PMI figures show further worry for China

Factory activity in the worlds largest economy China has shrunk at its fastest pace for more than six years, according to figures released today. The private Caixin/Markit manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) dropped from 47.8 in July to 47.1 in August. Any figure below 50 shows contraction. These figures are the lowest since 2009, just after the global financial crisis. Official figures released earlier in August showed a 7 percent slowdown in growth for the country. These figures are the latest in a series of events suggesting that China’s economy may be in trouble. It’s markets have been increasingly volatile over the past few weeks, prompting government intervention to increase stability.

London’s ten best property hotspots

The average Londoner now spends two thirds of their income on rent. Both house prices and rent have shot up in recent years, and it shows no sign of abating; this is bad news for any young professionals looking to get a foot on the property ladder, but for anyone looking to invest there are clear opportunities. Whether you’re buying to live or buying to let, we’ve compiled a list of UK Investor Magazine’s top ten hot spots for property investment. We have made a note of the average value of properties in each area, as well as the value change over the past 12 months and five years. For context, the average house price in London is £620,557, with a change of +3.74% over one year and 31.34% over five. This can be compared to England as a whole, where the average house price is £291,620, with a change of 3.67% over the past year and 16.49% over five years. These figures show just how fast the property market in London is moving compared to that of the rest of the UK. Bayswater With close proximity to Hyde Park and Kensington Gardens, Bayswater is more affordable than its famous neighbours Mayfair, Marylebone and Notting Hill. Streets are lined with elegant, white Georgian houses, and transport is good – Central line stations Queensway and Lancaster Gate are nearby, and Bayswater itself is on the District and Circle Line. The West End, Kensington and Knightsbridge are just a short walk away, as is the mainline station Paddington. When Crossrail opens in 2018, Canary Wharf will just be 15 minutes away. This little area has the same charm and desirability as the more expensive West London neighbourhoods, but without the price tag – at the moment. Average value: £1,221,895 Value change (12 months): +2.02%
Value change (5 years): +37.75%
bayswater
Dalston East London area Dalston is further out than its trendy cousin Shoreditch, but has the same vibe. The area is served by several overground stations, linking to the North, Liverpool Street and the City, and still has plenty of plenty of bars, pubs and clubs. It’s close enough to Islington to have a relaxed, more grown-up feel and is near to both Victoria Park and London Fields. Average value: £563,306 Value change (12 months): +5.87% Value change (5 years): +39.28% Dalston has showed an impressive change over the past year, shooting up 5.87%, nearly double that of the rest of London. Now is the time to invest here, before prices shoot up too high. dalston Gipsy Hill This little pocket of south London is rarely recognised when mentioned in conversation. Nestled between Norwood, Dulwich and Crystal Palace, it has good rail links to Victoria, London Bridge and the South, as well as buses to Brixton and Clapham. There are plenty of pubs and bars and it has a friendly, family atmosphere. Average value: £473,882 Value change (12 months): +3.05% Value change (5 years): +37.10%
The City of London
View from the top of Gipsy Hill
  Peckham Peckham might be a little rough around the edges, but it has plenty of character. The location is excellent, with rail and overground links to Canary Wharf, the City, Shoreditch and North and South. There’s a good offering of nightlife, with two rooftop bars on the top of carparks that open in the summer, as well as several bars, art galleries and restaurants that are worth a visit. Jason Davis of Kinleigh Folkard & Hayward says prices on his patch have risen 30 per cent in the last year. “We have seen a 70 per cent increase in first-time buyers compared to the same time last year, as we offer better value for money than Dulwich, Camberwell and Brixton,” he says. Average value: £458,997 Value change (12 months): +3.97% Value change (5 years): +36.41%
peckahm
Frank’s Rooftop Bar, Peckham
  Nine Elms Nine Elms is the final piece of the South Bank to undergo a refurbishment. At 195 hectares, it is far larger than Hyde Park and situated less than a mile upstream from the Houses of Parliament. Vast sites are now being transformed to form a brand new residential and business quarter right in the heart of London. The development has described by the Mayor as “the most important regeneration story in London” and the luxury flats will have their own private glass-bottomed pool, suspended between the two blocks. Prices range between £600k for a small 1 bed to £14 million for a penthouse. Average value: £708,921 Value change (12 months): -1.30% Value change (5 years): +42.85%
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The new development’s rooftop pool
Streatham Once seen as an area a little down-at-heel, Streatham has become popular recently as people are priced out of nearby areas Clapham and Balham. There are direct trains to both London Victoria and London Bridge, 10 minutes from Clapham Junction for a change to go almost anywhere in the UK. The average house price is around £463,000, and the area has excellent amenities with proximity to Tooting Bec park and Lido. Average value: £463,672 Value change (12 months): -1.53% Value change (5 years): +38.69% Both the Streatham and Nine Elms postcodes have bucked the trend of the rest of England and London, where prices have risen on average. However, prices have grown more than average in both places over five years, showing the potential – buying now while the prices have dipped may well equal a good return in the future. Abbey Wood This area may well be one of the worst areas in London; however, with the addition of Crossrail serving the area in 2018, it makes for an excellent investment. Currently it is the cheapest place in London to buy, with four-bedroom maisonettes on sale for under £200,000. Abbey Wood consists largely of a council estate, which was once the dystopian home of nihilistic Alex and his droogs in Stanley Kubrick’s controversial film from 1971, A Clockwork Orange. However, there is a good chance that once Crossrail opens the area up to investment, it will follow the lead of the Heygate Estate in Elephant & Castle and demolish it to make way for newbuild houseing. The potential for the area is huge – making it an ideal place to invest. Average value: £266,713 Value change (12 months): +3.73% Value change (5 years): +33.59% The property value here is hundreds of thousands below London, rivalling that of the rest of the UK, showing clear potential.   Wapping In the 1980s, Wapping was a run-down and derelict inner city wasteland until the London Docklands Development Corporation began redeveloping the area. Properties have an Excellent position on the river, with several of the oldest pubs in London dotted along the front. There is a stellar view of Canary Wharf, and good connections on the overground to the City and Canary Wharf. Many of the properties are warehouse conversations with bundles of character. Average value: £559,406 Value change (12 months): +4.75% Value change (5 years): +32.06 wapping Elephant and Castle Arguably, Elephant and Castle is just a large roundabout, and market and the Ministry of Sound nightclub. However, a £3 billion redevelopment is underway, with the famous Heygate council estate being demolished making way for developer Lend Lease to replace the 1,200 homes contained within the brutalist blocks of the Heygate with almost 2,500 new apartments and shops. Average value: £677,234 Value change (12 months): +2.30% Value change (5 years): +32.55%   Mayfair Arguably the most expensive area in London, house prices in this area are showing no signs of slowing and more and more properties being bought up by foreign investors. According to E J Harris, rents in Mayfair have shot up 7.5 per cent over the last 12 months. “This year has been good for both. Average prices in prime central London increased 12.8 per cent, hitting £1.7 million. The rest of London has seen 10.7 per cent growth and a high of £514,516. Naomi Heaton, chief executive of LCP, prime London specialist Average value: £1,694,802 Value change (12 months): +1.91% Value change (5 years): +40.36% Prices in Mayfair have shot up over five years in comparison to both the rest of London and the UK – however, this shows no sign of stopping. mayfair    
Miranda Wadham on 20/08/2015

