IMF: Trump tariffs will hurt global economy
The International Monetary Fund has warned that growing trade tensions between the US and the rest of the world could ultimately cost the global economy $430 billion (£324 billion).
In a recent report, the IMF revealed that the escalating trade war between Donald Trump and the US’ trade partners could leave the US “especially vulnerable”.
Trump announced last week plans to impose 10 percent tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods entering the country. This is in addition to the $34 billion worth of tariffs imposed on Beijing at the start of July.
China was quick to retaliate against the US and imposed similar tariffs.
As well as increase tensions with China, the US President also labelled the EU a trading “foe” on Sunday.
“Well, I think we have a lot of foes,” Trump told CBS News whilst in Scotland. “I think the European Union is a foe, what they do to us in trade. Now you wouldn’t think of the European Union but they’re a foe.”
Maurice Obstfeld, the IMF’s economic counsellor, said: “Countries must resist inward-looking thinking and remember that on a range of problems of common interest, multilateral cooperation is vital.”
Trump’s new trade tariffs also affect countries including Canada and Mexico.
As well as the tension sparked by the US, the IMF report also discussed political uncertainty in Europe surrounding Brexit.
“Financial markets seem broadly complacent in the face of these contingencies, with elevated valuations and compressed spreads in many countries,” said Obstfeld.
“Asset prices are no doubt buoyed, not only by easy financial conditions, but by the generally still satisfactory global growth picture. They therefore are susceptible to sudden re-pricing if growth and expected corporate profits stall.”
The IMF’s global growth forecast for 2018/9 remains 3.9 percent despite the growing risks for the global economy.
Netflix shares plummet 14pc on worse-than-expected Q2 results
Netflix shares plummeted 14 percent in after-hours trading after the streaming giant missed its own forecasts by over a million subscribers.
The group’s second-quarter results were announced on Monday and revealed 5.2 million new subscribers, bringing the total to 130 million customers worldwide.
Netflix revealed a profit of $384.3 million but the missed forecast sent shares tumbling to $346.05.
In a letter to shareholders, the streaming giant behind shows including The Crown and 13 Reasons Why, said it had “a strong but not stellar” second quarter.
“As a reminder, the quarterly guidance we provide is our actual internal forecast at the time we report and we strive for accuracy, meaning in some quarters we will be high and other quarters low relative to our guidance,” Netflix added.
Analyst Daniel Ives at GB Insights said: This is a clear speed bump for Netflix as the international miss was most concerning given this is the linchpin to the core growth thesis for the coming years.”
This year, the company is expected to invest as much as $12 billion into new content in order to keep competition from groups such as Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) at bay.
Apple is planning to increase its spending on original content in video, music and publishing from $1 billion to $4.2 billion by 2022.
“We believe that consumer appetite for great content is broad and that there is room for multiple parties to have attractive offerings,” the company said in the letter. “Our strategy is to simply keep improving, as we’ve been doing every year in the past.”
For the second quarter of 2018, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) reported a profit of 85 cents a share, which is an increase from $65.6 million, or 15 cents a share, a year earlier.
Marks & Spencer to cut 300 jobs
According to new documents, Marks & Spencer (LON: MKS) has plans for a new wave of job cuts across the country.
The group warned last week of plans to close 100 stores but attempts to streamline and restructure the high street chain could go further.
“M&S is transforming and this is a tough but necessary decision to take to ensure our stores support the future of the business and provide the best service for our customers,” said a spokesperson for the group.
The high street chain has been through a tough time, reporting a steep fall in annual profits this year. The group also announced the closure of a distribution centre in Warrington.
Marks & Spencer is not the only retailer to have been hit by the move to online shopping together. Supermarkets Sainsbury’s and Tesco have also made moves to reduce management roles in their stores.
A total of 351 redundancies have been proposed in the documents seen by The Guardian.
“This has contributed to reducing store profitability, impacting on our ability to trade our existing stores and open future stores viably,” the documents said.
Trump-Putin summit: US hopes for better relations
Before the start of his first summit with Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump said he hopes for an “extraordinary relationship” with Russia.
The Presidents of the US and Russia sat down today in Helsinki, Finland where they discussed topics including nuclear power and trade.
“We have discussions on everything from trade to military, to missiles, to nuclear, to China, we’ll be talking a little bit about China – our mutual friend President Xi,” said Trump to Putin.
“I think we have great opportunities together as two countries that frankly we have not been getting along very well for the last number of years. I’ve been here not too long but it is getting close to two years, but I think we will end up having an extraordinary relationship. I’ve been saying, and I’m sure you’ve heard, over the years … that getting along with Russia is a good thing not a bad thing,” he added.
Both leaders arrived at the summit after an hour after it was due to begin. They did not discuss Syria, North Korea, the US election or Nato.
After their one-on-one meeting, The White House confirmed another bilateral meeting and a joint press conference.
The joint press conference will take place at around 4.50pm local time, (2.50pm BST).
Attending the bilateral will be the US ambassador to Russia, US secretary of state, White House chief of staff, the national security adviser, a Russia expert and Trump adviser and an interpreter.
Trump has he hopes to revive Russia-US relations, where he blamed poor relations “years of US foolishness and stupidity on and now, the Rigged Witch Hunt”.
In response, Russia’s foreign affairs ministry tweeted: “We agree.”
PC Jeweller shares tank on buy-back withdrawal
Delhi-based PC Jeweller PLC (LON:PCJEWELLER) has seen its share price plummet following cancellation of a share buy-back it proposed in May.
