which gives the broker a 19.4% stake. This will be used to offset fees and Peterhouse will try to place the shares and provide Nativo Resources with 95% of the proceeds. Cash is being carefully managed, and some directors will receive their salary in shares. Further funds will be required by May and there are discussions with finance providers. Debt is being restructured. The share price slipped 38.8%

Although semiconductor designer EnSilica (LON: ENSI) has won six design and supply contracts in the first ten months of the financial year, two have been delayed which will hit revenues this year. Full year revenues are expected to be between £19m and £20m, compared with the £29m previously anticipated. EnSilica will make a loss. Expectations for next year have been slightly reduced to up to £35m, with four-fifths covered by existing contracts. The share price declined 22.4% to 30.25p, which is a new low.

Wellnex Life (LON: WNX) shares are continuing their decline since joining AIM on 28 March. The shares were already trading on the ASX before the placing and offer at 31.75p. The consumer healthcare company is trying to expand outside of Australia. The share price dipped 20.8% to 19p.

Alphawave IP – is a bidding war likely to follow on from US semiconductor group Qualcomm considering making an offer

This was certainly no April Fools joke! 
After a bit of a bid-buzz last Monday, 31st March, some five times the number of shares that are dealt on average were traded in Alphawave IP Group (LON:AWE). 
The 5,453,997 shares dealt that day, left the closing price at 93.50p. 
The next morning, Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM), the NASDAQ-quoted semiconductor group, issued a statement to the market, noting the recent share price movement of Alphawave IP Group and confirmed that it is considering making an offer to acquire the entire share capital of Alphawave. 
In response to the ne...

FTSE 100 tumbles again as economists predict US recession

The FTSE 100 tumbled again on Monday as the fallout of Donald Trump’s tariffs continued to rock global equities.

The weekend failed to offer any reprieve from the negative sentiment towards stocks, with many analysts and investors now expecting the US to enter a recession later this year.

London’s leading index fell as much as 6% in the early minutes of trade and remained under pressure as the session progressed.

“The US economy is barrelling rapidly towards recession, and will probably end up taking most of the rest of the world with it,” said Michael Brown Senior Research Strategist at Pepperstone.

“Concurrently, inflation is going to ramp substantially higher for the next couple of quarters, at the very least. Here we are then – stagflation.”

The S&P 500 fell more than 10% over two trading sessions at the end of last week – the biggest two-day drop since the beginning of the pandemic. 

Investors continued to dump European stocks on Monday, and US equities looked set to open lower. 

After such sharp declines at the end of last week, some may have expected a bounce, or at least a pause in selling on Monday. However, the fears about a global recession and little commentary for Trump from the White House over the weekend created an overarching sense of nervousness in markets on Monday.

Hedge fund manager Bill Ackman provided some insight into what he thinks should happen next in a social media post, capturing the attention of equity bulls hoping for a change in approach by Donald Trump. The billionaire suggested delays to tariffs could be announced by Trump, allowing time for deals to be made with other countries, although no such sounds have been made by the Whitehouse yet.

There was a very small and short-lived bounce on Friday when news broke that Trump had a telephone call with Vietnam and discussed the reduction of tariffs. However, claims by the White House that Trump had calls with dozens of other countries over the weekend failed to elicit any meaningful positivity in stocks on Monday. 

Indeed, the initial moves in the FTSE 100 on Monday were nothing short of a bloodbath. All FTSE 100 stocks were down at the time of writing.

Rolls Royce lost another 13% while Glencore sank 12%. Anglo American, Antofagasta, Babcock all fell more than 10%.

The best performers – those with the least declines – were UK-centric housebuilders and supermarkets.


Applied Nutrition beats revenue expectations but profits tumble

Applied Nutrition has made a strong start to life as a listed company by reporting revenues for the six months to 31 January 2025 that were ahead of guidance provided at the time of the IPO.

Revenues for the period were £47.6m – higher than the £46m the supplements and wellbeing company said they expected to generate at the time of the IPO.

“We are pleased to have announced a positive set of maiden results, ahead of what we said we would do at the time of IPO, with the Company delivering strong growth, expanding globally, and driving innovation in our industry,” said Thomas Ryder, CEO of Applied Nutrition.

“This has been a period of significant milestones and progress – our IPO in October, launching our first TV advert to promote our products starring Coleen Rooney, developing relationships with exciting new customers, and expanding into new geographies. The interest in our brand since our IPO has reached new heights and we are very grateful for the strong support we have received from our customers, partners and shareholders.”

Despite revenues growing in the period, Applied Nutrition’s adjusted Ebitda fell 15% to £13.8m in the period and margins contracted. Operating profit fell 28%.

Applied Nutrition’s shares are down materially from their 140p IPO price. Falling profits and lower margins will do little to encourage the share price back up to the listing price.