Retail sales rise slower than expected, hits pound

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British retail sales rose by 0.1 percent in July – below analysts expectations – according to official data released today. July’s figures bring overall growth for the year up to 4.2 percent. Excluding fuel, sales rose 0.4 percent on the month and 4.3 percent compared to a year ago, as expected. The release of the figures caused sterling to fall against both the dollar and euro. Sterling fell half a percent to $1.5607 from $1.5662 before its release and against the euro, it fell 0.7 percent to 71.42 pence. Inflation also edged up by just 0.1 percent in July, numbers showed on Tuesday. This week’s figures have eased the pressure the Bank of England to raise rates in the near future.

Qantas bounces back into the black

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Australia’s national carrier Qantas has bounced back from recent losses, reporting a pre-tax profit of 975 million Australian dollars.

The results beat analysts expectations, and have been their best since the financial crisis. The group has also announced plans buy eight Boeing Dreamliners, and pay a $505 million dividend to shareholders. The floundering airline has recently begun a “transformation program”, which has included cutting jobs and reducing capacity. Chief Executive Alan Joyce said in a statement: “We are halfway through the biggest and fastest transformation in our history. “Without that transformation, we would not be reporting this strong profit, recommencing shareholder returns, or announcing our ultra-efficient Dreamliner fleet for Qantas International. “We have reshaped our business for a strong, sustainable future – and because we moved quickly and made tough decisions early, we have strong foundations to build on.”

Co-op Bank reports high losses for 2015

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The Co-operative Bank has reported half-yearly losses of £204.2 million, from £77 million a year earlier. The group have said they do not expect to make a profit until 2017. The bank escaped a fine last week for misleading investors as the regulator believed it needed the money to get the bank back on track. In the first half of 2015, the bank set aside £49m to cover misconduct and legal charges and lost £38.2m on sales of assets needed to reduce the bank’s overall levels of debt. It also spent £33.1m on improving “systems and processes” and making the bank more efficient. Chief Executive Niall Booker said in a statement: “Addressing legacy issues will continue to dominate financial performance for some time and there is considerable work ahead towards a full recovery. The transformation of the bank remains challenging. We won’t be profitable in 2015 and we won’t be profitable in 2016 either.”