The firm’s share price has dropped Rs 30.95 or 25.81% since markets opened this morning, after they announced at 10am in a BSE filing that it was to cancel its buy-back of 12.1 million shares with immediate effect.
A PC spokesperson said the company withdrew from the buy-back, “in view of the non-receipt of the requisite NOC”. The Rs 424 million buy-back did not go ahead because the firm did not receive the required No Objection Certificate from its bankers.
When the buy-back was agreed on May 10th, the price per unit was Rs 350 per share, Rs 141 higher than the Rs 209 closing market valuation on the 9th of May.
Mid-morning, the PC share price dropped to its lowest point since December 2014, with its largest intraday dip since May. Analyst estimates on PC stock are equally distributed between ‘Overweight’ and ‘Buy’ stances.
Meggitt secures Black Hawk contract
British aerospace engineering firm Meggitt plc (LON:MGGT) have secured a $21 million contract to supply fuel cell equipment for the UH-60 Black Hawk helicopter.
The 5 year deal has been agreed with the Defense Logistics Agency in Richmond Virginia and will mean the firm will supply the new equipment for the Black Hawks until the contract expires in 2022.
The new fuel cell equipment includes Meggitt’s self-sealing fuel tank, which prevents fuel spillage and greatly reduces the risk of fuel-related incidents during flight or survivable crashes.
“Meggitt is proud of the trust that DLA Richmond has once again placed in Meggitt to provide fuel cell equipment for the Black Hawk helicopter, underlining the exceptional performance record of our fuel cell technology, which is now present on virtually all US military helicopters,” said Stewart Watson, President of Meggitt Polymers & Composites.
Meggitt’s share price has rallied 2.54p or 0.46% since trading began this morning, up to 559.54p per share. Analysts from JP Morgan Cazenove have reiterated their ‘Overweight’ stance on the stock, while Berenberg analysts have upgraded their stance from ‘Hold’ to ‘Buy’.
Finsbury Food Group hit by “challenging” environment
Bakery manufacturer Finsbury Food Group (LON:FIF) reported a significant fall in revenue in its full-year results, sending shares down on Monday morning.
The group said revenue fell 3.4 percent to £303.6 million in the year to June 30. Its UK bakery division grew 2.8 percent on a like-for-like basis in the period, however, ahead of the wider market.
The company still expects to deliver profits in line with market expectations, but attributed the fall in revenue to a challenging environment.
The group said: “In what has been a very challenging environment with unprecedented commodity and labour inflation, the group has done well to recover those cost pressures through a combination of operational efficiency and price recovery.”
Boss John Duffy said: “We are pleased with the resilient performance of the group in what has once again been a period of market-wide inflationary pressure, illustrating that the work and investment undertaken in prior periods has continued to bear fruit.
“The group is robust, well diversified and in a strong position to continue to deliver on its strategic objectives in the period ahead.”
Shares sunk over 3 percent on the news, but have since regained ground. They’re currently trading down 1.91 percent at 112.80 (1101GMT).
Growth in Chinese economy slows to 6.7 percent
The Chinese economy grew at its slowest pace since 2016 in the second quarter, as the country grapples with monetary policy decisions amidst mounting tension with the US.
China’s economy grew at an expected 6.7 percent in the second quarter, with key readings on investment growth and industrial output also slowing in June. Retail sales remained roughly the same as the previous period. The official reading remained in line with analysts’ expectations.
The country has been dealing with high levels of debt and the appropriate monetary policy approach to tackle them. On one hand tighter policy will force financial deleveraging, but a softer approach would be better to support growth.
The ongoing trade spat between the US and China is also likely to have a negative impact on the economy, something which may well reverberate globally.
Indivior shares recover after ban on generic competitor
Shares in addiction treatment specialist Indivior (LON:INDV) soared on Monday morning, after announcing a legal breakthrough in the US.
The group’s shares fell by a third last week after it emerged that Indian company Dr Reddy’s Laboratories had been given the green light to sell a generic version of Invidior’s best selling drug.
However, on Monday Indivior confirmed that it had been granted a preliminary injunction against the company, which amounts to a temporary ban on the sale or import of its generic buprenorphine/naloxone sublingual film product.
The news will be welcomed by investors, boosting the group’s share price after a dismal week last week.
“Protecting the integrity of our intellectual property is fundamental to our ability to deliver our vision that all patients around the world have access to evidence-based treatment for addiction and its co-occurring disorders,” said CEO Shaun Thaxter.
Shares in Indivior (LON:INDV) are currently trading up 25.72 percent at 366.10 (1127GMT).
Hargreaves Lansdown shares sink as FCA considers exit fee cull
Hargreaves Lansdown shares became the FTSE 100’s biggest faller on Monday, after Financial Conduct Authority said it may ban companies from charging exit fees that discourage customers from moving their accounts elsewhere.
The FCA found that consumers were often put off making a switch due to it being difficult and time-consuming, as well as costly. Many firms charge ‘exit fees’ for clients looking to close their accounts.
“Many advisers told us that they charge additional advice fees for switching platform because it is a full advice event which requires them to produce a suitability report”, the FCA wrote”‘
“We recognise advisers need to be fairly paid for their work. But it is not clear to us why meeting suitability requirements to switch platforms should outweigh the benefits of switching platform.”
Investment platforms will be heavily hit from the news, with fees such as these a large source of revenue.
Hargreaves Lansdown (LON:HL) shares were the worst hit by the news today, currently trading down 4.11 percent at 1,972.50 (1006GMT).