The company said it is increasing shelf space with major retailers and growing its social media reach through collaborations with celebrities such as Coleen Rooney. These played a part in higher revenues.

Investors, however, will want to see higher revenues translate into higher profits.

Director deals: Filtronic grows with SpaceX

Telecoms and satellite components and systems developer Filtronic (LON: FTC) has been consistently winning new business and chief executive Nat Edgington has added to his shareholding.
He acquired 26,334 shares at 94.88p each, taking his total shareholding to 113,734 shares. In March, he bought an initial 87,400 shares at 114p each. This followed the extension of the strategic agreement with SpaceX.
Nat Edgington has been in his current role since May 2024. He has experience in the technology and semiconductors industry, including at Wolfson Microelectronics.
Business
Telecoms and critical com...

New AIM admission: Wellnex Life expands outside of Australia

ASX-listed consumer healthcare company Wellnex Life Ltd has obtained an additional quotation on AIM. This will help it to finance growth outside of Australia.
The company has a range of its own brands and an agreement with Haleon to sell Panadol products. There are already significant revenues in Australia and potential in other markets, such as the UK and UAE.
On the first day of trading the share price was 31p, but it has declined since then. It has bottomed out at 24p, which is well below the flotation price. A loss is forecast for this year, but the shares are trading on a potential single...

AIM weekly movers: Strip Tinning’s recharged battery

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Dr Graham Cooley has increased his stake in spirits company Distil (LON: DIS) from 16.2% to 17.3%. Steve Xerri had cut his shareholding from 3.78% to under 3%. The share price rebounded 50% to 0.0675p, although it is still 46% lower than at the start of the year.

Automotive and battery connectors supplier Strip Tinning (LON: STG) is expecting a lower than forecast loss in 2025 because of strong trading in the battery division. This is a higher margin part of the business, and it will help to reduce the EBITDA loss from £1.6m to £900,000. The anticipated lifetime value of an existing US battery connectors client has been raised from £43m to at least £56.8m. The overall market remains difficult, though. A £520,000 R&D tax credit should be received in April and another payment of £250,000 should be received in the second half of 2025. Strip Tinning is on course to make a pre-tax profit in 2027. A grant is being applied for from the Automotive Transformation Fund. Strip Tinning will require more cash to fund growth. The share price initially more than doubled and ended the week 29.7% ahead at 24p.

Insurance premium finance provider Orchard Funding (LON: ORCH) reported an improvement in pre-tax profit from £1.08m to £2.1m. Impairment provisions fell from £490,000 to £60,000. Average income earning assets grew 9% to £67.9m. There is an interim dividend of 1p/share plus a special dividend of 1p/share. The company is sceptical about AIM, but it has no current plans to leave. The share price is 28.1% higher at 36.5p.

Zinnwald Lithium (LON: ZNWD) shares benefited from the announcement that the Saxony state government has recognised the company’s eponymous lithium project as a project of outstanding importance. The company recently published a pre-feasibility study showing a pre-tax NPV of €3.3bn with a mine life of 40 years. The shares recovered one-quarter to 6p, which is slightly lower than at the start of the previous week, when disappointment about the project not being on the list of 47 projected designated strategic by the EU led to a fall in the share price.

FALLERS

Electric Guitar (LON: ELEG) returned from suspension during the week after creditors agreed to the company voluntary arrangement and a £300,000 subscription at 0.034p/share. The company liquidated its operating subsidiary and is seeking a new business to acquire. The share price declined 64.6% to 0.085p.

Minoan Group (LON: MIN) says trading in the shares is likely to be suspended because it does not have enough cash to complete the audit of its accounts to October 2024. The suspension is expected on 1 May, but it may come earlier because of the lack of cash. Minoan has not been able to extend the secured loan, totalling £1.19m, provided by DAGG. A proposal from DAG includes the conversion of the loan into shares and an additional £4.44m cash injection in return for shares. Some members of DAGG would also write off £1.1m they are owed. DAGG wants to nominate management to take the company forward. Investor concern knocked 61.5% off the share price to 0.125p.

Celadon Pharmaceuticals (LON: CEL) said it has still not received funds following its draw down request from either of its credit facilities. The company is talking to other finance providers. There is support from creditors to enable the cannabis medicines developer to continue to trade in April, but cash is required. The share price continued its slide ending the week 43.8% lower at 4.5p.

Cloud software services provider CloudCoCo (LON: CLCO) reported growth in ecommerce sales helping overall revenues to rise 6% to £27.5m in the year to September 2024. The revenues of continuing operations improved from £6.19m to £8.74m, while the loss fell from £603,000 to £553,000. Disposals since the year end have reduced debt. The results were published just in time to prevent trading in the shares being suspended. The share price dipped 41.9% to 0.09p.