North Korea fires shell at South Korean border

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North Korea has fired a shell into South Korea, according to the South Korean state-run KBS news. It is believed North Korea was aiming at a loudspeaker that has been playing anti-Pyongyang broadcasts. In response, South Korea fired tens of 155mm artillery rounds at the location where the shell came from. “Our military has stepped up monitoring and is closely watching North Korean military movements,” the ministry said in a statement.

Russian economy slumps further

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Russian wages have suffered another drop, plummeting 9.2 percent from July 2014. The Federal Statistics Service in Moscow issued a statement today detailing the figures. Gross domestic product shrank 4.6 percent from a year earlier in the second quarter, although inflation has slowed to 15.6 percent after a 13 year high in March. Piotr Matys, a London-based foreign-exchange strategist at Rabobank told Bloomberg: “Domestic demand and investment are constrained by still fairly tight monetary policy. I can’t see domestic demand and investment improving significantly in the coming months.” Russia’s economy is becoming increasing vulnerable as the price of oil, the country’s main export, has tanked over the past few months. The Russian ruble has also dropped 25 percent over the last three months, with retail sales falling for the seventh month in a row.

Germany approves Greek deal

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453 German MPs have voted in favour of a bailout deal for Greece, meaning the agreement has successfully passed one of the last hurdles.

Another 113 MPs rejected the bailout and 18 abstained. Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble argued the country should get “a new start”, warning that it would be “irresponsible” to oppose the €86bn ($95bn; £61bn) package. He continued: “There is no guarantee that all of this will work and there can always be doubts. “But considering the fact that the Greek parliament already approved most of the measures, it would be irresponsible not to seize this chance for a new beginning in Greece.” If the third bailout is completed, the total Greece has borrowed will rise to 320 billion euros.

Chinese shares may be an indicator of things to come

Chinese shares had a wild Wednesday, dropping 5 percent before making steady gains in the afternoon and finishing up positive, with the Shanghai Composite closing up 1.2 percent. The sudden reversal prompted speculation that further easing was introduced to prop up the market. The Shanghai Composite’s quick turnaround suggests optimism surrounding market intervention in general – but will the Chinese be able to effectively prop up the volatile market? Authorities have tried cutting interest rates and reducing Reserve Ratio Requirements, but there still seems to be a long way to go before we see significant stabilisation. Analysts suggest that the markets could be panicking because of the recent surprise valuation of the yuan, which suggests that the Chinese are worried about losing control. On the other hand there is also the argument that the devaluation of the Yuan is just another step in Beijing’s plans to revive the economy. Following the Chinese devaluation, Vietnam also devalued their currency by 1 percent last week. This could be a first sign of a currency war that will further unhinge China’s economy. The Chinese are likely to have more up their sleeve, but for now one may be wise to treat the Chinese stock market as a spectator sport rather than a buying opportunity.

CarGo aims for child friendly travel

Scottish company CarGo have invented an innovative new product, combining a childrens suitcase with a portable car booster seat. The concept came from personal experience. When on holiday, founder Gary Burns hired a car, along with two booster seats for his children, which were dirty and dented. Concerned about the safety of them – and being charged a whopping 70 euros to use them – Gary thought that he could provide a better alternative. Recognising that he probably wasn’t alone in this situation, he set out to create a safe, child-friendly booster seat – that was easy to transport. Since then, he has designed a childrens suitcase, with 12 litre capacity, that folds neatly into a booster seat with arms that spring up and a padded, wipe-clean cushion. Although having always had an interest in art, Gary had no formal graphic design qualifications – so he sketched a prototype and with a design team created a CAD of the product. The idea has already had plenty of support, with Gary pitching the CarGo Seat to would-be investors on the show and was shortlisted to receive seed stage funding of £2,300 and then a further investment of £25,000. His designs have been recognised by Glasgow’s Got Business talent, Intuit100up, New Start Scotland Bright Ideas and Entrepreneurial Spark (Best Creative Innovation winner 2012). His key focus now is to get CarGo seat to market and put in the work required, and has launched a crowdfunding campaign on CrowdCube to do so. When asked why crowdfunding was the chosen route, rather than more traditional methods of raising finance. “We chose crowdfunding for this round of funding as we require the money but having the support of the crowd and input in say the colours, design, price point is very important to us as well. We hope they are future customers and be marketeers in promoting the product to friends, family & contacts.” Over the past few years, crowdfunding sites have popped up left, right and centre. However, Crowdcube really stuck out for their business, feeling that their connection with Scottish firms made them the best choice. “We had worked closely with a Scottish Legal firm at Entrepreneurial Spark in Glasgow called Harper McLeod, who have helped Scottish businesses embrace equity crowdfunding and felt this was a perfect partnership.” For more information, visit Crowdcube.com