Q4 2017 Market Review and Outlook

The Q4 market review and outlook covering key markets including:

FTSE 100: Central banks, inflation and key support levels

Natural Gas: Electricity consumption, US hurricanes and Hedge Funds

USD/JPY: PMIs, investment flows & Abenomics

Snap: 2017 most high profile IPO and its growth targets

Download this report now for technical and fundamental outlook of these key markets.

Download Report Now:

Risk Warning & Disclaimer:

Forex trading involves considerable risks and is therefore not appropriate for all investors. Traders should take into consideration the possibility of encountering substantial losses; it is therefore important to appreciate the possible consequences of investing. Traders should evaluate their earning potential against the risks involved and act appropriately. Alvexo is owned and operated by VPR Safe Financial Group Limited a Cyprus Investment Firm (CIF) supervised and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 236/14 and company registration number HE 322134 , located at 1, Agias Fylaxeos street,3025 Limassol, Cyprus.

By entering your details you agree to be contacted by UK Investor Magazine and the company operating this investment opportunity regarding this opportunity specifically and similar investment opportunities and news.

Profits and sales plunge at Dixons Carphone, but shares rise

Dixons Carphone saw both profits and sales plunge in the first half of the year, caused by a “tougher” mobile phone market hitting its mobile phone division. Group profit before tax dropped to £61 million from £154 million the same time last year, with like-for-like sales down 2 percent to £3 billion. Profit in the UK and Ireland plunged 73 per cent to £34 million. The company’s electrical business showed the most improvement over the period, with like-for-like sales up 7 percent and witnessing a growth in both revenues and market share. However the mobile division suffered during the period, with Seb James, chief executive, saying: “As we said in August, the UK postpay mobile phone market is tougher, with a combination of higher handset costs and relatively incremental technology growth continuing to cause customers to hold on to their handsets for longer. “We recognise that the performance of the mobile division needs addressing, and are taking action to adapt our model in order to cement our place in a changing world.” Despite the weak figures share in the company rose on Wednesday, currently trading up 6.39 percent at 178.10 (1201GMT).

Wage growth struggles to compete with inflation

1
Wage growth came in well below inflation in October, increasing pressure on households for the seventh month in a row. Average weekly wages rose by 2.3 percent in the three months to October, according to the latest statistics from the Office for National Statistics, coming in below yesterday’s inflation figure of 3.1 percent. Real earnings, which take into account the cost of living, fell by 0.4 percent. The ONS also released its unemployment figures, which declined by 26,000 to 1.43 million. The jobless rate remained at its lowest level since 1975, 4.3 percent, with the unemployment rate for women hitting a record low at just 4.1 percent. John Hawksworth, chief economist at PwC, said that the figures indicated that the “great British jobs boom of recent years may be running out of steam”.  

Parity Group shares up 13 percent

Parity Group (LON:PTY) shares jumped nearly 13 percent on Wednesday morning, after confirming that operating profit for the full year would be ahead of expectations. The group are now expecting full-year underlying operating profit to show double digit growth over the 2016 financial year, marking the fourth consecutive reporting period of comparative operating profit improvement. Cash generation has seen the Group reduce net debt by £5.2 million over the 18 months, from £7.5 million as at 31 December 2015 to £2.3 million as at 30 June 2017. Alan Rommel, CEO, commented: “Through the year we have taken steps to align our core divisions more effectively with an increased focus on both technology consultancy and digital transformation recruitment services. “This strategic focus is driving a rebalancing of the business and we are delighted that our higher margin Consultancy Services is performing ahead of Board expectations in the second half.” “We see significant opportunities for the Group and, with the benefit of an improving balance sheet, we plan to continue to invest during 2018 to accelerate growth in target markets for our Consultancy Services division in order to further enhance profitability, cash generation and shareholder value”, he concluded. Parity Group specialises in providing recruitment and business and technology solutions to clients across the public and private sectors. Its share price is currently up 12.76 percent to 8.88 (1115GMT).

De Beers report steady demand for diamonds in run-up to Christmas

0
Diamond giant De Beers reported solid demand for its diamonds in December, with sales of rough diamonds coming in at $450 million. Demand remained broadly stable in the company’s last sales cycle of the year, with levels similar to those seen in cycle nine. Sales were also slightly ahead of the equivalent period in 2016. Provisional proceeds rose 6.6 percent compared with actual sales for the same period last year, though they fell 3.4 percent from November sales. De Beers chief executive Bruce Cleaver confirmed the results, saying that: “The tenth sales cycle of the year saw the continuation of good demand for De Beers rough diamonds as we head towards the end of 2017.” De Beers is the world’s leading diamond company, which is 85 percent owned by mining giant Anglo American. De Beers and its partners produce about a third of the world’s rough diamonds by value. Shares in Anglo American (LON:AAL) are currently down 0.58 percent at 1,374.50 (1150GMT).

UK inflation hits 3.1 percent

0
Inflation rose to its highest level in nearly six years in November, with the key figure continuing to remain well above wage growth. Inflation hit 3.1 percent last month, well above the Bank of England’s 2 percent target. It also means the price of products is growing far faster than wage growth which remains at just 2.2 percent. Bank of England governor Mark Carney will now need to write a letter to Chancellor Philip Hammond to explain why inflation is so high, and what plans he will put in place to bring the figure down. This happens every time inflation falls below 1 percent or rises above 3 percent. According to the Office for National Statistics, airfares and computer games were the largest contributors to the increase.

Ashtead Group results strong on weaker pound and hurricane clean-ups

Equipment rental firm Ashtead (LON:AHT) saw shares rise over 4 percent on Tuesday morning, after seeing consistent improvement in performance over the six months to October. Group rental revenue rose 20 percent over the period, with first half underlying pre-tax profit hitting £537 million. The group spent £708 million on capital expenditure, up from £683 million last year, and saw earnings per share rise to 34.2 pence. The group’s performance was helped by an increase in rentals from the clean-up efforts following hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria, as well as benefitting from the impact of weaker sterling. Looking forward, Ashtead’s CEO Geoff Drabble said the group expects “a number of years of good earnings growth and significant free cash flow generation.” “We continue to enjoy support from good end markets, a strong balance sheet and impressive operational execution. “Our strong performance, together with the successful execution of our 2021 plan, allows the Board to continue to look to the medium term with confidence.” Shares in Ashtead are currently trading up 4.01 percent at 2,100.00 (0959GMT).

Sterling weakens after PM May announces Irish border deal.

The pound sold off after Prime Minister May announced she has reached an agreement over the border and confirmed there would be no hard border. Many feared a hard border would reignite the troubles in Ireland and undo years of progress. From a market perspective, the inability to reach a deal was raising concerns the entire Brexit negotiations would be fraught with hurdles created by stubbornness from both sides. ‘Deal Confirmed! Ireland supports Brexit negotiations moving to Phase 2 now that we have secured assurances for all on the island of Ireland – fully protecting GFA, peace process, all-Island economy and ensuring that there can be no hard border on the Island of Ireland post Brexit’ said the Irish deputy Prime Minister. The pound sold off in the initial reaction in a ‘buy-the-rumour-sell-the-fact’ reversal of significant strength in the run-up to the announcement. GBP/USD touched lows at 1.3320 on Thursday before exploding to highs of 1.3510 on Friday morning. At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading at 1.3415. Despite the fanfare surrounding today’s announcement, upcoming trade talks will be crucial to the strength of sterling and today’s agreement is a mere drop in the ocean of complex negotiations.    

Ladbrokes Coral & GVC announce intention to merge

1
Ladbrokes & GVC today announced GVC had made an approach for Ladbrokes in a move that would create one of the UK’s largest gambling companies. GVC have offered 160.9p per share with a possible additional 42.8p if certain terms are met. In the offer terms, Ladbrokes Coral shareholders would be receive 32.7p in cash and 0.141 ordinary GVC shares for each Ladbrokes Coral share and potentially further value of up to 42.8p structured as a contingent value right (CVR). The additional CVR payment is conditional on the outcome of government review of fixed odds betting machines. Shares in Labrokes Coral soared over 20% on the news in early trade on Thursday. Shares in Ladbrokes Coral have suffered in recent years as the government gears up to limit the maximum bet size on fixed odds betting machines, a significant element of Ladbrokes revenue. The merger would may the new group one of the UK’s largest online Bingo operators with brands such as Gala Casino & Gala Bingo, Bwin, Foxy Bingo and Partypoker.  

Intu shares soar on news of possible Hammerson merger

UK shopping centre owner Hammerson (LON:HMSO) made a £3.4 billion bid for smaller rival Intu (LON:INTU), a move already agreed by over half of Intu’s shareholders. Hammerson, who owns several major UK shopping centres including the Bullring in Birmingham and London’s Brent Cross, made an offer of 253.9p per share for Intu, a 28 per cent premium on the group’s closing price on December 5. Intu owns the Lakeside shopping centre in Essex and Manchester’s Trafford Centre and if the deal goes through, it will create the UK’s biggest property company, worth £21 billion. Intu shares rose over 20 percent in early trading on Wednesday, with Hammerson shares down 3.5 percent. Hammerson’s chief executive, David Atkins, said: “This marks an exciting milestone in the history of Hammerson. Bringing together the high-quality portfolios of both companies establishes Hammerson as a larger, leading European retail Reit, enhances shareholder returns and supports opportunities for long-term growth.” Analysts had mixed reactions towards the deal, with Christopher Fremantle, from Morgan Stanley, saying: “We see Hammerson’s agreed bid for intu as an opportunistic move that combines a strong Hammerson management platform with intu’s large assets but sub-optimal corporate wrapper. Doubts on structural headwinds will remain, but the deal has a number of benefits in our view.” Shares in Intu are currently trading down 14.97 percent at 228.90 (1531GMT).